Services Trade Restrictiveness Research Articles

Global value chains and service liberalization: do they matter for skill-upgrading?

ABSTRACT This study attempts to assess the effect of Global Value Chains (GVCs) and service liberalization on skill-upgrading. It provides a bridge between two active literatures on GVCs and service liberalization. Using comprehensive firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey, the contribution of this paper is twofold. First, it focuses on the effect of GVC integration on skill-upgrading in the presence of service restrictions. Second, it uses firm-level data on 141 developing economies. Our main findings suggest that integration in GVC results in skill-upgrading whilst service trade restrictions are associated with skill-downgrading. We argue that more restricted services weaken the channels by which GVC stimulates the process of skill-upgrading. Therefore, skill-upgrading resulting from GVC participation is more pronounced when services are liberalized. Our results remain robust to any change in the measure of service protection, the measure of skill-upgrading and when we control for the endogeneity of GVCs.

Trade in Services in the European Union

Services dominate in creation of value added in national economies, especially in developed countries and they have growing trend in developing (emerging) economies. They cover four modes of trade (according to GATS), that makes their calculation complex and a part of services is hidden in the value of production/trade of manufactured goods. Their importance in foreign trade, despite the increasing trend, is still three times smaller that the value of trade in goods, but also it is under-valuated. This paper explains specific characteristics of services foreign trade, provides analysis of structure of services trade but also pointed the limitation of wider trade expansion (i.e. liberalization of trade). The analysis employ statistical tools and secondary data and covers the EU member states. The EU is very important player in the global arena and it is net exporter of services, where richer member states are oriented to the other business sector while the Central, East and South members are focused to travel. The EU members mainly traded between them selves. Services trade faced higher barriers in cross-border trade. OECD measures these restriction by Services Trade Restrictiveness Index. EU common market provides better condition for the intra- EEA trade in services even the protection differs between countries and it is more liberal for computer and telecom sectors while in accounting services and legal services the protection is high due to national legislations.

Determinants of services trade agreement membership

Existing literature has examined factors underlying the formation of goods trade agreements (GTA) and bilateral investment treaties but not the determinants of services trade agreement (STA) membership. This paper bridges the gap by studying the economic and political determinants of STA membership. Its main contribution lies in providing an economic explanation of unilateral services regulatory provisions, embodied in the World Bank’s Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (Borchert et al. in World Bank Econ Rev 28:162–188, 2014), and their interaction with services preferentialism. The authors find that unilateral services provisions are closely associated with economic determinants. They also find that countries’ participation in STAs is correlated with the similarity of their unilateral services trade restrictiveness, a finding not observed for “goods-only” trade agreements. While geographical and cultural determinants are found to be broadly similar for GTAs and STAs, association with economic size of partners, factor endowments and services cost shares in GDP comes through more strongly for goods-only agreements.

Firm heterogeneity in services trade: Micro‐level evidence from eight OECD countries

AbstractThis paper shows that smaller and less productive firms, as well as first‐time exporters, are overproportionally affected by services trade barriers using micro‐data from Belgium, Finland, Germany, Italy, Japan, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States. For these firms, both the propensity to export and export volumes to less restrictive destinations are significantly higher than to more restrictive destinations. In contrast, policy barriers measured by the OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) do not affect export decisions of the largest, most productive and experience services firms. The pattern holds for two major modes of supply, cross‐border services exports and foreign affiliate sales of services firms. The findings are consistent with firm sorting mechanisms in trade models with heterogeneous firms and hysteresis of export participation in the presence of sunk export costs.

Quantifying Barriers to Movement of Service Suppliers and Examining Their Effects

The importance of services trade and “servicification” of economic activity has grown in countries overtime. However, regulatory and administrative barriers to the movement of service suppliers have meant that “Mode 4” accounted for only 2.1% of total services trade in 2005 and 2.9% in 2017. While trade costs for services have been computed in the literature, barriers specific to Mode 4 services trade have not yet been quantified. We contribute by constructing an index to quantify regulatory barriers to the movement of service suppliers, using qualitative information embedded in OECD data on services trade restrictions, and estimate its effects on the four “modes” of services supply. Results show that the Mode 4 restrictiveness index is negatively correlated with services imports in three of the four modes of services delivery that require proximity between buyers and sellers. These findings underline the need for countries to refrain from imposing prohibitive restrictions on service suppliers in the wake of Covid-19.

The Impact of Services Trade Restrictiveness on Food Trade

International trade in goods requires service inputs such as transport, banking and financial services for production and transportation. Trade in goods and services are now closely linked and contribute to the growth of international trade. The goal of this study is to investigate the effects of restrictions in the banking, accounting, transportation and logistics sectors (cargo handling and custom brokerage) on food trade. We use a gravity model with panel data from 2014 to 2018 for 36 OECD countries, the OECD indices of individual country restrictions and regulatory difference by country pair to capture the level of restrictions in these sectors. Our results suggest that importing and exporting country restrictions have non-significant effects on aggregate food exports, but negative and significant impacts on exports of agricultural raw materials and perishable products (meat, dairy products, eggs, etc.). The regulatory disparity between countries in logistics and banking sectors emerge as the main barrier for food exports. However, these results can be mitigated through regulatory cooperation or harmonization of regulations.

Services trade restrictiveness and manufacturing export sophistication

This paper highlights the importance of services trade liberalization. It is well-known that there is a strong relationship between the level of economic development of a country and the quality of its export basket. Since the pioneering work of Hausmann, Hwang, and Rodrik (2007), several studies have attempted to identify the determinants of export sophistication. In this paper, based on the existing literature, we argue that restrictiveness of services sector trade can have a negative impact on the level of export sophistication. Using panel data from 36 countries over the 2005–2014 period, we show that the impact of services sector trade restrictiveness on export sophistication is negative and statistically significant. We find that this negative effect has increased in the post-2007 period. Furthermore, restrictiveness of trade in modern services is relatively more detrimental to manufacturing export sophistication. A series of endogeneity and robustness tests confirm the reliability of our main empirical result. Our analysis suggests that services sector trade liberalization can also be used as a development strategy by developing countries.

The Effect of Binding Commitments on Services Trade

AbstractIt has long been established in theory that uncertainty impacts on firm behaviour. However, the empirical basis for quantifying the uncertainty-reducing effects of trade agreements has not been firmly established. In this paper, we develop estimates of the effect of reducing uncertainty regarding regulation of foreign services markets by making commitments that are bound under a trade agreement. Specifically, we identify the effect on services trade of services trade restrictions, as measured by the OECD's Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI), and the separate effect of ‘water’ in binding commitments, as assessed by the difference between countries’ commitments under the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) or free trade agreements (FTAs) and applied levels of market access, as captured by STRI scores. Using a gravity model, we find that services trade responds positively but inelastically to reductions in services trade barriers, as measured by the STRI and, in our preferred regression, the response to actual restrictions is more than twice – specifically 2.4 times – as strong as the response to comparable reductions in uncertainty, as measured by water. Moving from GATS commitments to FTA commitments leads to a 4.7% increase in services trade because of the reduction in uncertainty.

A new dawn for MENA firms: service trade liberalization for more competitive exports

ABSTRACTWhile micro-level empirical evidence has emerged to highlight the positive effect of services deregulation on the productivity and exports of manufacturing firms in developing countries, the MENA region has been neglected in the literature. The current paper fills the gap by exploring the effect of service protection on the extensive and intensive trade margins of manufacturing and services firms in selected MENA countries for 2013. The service protection variable is constructed using two different measures: the service trade restrictiveness index and the tariff equivalent of services, weighted by the input-output technical coefficient of service sectors. Our results show that service protection is a fixed export cost, exerting a negative and significant effect on the extensive margin, without having a significant effect on the intensive margin of the firm. We also find that the burden of service barriers falls on small firms that struggle to enter international markets, and on firms operating in high value-added sectors such as ‘motor vehicles’.

Service trade restrictiveness and internationalisation of retail trade

Based on a review of recent economic theories dealing with the internationalisation of firms and a discussion of necessary adaptations of these theories to special features of the retail trade sector, this paper offers an empirical analysis of the determinants of the extensive and intensive margin of retail trade FDI activities of 42 countries in 23 EU countries. Special attention is paid within a gravity model framework to the impact of service trade restrictions on both margins of retail trade internationalisation. The use of hurdle models for count data to estimate the determinants of the extensive margin takes into account that there are a lot of zero counts for the number of retail trade firms controlled by a country j in an EU country i. The estimation results for the extensive margin of retail trade FDI activities show that service trade restrictiveness increases the hurdle that at least one firm from country j controls a retail trade firm in country i. Once one firm from country j has been able to jump over this hurdle, the existing service trade restrictions are neither a relevant factor for the number of following firms from country j in that market nor for the average employment and sales of these firms.

The labour market effects of applied service regimes and service sector reforms

AbstractThis article offers novel insights into the modal and sectoral characteristics of trade in services that may exert an influence on the redistributive properties of liberalization in service trade and investment. It uses descriptive statistics, and econometric analysis to examine the labour market effects of unilateral service regimes, drawing on data from the OECD's Services Trade Restrictiveness Index for a sample of 44 OECD and non‐OECD countries and 22 sectors over the period 2014–16. Whereas the findings suggest that the unilateral liberalization of services is not associated with net labour displacement effects, the authors call for empirical evidence, based on improved data sources, for a fuller understanding of this issue.

BREXIT perspectives: financial market dynamics, welfare aspects and problems from slower growth

In this analysis, BREXIT is considered with regard to the main consequences for financial markets; and real economic implications are taken into account while policy options are also highlighted. The role of the interest elasticity of the demand for money is emphasized for both welfare analysis of BREXIT and overshooting – assuming that that elasticity will fall post-BREXIT. Key insights emerge from aspects related to Dornbusch-type exchange rate overshooting problems and insights from the Branson model: This medium-term perspective is used to derive some short-term and long-term BREXIT implications. As regards overall welfare effects, the BREXIT welfare effect related to a lower holding of real money balances – due to a lower gross domestic product post-BREXIT in the long run – is rather high, so that adding this to the HM Treasury finding of a 10% income loss from BREXIT suggests that the long run welfare loss of the UK could be high. Moreover, the quality of financial market integration in the EU countries is highlighted: For the first time, financial services trade restrictiveness indices are empirically analyzed. This leads – on the basis of a restrictiveness index regarding international financial services and additional information about prudential supervision quality – to an assessment of the quality of financial markets. Policy conclusions take into account the new protectionist challenges and use insights from the Welfens enhanced growth model with trade and foreign direct investment.

Services Trade Policies and Economic Integration: New Evidence for Developing Countries

This paper provides the first quantitative evidence on the restrictiveness of services policies in 2016 for a sample of developing countries, based on recently released regulatory data collected by the World Bank and WTO. We use machine learning to recreate to a high degree of accuracy the OECD’s Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI), which takes account of nonlinearities and dependencies across measures. We use the resulting estimates to extend the OECD STRI approach to 23 additional countries, producing what we term a Services Policy Index (SPI). Converting the SPI to ad valorem equivalent terms shows that services policies are typically much more restrictive than tariffs on imports of goods, in particular in professional services and telecommunications. Developing countries tend to have higher services trade restrictions, but less so than has been found in research using data for the late 2000s. We show that the SPI has strong explanatory power for bilateral trade in services at the sectoral level, as well as for aggregate goods and services trade.

Services traded for intermediate and final usage

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate and assess the trends of bilateral services trade in the world segmented by trade for final consumption and intermediate usage across several service sectors. The differential trends, if any, are studied while examining the role of free trade agreements which have a chapter on services trade as well as the role of services trade restrictions. The study unravels differences across service sectors in this respect.Design/methodology/approachThe author uses an augmented gravity model to address the above using OECD- World Trade Organization (WTO) TiVA data for bilateral trade in intermediates and final products (October 2015 release) and World Bank Services Trade Restrictions Index (STRI). The poisson pseudo maximum likelihood estimation technique is used in light of the structure of the data. Trade creating and diverting effects are identified controlling for time and country-time specific effects. The following sectors are specifically looked at: total business sector services, computer and related services, financial intermediation, post and telecommunication, transport and storage, R&D and other business services, hotels and restaurants, construction, and wholesale and retail trade.FindingsFirst, services free trade agreements (FTAs) have had a trade creating impact with no trade diverting impact for services trade in aggregate with stronger effects on services traded for intermediate usage. Second, financial intermediation and post and telecommunication have been left unaffected by services FTAs. While no trade diversion is concluded for any sector, R&D and other business services, transport and storage and wholesale retail trade show maximum trade creation effects in response to FTAs. Third, trade restrictions of mainly OECD countries are responsible for lowering exports for most sectors. Finally, in terms of policy implications, at a general level, the author does not find a significant difference in the author’s results for services traded for intermediate usage or final consumption except for a stronger effect of FTAs on intermediate services trade. Hence, the policies to foster services trade on both counts are concluded to be the same and deal with behind-the-border policies of domestic industrial policy reforms like national treatment of foreign firms, licensing requirements, FDI policies, etc.Research limitations/implicationsStatistics for services trade are limited. The data are only available for the years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2011. Additionally, the conclusions on services trade restrictions are based on statistics for 2011 alone, since this is the only year for which the statistics are available. A complete time series for the entire sample period would increase robustness of the study with a better time variant version of the trade restrictiveness variable. Finally, in the construction of the OECD-WTO-TiVA database of a world IO table, there may have been approximations in constructing statistics for services traded for intermediate usage and final consumption. The results remain sensitive to the same but this is the best possible statistics available for the purposes.Originality/valueThis is the first study which looks at services trade segmented by trade for final consumption and intermediate usage taking advantage of the available data for a number of service sectors. The role of restrictions is also studied for the first time segmented by trade in intermediates and final consumption. The stronger effects of FTAs on intermediate services trade as well as financial intermediation and post and telecommunication services being insulated from effects of FTAs are important findings, especially since services are mainly thought to be traded for final consumption. Similar trends of results for services traded for intermediate usage and final consumption and restrictions affecting exports from exporter countries and imports by importer countries highlight the importance of behind-the-border domestic policies in facilitating or inhibiting services trade on both counts and more importantly for intermediate usage which, in turn, would improve goods tradability.

Determinants of Services Trade Agreement Membership

Since about a decade, we have seen a surge in interest as well as in the use of services preferentialism and unilateral services regulations. This paper provides an economic explanation of services regulation and services preferentialism, including their interaction. The paper derives hypotheses based on a numerical welfare analysis where tradable services are treated as a secondary (produced) input in the production of tradable goods. Apart from hypotheses on the emergence of services trade agreements (STAs), the paper derives ones on the stringency of unilateral services provision- a general services trade restrictiveness. For instance, one of the hypotheses is that services trade restrictiveness is endogenous, and it is aligned with economic fundamentals. Another hypothesis suggests that countries are more likely to participate in STAs if the partners' general, unilateral services trade restrictiveness is more similar to theirs. These and other hypotheses are supported by data.

Do restrictive regulatory policies matter for telecom performance? Evidence from MENA countries

The past decade has witnessed a significant transformation in trade and regulatory policies of the telecom sector across the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region. Many countries committed to opening up their telecom sector for trade and investment under WTO commitments. However, these commitments do not always reflect actual policies. Although some MENA countries started alleviating telecom market restrictions and tended to adopt more open policies, other countries are still reluctant to change and adopt highly restrictive policies limiting foreign ownership and control in the market. This paper assesses the impact of telecom restrictions on landline and mobile sector performance in MENA countries using the World Bank Services Trade Restrictiveness database (STRD). We use three-stage least squares-seemingly unrelated regression (3SLS-SUR) to test for the effect of restrictions and the level of competition in the telecom sector on selected performance indicators. Our findings suggest that restrictive policies in the telecom sector are rather likely to affect landline than mobile communications. Moreover, being a MENA country affects the level of competition in the landline market. MENA countries are very protective to their incumbent operators, irrespective of the stipulated market regulations in place.

On the Efficiency of Market Regulation in the Air Transport Industry - Using Services Trade Restrictiveness Index -

On the Efficiency of Market Regulation in the Air Transport Industry - Using Services Trade Restrictiveness Index -

Service Trade Liberalization And Economic Growth

This paper empirically examines the relationship between services trade liberalization and economic growth. Services trade currently comprises approximately 20 percent of total world trade, with more than half of the world’s labor force employed in service sectors. The possibility that reducing barriers can enhance global production is increasingly receiving attention. The impact of liberalization on growth is empirically assessed by including services trade restrictiveness as the key variable of interest in cross-sectional estimations of a global production function. Income dummies were interacted with levels of services trade restrictiveness to discern variations of influence across countries at different income levels. Services trade restrictiveness is captured using a World Bank index for a pooled cross-section of countries. Robustness of results are evaluated using a similar services trade restrictiveness index recently constructed by the OECD for member countries. The results suggest that services trade liberalization has a positive impact on a country’s per capita GDP. This benefit of service liberalization is larger in countries with greater services export values. In addition, service liberalization in low income countries has a greater impact on per capita income levels than does service liberalization in high income countries. While positive and statistically significant, the scale of the effect appears small. The robustness of the results were tested using an alternate measure of services trade restrictiveness for OECD countries. These robustness results validated the benchmark results and also suggested, for high income countries, the liberalization of services trade may have a non-linear influence on per capita income growth. These findings underscore the importance of including service trade liberalization as a part of trade policy discussions and development agendas, as liberalization of services restrictions may stimulate growth in per capita income and highlights that removing the barriers to services trade can positively impact income levels, especially in low-income countries. Currently, policies surrounding services trade liberalization largely occur at the bilateral agreement level. However, as knowledge grows about the possible benefits of services trade liberalization, movement towards multilateral recommendations may be optimal.

Evaluating the Impact of FTAs on FDI: A Text-Based Approach

The literature on the impact of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on foreign direct investment (FDI) has had difficulty establishing a robust effect of BITs on FDI flows. This conclusion extends to FDI chapters in free trade agreements (FTAs), which feature the same substantive content as BITs. The lack of an empirically identifiable effect may reflect econometric difficulties, a minimal role of BITs/FTAs in corporate FDI decisions, or the lack of liberalizing content in the treaties. We consider the latter issue by mapping the legal commitments in FTAs onto the OECD’s Foreign Direct Investment Restrictiveness (FDIR) Index, while drawing on the Mode 3 component of the OECD’s Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) to enable greater granularity of treatment of the measures in FTAs. The modified index, which we label the FDI-RI to distinguish it from the FDIR, has the same broad policy areas and the same weighting scheme as the FDIR but the measures under each horizontal policy area (i.e., policies that apply to FDI in general without distinguishing sectors) that are covered in more detail by the STRI have been disaggregated into measures that correspond to those in the STRI. The FDI-RI thus covers both goods and services on a consistent basis, but with greater detail for goods sectors than available under the FDIR. Importantly, we take into account the impact of FTA measures in improving upon each party’s bindings under the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS). In principle, empirically quantified NTBs reflect both applied restrictions and uncertainty. We identify uncertainty with “water” in the bound commitments and construct a composite NTB that reflects applied measures and water. This approach allows a determination of whether and how much FTAs liberalize investment by either reducing applied barriers, decreasing uncertainty, or both. Given measures of tax equivalents for non-tariff measures affecting investment, this approach also allows the calculation of a tax equivalent shock for use in quantitative models. We comment on the impact of FDI liberalization in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Agreement using this approach.

Services trade policy and manufacturing productivity: The role of institutions

We study the effect of services trade restrictions on manufacturing productivity for a broad cross-section of countries at different stages of economic development. Decreasing services trade restrictiveness has a positive impact on the manufacturing sectors that use services as intermediate inputs in production. We identify a critical role of institutions in importing countries in shaping this effect. Countries with high institutional quality benefit the most from lower services trade restrictions in terms of increased productivity in downstream industries. We show that the conditioning effect of institutions operates through services trade that involves foreign establishment (investment), as opposed to cross-border arms-length trade in services.