Research Article| January 01, 2007 Real Time Forecasts through an Earthquake Clustering Model Constrained by the Rate-and-State Constitutive Law: Comparison with a Purely Stochastic ETAS Model Rodolfo Console; Rodolfo Console Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Maura Murru; Maura Murru Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Flaminia Catalli; Flaminia Catalli Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Giuseppe Falcone Giuseppe Falcone Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy 2Department of Earth Science, University of Messina, Messina, Italy Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Author and Article Information Rodolfo Console 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) Maura Murru 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) Flaminia Catalli 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) Giuseppe Falcone 1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy 2Department of Earth Science, University of Messina, Messina, Italy Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00142 Rome, Italy console@ingv.it (R.C.) murru@ingv.it (M.M.) catalli@ingv.it (F.C.) falcone@ingv.it (G.F.) Publisher: Seismological Society of America First Online: 09 Mar 2017 Online ISSN: 1938-2057 Print ISSN: 0895-0695 © 2007 by the Seismological Society of America Seismological Research Letters (2007) 78 (1): 49–56. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.49 Article history First Online: 09 Mar 2017 Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn MailTo Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Citation Rodolfo Console, Maura Murru, Flaminia Catalli, Giuseppe Falcone; Real Time Forecasts through an Earthquake Clustering Model Constrained by the Rate-and-State Constitutive Law: Comparison with a Purely Stochastic ETAS Model. Seismological Research Letters 2007;; 78 (1): 49–56. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.49 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Refmanager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentBy SocietySeismological Research Letters Search Advanced Search We propose an earthquake clustering model based on the popular concept of epidemic models. In these models every earthquake can be regarded as both triggered by previous events and as a potential triggering event for subsequent earthquakes (Ogata 1988, 1998; Ogata and Zhuang 2006 and reference therein; Console and Murru 2001; Console et al. 2003; Console et al.2006a, 2006b; Helmstetter and Sornette 2002a, 2002b, 2003 for reviews; and Vere-Jones 2006 for review on the use of stochastic models for earthquake occurrence). The occurrence-rate density at any time and geographical location is... You do not have access to this content, please speak to your institutional administrator if you feel you should have access.