Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Research Articles

Maternal mental health and children’s development: a bi-directional relationship?

ObjectivesResearch on bi-directional associations between self-reported caregiver mental health and child development is mixed. Through linkage of a cohort study and primary care data, we examine whether maternal mental health diagnoses, treatment and symptoms are bi-directionally associated with child development, namely emotional and conduct problems, hyperactivity and peer problems.
 ApproachWe accessed 14 years of data by linking the Millennium Cohort Study (in Wales) to anonymised individual-level population-scale health and administrative data within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. We identified maternal mental health problems using John et al’s (2016) existing algorithm for anxiety and depression diagnoses, symptoms and treatment. We measured child development using parent-reports of the Strengths and Difficulties questionnaire. Outcomes were tested when the child was 3, 5, 7, 11 and 14 years of age. We used Bayesian Structural Equation Modelling, specifically Random-Intercept Cross-Lagged Panel Models, to analyse within and between-person associations.
 ResultsWe found that mother’s mental health was strongly associated over time, as were children’s development difficulties. Cross-lagged associations from mother to child were weakly positively associated at age 3 to 5 for child total scores, and at age 11 to 14 for child emotional problems. In contrast, child development associations with maternal mental health were significant from age 7 to 11 for total scores, emotional and peer problems, but weakly associated at age 3 to 5, and 11 to 14 for conduct problems. Hyperactivity had few associations. Few associations at the same-time point were found, but emotional problems at age 11 and 14 were positively associated, as were hyperactivity at age 14, and peer problems at age 11. Between-person effects were consistently strongly associated.
 ConclusionWe find mixed evidence for bi-directional associations, but strong between-person associations. Overall development and emotional problem models showed more bi-directional relationships; child development was positively associated with mother’s mental health event at age 7 for all models except hyperactivity, conduct problems were weakly associated at age 5 and 11.

Spinal pain prevalence in Wales and associated risk factors.

ObjectivesSpinal pain predisposes patients to a more sedentary lifestyle, a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease and other comorbidities. There is little recent evidence of the current prevalence of spinal pain and associated risk factors in Wales. This analysis addresses this gap in knowledge.
 ApproachThis retrospective e-cohort study used linked National Survey for Wales (NSW) data and Welsh Demographic Services data held in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. All years of the annual NSW data from 2016 to 2020 (N = 34,123) were used to determine the prevalence of spinal pain in Wales. The likelihood of developing spinal pain was quantified by multivariate regression cross-sectional analysis, adjusting for the presence of the same person in multiple years of the survey data. Predictors included socio-demographic and health status, including mental health and cardiovascular disease.
 ResultsSpinal pain affected 5% of people who took part in the NSW. This analysis also shows that spinal pain disproportionally affects some sub-populations of Wales. Factors associated with a greater likelihood of spinal pain were cardiovascular disease, presence of at least one mental health condition, living in a more deprived area, and education level. This is especially pertinent as the burden of cardiovascular risk is disproportionately elevated in the Welsh population and Wales represents a distinctive demographic, characterised by geographical constraints and low socio-economic status. These factors will be presented and discussed in detail.
 ConclusionThe prevalence of spinal pain and associated risk factors in Wales was quantified. This work will help inform public health action to encourage interventional and prevention strategies to improve the quality of life for those suffering with spinal pain across Wales.

Developing a population-scale harmonised ethnicity-spine in Wales.

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed a spotlight on existing and enduring health inequalities experienced by different ethnic groups. There has been a longstanding call to generate and improve the use of ethnicity data available across different data sources, in order to improve our understanding of health risks, behaviours and outcomes.
 We used multiple anonymised individual-level population-scale data sources available within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank to develop a harmonised ethnicity spine for the population of Wales. We documented ethnicity information in multiple longitudinal records from January 2000 onwards. Data sources included: health and social care, birth and mortality records, national census records, specialist clinical audits and registers, surveys and other routine electronic data. To enable multi-source harmonisation, we explored the ethnicity categorisation as well as temporal changes in recording and classifications by obtaining distribution of records for population, which informed our harmonisation algorithm for standardisation of ethnicity records.
 We used over 20-data sources on ~5-million individuals, spanning varying time-periods starting from January 2000 upto a maximum of 22-years. We harmonised available recorded ethnicity values into standardised ethnic classification groups within a national ethnicity-spine. Furthermore, we investigated the impact of different harmonisation methods, including composite, latest date of recording, modal and weighted modal results. With the main focus of the methodological development being in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, when linked to the ~3.1 million individuals alive and resident in Wales from January 2020, we generated harmonised ethnic groups towards ~95% completeness in data coverage for the whole population of Wales. The predominant ethnic group in Wales observed was White, accounting for 89% of the population when using the latest date of recording method.
 This research highlights challenges in using longitudinal ethnicity data across different sources. Further work is needed to understand the basis on which individuals / organisations record ethnicity overtime. We recommend improvements recognising differences between ethnicity and other social constructs (e.g. ancestry, nationality, country of origin) are better documented / understood.

Analysis of disease clusters and patient outcomes in people with multiple long term conditions using hypergraphs.

ObjectivesHaving multiple long term health conditions (MLTCs), also known as multimorbidity, is becoming increasingly common as populations age. Understanding how clusters of diseases are likely to lead to other diseases and the effect of multimorbidity on healthcare resource use (HRU) will be of great importance as this trend continues.
 ApproachGraph-based approaches, also called network analysis in the literature, have been used previously to study multimorbidity. The use of hypergraphs, which are generalisations of graphs where edges can connect to any number of nodes, and their application to the problem of understanding multimorbidity will be discussed. Analysis using hypergraphs was carried out using a population-scale cohort of people in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank to find the diseases and disease sets which are most important based on a measure of prevalence and measures of healthcare resource utilisation in secondary care.
 ResultsThe most important sets of diseases based on the centrality of a hypergraph weighted by a measure of prevalence featured hypertension, and the most important was hypertension and diabetes. The most important sets of diseases based on the centrality of a hypergraph weighted by a measure of unplanned inpatient HRU were arrhythmia, heart failure and hypertension while for a measure of outpatient HRU the most important set of diseases was diabetes and hypertension.
 ConclusionHypergraphs are very flexible and general mathematical objects and there is still a great deal of development that can be done to make them more useful in epidemiological settings and beyond.

Variation in access rates amongst patients groups in Wales for specialist interventions.

ObjectivesThe Welsh Health Specialised Services Committee (WHSSC) has commissioned a study to assess if there is a standard value-based approach to measure and evaluate the effectiveness of specific interventions, and whether variation exists that may indicate differences in the equity of access to these services provided to patients in Wales.
 ApproachUsing anonymised individual-level, population-scale, routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data held within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank, we planned to identify amongst the population of Wales any patients experiencing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI). We would measure associated patient outcomes 2-years before and after the intervention minus a 6-month clearance period on either side by measuring primary care attendances in general practice, and secondary care attendances in hospital, outpatient and emergency department data. To further inform the analysis, linkage to socio-demographic factors, comorbidities and lifestyle factors would be controlled for.
 ResultsPreliminary results identified 5,999 PCIs between June 2014 and March 2020. We were able to identify 1,530 as elective and 4,358 as emergency secondary care procedures. Of the elective PCIs, 184 patients had a greater number of elective hospital days pre-PCI, and 382 patients had a greater number of elective hospital days post-PCI. Of the emergency PCIs, 135 patients had a greater number of emergency hospital days pre-PCI, and 893 patients had a greater number of emergency hospital days post-PCI. For TAVI intervention, we identified 74 elective and 49 emergency procedures. 35 of the elective TAVI had greater hospital days pre-intervention, and 17 of the elective TAVI had greater hospital days post-intervention. Primary care costs slightly rose for PCI and slightly reduced for TAVI.
 ConclusionWe successfully identified interventions and measured and contrasted outcomes before and after the intervention using the SAIL Databank. For PCI, the elective intervention showed a reduced increase in bed days compared to emergency intervention. These initial findings allow us to plan an expanded analysis to examine other intervention types.

Multi-sectoral data linkages to explore associations between the built environment and BMI.

ObjectivesIn Wales almost a quarter of adults and 1 in 8 reception age children are obese. Linked data is a key tool to understanding the role of the built environment on obesity rates and is an important part of developing strategies to combat the obesity epidemic in Wales.
 ApproachWe set out to develop an analytical platform for generating evidence on key aspects of the built environment which impact child and adult obesity including; walkability, fast food availability, green space size and qualities, active transport routes and school environments. Utilising the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank We linked multi-sectoral data including routine health data, cohort data, administrative data and linked Geographic Information Systems generated metrics at household and school level. The platform will inform policy makers with and facilitate a better understanding of associations between a range of social, health and built environment factors.
 ResultsWe have created a range of built environment variables including temporally and age varying walkability indices, viewable greenspace, garden and house size, access to services and parks for 1.5 million households. In the first instance, as part of the BEACHES project, this data has been linked to several health datasets including the Child Measurement Programme (CMP, n=188,800) where initial results have shown that associations between garden size and Body Mass Index in children displays a non-linear negative correlation. We have also created follow-up measures for the CMP using routinely collected general practice data which further enables linking 28,389 height and weight measurements. However, potential bias in these follow-up measures is poorly understood with further work being undertaken to assess usability.
 ConclusionThe integrated multi-sectoral data platform approach to linking environmental, administrative, health and cohort data aims to develop insights on a range of public health issues. We are working with a range of stakeholders to develop evidence-based policy initiatives to reduce obesity in Wales.

A population-level study into health vulnerabilities of mothers and fathers involved in public law care proceedings in Wales, UK.

ObjectivesUnder section 31 (s.31) of the UK Children Act 1989, public law care proceedings can be issued if there is concern a child is subject to, or at risk of significant harm. We examined health vulnerabilities of parents involved in public law care proceedings in the two-year period prior to involvement.
 ApproachOur study created an anonymised individual-level population-based cohort, with a matched comparison group of parents in Wales who were not subject to care proceedings, matched on age, sex and deprivation. Family court data provided by Cafcass Cymru were linked to population-level healthcare records held within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. Demographic characteristics, overall health service use and health profiles of parents of children subject to s.31 care proceedings between 2011 and 2019 were examined.
 ResultsData were available for 8,821 parents involved in care proceedings between 2011 and 2019, with a comparison group of 32,006 parents. Nearly half (47.6%) of cohort parents resided in the most deprived quintile. Higher levels of healthcare use were found for cohort mothers and fathers compared to the comparison group across multiple healthcare settings, with the most pronounced differences for emergency department attendances (59.3% vs 37.0%). Health conditions with the largest variation between groups were related to mental health (43.6% vs 16.0%), substance use (19.4% vs 1.6%) and injuries (41.5% vs 23.6%).
 ConclusionThis study highlights the heightened socioeconomic and health vulnerabilities of parents who experience care proceedings concerning a child. Better understanding of the needs and vulnerabilities of this population may provide opportunities to improve a range of support and preventative interventions that respond to crises in the community.

The Impact of Shielding Policy in Wales.

ObjectivesShielding was introduced as part of the UK government’s response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic to protect Clinically Extremely Vulnerable (CEV) people from infection and serious illness. Various research questions emerged in relation to non-clinical vulnerabilities of those shielding which could be addressed by utilising available health and administrative data.
 ApproachThe Shielded Patient List (SPL) was linked with various datasets on the UK Secure Electronic Research Platform (UKSERP) including the Pupil Level Annual School Census (PLASC), National Survey and Ordnance Survey data for Wales. Some of these were anonymised datasets contained in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) databank. Algorithms were applied to determine household composition and whether private outdoor space was available for the shielding group. Results were then extracted for Wales broken down by local authority.
 ResultsResults from the various strands of research related to shielding will be presented covering provision of outdoor space, household characteristics and composition.
 ConclusionThese analyses demonstrate how population-level data resources can be leveraged quickly to answer newly-emerging policy questions as part of the response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

Clinical and cost-effectiveness of paramedic administered fascia iliaca compartment block for emergency hip fracture (RAPID 2)—protocol for an individually randomised parallel-group trial

BackgroundApproximately 75,000 people fracture a hip each year in the UK. This painful injury can be devastating—with a high associated mortality rate—and survivors likely to be more dependent and less mobile. Pain relief at the scene of injury is known to be inadequate. Intravenous morphine is usually given by paramedics, but opioids are less effective for dynamic pain and can cause serious side effects, including nausea, constipation, delirium and respiratory depression. These may delay surgery, require further treatment and worsen patient outcomes. We completed a feasibility study of paramedic-provided fascia iliaca compartment block (FICB), testing the intervention, trial methods and data collection. The study (RAPID) demonstrated that a full trial was feasible. In this subsequent study, we aim to test safety, clinical and cost-effectiveness of paramedic-provided FICB as pain relief to patients with suspected hip fracture in the prehospital environment.MethodsWe will conduct a pragmatic multi-centre individually randomised parallel-group trial, with a 1:1 allocation between usual care (control) and FICB (intervention). Hospital clinicians in five sites (paired ambulance services and receiving hospitals) in England and Wales will train 220 paramedics to administer FICB. The primary outcome is change in pain score from pre-randomisation to arrival at the emergency department. One thousand four hundred patients are required to find a clinically important difference between trial arms in the primary outcome (standardised statistical effect ~ 0.2; 90% power, 5% significance). We will use NHS Digital (England) and the SAIL (Secure Anonymised Information Linkage) databank (Wales) to follow up patient outcomes using routine anonymised linked data in an efficient study design, and questionnaires to capture patient-reported outcomes at 1 and 4 months. Secondary outcomes include mortality, length of hospital stay, job cycle time, prehospital medications including morphine, presence of hip fracture, satisfaction, mobility, and NHS costs. We will assess safety by monitoring serious adverse events (SAEs).DiscussionThe trial will help to determine whether paramedic administered FICB is a safe, clinically and cost-effective treatment for suspected hip fracture in the pre-hospital setting. Impact will be shown if and when clinical guidelines either recommend or reject the use of FICB in routine practice in this context.Trial registrationISRCTN15831813. Registered on 22 September 2021.

Data resource profile: children looked after administrative records in Wales.

IntroductionChildren who are ‘looked after’ by the State are considered one of the most vulnerable groups in society. Being in State care is associated with poor social, educational and health outcomes. Exploring how to improve the system and better support children in care is key to improving these outcomes. When children and young people come to the attention of children’s social services a significant amount of information about their care experience is routinely collected by local authorities. In Wales, routine data are captured in the ‘Children Looked After’ Census which is submitted annually to the Welsh Government and has recently been shared with the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank.MethodThe aim of this paper is to provide an overview of the main ‘Children Looked After’ Census dataset and its subsets. These datasets contain rich, situational and individual level data on children looked after, such as information on placement types, education and leaving care. We outline the strengths and limitations of the available information and how to access the data.ResultsThe ‘Children Looked After’ Census has recently been made available for research purposes and access to it will enable researchers to explore and understand at population level the journey through the care system and outcomes of leaving care. There is also the opportunity, through the SAIL Databank, for data linkage to health, education and family justice datasets, allowing research to holistically explore other factors associated with being in care.ConclusionThese data provide a rich source of information about children and young people who have been in care in Wales. They offer researchers opportunities to better understand the care system and outcomes for this within it. Findings will have important implications for making improvements in children’s social care policy and practice.

Born into care: Associations between area-level deprivation and the rates of children entering care proceedings in Wales

There is international concern about rising rates of children entering out-of-home care and what might be done to reduce the need for compulsory intervention in family life. Previous studies have analysed the associations with family-level variables, such as a presence ofdomestic abuse, parental mental health problems, andsubstance misuse in the parental household. Other studies have looked at multiple area-deprivation as a predictor of childhood adversity, but there is a dearth of research which disentangle the associations between the rates of children in care and different forms of deprivation. This paper sheds light the statistical associations between different area-deprivation domains and the rates of infants and older children involved in care proceedingsin local authorities in Wales, UK, between 2014 and 2019. Data on family court proceedings in Wales from the Children and Family Court Advisory and Support Service (Cafcass Cymru), held within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank, was linked to information on area-deprivation and incidence rates were computed. Employment deprivation, income, educational and health deprivation are associated with increased incidence rates. Environmental factors such as the physical, housing and access to services domain were not found to be statistically related to the risk of care proceedings. The paper advances knowledge about the wider policy context regarding how to improve the social wellbeing of children in local communities.

Educational achievements of children aged 10-11 years with cystic fibrosis. A data linkage study in Wales.

IntroductionAs people with cystic fibrosis (CF) lead longer, healthier lives, educational qualifications and employment prospects are increasingly important. However, little is known about the social consequences of CF, in particular, any impact on educational achievements and the support children with CF receive in schools.ObjectivesTo assess the educational achievements of children with CF in Wales compared to the general Welsh population, and the additional learning support children with CF receive in schools.MethodsWe conducted a population-scale data linkage study of all children born in Wales using the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. We used anonymised individual-level population-scale health and administrative data sources to identify children with CF born between 2000 – 2015, linked to educational attainment records. We calculated the percentage of children that reached expected levels in statutory assessment at age 10-11, Key Stage 2 (KS2), and compared this to educational outcomes in the general population. We also assessed the percentage of children with CF that received extra learning support.ResultsOut of 150 eligible children, 119 had KS2 results. 77% (95% CI: 69%-84%) of children achieved expected levels in English, 81% (95% CI: 73% -87%) in Mathematics and 82% (95% CI: 75% - 88%) in Science. In the comparable general Welsh population, 83.4% to 91.1% achieved the expected level in English, 84.9% to 91.6% in Maths, and 87.1% to 92.2% in Science across the years of the study. 70% of children with CF received extra learning support.ConclusionsChildren with CF in Wales may have worse educational achievements than the general population. More research is needed to inform policies and interventions to better support children with CF to reach their full educational potential and employment opportunities.

146 Epilepsy, deprivation and mortality in Wales 2005–2017

BackgroundPublic Health England have recently reported that deaths associated with epilepsy are increasing and are associated with increased deprivation. We investigated comparable Welsh mortality trends and associations between epilepsy mortality and deprivation.MethodWe used routinely-collected health data within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. We recorded deaths associated with epilepsy (DAE), epilepsy recorded on death certificates, and deaths in people with epilepsy (DPWE), people with diagnoses of epilepsy and epilepsy prescriptions before death. We compared death rates in different deprivation deciles adjusting for epilepsy prevalence.ResultsDuring 2005–2017 (41million patient-years) there were 2116 DAE and 7821 DPWE. DAE and DPWE increased from 4.3/100,000/yr and 17.2/100,000/yr in 2005–2007 to 5.7/100,000/yr and 20.9/100,000/yr in 2015–2017. The age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) in 2006–2008 for DAE and DPWE were 5.3/100,000/yr and 20/100,000/yr respectively, in 2015–2017 they were 5.8/100,000/yr and 20/100,000/yr. DAE were not significantly associated with deprivation when adjusted for epilepsy prevalence.ConclusionWhen adjusting for age, deaths associated wtih epilepsy and deaths in people with epilepsy did not increase significantly in Wales between 2005–2007 and 2015–2017. The association between dep- rivation and deaths associated with epilepsy appears to be explained by higher epilepsy prevalence in areas of higher deprivation.w.o.pickrell@swansea.ac.uk

Population birth outcomes in 2020 and experiences of expectant mothers during the COVID-19 pandemic: A 'born in Wales' mixed methods study using routine data.

Pregnancy can be a stressful time and the COVID-19 pandemic has affected all aspects of life. This study aims to investigate the pandemic impact on pregnancy experience, rates of primary childhood immunisations and the differences in birth outcomes in during 2020 to those of previous years. Self-reported pregnancy experience: 215 expectant mothers (aged 16+) in Wales completed an online survey about their experiences of pregnancy during the pandemic. The qualitative survey data was analysed using codebook thematic analysis. Population-level birth outcomes in Wales: Stillbirths, prematurity, birth weight and Caesarean section births before (2016-2019) and during (2020) the pandemic were compared using anonymised individual-level, population-scale routine data held in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. Uptake of the first three scheduled primary childhood immunisations were compared between 2019 and 2020. The pandemic had a negative impact on the mental health of 71% of survey respondents, who reported anxiety, stress and loneliness; this was associated with attending scans without their partner, giving birth alone, and minimal contact with midwives. There was no significant difference in annual outcomes including gestation and birth weight, stillbirths, and Caesarean sections for infants born in 2020 compared to 2016-2019. There was an increase in late term births (≥42 weeks gestation) during the first lockdown (OR: 1.28, p = 0.019) and a decrease in moderate to late preterm births (32-36 weeks gestation) during the second lockdown (OR: 0.74, p = 0.001). Fewer babies were born in 2020 (N = 29,031) compared to 2016-2019 (average N = 32,582). All babies received their immunisations in 2020, but there were minor delays in the timings of immunisations. Those due at 8-weeks were 8% less likely to be on time (within 28-days) and at 16-weeks, they were 19% less likely to be on time. Whilst the pandemic had a negative impact on mothers' experiences of pregnancy. Population-level data suggests that this did not translate to adverse birth outcomes for babies born during the pandemic.

Data resource: Children receiving care and support and children in need, administrative records in Wales.

IntroductionIn Wales, the Children in Need (CIN) dataset includes information relating to needs of children and social care support. Before the Social Services and Well-being (Wales) Act 2014 came into force in April 2016, this data collection was named the Children in Need census, changing to Children Receiving Care and Support (CRCS) after this date to reflect better the children eligible for inclusion. This paper describes these datasets, their potential for research and their limitations. We describe data that researchers can access via the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank and exploratory linkages made to health records.MethodsCIN and CRCS data were transferred to the SAIL Databank using a standardised approach to provide de-identified data with Anonymised Linking Fields (ALF) for successfully matched records. The linkage method relies on the use of Unique Pupil Numbers (UPN). As such, no records are currently available for children without a UPN, which includes most under age three. ALFs enabled linkage to individual-level health data within SAIL. Health service use was compared to non-CIN/CRCS populations.ResultsCRCS data held within the SAIL Databank comprises 25,972 records, 81% of the total number of records reported by the Welsh Government. The CIN data contains 108,449 records, 79% of the Welsh Government’s records for this data collection. Health service use of children in need, and children receiving care and support, was roughly equal to that of the non-CIN/CRCS population, except GP visits, where children in need had fewer consultations, and children receiving care and support had more consultations than the comparison population.ConclusionResearchers can access Welsh CIN and CRCS datasets through the SAIL Databank, enabling research opportunities. Work is ongoing to improve records and to understand better the health and health service use among children captured by CIN and CRCS censuses.

Real-world use of an etanercept biosimilar including selective versus automatic substitution in inflammatory arthritis patients: a UK-based electronic health records study.

ObjectiveBiosimilars are approved as an alternative treatment to their originators. We compared the clinical outcomes of etanercept (ETN) biosimilar compared with ETN originator in real-world practice, from two local health boards in Wales with different policies on switching: automatic vs selective.MethodsData from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) databank in Wales were used to create a retrospective cohort study using linked primary and secondary care data. Patients aged ≥18 years with diagnosis codes for RA, PsA or AS were included. Outcomes included treatment failure and DAS-28 score (for RA). The local health board with a policy of automatic switching (i.e. clinician/nurse involvement not mandated) is labelled as automatic switch area, and the other, which required clinician/nurse supervision, as selective switch.ResultsOf 8925 individuals with inflammatory arthritis, 13.3% (365) received ETN biosimilar and 31.5% (863) ETN originator. The treatment discontinuation rate was similar for ETN biosimilar and originator by Kaplan–Meier analysis. More biosimilar failure patients were treated in the automatic switch area (15 vs 4.8%). In the automatic switch area, 28.8% (75 of 260) of patients switched automatically from ETN originator to biosimilar compared with 10.5% (11 of 105) in the selective switch area. ETN biosimilar reduced DAS-28 by 1.6 ± 1.8 in the selective switch area vs 0.4 ± 0.6 in the automatic switch area.ConclusionThe ETN biosimilar was well tolerated. Fewer people were switched using selective policy, but this was associated with lower failure rates. Automatic switch policy led to more patients being switched and did not lead to significant worsening of disease.

FC079: The Race-Free EGFR Equation, The Kidney Failure Risk Equation and Referrals to Specialist Renal Clinics

Abstract BACKGROUND AND AIMS The new race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was developed in 2021. Recently in the UK in keeping with similar initiatives elsewhere, the kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) to predict the risk of kidney failure has been incorporated into clinical guidelines. Referral from primary care to a specialist renal clinic is recommended if eGFR falls to < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or if the 5-year KFRE is greater than 5%. We investigate the impact of using the race-free eGFR equation and KFRE on CKD diagnosis in primary care and potential referrals to the renal clinic. METHOD Primary care records for 79% of the population of Wales (UK) are held in the electronic health records repository Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank (SAIL). We studied serum creatinine values and urine albumin-creatinine ratios (uACRs) from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2020. We calculated eGFR values using three equations: MDRD, CKD-EPI 2009 and (race-free) CKD-EPI 2021. Using the different equations, we compared the numbers of patients with incident eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and incident eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 (i.e. their eGFR fell from above to below these values for more than 3 months). For each year from 2013 to 2020, we identified the patients with prevalent eGFR 30–60 mL/min/1.73 m2 those with annual uACR testing and those who met referral criteria by A) eGFR decline and B) KFRE without eGFR decline. RESULTS There were 121 471 patients with prevalent CKD between 2013 and 2020. eGFR values were lowest using the MDRD equation (median 47.1 mL/min/1.73 m2 IQI 39.7–51.9) and highest with the CKD-EPI 2021 equation (median 50.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 IQI 41.6–55.3). Changing between these two equations would have led to a 17.6% reduction in incident eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and a 7.5% reduction in incident eGFR < 30 between 2013 and 2020 (Figure 1). The rate of annual uACR testing fell from 46.3% in 2013 to 25.3% in 2019 (Figure 2). eGFR and uACR testing were reduced further in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Patients without diabetes and older patients were the least likely to have had uACR testing at any time: for example, amongst those aged 60–70 years, 90.0% of those with diabetes had uACR testing at any time compared to 42.7% of those without diabetes; amongst those aged over 80 years, 79.1% of those with diabetes were tested compared to 32.7% of those without diabetes. In 2019 (the last year before the COVID-19 pandemic), 787/61 721 (1.3%) patients with CKD stage 3 met referral criteria by eGFR decline and an additional 587 (1.0%) by KFRE without eGFR decline. CONCLUSION Using the race-free eGFR equation will reduce diagnoses of incident eGFR < 30 warranting referral to specialist renal clinics. KFRE can be used to identify a significant number of patients at heightened risk of kidney failure, and these numbers may be higher if more uACR testing was performed. Annual uACR testing rates are low, especially in those without diabetes and in older adults. eGFR and uACR testing were markedly reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 as most routine disease monitoring stopped. Expanding uACR testing in primary care (particularly in those without diabetes and in older adults) and using KFRE may improve the identification of individuals at risk of progressive kidney disease, but this is challenging during the COVID-19 pandemic.

FC079: The Race-Free EGFR Equation, The Kidney Failure Risk Equation and Referrals to Specialist Renal Clinics

BACKGROUND AND AIMSThe new race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was developed in 2021. Recently in the UK in keeping with similar initiatives elsewhere, the kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) to predict the risk of kidney failure has been incorporated into clinical guidelines. Referral from primary care to a specialist renal clinic is recommended if eGFR falls to < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or if the 5-year KFRE is greater than 5%. We investigate the impact of using the race-free eGFR equation and KFRE on CKD diagnosis in primary care and potential referrals to the renal clinic.METHODPrimary care records for 79% of the population of Wales (UK) are held in the electronic health records repository Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank (SAIL). We studied serum creatinine values and urine albumin-creatinine ratios (uACRs) from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2020. We calculated eGFR values using three equations: MDRD, CKD-EPI 2009 and (race-free) CKD-EPI 2021. Using the different equations, we compared the numbers of patients with incident eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and incident eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 (i.e. their eGFR fell from above to below these values for more than 3 months). For each year from 2013 to 2020, we identified the patients with prevalent eGFR 30–60 mL/min/1.73 m2 those with annual uACR testing and those who met referral criteria by A) eGFR decline and B) KFRE without eGFR decline.RESULTSThere were 121 471 patients with prevalent CKD between 2013 and 2020. eGFR values were lowest using the MDRD equation (median 47.1 mL/min/1.73 m2 IQI 39.7–51.9) and highest with the CKD-EPI 2021 equation (median 50.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 IQI 41.6–55.3). Changing between these two equations would have led to a 17.6% reduction in incident eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and a 7.5% reduction in incident eGFR < 30 between 2013 and 2020 (Figure 1). The rate of annual uACR testing fell from 46.3% in 2013 to 25.3% in 2019 (Figure 2). eGFR and uACR testing were reduced further in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Patients without diabetes and older patients were the least likely to have had uACR testing at any time: for example, amongst those aged 60–70 years, 90.0% of those with diabetes had uACR testing at any time compared to 42.7% of those without diabetes; amongst those aged over 80 years, 79.1% of those with diabetes were tested compared to 32.7% of those without diabetes. In 2019 (the last year before the COVID-19 pandemic), 787/61 721 (1.3%) patients with CKD stage 3 met referral criteria by eGFR decline and an additional 587 (1.0%) by KFRE without eGFR decline.CONCLUSIONUsing the race-free eGFR equation will reduce diagnoses of incident eGFR < 30 warranting referral to specialist renal clinics. KFRE can be used to identify a significant number of patients at heightened risk of kidney failure, and these numbers may be higher if more uACR testing was performed. Annual uACR testing rates are low, especially in those without diabetes and in older adults. eGFR and uACR testing were markedly reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 as most routine disease monitoring stopped. Expanding uACR testing in primary care (particularly in those without diabetes and in older adults) and using KFRE may improve the identification of individuals at risk of progressive kidney disease, but this is challenging during the COVID-19 pandemic.FIGURE 1:Incident CKD 2013–2020.FIGURE 1:CKD stage 3 monitoring and potential renal clinic referrals by year.

COVID-19 risk factors amongst 14,786 care home residents: an observational longitudinal analysis including daily community positive test rates of COVID-19, hospital stays and vaccination status in Wales (UK) between 1 September 2020 and 1 May 2021.

BackgroundCOVID-19 vaccinations have been prioritised for high risk individuals.AimDetermine individual-level risk factors for care home residents testing positive for SARS-CoV-2.Study designLongitudinal observational cohort study using individual-level linked data from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) databank.SettingFourteen thousand seven hundred and eighty-six older care home residents (aged 65+) living in Wales between 1 September 2020 and 1 May 2021. Our dataset consisted of 2,613,341 individual-level daily observations within 697 care homes.MethodsWe estimated odds ratios (ORs [95% confidence interval]) using multilevel logistic regression models. Our outcome of interest was a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test. We included time-dependent covariates for the estimated community positive test rate of COVID-19, hospital inpatient status, vaccination status and frailty. Additional covariates were included for age, sex and specialist care home services.ResultsThe multivariable regression model indicated an increase in age (OR 1.01 [1.00,1.01] per year), community positive test rate (OR 1.13 [1.12,1.13] per percent increase), hospital inpatients (OR 7.40 [6.54,8.36]), and residents in care homes with non-specialist dementia care (OR 1.42 [1.01,1.99]) had an increased odds of a positive test. Having a positive test prior to the observation period (OR 0.58 [0.49,0.68]) and either one or two doses of a vaccine (0.21 [0.17,0.25] and 0.05 [0.02,0.09], respectively) were associated with a decreased odds.ConclusionsCare providers need to remain vigilant despite the vaccination rollout, and extra precautions should be taken when caring for the most vulnerable. Minimising potential COVID-19 infection for care home residents when admitted to hospital should be prioritised.

A population level study into health vulnerabilities of mothers and fathers involved in public law care proceedings in Wales, UK between 2011 and 2019

IntroductionUnder section 31 of the Children Act 1989, public law care proceedings can be issued if there is concern a child is subject to, or at risk of significant harm, which can lead to removal of a child from parents. Appropriate and effective health and social support are required to potentially prevent some of the need for these proceedings. More comprehensive evidence of the health needs and vulnerabilities of parents will enable enhanced response from family courts and integrated other services. ObjectiveTo examine health vulnerabilities of parents involved in care proceedings in the two-year period prior to involvement. MethodsFamily court data provided by Cafcass Cymru were linked to population-based health records held within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank. Linked data were available for 8,821 parents of children involved in care proceedings between 2011 and 2019. Findings were benchmarked with reference to a comparison group of parents matched on sex, age, and deprivation (n = 32,006), not subject to care proceedings. Demographic characteristics, overall health service use, and health profiles of parents were examined. Descriptive and statistical tests of independence were used. ResultsNearly half of cohort parents (47.6%) resided in the most deprived quintile. They had higher levels of healthcare use compared to the comparison group across multiple healthcare settings, with the most pronounced differences for emergency department attendances (59.3% vs 37.0%). Health conditions with the largest variation between groups were related to mental health (43.6% vs 16.0%), substance use (19.4% vs 1.6%) and injuries (41.5% vs 23.6%). ConclusionThis study highlights the heightened socioeconomic and health vulnerabilities of parents who experience care proceedings concerning a child. Better understanding of the needs and vulnerabilities of this population may provide opportunities to improve a range of support and preventative interventions that respond to crises in the community.