Seattle Basin Research Articles

The 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Subduction ground-motion models

The US Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Models (NSHMs) are used to calculate earthquake ground-shaking intensities for design and rehabilitation of structures in the United States. The most recent 2014 and 2018 versions of the NSHM for the conterminous United States included major updates to ground-motion models (GMMs) for active and stable crustal tectonic settings; however, the subduction zone GMMs were largely unchanged. With the recent development of the next generation attenuation-subduction (NGA-Sub) GMMs, and recent progress in the utilization of “M9” Cascadia earthquake simulations, we now have access to improved models of ground shaking in the US subduction zones and the Seattle basin. The new NGA-Sub GMMs support multi-period response spectra calculations. They provide global models and regional terms specific to Cascadia and terms that account for deep-basin effects. This article focuses on the updates to subduction GMMs for implementation in the 2023 NSHM and compares them to the GMMs of previous NSHMs. Individual subduction GMMs, their weighted averages, and their impact on the estimated mean hazard relative to the 2018 NSHM are discussed. The updated logic trees include three of the new NGA-Sub GMMs and retain two older models to represent epistemic uncertainty in both the median and standard deviation of ground-shaking intensities at all periods of interest. Epistemic uncertainty is further represented by a three-point logic tree for the NGA-Sub median models. Finally, in the Seattle region, basin amplification factors are adjusted at long periods based on the state-of-the-art M9 Cascadia earthquake simulations. The new models increase the estimated mean hazard values at short periods and short source-to-site distances for interface earthquakes, but decrease them otherwise, relative to the 2018 NSHM. On softer soils, the new models cause decreases to the estimated mean hazard for long periods in the Puget Lowlands basin but increases within the deep Seattle portion of this basin for short periods relative to the 2018 NSHM.

The 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground-motion characterization for the conterminous United States

We update the ground-motion characterization for the 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States. The update includes the use of new ground-motion models (GMMs) in the Cascadia subduction zone; an adjustment to the central and eastern United States (CEUS) GMMs to reduce misfits with observed data; an updated boundary for the application of GMMs for shallow, crustal earthquakes in active tectonic regions (i.e. western United States (WUS)) and stable continental regions (i.e. CEUS); and the use of improved models for the site response of deep sedimentary basins in the WUS and CEUS. Site response updates include basin models for the California Great Valley and for the Portland and Tualatin basins, Oregon, as well as long-period basin effects from three-dimensional simulations in the Greater Los Angeles region and in the Seattle basin; in the CEUS, we introduce a broadband (0.01- to 10-s period) amplification model for the effects of the passive-margin basins of the Atlantic and Gulf Coastal Plains. In addition, we summarize progress on implementing rupture directivity models into seismic hazard models, although they are not incorporated in the 2023 NSHM. We implement the ground-motion characterization for the 2023 NSHM in the US Geological Survey’s code for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, nshmp-haz-v2, and present the sensitivity of hazard to these changes. Hazard calculations indicate widespread effects from adjustments to the CEUS GMMs, from the incorporation of Coastal Plain amplification effects, and from the treatment of shallow-basin and out-of-basin sites in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles region, as well as locally important changes from subduction-zone GMMs, and from updated and new WUS basins.

Basin and Site Effects in the U.S. Pacific Northwest Estimated from Small-Magnitude Earthquakes

ABSTRACTEarthquake hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest (PNW) are increased by the presence of deep sedimentary basins that amplify and prolong ground shaking. To better understand basin and site effects on ground motions, we compile a database of recordings from crustal and intraslab earthquakes. We process 8028 records with magnitudes from 3.5 to 6.8 and hypocentral depths up to 62 km to compute Fourier amplitude spectra of ground acceleration for frequencies of 0–20 Hz. We compute residuals relative to the Bayless and Abrahamson (2019; hereafter, BA18) ground-motion model and perform a series of linear, crossed, mixed-effects regressions. In addition to estimating the bias, event, and site terms, we incorporate groupings for broad regionalized site response in three different regions (Seattle basin, Puget Lowland, non-Puget Lowland), for effects from seismotectonic regime (crustal and intraslab sources), and for interactions between the regions and seismotectonic regimes. We find that the scaling of site response with respect to VS30 (time-averaged shear-wave velocity from the surface to a depth of 30 m) and to basin depth indicators Z1.0 and Z2.5 (depths to the 1.0 and 2.5 km/s shear-wave velocity horizons) is generally consistent with BA18; however, the region terms display strong spatial amplification patterns. For frequencies less than 5 Hz, the Seattle basin amplifies ground motions up to a factor of four, relative to the non-Puget Lowland, with a maximum amplification around near 0.5 Hz. Sites in the Puget Lowland amplify low frequencies up to a factor of 2.5. At higher frequencies (f>5 Hz), the Puget Lowland and Seattle basin show regional deamplification of ground motions, with the smallest average amplification factor of 0.65 occurring at 10.0 Hz. Although we observe slight differences in the seismotectonic regime terms, we find that the region terms are significantly more important for modeling earthquake hazard in the PNW.

Collapse risk of pre-Northridge tall steel moment-resisting frames in the Seattle basin during large-magnitude subduction earthquakes

The Pacific Northwest has the potential to experience large-magnitude earthquakes generated by the Cascadia Subduction Zone, which is located approximately 100 km from the city of Seattle. Tall buildings in Seattle are particularly vulnerable to these earthquakes because the city lies above a deep sedimentary basin, which can amplify the intensity of earthquake ground motions at long periods. This paper evaluates the response of an archetype 1970s 50-story steel moment-resisting frame office building in Seattle under 30 simulated scenarios of a magnitude-9 (M9) Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake with explicit consideration of basin effects. The archetype is assumed to have fracture-prone welded connections consistent with those identified following the 1994 Northridge earthquake. The probability of collapse conditioned on the occurrence of the M9 scenarios, which have a return period of approximately 500 years, is 30%. The annualized collapse risk of the archetype building is also assessed considering all sources (i.e., crustral, intraslab and interface earthquakes) that contribute to the seismic hazard through a multiple stripe analysis procedure. The results indicate a 50-year collapse risk of 6.9% when basin effects are neglected and 10.5% when basin effects are considered. These results exceed the 1% in 50-year target implicit in modern seismic design standards by a factor of 10. These high collapse risks are largely driven by (i) deep sedimentary basin effects and (ii) the expected brittle behavior of fracture-prone welded beam-to-column connections. The simulations of the performance of the building under the M9 scenarios outside of the basin or with ductile beam-to-column connections result in a negligible probability of collapse.

Structure and QP–QS Relations in the Seattle and Tualatin Basins from Converted Seismic Phases

ABSTRACTWe use converted body-wave phases from local earthquakes to constrain depth to basement and average attenuation relations for the Seattle basin in Washington and the Tualatin basin in Oregon. P-, P-to-S-(Ps), S-to-P-(Sp), and S-wave arrivals are present in three-component recordings of magnitude 2.5–4.0 earthquakes at seismic stations located in these basins. Based on their relative travel times, these phases are attributed to body-wave conversions at the basement-to-basin contact or to high-impedance interfaces within the basins. Depth to basement values are calculated using the differential travel times between direct and converted phases, as well as average P- and S-wave velocity values. We also identify a high-impedance layer in the Tualatin basin that likely represents a laterally extensive deposit of volcanic materials embedded between the basement contact and the Columbia River Basalt Group. In addition, the average QP–QS attenuation relation is calculated for each station by taking the spectral ratio of converted phases to their parent body-wave arrivals. For the Seattle basin, our analysis yields an average QP value of 73 and an average QS value of 60 for seismic waves with frequencies between 2 and 25 Hz. In the Tualatin basin, a much reduced QP–QS relation suggests that average body-wave attenuation is likely higher than in the Seattle basin. The converted phase techniques presented here provide a reliable way to develop estimates of basin depth and attenuation structure for undercharacterized regions using simple passive source seismic records.

Late Middle Miocene Emergence of the Olympic Peninsula Shown by Sedimentary Provenance

AbstractThe Olympic Peninsula is the uplifted portion of the Cascadia accretionary wedge and forms the core of a 200 km scale oroclinal bend on the west coast of Washington State. The accretionary wedge started forming 45 million years ago following the accretion of the Siletzia igneous province along the Cascadia subduction margin. Low-temperature thermochronology studies have shown that the core of the peninsula has been continuously exhumed for the last 14 million years. The earlier onset of oroclinal bending, uplift, and emergence remains poorly documented. Here, we explore the Cenozoic drainage history of the Cascadia forearc and accretionary wedge to reconstruct the deformation history of the Olympic Peninsula. We use detrital zircon provenance and grain petrography data from modern rivers draining the Cascades, the Cascadia forearc and accretionary wedge, as well as from Eocene to late middle Miocene sedimentary units from the same areas. We first show a clear difference of sedimentary provenance between sedimentary units in the accretionary wedge, with older units reflecting mélange and imbricated strata that began as part of Siletzia, and younger units reflecting trench-fill material sourced from the Cascades and accreted to the wedge. We show that the accretionary wedge was directly fed from the Cascade arc until at least 16.5±0.5 Ma, providing a maximum age for the emergence of the Olympic Peninsula. Fluvial deposits in the Cascadia forearc basin dated at 13.3±1.3 Ma display zircon age spectra and sedimentary grain petrography features typical of recycled accretionary wedge material. Although these deposits may also reflect local input, middle Miocene exhumation rates suggest the Olympic Peninsula was an active sediment source. Our results bracket the timing of emergence of the Olympic Peninsula to a narrow window in the late middle Miocene. We suggest that the initial onset of accretionary wedge deformation and oroclinal bending predates this by at least 10 million years, in the upper Oligocene, and is marked by flexural subsidence and high sedimentation rates recorded in strata of the Seattle Basin. Our results support a composite history for the development of the Cascadia accretionary wedge rather than models predicting a gradual and steady build-up.

Basin Amplification Effects in the Puget Lowland, Washington, from Strong-Motion Recordings and 3D Simulations

ABSTRACTSedimentary basins in the Puget Sound region, Washington State, increase ground-motion intensity and duration of shaking during local earthquakes. We analyze Pacific Northwest Seismic Network and U.S. Geological Survey strong-motion recordings of five local earthquakes (M 3.9–6.8), including the 2001 Nisqually earthquake, to characterize sedimentary basin effects within the Seattle and Tacoma basins. We observe basin-edge generated surface waves at sites within the Seattle basin for most ray paths that cross the Seattle fault zone. We also note previously undocumented basin-edge surface waves in the Tacoma basin during one of the local earthquakes. To place quantitative constraints on basin amplification, we determine amplification factors by computing the spectral ratios of inside-basin sites to outside-basin sites at 1, 2, 3, and 5 s periods. Ground shaking is amplified in the Seattle basin for all the earthquakes analyzed and for a subset of events in the Tacoma basin. We find that the largest amplification factors in the Seattle basin are produced by a shallow earthquake located to the southwest of the basin. Our observation suggests that future shallow crustal and megathrust earthquakes rupturing west of the Puget Lowland will produce greater amplification within the Seattle basin than has been seen for intraslab events. We also perform ground-motion simulations using a finite-difference method to validate a 3D Cascadia velocity model (CVM) by comparing properties of observed and synthetic waveforms up to a frequency of 1 Hz. Basin-edge effects are well reproduced in the Seattle basin, but are less well resolved in the Tacoma basin. Continued study of basin effects in the Tacoma basin would improve the CVM.

Impacts of an M9 Cascadia Subduction Zone Earthquake and Seattle Basin on Performance of RC Core Wall Buildings

AbstractThe performance of tall reinforced concrete core building archetypes in Seattle, Washington, was evaluated for 30 simulated scenarios of a magnitude 9 (M9) Cascadia subduction zone interfac...

Shear‐Wave Velocity in the Seattle Basin to 2 km Depth Characterized with the krSPAC Microtremor Array Method: Insights for Urban Basin‐Scale Imaging

Shear‐Wave Velocity in the Seattle Basin to 2 km Depth Characterized with the krSPAC Microtremor Array Method: Insights for Urban Basin‐Scale Imaging

Seismic performance of special concentrically braced frames in deep basins during subduction-zone earthquakes

Deep sedimentary basins are known to increase the intensity of ground motions, but this effect is not explicitly considered in the seismic design values used in the U.S. building codes. In the Pacific Northwest, the basin amplification of ground motions from subduction zone interface earthquakes is particularly important, because such earthquakes contribute significantly to the seismic hazard at natural periods for which basin amplification is high. Additionally, interface earthquakes have long durations, the effects of which are also not considered in building codes. Research into seismicity of these regions has been plentiful but few studies have evaluated the impact on the built environment. Using advanced nonlinear modeling approaches, a commonly used system, special concentrically braced frames, was studied with an eye towards comparing the performance of crustal and subduction-zone earthquakes. Using standard performance and collapse-assessment procedures, 3-, 9-, and 20-story SCBF archetypes were subjected to large-magnitude interface earthquakes recorded in basins in Japan; these motions were selected because they were recorded in locations with similar depths as the Seattle basin. The results demonstrate that deep basins in combination with the long ground-motion duration results in brace fracture at lower spectral accelerations, Sa. Similarly, collapse is associated with lower values of Sa. The results suggest that the strength of the archetypes inside deep basins and subjected to interface earthquakes would need to be increased by a factor of over 2.0 to ensure similar collapse probabilities as those located outside basins and/or subjected to crustal earthquake hazards. The results are similar to those obtained for other seismic resisting systems previously studied.

Thermal State, Slab Metamorphism, and Interface Seismicity in the Cascadia Subduction Zone Based On 3‐D Modeling

AbstractGiant earthquakes have repeatedly ruptured the Cascadia subduction zone, and similar earthquakes will likely also occur there in the near future. We employ a 3‐D time‐dependent thermomechanical model that incorporates an up‐to‐date description of the slab geometry to study the Cascadia subduction thrust. Results show a distinct band of 3‐D slab dehydration that extends from Vancouver Island to the Seattle Basin and farther southward to the Klamath Mountains in northern California, where episodic tremors cluster. This distribution appears to include a region of increased dehydration in northern Cascadia. The phenomenon of heterogeneous megathrust seismicity associated with oblique subduction suggests that the presence of fluid‐rich interfaces generated by slab dehydration favors megathrust seismogenesis in the northern part of this zone. The thin, relatively weakly metamorphosed Explorer, Juan de Fuca, and Gorda Plates are associated with an anomalous lack of thrust earthquakes, and metamorphism that occurs at temperatures of 500–700°C near the Moho discontinuity may represent a key factor in explaining the presence of the associated episodic tremor and slip (ETS), which requires a young oceanic plate to subduct at a small dip angle, as is the case in Cascadia and southwestern Japan. The 3‐D intraslab dehydration distribution suggests that the metamorphosed plate environment is more complex than had previously been believed, despite the existence of channeling vein networks. Slab amphibolization and eclogitization near the continental Moho depth is thus inferred to account for the resultant overpressurization at the interface, facilitating the generation of ETS and the occurrence of small to medium thrust earthquakes beneath Cascadia.

Modeling the Effects of Source and Path Heterogeneity on Ground Motions of Great Earthquakes on the Cascadia Subduction Zone Using 3D Simulations

Abstract We ran finite‐difference earthquake simulations for great subduction zone earthquakes in Cascadia to model the effects of source and path heterogeneity for the purpose of improving strong‐motion predictions. We developed a rupture model for large subduction zone earthquakes based on a k −2 slip spectrum and scale‐dependent rise times by representing the slip distribution as the sum of normal modes of a vibrating membrane. Finite source and path effects were important in determining the distribution of strong motions through the locations of the hypocenter, subevents, and crustal structures like sedimentary basins. Some regions in Cascadia appear to be at greater risk than others during an event due to the geometry of the Cascadia fault zone relative to the coast and populated regions. The southern Oregon coast appears to have increased risk because it is closer to the locked zone of the Cascadia fault than other coastal areas and is also in the path of directivity amplification from any rupture propagating north to south in that part of the subduction zone, and the basins in the Puget Sound area are efficiently amplified by both north and south propagating ruptures off the coast of western Washington. We find that the median spectral accelerations at 5 s period from the simulations are similar to that of the Zhao et al. (2006) ground‐motion prediction equation, although our simulations predict higher amplitudes near the region of greatest slip and in the sedimentary basins, such as the Seattle basin.

Western limits of the Seattle fault zone and its interaction with the Olympic Peninsula, Washington

We present evidence that the Seattle fault zone of Washington State extends to the west edge of the Puget Lowland and is kinematically linked to active faults that border the Olympic Massif, including the Saddle Mountain deformation zone. Newly acquired high-resolution seismic reflection and marine magnetic data suggest that the Seattle fault zone extends west beyond the Seattle Basin to form a >100-km-long active fault zone. We provide evidence for a strain transfer zone, expressed as a broad set of faults and folds connecting the Seattle and Saddle Mountain deformation zones near Hood Canal. This connection provides an explanation for the apparent synchroneity of M7 earthquakes on the two fault systems ∼1100 yr ago. We redefine the boundary of the Tacoma Basin to include the previously termed Dewatto basin and show that the Tacoma fault, the southern part of which is a backthrust of the Seattle fault zone, links with a previously unidentified fault along the western margin of the Seattle uplift. We model this north-south fault, termed the Dewatto fault, along the western margin of the Seattle uplift as a low-angle thrust that initiated with exhumation of the Olympic Massif and today accommodates north-directed motion. The Tacoma and Dewatto faults likely control both the southern and western boundaries of the Seattle uplift. The inferred strain transfer zone linking the Seattle fault zone and Saddle Mountain deformation zone defines the northern margin of the Tacoma Basin, and the Saddle Mountain deformation zone forms the northwestern boundary of the Tacoma Basin. Our observations and model suggest that the western portions of the Seattle fault zone and Tacoma fault are complex, require temporal variations in principal strain directions, and cannot be modeled as a simple thrust and/or backthrust system.

Oblique fault systems crossing the Seattle Basin: Geophysical evidence for additional shallow fault systems in the central Puget Lowland

Upper plate seismicity in the Puget Lowland is more broadly distributed than mapped fault systems and presents a conundrum for understanding the active tectonics of the region. Although many previous studies have mapped faulting in the Puget Lowland from subsurface geophysical data, many of these efforts have focused specifically on mapping the structure of the Seattle Fault Zone and the South Whidbey Island Fault. The thick glacial sediments and extensive water bodies may conceal additional active faults away from these major structures. We map fault networks in Quaternary sediments broadly throughout the central Puget Lowland using existing marine multichannel seismic reflection data sets with widely distributed profiles to extend the results of previous work. We identify a NE‐SW zone of recent high‐angle faulting and shallow sediment deformation crossing the Seattle Uplift and the Seattle Basin that segments the Seattle Fault Zone and is distinct from previously mapped fault systems. Faults in this zone cut or deform sediments at the seafloor, and the zone trends across the central Puget Lowland at an oblique angle to major regional structures. Two additional zones of faulting trend NW‐SE and cut through the Seattle Basin and the Kingston Arch, respectively. Aeromagnetic lineations extend the NE‐SW trend of deformation across the Seattle Uplift and connect deformation of shallow sediment in the Puget Sound with deformation of shallow sediment in the Hood Canal. These oblique fault structures may partially control the wide distribution of seismicity within the central Puget Lowland and should be considered in seismic hazard assessments.

Basin Shear-Wave Velocities beneath Seattle, Washington, from Noise-Correlation Rayleigh Waves

Tomography with short-period Rayleigh waves, extracted using noise interferometry, can refine S -wave velocity ( V S ) models in urban areas with dense arrays of short-period and broadband instruments. We apply this technique to the Seattle area to develop a new shallow V S model for use in seismic-hazard assessment. Continuous data from the Seismic Hazards in Puget Sound (SHIPS) array and local broadband stations have interstation distances of 90 km or less. This spacing allows us to extract Rayleigh waves with periods between 2 and 10 s that are sensitive to shallow-basin structure. This new V S model for the Seattle basin is constructed using direct observations rather than using P -wave velocity ( V P ) observations and a V P / V S ratio as all previous 3D models at this scale have been constructed. Our results reveal greater detail in the upper 3.5 km than previous models. Earthquake simulations calculated using our new model better predict peak ground velocities (PGV) at periods between 1 and 2 s for two local earthquakes than the previous model used to calculate Seattle’s seismic-hazard map (Frankel et al. , 2007). We collected data from two local earthquakes and ran finite-difference simulations using our new velocity model as well as the previous velocity model used in development of the Seattle seismic-hazard maps to assess how well our model predicts ground motions relative to the previous model. With a recent deployment of Netquakes strong-motion stations by the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network (PNSN) and the U.S. Geological Survey, we are now able to make more comprehensive assessments of the predictions for recent events.

Sedimentary Basin Effects in Seattle, Washington: Ground-Motion Observations and 3D Simulations

Seismograms of local earthquakes recorded in Seattle exhibit surface waves in the Seattle basin and basin-edge focusing of S waves. Spectral ratios of S waves and later arrivals at 1 Hz for stiff-soil sites in the Seattle basin show a dependence on the direction to the earthquake, with earthquakes to the south and southwest producing higher average amplification. Earthquakes to the southwest typically produce larger basin surface waves relative to S waves than earthquakes to the north and northwest, probably because of the velocity contrast across the Seattle fault along the southern margin of the Seattle basin. S to P conversions are observed for some events and are likely converted at the bottom of the Seattle basin. We model five earthquakes, including the M 6.8 Nisqually earthquake, using 3D finite-difference simulations accurate up to 1 Hz. The simulations reproduce the observed dependence of amplification on the direction to the earthquake. The simulations generally match the timing and character of basin surface waves observed for many events. The 3D simulation for the Nisqually earthquake produces focusing of S waves along the southern margin of the Seattle basin near the area in west Seattle that experienced increased chimney damage from the earthquake, similar to the results of the higher-frequency 2D simulation reported by Stephenson et al. (2006). Waveforms from the 3D simulations show reasonable agreement with the data at low frequencies (0.2–0.4 Hz) for the Nisqually earthquake and an M 4.8 deep earthquake west of Seattle.

Structure of the Eastern Seattle Fault Zone, Washington State: New Insights from Seismic Reflection Data

We identify and characterize the active Seattle fault zone (SFZ) east of Lake Washington with newly acquired seismic reflection data. Our results focus on structures observed in the upper 1 km below the cities of Bellevue, Sammamish, Newcastle, and Fall City, Washington. The SFZ appears as a broad zone of faulting and folding at the southern boundary of the Seattle basin and north edge of the Seattle uplift. We interpret the Seattle fault as a thrust fault that accommodates north–south shortening by forming a fault-propagation fold with a forelimb breakthrough. The blind tip of the main fault forms a synclinal growth fold (deformation front) that extends at least 8 km east of Vasa Park (west side of Lake Sammamish) and defines the south edge of the Seattle basin. South of the deformation front is the forelimb breakthrough fault, which was exposed in a trench at Vasa Park. The Newcastle Hills anticline, a broad anticline forming the north part of the Seattle uplift east of Lake Washington, is interpreted to lie between the main blind strand of the Seattle fault and a backthrust. Our profiles, on the northern limb of this anticline, consistently image north-dipping strata. A structural model for the SFZ east of Lake Washington is consistent with about 8 km of slip on the upper part of the Seattle fault, but the amount of motion is only loosely constrained.

Seismic Amplification within the Seattle Basin, Washington State: Insights from SHIPS Seismic Tomography Experiments

Recent observations indicate that the Seattle sedimentary basin, under- lying Seattle and other urban centers in the Puget Lowland, Washington, amplifies long-period (1-5 sec) weak ground motions by factors of 10 or more. We computed east-trending P- and S-wave velocity models across the Seattle basin from Seismic Hazard Investigations of Puget Sound (SHIPS) experiments to better characterize the seismic hazard the basin poses. The 3D tomographic models, which resolve features to a depth of 10 km, for the first time define the P- and S-wave velocity structure of the eastern end of the basin. The basin, which contains sedimentary rocks of Eocene to Holocene, is broadly symmetric in east-west section and reaches a maximum thickness of 6 km along our profile beneath north Seattle. A comparison of our velocity model with coincident amplification curves for weak ground motions pro- duced by the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake suggests that the distribution of Quaternary deposits and reduced velocity gradients in the upper part of the basement east of Seattle have significance in forecasting variations in seismic-wave amplification across the basin. Specifically, eastward increases in the amplification of 0.2- to 5-Hz energy correlate with locally thicker unconsolidated deposits and a change from Crescent Formation basement to pre-Tertiary Cascadia basement. These models de- fine the extent of the Seattle basin, the Seattle fault, and the geometry of the basement contact, giving insight into the tectonic evolution of the Seattle basin and its influence on ground shaking.

Long-Period Effects of the Denali Earthquake on Water Bodies in the Puget Lowland: Observations and Modeling

Analysis of strong-motion instrument recordings in Seattle, Washington, resulting from the 2002 M w 7.9 Denali, Alaska, earthquake reveals that amplification in the 0.2- to 1.0-Hz frequency band is largely governed by the shallow sediments both inside and outside the sedimentary basins beneath the Puget Lowland. Sites above the deep sedimentary strata show additional seismic-wave amplification in the 0.04- to 0.2-Hz frequency range. Surface waves generated by the M w 7.9 Denali, Alaska, earthquake of 3 November 2002 produced pronounced water waves across Washington state. The largest water waves coincided with the area of largest seismic-wave amplification underlain by the Seattle basin. In the current work, we present reports that show Lakes Union and Washington, both located on the Seattle basin, are susceptible to large water waves generated by large local earthquakes and teleseisms. A simple model of a water body is adopted to explain the generation of waves in water basins. This model provides reasonable estimates for the water-wave amplitudes in swimming pools during the Denali earthquake but appears to underestimate the waves observed in Lake Union.

Seismic Attenuation Structure of the Seattle Basin, Washington State, from Explosive-Source Refraction Data

We used waveform data from the 1999 SHIPS (Seismic Hazard Inves- tigation of Puget Sound) seismic refraction experiment to constrain the attenuation structure of the Seattle basin, Washington State. We inverted the spectral amplitudes of compressional- and shear-wave arrivals for source spectra, site responses, and one- and two-dimensional Q � 1 models at frequencies between 1 and 40 Hz for P waves and 1 and 10 Hz for S waves. We also obtained Q � 1 models from t* values calculated from the spectral slopes of P waves between 10 and 40 Hz. One-dimen- sional inversions show that Qp at the surface is 22 at 1 Hz, 130 at 5 Hz, and 390 at 20 Hz. The corresponding values at 18 km depth are 100, 440, and 1900. Qs at the surface is 16 and 160 at 1 Hz and 8 Hz, respectively, increasing to 80 and 500 at 18 km depth. The t* inversion yields a Qp model that is consistent with the amplitude inversions at 20 and 30 Hz. The basin geometry is clearly resolved in thet* inversion, but the amplitude inversions only imaged the basin structure after removing anom- alously high-amplitude shots near Seattle. When these shots are removed, we infer that Q � 1 values may be � 30% higher in the center of the basin than the one- dimensional models predict. We infer that seismic attenuation in the Seattle basin will significantly reduce ground motions at frequencies at and above 1 Hz, partially countering amplification effects within the basin.