Sea Level Rise Research Articles

Paleoenvironmental conditions across the Coniacian-Santonian in the Kometan Formation, northeastern Iraq: Insights from planktonic foraminifera distribution, mineralogy and geochemistry

The paleoenvironmental conditions during the Coniacian-Santonian interval within the Kometan Formation in northeastern Iraq have been analyzed through the distribution of depth-related planktonic foraminifera in the carbonate rocks (limestone and marly limestone) of the Kometan Formation using standard washing method for soft samples and thin section method for hard samples supported by mineralogical investigations, geochemical analysis and stable isotopic δ13C and δ18O data. The findings indicate that saline marine waters and a hot, dry to semi-arid climate with low to medium oxygen conditions were conducive to deposition, which was characterized by high organic productivity due to marine transgression. The study revealed that the distribution of shallow water forms (SWF) of globular-shaped foraminifera, compared to deep water forms (DWF) of keeled-shaped genera, along with δ13C data from the late Turonian-early Campanian succession, indicated a relatively low sea level throughout the Late Turonian period. The water level began to rise in the early Coniacian, continuing gradually until the late Coniacian, when a noticeable increase in sea level was observed. This elevated sea level persisted through the early and late Santonian periods, before starting to drop. A slight marine transgression was noted at the beginning of the early Campanian period, followed by a significant drop in sea level. During the late Turonian, a subtropical climate prevailed. Temperature increased during the early to middle Coniacian, decreased slightly at the beginning of the late Coniacian, and then rose again at the end of the late Coniacian, indicating a shift from tropical to subtropical climatic conditions. Similar hot climatic conditions persisted in a tropical-subtropical climate during the early to late Santonian and early Campanian, with a relative temperature drop near the end of the early Campanian. No evidence of an oceanic anoxic event (OAE3) was found in the Kometan Formation during the late Coniacian–early Santonian period. The hypothesized event, based on biostratigraphy, facies analysis, stable isotopes, geochemical evidence, and field study, was limited to demonstrating an increase in the ratio of keeled chamber planktonic foraminifera compared to globular chamber ones. This ratio increase of the keeled chamber types is believed to result from a deepening sedimentary environment due to rising sea levels, creating organic matter-rich beds with high productivity and relatively low oxygen conditions during the Coniacian-Santonian boundary.

Accelerating growth of human coastal populations at the global and continent levels: 2000–2018

Current human population growth along Earth’s coasts is on a collision path with anticipated consequences of increasing natural and anthropogenic induced coastal hazards. Using recently-available ambient, dasymetric data, we developed methods to estimate annual continental and global coastal populations from (2000–2018) measured horizontally from the shoreline inward. We found: (1) large concentrations of population in relatively small bands and regions along the coast (~ 2 billion within 50 km and ~ 1 billion within 10 km); (2) higher growth rates of coastal population than inland population (an addition of 463 million within 50 km and 233 million within 10 km); (3) strong influence of distance from the coast to predict population distribution; and (4) that macro population patterns and growth could be expressed and modeled as a power function at continental and global levels. Findings point to emerging macro population patterns along the coast as contributing to increasing anthropogenic effects on Earth systems and increasing human risks associated with sea-level rise, land subsidence, extreme weather, and public health. Reliable data tracking of the magnitude, spatial distribution and change of human populations in the coastal regions is essential for comprehensive coastal monitoring.

Beyond the Wedge: Impact of Tidal Streams on Salinization of Groundwater in a Coastal Aquifer Stressed by Pumping and Sea‐Level Rise

AbstractSaltwater intrusion (SWI) is a well‐studied phenomenon that threatens the freshwater supplies of coastal communities around the world. The development and advancement of numerical models has led to improved assessment of the risk of salinization. However, these studies often fail to include the impact of surface waters as potential sources of aquifer salinity and how they may impact SWI. Based on field‐collected data, we developed a regional, variable‐density groundwater model using SEAWAT for east Dover, Delaware. In this location, major users of groundwater from the surficial aquifer are the City of Dover and irrigation for agriculture. Our model includes salinized marshland and tidal streams, along with irrigation and municipal pumping wells. Model scenarios were run for 100 years and included changes in pumping rates and sea‐level rise (SLR). We examined how these drivers of SWI affect the extent and location of salinization in the surficial aquifer by evaluating differences in chloride concentration near surface waters and the subsurface freshwater‐saltwater interface. We found the presence of the marsh inverts the typical freshwater‐saltwater wedge interface and that the edge of the interface did not migrate farther inland. Additionally, we found that tidal streams are the dominant pathways of SWI at our site with salinization from streams being exacerbated by SLR. Our results also show that spatial distribution of pumping affects both the magnitude and extent of salinization, with an increase in concentrated pumping leading to more intensive salinization than a more widely distributed increase of the same total pumping volume.

Transdisciplinary Research Supports the Sustainability of Barrier Island Systems Threatened by Climate Change

AbstractThe management of developed barrier islands is often piece‐meal and reactionary despite the complex, dynamic nature of these systems, and sustainable practices will become increasingly difficult due to heightened pressures of climate change. Adaptation actions, including nature‐based solutions, need to be thoroughly evaluated prior to implementation to understand system‐wide impacts and avoid maladaptation. Anarde et al. (2024a), (https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ef003672), Anarde et al. (2024b), (https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ef004200) is the latest important contribution in a growing body of transdisciplinary research that more robustly evaluates the complex physical process‐and‐response relationship of barrier systems via sophisticated numerical modeling approaches that also interface with socioeconomic models to inform coastal management actions in response to mitigating coastal risk. This new research indicates the importance of coordinated system‐scale barrier island management, as strategies to reduce coastal hazard risk in one location will directly affect adjacent communities. Further, this work demonstrates that reducing barrier management interventions may actually promote barrier recovery and sustainability in the face of sea level rise. In addition, recent advances in the analysis and application of remotely sensed data from satellites and oblique aerial photography provide scientists an unprecedented opportunity to track coastal evolution over a wide range of spatial and temporal scales at minimal cost. As sea level rise and changing storm patterns challenge the sustainable management of barrier island systems, integrating these advanced, transdisciplinary tools will enable scientists and coastal practitioners to more thoroughly evaluate coastal adaptation options, efficiently invest limited resources to mitigate coastal hazard risk for communities, support healthy ecosystems, and reduce system‐wide impacts.

Predicting storm surge extremes on the Southeast Brazilian Coast: Long-term projections with neural networks

Extreme sea level events, resulting from the confluence of tides and storm surges, pose a significant threat to coastal populations and economies. The escalating risks associated with these events are exacerbated by climate change, manifesting in heightened storm intensity, increased frequency, and rising sea levels. Precise estimation of the probability of extreme storm surges is crucial for effective coastal management and adaptation. However, utilizing historical storm data is challenging due to data scarcity and the imperative to consider potential non-stationarity induced by climate change in predicting such events. This study addresses these challenges by introducing two neural network-based machine learning systems: a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Leveraging local and remote atmospheric and oceanic conditions, these systems project storm surges until 2060, incorporating climate projections. Trained and evaluated using sea level data from Imbetiba Port in Macaé, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, the models utilize dynamic regionalization data from the RegCM4 and WW3 models, forced by HadGEM2-ES and MPI climate models. Both neural network models exhibited similar performance patterns, demonstrating high agreement in predicting storm surge heights with a 100-year return value, based on Imbetiba Port data. Projections utilized peaks-over-threshold (POT) methods, and extremes were calculated using a generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). Long-term projections indicated a 28 % increase (MLP ANN) and a substantial 70 % increase (LSTM RNN) in estimating extreme values, surpassing the observed storm surge of 0.67 m. Projected mean values were 0.86 m for the MLP network and 1.15 m for the LSTM network, providing valuable insights into the potential amplification of extreme sea level events in the studied region.

Shellfishing, sea levels, and the earliest Native American villages (5000–3800 yrs. BP) of the South Atlantic Coast of the U.S

Shell ring archaeological sites are one of the most visible site types along the lower South Atlantic Coast of the United States. These cultural sites are large, circular to arcuate piles of mollusk shells with some reaching over three meters in elevation and over 100 m in diameter. They are comprised largely of mollusk shells (e.g., Eastern oyster, Crassostrea virginica), but also contain early pottery, nonhuman faunal remains, and other artifacts. Our work establishes that they represent the earliest widespread Native American villages occupied year-round in the Eastern Woodlands of North America. Significantly, our results from sea-level modelling and isotope geochemistry on mollusks establish that the inhabitants of these earliest villages (ca. 5000–3800 yrs. BP) lived within a fluctuating coastal environment, harvested certain resources year-round, and targeted diverse habitats across the estuaries. Both the growth and decline of these earliest villages are associated with a concomitant rise and lowering of sea level that impacted the productivity of the oyster reef fishery along the South Atlantic Coast. Despite these large-scale environmental changes, this research indicates that Native American fishing villages persisted along the coast for over 1000 years.

What Drives Adaptation? Evidence from Sea Level Rise Planning in the Southeastern United States

What Drives Adaptation? Evidence from Sea Level Rise Planning in the Southeastern United States

Sustaining the shell middens: A coastal vulnerability assessment of shell midden sites within the Nansemond River tributary

Shorelines have always been hubs of human activity and development meaning much of our cultural heritage is concentrated in coastal settings. In recent decades, changing environmental conditions and the effects of global warming (i.e., shoreline erosion, sea-level rise, land subsistence) threaten to destroy much of our remaining global coastal heritage. To prevent the further loss of archaeological contexts, this study seeks to develop a coastal vulnerability index through geospatial analysis to assess the vulnerability of 35 precontact shell midden sites along the Nansemond River in Suffolk, Virginia. The Nansemond middens offer a long-term history of how coastal inhabitants interacted with their surrounding landscape, with occupation of the area ranging from the Early Archaic period through European contact. This research considers various environmental and cultural variables used to determine which archaeological sites are most threatened by environmental changes and have the greatest potential to contribute valuable data to understand the past.

Challenges and opportunities for implementing nature-based coastal protection in an urbanised coastal city based on public perceptions

There has been an increase in recognition of the benefits of employing nature-based coastal protection strategies to adapt to the impacts of climate change (e.g., increased storminess, sea-level rise). To enable broader use of nature-based methods, coastal managers and policymakers need to consider the placement and social acceptance of any methods considered. Most published spatial planning models for nature-based coastal protection currently do not utilise social data during site selection. We conducted a public survey of 452 respondents from Singapore, a highly urbanised coastal city-state, to assess Singaporean's perceptions of climate change impacts on coastal areas and their support of nature-based coastal protection. We also assessed the respondents willingness to accept trade-offs for the prioritisation of nature-based coastal protection and subsequently spatially mapped them. The results showed a high awareness of the potential impacts of climate change on coastal areas. Nature-based coastal protection was highly supported as the associated benefits, such as protection of wildlife and their habitats and climate change reduction, were aligned with public values of coastal areas. However, nature-based coastal protection may not be prioritised over human-made structures due to the perception that they are less effective, and respondents may not be willing to undergo 1) replacement of their favourite coastal area, 2) increased taxes, and 3) relocation, for their prioritisation. Through spatially mapping the relevant trade-offs, we found that only 11.1% of coastal areas had moderate or high likelihood of social barriers to nature-based coastal protection, highlighting their potential in Singapore. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating social factors in government land use planning decisions.

Beach nourishment for coastal aquifersimpacted by climate change and population growth using machine learning approaches

Groundwater in coastal regions is threatened by saltwater intrusion (SWI). Beach nourishment is used in this study to manage SWI in the Biscayne aquifer, Florida, USA, using a 3D SEAWAT model nourishment considering the future sea level rise and freshwater over-pumping. The present study focused on the development and comparative evaluation of seven machine learning (ML) models, i.e., additive regression (AR), support vector machine (SVM), reduced error pruning tree (REPTree), Bagging, random subspace (RSS), random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the SWI using beach nourishment. The performance of ML models was assessed using statistical indicators such as coefficient of determination (R2), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), means absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and root relative squared error (RRSE) along with the graphical inspection (i.e., Radar and Taylor diagram). The findings indicate that applying SVM, Bagging, RSS, and RF models has great potential in predicting the SWI values with limited data in the study area. The RF model emerged as the best fit and closely matched observed values; it obtained R2 (0.999), NSE (0.999), MAE (0.324), RRSE (0.209), and RMSE (0.416) during the testing process. The present study concludes that the RF model could be a valuable tool for accurate predictions of SWI and effective water management in coastal areas.

40Ar/39Ar geochronologic and paleoenvironmental constraints to glacial termination III and MIS 7e, 7c, and 7a sea level fluctuations on the Tyrrhenian Sea coast of Italy

We provide detailed sedimentological, paleontological, and tephrochronological data on a complex sedimentary succession cropping out in the Tyrrhenian coastal area of central Italy, which was deposited in response to sea-level rise during MIS 7, coeval with the Latera phase of activity in the Vulsini Volcanic District. Diffuse intercalations of primary volcanic layers erupted during this phase and their geochronologic and chemostratigraphical characterization based on 40Ar/39Ar dating and EMP analyses, allowed for the identification of three stacked aggradational successions separated by erosive phases and their correlation with the Oxygen isotope record and phases in the relative sea-level curve. The ages of the tephra layers strictly frame the sedimentation in the interval of 253–206 ka, providing independent dating to glacial Termination III and to the three sea-level oscillations during MIS 7e, 7c, and 7a.Moreover, micro- and macrofaunal-based analyses provide information on the paleoenvironments and bathymetry during the highstands, which complement the geomorphological analysis reconstructing the inner edges of the corresponding marine terraces, allowing us to assess precise maximum sea level reached during MIS 7e and MIS 7a.The results of this multidisciplinary study enable us to establish in great detail the chronology, dynamics, relative amplitude, and effects of the sea-level fluctuations in the Tyrrhenian Sea during the whole MIS 7, providing independent, precise geochronological constraints for this period.

Mapping an Indicator Species of Sea-Level Rise along the Forest–Marsh Ecotone

Atlantic White Cedar (Chamaecyparis thyoides) (AWC) anchors a globally threatened ecosystem that is being impacted by climate change, as these trees are vulnerable to hurricane events, sea-level rises, and increasing salinity at the forest–marsh ecotone. In this study, we determined the current amount and distribution of AWC in an area that is experiencing sea-level rises that are higher than the global average rate. We used a combination of a field investigation and aerial photo interpretation to identify known locations of AWC, then integrated Sentinel-1 and 2A satellite data with abiotic variables into a species distribution model. We developed a spectral signature of AWC to aid in our understanding of phenology differences from nearby species groups. The selected model had an out-of-bag error of 7.2%, and 8 of the 11 variables retained in the final model were derived from remotely sensed data, highlighting the importance of including temporal data to exploit divergent phenology. Model predictions were strong in live AWC stands and, accurately, did not predict live AWC in stands that experienced high levels of mortality after Hurricane Sandy. The model presented in this study provides high utility for AWC management and tracking mortality dynamics within stands after disturbances such as hurricanes.

Enhanced Monitoring of Sub-Seasonal Land Use Dynamics in Vietnam’s Mekong Delta through Quantile Mapping and Harmonic Regression

In response to economic and environmental challenges like sea-level rise, salinity intrusion, groundwater extraction, sand mining, and sinking delta phenomena, the demand for solutions to adapt to changing conditions in riverine environments has increased significantly. High-quality analyses of land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics play a critical role in addressing these challenges. This study introduces a novel high-spatial resolution satellite-based approach to identify sub-seasonal LULC dynamics in the Mekong River Delta (MRD), employing a three-year (2021–2023) Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellite data time series. The primary obstacle is discerning detailed vegetation dynamics, particularly the seasonality of rice crops, answered through quantile mapping, harmonic regression with Fourier transform, and phenological metrics as inputs to a random forest machine learning classifier. Due to the substantial data volume, Google’s cloud computing platform Earth Engine was utilized for the analysis. Furthermore, the study evaluated the relative significance of various input features. The overall accuracy of the classification is 82.6% with a kappa statistic of 0.81, determined using comprehensive reference data collected in Vietnam. While the purely pixel-based approach has limitations, it proves to be a viable method for high-spatial resolution satellite image time series classification of the MRD.

Impact of the Jenkyns Event on shallow-marine carbonates and coeval emerged paleoenvironments: the Plitvice Lakes region, Croatia

Early Jurassic (late Pliensbachian–early Toarcian) Large Igneous Province (LIP) magmatism affected the entire ocean-atmosphere system culminating in a cascade of paleoenvironmental perturbations known as the Jenkyns Event which globally impacted marine, transitional and terrestrial paleoenvironments. Carbonate platforms at low latitudes in the Western Tethys realm drowned or shifted to non-skeletal production during the early Toarcian due to sea level rise, global warming, and ocean acidification. Unlike deep-marine deposits, shallow-marine carbonates present a challenge in defining global geochemical signals due to common diagenetic modifications. An integrated dataset including δ13Ccarb and δ18Ocarb, TOC, biomicrofacies, SEM, XRD, and palynological study of two stratigraphic successions in the Plitvice Lakes region, Bjelopolje (BJ) and Plitvice Spring (PS), in Croatia, provides an overview of the paleoenvironmental evolution and lateral facies changes in a peritidal setting during the Early Jurassic on the Adriatic Carbonate Platform (AdCP). The investigated stratigraphic succession starts with upper Pliensbachian, peloid-ooid-bioclastic grainstones alternating with fenestral and massive mudstones overlain by lower Toarcian, lagoonal, bioturbated, “spotted” limestones with horizons indicative of short-lived subaerial emergence during the early Toarcian. A negative excursion in δ13Ccarb, foraminifer assemblages, and the predominance of Classopollis pollen within the “spotted” limestones marks the stratigraphic position of the Jenkyns Event. Global-scale events (sea level variation, climate change, C-cycle perturbation, anoxia) operated simultaneously with local to regional synsedimentary tectonics and eustatic movements that preserved the AdCP carbonate factory from collapse or drowning but resulted in pronounced facies differentiation on the shallow-marine carbonate platforms.

Sedimentation enhancement and its retention through integration of vegetation with permeable groin-like structure in tidal river

Sediment management in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta system is considered as one of the challenging issues, even though several studies clarified that unlike many other deltas, it is receiving sufficient sediment to counterbalance the sea level rise. Therefore, it is important to materialize such potential using appropriate techniques through utilizing the natural power of the flow-sediment regime, especially in the tidal rivers. Towards the development of nature-based solution (NbS), the principles of bandal-like structure, a V shape permeable groin-like structure was designed for the bidirectional tidal environments and applied in a tidal reach of the river Pyra. It is found that the structure has a high potential to enhance sedimentation along the bank line, while having difficulty in retaining the trapped sediment within the complex flow-sediment regime of tidal environment. To overcome such a problem, different types of vegetation are integrated with this structure to test the potentiality of vegetation in accelerating the sedimentation and its retention in the study site. Through systematic monitoring of the growth of vegetation and their performance it was found that only the site-specific native vegetation (Hogla and Shoila) grew well, while other planted species did not survive. Moreover, continuous maintenance and proper nursing of plants were required against the hydrodynamic stresses and human and animal interventions till their maturity. Several parameters related to vegetation-flow-sediment data were collected by using ADCP, Eco sounder, total station, and soil sampling to clarify the changes in flow and soil parameters due to vegetation. The results reveal that the cohesiveness of the soil increases by about 72–110 % and flow velocity reduces by 35–40 % in the area with densely grown vegetation having flow depth < 5 m. While velocity reduction is relatively low (10–15 %) in the area with sparsely grown vegetation and having flow depth > 5 m. Such flow reduction resulted in enhanced sedimentation and deceased erosion, whereas the increased soil cohesiveness resulted in retention of already deposited soil and bank and bed stabilization.

A comparison of sea-level rise and storm-surge overwash effects on groundwater salinity of a barrier island

Coastal fresh groundwater is threatened by salinization due to both sea-level rise and storm-surge overwash. Most studies of subsurface saltwater intrusion focus on sea-level rise, but storms that are becoming more frequent and intense with climate change could have more imminent and permanent effects on aquifer salinity. Few studies directly compare saltwater intrusion due to sea-level rise with saltwater intrusion due to storm-surge overwash, and no studies address this issue on barrier islands. In this study, a hydrological model simulating coupled, variable-density, surface and subsurface flow and salt transport was developed and calibrated to water level and specific conductance data at Assateague Island, MD. The calibrated model was used to calculate the mass of salt and the total volume of aquifer salinized in 2080 due to both sea-level rise and more frequent storm surges. The results suggest that the total mass of salt that intrudes into the aquifer due to changes in the 2-year storm surge height is approximately equal to that of sea-level rise (∼300 kg), and the surges salinize nearly the entire aquifer, exceeding the volume salinized by sea-level rise (∼80 %). The influence of aquifer properties and unsaturated zone thickness was investigated by reducing aquifer hydraulic conductivity, resulting in greater salinization from storm-surge overwash (100 % of aquifer volume) than from sea-level rise (∼20 %). Higher storm surges are expected to overtop the dunes on Assateague by 2080 causing a 75 % decline in areas above the 2-year storm event while sea-level rise will only inundate ∼ 40 % of the land area on Assateague. This analysis suggests that groundwater is likely more vulnerable to storm-surge overwash than to sea-level rise induced salinization, even in systems where sea-level rise is expected to be most severe.

Reconstructing CO2 uptake capacity and pH dynamics in the Middle Ordovician Taebaeksan Basin, Korea

This study presents the first continuous carbonate boron isotope (δ11Bcarb) record from Middle Ordovician carbonate rocks, focusing on the Taebaek section in Korea. The δ11Bcarb values analyzed from the Makgol, Jigunsan, and Duwibong formations range between 7.5 ‰ and 17.8 ‰, falling within the published Paleozoic range. Samples exhibit minimal diagenetic alteration, as evidenced by weak correlations between isotopic factors and elemental ratios (δ11Bcarb, δ13Ccarb, δ15Nbulk, B/Ca, Mn/Sr, and Na/Ca) as well as mineralogical observations used to select unaltered micrite portions. Using the δ11Bcarb data, we reconstruct pH levels (8.4 to 9.1) which suggest that this shallow shelf environment acted as a CO2 sink during the Middle Darriwilian, despite periods of acidification coinciding with sea level rise and expansion of anoxic zones. Weakening of the basin's CO2 uptake capacity via reduced CaCO3 precipitation and photosynthesis accompanied these oceanographic changes. Our findings provide new insights into the dynamics of CO2 accumulation and pH in Middle Ordovician shallow marine settings in relation to sea level fluctuations. This work lays the foundation for further research into ocean chemistry and carbon cycle perturbations during this important period in Earth's history.

PENGABDIAN KEPADA MASYARAKAT: JURI KARYA ILMIAH BERTEMA PEMANASAN GLOBAL

&lt;em&gt;Global warming is one of the most pressing environmental issues of the 21st century, with far-reaching impacts ranging from extreme climate change to threats to biodiversity and human life. The increase in the average temperature of the atmosphere and oceans, driven by human activities, particularly greenhouse gas emissions such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide, exacerbates this situation. Negative effects such as polar ice melting, rising sea levels, and ecosystem disruptions threaten the survival of many species. Growing global awareness of the importance of understanding and addressing global warming has led to various initiatives, including scientific competitions focused on global warming. These activities aim to educate the public and promote innovation in finding sustainable solutions to this environmental problem. In these competitions, the role of judges is crucial in evaluating the quality and relevance of the scientific works submitted by participants. Through community engagement carried out by the Management Study Program of Universitas Bunda Mulia in collaboration with SMA Kristen Tunas Bangsa Sunter Jakarta Utara, this competition successfully inspired and nurtured young generations in facing the challenges of global warming. The event included presentations, discussions, and Q&amp;amp;A sessions aimed at developing creative ideas and making a real contribution to global efforts in combating global warming.&lt;/em&gt;

Securitization of local adaptation: Signs of riskification in a Dutch region

AbstractClimate change is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events and sea level rise, causing scholars to argue that it has become a security issue and that extraordinary measures are being legitimized by its perceived threat, referred to as securitization. Securitization of climate change has so far been studied predominantly in an international and occasionally national context. Little is known on how security dynamics play out on the local, subnational level. To address this knowledge gap, we investigated if and how adaptation to climate change (CCA) has been securitized for the water domain in a region in the Netherlands that is a CCA frontrunner: Dordrecht. Our case study comprised a detailed document analysis complemented with eight policymaker/expert interviews. In the discourses, actors and tools employed in the governance of CCA in Dordrecht we found signs of securitization in the form of riskification: risk terminology being used in CCA governance; greater involvement of risk and safety actors; and the development of new risk tools like risk and vulnerability analyses. However, securitization remains largely absent: CCA continues to be dealt with as a shared responsibility and as a cross‐sectoral policy issue to be integrated and mainstreamed to become the “new normal.”

THE DEMISE OF THE MESSINIAN SALINITY CRISIS AND THE BEGINNING OF THE ZANCLEAN IN THE NORTHERN MEDITERRANEAN BASIN: INSIGHT FROM HIGH-RESOLUTION BIOMAGNETOSTRATIGRAPHY (POLLENZO SECTION, NW ITALY)

The Messinian-Zanclean boundary in the Mediterranean basin marks the end of the Messinian salinity crisis (MSC) at approximately 5.33 Ma. The mechanism behind the return to normal marine conditions after the MSC are debated, with two main hypotheses proposed: an instantaneous reflooding of the Mediterranean at the base of the Zanclean, following its near-complete desiccation, or a gradual sea level rise in a non-desiccated basin during the late MSC phase (Lago-Mare). Our objectives are to refine the age model of the Pollenzo section in the Piedmont basin, Italy, and to elucidate environmental variability during this phase. We employ high-resolution biomagnetostratigraphic and cyclostratigraphic analyses, integrated with statistical multivariate and cluster analyses, and tie the results with other Italian Mediterranean reference sections of the basal Zanclean. The proposed age model is based on biostratigraphic markers (planktic foraminifera and calcareous nannofossils), alongside the identification of the base of the Thvera subchron. Although no astrochronological tuning was proposed, the influence of orbital parameters variation on calcareous plankton was noted, especially at tie of eccentricity maxima. Our results indicate a gradual restoration of open marine conditions after the MSC, spanning from 5.33 to 5.23 Ma. We observe a transition from a more marginal environment to more open marine conditions at the termination of MSC. Our findings challenge the notion of an abrupt transition at the end of the MSC, emphasizing the gradual nature of environmental change in the northernmost Mediterranean basin, from the late Messinian to the early Zanclean.