Scintillation Occurrence Research Articles

Assessing the ionospheric scintillations occurrence on L-band in the southern Mediterranean sector

We assess the ionospheric scintillation occurrence on Global Navigation Satellite Signals (GNSSs) over the Mediterranean sector under the rising phase of the current solar cycle. To the scope, we leverage on a network of three Ionospheric Scintillation Monitoring Receivers (ISMRs), being part of the electronic Space Weather upper atmosphere (eSWua: eswua.ingv.it) system (Pica et al., 2021). Such ISMRs are located in Lampedusa Island (Italy, Lat: 35.52°N–Lon: 12.63°E), Chania (Crete, Greece, Lat: 35.52°N, Lon: 24.04°E) and Nicosia (Cyprus, Lat: 35.18°N–Lon: 33.38°E). To our knowledge, this is the first thorough assessment of the scintillation patterns in the Southern Mediterranean sector, aimed at depicting how small-scale irregularities that form in the area can potentially affect the GNSS-based positioning and related application and services. We analyse the period from January 2021 to December 2023, reporting that the bulk of the scintillation occurrence is due to small-scale irregularities forming in the southernmost area of the field of view of the network. Irregularities of such a scale are formed during the evolution of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability featuring the Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPB), which may spill-over in the field of view (FoV) of the receivers, i.e. at low elevation angles in the southernmost azimuthal range. As observations at low elevation angles are subject to multipath mimic weak to moderate scintillation conditions, we focus exclusively on severe amplitude scintillation occurrence (S4 > 0.7) in the azimuthal range 110–250°, w.r.t the FoV of the receivers, subsequently reaching down to the Saharian ionosphere. To further confirm the nature of the detected GNSS scintillation occurrence, we compare the results with the Swarm Level-2 Ionospheric Bubble Index (IBI) evaluated within the same period. In the context of the April 2023 geomagnetic storm, a worst-case scenario is also documented, illustrating the potential impact of ionospheric disturbances associated with EPBs in the Southern Mediterranean area.

On the low-latitude ionospheric irregularities under geomagnetically active and quiet conditions using NavIC observables: A spectral analysis approach

Ionospheric irregularities and associated scintillations under geomagnetically active/quiet conditions have detrimental effects on the reliability and performance of space- and ground-based navigation satellite systems, especially over the low-latitude region. The current work investigates the low-latitude ionospheric irregularities using the phase screen theory and the corresponding temporal Power Spectral Density (PSD) analysis to present an estimate of the outer irregularity scale sizes over these locations. The study uses simultaneous L5 signal C/No observations of NavIC (a set of GEO and GSO navigation satellite systems) near the northern crest of EIA (Indore: 22.52∘N, 75.92∘E, dip: 32.23∘N) and in between the crest and the dip equator (Hyderabad: 17.42∘N, 78.55∘E, dip: 21.69∘N). The study period (2017–2018) covers disturbed and quiet-time conditions in the declining phase of the solar cycle 24. The PSD analysis brings forward the presence of irregularities, of the order of a few hundred meters during weak-to-moderate and quiet-time conditions and up to a few km during the strong event, over both locations. The ROTI values validate the presence of such structures in the Indian region. Furthermore, only for the strong event, a time delay of scintillation occurrence over Indore, with values of 36 min and 50 min for NavIC satellites (PRNs) 5 and 6, respectively, from scintillation occurrence at Hyderabad is observed, suggesting a poleward evolution of irregularity structures. Further observations show a westward propagation of these structures on this day. This study brings forward the advantage of utilizing continuous data from the GEO and GSO satellite systems in understanding the evolution and propagation of the ionospheric irregularities over the low-latitude region.

Occurrence characteristics of ionospheric scintillations in the civilian GPS signals (L1, L2, and L5) through a dedicated scintillation monitoring receiver at a low-latitude location in India during the 25th solar cycle

Abstract The ionospheric post-sunset irregularities are responsible for the discrepancies in the received global navigation satellite system (GNSS) signals to fluctuate the phase and amplitude resulting in scintillations in the respective components. Ionospheric scintillations reduce the signal quality and alter the signal reception time inducing position errors which is not preferable for the precise position applications. The level of ionospheric amplitude scintillation, quantified by the amplitude scintillation index (S4), is analyzed during the year 2022, which accentuates the ascending phase of solar cycle 25. For this, we analyzed scintillation intensity and occurrence percentage at a low latitude Indian location in India by employing all the available frequencies of the global positioning system (GPS) constellation. The scintillation distribution for each month is also observed which reveals that the autumn equinox seasons has high scintillation occurrence compared to the vernal equinox seasons. The impact of the scintillation on the three civilian signals (L1, L2 and L5) of the GPS constellation is also observed in terms of the scintillation intensity distribution. The cross-correlation of the S4 index for these three signals reveals a strong correlation existing among them during strong scintillations whereas L2 and L5 signals portray a high correlation irrespective of signal intensities. In brief, the strong scintillation occurrence percentage is higher in the L5 signal compared to the L1 and L2 in contrast with weak scintillation, which is high in L1, followed by L2 and L5. Further, the analysis shows that the autumnal equinox has the highest percentage occurrence of strong scintillations (less than 10 % of the scintillation cases) compared to the vernal equinox whereas among solstice seasons June solstice presented the least scintillation occurrence at the location. The outcomes of this study instigate further analysis of scintillation occurrences from diverse GNSS frequencies covering diverse solar activity conditions for complementing the development of robust scintillation mitigation strategies across the low latitudes during the diverse scintillation conditions.

A Comparative Analysis of the Effect of Orbital Geometry and Signal Frequency on the Ionospheric Scintillations over a Low Latitude Indian Station: First Results from the 25th Solar Cycle

The equatorial post-sunset ionospheric irregularities induce rapid fluctuations in the phase and amplitude of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) signals which may lead to the loss of lock and can potentially degrade the position accuracy. This study presents a new analysis of L-band scintillation from a low latitude station at Guntur (Geographic 16.44°N, 80.62°E, dip 22.18°), India, for the period of 18 months from August 2021 to January 2023. The observations are categorized either in the medium Earth-orbiting (MEO) or geosynchronous orbiting (GSO) satellites (GSO is considered as a set of the geostationary and inclined geosynchronous satellites) for L1, L2, and L5 signals. The results show a higher occurrence of moderate (0.5 < S4 ≤ 0.8) and strong (S4 > 0.8) scintillations on different signals from the MEO compared to the GSO satellites. Statistically, the average of peak S4 values provides a higher confidence in the severity of scintillations on a given night, which is found to be in-line with the scintillation occurrences. The percentage occurrence of scintillation-affected satellites is found to be higher on L1 compared to other signals, wherein a contrasting higher percentage of affected satellites over GSO than MEO is observed. While a clear demarcation between the L2/L5 signals and L1 is found over the MEO, in the case of GSO, the CCDF over L5 is found to match mostly with the L1 signal. This could possibly originate from the space diversity gain effect known to impact the closely spaced geostationary satellite links. Another major difference of higher slopes and less scatter of S4 values corresponding to L1 versus L2/L5 from the GSO satellite is found compared to mostly non-linear highly scattered relations from the MEO. The distribution of the percentage of scintillation-affected satellites on L1 shows a close match between MEO and GSO in a total number of minutes up to ~60%. However, such a number of minutes corresponding to higher than 60% is found to be larger for GSO. Thus, the results indicate the possibility of homogeneous spatial patterns in a scintillation distribution over a low latitude site, which could originate from the closely spaced GSO links and highlight the role of the number of available satellites with the geometry of the links, being the deciding factors. This helps the ionospheric community to develop inter-GNSS (MEO and GSO) operability models for achieving highly accurate positioning solutions during adverse ionospheric weather conditions.

On the strength of E and F region irregularities for GNSS scintillation in the dayside polar ionosphere

We present results of the study conducted to quantify the relative contribution of different ionospheric regions to phase scintillation in Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) at the dayside high latitude ionosphere. By taking advantage of the scanning capability of the 32-m EISCAT radar in Svalbard (ESR) and its recurrent favourable location below the dayside auroral region, we developed a methodology to identify conjunctions between the radar and GNSS satellite signals in order to compare density irregularities identified by the radar with scintillation observed in GNSS signals. The analysis revealed that the dayside ionosphere contained irregularities predominantly in the F region with scintillation occurring 77% of the times. The likelihood of observing irregularities in the E region were comparatively less with a scintillation occurrence rate of 42%. The study therefore strongly suggests that the dayside F region is more structured than the E region and is the predominant source region for irregularities that cause scintillation at GNSS frequencies. The associated ionospheric conditions revealed enhanced F region electron and ion temperatures to be collocated with scintillation for majority of the times. This supports the fact that cusp/auroral dynamics play a crucial role in creating F region irregularities which can act as sources of scintillation in GNSS signals. The presented results provide a quantitative estimate of the effectiveness of irregularities and the associated ionospheric conditions in different regions of the dayside ionosphere during scintillation, which are relevant for high latitude modelling and instability studies as well as for space weather applications.

Detection of GNSS ionospheric scintillations in multiple directions over a low latitude station

Abstract Analysis of huge data and detection of scintillation events by human visualization is expensive and time consuming process and also unfeasible in real time. In this paper, classical approaches namely Hard, Semi-Hard and Manual annotation rules are used for detection of the scintillations. For this, one week data is acquired from Septentrio PoLaRx5S GNSS scintillation monitoring Receiver corresponding to various constellations. Seven constellations namely GPS, GLONASS, Galileo, SBAS, BeiDou, QZSS and IRNSS-L5 signals during pre-sunset and post sunset hours are considered. The occurrence of scintillations due to pre-sunset and post sunset period by using hard and semi hard detection rules are analysed. It is observed that the occurrence of scintillations is more in post-sunset hours as compared to pre-sunset hours in all constellations. The performances of Semi Hard and Hard detection rules are compared with manual annotation by using confusion matrices statistical parameters namely accuracy, misclassification and precision. Identified scintillation signals coming from the least and worst affected directions. These results would be useful for early detection of scintillation without human inspection of scintillation events.

Occurrence of ionospheric scintillations under different solar and geomagnetic conditions over low latitude station Varanasi

In the present study, occurrences of amplitude scintillations during the ascending phase of the 25th solar cycle from November 2020 to March 2023 are studied over the equatorial anomaly region Varanasi (latitude 25.31° N, longitude 82.97° E, magnetic dip Lat. 16.2° N). Multi-frequency Global navigation satellite system (GNSS) receiver is used to study the occurrence of amplitude scintillation index S4. Diurnal, monthly, and seasonal occurrence characteristics of the S4 index are presented. The scintillation occurrence is observed during nighttime and daytime but is more probable during nighttime. It is observed that maximum scintillation occurred during the equinox season for the solar moderate period whereas the highest occurrence is in summer during the low solar activity period. The highest scintillation occurrences during the summer solstice for a period of low solar activity condition is rare and could be attributed to the gravity waves (GWs) generation due to the weather phenomena in the lower atmosphere. GWs could act as a seeding perturbation in electron density, affecting the growth of ionospheric irregularities through Rayleigh-Taylor instability. The solar flux index (F10.7) is compared with the percentage occurrence of scintillation for the low and moderate solar activity periods to observe the effect of solar activity on scintillation occurrences. Overall, the scintillation occurrence increases with increasing solar activity. To study the effect of geomagnetic storms on scintillations, we have considered seven moderate and intense geomagnetic storms grouped in three categories that occurred during solar cycle 25. It is observed that the occurrence of scintillations is enhanced for the storms with the recovery phase starting at post-midnight. The probability of occurrence of scintillation during the night hours is decreased when the geomagnetic storm occurs during the daytime.

Temporal characterization of pre-midnight fading events over low latitudes

Several works investigated aspects of amplitude scintillation over low-latitude regions. Some of these studies also addressed characteristics and consequences of fading events in receivers and systems relying on information from satellites. It is now known that amplitude scintillation severity in transionospheric signals is stronger around the region of the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly and depends on the signal propagation path. However, a temporal characterization of the occurrence of amplitude scintillation and fading events over distinct latitudes is still needed. In this work this temporal analysis was done by using data from 4 ground-based scintillation monitor stations with distinct dip latitudes over the southern hemisphere (Brazilian region). The period of observation covers 5 months during the peak of the last solar cycle, and the hours considered are from 19:00 LT up to 23:30 LT for every station. The analyses revealed that the occurrence of scintillation for all the stations peaks at 21:00 LT, with weaker/stronger scintillation levels for stations closer to the dip equator/Equatorial Ionization Anomaly, respectively. More importantly, the results demonstrated that deep fading events are concentrated in the early hours of the night for all levels of scintillation. The probabilities of deep fading events peaks at 21:00 LT, decaying considerably for later hours. The results also revealed that the deepest fading experienced occurs in the earlier hours and that the depth of the fading decreases as later hours are considered. The probabilities of a given depth for the deepest fading also decay after peaking at 21:00 LT. All these findings provide a temporal characterization that can be insightful to users of information from satellites whose links are susceptible to problems such as cycle slips and loss-of-lock, especially in the earlier hours of the night.

Trailing Equatorial Plasma Bubble Occurrences at a Low-Latitude Location through Multi-GNSS Slant TEC Depletions during the Strong Geomagnetic Storms in the Ascending Phase of the 25th Solar Cycle

The equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) are depleted plasma density regions in the ionosphere occurring during the post-sunset hours, associated with the signal fading and scintillation signatures in the trans-ionospheric radio signals. Severe scintillations may critically affect the performance of dynamic systems relying on global navigation satellite system (GNSS)-based services. Furthermore, the occurrence of scintillations in the equatorial and low latitudes can be triggered or inhibited during space weather events. In the present study, the possible presence of the EPBs during the geomagnetic storm periods under the 25th solar cycle is investigated using the GNSS-derived total electron content (TEC) depletion characteristics at a low-latitude equatorial ionization anomaly location, i.e., KL University, Guntur (Geographic 16°26′N, 80°37′E and dip 22°32′) in India. The detrended TEC with a specific window size is used to capture the characteristic depletion signatures, indicating the possible presence of the EPBs. Moreover, the TEC depletions, amplitude (S4) and phase scintillation (σφ) indices from multi-constellation GNSS signals are probed to verify the vulnerability of the signals towards the scintillation effects over the region. Observations confirm that all GNSS constellations witness TEC depletions between 15:00 UT and 18:00 UT, which is in good agreement with the recorded scintillation indices. We report characteristic depletion depths (22 to 45 TECU) and depletion times (28 to 48 min) across different constellations confirming the triggering of EPBs during the geomagnetic storm event on 23 April 2023. Unlikely, but the other storm events evidently inhibited TEC depletion, confirming suppressed EPBs. The results suggest that TEC depletions from the traditional geodetic GNSS stations could be used to substantiate the EPB characteristics for developing regional as well as global scintillation mitigation strategies.

Ionospheric scintillation and solar activity relation in East Malaysia during solar maximum 2014

Ionospheric scintillation is a common phenomenon in the equatorial, auroral, and polar areas, posing a threat to the Global Navigation Satellite System's (GNSS) operation. This ionospheric effect is thought to impact satellite signal propagation, hence, lowering positioning accuracy. Therefore, detecting ionospheric scintillation is critical in enhancing GNSS performance, particularly at low latitudes with severe amplitude scintillation. This paper investigates the effects of ionospheric scintillation on GPS signals at UNIMAS station, the East part of Malaysia. This study aims to identify the occurrence of ionospheric scintillation by calculating the index of scintillation strength during solar maximum 2014. The amplitude scintillation, which is measured in the S4 index is obtained and classified accordingly from the data recorded at the UNIMAS station. The results have shown that strong scintillation (S4 ≥ 0.5) occurred in the spring (April) and autumn (September and October) seasons, reaching 8 incidents. This paper also presents the diurnal, seasonal, and solar activity dependence of ionospheric scintillation. It is evident that the occurrence of amplitude scintillation is influenced by variations in solar activity, including solar flares and sunspots, as well as diurnal and seasonal changes. These findings provide valuable insights into the behaviour of the ionosphere and its impact on space-based communication and navigation systems.

Effects of the Relative Dynamics of Ionospheric Irregularities and GPS Satellites on Receiver Tracking Loop Performance

AbstractTransionospheric satellite signals are exposed to perturbation, caused by irregularities generated in the ionosphere. However, the characteristics of the satellite motion can have an additional impact on signal perturbation, in addition to the effects of irregularity structures, that drift from west to east during geomagnetic quiet conditions. This paper reports the effect of Global Positioning System satellite geometry, on tracking loop performance of ground‐based receivers, during occurrence of ionospheric scintillations. Observations are made from station Calcutta (22.58°N, 88.38°E geographic; magnetic dip 34.54°), located near the northern crest of Equatorial Ionization Anomaly, during three different solar activity periods (March 2014, March 2015, and March 2022). Efforts have been made to study the correlation of east‐west component of satellite velocity at Ionospheric Pierce Point (IPP) with duration of loss‐of‐lock and rate of signal fading (<−10 dB), from ground scintillation pattern observations. Results of this study show 75%–78% correlation between duration of loss‐of‐lock and eastward component of satellite velocity, for all three period of observation. Subsequently, shorter duration of loss‐of‐lock has been observed corresponding to satellite velocity being westward. Signal fading rate is found to decrease with increasing satellite velocity, having median value of the fading rate cumulative distribution percentage, corresponding to satellite velocity of 16.69, 31.76, and 19.14 m/s respectively during March 2014, March 2015, and March 2022. Results of this study also indicate direction and component of satellite velocity at IPP to be a dominant cause of signal outage, even during periods of weak to moderate scintillations.

Equinoctial asymmetry of plasma bubble occurrence and electric field at evening: GPS and ionosonde measurements in Southeast Asia

We have investigated equinoctial asymmetry of scintillation occurrence and zonal irregularity drift velocity observed with closely-spaced GPS receivers at Kototabang (0.20°S, 100.32°E; geomagnetic latitude 10.6°S), Indonesia during a period from 2003 to 2016, and found that the scintillation occurrence rate is higher in Mar. equinox than in Sep. equinox, and that the eastward drift velocity at post-sunset is higher in Mar. equinox than in Sep. equinox. This result is consistent with previous work done by Otsuka et al. (2006), who have analyzed scintillation and zonal drift velocity data obtained at Kototabang in 2003–2004, and suggests that the eastward drift velocity corresponding to the downward electric field at post-sunset may be related to the pre-reversal enhancement of eastward electric field, which could play an important role in generating plasma bubble. In this study, we have investigated vertical drift velocity by analyzing the ionosonde data obtained near magnetic equator (Chumphon, Bac Lieu, and Cebu) during a period from 2003 to 2016, and found that the upward drift velocity at post-sunset is larger in Mar. equinox than Sep. equinox. We also find that solar activity dependence of the zonal and vertical drift velocities is more clearly seen in Mar. equinox than in Sep. equinox. In order to consider the mechanism causing the equinoctial asymmetry of the drift velocities, foF2 obtained by the ionosondes is also analyzed. We find that foF2 also depends on solar activity more clearly in Mar. equinox than in Sep. equinox, and that foF2 during high solar activity conditions is higher in Mar. equinox than in Sep. equinox. These results suggest that in Mar. equinox, due to high electron density, intense electric field could be generated through the F-region dynamo so that plasma bubble likely occurs.

On the quiet-time occurrence rates, severity and origin of L-band ionospheric scintillations observed from low-to-mid latitude sites located in Puerto Rico

In December 2021 three Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) ionospheric scintillation and Total Electron Content (TEC) monitors were installed in Puerto Rico (∼24.5° N dip latitude). The installation is part of an effort to better understand the occurrence of ionospheric irregularities and scintillation at mid-latitudes. Puerto Rico (PR) is commonly referred to as being located at mid-latitudes or at the boundary between low and mid-latitudes. Previous reports already presented observations of ionospheric irregularities and scintillation detected from PR. These observations, however, were limited in number. Additionally, the reports related the observed scintillation and irregularities events with different types of mid-latitude ionospheric disturbances. Here we present results from the analyses of the first three months of observations, December 21st, 2021 to March 20th, 2022. The analyses focus on the occurrence rate, severity and origin of scintillation detected on the signals tracked by the PR monitors during geomagnetically quiet times. We show that, out of the 43 geomagnetically quiet nights, 34 (∼80%) showed the occurrence of L-band scintillation. The results also indicate the recurrent existence of severe scintillation (S4 ∼ 1.0) accompanied by large TEC depletions. The temporal evolution of the observed scintillation showed that scintillation-causing plasma irregularities first occurred near the magnetic equator and propagated towards PR (reaching up to ∼22o dip latitude). Simultaneous space-based observations of the ionospheric F-region peak electron densities made by the GOLD mission confirmed that the quiet-time scintillation observed by the monitors in PR was associated with equatorial plasma bubbles. GOLD observations also show enhanced background F-region densities at the location of the Ionospheric Pierce Points of the affected GNSS signals, indicating conditions that favor the occurrence of intense scintillation.

Ionospheric scintillation characteristics over Indian region from latitudinally-aligned geodetic GPS observations

Ionospheric scintillations pose one of the biggest threats to Satellite-Earth communication links in the communication and navigation systems services whose occurrence characteristics could be explained through the strength of fading (amplitude scintillation index; S4) and the rapidity of the fades (decorrelation time; \U0001d70f0). In the present work, we analyzed the S4 index from a latitudinal array of three geodetic global positioning system (GPS) stations along the Indian longitude sector during the descending phase of the 24th solar cycle. The results show predominant occurrences of scintillations during the post-sunset and nighttime periods indicating the level of scintillations close to equatorial, beyond anomaly crest, and near mid-latitude locations. The strong amplitude scintillations during 2014 and 2015 and their lowest magnitudes during 2016 and 2017 reflect the solar activity dependence of the scintillation occurrences. The directional distribution and 2-dimensional surface sky plots of the S4 index substantiate the occurrence of intense scintillation being more prevalent towards the equatorial location, whereas the weak and moderate scintillations are perceived towards the higher low latitude stations. The occurrences of intense scintillations are confirmed in high solar active years and equinox season at all stations, while the equatorial station presents relatively higher occurrences in winter followed by summer. The summer season witnessed intense occurrences even under moderate to low solar activity years (2016–2017), reflecting the post-midnight occurrences due to meridional thermospheric winds. Moreover, maximum percentage occurrences of weak scintillations in all seasons are evident towards the poleward side, far away from the anomaly crest. The amplitude scintillation frequency during the period is further compared with the solar and geomagnetic indices to substantiate the analysis drawn from the variations. The correlation coefficients between the scintillation index occurrence rate with the solar and geomagnetic in-dices at three GNSS stations provide valuable insights into the relationship between solar activity and scintillation. The results show that the strength and direction of the correlation can vary significantly depending on the specific solar index and location. Thus, emphasize further studies on scintillation occurrences for developing effective forecasting and mitigation models over the Indian low-latitude region.

Determining the Day-to-Day Occurrence of Low-Latitude Scintillation in Equinoxes at Sanya during High Solar Activities (2012–2013)

Plasma irregularity in the equatorial and low-latitude ionosphere, which leads to ionospheric scintillation, can threaten the operation of radio-based communication and navigation systems. A method for forecasting scintillation activity is still pending. In this study, we examined the performance of ionospheric parameters, including the critical frequency (foF2), peak height of the F2-layer (hmF2), scale height (Hm) and virtual height (h’F), around local sunset from ground-based ionosonde observations, and also the characteristics of Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) derived from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) observations in equinoctial months (March–April and September–October) during high solar activities (2012–2013) at a low-latitude station at Sanya (18.3° N, 109.6° E; dip lat.: 12.8° N), China. Furthermore, the simplified linear growth rate of Rayleigh–Taylor (R–T) instability inferred from ionosonde measurements and EIA strength derived from GRACE observations were used to estimate the day-to-day occurrence of post-sunset scintillation. The results indicate that it is not adequate to determine whether scintillation in a low-latitude region would occur or not based on one ionospheric parameter around sunset. The simplified growth rate of R–T instability can be a good indicator for the day-to-day occurrence of scintillation, especially in combination with variations in EIA strength. An index including the growth rate and EIA variations for the prediction of the post-sunset occurrence of irregularity and scintillation is proposed; the overall prediction accuracy could be about 90%. Our results may provide useful information for the development of a forecasting model of the day-to-day variability of irregularities and scintillation in equatorial and low-latitude regions.

Occurrence Characteristics of VHF Scintillation and Equatorial Spread F over Kwajalein during Moderate Solar Activity in 2012

The occurrence probability of equatorial plasma bubbles and the associated spread F (ESF) irregularities have been derived from ground-based and space-borne measurements. In general, ESF occurrence depends on season and longitude and is high in equinoctial months and low around June solstice. In the West Pacific sector, previous statistical results show that the ESF occurrence probability increases gradually and continuously from March to August. In this study, we use trans-ionospheric VHF data received at Kwajalein Atoll in 2012 to derive the occurrence characteristics of scintillation. It is found that the occurrence probability of strong scintillation had two maxima in June and September and a minimum in July in the evening and midnight sector but only one maximum in June in the post-midnight sector. The monthly variations of scintillation occurrence at Kwajalein are different from almost all previous studies on ESF and scintillation at or near this longitude. To identify the cause for the June peak and the July minimum of scintillation, the ion density and velocity data measured by the Communication/Navigation Outage Forecasting System (C/NOFS) satellite in 2011–2012 are used to derive the ESF occurrence and the post-sunset vertical ion drift near Kwajalein. The ESF occurrence probability and the ion drift measured by the C/NOFS satellite showed two maxima in May/June and August/September and a minimum in July, verifying that the June peak and the July minimum of the VHF scintillation are realistic and caused by the similar variations in the ionospheric ion drift and density.

Seasonal Characteristics of Phase Scintillation Observed at UKM Station in Malaysia

We present a statistical comparison of the seasonal occurrence of ionospheric phase scintillation in the GPS signals at an equatorial region in Malaysia using the ground-based ionospheric monitoring GPS receiver and space-based radio occultation (RO) measurements. The observations were recorded at UKM (2.55°N, 101.461°E) in Malaysia during 2010 using GPS based scintillation and TEC Monitoring setup (GISTM). The space-based measurements were recorded by the FORMOSAT_3/COSMIC (F_3/C) satellites in 2010. The GPS limb-viewing radio occultation technique is an innovative technique that provides ideal geometry to observe vertical ionospheric structures to detect Equatorial Plasma bubbles (EPBs) and Sporadic E layers (Es). Radio waves throughout the irregular equatorial ionosphere are studied to characterize phase scintillations at the L1 frequency in different seasons. Seasonal characteristics of the GPS phase scintillation show it mainly occurs in the equinox months, particularly during March. The results show similar values as the Radio Occultation (RO) observations over UKM station, which demonstrates that March equinox has the maximum occurrence of scintillations with the appearance of EPBs and during June corresponding to the appearance of the Es layer in the ionosphere. We found seasonal characteristics of phase scintillations obtained from the Ground-based station are consistent with seasonal characteristics of amplitude scintillation that occurred from the space-based measurements. Nevertheless, F3/C RO provided an opportunity for concurrent sounding of EPBs and Es characteristic structures across the globe, unlike other traditional ground-based measurements.

Severe L-band scintillation over low-to-mid latitudes caused by an extreme equatorial plasma bubble: joint observations from ground-based monitors and GOLD

The occurrence of plasma irregularities and ionospheric scintillation over the Caribbean region have been reported in previous studies, but a better understanding of the source and conditions leading to these events is still needed. In December 2021, three ground-based ionospheric scintillation and Total Electron Content monitors were installed at different locations over Puerto Rico to better understand the occurrence of ionospheric irregularities in the region and to quantify their impact on transionospheric signals. Here, the findings for an event that occurred on March 13–14, 2022 are reported. The measurements made by the ground-based instrumentation indicated that ionospheric irregularities and scintillation originated at low latitudes and propagated, subsequently, to mid-latitudes. Imaging of the ionospheric F-region over a wide range of latitudes provided by the GOLD mission confirmed, unequivocally, that the observed irregularities and the scintillation were indeed caused by extreme equatorial plasma bubbles, that is, bubbles that reach abnormally high apex heights. The joint ground- and space-based observations show that plasma bubbles reached apex heights exceeding 2600 km and magnetic dip latitudes beyond 28°. In addition to the identification of extreme plasma bubbles as the source of the ionospheric perturbations over low-to-mid latitudes, GOLD observations also provided experimental evidence of the background ionospheric conditions leading to the abnormally high rise of the plasma bubbles and to severe L-band scintillation. These conditions are in good agreement with the theoretical hypothesis previously proposed.Graphical

Effect of geomagnetic storms on l-band scintillation over Ilorin, Nigeria

A study on the effects of geomagnetic storms on l-band scintillation at Ilorin (latitude = 8.48 °N, longitude = 4.67 °E, Geomagnetic Latitude = 1.89 °S) is presented using newly available data. Three storms with minimum Dst<-100nT(i.e. the storm of April 24, 2012, the St. Patrick’s day storm of March 17, 2015 and the storm of October 13, 2016) were selected for the study based on the availability of data and the season of frequent occurrence of scintillation at Ilorin. The indices used are the ring current index (Dst), the auroral electroject activity index (AE), the horizontal component of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMFBZ) and the ratio of the atomic to molecular neutral species. Results showed that the main phase of the April 24, 2012 caused little enhancement in scintillation during the pre-midnight period while scintillation was suppressed during the post-midnight period. However, scintillation was inhibited on the night of the main phase of the storm of March 17, 2015 and slightly inhibited on the night of the main phase of the storm of October 13, 2016. During the recovery phase, little enhancement was observed for the storm of October 13, 2016 while scintillation was inhibited for one day for the April, 24 2012 and for two successive days for the storm of March 17, 2015. The most interesting results was that of St. Patrick’s day storm of March 17, 2015 in which scintillation was inhibited for three successive days. The Prompt Penetration Electric Field which brings about enhancement of E × B lifting of ionization based on the local time of the minimum Dst is good enough to explain the observation during April 24, 2012 storm. Whereas, northward turning in IMFBZ values and decay in AE values which causes damping of E × B lifting of ionization were used in explaining observations during the storms of March 17, 2015 and October 13, 2016. In addition, significant reduction is seen in the ratio of the atomic to molecular neutral species especially during the storm of March 17, 2015 in which scintillation was inhibited during the main phase and the first two successive days of the recovery phase.

Relationships between ionospheric parameters derived from ionosonde observations and characteristics of post-sunset GHz scintillation during high solar activities (2012−2013) at Sanya (18.3°N, 109.6°E), China

In this study, we presented the characteristics of post-sunset GHz scintillation occurrence and ionospheric parameters derived from ionosonde observations, including the critical frequency of F2-layer (foF2), peak height of F2-layer (hmF2), minimum virtual height of F-layer (h’F), scale height around the F2-layer peak (Hm), virtual height (h’F5) and true height (hF5) measured at 5 MHz, in high solar activity years (2012-2013) of solar cycle 24 at Sanya (18.3°N, 109.6°E; dip lat.: 12.8°N), China. Furthermore, we investigated the relationships between the equinoctial asymmetry of scintillation and these ionospheric parameters. In addition, the growth rates of Rayleigh-Taylor instability were calculated on the basis of the ionosonde measurements and models, respectively. The results showed that the equinoctial asymmetry of scintillation onset time would be associated with the scale length of vertical electron density gradient (L), which affects the growth of Rayleigh-Taylor instability at the bottom of F-layer. The seasonal variations of foF2, Hm and scale length of vertical electron density gradient would be the reason to cause the seasonal variations of scintillation occurrence, and the equinoctial asymmetry of scintillation occurrence rate over low latitude can be related to the background electron density and the vertical drifts around sunset in F-layer. The correlations between the scintillation strength represented by the daily maximum S4 and the daily maximum values of foF2, hmF2, h’F, Hm, and also the drifts over low latitudes were weak, which need to be further studied.