Role Of Fiscal Policy Research Articles

The Role of Fiscal Policy in Ensuring the Financial and Technological Sovereignty of the Country

The Role of Fiscal Policy in Ensuring the Financial and Technological Sovereignty of the Country

Bitcoin: an alternative to fiat money? A post-Keynesian perspective

Motivation: This paper addresses the ongoing debate surrounding Bitcoin’s potential to function as an alternative to state-issued fiat currencies. With the advent of Bitcoin and its increasing global prominence, it is essential to explore its viability, particularly in light of its formal adoption in El Salvador as legal tender. The limited supply and decentralized nature of Bitcoin present a significant departure from traditional monetary systems, which raises questions regarding its capacity to fulfill the roles of money under Modern Monetary Theory (MMT).Aim: The primary goal of this paper is to critically examine whether Bitcoin can serve as a functional replacement for fiat money. Using a post-Keynesian analytical framework, this study investigates Bitcoin’s ability to meet the requirements of sovereign money, particularly within the theoretical framework of MMT. The analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s decentralized issuance, limited supply, and its role in fiscal policy and credit creation.Materials and methods: This research employs a critical literature review and a case study analysis, using the framework of MMT and post-Keynesian endogenous money theory to assess Bitcoin’s economic implications and its real-world application in El Salvador’s Bitcoin Law. The study analyzes Bitcoin’s economic implications based on the endogenous money supply model and evaluates its impact on government fiscal policy, credit markets, and economic stability in both theoretical and practical contexts, with a special focus on El Salvador’s Bitcoin Law.Results: The analysis reveals significant limitations in Bitcoin’s ability to function as a fiat currency. Its rigid supply and speculative nature hinder its capacity to serve as a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account, as envisaged by MMT. The study concludes that Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and deflationary design pose challenges for its broader adoption as state money, particularly in managing aggregate demand and economic crises.

Active or passive? Revisiting the role of fiscal policy during high inflation

We investigate the interplay of the monetary–fiscal policy mix during times of crisis by drawing insights from the Great Inflation of the 1960s and 1970s. We use a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm to estimate a DSGE model with three distinct monetary/fiscal policy regimes. We show that, in such a model, SMC outperforms standard sampling algorithms because it is better suited to deal with multimodal posteriors, an outcome that is highly likely in a DSGE model with monetary–fiscal policy interactions. From the estimation with SMC, a differentiated perspective results: pre-Volcker macroeconomic dynamics were similarly driven by passive monetary/passive fiscal policy and fiscal dominance. We apply these insights to study the post-pandemic inflation period.

Fiscal Tools for Promoting Efficient Economic Growth

Contemporary crisis phenomena, including financial, structural, political, and social aspects, underscore the need for effective fiscal policy to ensure the resilience and development of the country. Additionally, there are currently complex challenges related to the war, such as infrastructure destruction, business shutdowns, and mass migration, which have significantly impacted the country’s economy and require additional financial resources for recovery. This situation necessitates the search for new sources of income and the optimisation of existing resources, highlighting the importance of effective tax regulation to overcome economic challenges during conflict. This scientific article aims to determine the role of fiscal policy in ensuring effective economic development, as well as the importance of tax instruments and their efficiency in promoting economic growth and optimising financial resources. In the research process, literary sources were analysed, and statistical data was scrutinised to evaluate the dynamics of state revenues and expenditures and the impact of tax receipts on the state budget. The study emphasises the importance of tax instruments for economic development and meeting the country’s financial needs. The efficient use of tax instruments facilitates the collection of sufficient revenues to fund social and economic needs. The study highlights the importance of employing the necessary tax instruments to ensure the country’s effective economic development. In martial law conditions, mobilising fiscal reserves and activating tax instruments become critical strategies for ensuring financial stability and supporting the economy. However, the successful implementation of these measures requires the improvement of the organisational structure and administration. A balanced approach to tax burden, a conducive environment for business, and the development of new revenue sources are critical in ensuring financial stability and supporting economic growth during conflict.

Consensus among economists 2020—A sharpening of the picture

Based on an extensive survey of the members of the American Economic Association, the authors of this article compare consensus among economists on several economic propositions over four decades. The main result is an increased consensus on many economic propositions, specifically the appropriate role of fiscal policy in macroeconomics and income distribution issues. Economists now embrace the role of fiscal policy in a way not apparent in previous surveys and largely support government policies that mitigate income inequality. Another area of consensus is the concern with climate change and the use of appropriate policy tools to address it.

Carbon blessing or carbon curse? The role of fiscal policy

Green development is the inevitable requirement of high-quality development in the resource-based regions, and it is also the fundamental guarantee for realizing environmental sustainability in the resource-based regions. Based on the panel data of 242 cities in China from 2006 to 2019, this paper explores whether mineral resource abundance is a blessing or a curse for carbon emission intensity and whether fiscal policy plays an intermediary role. We draw the following conclusions: (1) The overall performance of mineral resources is a carbon curse effect, because the carbon curse effect of mineral resources is greater than the carbon blessing effect. (2) Mechanism analysis reveals that the decrease in fiscal pressure and the increase in fiscal dependence are the formation paths of carbon blessing and carbon curse, respectively. (3) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the occurrence and intensity of the carbon curse are related to the level of local foreign investment, government intervention, and industrial diversification. The research results explain the supplementary motivation of government quality and provide Chinese evidence for the transformation and upgrading of resource-based regions.

Collaborative effect of the energy conservation and emission reduction fiscal policy in China

Government-led national comprehensive demonstration cities for Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Fiscal Policy (ECERFP) are pivotal for China in addressing environmental governance. Using a panel dataset covering 278 Chinese cities from 2003 to 2019, this study adopts the staggered difference-in-differences (DID) approach to investigate the synergistic impacts of ECERFP on pollution and carbon reduction. The findings indicate that ECERFP contributes to a 3% improvement in pollution reduction performance, a 1.5% enhancement in carbon reduction performance, and a 4% overall increase in combined pollution and carbon reduction efforts. Furthermore, the study examines the heterogeneous effects of ECERFP on environmental performance. ECERFP significantly influences the synergistic efforts in pollution and carbon reduction by fostering green innovation, enhancing energy allocation, and optimizing industrial structures. This study both theoretically and empirically outlines the specific pathways and mechanisms through which “incentive-based” green fiscal policy promotes synergistic pollution and carbon reduction, thus providing a pragmatic foundation for enhancing the role of fiscal policy in environmental governance.

Role of Fiscal Policy in the Economic Welfare: A Case Study of Pakistan

This research paper intends to look at the significance of the government expenditures in various sectors, investment by the private sector, and current account conditions on the well-being of the citizens in Pakistan over the duration of 1972-2021, making use of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) structure. This study additionally checks out disaggregated levels of government spending, with a particular concentration on the social sector (health and health as well as additional education), economic services, subsidies, as well as the maintenance of law and order. The research concern settled in this study is: Do the public sector’s economic actions improve the financial condition of the society through the increase in per capita income and employment opportunities, or do they trigger misallocation of public sources as well as injury to eco wellbeing of the society? The study also analyzes the impact of changes in the structure of the federal government's investment in time in addition to determining quick- and durable outcomes for crucial macroeconomic variables. The empirical results reveal that all parts of federal government expenses have considerable long-run organizations with per capita income, a certain welfare variable, besides spending on law and order, which has an unfavorable, nonetheless statistically insignificant impact. In terms of job opportunities, the federal government's expenses on education and learning have a considerable long-term favorable impact on employment. Nonetheless, expenditures on health have a significant unfavorable impact on employment. Different various other parts of federal government expenses did not substantially support employment. This study supplies valuable insights into the relationship between federal government costs and well-being in Pakistan. The browsing may give some requirements for focusing on the allowance of development in addition to the non-development budget to improve the welfare of Pakistani people.

Financial stability and sustainable development: Perspectives from fiscal and monetary policy

AbstractThis paper studies the relationship between financial stability and sustainable development from the fiscal and monetary policy perspective in 33 developing countries and 7 developed countries in the period 2005–2020. Bayesian regression results show that financial stability positively affects sustainable development in both groups of countries with a low probability of impact. This probability is above 79.3% in developed countries and above 81.5% in developing ones. When considering the role of monetary policy, the direction of impact and probability is different. Specifically, financial stability in the environment of high inflation and increased money supply (ZscoreInf and ZscoreM2) negatively affects sustainable development in both country groups with high probabilities. In contrast, when considering the monetary policy with the foreign exchange reserves tool (ZscoreER), financial stability positively impacts sustainable development with the probability of 89.6% in developed countries and 92.5% in developing one. When considering the role of fiscal policy, financial stability with government spending (ZscoreGE) positively affects sustainable development with a probability of over 99.7% in the two groups of countries. Meanwhile, tax income in a financially stable environment increases the probability of a positive effect at 100% in developed countries, and a negative effect with a probability of 60.9% in developing countries. From the above results, we propose that central banks in both developed and developing countries should aim to stabilize prices and aim to maintain a low inflation rate to help limit shocks to sudden interest rate changes that cause market volatility. This is a premise to help stabilize finance and promote sustainable development. Furthermore, these countries should maintain an adequate foreign exchange reserve to withstand external shocks and ensure they have enough foreign currency to meet macroeconomic needs, which can boost confidence.

Two-way relationship between inequality and growth within the fiscal policy channel: an empirical assessment for European countries

PurposeWe investigate the role of fiscal policy, through several measures of government revenues and expenditures and redistribution, on disposable and market income inequality and economic growth as well as the interaction between inequality and growth for 31 European countries from 1995 to 2019.Design/methodology/approachWe use a simultaneous equations model to assess the linkage between economic growth, inequalities and fiscal policy variables.Findings(1) While disposable income inequality has a negative effect on all fiscal policy variables, market income inequality has a mixed effects; (2) for Eastern European countries, public consumption and direct taxation positively influence economic growth; conversely, for Western European countries, the effects are negative; (3) disposable and market income inequality have a positive effect on growth for Eastern European countries, and a negative influence on growth for Western European countries; (4) growth contributes to the increase of disposable and market income inequality for Eastern European countries; for Western European countries, the effects are opposite; and (5) fiscal policy allows for the attenuation of disposable income inequality.Originality/valueThe different results between the role of market and disposable income inequality levels lead us to suggest tax progressivity as an important feature to consider when analyse the trivariate relationship between inequalities, fiscal policy and growth. Furthermore, there are different dynamics between inequality and growth, and the role of fiscal policy, on both Eastern and Western European countries.

The Role of Fiscal Policy — A Survey of Recent Empirical Findings

The Role of Fiscal Policy — A Survey of Recent Empirical Findings

Correlation between taxes and inflation in the Republic of Kazakhstan

A comprehensive study is pivotal for adeptly articulating the intricate interplay between tax policy and inflation within the global economic framework. This exploration elucidates the consequential relationship between taxation adjustments and inflationary trends, providing a bedrock for harmonizing international policy. By deploying econometric methodologies, the analysis meticulously examines data sourced from official channels over a specified timeframe to ascertain the correlation magnitude between these critical economic indicators. The study meticulously considers various determinants that could influence the taxes-inflation nexus, such as the unemployment rate, average wage levels, and the spectrum of tax indicators within a nation. Central to this inquiry is the examination of how alterations in tax policy - specifically tax rate modifications—impact inflationary pressures. This examination is instrumental in furnishing policymakers with the insights required to calibrate tax policies adeptly, thereby mitigating inflation risks while fostering sustainable economic expansion. In delving into these dynamics, the research enriches the corpus of knowledge on the implications of fiscal policy for macroeconomic stability. The analytical outcomes derived from the data not only enhance our comprehension of the complex interplay between taxation and inflation but also serve as a crucial resource for crafting efficacious economic strategies. This contribution is of immense value to the discourse on fiscal policy's role in achieving macroeconomic objectives, underpinning the study's significance in informing policy formulation and international economic cooperation aimed at minimizing adverse global economic impacts.

Global directed technical change model with fiscal and monetary policies, and public debt

We develop an endogenous growth model with North–South interactions, monetary policy, and a multi-dimensional role for fiscal policy. To boost economic performance, the government of the less developed country subsidizes R&D and intermediate goods production. Besides, to account for the effects of excessive public debt, we introduce a negative externality on productivity and a risk premium effect. Our findings reveal that the steady-state growth rate of both economies depends positively on the subsidies in the South and negatively on the public debt’s externality on productivity and the risk premium affecting the indebted economy. Additionally, public debt externalities increase the equilibrium wage inequality, making it more significant in the South. To minimize these effects, both countries can agree to mutualize their debts to overcome the risk premium. Then, the economy’s steady-state growth rate would increase in both countries. Finally, several policy implications were retrieved.

Fiscal Policy And Poverty In The Southern African Customs Union: The Case Of Frontier Technology Readiness Index and Skills

The study examines the relationship between fiscal policy, the level of poverty, and the frontier technology readiness index (skill) in the Southern African Customs Union over the period of 2012 to 2022. The technique of pooled ordinary least squares was used to ascertain the empirical findings, while the LLC and IPS established the stationarity of the variables. The empirical findings show that government expenditure on education, indirect taxes, and the skills index directly affect household consumption expenditure significantly and, by implication, reduce poverty. However, the interaction of government expenditure on education and skills significantly reduces household final consumption expenditure. The essence of the study is that the respective government in the Southern African Customs Union should harness efforts towards integrating relevant skills into the educational system in light of the 21st-century technology revolution. It is admitted that previous studies have largely concentrated on issues such as income inequality, financial inclusion, government expenditure program in addressing the problem of poverty in developing economies, this study, while observing the crucial role of fiscal policy, evaluates the effect of a frontier technology readiness index, skills, in abating the severity of poverty in the region.

Scarring effects of major economic downturns: The role of fiscal policy and government investment

Long shunned as slow and ill timed, the response to the Covid-19 pandemic initiated a reassessment of fiscal policy as stabilisation tool. At the same time, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting effects on real GDP in spite of active fiscal policy interventions. This paper takes a fresh look at economic scarring in 26 OECD countries, including 14 EU member states, since 1970 and examines the role played by fiscal policy. We find that higher current expenditure – the favoured active response - does not mitigate the lasting impact of major economic downturns on real GDP. In contrast, more government investment can help but generally receives little attention. As a result, scarring effects are significant confronting governments with sustainability risks, which in turn weigh on the room for manoeuvre in subsequent downturns. In sum, fiscal policy makers face two difficulties in the event of a major economic downturn: (i) adopt the right type of fiscal expansion, and (ii) find the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation while protecting investment. Both challenges are fraught with political economy issues.

The Role of Fiscal Policy in Reducing Gender Income Inequality

The Role of Fiscal Policy in Reducing Gender Income Inequality

Exploring the Fiscal policy—income inequality relationship with Bayesian model averaging analysis

The authors have employed several techniques to account for model uncertainty in the inequality-growth model. However, the BMA technique is the most prominent approach that solves model uncertainty in the inequality-growth literature. This study applied a recent BMA analysis using panel data to examine the role of fiscal policy on income inequality in 37 OECD countries from 2000 to 2015. Fiscal policy (in terms of tax revenue increase) serves as a redistributive tool or instrument to transfer income from higher income earners to lower earners and is considered a mechanism for income equality. To the best of the author’s knowledge, only a few empirical growth studies have considered fiscal policy impact in their income inequality model setup. Our work contributes to very little research on the fiscal policy–income nexus using a novel BMA and MCMC regression as a robust methodology. Our empirical evidence on the role of fiscal policy on income inequality has found three variables, namely, economic growth, fiscal policy, and urban population, to impact income inequality significantly. We also found that the countries are conditionally neither converging nor diverging because of the probability of their coefficient being high at 100%. As expected, the coefficient of fiscal policy has a significant negative relationship with income inequality, indicating that fiscal policy reduces income inequality significantly by an average of 22% (with 100% certainty) for both BMA and Bayes models in OECD countries.

From parameters to policies: sensitivity analysis and fiscal and monetary reactions

PurposeThis paper seeks to explore the sensitivity of these parameters and their impact on fiscal policy outcomes. We use the existing literature to establish possible ranges for each parameter, and we examine how changes within these ranges can alter the outcomes of fiscal policy. In this way, we aim to highlight the importance of these parameters in the formulation and evaluation of fiscal policy.Design/methodology/approachThe role of fiscal policy, its effects and multipliers continues to be a subject of intense debate in macroeconomics. Despite adopting a New Keynesian approach within a macroeconomic model, the reactions of macroeconomic variables to fiscal shocks can vary across different contexts and theoretical frameworks. This paper aims to investigate these diverse reactions by conducting a sensitivity analysis of parameters. Specifically, the study examines how key variables respond to fiscal shocks under different parameter settings. By analyzing the behavioral dynamics of these variables, this research contributes to the ongoing discussion on fiscal policy. The findings offer valuable insights to enrich the understanding of the complex relationship between fiscal shocks and macroeconomic outcomes, thus facilitating informed policy debates.FindingsThis paper aims to investigate key elements of New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. The focus is on the calibration of parameters and their impact on macroeconomic variables, such as output and inflation. The study also examines how different parameter settings affect the response of monetary policy to fiscal measures. In conclusion, this study has relied on theoretical exploration and a comprehensive review of existing literature. The parameters and their relationships have been analyzed within a robust theoretical framework, offering valuable insights for further research on how these factors influence model forecasts and inform policy recommendations derived from New Keynesian DSGE models. Moving forward, it is recommended that future work includes empirical analyses to test the reliability and effectiveness of parameter calibrations in real-world conditions. This will contribute to enhancing the accuracy and relevance of DSGE models for economic policy decision-making.Originality/valueThis study is motivated by the aim to provide a deeper understanding of the roles macroeconomic model parameters play concerning responses to expansionary fiscal policies and the subsequent reactions of monetary authorities. Comprehensive reviews that encompass this breadth of relationships within a single text are rare in the literature, making this work a valuable contribution to stimulating discussions on macroeconomic policies.

Impact of Fiscal Policy on Unemployment

Under the conditions of a modern market economy, the employment issue is a difficult problem that governments around the world must face directly. As one of the most important means for governments to implement macroeconomic regulation and control, it is of greater theoretical and practical significance to give full play to the positive role of fiscal policy in promoting employment. This paper introduces the concept of a flow model of unemployment to study the impact of fiscal policy on the labour market and explores the government's role in easing the contradiction between labour supply and demand and unifying the labour market through fiscal expenditure, taxation, social security and other means. This paper consists of four parts. The first part describes a flow model of unemployment in detail and studies how to reduce the unemployment rate theoretically. The second and third parts tell the different effects of expansionary fiscal policy and tight fiscal policy on the unemployment rate respectively, and how the government chooses the appropriate fiscal policy. The fourth part of the article selects the example of Japan in an economic down cycle to illustrate that the government needs to take into account both short-term and long-term factors, as well as the overall and local economic situation, and choose an appropriate direction or combination of fiscal policies in order to reduce the unemployment rate.

РОЛЬ ФІСКАЛЬНОЇ ПОЛІТИКИ В МАКРОФІНАНСОВІЙ СТАБІЛЬНОСТІ УКРАЇНИ

In the light of growing economic challenges and in the time of the war, the role of fiscal policy in macro-financial stability becomes extremely important for ensuring economic stability and development in Ukraine. Fiscal policy as an important mechanism for managing the state's financial flows, determines not only the amount of tax revenues and expenditures, but also affects inflation, employment, and other macroeconomic indicators. Consideration of its role in the context of macro-financial stability is of strategic importance for the development of effective strategies for managing economic resources and ensuring the sustainability of the country's economy. The purpose of the article is to determine the role of fiscal policy in the macro-financial stability of Ukraine. The study used general scientific methods of cognition, in particular, a critical analysis of the available scientific literature on the implementation of the state fiscal policy and its impact on macro-financial stability and economic growth, data compilation related to the systematization of tasks and principles, as well as methods of induction and deduction. It reveals how effective fiscal policy can act as an effective tool for maintaining stability, avoiding the growth of public debt, and directing resources to strategically important sectors of the economy, contributing to the sustainable economic development of the country in conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Effective implementa- tion of fiscal policy enables the government to manage economic cycles, smooth out imbalances, and respond to fiscal shocks. This contributes to the formation of the country's financial security, increasing its competitiveness and limiting the shadow economy. It is concluded that fiscal policy plays a significant role in the formation of financial and economic security of the country, and significantly affects the competitiveness of the national economy even for the development of the shadow economy. The publication analyzes important elements of interaction between fiscal policy and the macro-financial stability of the State. It is concluded that a decrease in tax pressure or an increase in expenditures in certain sectors of the economy will affect macro-financial stability, ensuring a balance between financial resources and public needs.