Road Transport Research Articles

Urban Road Transport Infrastructure Planning and Development Implications on Socio-Economic Growth in the City of Douala, Cameroon

Cities are the major contributors to socio- economic growth with easy access to amenities which stem through road transport infrastructure development. This study was conducted to assess urban road transport infrastructure planning and examine development implications on socio-economic growth in the City of Douala. A descriptive research design was used with primary and secondary data collected and analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistical techniques. Results revealed that, transport infrastructure in Douala have been structured through urban development planning policy which influences surface spatial expansion of socio- economic activities. The planning policies have contributed to the rapid expansion and growth through the initiations of master plan, land use plan and sector plan. Infrastructural development on road transport depicts a physical expansion and construction of road networks which influences the socio-economic growth of the study area. Stakeholders’ actions on construction, reconstruction and rehabilitation, investments and maintenance of road infrastructure have helped to curb down some transportation challenges and creates easy access to facilities within different sectors of the study area. However, road transport infrastructure which is well-developed boasts socio-economic activities and growth. The state of road transport network, its diversity and characteristic features is defined by its prevalence within different areas in Douala. Contrarily, other transport infrastructures which are not functioning appropriately due to lapses in physical planning possess enormous implications on transportation in the study area. The conclusion drawn was that the manner in which urban planning policies are implemented determines the level of development in road transport infrastructure and socio-economic growth of Douala. The study recommends an effective application of planning policies to be integrated by implicating all the actors of urban managers and transportation planners for improved growth in the study area.

A 3D multiobjective multi-item eco-routing problem for refrigerated fresh products delivery using NSGA-II with hybrid chromosome

In a developing countries, say India, about 40 percent fresh foods are wasted during transportation and $14 billion of post harvest products are lost due to inefficiency of cold supply chain such as using non-refrigerated vehicle during last mile transport. Hence, temperature control through refrigerated transportation is very essential. But, the by-product of this process i.e., carbon emission (CE) due to transportation and refrigeration is detrimental for the world. Only logistic transportation contributes about 25 percent of global CE. Due to the world wide infrastructural development, there are several available routes for the road transportation among different cities. For the maintenance of these routes, there are some toll plazas for collection of money. Some routes also cross the rail lines. For maximum profit, a supplier distributes the products at the earliest as the retailers fix the product’s price with respect to its freshness. Again, this process generates more CE. With these realities, a 3D multiobjective multi-item eco-routing problems for refrigerated fresh products (3DMOMIERPsfRFPs) are developed, where a refrigerated vehicle starts from a depot (refrigerated) and comes back after distributing the fresh products to retailers as per their demands. The optimal routing plan, vehicle’s velocity and preservation rate are determined so that total profit and CE are respectively maximized and minimized simultaneously. For solution, an NSGA-II with different modified operators (NSGA-IIwDOs) is developed with hybrid chromosomes having discrete and continuous variables together, probabilistic selection, problem-specific crossover and generation-dependent mutation. Some performance metrics are presented through NSGA-IIwDOs on the standard TSPLIB problems. Results of 3DMOMIERPsfRFPs without and with specific delivery time slots, road-dependent vehicle velocity and time constraints are evaluated. Pareto front for multiobjective are depicted. As a particular case, results of a previous investigation are obtained. Some of the managerial decisions are observed.

The effect of intersection vehicle scheduling based on the service system of sensors and intelligent traffic road information

With the high-speed development of the automobile industry, the number of domestic vehicles has increased significantly, which has posed a great challenge to the efficiency of road access. To fully utilize the intersection scheduling function of the intelligent transportation system, an optimization of the stranded traffic system based on LoRa is studied. Then, the greedy strategy and adaptive coefficient are used for optimization to obtain an improved genetic algorithm (GA), which is used to verify the intersection scheduling function. In addition, comparative experiments are conducted with standard GA, adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA), and hybrid genetic algorithm (HGA). The AGA optimizes the GA by adapting genetic parameters, while the HGA combines GA with a simulated annealing algorithm. The results showed that comparing the improved GA with GA, AGA, and HGA, the improved GA reduced the average value of individual extremum by 50.36%, 47.51%, and 37.16%, respectively. Compared with other mainstream algorithms, the improved GA reduced the number of stranded vehicles at intersections to 0 during traffic light timing. This indicates that the improved GA has higher and better performance and scheduling advantages in the intersection scheduling of intelligent transportation road service systems. The research aims to provide new ideas for improving traffic efficiency in intelligent transportation systems and promoting the informatization development of modern traffic management.

An investigation into the role of driver characteristics in driving behaviours and subsequent clustering of Indian bus drivers

Objectives Aberrant driving behaviours among bus drivers cause serious concerns to safety on the road. The present study aimed to measure the effects of driver characteristics on aberrant and positive driving behaviours among bus drivers and to group drivers accordingly. The study was carried out among bus drivers of the government-owned road transport corporation in Kerala, India. Methods A total of 1120 drivers took part in the survey, out of which 617 drivers returned the forms with all questions answered (response rate = 55.1%). SPSS version 27.0 was used for analysis. Results Structural equation modelling proved the predictive nature of driver characteristics on driving behaviours. K-means cluster analysis revealed clusters such as violating and angry drivers (cluster 1), knowledgeable drivers with positive driving behaviours (cluster 2), healthy and stress-free drivers (cluster 3), erroneous and stressed drivers (cluster 4) and calm drivers with positive driving behaviours (cluster 5). Conclusion Positive relationships of anger and stress on aberrant driving behaviours and higher number of drivers in clusters 1 and 4 reveal concerns of safety. The study points towards the necessity of organizational commitment for improving driver characteristics for better driver behaviours and safer roads.

A Security Framework for Railway Platform Development

The different modes of transport are air, water, and land transport, in which land transport includes rail transport, road transport and off-road transport. Most commonly using transport system are Roadways, Railways and Airways. In these frequently we use the railways, because it is cheaper and it is more convenient than other transport systems. The third largest railway network in the world is Indian railway network. But the accident’s occurs in the railways is higher. Mostly the accidents in the railway station occur between the railway platform and to the train, because of the platform gap. The platform gap is the gap exists between the train and to the platform. To avoid these accidents that the Indian government come with an indicative to increase the height of the platform. But it is not easy job to increase the height. At the time of working we cannot access the platforms. By applying my project it is easy to avoid the accidents as well as we can use the platform too. A human fall down in the gap exist between the platform and to the train can be totally avoided by introducing Mechanical platform edge extensions known as platform gap fillers which is used to bridge the gap between platform and to the train. This is more useful in the case of safeguard the human life and also it is cheaper than the cost which is involved for increase the height of the platform. In this regard the safety barrier setup present at the bottom of the platform will be automatically uplifted with the help of sensor, so the platform gap is closed with the safety barrier. And then it will retract again into the bottom at the platform after leaving the station. By this project the platform gap accidents can be avoided.

Comparative Analysis of Gini Coefficient, GDP, Energy Consumption, and Transportation Modes on CO2 Using NARDL (Nonlinear Distributed Lag Autoregressive Model) for the USA

The significance of the transportation sector, notably in terms of the carbon emission factor, is an undeniable fact. Along with this fact, individuals’ transportation preferences depend on their income levels. In this context, when the issue is considered, the income level in the USA pushes people toward cheap air travel. The main reason for this is that it is cheap, accessible, and transports one to their destinations quickly. Thus, from the perspective of road transportation, bus transportation is popular among the public. The reason why both air and road transportation modes are empirically evaluated together through income distribution is due to the preference of the US people. In this context, the effectiveness of active transportation on both air and highways in the USA from 1975 to 2023 is investigated by taking into consideration the income distribution. Empirical findings obtained through the FMOLS, DOLS, CCR, and NARDL models demonstrate that all independent variables, including GDP, energy use, air transportation, and the Gini coefficient, affect carbon dioxide emissions. In addition, wavelet analysis is performed to comprehend the form of and fluctuations in the series, which are vital to monitoring the periodical changes.

Research on the aging-suitability of community outdoor spaces in Zhengzhou based on the analytic hierarchy process and semantic differential method.

As global populations age, the suitability of community outdoor spaces for older adult residents has become a critical urban planning concern. However, comprehensive evaluation methods for assessing these spaces are lacking. Objective: This study aims to evaluate the aging-suitability of community outdoor spaces in Zhengzhou, China, and provide optimization suggestions for urban planners and policymakers. An evaluation index system was established using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), with aging-suitability as the goal layer. The criteria layer included outdoor behavioral activities, green space configuration, transportation and road systems, and basic service facilities. The semantic differential (SD) method was employed to conduct a comprehensive evaluation among older adult residents in three communities (A, B, and C) in Zhengzhou city. The evaluation revealed that older adult residents generally had a favorable assessment of their community spaces' aging-suitability. Community A received the highest overall rating. Green space configuration and transportation systems emerged as critical factors influencing aging-suitability. The combined AHP-SD approach proved effective in evaluating the aging-suitability of community outdoor spaces. The study identified key areas for improvement in each community, with variations in strengths and weaknesses across the three sites. Implications: Based on the findings, optimization suggestions are proposed in four aspects: enhancing outdoor behavioral activities, improving green space landscapes, refining road transportation systems, and upgrading basic service facilities. These recommendations can guide urban planners and policymakers in creating more age-friendly community environments.

Load‐Bearing Structure Inspired Cellulose‐Based Aerogel With High Resilience and Water Tolerance

AbstractCellulose‐based aerogels possess satisfactory sustainability, porosity, and resilience, which are promising materials to replace traditional petroleum‐based foams. However, the viscous aggregation formed between hydrophilic fibers and the pore collapse caused by weak support force pose challenges for their further applications. Here, a load‐bearing structure‐inspired cellulose‐based aerogel is innovatively developed with excellent elasticity and water tolerance through surface‐interface modulation. Specifically, cellulose and polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) form interwoven skeletons by non‐directional freeze drying. Crucially, the rhamnolipid surfactant assists in forming stable and uniform bubbles, and drives the regularization of frame structure during the freezing process, promoting the construction of refined mechanical structures. Besides, the interfacial enhancement by esterification reaction of citric acid and the encapsulation by hydrophobic silane via chemical vapor deposition endow aerogels with better resilience and water tolerance. The as‐prepared aerogels can withstand intensive compression cycle tests and possess the ability to rebound over 10 times underwater. Even after 12 h wet treatment, the strain and stress loss respectively decrease by ≈55.5% and ≈14% compare with the initial unregulated aerogels after 500 cycles of 80% compression. Surprisingly, they have excellent cushioning performance beyond expanded polystyrene (EPS) and expanded polyethylene (EPE) in simulated road transportation packaging applications, indicating their potential in new‐generation cushioning materials.

FORMATION OF A SYSTEM FOR ASSESSING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF LOGISTICS ACTIVITIES OF MOTOR TRANSPORT ENTERPRISES ENGAGED IN FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION IN TERMS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

The article discusses the importance of implementing innovations at road transport enterprises in the context of achieving the region's sustainable development goals. The author emphasizes that road transport enterprises are significant sources of harmful emissions and environmental pollution, so using innovative technologies, such as electric vehicles, hybrid cars, and alternative fuels, is an important tool for reducing the negative environmental impact. In particular, these technologies help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and other harmful substances, which is in line with Sustainable Development Goals 7 (access to modern energy), 13 (combating climate change), and 15 (protecting terrestrial ecosystems). In addition, innovations in transport technologies, such as automated driving systems, help to improve road safety and reduce the number of road accidents, which is in line with Goal 3 (good health and well-being). The creation of new jobs and infrastructure development through the construction of electric charging stations and the introduction of intelligent transport systems (smart cities) are also linked to Sustainable Development Goals 9 (sustainable infrastructure) and 11 (sustainable urban development). The author analyses the performance indicators of innovations at motor transport enterprises, taking into account economic, social, and environmental aspects. Particular emphasis is placed on the adaptation of these indicators to the current realities of Ukraine. Using game theory, the article develops a model for the selection of optimal strategies for motor transport enterprises and the region. This model allows us to find the Nash equilibrium - a situation where both parties achieve the optimal result. Enterprises that implement innovations not only improve their own performance indicators, but also contribute to the achievement of sustainable development goals of the region. The article also presents two sets of strategies: for the development of logistics activities of a motor transport enterprise and the sustainable development of the region. Both approaches aim to comprehensively improve the region's environmental, economic, and social situation. The conclusions emphasize the importance of implementing innovation development assessment systems as a tool for making strategic decisions and improving the efficiency of logistics operations.

Analysis of the New Road Safety and Transportation Measures Enforced in India

Analysis of the New Road Safety and Transportation Measures Enforced in India

The carbon footprint of vegetable imports into Aruba: A closer look at sea and air transport

This study aimed to give insights into low-carbon vegetable import strategies for Aruba, a Dutch Caribbean island. Our selected products were potatoes, lettuce, onions, tomatoes, and green beans. The products originated from 13 different countries, and 25 product-country combinations were identified. The system boundaries were from the farm until arrival at the supermarket. We identified actual maritime transport routes, and calculated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of passenger aircrafts flying from Amsterdam to Aruba. Vegetables imported by air had significantly higher GHG emissions (4.2–8.3 kg CO2eq per kg) than products imported by sea (0.4–2.3 kg CO2eq per kg). GHG emissions of road transport generally contributed more than those of other life cycle stages, except when products showed a high contribution of agriculture. Although sea transport was calculated with much detail, it usually did not contribute much to the GHG emissions. We recommend Life Cycle Practitioners to consider aircraft characteristics when calculating GHG emissions of air transport, and to include the weight of the 80 kg AKE container, used for cooled airfreight, when allocating impacts between passengers and freight. For this case study, GHG emissions of specific passenger aircrafts always resulted in lower GHG emissions compared to generic calculations.

MEXICAN INTEROCEANIC CORRIDOR: TOWARD A LIKELY SOCIALLY INCLUSIVE AND SUSTAINABLE REGION IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO

Mexican Interoceanic Corridor or Tehuantepec's Transisthmian Corridor (along with the Mayan Train) represents one the two largest iconic and challenging Mega Projects implemented in Southwestern Mexico, funded by Mexican Government, in the same so-called “Macrosouth region” or just Macrosouth, here on, (integrated by three economic subregions, namely, South-Pacific, Southern and South-western regions). Despite both projects ultimately aim to foster economic growth in such a region, the former aims to stimulate growth through an increased tourism flow from the wealthy Mayan Riviera zone toward the Gulf of Mexico's long-lagged region by railroad through the Mayan Train recently inaugurated by President Lopez Obrador,vid AMLO(Dec 22, 2023).Although the main focus of our attention here, namely, the Interoceanic Corridor, given its geoeconomic and geo strategic relevance for the country since it is expected to skyrocket Mexican exports and commercial activity through this facility and thus fostering economic growth throughout the Corridor stripe and spread it out throughout its neighboring regions such as those above referred in the coming years given its previlegious geographic location under the global context in which Mexico is currently immersed. Accordingly, the article aims to assess and highlight the socio economic relevance of the Mexican Corridor megaproject and its likelihood to achieve by this means simultaneously economic growth and people's well-being in this region as an expected consequence of the intensive commercial thorugh its operation and industrial activity generated by the production of ten industrial parks to be implemented along the Corridor (backed by a host of full-fledged refurbished and renewed productive infrastructure around it) such as railway itself and road transport and port facilities along the end lines of the Corridor stripe (and the entire Macroregion) focused on supporting the expected massive commercial flow of merchandise and concomitant export boom back and forth through the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, shortly. Furthermore, all these significant public investments, unlike prior neoliberal investment priorities in the past, these new investments are nurtured upon a framework of a socially inclusive and sustainable strategy tailored by the Mexican government for the Corridor zone to promote simultaneously economic growth and people’s well-being in the Transismithian stripe in the years to come. However, the challenge for the Mexican state, through its policymakers, is to achieve such an equilibrium between economic growth and population well-being in this region under a sustainable environmental context. Accordingly, in short, the purpose of this article is to explore the likelihood of Mexico attaining the above-referred equilibrium and implementing a socially inclusive strategy within a long-time deprived and lagged region from the rest of the country such as the Transisthmian Corridor stripe and its neighboring regions, such as the South-Pacific and Gulf of Mexico, in the foreseeable future along with its likely perspectives and socioeconomic and environmental implications.

Influence of Transport Process Management on Exceeding Permitted Load Weights in Transport Companies

Poland is the leader in the performance of international transport in the EU, serving more than half of its market. The most common branch of transport is road transport, predominantly heavy goods transport, which contributes to the strain on road infrastructure. Furthermore, around one-fifth of those vehicles may exceed the permissible total mass. In this respect, the increasing demand for road transport further complicates the slowdown and prevention of road network degradation. Overloads have significant consequences for road infrastructure, economics, and traffic safety. Load management in transport companies is crucial for eliminating overloads. This article aims to assess how companies conducting freight transport manage the cargo weighing process in the context of potential overloads. Data from a survey among transport industry companies in Poland were analysed. Using non-parametric U Mann-Whitney and Kruskal-Wallis tests, the influence between propensity for cargo overloading and the method of cargo weighing was examined. The results indicated that the propensity for cargo overloading in TSL industry companies is significantly associated with both the occurrence of the weighing process and its method, as well as the responsibility for this process among individual participants in the transport process.

Use of Wireless Sensor Networks for Area-Based Speed Control and Traffic Monitoring

This paper reviews the potential of low-power wireless networks to improve road safety. The authors characterized this type of network and its application in road transport. They also presented the available technologies, highlighting one that was considered the most promising for transport applications. The study includes an innovative and proprietary concept of area-based vehicle speed monitoring using this technology and describes its potential for enhancing road safety. Assumptions and a model for the deployment of network equipment within the planned implementation area were developed. Using radio coverage planning software, the authors conducted a series of simulations to assess the radio coverage of the proposed solution. The results were used to evaluate the feasibility of deployment and to select system operating parameters. It was also noted that the proposed solution could be applied to traffic monitoring. The main objective of this paper is to present a new solution for improving road safety and to assess its feasibility for practical implementation. To achieve this, the authors conducted and presented the results of a series of simulations using radio coverage planning software. The key contribution of this research is the authors′ proposal to implement simultaneous vehicle speed control across the entire monitored area, rather than limiting it to specific, designated points. The simulation results, primarily related to the deployment and selection of operating parameters for wireless sensor network devices, as well as the type and height of antenna placement, suggest that the practical implementation of the proposed solution is feasible. This approach has the potential to significantly improve road safety and alter drivers′ perceptions of speed control. Additionally, the positive outcomes of the research could serve as a foundation for changing the selection of speed control sites, focusing on areas with the highest road safety risk at any given time.

The value of statistical life in air and road transport

Purpose Accidents occur in all transport modes and can cause significant material damage and loss of life. To efficiently allocate resources that enable the reduction of accidents, it is necessary to estimate the value of a statistical life (VSL). This study aims to show how the statistical value of human life in air and road traffic is determined. Design/methodology/approach This study examines and applies recent empirical evidence aimed at clarifying the basic concept of the VSL and defining the reasons for its importance in evaluating public policies in aviation safety and road traffic safety. The research focuses on the principal equity indicators, both theoretical and empirical, that must be confronted to provide a credible estimate of the VSL. Findings Previous research shows that the VSL could have a considerable range of possible values. This study emphasizes that risk reduction funds need to be distributed in a consistent and equitable manner to achieve the best outcomes for society as a whole. Practical implications This research will guide future research efforts towards understanding the impact of the estimated statistical life value on air and road safety implications. Social implications This study strengthens awareness of the importance of the VSL in evaluating public policies in the field of aviation and road safety. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is one of the first to compare air and road traffic from the perspective of the VSL evaluation.

A Decision Support Model for Lean Supply Chain Management in City Multifloor Manufacturing Clusters

City manufacturing has once again become one of the priority areas for the sustainable development of smart cities thanks to the use of a wide range of green technologies and, first of all, additive technologies. Shortening the supply chain between producers and consumers has significant effects on economic, social, and environmental dimensions. Zoning of city multifloor manufacturing (CMFM) in areas with a compact population in large cities in the form of clusters with their own city logistics nodes (CLNs) creates favorable conditions for promptly meeting the needs of citizens for goods of everyday demand and for passenger and freight transportation. City multifloor manufacturing clusters (CMFMCs) have been already studied quite a lot for their possible uses; nevertheless, an identified research gap is related to supply chain design efficiency concerning urban CMFMCs. Thus, the main objective of this study was to explore the possibilities of lean supply chain management (LSCM) as the integrated application of lean manufacturing (LM) approaches and I4.0 technologies for customer-centric value stream management based on eliminating all types of waste, reducing the use of natural and energy resources, and continuous improvement of processes related to logistics activities. This paper presents a decision support model for LSCM in CMFMCs, which is a mathematical deterministic model. This model justifies the minimization of the number of road transport transfers within the urban area and the amount of stock that is stored in CMFMC buildings and in CLNs, and also regulating supplier lead time. The model was verified and validated using appropriately selected test data based on the case study, which was designed as a typical CMFM manufacturing system with various parameters of CMFMCs and urban freight transport frameworks. The feasibility of using the proposed model for value stream mapping (VSM) and managing logistics processes and inventories in clusters is discussed. The findings can help decisionmakers and researchers improve the planning and management of logistics processes and inventory in clusters, even in the face of unexpected disruptions.

Anticipatory climate policy mix pathways: a framework for ex-ante construction and assessment applied to the road transport sector

ABSTRACT Globally, climate policy implementation is failing to deliver on the ambitions outlined in the Paris Agreement and countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions. We argue that a more strategic and anticipatory approach to policy mix design and implementation can help contribute to realizing these ambitions. Policy mixes need to co-evolve as energy transitions progress, in order to effectively target multiple transition challenges as these change over time. Accordingly, policy assessments need to both consider interactions between instruments and adopt a dynamic perspective, in terms of design logics and evaluative criteria. We highlight the need for a construction and assessment methodology for designing policy mix pathways which explicitly considers durability risks which could weaken support and lead to dismantling, and anticipatory design principles which can help mitigate these risks. Our paper addresses this gap by proposing and illustrating a novel framework for policy instrument mix pathway construction and ex-ante assessment. We identify generalizable durability challenges for effective anticipatory design: dynamic cost effectiveness, the distributive impacts and acceptance of pathways, along with fiscal and governance requirements for effective implementation. We demonstrate the value of the approach by application to the German light-duty vehicle sector transition. We construct and comparatively assess three illustrative pathways promising to deliver the German LDV sector 2030 GHG targets. The pathways differ in logic, and which of three main market dynamics driving a diffusion-stage transition they emphasize: battery electric vehicle (BEV) purchase, vehicle stock usage, and internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle scrappage. Accordingly, the pathways utilize different instrument combinations, design features and calibrations. We also assess the illustrative pathways and discuss trade-offs. We argue that this approach can help improve climate policy planning and implementation processes, and increase the likelihood attaining ambitious mitigation targets.

An innovative operational model for companies operating bus fleets

The organization and operation of public transport have not escaped the impact of changes taking place worldwide which are driven and influenced by the rapid spread of disruptive technologies and efforts related to climate protection and sustainable development. The challenges posed by the proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs) – including electric buses (BEBs) – require new solutions and new ways of thinking, and a more holistic and innovative operating model for road transport companies using buses. In this model, the authors present a methodology for the delivery of contracted scheduled services that, as part of a systems approach, links a mixed fleet and its appropriate route plan within a data-driven circular operational model, allowing room for innovative energy solutions, the use of renewable energy sources and for satisfaction of increasingly demanding climate and sustainability requirements, all using a logistics science approach.

Research on Urban Expressway Design Based on New Transportation Concepts

This article is based on the Suzhou Central Expressway project, adhering to the principles of "safety, comfort, ecology, wisdom, and harmony", adhering to the comprehensive, coordinated, and sustainable development concept, guided by the new concept of transportation construction of the Ministry of Transport, integrating the design concept of traffic safety first, resource conservation, environmental friendliness, technological innovation, and intelligent collaboration, and organically combining nature, culture, and roads. The design strives to achieve road aesthetic design, tolerant design, humanistic design, flexible design, and creative design, which is of great significance for the research of ecological smart road design, transportation industry, and sustainable development of nature and culture.

Scenario analysis of waste tires from China's vehicles future

As a byproduct of vehicles, tires are utilized in large quantities with the widespread promotion of vehicles. Long-term accumulation of non-degradable waste tires occupies land resources and poses severe environmental threats. Projecting future waste tire volumes provides a scientific basis for preventing excessive accumulation, enables proactive planning of recycling strategies, reduces environmental pollution and promotes waste tire recycling. Using a bottom-up Road Transport Waste Tire Stock model, this study projects vehicle stocks and corresponding annual increases in waste tires from 2002 to 2050. The study reveals that China's vehicle and waste tire stock follows an S-curve growth. Vehicle ownership is projected to increase from 276 million in 2020 to 490–583 million by 2050. Between 2002 and 2030, waste tire generation from vehicles is expected to rise from 4.79 million tons to 18.13–18.57 million tons. By 2050, growth will slow, but the total output will still reach 18.90–19.85 million tons, with cargo trucks contributing 68%. By 2050, Shandong is the leading province in waste tire production, generating 1.82 million tons annually, accounting for 9.1%. Hainan will see the highest growth rate by 2030, with a 40% increase from 2020 levels. The study, based on current policies, presents three recommendations: improving waste tire tracking and recycling systems, implementing region-specific management strategies, and promoting the resource recovery of raw materials from cargo trucks waste tires. These measures aim to enhance waste tire management and foster rubber resource recycling.