Understanding preferences of animals is of fundamental importance for modelling habitat quality and quantity. Important theoretical developments, for example using ideal free and ideal despotic distributions (IDD), have enabled biologists to build conceptual frameworks for relating habitat preferences of individual animals to distributions and dynamics of populations. At the same time, managers of natural resources have established predictive empirical models as a basis for understanding habitat quality. For example, the Physical Habitat Simulation model (PHABSIM) has been widely applied for managing river flows. The aim of this study was to conduct experiments, using Atlantic salmon parr, to test whether observed population distributions could be predicted using simple behaviour theory and PHABSIM. We show that predictions from PHABSIM depend crucially on population density, discharge and the interaction between density and discharge at the time when the model is parameterized. These findings can, in part, be explained by consideration and application of the IDD. However, the results of the experiments also suggest that models derived from first behavioural principles may need to be unexpectedly complex and species‐specific if they are to capture the population response to variations in water discharge effectively.
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