Risk Stratification Of Cardiac Patients Research Articles

Brain Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predict Perioperative Events in Cardiac Patients Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery: A Prospective Study

Objectives: Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels correlate with prognosis in patients with cardiac disease and may be useful in the risk stratification of cardiac patients undergoing noncardiac surgery (NCS). The objective of this study was to examine whether BNP levels predict perioperative events in cardiac patients undergoing NCS. Methods: Patients undergoing NCS with at least 1 of the following criteria were included: a clinical history of congestive heart failure (CHF), ejection fraction <40%, or severe aortic stenosis. All patients underwent echocardiography and measurement of BNP performed using the ADVIA-Centaur BNP assay (Bayer HealthCare). Clinical endpoints were death, myocardial infarction or pulmonary congestion requiring intravenous diuretics at 30 days of follow-up. Results: Forty-four patients were entered into the study; 15 patients (34%) developed cardiac postoperative complications. The mean BNP level was 1,366 ± 1,420 pg/ml in patients with events and 167 ± 194 pg/ml in patients without events, indicating a highly significant difference (p < 0.001). The ROC area under the curve was 0.91 (95% CI 0.83–0.99) with an optimal cutoff of >165 pg/ml (100% sensitivity, 70% specificity). Conclusions: BNP levels may predict perioperative complications in cardiac patients undergoing NCS, and the measurement of BNP should be considered to assess the preoperative cardiac risk.

The Electrocardiogram as a Prognostic Tool for Predicting Major Cardiac Events

Among patients with cardiac disease, the identification of those who are at low risk and those who are at high risk for major cardiac events is crucial for a rational clinical management of individual patients. A correct noninvasive risk stratification of cardiac patients, in particular, has relevant clinical implications because it would avoid unnecessary exposure to potentially risky invasive diagnostic or interventional procedures in low-risk patients, whereas it would allow an appropriate aggressive diagnostic and therapeutic approach in high-risk patients. Furthermore, the appropriate identification of low- and high-risk patients would also have social and economic implications by favoring optimization of resource distribution and costs. A large number of studies in previous decades provided evidence that several methods and variables derived from the analysis of the electrocardiogram (ECG) are powerful predictors of major cardiac events in several clinical conditions. Despite that, there has been limited attention about how several of these findings can be used in clinical practice. Furthermore, in recent years, most studies about risk stratification of cardiac patients have mainly been focused on the use of a number of serum/plasma biomarkers with reduced attention to ECG variables. Surprisingly, however, there have been few attempts to establish whether the various proposed risk markers add any significant information to that obtainable from ECG methods. In this article, the evidence for the prognostic value of variables derived from the assessment of the ECG signal by several methods and techniques will be briefly reviewed. Because of the largeness of the topic, this review will be necessarily incomplete. Because most of the clinical research in this field concerned risk stratification of patients with coronary artery disease, the article will be largely focused on this population of patients. The role of ECG methods in specific cardiac diseases and, in particular, in the general population of asymptomatic subjects will be briefly discussed when believed appropriate and helpful. Furthermore, only major clinical events (ie, cardiac death, arrhythmic events, acute myocardial infarction) will be taken into account as end points in this article. Minor clinical events (eg, coronary revascularization procedures, coronary artery restenosis, recurrences of symptoms) are indeed less robust as end points because they are widely biased by subjective judgments.

What is the Prognostic Value of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging Using Rubidium-82 Positron Emission Tomography?

The objective was to determine the prognostic value of rubidium-82 (82Rb) positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). 82Rb PET MPI accurately diagnoses coronary artery disease (CAD). However, there are limited data evaluating its prognostic value. Follow-up (3.1 +/- 0.9 years) was obtained in 367 patients who underwent dipyridamole 82Rb PET MPI. Patients were divided into groups based on their summed stress score (SSS): group I, normal (<4); group II, mild (4 to 7); and group III, moderate (8 to 11) to severe (> or =12). There were significant differences among patients in the 3 SSS groups for hard events (cardiac death and myocardial infarction [MI]) (p < 0.001) and total cardiac events (hard events, revascularization and hospitalization) (p < 0.001). The annual hard events rates were 0.4%, 2.3%, and 7.0% in the normal, mild, and moderate-severe groups, respectively. In adjusted survival models, 82Rb PET SSS was the strongest predictor of total cardiac events and a significant predictor of hard events. Among patients referred for PET after 99mTc single-photon emission computed tomography, the annual total event rate was higher with abnormal versus normal SSS on PET (15.2% vs. 1.3%, p < 0.001). In patients with obesity, the annual total event rate was 11.1% with an abnormal scan and 1.5% with a normal scan (p < 0.001). This study shows that 82Rb PET MPI has significant prognostic value for predicting cardiac events, including death and MI. It also seems to have prognostic value in patients whose diagnosis remains uncertain after single-photon emission computed tomography MPI and in obese patients. The prognostic value of PET MPI may improve the management of cardiac patients.

Beat-to-beat QT dynamics in healthy subjects.

Measures of QT dynamics express repolarization abnormalities that carry prognostic information, but the reproducibility of beat-to-beat QT dynamics has never been established. The QT interval is prolonged at night, but how the circadian rhythm and heart rate influence the dynamic QT measurements is still unsettled. The aims of the present study were: (1) to describe the reproducibility of beat-to-beat QT dynamics with respect to intrasubject, between-subject, and between-observer variability and (2) to describe the normal range, circadian variation, and heart rate dependence of QT dynamics. Ambulatory Holter recordings were performed three times on 20 healthy volunteers and were analyzed by two experienced cardiologists. Slope and intercept of the QT/RR regression, the variability of QT and R-R intervals expressed as the standard deviation, and the relation between QT and RR variability expressed as a variability ratio were measured among other QT dynamics. The reproducibility of all QT dynamics was good. All QT dynamics showed circadian variation when calculated on an hourly basis. The day/night variation in slope could be explained by the differences in heart rate, whereas the day/night variation in intercept was heart rate independent. The present study shows that reliable automatic QT measurements could be performed, encouraging further evaluation of the clinical value of QT dynamics in risk stratification of cardiac patients.

Cardiac risk stratification in patients undergoing endoluminal graft repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm: a single-institution experience with 365 patients.

Patients undergoing abdominal aortic aneurysm repair have a high incidence of coexisting cardiac disease. The traditional cardiac risk stratification for open abdominal aortic aneurysm surgery may not apply to patients undergoing endoluminal graft exclusion. The purpose of this study was to examine predictive risk factors for perioperative cardiac events. As part of multiple prospective endograft trials approved by the US Food and Drug Administration, data for 365 patients who underwent endoluminal graft repair from 1996 to 2001 were collected. Variables included for analysis were age and sex; history of smoking; presence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, or renal insufficiency; Eagle clinical cardiac risk factors; American Society of Anesthesiologists index; type of anesthesia administered; estimated blood loss; preoperative hemoglobin level; preoperative use of beta-blocker therapy; duration of surgery; need for iliac artery conduit; and concomitant other vascular procedures. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to determine which variables were predictive of an adverse perioperative cardiac event, eg, Q wave and non-Q wave myocardial infarction (MI), congestive heart failure (CHF), severe arrhythmia, and unstable angina. The study cohort included 322 men and 43 women (mean age, 74.2 years). Fifty-two (14.2%) postoperative cardiac events occurred: severe dysrhythmia in 15 patients (4.1%), MI in 14 patients (3.8%), non-Q wave MI in 8 patients (2.2%), CHF in 8 patients (2.2%), and unstable angina in 7 patients (1.9%). Univariate analysis demonstrated that age 70 years or older (P =.034), history of MI (P =.018), angina (P =.004), history of CHF (P <.001), two or more Eagle risk factors (P <.001), and lack of use of preoperative beta-blocker therapy (P =.005) were predictors of perioperative cardiac events. Multivariate analysis identified only age 70 years or older (P =.026), history of MI (P =.024) or CHF (P =.001), and lack of use of preoperative beta-blocker therapy (P =.007) as independent risk factors for an adverse cardiac event. Age 70 years or older, history of MI or CHF, and lack of use of preoperative beta-blocker therapy are independent risk factors for perioperative cardiac events in patients undergoing endoluminal graft repair.

Which Stress Test is Superior for Perioperative Cardiac Risk Stratification in Patients Undergoing Major Vascular Surgery?

Objective: to compare the additional prognostic value of Dobutamine Stress Echocardiography (DSE), Dipyridamole Stress Echocardiography (DiSE) and Perfusion Scintigraphy (DTS) on clinical risk factors in patients undergoing major vascular surgery.Design: retrospective analysis.Materials: 2204 consecutive patients who underwent DSE (n=1093), DiSE (n=394), or DTS (n=717) testing before major vascular surgery were studied.Methods: primary endpoint was a composite of cardiac death and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relation between cardiac risk factors, stress test results and the incidence of the composite endpoint.Results: there were 138 patients (6.3%) with cardiac death or MI. Patients with 0, 1–2, and 3 or more risk factors experienced respectively 3.0, 5.7 and 17.4% cardiac events. We found no statistically significant difference in the predictive value of a positive test result for DiSE and DSE (Odds ratio (OR) of 37.1 [95% CI, 8.1–170.1] vs 9.6 [95% CI, 4.9–18.4]; p=0.12), whereas a positive test result for DTS had significantly lower prognostic value (OR=1.95 [95% CI, 1.2–3.2]).Conclusion: a result of stress echocardiography effectively stratified patients into low- and high-risk groups for cardiac complications, irrespective of clinical risk profile. In contrast, the prognostic value of DTS results was more likely to be dependent on patients' clinical risk profile.

Cardiac Risk Stratification of Patients With Symptomatic Spinal Stenosis

The leading cause of death in the perioperative period after noncardiac surgery is a cardiac event. As the number of lumbar surgeries performed in patients older than 65 years of age continues to increase, this patient population with neurogenic claudications is an at risk group for a cardiac event because of their age and associated cardiac risk factors. The authors attempted to document by means of cardiac chemical stress testing, the prevalence of silent ischemic cardiac disease in patients with neurogenic claudication who were candidates for elective lumbar surgery. Eleven of 140 patients (8%) had induced cardiac wall abnormalities on stress testing, indicating myocardial ischemia. The only risk factors associated with cardiac ischemia were smoking and history of heart disease. It is recommended that dobutamine stress echocardiography be performed in patients undergoing elective spinal surgery for symptomatic spinal stenosis if they have a history of previous heart disease, smoking, or both.

Cardiac risk stratification of patients undergoing vascular surgery

Approximately 50% of patients with peripheral vascular disease have severe coronary artery disease. Several ways of predicting the postoperative risk for major cardiac events in these patients have been proposed. Echocardiography is now the most frequently used preoperative test for risk stratification.

Multisite study of a second generation whole blood rapid assay for cardiac troponin T.

We evaluated a second generation, qualitative, whole blood rapid assay for cardiac troponin T (cTnT), which employs a more cardio-specific troponin T mouse monoclonal capture antibody. Using quantitative cTnT enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) results as the benchmark for accuracy, we compared the performance of the second generation and the original whole blood rapid assays in 445 samples from patients with the following diagnoses, determined by medical record review: myocardial infarction, coronary bypass surgery, ischaemic heart disease, musculoskeletal disease, renal failure or other noncardiac conditions. Overall, concordance between the second generation cTnT Rapid Assay and the quantitative cTnT ELISA, compared using the McNemar test and a cut-off concentration of 0.1 microgram/L, was in the range 76-94% for each patient group. Using a receiver operating characteristic plot, the cut-off for the second generation cTnT Rapid Assay was in the range 0.06-0.08 microgram/L. We conclude that the second generation cTnT whole blood assay has a 2.5-fold lower analytical cut-off than the original rapid assay (0.2 microgram/L) and may represent a more sensitive clinical tool for the rapid triage and risk stratification of cardiac patients.

Exercise 99mtechnetium Tetrofosmin tomography for cardiac risk stratification of patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease

Exercise 99mtechnetium Tetrofosmin tomography for cardiac risk stratification of patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease

Use of dobutamine echocardiography for cardiac risk stratification of patients with chronic renal failure.

This study sought to define the value of dobutamine echocardiography (DbE) for cardiac risk stratification in patients with chronic renal failure (CRF). Outcome study correlating results of DbE with late cardiac events in patients with CRF. Academic medical centre. All patients with CRF (serum creatinine > 2.5 mg dL-1) undergoing DbE were studied; we analysed 193 consecutive patients (aged 63 +/- 13 years, 73 men). A standard dobutamine-atropine stress was administered until attainment of peak dose, or the development of severe ischaemia or side-effects. The electrocardiogram (ECG) and echocardiogram were obtained before, during and after stress. Ischaemia was identified by new or worsening wall-motion abnormalities with stress. Patients were followed up after 38 +/- 14 months for cardiac death, myocardial infarction or coronary disease progression requiring revascularization. DbE demonstrated ischaemia in 36 patients (19%), scar in 36 (19%) and a normal study in 121 patients. The heart-rate response to dobutamine was submaximal (< 85% age-predicted heart rate) in the absence of wall-motion abnormalities in 69 patients (36%), 54 of whom completed the protocol. Follow-up data were complete in 191 patients (99%); cardiac events occurred in 33 patients (17%), including 17 with cardiac death, 7 with infarction, and 9 requiring late revascularization. Spontaneous events occurred in 7 patients with ischaemia, 3 with scar (8%), 11 with a nondiagnostic study (16%) and 3 patients with a normal study (6%). Over the entire follow-up, the event-free survival in patients with ischaemia (66%) was markedly lower than those without ischaemia (84%, P = 0.006). However, the event rate in patients with nonischaemic responses increased from 8% to 16% between 24 and 40 months, and whilst ischaemia was an independent predictor of outcome at 24 months, it was not at 40 months. In patients with CRF, the identification of ischaemia at DbE is associated with a significant risk of adverse cardiac events. Patients with nonischaemic scans have a low frequency of events over short-term follow-up, but this increases at later follow-up. These later events may reflect progressive coronary disease, attributable to the atherogenic milieu of these patients, and imply that repeated testing may be required to maintain cardiac risk stratification in patients with CRF.

Rapid Atrial Pacing for Detecting Provokable Demand Ischemia in Anesthetized Patients

A stress test that can be performed intraoperatively might be valuable for cardiac risk stratification in patients needing urgent noncardiac surgery and for early evaluation of coronary reserve in patients undergoing aortocoronary bypass surgery.Therefore, we evaluated the sensitivity and safety of rapid atrial pacing combined with electrocardiography and transesophageal echocardiography for inducing and detecting provokable demand ischemia in 20 anesthetized patients with multivessel coronary artery disease. Rapid atrial pacing induced ST segment changes or new segmental wall motion abnormalities (SWMA), which were defined as evidence of induced ischemia in 15 of the 20 patients. Unexpectedly, the new SWMA normalized during the first beat after abrupt cessation of pacing in three patients who did not show any ST segment changes. Simultaneously, left ventricular preload was severely decreased during pacing and recovered to baseline immediately when pacing was abruptly discontinued. Rapid atrial pacing was safe in all patients, but the target heart rate could not be achieved because of heart block or arterial hypotension in 4 of the 20 patients. These findings raise the question of whether rapid atrial pacing is the most appropriate approach for inducing provokable demand ischemia in anesthetized patients. However, its potential usefulness for predicting adverse cardiac outcomes has not been evaluated and would require larger studies. In addition, the immediate normalization of new SWMA after abrupt cessation of pacing in some patients calls into question the validity of new SWMA as evidence of myocardial ischemia when left ventricular preload is severely decreased. (Anesth Analg 1997;84:1180-5)

Use of cardiac markers as assessed by outcomes analysis

This article will describe the outcomes studies that have been performed or are needed in related to biochemical markers in coronary artery diseases (CAD). Studies in five major areas are reviewed: the need for emergency department (ED) chest pain centers and the role of cardiac markers; impact of cardiac marker testing frequency on length of stay (LOS); interpretation of cardiac troponins T and I for risk stratification of cardiac patients with unstable angina (UA); serum markers for determining the success of intravenous thrombolytic therapy following acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and its role in rescue percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA); and need and criteria for implementation of new cardiac tests. Chest pain centers reduce unnecessary admissions and costs for AMI rule outs. Laboratories must perform testing on a stat basis for rapid rule out of AMI. Stat testing will also result in a reduction in hospital LOS for patients who rule in for AMI. For UA patients, studies are needed to determine how results of cardiac markers can be used to improve cardiac outcomes. Serial measurements of myoglobin offer the earliest discrimination for successful reperfusion, and should be used if rescue PTCA becomes important therapeutically. New markers for early diagnosis are needed to complement tests such as myoglobin and CK-MB isoforms. Markers that assess early pathophysiologic events of AMI such as inflammation, thrombosis, and pre-necrosis ischemia have the most promise.

Exercise technetium-99m sestamibi tomography for cardiac risk stratification of patients with stable chest pain.

This study was designed to evaluate the prognostic value of symptom-limited maximal exercise treadmill testing with tomographic technetium-99m sestamibi (MIBI) myocardial imaging in patients referred for evaluation of stable angina. Exercise stress thallium-201 myocardial imaging provides prognostic information in coronary artery disease subsets including patients with stable chest pain. The prognostic value of exercise technetium-99m MIBI myocardial tomography has not been established. Of 548 consecutive patients with stable angina pectoris who underwent maximal exercise treadmill stress testing in combination with a same-day "rest-stress" tomographic technetium-99m MIBI myocardial imaging protocol, 521 patients were followed for 13 +/- 5 months to determine the univariate and multivariate variables associated with cardiac events and to define their cardiac event-free survival. Ten patients were lost to follow-up (98% complete), and 17 who had coronary revascularization within 6 months of testing were excluded. Major cardiac events occurred in 24 patients (9%)--nonfatal myocardial infarction in 11 and cardiac death in 13. Univariate Cox survival analysis demonstrated significant relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for exercise ST segment depression (RR = 2.3; 95% CI, 1.0 to 5.3), an abnormal MIBI scan (RR = 13.8; 95% CI, 1.9 to 102.3), and a reversible MIBI perfusion defect (RR = 3.2; 95% CI, 1.4 to 7.5). Multivariate models demonstrated that both exercise MIBI perfusion abnormalities (RR = 11.9; 95% CI, 1.6 to 89.4) and reversible MIBI perfusion defects (RR = 2.9; 95% CI, 1.2 to 7.0) had independent predictive value. During 1 year of follow-up, cardiac events occurred in only 0.5% of patients with normal MIBI scans compared with 7% of those with abnormal MIBI scans (P < .001). One-year, cardiac event-free survival was 92% in patients with reversible MIBI perfusion defects (P < .01 versus normal), 96% in patients with fixed defects (P < .01), and 93% in patients with combined reversible and fixed MIBI myocardial perfusion abnormalities (P < .02). As with exercise thallium-201 myocardial imaging, exercise stress technetium-99m MIBI myocardial tomography provides significant independent information concerning the subsequent risk of serious cardiac events (death, myocardial infarction) in patients with stable angina pectoris. The identification of MIBI perfusion abnormalities, in particular, the presence of reversible MIBI defects, was associated with reduced 1-year, event-free survival. The recognized imaging and radiotracer biokinetic differences between thallium-201 and MIBI do not appear to modulate the prognostic value associated with scintigraphic evidence of ischemic myocardial jeopardy in the stable angina population.

An assessment of the positive predictive value and cost-effectiveness of dipyridamole myocardial scintigraphy in patients undergoing vascular surgery

The approach to cardiac risk stratification of patients undergoing vascular surgery continues to be controversial. The success of algorithms that use clinical risk factors to determine cardiac risk have been inconsistent. Dipyridamole myocardial scintigraphy (DMS) has been accepted as a sensitive, noninvasive approach to risk stratification with excellent negative predictive value. Low positive predictive value (PPV) of abnormal DMS scans is a shortcoming that contributes to extensive preoperative cardiac evaluation and intervention with associated morbidity, mortality, and cost in most patients who undergo uncomplicated vascular procedures, regardless of DMS results. Over 6 years, 237 patients underwent DMS before surgical management of infrarenal aortic aneurysm, aortoiliac, or infrainguinal occlusive disease. The value of multiple clinical factors and DMS were assessed retrospectively for the prediction of perioperative myocardial infarction (MI), heart-related death, or preoperative selection for myocardial revascularization. Only congestive heart failure and two or more reversible defects on DMS were statistically significant on logistic regression analysis. The PPV of DMS was 19% for all patients with reversible defects, 12% for patients with one reversible defect, and 36.7% for patients with two or more reversible defects. The rates of cardiac death and MI were 1.3% and 5.9%, respectively. Perioperative echocardiography revealed unchanged postinfarction ejection fraction in most patients who experienced MI. Cost-effectiveness of DMS screening was evaluated. The costs per MI and cardiac death averted suggest a decline in cost-effectiveness of screening with DMS over time, assuming improving cardioprotective strategies of patient care. Clinical risk factors were minimally useful in the prediction of perioperative MI, heart-related death, or need for myocardial revascularization. The PPV of DMS is low, and the majority of MIs may be clinically insignificant. The cost-effectiveness of cardiac screening with DMS may not be justifiable given current trends of health care reform.

Preoperative cardiac risk assessment for patients having peripheral vascular surgery.

To review the methods used for preoperative cardiac risk stratification of patients having peripheral vascular surgery. Relevant studies published before August 1991 were identified using a MEDLINE search of the English-language literature, followed by a manual search of the references of all identified articles. All clinical studies evaluating methods used for preoperative cardiac risk stratification of patients having peripheral vascular surgery. The key data extracted from each article included the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the study patients, the techniques used for testing and the corresponding definitions of positive test results, and the clinical outcomes of the tested patients. Data were analyzed using a Bayesian conceptual framework, and pretest probabilities were converted to post-test probabilities using calculation of likelihood ratios. Patients with high scores on clinical cardiac risk indexes (Goldman index greater than 12 or Detsky index greater than 15), or more than three of the criteria identified by Eagle (age greater than 70 years, diabetes, angina, Q waves on electrocardiogram, or ventricular arrhythmias) are likely to be at higher risk for cardiac death and myocardial infarction after vascular surgery. Those with both low scores and none of Eagle's criteria may be at lower risk, but this result has not been reproduced by independent studies. Neither group of patients would benefit from further investigation for cardiac risk stratification. Patients with one or two of these criteria may be at intermediate risk and would benefit most from further testing for the purposes of risk stratification. Most of the published evidence shows that the absence of redistribution on dipyridamole-thallium scanning identifies a low risk for postoperative cardiac complications, whereas the presence of redistribution predicts a high risk. Preliminary reports suggest that preoperative monitoring for silent myocardial ischemia may also be useful in identifying a high-risk subset of patients. Patients identified clinically to be at either very low or high risk for cardiac complications after peripheral vascular surgery are unlikely to benefit from further risk stratification. Dipyridamole-thallium scanning is the test of choice for further evaluation of patients at intermediate clinical risk because studies have shown that it is sensitive enough to rule out a high-risk status for patients who do not have redistribution.

Dipyridamole thallium imaging may not be a reliable screening test for coronary artery disease in patients undergoing vascular surgery

Dipyridamole thallium imaging has been proposed for cardiac risk stratification in patients undergoing peripheral vascular surgery. The purpose of this study was to define the benefit of this investigation in routine preoperative evaluation of these patients. The outcome of 86 patients undergoing vascular surgery procedures was examined in light of preoperative clinical assessment and dipyridamole SPECT thallium imaging (DST). Fifty-one patients (59%) were considered at high risk on clinical grounds, and 22 patients (26%) had perfusion defects. Ten patients suffered a perioperative coronary event, including unstable angina, myocardial infarction, or cardiac death. Seven of the patients with such events were among the 51 clinically high-risk subjects (14%). Three perioperative events occurred in the group of 19 patients with positive DST images who underwent surgery (16%), but the DST test failed to identify 7 patients who suffered coronary events. The frequency of abnormal thallium imaging was similar to the prevalence of angiographically significant coronary disease reported previously at this center, but considerably less than the rate of abnormal thallium imaging in past studies of vascular surgery patients. The application of the test to a low to moderate risk population is probably responsible for its lower predictive accuracy for coronary events. DST is not an ideal routine noninvasive technique for risk stratification in patients undergoing vascular surgery.