To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of aspirin (ASA) prophylaxis guided by biomarker values and ultrasound indices for preeclampsia prevention compared to approaches based on clinical risk assessment. We designed a decision analysis model to compare the costs and effectiveness of four strategies to guide ASA use in pregnancy: (1) biomarkers and ultrasound risk assessment (2) the United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) risk factor based approach, (3) universal ASA, and (4) no ASA. In the base case model, we assumed that ASA reduced the risk of preterm preeclampsia by 61% but did not reduce the risk of term preeclampsia. Sensitivity analyses that varied these and other assumptions were performed to assess the model’s robustness. Threshold analyses were performed to identify the costs and risks of ASA-related complications (e.g., gastrointestinal bleeding and respiratory sensitivity) at which the preferred strategy shifted. The primary outcome was the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) defined as the cost needed to avert one case of preeclampsia. An ICER less than 100,000 USD was considered cost-effective based on literature describing maternal and neonatal costs associated with preeclampsia. Under baseline estimates, universal ASA use is the dominant strategy (i.e., costs the least and provides the greatest health benefit). For every 100,000 women, universal ASA use would save $19,216,551 and result in 308 fewer cases of preeclampsia compared to ASA use guided by biomarker and ultrasound risk assessment (Table 1). In univariate and multivariate analyses, the model was sensitive only to the probability of ASA administration. When ASA use in the universal strategy was below 55%, following USPSTF guidelines became more cost effective. Threshold analysis revealed that only when the rate of GI bleeding with ASA exceeded 0.94% or the rate of respiratory complications exceeded 38% was universal ASA no longer the dominant strategy. In a Monte Carlo analysis, universal ASA was the most cost-effective strategy in 89% of simulations. Universal aspirin administration, as compared to several other strategies for preeclampsia risk assessment and selected ASA use is a dominant strategy across a broad range of relevant probabilities.
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