Risk Of Future Cardiovascular Disease Events Research Articles

Cross-modality Labeling Enables Noninvasive Capillary Quantification as a Sensitive Biomarker for Assessing Cardiovascular Risk

PurposeWe aim to use Fundus fluorescein angiography (FFA) to label the capillaries on color fundus photographs (CF) and train a deep learning model to quantify retinal capillaries non-invasively from CF and apply it to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment.Design: cross-sectional study Subjects90,732 pairs of CF-FFA images from 3893 participants. Main Outcome MeasuresArea under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for segmentation. Hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] for Cox regression analysis. MethodWe matched the vessels extracted from FFA and CF, and used vessels from FFA as labels to train a deep learning model (RMHAS-FA) to segment retinal capillaries using CF. We tested the model's accuracy on a manually labeled internal test set (FundusCapi). For external validation, we tested the segmentation model on seven vessel segmentation datasets, and investigated the clinical value of the segmented vessels in predicting CVD events using data from 49,229 participants in the UK Biobank. ResultsOn the FundusCapi dataset, the segmentation performance was AUC = 0.94, accuracy = 0.93, sensitivity = 0.89, and specificity = 0.93. Smaller vessel skeleton density had a stronger correlation with CVD risk factors and incidence (p < 0.01). Reduced density of small vessel skeletons was strongly associated with an increased risk of CVD incidence and mortality for women (HR [95% CI] = 0.91[0.84-0.98] and 0.68[0.54-0.86], respectively). ConclusionsUsing paired CF-FFA images, we automated the laborious manual labeling process and enabled non-invasive capillary quantification from CF, supporting its potential as a sensitive screening method for identifying individuals at high risk of future CVD events.

Calprotectin and CRP as biomarkers of cardiovascular disease risk in patients with chronic kidney disease: a follow-up study at 5 and 10 years

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and low-grade inflammation are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Calprotectin, a protein mainly secreted by activated neutrophils during inflammatory conditions, has been linked to CVD risk in general populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of calprotectin with CVD risk in CKD patients, relative to C-reactive protein (CRP). One hundred and fifty-three patients with moderate CKD were prospectively followed up at 5 and 10 years. We used Cox regression modelling with stepwise adjustments for other relevant covariates (age, sex, cystatin C, previous CVD, systolic blood pressure, HDL cholesterol and HbA1c) to assess the association of baseline calprotectin and CRP with the risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD events. Twenty-nine and 44 patients experienced a CVD event during median follow-up of 4.8 and 10.9 years, respectively. Higher calprotectin was associated with increased CVD risk at both time points, which remained statistically significant after multivariable adjustments, including adjustment for CRP. For CRP, the associations did not remain statistically significant after final multivariable adjustments. In conclusion, we have shown that in patients with CKD, calprotectin was independently associated with the risk of future CVD events, suggesting that calprotectin may provide prognostic information of CVD risk.

Dietary sodium to potassium ratio is an independent predictor of cardiovascular events: a longitudinal follow-up study

BackgroundThe current prospective cohort study aimed to explore the potential associations between dietary sodium (Na), potassium (K), and sodium-to-potassium (Na-to-K) ratio with an incidence risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among Iranian adults.MethodsThe participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (men and women aged 30–84 years, n = 2050), free of CVD at baseline (2006–2008) were included. Dietary intakes were assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire (FFQ), and incident CVD (i.e., coronary heart disease, stroke, and CVD mortality) were documented up to March 2018. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) regarding the association between dietary Na, K, and Na-to-K ratio with CVD events.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 10.6 years, 10.14% of participants experienced CVD outcomes. A 41% increased risk of CVD in relation to each increase in 1000 mg/d of Na intake. In the fully-adjusted model, higher Na intake (> 4143 versus < 3049 mg/d) was significantly related to the increased risk of CVD (HR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.06–3.74). Independent of the well-known risk factors, a 56% reduced risk of CVD was observed in the participants with a higher dietary K intake (HR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.20–0.94). A Higher Na-to-K ratio was associated with an increased risk of CVD (HR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.13–3.52).ConclusionOur study showed that the Na-to-K ratio might independently predict future risk of CVD events in adults.

Abstract P130: CVD Risk Factors Among Young People in Haiti: Implications for Low-Income Countries

Introduction: Over 80% of the global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden is in low-income countries, including Haiti. Emerging data from these settings indicate CVD risk factors occur earlier in the life-course, but our knowledge of the age of onset and associated factors is limited. This study provides the first population-based estimates of CVD risk factors among young people ages 18-30 years in Haiti. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that elevated blood pressure (pre-hypertension (SBP/DBP &gt;120-140/80-89) or hypertension (SBP/DBP &gt;140/90 or on treatment) is the most common CVD risk factor among young people ages 18-30 years with an estimated prevalence &gt;15%. Methods: This is a cross-sectional analysis within the Haiti CVD Cohort Study, a population-based longitudinal study of adults ≥18 years in Port au Prince. Participants were enrolled between March 2019-April 2021 using multistage random sampling. At enrollment, sociodemographic and health behaviors were assessed coupled with a physical exam and laboratory measures. CVD risk factors included: elevated BP, dyslipidemia (LDL-C ≥100mg/dL), kidney disease (urine albumin creatinine ratio (ACR) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)), obesity (BMI &gt; 30kg/m 2 ), and smoking, alcohol use, and physical activity using the WHO STEPS survey. Results: Among 957 participants ages 18-30 years, median age was 24 years (IQR 21-27) and 52% were female. Prevalence of elevated BP was 23% (20% pre-hypertension, 3% hypertension), 34% dyslipidemia, 5% ACR ≥30mg/g, 0.21% eGFR &lt; 60 mL/min/1.73, and 7% obese. Other CVD risk factors include: 4% were current smokers, 6% reported any lifetime tobacco use, 19% reported one or more alcoholic drinks per day, and 47% reported low physical activity. Compared to participants ages 18-24 years, those ages 25-30 years had higher odds of pre-hypertension/hypertension (aOR=1.56, 95% CI: 1.13-2.15), but lower odds of dyslipidemia (aOR=0.55, 95% CI: 0.41-0.74). Females had lower odds of pre-hypertension/hypertension (aOR= 0.24, 95% CI: 0.17-0.35) and dyslipidemia (aOR=0.47, 95% CI: 0.35-0.64). Being obese was associated with a higher odds of pre-hypertension/hypertension (aOR=2.21, 95% CI: 1.14-4.16) but lower odds of dyslipidemia (aOR= 0.35, 95%CI: 0.20-0.61) compared to normal weight. Conclusion: These data provide previously unknown population-based estimates of CVD risk factors among young people in a low-income country. Rates of elevated BP and dyslipidemia are alarmingly high and occur prematurely in the life-course in this cohort and are associated with risk of future CVD events and mortality. Despite low prevalence of smoking and drinking alcohol, smoking tobacco was still associated with an increased odds of dyslipidemia. Additional drivers of early-onset CVD risk factors must be identified to guide targeted interventions for primordial and primary prevention as well as treatment.

Type 1 diabetes management: Room for improvement.

Optimal diabetes care and risk factor management are important to delay micro- and macrovascular complications in individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Ongoing improvement of management strategies requires the evaluation of target achievement and identification of risk factors in individuals who do (or do not) achieve these targets. Cross-sectional data were collected from adults with T1D visiting six diabetes centers in the Netherlands in 2018. Targets were defined as glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) <53 mmol/mol, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-c) <2.6 mmoL/L (no cardiovascular disease [CVD] present) or <1.8 mmoL/L (CVD present), or blood pressure (BP) <140/90 mm Hg. Target achievement was compared for individuals with and without CVD. Data from 1737 individuals were included. Mean HbA1c was 63 mmol/mol (7.9%), LDL-c was 2.67 mmoL/L, and BP 131/76 mm Hg. In individuals with CVD, 24%, 33%, and 46% achieved HbA1c, LDL-c, and BP targets respectively. In individuals without CVD these percentages were 29%, 54%, and 77%, respectively. Individuals with CVD did not have any significant risk factors for HbA1c, LDL-c, and BP target achievement. In comparison, individuals without CVD were more likely to achieve glycemic targets if they were men and insulin pump users. Smoking, microvascular complications, and the prescription of lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication were negatively associated with glycemic target achievement. No characteristics were associated with LDL-c target achievement. Microvascular complications and antihypertensive medication prescription were negatively associated with BP target attainment. Opportunities for improvement of diabetes management exist for the achievement of glycemic, lipid, and BP targets but may differ between individuals with and without CVD.

Effect of Acute Walking on Endothelial Function and Postprandial Lipemia in South Asians and White Europeans.

South Asians (SAs) have an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared with White Europeans (WEs). Postprandial endothelial function (flow-mediated dilatation (FMD%)) in SA women and SA men with central obesity has not been investigated. Research in other populations has highlighted that a 1% higher FMD% is associated with a ~13% lower risk of future CVD events. We investigated whether FMD% and lipemia, two markers for CVD risk, were higher in SAs versus WEs, whether walking improved FMD% and lipemia, and if there were ethnic differences in the response. Lean premenopausal women (study 1; 12 SA, 12 WE) and men with central obesity (study 2; 15 SA, 15 WE) completed two 2-d trials. On day 1, participants walked for 60 min at 60% of their peak oxygen uptake or rested. On day 2, participants rested and consumed two high-fat meals over 8 h. Repeated ultrasound assessments of endothelial function and venous blood samples for CVD risk markers were taken. Compared with WEs, SAs had lower postprandial FMD% (study 1, -1.32%; study 2, -0.54%) and higher postprandial triacylglycerol concentrations (study 1, 0.31 mmol·L -1 ·h -1 ; study 2, 0.55 mmol·L -1 ·h -1 ). Walking improved postprandial FMD% (study 1, 1.12%; study 2, 0.94%) and resulted in no significant change or small reductions in postprandial triacylglycerol concentrations (study 1, -0.01 mmol·L -1 ·h -1 ; study 2, -0.25 mmol·L -1 ·h -1 ). Exercise-induced changes in FMD% and triacylglycerol were consistent between ethnic groups. Walking mitigated the adverse postprandial effect of a high-fat diet on FMD% to a similar extent in SA and WE women and men, even with no/small improvements in triacylglycerol. This study highlights the importance of exercise to clinically improve FMD% in SAs and WEs.

Association of Retinal Age Gap With Arterial Stiffness and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

Retinal parameters could reflect systemic vascular changes. With the advances of deep learning technology, we have recently developed an algorithm to predict retinal age based on fundus images, which could be a novel biomarker for aging and mortality. Therefore, we aim to investigate associations of retinal age gap with arterial stiffness index and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). A deep learning model was trained based on 19 200 fundus images of 11 052 participants without any medical history at baseline to predict the retinal age. Retinal age gap (retinal age predicted minus chronological age) was generated for the remaining 35 917 participants. Regression models were used to assess the association between retinal age gap and arterial stiffness index. Cox proportional hazards regression models and restricted cubic splines were used to explore the association between retinal age gap and incident CVD. We found each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with increased arterial stiffness index (β=0.002 [95% CI, 0.001-0.003]; P<0.001). After a median follow-up of 5.83 years (interquartile range: 5.73-5.97), 675 (2.00%) developed CVD. In the fully adjusted model, each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 3% increase in the risk of incident CVD (hazard ratio=1.03 [95% CI, 1.01-1.06]; P=0.014). In the restricted cubic splines analysis, the risk of incident CVD increased significantly when retinal age gap reached 1.21 (hazard ratio=1.05 [95% CI, 1.00-1.10]; P-overall <0.0001; P-nonlinear=0.0681). We found that retinal age gap was significantly associated with arterial stiffness index and incident CVD events, supporting the potential of this novel biomarker in identifying individuals at high risk of future CVD events.

Assessment of Surrogate Markers for Cardiovascular Disease in Familial Mediterranean Fever-Related Amyloidosis Patients Homozygous for M694V Mutation in MEFV Gene.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains underestimated in familial Mediterranean fever-associated AA amyloidosis (FMF-AA). We aimed to compare early markers of endothelial dysfunction and atherosclerosis in FMF-AA with a homozygous M694V mutation (Group 1 = 76 patients) in the Mediterranean fever (MEFV) gene and in patients with other genotypes (Group 2 = 93 patients). Measures of increased risk for future CVD events and endothelial dysfunction, including flow-mediated dilatation (FMD), pentraxin-3 (PTX3), and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), and fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) as a marker of atherosclerotic vascular disease were compared between groups. The frequency of clinical FMF manifestations did not differ between the two groups apart from arthritis (76.3% in Group 1 and 59.1% in Group 2, p < 0.05). FMD was significantly lower in Group 1 when compared with Group 2 (MD [95% CI]: −0.6 [(−0.89)–(−0.31)]). cIMT, FGF23, and PTX3 levels were higher in Group 1 (cIMT MD [95% CI]: 0.12 [0.08–0.16]; FGF23 MD [95% CI]: 12.8 [5.9–19.6]; PTX3 MD [95% CI]: 13.3 [8.9–17.5]). In patients with FMF-AA, M694V homozygosity is associated with lower FMD values and higher cIMT, FGF23, and PTX3 levels, suggesting increased CVD risk profiles. These data suggest that a genotype–phenotype association exists in terms of endothelial dysfunction and atherosclerosis in patients with FMF-AA.

Management of Hypercholesterolemia in Pregnant Women with Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease.

In this review, we discuss strategies for managing dyslipidemia in pregnant women with ASCVD. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in women as well as the leading cause of pregnancy-related mortality in the USA. It is paramount to screen, identify, counsel, and treat women of childbearing age who have existing atherosclerotic disease to mitigate the risks of complications and mortality. Dyslipidemias, including hypercholesterolemia and hyperlipidemia, can further enhance the risk for future CVD events. Treating hypercholesterolemia during pregnancy is crucial, and this is an opportune time for cross-collaboration of subspecialties in cardiology, obstetrics, and gynecology.

Gender Difference in the Relationships between Inflammatory Markers, Serum Uric Acid and Framingham Risk Score

The purpose of the present study was to explore the role of gender in the relation of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), white blood cell (WBC) count, and serum uric acid (UA) to the risk of future cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. In total, 404 workers were recruited to obtain the measurements of serum markers for CVD risk. Demographic data, nutrition, exercise, smoking, and alcohol consumption were assessed through a questionnaire. The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) was adopted to estimate the risk of future CVD events. Multiple linear regression models were used to determine CVD risk markers in relation to the FRS by gender. The hsCRP was not significantly correlated with the FRS for all workers after adjusting for covariates, including demographic data and health-related lifestyle. WBC count was positively correlated with FRS for all workers, but WBC count did not show an interaction with gender with respect to the FRS. Serum UA showed an interaction with gender on the FRS, and UA positively correlated with the FRS in males though not in females. With respect to CVD prevention, the WBC count can be used to monitor the risk for all workers. Due to a gender difference shown in the relationship between serum UA and the FRS, serum UA can be a monitor of the risk of future CVD events in male workers only.

Aspirin and omega-3 fatty acid status interact in the prevention of cardiovascular diseases in Framingham Heart Study

BackgroundThe roles of omega-3 (n3) fatty acids [eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA)] and low-dose aspirin in the primary prevention of ischemic cardiovascular disease (CVD) are controversial. Since omega-3 (n3) fatty acids and aspirin affect cyclooxygenase activity in platelets, there could be a clinically-relevant effect of aspirin combined with a particular n3 fatty acid level present in each individual. MethodsRBC EPA+DHA, arachidonic acid (AA) and docosapentaenoic acid (DPA) were measured in 2500 participants without known CVD in the Framingham Heart Study. We then tested for interactions with reported aspirin use (1004 reported use and 1494 did not) on CVD outcomes. The median follow-up was 7.2 years. ResultsHaving RBC EPA+DHA in the second quintile (4.2–4.9% of total fatty acids) was associated with significantly reduced risk for future CVD events (relative to the first quintile, <4.2%) in those who did not take aspirin (HR 0.54 (0.30, 0.98)), but in those reporting aspirin use, risk was significantly increased (HR 2.16 (1.19, 3.92)) in this quintile. This interaction remained significant when adjusting for confounders. Significant interactions were also present for coronary heart disease and stroke outcomes using the same quintiles. Similar findings were present for EPA and DHA alone but not for DPA and AA. ConclusionsThere is a complex interaction between aspirin use and RBC EPA+DHA levels on CVD outcomes. This suggests that aspirin use may be beneficial in one omega-3 environment but harmful in another, implying that a personalized approach to both aspirin use and omega-3 supplementation may be needed.

Adherence to Antihypertensive Medication and Incident Cardiovascular Events in Young Adults With Hypertension.

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Abstract P189: Long-term Blood Pressure Variability And Risk Of Cardiovascular Disease Events Among Community-dwelling Elderly

Greater blood pressure variability (BPV) in midlife increases risk of future cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, but the impact of BPV in adults who have reached older ages while remaining free of CVD is unknown. We examined risk of overall incident CVD, ischemic stroke subgroup, and all-cause mortality associated with long-term, visit-to-visit BPV in participants of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly study, a randomized primary prevention trial of daily low-dose aspirin in community-dwelling adults in Australia and the United States (US) aged 70 and older (65 if US minority) without evidence of CVD. The mean of three blood pressures (BP) using an automated cuff was recorded at baseline and annually. CVD was a prespecified composite secondary endpoint of ASPREE, and included fatal coronary heart disease, nonfatal MI, fatal or nonfatal stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure. All CVD events were adjudicated as part of the main trial. This analysis included participants who survived without CVD to the second annual visit and had BP recorded at baseline, years 1 and 2 (n=16,482). BPV was defined as within-individual standard deviation of mean systolic BP across these visits. Cox proportional hazards regression adjusting for confounders was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) according to tertile of estimated BPV, with year 2 as time zero to minimize immortal time bias. Our results (Table) show that higher visit-to-visit BPV in older adults without previous CVD is associated with increased risk of future CVD events, ischemic stroke, and all-cause mortality, suggesting that BPV in older ages should be considered a potential therapeutic target for CVD risk-lowering.

Traditional Cardiovascular Risk Factors Strongly Underestimate the 5-Year Occurrence of Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality in Spinal Cord Injured Individuals

ObjectivesTo explore whether traditional models of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction correctly predict CVD events across a median 5.7-year follow-up period in individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI) and whether adding SCI-related characteristics (ie, lesion level) to the prediction model can improve the prognostic value. DesignRetrospective analysis of patient records. SettingObservation at the start of active rehabilitation of participants in a multicenter cohort study, “Restoration of (Wheelchair) Mobility in SCI Rehabilitation,” in the Netherlands. ParticipantsPatients with SCI (N=200) The patients were 74% men, aged 40±14 years, and with an American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) impairment score of A through D. Forty percent had tetraplegia, and 69% were motor complete. InterventionsRisk profiling/not applicable. Main Outcome MeasuresSurvival status and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality qwere obtained from medical records. Five-year Framingham Risk Scores (FRS) and the FRS ability to predict events assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves with corresponding areas under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test were used to assess the difference in clinical outcome between participants with an FRS score lower or higher than the median FRS score for the cohort. SCI-related factors associated with CVD events, ASIA impairment, motor completeness, level of injury, and sports participation before injury were explored using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression. ResultsThe median 5-year FRS was 1.36%. Across a median follow-up period of 5.7 years, 39 developed a CVD event, including 10 fatalities. Although the FRS markedly underestimated the true occurrence of CVD events, the Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test showed that the risk ratio for individuals with an FRS score less than the median FRS (eg, low risk) versus a score greater than the median FRS (high risk) was 3.2 (95% CI, 1.6-6.5; P=.001). Moreover, ROC with corresponding AUCs suggests acceptable accuracy of the FRS to identify individuals with increased risk for future CVD events (ROC AUC of 0.71; 95% CI, 0.62-0.82). Adding ASIA impairment (0.74; 95% CI, 0.66-0.82), motor impairment (0.74; 95% CI, 0.66-0.83), level of injury (0.72; 95% CI, 0.63-0.81), or active engagement in sport before injury (0.72; 95% CI, 0.63-0.88) to the FRS did not improve the level of discrimination. ConclusionsOur 5.7-year retrospective study reveals that cardiovascular risk factors and risk models markedly underestimate the true risk for CVD events in individuals with SCI. Nonetheless, these markers successfully distinguish between SCI individuals at high versus low risk for future CVD events. Our data may have future clinical implications, both related to (cutoff values of) CVD risk factors, but also for (earlier) prescription of (non)pharmacologic strategies against CVD in SCI individuals.

24-h ambulatory blood pressure versus clinic blood pressure as predictors of cardiovascular risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies.

There is uncertainty about the usefulness of ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) in predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Our objective was to compare the prognostic value of ABP versus clinic blood pressure (BP) in CVD. We conducted electronic searches on Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane library up to July 2018. We included prospective longitudinal studies that compared 24-h ABP with clinic BP measurement in adults. Our main outcomes were all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and/or CVD events. We assessed study quality based on four domains and pooled data using a random effects model of STATA for meta-analyses. We included 13 studies comprising 81 736 participants. The overall quality of the studies was moderate. Both systolic and diastolic 24-h ABP as well as systolic clinic BP significantly predicted all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and CVD events. Systolic 24-h ABP was significantly better than systolic clinic BP at predicting future risk of CVD events: combined hazard ratio for 24-h ABP = 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.21-1.34) per 10 mmHg increase in SBP compared with 1.13 (1.06-1.21) for clinic BP (interaction test P = 0.02). After adjusting for clinic BP, both systolic and diastolic 24-h ABP measurements were significantly better than their corresponding clinic measurements at predicting all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and CVD events (P = 0.001 and P = 0.000, respectively). Systolic 24-h ABP is a better predictor of future CVD events than systolic clinic BP. Future studies should incorporate the use of individual patient data to assess the prognostic value of 24-h ABP.

Thirty-Year Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Events in Adolescents with Severe Obesity.

Quantifying risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events among adolescents is difficult owing to the long latent period between risk factor development and disease outcomes. This study examined the 30-year CVD event risk among adolescents with severe obesity treated with and without metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS), compared with youths with moderate obesity, overweight, or normal weight. Cross-sectional and longitudinal comparisons of five frequency-matched (age and diabetes status) groups were performed: normal weight (n = 247), overweight (n = 54), obesity (n = 131), severe obesity without MBS (n = 302), and severe obesity undergoing MBS (n = 215). A 30-year CVD event score developed by the Framingham Heart Study was the primary outcome. Data are mean (SD) with differences between time points for MBS examined using linear mixed models. Preoperatively, the likelihood of CVD events was higher among adolescents undergoing MBS (7.9% [6.7%]) compared with adolescents with severe obesity not referred for MBS (5.5% [4.0%]), obesity (3.9% [3.0%]), overweight (3.1% [2.4%]), and normal weight (1.8% [0.8%]; all P < 0.001). At 1 year after MBS, event risk was significantly reduced (7.9% [6.7%] to 4.0% [3.4%], P < 0.0001) and was sustained for up to 5 years after MBS (P < 0.0001, all years vs. baseline). Adolescents with severe obesity are at elevated risk for future CVD events. Following MBS, the predicted risk of CVDevents was substantially and sustainably reduced.

The Relationship Between Hypoadiponectinemia and Cardiovascular Events in Liver Transplant Recipients.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation (LT). Serum adiponectin levels inversely correlate with CVD-related outcomes, but the relationship between hypoadiponectinemia and CVD after LT is unknown. Thus, the aim of the present study was to prospectively evaluate this relationship in LT recipients (LTR). LTR were prospectively enrolled (N = 130) between January 1, 2012, and January 1, 2014. Baseline adiponectin levels were drawn at enrollment and patients were followed for CVD events. Hypoadiponectinemia was defined as serum adiponectin <10 µg/mL. The primary endpoint was a composite CVD outcome consisting of myocardial infarction, angina, need for coronary revascularization, stroke, or cardiac death. The mean age was 58 ± 11 years and prevalence of obesity, diabetes, and dyslipidemia was 40%, 35%, and 40%, respectively. A total of 20 CVD events were noted, after median follow up of 45 months. Hypoadiponectinemia was significantly associated with future risk of CVD events (hazard ratio, 3.519; 95% confidence interval, 1.180-10.499, P = 0.024). This association was independent of traditional CVD risk factors including age, gender, obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and choice of immunosuppression. Hypoadiponectinemia is a strong independent predictor of future cardiovascular events in LTR, which can be incorporated in clinical practice to assess CVD risk assessment after LT.

Chemoradiotherapy-related carotid artery inflammation in head and neck cancer patients quantified by [18F]FDG PET/CT

ObjectivesRadiotherapy (RT) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but little is known about the mechanism for vascular injury and methods for early detection. Materials and methodsWe conducted a prospective, pilot study of carotid artery inflammation using 18F-labeled 2-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose ([18F]FDG) PET/CT imaging pre- and 3 months post-RT in head-and-neck cancer (HNC) patients. [18F]FDG uptake by the carotid arteries was measured by the maximum and mean target to background ratio (TBRMAX, TBRMEAN) and the mean partial volume corrected standardized uptake value (pvcSUVMEAN). ResultsOf the 22 patients who completed both pre and post-RT scans, the majority (82%) had stage III or stage IV disease and received concurrent chemotherapy. TBRMAX, TBRMEAN, and pvcSUVMEAN were all significantly higher 3 months after RT versus before RT with mean difference values (95% CI; p-value) of 0.17 (0.1–0.25; 0.0001), 0.19 (0.12–0.25; 0.0001), and 0.31 g/ml (0.12–0.5; 0.002), respectively. Fifteen patients (68%) had HPV-positive tumors, which were associated with lower pre-RT [18F]FDG signal, but a greater increase in TBRMAX (19% vs 5%), TBRMEAN (21% vs 11%) and pvcSUVMEAN (20% increase vs 3% decrease), compared to HPV negativity. ConclusionThere is a significant increase in carotid artery inflammation in HNC patients due to CRT that amounts to a degree that has previously been associated with higher risk for future CVD events. The subset of patients with HPV-positive tumors experienced the greatest increases in vascular inflammation due to CRT. Carotid [18F]FDG uptake may be an early biomarker of RT-related vascular injury.

Duration and life-stage of antibiotic use and risk of cardiovascular events in women.

Growing data suggest that antibiotic exposure is associated with a long-lasting alteration in gut microbiota, and may be related to subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD). We investigated associations of life-stage and duration of antibiotic exposure during adulthood with subsequent CVD events. This study included 36429 women initially free of CVD and cancer from the Nurses' Health Study. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD (a composite endpoint of coronary heart disease or stroke) according to duration of antibiotic use in young (age 20-39), middle (age 40-59), and late (age 60 and older) adulthood. During an average of 7.6 years of follow-up, 1056 participants developed CVD. Women with long-term use of antibiotics (for ≥2 months) in late adulthood had a significantly increased risk of CVD (HR 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.70) after adjustment for covariates (such as demographic factors, diet and lifestyle, reasons for antibiotic use, overweight or obesity, disease status, and other medication use), as compared to women who did not use antibiotics in this life-stage. Longer duration of antibiotic use in middle adulthood was also related to higher risk of CVD (P trend = 0.003) after controlling for these covariates. There was no significant relationship between the use in young adulthood and the risk of CVD. In this study which examined the antibiotic use in different life-stages, longer duration of exposure to antibiotics in the middle and older adulthood was related to an increased risk of future CVD events among elderly women at usual risk.

Abstract P105: Less Walkable Neighborhoods Are Associated With Worse Cardiovascular Risk Profile

Introduction: There is mounting evidence that neighborhoods that have low levels of walkability have higher burdens of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors such as obesity and hypertension. However, few studies have examined the impact of walkability on overall cardiovascular risk. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that residents living in less walkable communities have a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors and a greater predicted risk for future CVD events. Methods: We assembled a cross-sectional sample of community dwelling adults aged 40-74 on January 1, 2008 from the CANHEART cohort. We ascertained systolic blood pressure, HDL and total cholesterol, smoking status, and diabetes status using a combination of EMR, clinical laboratory databases, and health administrative databases. The primary outcome was an estimated total 10-year cardiovascular disease risk of ≥ 7.5% using the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort risk score. Walkability was measured using a validated index and divided into quintiles from lowest (Q1) to highest (Q5). The associations were tested using linear and logistic regression with cluster-robust standard errors, adjusting for confounders. Results: In total, 44,448 individuals were included in the analysis. Individuals living in less walkable areas had a higher predicted 10-year CVD risk than those living in highly walkable areas. The association was non-linear, as individuals living in neighborhoods of mid-range walkability (Q3) were even more likely to have an estimated 10-year CVD risk exceeding 7.5% in comparison to those in Q5 (OR = 1.33, (1.23, 1.45)). Conversely, we observed monotonic associations between decreasing walkability and higher mean systolic blood pressure (Q1 vs. Q5: +2.73 mmHg, 95% CI: +2.11, + 3.35) and odds of diabetes (Q1 vs. Q5: OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.13, 1.47). Dose-response associations were also observed between decreasing walkability and lower HDL cholesterol (Q1 vs. Q5: -1.93 mg/dl, 95% CI: -2.32, -1.16) and likelihood of being a current smoker (Q1 vs. Q5: OR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67, 0.85). Conclusions: Residents living in less walkable neighborhoods had a higher burden of CVD risk factors and a higher estimated risk of future CVD. Conversely, the likelihood of smoking was higher in more walkable neighborhoods, suggesting this may be an area to focus smoking cessation efforts.