Risk Of Frailty Research Articles

Progression of frailty and cardiovascular outcomes among Medicare beneficiaries.

Frailty is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes independent of age and comorbidities, yet the independent influence of frailty progression on cardiovascular outcomes remains uncertain. To determine whether frailty progression is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, independent of baseline frailty and age, we evaluated all Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries ≥65 years at cohort inception with continuous enrollment from 2003 to 2015. Linear mixed effects models, adjusted for baseline frailty and age, were used to estimate change in a validated claims-based frailty index (CFI) over a 5-year period. Survival analysis was used to examine frailty progression and risk of adverse health outcomes. There were 8.9 million unique patients identified, mean age 77.3 ± 7.2 years, 58.7% female, 10.9% non-White race. In total, 60% had frailty progression and 40% frailty regression over median follow-up of 2.4 years. Compared to those with frailty regression, when adjusting for age and baseline CFI, those with frailty progression had a significantly greater risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-1.31), all-cause mortality (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.34-1.34), acute myocardial infarction (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.07-1.09), heart failure exacerbation (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.29-1.30), ischemic stroke (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.14-1.15). There was also a graded increase in risk of each outcome with more rapid progression, as well as significantly fewer days alive at home (DAH) with more rapid progression compared to the slowest progression group (270.4 ± 112.3 vs. 308.6 ± 93.0 days, rate ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.87-0.88, p < 0.001). In this large, nationwide sample of older Medicare beneficiaries, frailty progression, independent of age and baseline frailty, was associated with fewer DAH and a graded risk of MACCE, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and ischemic stroke compared to those with frailty regression.

Frailty scores impact the outcomes of urgent carotid interventions in acute stroke patients: A comprehensive analysis of risk and prognosis

BackgroundCarotid artery disease is an important cause of ischemic strokes. Patient selection for urgent carotid interventions (ie, urgent carotid endarterectomy [uCEA] and urgent carotid artery stenting [uCAS]) performed within 2 weeks of an event during the index hospitalization is based primarily on a patient’s overall health and risk profile. Identifying high-risk patients remains a challenge. Frailty, a decrease in function related to aging, has emerged as an important factor in the treatment of the elderly population. This study aimed to design a quantitative risk score based on frailty for patients undergoing uCEA and uCAS after an acute stroke. MethodsA total of 307 acute stroke patients treated with uCEA or uCAS were identified from a prospectively maintained database. Frailty scores were calculated using the Hospital Frailty Risk Index based on International Classificiation of Diseases, 10th edition, codes. Stroke-specific risk categories were created based on the incidence of stroke, death, and myocardial infarction (MI) associated with frailty scores. Primary end points included 30-day stroke, death, and MI, and the secondary end point was discharge modified Rankin scale (mRS). Statistical analyses were performed using SAS software. ResultsThe average age was 65.9 years; hypertension, a history of tobacco use, and hyperlipidemia were the most common comorbidities. The median Hospital Frailty Risk Score was 27; the majority of patients in this study were in the intermediate and high risk frailty groups (50.5% and 41.7%, respectively). uCAS patients had a higher median presenting National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) (8 vs 2; P < .001) and shorter median time to intervention compared with uCEA patients (1 day vs 3 days; P ≤ .001). The 30-day composite stroke, death, and MI rate was 8.1%, with higher rates observed in patients with frailty scores of >30 (11.7%) and uCAS (12.2%). Hemorrhagic conversion and death were more common in uCAS patients. Functional independence (mRS 0-2) was observed in uCEA patients after minor stroke and in uCAS patients after minor or moderate stroke. Patients with high-risk frailty score (>30) presenting with a moderate stroke were more likely to be functionally dependent (mRS > 2) on discharge (67 vs 41.3%; P < .001). ConclusionsFrailty is a valuable prognosticative tool for clinical outcomes in patients undergoing urgent carotid interventions after an acute stroke. Higher frailty scores were associated with increased stroke, death, and MI rates. Frailty also influenced functional dependence at discharge, particularly in patients with moderate stroke. These findings highlight the importance of considering frailty in the decision-making process for carotid interventions. Further research is needed to validate these findings and explore interventions to mitigate the impact of frailty on outcomes.

Influencing Perception of Frailty Risk in Urban &amp; Rural Older Adults

Abstract Date Presented 03/23/24 Frailty affects rates of hospital readmission, transition to assisted care, decreased life satisfaction, and decreased life span. Participation in an OT frailty risk reduction program can influence perception of frailty for rural and urban older adults. Primary Author and Speaker: Susan B. Blair

Association between complete blood count-derived inflammatory markers and the risk of frailty and mortality in middle-aged and older adults.

This study aimed to evaluate the association between six complete blood count (CBC)-derived inflammatory markers [neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), and pan-immune inflammation value (PIV)] and the risk of frailty and mortality. Data were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2018. Mortality was identified using the National Death Index until December 31, 2019. Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the association between six CBC-derived inflammatory markers and frailty. The Cox regression model assessed the association between six CBC-derived inflammatory markers and mortality in frail populations. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to visualize the association of the six CBC-derived inflammatory markers with mortality risk. The predictive value of CBC-derived inflammatory markers for mortality was further assessed using a random survival forest (RSF) approach. This study analyzed data from a total of 16,705 middle-aged and older participants. Among them, 6,503 participants were frail, with a mortality rate of 41.47%. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that NLR, MLR, PLR, SII, SIRI, and PIV were positively associated with frailty risk. The Cox regression model revealed that participants in the highest quartile had a significantly increased risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile: NLR (HR = 1.73, 95% CI:1.54, 1.94), MLR (HR = 1.71, 95% CI:1.51, 1.93), PLR (HR = 1.28, 95%CI: 1.15, 1.43), SII (HR = 1.50, 95%CI:1.34, 1.68), SIRI (HR = 1.88, CI 95%:1.67, 2.12), PIV (HR = 1.55, 95%CI:1.38, 1.73). Random survival forest (RSF) analyses demonstrated that MLR had the highest predictive value for mortality risk middle-aged and older adult frail participants. The results suggest that CBC-derived inflammatory markers are associated with a higher risk of frailty as well as mortality in the middle and old-aged population of the United States.

Group-based trajectories of potentially preventable hospitalisations among older adults after a hip fracture

SummaryKey predictors of three trajectory group membership of potentially preventable hospitalisations were age, the number of comorbidities, the presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and congestive heart failure, and frailty risk at the occurrence of hip fracture. These predictors of their trajectory group could be used in targeting prevention strategies.PurposeAlthough older adults with hip fracture have a higher risk of multiple readmissions after index hospitalisation, little is known about potentially preventable hospitalisations (PPH) after discharge. This study examined group-based trajectories of PPH during a five-year period after a hip fracture among older adults and identified factors predictive of their trajectory group membership.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study was conducted using linked hospitalisation and mortality data in New South Wales, Australia, between 2013 and 2021. Patients aged ≥ 65 years who were admitted after a hip fracture and discharged between 2014 and 2016 were identified. Group-based trajectory models were derived based on the number of subsequent PPH following the index hospitalisation. Multinominal logistic regression examined factors predictive of trajectory group membership.ResultsThree PPH trajectory groups were revealed among 17,591 patients: no PPH (89.5%), low PPH (10.0%), and high PPH (0.4%). Key predictors of PPH trajectory group membership were age, number of comorbidities, dementia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), congestive heart failure (CHF), frailty risk, place of incident, surgery, rehabilitation, and length of hospital stay. The high PPH had a higher proportion of patients with ≥ 2 comorbidities (OR: 1.86, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04–3.32) and COPD (OR: 2.97, 95%CIs: 1.76–5.04) than the low PPH, and the low and high PPHs were more likely to have CHF and high frailty risk as well as ≥ 2 comorbidities and COPD than the no PPH.ConclusionsIdentifying trajectories of PPH after a hip fracture and factors predictive of trajectory group membership could be used to target strategies to reduce multiple readmissions.

Association Between Frailty Status and Readmissions in Hospitalized Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between frailty status and risk of readmissions, inpatient death, and cost of admission among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the National Readmissions Database. Using International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes, we identified individuals >18 years of age who had a primary or secondary diagnosis of SLE and were hospitalized between January and June 2018. Using the validated claims-based Hospital Frailty Risk Score, we categorized individuals as frail (score ≥ 5) or nonfrail (score < 5) at the time of index hospitalization. Our primary outcome was readmission rates post discharge from index hospitalization. Secondary outcomes were rates of inpatient mortality and the total cost of hospitalizations. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the association between frailty and risk of readmissions, with adjustment for age, sex, insurance type, household income, and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index score. A total of 39,738 patients with SLE met eligibility criteria. Over a median follow-up of eight months, frail patients with SLE (n = 18,385) had higher Elixhauser Comorbidity Index scores and longer length of stay compared to nonfrail patients with SLE (n = 21,353). Frail patients with SLE had higher readmission rates, a higher proportion of prolonged hospitalizations, and higher costs per hospitalization. Frailty was independently associated with a 10% higher risk of readmission after adjustment for covariates. Among hospitalized adults with SLE, presence of frailty was associated with higher readmission and inpatient mortality rates. Our results highlight that frailty status can help risk stratify patients with SLE at increased risk for readmissions and other adverse health outcomes.

Management of Acute Coronary Syndromes in Older People: Comprehensive Review and Multidisciplinary Practice-Based Recommendations.

Managing health care for older adults aged 75 years and older can pose unique challenges stemming from age-related physiological differences and comorbidities, along with elevated risk of delirium, frailty, disability, and polypharmacy. This review is aimed at providing a comprehensive analysis of the management of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in older patients, a demographic substantially underrepresented in major clinical trials. Because older patients often exhibit atypical ACS symptoms, a nuanced diagnostic and risk stratification approach is necessary. We aim to address diagnostic challenges for older populations and highlight the diminished sensitivity of traditional symptoms with age, and the importance of biomarkers and imaging techniques tailored for older patients. Additionally, we review the efficacy and safety of pharmacological agents for ACS management in older people, emphasizing the need for a personalized and shared decision-making approach to treatment. This review also explores revascularization strategies, considering the implications of invasive procedures in older people, and weighing the potential benefits against the heightened procedural risks, particularly with surgical revascularization techniques. We explore the perioperative management of older patients experiencing myocardial infarction in the setting of noncardiac surgeries, including preoperative risk stratification and postoperative care considerations. Furthermore, we highlight the critical role of a multidisciplinary approach involving cardiologists, geriatricians, general and internal medicine physicians, primary care physicians, and allied health, to ensure a holistic care pathway in this patient cohort.

Blood-based frailty index in patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing endovascular treatment.

Frailty is a syndrome depicting vulnerability of multiple physiological systems to stressors. Frailty measures, such as Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), can be used to identify frailty and predict outcome more reliably. Our aim was to analyse a blood-based frailty index (FI-B) at admission for prediction outcome of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT). We conducted a retrospective study of consecutive AIS patients undergoing EVT in a single tertiary centre during a period of five years. A set of eighteen blood parameters at admission were collected and nine of these were utilized to calculate FI-B. We analysed the relationship between FI-B and HFRS. We examined the baseline characteristics of the study population based on FI-B-tertiles. Multivariable regression models were employed to ascertain the association between FI-B and in-hospital mortality, 3-month mortality and 3-month functional outcome. The final study population comprised 489 patients, with a median age of 75.6 years, 49.5% of patients were male. The FI-B exhibited a weak positive correlation with HFRS (rho=0.113, p=0.016). Patients in higher FI-B-tertiles were older and more frequently presented with pre-stroke functional dependence and comorbidities. Moreover, an increasing FI-B was independently associated with increased likelihood of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=1.29, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]=1.14-1.47), 3-month mortality (aOR=1.26, 95%CI=1.11-1.43), and of increasing 3-month functional disability measured by utility-weighted modified Rankin Scale (common aOR=0.84, 95%CI=0.76-0.93). A frailty index based on blood values at admission was able to identify frailty in AIS patients undergoing EVT and was an independent predictor of short- and medium-term outcome after stroke.

The Use of Frailty Scores for Screening the Surgical Risk Benefits: A Multidisciplinary Approach.

Our study aims to examine the role of multi-disciplinary surgical pause committees (MDSPC) in perioperative planning to reduce adverse postoperative events and mortality rates. Frail patients could benefit from preoperative MDSPCs when utilizing risk-benefit ratios for the proposed surgical plan. We examined whether MDSPCs improved clinical outcomes by developing individualized care plans and stratifying patients based on their level of frailty and ability to overcome external stressors. We retrospectively collected patient information after MDSPC evaluation, at our medical center for 12 years since 2011. Patient's frailty risk assessment index (RAI) scores were calculated, and survival status was updated. MDSPCs plans were put into the following categories: proceed with the planned surgery (G1), proceed after medical optimization (G2), reduce invasiveness of surgery or anesthesia plan (G3), or adopt a non-surgical approach (G4). Chi-square and independent t-tests were used for categorical and numerical data, respectively. Survival analysis for 30-day (primary endpoint), one-year, and overall mortality rates used Kaplan-Meier. The alpha was set at 0.05. Clinical information was accessed from 12 women and 382 men. The average age was 71±11 years. 87.3% of planned surgical operations were stratified as ASA class III and IV. RAI scores were 36.4±9.6 (G1), similar to 37.4±10.8 (G2) but lower than 41.4±9.3 (G3) and 44.2±9.7 (G4) (P<0.001). Average survival duration was 35 months (G1), 35 months (G2), both significantly longer than 20 months (G3) and 18 months (G4) (P<0.001). Medical optimization improved overall survival and reduced death within 30 days and one year to be comparable to G1. Additionally, reducing the surgical invasiveness only improved survival advantage for six months, after which it was comparable to those in G4 with the worst outcome. RAI scoring is an excellent tool to predict the outcome of surgery, and it was used successfully in critically ill patients.

Association Between Sarcopenic Obesity and Frailty Risk in Community-Dwelling Older Women With Locomotive Syndrome: A Cross-Sectional Survey.

Background Concurrent sarcopenia and obesity in locomotive syndrome (LS) impair activities of daily living and decreaseextremity muscle strength and motor function. However, the increased risk of frailty posed by sarcopenic obesity compared to either sarcopenia or obesity alone remains unclear. Objective To examine the association between sarcopenic obesity and frailty risk in community-dwelling older adult women with LS. Methods This cross-sectional study included 158 women aged ≥65 years with LS stage 1 (age, 74.0 yrs, body mass index, 22.7 kg/m2) according to the Japanese Orthopaedic Association criteria. Bioelectrical impedance analysis was used to measure the skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) and percent body fat (PBF). Participants were classified into four subtypes: normal (non-obesity, non-sarcopenia), sarcopenia (SMI < 5.7 kg/m2), obesity (PBF > 35%), and sarcopenic obesity (SMI < 5.7 kg/m2 and PBF > 35%). Logistic regression analysis was used to adjust for age, body mass index, back pain, knee pain, history of falls, and physical function. Results Among the participants, 52 individuals (32.9%) were classified as frailty risk. The percentage of body phenotypes was 30.4% normal, 32.9% were sarcopenia, 22.8% had obesity (RT1), and 13.9% had sarcopenic obesity. The odds ratios for frailty risk compared to normal were 3.97 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.51 to 10.4), 1.71 (95% CI: 0.55 to 5.39), and 4.25 (95% CI: 1.34 to 13.5) for sarcopenia (RT2), obesity, and sarcopenic obesity subtypes, respectively, sarcopenia and sarcopenic obesity were significantly associated with frailty risk. Conclusion In older adult women with LS, the presence of sarcopenia or sarcopenic obesity may increase the risk of frailty; however, the addition of obesity does not always further increase this risk. Further investigation of the association between increased body fat and frailty in older adult women is warranted.

The independent and combined effects of physical activity and depressive symptoms on frailty in community-dwelling older adults: A cross-sectional study.

To investigate the independent and combined effects of physical activity (PA) and depressive symptoms on the risk of frailty in community-dwelling older adults. Older adults face a high risk of frailty which is commonly used to predict adverse health outcomes in older patients. Engaging in PA and without depressive symptoms are crucial factors to prevent frailty. It is essential to investigate the independent and combined effects of these two variables on the risk of frailty. We included 3392 community-dwelling older adults. The FRAIL Scale was used to assess older adults' frail status (robust, prefrail and frail). Multiple logistic regression was utilized to examine the independent and combined effects of PA and depressive symptoms on the risk of prefrailty and frailty. The combined effects were visualized by marginal plots. The prevalence of prefrailty and frailty in older adults were 42.16% and 10.58%. Compared with the group of "Light physical activity and With depressive symptoms", "Vigorous physical activity and Without depressive symptoms" had the lowest risk of prefrailty and frailty. Older adults who do not engage in PA or have depressive symptoms increased the risk of frailty, but older adults with depressive symptoms could lower the risk of frailty through PA. It is effective to reduce the risk of frailty by directing older adults to do moderate physical activity, although they have depressive symptoms. The focus should also be on older adults with depressive symptoms, who have at least more than twice and fourfold risk of prefrailty and frailty compared to those without. This study offers insights for future interventions aimed at preventing frailty in older adults. This study adhered to the STROBE checklist. Older adults participated in this study and completed questionnaires.

Predictive Validity of Intrinsic Capacity Composite Scores for Risk of Frailty at 2 Years: A Comparison of 4 Scales

ObjectiveIntrinsic capacity (IC) and frailty are complementary constructs that encapsulate functional capacities of older adults. Although earlier studies suggest the utility of composite IC scores in predicting risk of frailty, key gaps remain with the lack of direct comparative studies between different IC scales and lack of a composite score based on the World Health Organization Integrated Care for Older People (ICOPE) tool. We aimed to compare different IC scales, including an ICOPE-based scale, in their predictive ability for risk of frailty at 2 years in healthy community-dwelling older adults. DesignCohort study. Setting and ParticipantsA total of 230 participants (age: 67.2 ± 7.4 years) from the GeriLABS-2 cohort study. MethodsWe derived composite scores by summing 4 IC domains (locomotion, cognition, vitality, and psychological). We compared composite scores of 4 scales: IC1-Chew 2021, range: 0–8; IC2-Liu 2021, range: 0–4; IC3-ICOPE, range: 0–4; IC4-modified ICOPE, range: 0–8. The primary outcome was risk of frailty using the modified Fried Frailty Phenotype. We performed logistic regression to examine the association of baseline composite IC with risk of frailty. We also examined the impact of individual domains and number of impaired domains on risk of frailty. ResultsAmong 193 (83.9%) older adults who completed 2-year follow-up, 20 (10.4%) met criteria for risk of frailty. When adjusted for covariates, 2-point per domain scales (IC1/IC4) predicted increased risk of frailty (OR, 4.31; 95% CI, 1.55–11.96; OR, 5.00; 95% CI, 1.75–14.26). When further adjusted for baseline frailty, only IC4 remained significant (OR, 4.28; 95% CI, 1.45–12.60). Among the domains, impaired locomotion and vitality were associated with risk of frailty. Greater number of impaired domains predicted increased risk of frailty (IC1/IC2: β = 0.18–0.19, P < .05). Conclusions and ImplicationsBaseline composite IC score using 2-point per domain scales better predicted risk of frailty at 2 years, predicated on impaired locomotion/vitality and greater number of impaired domains. For early identification of healthy older adults at risk of frailty, an ICOPE-based scale should be considered, as it is effective and accessible.

Relationship between dietary inflammation index and frailty in patients with osteoarthritis

Background Osteoarthritis (OA) is a common chronic joint disease that significantly affects an individual’s quality-of-life and frailty has become one of the common complications in OA patients as the disease progresses. The relationship between dietary patterns is not clear. Methods All participants are from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and have been diagnosed with OA. The dietary inflammation index (DII) is calculated based on the dietary intake reported by the participants. Logistic regression analysis is used to investigate the relationship between DII and frailty. Restricted cubic splines are utilised to explore their nonlinear relationship. Mediation analysis is conducted to explore the role of inflammation in this relationship. Results A total of 2,530 OA patients were included in the study, with an average age of 64.46 (12.67) years. After adjusting for covariates, for each one standard deviation increase in DII, the risk of frailty increased by 15% (OR = 1.15, 95% CI = 1.03–1.28). Compared to patients with DII < –1, patients with DII > 1 had a significantly higher risk of frailty (OR = 1.50, 95% CI = 1.05-2.14). Conclusions The findings of this study indicate a positive association between DII and the risk of frailty in OA patients. These results underscore the potential impact of dietary interventions in improving the quality-of-life for OA patients.

Exploring the complex associations among risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty in community-dwelling older adults

BackgroundMalnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty are age-related conditions that are associated with multiple health-related negative outcomes. However, the complex associations between them remain to be elucidated. The aims of the study were to explore: (1) whether the risk of sarcopenia has a mediator effect on the association between risks of malnutrition and frailty; and (2) whether physical activity (PA) level modulates this mediator effect in community-dwelling older adults.MethodsThis cross-sectional study involved 593 older adults (62.73% female; mean age = 71.35 ± 5.86 years). The Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF), the SARC-F Questionnaire, and the FRAIL Questionnaire were used to assess the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty, respectively. The International Physical Activity Questionnaire Short Form (IPAQ-SF) was employed to assess PA level. Using the Hayes PROCESS macro (Models 4 and 7), mediation and moderated mediation analyses were performed.ResultsThe mediation analysis demonstrated that the MNA-SF had a significant effect on the SARC-F (B=-0.325; p < 0.001) and the SARC-F, in turn, had a significant effect on the FRAIL (B = 0.341; p < 0.001). The total (B=-0.171; p < 0.001), direct (B=-0.061; p = 0.001), and indirect (B=-0.111; bootstrap CI did not include zero, which indicates a significant effect) effects of MNA-SF on FRAIL were significant, showing that 65% of the association between the MNA-SF and FRAIL was explained by the SARC-F acting as a mediator. The moderated mediation analysis demonstrated that the association between MNA and SARC-F was moderated by the PA level (B = 0.253; p = 0.016). The SARC-F mediated and relatively enhanced the association between MNA-SF and FRAIL only in older adults with a moderate PA level (B=-0.120; CI: -0.154 to -0.085).ConclusionsThe SARC-F partially mediates the association between the MNA-SF and the FRAIL, indicating that malnutrition affects frailty through an indirect path via sarcopenia. Furthermore, the PA level moderates this mediator effect, with sarcopenia serving as a mediator in older adults with moderate a PA level but not in those with a low PA level. These findings reveal that it may be beneficial to consider PA level in combination with malnutrition and sarcopenia in the management and prevention of frailty in community-dwelling older adults.

Association between inflammatory markers, body composition and frailty in home-dwelling elderly: an 8-year follow-up study

Frailty has been linked to inflammation and changes in body composition, but the findings are inconsistent. To explore this, we used the Frailty Index (FI) definition to (1) investigate the association between levels of inflammatory markers (baseline) and change in FI score after 8 years of follow-up and (2) investigate the longitudinal associations between inflammatory markers, body composition, and frailty. Home-dwelling elderly (≥ 70 years) were invited to participate in the study and re-invited to a follow-up visit 8 years later. This study includes a total of 133 participants. The inflammatory markers included were high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin 6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), and glycoprotein acetyls (Gp-acetyls). We used the body composition markers fat mass, fat-free mass, and waist circumference. The FI score consisted of 38 variables. Additional clinical assessments such as blood pressure and body mass index (BMI), as well as information about daily medications, were collected at both visits. Linear regression model and Spearman’s rank correlation were used to investigate associations. We showed that the FI score increased after 8 years, and participants with higher hs-CRP levels at baseline had the largest change in the FI score. Changes in fat mass were significantly correlated with changes in hs-CRP and IL-6, and changes in waist circumference were significantly correlated with changes in TNF-α. The use of drugs increased during the 8 years of follow-up, which may have attenuated the associations between inflammation and frailty. However, elevated concentrations of hs-CRP in the elderly may be associated with an increased risk of frailty in subsequent years.

Profiles of Geriatric Syndromes and Resources in Older Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

Objective: Older patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) are at high risk for frailty and geriatric syndromes (GSs), which modulate their individual prognosis and are therefore relevant for further management. Because few studies have evaluated the geriatric profile of older AF patients, this secondary analysis aims to further characterize the patterns of GSs and geriatric resources (GRs) in AF patients and their association with anticoagulation use. Methods: Data from 362 hospitalized patients aged 65 years and older with AF (n = 181, 77.8 ± 5.8 years, 38% female) and without AF (non-AF [NAF]; n = 181, 77.5 ± 5.9 years, 40% female) admitted to an internal medicine and nephrology ward of a large university hospital in Germany were included. All patients underwent usual care plus a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) including calculation of the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) and collection of 17 GSs and 10 GRs. Patients were followed up by telephone 6 and 12 months after discharge to collect data on their health status. Results: The mean MPI score of 0.47 indicated an average risk of poor outcome, and patients with AF had a significantly higher MPI than those without AF (p = 0.040). After adjustment for chronological age, biological sex, Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS) for relevant chronic diagnoses and MPI as a proxy for biological age, AF patients had significantly more mnestic resources (63.5% vs. 33.1%, p < 0.001), a tendency for less age-appropriate living conditions (56.4% vs. 72.9%, p = 0.051) and more sensory impairment (78.5% vs. 52.5%, p < 0.001) than NAF patients. They also had a higher number of GSs (p = 0.046). AF patients on oral anticoagulants (OACs, n = 91) had less age-appropriate living conditions (48.4% vs. 64.4%, p < 0.05) and mnestic resources (36.3% vs. 54.4%, p < 0.01), but more emotional resources (80.2% vs. 65.6%, p < 0.05) and chronic pain (56% vs. 40%, p < 0.05) than patients without OACs (n = 90). Overall, mortality at 1 year was increased in patients with a higher MPI (p < 0.009, adjusted for age, sex and CIRS), with a diagnosis of AF (p = 0.007, adjusted for age, sex, CIRS and MPI), with of male sex (p = 0.008, adjusted for age, CIRS and MPI) and those with AF and treated with hemodialysis (p = 0.022, compared to AF patients without dialysis treatment). Conclusions: Patients with AF and patients with AF and OACs show differences in their multidimensional frailty degree as well as GR and GS profiles compared to patients without AF or with AF not treated with OACs. Mortality after 1 year is increased in AF patients with a higher MPI and dialysis, independently from OAC use and overall burden of chronic disease as assessed per CIRS. GRs and GSs, especially age-appropriate living conditions, emotional resources, sensory impairment and chronic pain, can be considered as factors that may modify the individual impact of frailty, underscoring the relevance of these parameters in the management of older patients.

Comparative study of the risk prediction model of early postoperative frailty in elderly enterostomy patients based on machine learning methods.

Based on machine learning method, four types of early postoperative frailty risk prediction model of enterostomy patients were constructed to compare the performance of each model and provide the basis for preventing early postoperative frailty of elderly patients with enterostomy. The prospective convenience sampling method was conducted and 362 early postoperative enterostomy patients were selected in three hospitals from July 2020 to November 2023 in Shanghai, four different prediction models of Support Vector Machine (SVM), Bayes, XG Boost, and Logistic regression were used and compared the test effects of the four models (MCC, F1, AUC, and Brier index) to judge the classification performance of the four models in the data of this study. A total of 21 variables were included in this study, and the predictors mainly covered demographic information, stoma-related information, quality of life, anxiety and depression, and frailty. The validated models on the test set are XGBoost, Logistic regression, SVM prediction model, and Bayes on the MCC and F1 scores; on the AUC, XGBoost, Logistic regression, Bayes, and SVM prediction model; on the Brier scores, Bayes, Logistic regression, and XGBoost. XGBoost based on machine learning method is better than SVM prediction model, Logistic regression model and Bayes in sensitivity and accuracy. Quality of life in the early postoperative period can help guide clinical patients to identify patients at high risk of frailty and reduce the incidence of early postoperative frailty in elderly patients with enterostomy.

Predicting Outcomes in Frail Older Community-Dwellers in Western Australia: Results from the Community Assessment of Risk Screening and Treatment Strategies (CARTS) Programme.

Understanding risk factors for frailty, functional decline and incidence of adverse healthcare outcomes amongst community-dwelling older adults is important to plan population-level health and social care services. We examined variables associated with one-year risk of institutionalisation, hospitalisation and death among patients assessed in their own home by a community-based Aged Care Assessment Team (ACAT) in Western Australia. Frailty and risk were measured using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC), respectively. Predictive accuracy was measured from the area under the curve (AUC). Data from 417 patients, median 82 ± 10 years, were included. At 12-month follow-up, 22.5% (n = 94) were institutionalised, 44.6% (n = 186) were hospitalised at least once and 9.8% (n = 41) had died. Frailty was common, median CFS score 6/9 ± 1, and significantly associated with institutionalisation (p = 0.001), hospitalisation (p = 0.007) and death (p < 0.001). Impaired activities of daily living (ADL) measured on the RISC had moderate correlation with admission to long-term care (r = 0.51) and significantly predicted institutionalisation (p < 0.001) and death (p = 0.01). The RISC had the highest accuracy for institutionalisation (AUC 0.76). The CFS and RISC had fair to good accuracy for mortality (AUC of 0.69 and 0.74, respectively), but neither accurately predicted hospitalisation. Home assessment of community-dwelling older patients by an ACAT in Western Australia revealed high levels of frailty, ADL impairment and incident adverse outcomes, suggesting that anticipatory care planning is imperative for these patients.

Medical costs of Swedish nursing home residents at the end of life: a retrospective observational registry study

BackgroundThere are many studies of medical costs in late life in general, but nursing home residents’ needs and the costs of external medical services and interventions outside of nursing home services are less well described.MethodsWe examined the direct medical costs of nursing home residents in their last year of life, as well as limited to the period of stay in the nursing home, adjusted for age, sex, Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), and diagnosis of dementia or advanced cancer. This was an observational retrospective study of registry data from all diseased nursing home residents during the years 2015–2021 using healthcare consumption data from the Stockholm Regional Council, Sweden. T tests, Wilcoxon rank sum tests and chi-square tests were used for comparisons of groups, and generalized linear models (GLMs) were constructed for univariable and multivariable linear regressions of health cost expenditures to calculate risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).ResultsAccording to the adjusted (multivariable) models for the 38,805 studied nursing home decedents, when studying the actual period of stay in nursing homes, we found significantly greater medical costs associated with male sex (RR 1.29 (1.25–1.33), p < 0.0001) and younger age (65–79 years vs. ≥90 years: RR 1.92 (1.85–2.01), p < 0.0001). Costs were also greater for those at risk of frailty according to the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) (intermediate risk: RR 3.63 (3.52–3.75), p < 0.0001; high risk: RR 7.84 (7.53–8.16), p < 0.0001); or with advanced cancer (RR 2.41 (2.26–2.57), p < 0.0001), while dementia was associated with lower medical costs (RR 0.54 (0.52–0.55), p < 0.0001). The figures were similar when calculating the costs for the entire last year of life (regardless of whether they were nursing home residents throughout the year).ConclusionsDespite any obvious explanatory factors, male and younger residents had higher medical costs at the end of life than women. Having a risk of frailty or a diagnosis of advanced cancer was strongly associated with higher costs, whereas a dementia diagnosis was associated with lower external, medical costs. These findings could lead us to consider reimbursement models that could be differentiated based on the observed differences.

The association between frailty biomarkers and 20-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among community-dwelling older adults

ABSTRACT Objectives While several biomarkers were previously associated with frailty and mortality, data are still contradicting. We aimed to evaluate the association between novel biomarkers and frailty among community-dwelling older adults to enhance understanding of the pathophysiology of frailty. Methods Nine hundred and sixty-three older adults were screened during the third phase (1999–2008) of the Israel study on Glucose Intolerance, Obesity, and Hypertension (GOH). Frailty was defined as sedentary individuals, past 10 years hospitalizations, or at least one of the following: body mass index (BMI) <21 kg/m2; albumin <3.2 g/dl; ≥2 major baseline diseases. Biomarkers were evaluated for their association with frailty, all-cause, and cardiovascular mortality. Results Mean baseline age was 72 ± 7 years, 471 (49%) were women, and 195 (20%) were classified as frail. Median follow-up for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality was 11 and 13 years, with 179 (18.6%) and 466 (48.4%) deaths recorded, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression showed greater odds for frailty with lower quartile of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (OR = 1.8, 95%CI: 1.2–2.8, p = 0.01), and for each 5 µmol/L increment in homocysteine levels (OR = 1.3, 95%CI: 1.1–1.5, p = 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression showed greater all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk for individuals with low ALT (HR = 1.6, 95%CI: 1.3–2.0, p < 0.001 and HR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.0–2.2, p = 0.03, respectively), and high homocysteine (HR = 1.1, 95%CI: 1.1–1.3, p = 0.003 and HR = 1.2, 95%CI: 1.0–1.3, p = 0.04, respectively). Homocysteine association with mortality was more pronounced in those with baseline ischemic heart disease (IHD) compared with subjects free of IHD (P for interaction = 0.01). Conclusions Lower ALT and higher homocysteine were associated with frailty, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. These available and low-cost biomarkers underscore the nutritional and metabolic aspects of frailty when screening high-risk older adults, especially those with IHD, and may be considered as preferable screening biomarkers to be tested among these individuals for frailty and mortality risk.