Risk Of Cancer Mortality Research Articles

Racial and ethnic disparities in mortality among World Trade Center Health Registry enrollees with post-9/11 cancer.

There are well-documented racial and ethnic disparities in mortality after cancer in the general population, but less is known about whether disparities also exist in disaster-exposed populations. We conducted a longitudinal cohort study of 4341 enrollees in the World Trade Center Health Registry (WTCHR) with a first-ever primary invasive cancer diagnosis after 9/11/2001 and followed through 2020. We examined associations of race and ethnicity with all-cause mortality risk and cause-specific mortality risk using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models and Fine and Gray's proportional sub-distribution hazards models, respectively. Models were adjusted for baseline characteristics and tumor characteristics. We also examined models further adjusted for socioeconomic status (SES), and we used inverse odds weighting to formally test for mediation by SES. Compared to non-Hispanic White enrollees with cancer, non-Hispanic Blacks had higher risks for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.02-1.41) and non-cancer mortality (aHR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.09-2.01) in the full model. In the model without SES, Hispanic enrollees with cancer had higher risks for all-cause mortality (aHR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.09-1.60) and cancer mortality (aHR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.05-1.64) compared to non-Hispanic Whites; these associations became not statistically significant in the full model. In the inverse odds weighting analysis, SES explained 24% and 29% of the disparity in all-cause mortality risk observed in non-Hispanic Blacks and Hispanics, respectively, compared to non-Hispanic Whites. This study found that there are racial and ethnic disparities in mortality after cancer in the WTCHR. Additional studies are needed to further explore the factors mediating these disparities.

Baseline weight recovery and mortality risk in head and neck cancer.

As a surrogate of malnutrition, degree of weight loss and recovery from head and neck cancer (HNC) treatment is understudied. The influence of modifiable factors that affect weight, including speech/language pathology (SLP) and nutrition counseling, is also poorly defined. We characterize weight loss trends, baseline weight recovery (BWR), and the impact of interdisciplinary care on oncologic outcomes. Retrospective cohort study assessing 266 newly diagnosed patients with HNC who completed curative-intent radiation (definitive or adjuvant) between January 2016 to January 2022. Relevant treatment factors were analyzed using multivariable Cox regression models. Altogether, 266 patients completed full-course radiation therapy (RT), encompassing definitive chemoRT (53.0%), surgery with chemoRT (18.4%), surgery with RT (17.7%), and RT alone (10.9%). Patient weight reached a nadir at median 3.0 months (IQR 3.0-11.3) after radiation, with a median weight loss of 12.6% (IQR 7.9-18.7). Notably, only 47.4% exhibited BWR. For those who recovered, median time to BWR was 10.5 months (IQR 3.0-24.0). On multivariable analysis, BWR by 6 months was significantly associated with overall survival (HR 0.28 [95% CI 0.10-0.76], p = 0.013), as was SLP consultation (HR 0.40 [95% CI 0.17-0.92], p = 0.031) and nutrition consultation (HR 0.34 [95% CI 0.13-0.89], p = 0.028). A high proportion of patients with HNC fail to recover baseline weight after treatment; those that do can take longer than expected to return. Failure to recover baseline weight is associated with a notable decrease in survival. Similarly, SLP and nutrition consultation are independent, modifiable determinants correlated with outcomes, supporting the emphasis on multidisciplinary management. Measures to promote BWR may reduce mortality.

Association between glucose levels and all-cause mortality in cancer survivors: findings from NHANES 1999–2018

BackgroundHyperglycemia is a rapidly increasing risk factor for cancer mortality worldwide. However, the dose‒response relationship between glucose levels and all-cause mortality in cancer survivors is still uncertain.MethodsWe enrolled 4,491 cancer survivors (weighted population 19,465,739) from the 1999–2019 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Cancer survivors were defined based on the question of whether they had ever been diagnosed with cancer by a doctor or a health professional. Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) was selected in this study as a stable marker of glucose level. Mortality was ascertained by linkage to National Death Index records until December 31, 2019. Cox proportional hazard, Kaplan‒Meier survival curves and Restricted cubic spline regression models were used to evaluate the associations between HbA1c and all-cause mortality risk in cancer survivors.ResultsIn NHANES, after adjusting for confounders, HbA1c had an independent nonlinear association with increased all-cause mortality in cancer survivors (nonlinear P value < 0.05). The threshold value for HbA1c was 5.4%, and the HRs (95% CI) below and above the threshold value were 0.917 (0.856,0.983) and 1.026 (1.010,1.043), respectively. Similar associations were found between fasting glucose and all-cause mortality in cancer survivors, and the threshold value was 5.7 mmol/L.ConclusionsHbA1c was nonlinearly associated with all-cause mortality in cancer survivors, and the critical value of HbA1c in decreased mortality was 5.4%, suggesting optimal glucose management in cancer survivors may be a key to preventing premature death in cancer survivors.

Bilateral Mastectomy and Breast Cancer Mortality

The benefit of bilateral mastectomy for women with unilateral breast cancer in terms of deaths from breast cancer has not been shown. To estimate the 20-year cumulative risk of breast cancer mortality among women with stage 0 to stage III unilateral breast cancer according to the type of initial surgery performed. This cohort study used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program registry database to identify women with unilateral breast cancer (invasive and ductal carcinoma in situ) who were diagnosed from 2000 to 2019. Three closely matched cohorts of equal size were generated using 1:1:1 matching according to surgical approach. The cohorts were followed up for 20 years for contralateral breast cancer and for breast cancer mortality. The analysis compared the 20-year cumulative risk of breast cancer mortality for women treated with lumpectomy vs unilateral mastectomy vs bilateral mastectomy. Data were analyzed from October 2023 to February 2024. Type of breast surgery performed (lumpectomy, unilateral mastectomy, or bilateral mastectomy). Contralateral breast cancer or breast cancer mortality during the 20-year follow-up period among the groups treated with lumpectomy vs unilateral mastectomy vs bilateral mastectomy. The study sample included 661 270 women with unilateral breast cancer (mean [SD] age, 58.7 [11.3] years). After matching, there were 36 028 women in each of the 3 treatment groups. During the 20-year follow-up, there were 766 contralateral breast cancers observed in the lumpectomy group, 728 contralateral breast cancers in the unilateral mastectomy group, and 97 contralateral cancers in the bilateral mastectomy group. The 20-year risk of contralateral breast cancer was 6.9% (95% CI, 6.1%-7.9%) in the lumpectomy-unilateral mastectomy group. The cumulative breast cancer mortality was 32.1% at 15 years after developing a contralateral cancer and was 14.5% for those who did not develop a contralateral cancer (hazard ratio, 4.00; 95% CI, 3.52-4.54, using contralateral breast cancer as a time-dependent covariate). Deaths from breast cancer totaled 3077 women (8.54%) in the lumpectomy group, 3269 women (9.07%) in the unilateral mastectomy group, and 3062 women (8.50%) in the bilateral mastectomy group. This cohort study indicates that the risk of dying of breast cancer increases substantially after experiencing a contralateral breast cancer. Women with breast cancer treated with bilateral mastectomy had a greatly diminished risk of contralateral breast cancer; however, they experienced similar mortality rates as patients treated with lumpectomy or unilateral mastectomy.

Central Lean Mass Distribution and the Risks of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in 40,283 UK Biobank Participants

Introduction: The purpose of this study was to investigate the association of central lean mass distribution with the risk of mortality. Methods: This cohort study included 40,283 UK Biobank participants. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the association of central lean mass distribution, i.e., trunk-to-leg lean mass ratio, assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, with the risk of mortality. Results: The median age of the participants was 65 years, and 52% were women. During a median follow-up of 4.18 years, 674 participants died, of whom 366 were due to cancer and 126 were due to cardiovascular causes. Compared with the lowest tertile of a trunk-to-leg lean mass ratio, the multivariable-adjusted (age, sex, ethnicity, lifestyle, comorbidities, body mass index, and appendicular muscle mass index) hazards ratios of the highest tertile of trunk-to-leg lean mass ratio were 1.55 (95% CI: 1.23–1.94), 1.69 (95% CI: 1.26–2.26), and 1.14 (95% CI: 0.72–1.80) for all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio mediated 9.3% (95% CI: 3.3%–40.4%) of the association of trunk-to-leg lean mass ratio with all-cause mortality. There was evidence for additive interactions of trunk-to-leg lean mass ratio with older age and poor diet quality for all-cause mortality. Conclusion: Trunk-to-leg lean mass ratio, assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, was positively associated with the risks of all-cause and cancer mortality, independent of general obesity and central obesity, in UK middle-aged and older adults. Central lean mass distribution may interact synergistically with aging and poor diet quality to further increase the risk of death.

The Contrasting Effects of Two Distinct Exercise Training Modalities on Exhaustive Exercise-Induced Muscle Damage in Mice May Be Associated with Alterations in the Gut Microbiota.

Exhaustive exercise is known to induce muscle damage characterized by inflammation and oxidative stress. Although "regular" and "weekend warrior" exercise regimens have been shown to confer comparable health benefits in human studies, such as reduced risks of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality, their differential impacts on muscle damage post-exhaustive exercise remain unclear. This study aimed to compare the effects of long-term, moderate-intensity (LTMI) and short-term, high-intensity (STHI) training modalities, matched for total exercise volume, on gut microbiota, short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), and exhaustive exercise-induced muscle damage in mice, as well as to evaluate the correlation between these factors. LTMI is considered a regular exercise regimen, while STHI shares some similarities with the "weekend warrior" pattern, such as promoting exercise intensity and condensing training sessions into a short period. Our findings indicate that LTMI training significantly enhanced the abundance of SCFA-producing bacteria, including Akkermansia, Prevotellaceae_NK3B31_group, Odoribacter, Alistipes, and Lactobacillus, thereby increasing SCFA levels and attenuating muscle damage following exhaustive swimming. In contrast, STHI training increased the abundance of opportunistic pathogens such as Staphylococcus and Bilophila, without altering SCFA levels, and was associated with exacerbated muscle damage. Moreover, we observed a significant negative correlation between the abundance of SCFA-producing bacteria and SCFA levels with the expression of inflammatory cytokines in the muscle of mice post-exhaustive exercise. Conversely, the abundance of Staphylococcus and Bilophila showed a notable positive correlation with these cytokines. Additionally, the effects of LTMI and STHI on exhaustive exercise-induced muscle damage were transmissible to untrained mice via fecal microbiota transplantation, suggesting that gut microbiota changes induced by these training modalities may contribute to their contrasting impacts on muscle damage. These results underscore the significance of selecting an appropriate training modality prior to engaging in exhaustive exercise, with implications for athletic training and injury prevention.

Associations of steps per day and step intensity with the risk of cancer: Findings from the Women's Health Accelerometry Collaboration cohort

ObjectiveAccumulating more steps/day is associated with a lower risk of cancer mortality and composite cancer outcomes. However, less is known about the relationship of steps/day with the risk of multiple site-specific cancers. MethodsThis study included >22,000 women from the Women's Health Accelerometry Collaboration Cohort (2011−2022), comprised of women from the Women's Health Study and Women's Health Initiative Objective Physical Activity and Cardiovascular Health Study. Steps/day and step intensity were collected with accelerometry. Incident cancer cases and deaths were adjudicated. Stratified Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the associations of steps/day and step intensity with incident breast, colon, endometrial, lung, and ovarian cancers, a composite of 13 physical activity-related cancers, total invasive cancer, and fatal cancer. ResultsOn average, women were 73.4 years old, accumulated 4993 steps/day, and had 7.9 years of follow-up. There were small nonsignificant inverse associations with the risks of colon cancer (HR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.83, 1.05), endometrial cancer (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.82, 1.01), and fatal cancer (HR = 0.95 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00) per 1000 steps/day. More minutes at ≥40 steps/min and a faster peak 10- and 30-min step cadence were associated with a lower risk of endometrial cancer, but findings were attenuated after adjustment for body mass index and steps/day. ConclusionsAmong women 62–97 years, there were small nonsignificant inverse associations of colon, endometrial, and fatal cancer with more steps/day. Epidemiologic studies with longer follow-up and updated assessments are needed to further explore these associations.

On the use of the healthy lifestyle index to investigate specific disease outcomes

The healthy lifestyle index (HLI), defined as the unweighted sum of individual lifestyle components, was used to investigate the combined role of lifestyle factors on health-related outcomes. We introduced weighted outcome-specific versions of the HLI, where individual lifestyle components were weighted according to their associations with disease outcomes. Within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), we examined the association between the standard and the outcome-specific HLIs and the risk of T2D, CVD, cancer, and all-cause premature mortality. Estimates of the hazard ratios (HRs), the Harrell’s C-index and the population attributable fractions (PAFs) were compared. For T2D, the HR for 1-SD increase of the standard and T2D-specific HLI were 0.66 (95% CI: 0.64, 0.67) and 0.43 (0.42, 0.44), respectively, and the C-index were 0.63 (0.62, 0.64) and 0.72 (0.72, 0.73). Similar, yet less pronounced differences in HR and C-index were observed for standard and outcome-specific estimates for cancer, CVD and all-cause mortality. PAF estimates for mortality before age 80 were 57% (55%, 58%) and 33% (32%, 34%) for standard and mortality-specific HLI, respectively. The use of outcome-specific HLI could improve the assessment of the role of lifestyle factors on disease outcomes, thus enhancing the definition of public health recommendations.

Associations Between Dietary Intake of Tomato and Lycopene with All-Cause and Cancer-Specific Mortality in US Adults with Diabetes: Results From a Cohort Study

This study aimed to explore the association between dietary intake of tomatoes and lycopene with all-cause and cancer mortality among US adults with diabetes. We hypothesized that a higher intake of tomato and lycopene is related to a reduced risk of all-cause and cancer mortality among adults with diabetes. This prospective study was conducted among 9213 US adults with diabetes using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007–2016. Data on dietary intake of tomatoes and lycopene were obtained from two 24-h dietary recalls. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models determined the associations between tomato/lycopene intake and mortality. A higher intake of tomatoes and lycopene was significantly associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (tomato: Q5 vs. Q1: HR = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.54–0.86, p = 0.001, p for trend = 0.001; lycopene: Q5 vs. Q1: HR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.64–0.95, p = 0.013, p for trend = 0.006) after adjusting for all covariates. Compared with the lowest quintile of tomato and lycopene intake, the highest quintile was associated with a lower risk of cancer mortality (tomato: HR = 0.58, 95% CI = 0.35–0.96, p = 0.035; lycopene: HR = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.40–0.98, p = 0.043). Our study demonstrated that dietary intake of tomatoes and lycopene was significantly associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality in US adults with diabetes. High consumption of tomatoes and lycopene was also related to reduced cancer mortality in US adults with diabetes.

Prostate Risk and Monitoring During Testosterone Replacement Therapy.

Men with hypogonadism have reduced risk of prostate cancer mortality; whether testosterone treatment increases the risk of prostate safety events in men with hypogonadism remains controversial. Several studies including 4 larger randomized trials-the Testosterone Trials, TEstosterone and Atherosclerosis Progression in Aging Men (TEAAM) trial, Testosterone for Diabetes Mellitus trial, and Testosterone Replacement therapy for Assessment of long-term Vascular Events and efficacy ResponSE in hypogonadal men (TRAVERSE) trial-treated men with testosterone or placebo for 1 year or longer and reported prospectively ascertained prostate safety data. The TRAVERSE Trial, because of its large size, longer duration, and adjudication of prostate events, has provided comprehensive data on the risk of adverse prostate events during testosterone replacement therapy (TRT). Among men with hypogonadism, carefully screened to exclude those at high risk of prostate cancer, the incidences of high-grade or any prostate cancer, acute urinary retention, surgical procedure for benign prostatic hyperplasia, prostate biopsy, or new pharmacologic therapy for lower urinary tract symptoms were low and did not differ between the testosterone and placebo groups. Testosterone did not worsen lower urinary tract symptoms. TRT was associated with a greater increase in prostate-specific antigen than placebo in the first year of treatment. Testosterone treatment of men with hypogonadism, screened to exclude those at high risk of prostate cancer, is associated with low risk of adverse prostate events. Baseline evaluation of prostate cancer risk and a standardized monitoring plan can minimize the risk of unnecessary prostate biopsy while enabling the detection of high-grade prostate cancers in men receiving TRT.

Waterpipe Tobacco Smoking and Risk of Cancer Mortality

There has been an increasing trend of using noncigarette products, including waterpipe tobacco (WTP), worldwide. While cigarette smoking is a well-established risk factor for numerous cancers, little is known about the association between WTP smoking and cancer mortality. To assess the association between WTP smoking and risk of cancer mortality in Vietnam. This cohort study was based on data from the Hanoi Prospective Cohort Study, an ongoing study with a median (range) follow-up of 11.0 (0.1-11.6) years for participants aged 15 years or older in Northern Vietnam from 2007 through 2019. Data were analyzed from June 1 to September 1, 2023. Tobacco smoking and WTP smoking statuses. Overall and site-specific cancer mortality. Cox proportional regression models were used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CIs for the associations between WTP smoking alone, cigarette smoking alone, and dual WTP and cigarette smoking and the risk of cancer death. A total of 554 cancer deaths were identified among the 39 401 study participants (mean [SD] age, 40.4 [18.8] years; 20 616 females [52.3%]). In multivariable models, compared with never smokers, ever smokers had a significantly increased risk of cancer mortality (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.48-2.35). Exclusive WTP smokers had the highest risk of cancer mortality compared with never smokers (HR, 2.66; 95% CI, 2.07-3.43). Risk of cancer mortality was higher for dual smokers of WTP and cigarettes (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.53-2.76) than for exclusive cigarette smokers (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.41-2.45). As most smokers (95.6% [8897 of 9312]) were male, these patterns were more apparent in male participants. Compared with never smokers, exclusive WTP smoking among males was associated with an elevated risk of death from liver cancer (HR, 3.92; 95% CI, 2.25-6.85), lung cancer (HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 2.08-5.88), nasopharyngeal carcinoma (HR, 2.79; 95% CI, 1.27-6.12), and stomach cancer (HR, 4.11; 95% CI, 2.04-8.27). For exclusive WTP smokers, the risk of cancer mortality was highest among those who smoked 11 to 15 sessions per day (HR, 3.42; 95% CI, 2.03-5.75), started smoking at age 26 to 30 years (HR, 4.01; 95% CI, 2.63-6.11), smoked for 9 to 20 years (HR, 4.04; 95% CI, 2.16-7.56), and smoked 61 to 160 sessions annually (HR, 3.68; 95% CI, 2.38-5.71). For males, the risk of cancer death was lower for those who had quit smoking for more than 10 years, compared with those who quit smoking within 1 year (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11-0.66; P for trend < .001). In this cohort study in Vietnam, WTP smoking alone or in combination with cigarette smoking was associated with an increased risk of cancer death due to liver cancer, lung cancer, nasopharyngeal carcinoma, and stomach cancer. A tailored program to control WTP smoking is warranted in Vietnam and low- and middle-income countries with a high prevalence of smoking and modest resources to address smoking-related issues.

Fairness in Predicting Cancer Mortality Across Racial Subgroups

Machine learning has potential to transform cancer care by helping clinicians prioritize patients for serious illness conversations. However, models need to be evaluated for unequal performance across racial groups (ie, racial bias) so that existing racial disparities are not exacerbated. To evaluate whether racial bias exists in a predictive machine learning model that identifies 180-day cancer mortality risk among patients with solid malignant tumors. In this cohort study, a machine learning model to predict cancer mortality for patients aged 21 years or older diagnosed with cancer between January 2016 and December 2021 was developed with a random forest algorithm using retrospective data from the Mount Sinai Health System cancer registry, Social Security Death Index, and electronic health records up to the date when databases were accessed for cohort extraction (February 2022). Race category. The primary outcomes were model discriminatory performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC], F1 score) among each race category (Asian, Black, Native American, White, and other or unknown) and fairness metrics (equal opportunity, equalized odds, and disparate impact) among each pairwise comparison of race categories. True-positive rate ratios represented equal opportunity; both true-positive and false-positive rate ratios, equalized odds; and the percentage of predictive positive rate ratios, disparate impact. All metrics were estimated as a proportion or ratio, with variability captured through 95% CIs. The prespecified criterion for the model's clinical use was a threshold of at least 80% for fairness metrics across different racial groups to ensure the model's prediction would not be biased against any specific race. The test validation dataset included 43 274 patients with balanced demographics. Mean (SD) age was 64.09 (14.26) years, with 49.6% older than 65 years. A total of 53.3% were female; 9.5%, Asian; 18.9%, Black; 0.1%, Native American; 52.2%, White; and 19.2%, other or unknown race; 0.1% had missing race data. A total of 88.9% of patients were alive, and 11.1% were dead. The AUROCs, F1 scores, and fairness metrics maintained reasonable concordance among the racial subgroups: the AUROCs ranged from 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72-0.78) for Asian patients and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.73-0.77) for Black patients to 0.77 (95% CI, 0.75-0.79) for patients with other or unknown race; F1 scores, from 0.32 (95% CI, 0.32-0.33) for White patients to 0.40 (95% CI, 0.39-0.42) for Black patients; equal opportunity ratios, from 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.98) for Black patients compared with White patients to 1.02 (95% CI, 1.00-1.04) for Black patients compared with patients with other or unknown race; equalized odds ratios, from 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85-0.92) for Black patients compared with White patients to 1.16 (1.10-1.21) for Black patients compared with patients with other or unknown race; and disparate impact ratios, from 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82-0.89) for Black patients compared with White patients to 1.17 (95% CI, 1.12-1.22) for Black patients compared with patients with other or unknown race. In this cohort study, the lack of significant variation in performance or fairness metrics indicated an absence of racial bias, suggesting that the model fairly identified cancer mortality risk across racial groups. It remains essential to consistently review the model's application in clinical settings to ensure equitable patient care.

Dose-response risks of all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular disease mortality according to sex-specific cigarette smoking pack-year quantiles.

This study investigated the risks for all-cause death and death from cancer or cardiovascular diseases due to smoking status and behavior, focusing on differences in smoking duration and amount stratified by sex. The integrated Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study provided data for 209770 individuals who were classified as never, former, or current smokers, based on their current smoking status. Pack-years were computed using daily average smoking amount and total smoking duration, and were categorized into quantiles separately for men and women. Based on the number of deaths in 2018, hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated for all-cause mortality, as well as for death caused by all cancers, lung cancer, and cardiovascular diseases according to pack-years adjusted for age, household income, marital status, body mass index, physical activity, and alcohol consumption. A significant increase in the risk of all-cause mortality was observed for current smokers (men HR=1.90; 95% CI: 1.69-2.14; women HR=2.25; 95% CI: 1.68-2.99) and former smokers (men HR=1.31; 95% CI: 1.17-1.47; women HR=2.35; 95% CI: 1.63-3.39) compared with that for those who had never smoked. Among men, HR for death from lung cancer was 3.13 (95% CI: 2.06-4.75) in former smokers and tended to increase with each pack-year quantile (range HR: 5.72-17.11). Among women, the HR was estimated to be 17.20 (95% CI: 6.22-47.57) only for >3rd quantile. Smoking increases the risks of all-cause death. Considering the persistent risks post-smoking cessation, it is vital to focus on preventing smoking initiation and providing proactive support for successful smoking cessation and maintenance of a smoke-free lifestyle.

Demonstrating the use of population level data to investigate trends in the rate, radiation dose and cost of Computed Tomography across clinical groups: Are there any areas of concern?

Increases in computed tomography (CT) use may not always reflect clinical need or improve outcomes. This study aimed to demonstrate how population level data can be used to identify variations in care between patient groups, by analysing system-level changes in CT use around the diagnosis of new conditions. Retrospective repeated cross-sectional observational study using West Australian linked administrative records, including 504,723 adults diagnosed with different conditions in 2006, 2012 and 2015. For 90 days pre/post diagnosis, CT use (any and 2+ scans), effective dose (mSv), lifetime attributable risk (LAR) of cancer incidence and mortality from CT, and costs were assessed. CT use increased from 209.4 per 1000 new diagnoses in 2006 to 258.0 in 2015; increases were observed for all conditions except neoplasms. Healthcare system costs increased for all conditions but neoplasms and mental disorders. Effective dose increased substantially for respiratory (+2.5 mSv, +23.1%, P < 0.001) and circulatory conditions (+2.1 mSv, +15.4%, P < 0.001). The LAR of cancer incidence and mortality from CT increased for endocrine (incidence +23.4%, mortality +18.0%) and respiratory disorders (+21.7%, +23.3%). Mortality LAR increased for circulatory (+12.1%) and nervous system (+11.0%) disorders. The LAR of cancer incidence and mortality reduced for musculoskeletal system disorders, despite an increase in repeated CT in this group. Use and costs increased for most conditions except neoplasms and mental and behavioural disorders. More strategic CT use may have occurred in musculoskeletal conditions, while use and radiation burden increased for respiratory, circulatory and nervous system conditions. Using this high-level approach we flag areas requiring deeper investigation into appropriateness and value of care.

Estimating cure and risk of death from other causes of cancer patients: EUROCARE-6 data on head & neck, colorectal, and breast cancers

BackgroundTo estimate net survival and cancer cure fraction (CF), i.e. the proportion of patients no longer at risk of dying from cancer progression/relapse, a clear distinction needs to be made between mortality from cancer and from other causes. Conventionally, CF is estimated assuming no excess mortality compared to the general population. MethodsA new modelling approach, that corrects for patients’ extra risk of dying (RR) from causes other than the diagnosed cancer, was considered to estimate both indicators. We analysed EUROCARE-6 data on head and neck (H&N), colorectal, and breast cancer patients aged 40–79, diagnosed from 1998 to 2002 and followed-up to 31/12/2014, provided by 65 European cancer registries. FindingsYoung male H&N cancer patients have 4 times the risk of dying from other causes than their peers, this risk decreases with age to 1.6. Similar results were observed for female. We observed an absolute increase in CF of 30 % using the new model instead of the conventional one. For colorectal cancer, CF with the new model increased by a maximum of 3 % for older patients and the RR ranged from 1 to 1.2 for both sexes. CF of female breast cancer ranged from 73 % to 79 % using the new cure model, with RR between 1.2 and 1.4. InterpretationNot considering a RR> 1 leads to underestimate the proportion of patients not bound to die of their diagnosed cancer. Estimates of cancer mortality risk have an important impact on patients’ quality of life.

Metformin as a Therapeutic Agent for Obesity-Associated Immune Dysfunction

Obesity is associated with impaired immune function, characterized by inflammation, and leading to poor response to infection, impaired vaccine response, increased susceptibility to autoimmune disease, and increased risk of cancer and cancer mortality. Worse, there is evidence that weight loss alone may be insufficient to reverse the immune dysfunction caused by obesity. It is therefore critically important to identify alternative therapeutic approaches to decrease the negative effects of obesity-associated inflammation. In this article, we will review evidence that the antidiabetic drug metformin may be considered as a therapeutic agent for obesity-associated immune dysfunction. Metformin has immunomodulatory effects, stimulating or suppressing the immune response in both a cell-specific and disease-specific manner. Although the mechanism of action of metformin on the immune system remains to be fully elucidated, there is strong evidence that metformin enters select immune cells and disrupts electron transport, leading to both AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK)–dependent and AMPK–independent effects on immune cell differentiation and cytokine production. These effects of metformin on immune cells have been shown to improve immune responses to infection, autoimmunity, and cancer.

Adolescent Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Risk of Cancer in Late Adulthood: Nationwide Sibling-Controlled Cohort Study.

To investigate whether the higher risks of certain cancers associated with high cardiorespiratory fitness can be explained by increased detection and unobserved confounders. Nationwide sibling-controlled cohort study of adolescents. Sweden. 1 124 049 men of which 477 453 were full siblings, who underwent mandatory military conscription examinations between 1972 and 1995 at a mean age of 18.3 years. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of overall cancer diagnosis and cancer mortality, and 14 site-specific cancers (diagnosis or death), as recorded in the Swedish National Patient Register or Cause of Death Register until 31 December 2023, modelled using flexible parametric regressions. Participants were followed until a median (maximum) age of 55.9 (73.5) years, during which 98 410 were diagnosed with cancer and 16 789 had a cancer-related death (41 293 and 6908 among full siblings respectively). The most common cancers were non-melanoma skin (27 105 diagnoses & 227 deaths) and prostate cancer (24 211 diagnoses & 869 deaths). In cohort analysis, those in the highest quartile of cardiorespiratory fitness had a higher risk of prostate (adjusted HR 1.10; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.16) and skin cancer (e.g., non-melanoma HR 1.44; 1.37 to 1.50) compared to those in the lowest quartile, which led to a higher risk of any type of cancer diagnosis (HR 1.08; 1.06 to 1.11). However, those in the highest quartile had a lower risk of cancer mortality (HR 0.71; 0.67 to 0.76). When comparing full siblings, and thereby controlling for all behavioural, environmental, and genetic factors they share, the excess risk of prostate (HR 1.01; 0.90 to 1.13) and skin cancer (e.g., non-melanoma HR 1.09; 0.99 to 1.20) attenuated to the null. In contrast, the lower risk of overall cancer mortality was still statistically significant after control for such shared confounders (HR 0.78; 0.68 to 0.89). For other site-specific cancers, the influence of such confounding tended to vary, but none showed the same excess risk as prostate and non-melanoma skin cancer. The association between high levels of adolescent cardiorespiratory fitness and excess risk of some cancers, such as prostate and non-melanoma skin cancer, appears to be fully explained by unobserved confounders shared between full siblings. However, the protective association with cancer mortality persists even after control for such confounding.

Direct factor Xa inhibitors and the risk of cancer and cancer mortality: A Danish population-based cohort study.

Preclinical animal studies have suggested that myeloid cell-synthesized coagulation factor X dampens antitumor immunity and that rivaroxaban, a direct factor Xa inhibitor, can be used to promote tumor immunity. This study was aimed at assessing whether patients with atrial fibrillation taking direct factor Xa inhibitors have lower risk of cancer and cancer-related mortality than patients taking the direct thrombin inhibitor dabigatran. This nationwide population-based cohort study in Denmark included adult patients with atrial fibrillation and without a history of cancer, who started taking a factor Xa inhibitor or dabigatran between 2011 and 2015. Data on medical history, outcomes, and drug use were acquired through Danish healthcare registries. The primary outcome was any cancer. Secondary outcomes were cancer-related mortality and all-cause mortality. Outcome events were assessed during 5 years of follow-up in an intention-to-treat analysis. The propensity score-based inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to compute cumulative incidence and subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with death as a competing event. Propensity scores were estimated using logistic regression and including in the model sex, age group at index date, comorbidities, and use of comedications. A total of 11,742 patients with atrial fibrillation starting a factor Xa inhibitor and 11,970 patients starting dabigatran were included. Mean age was 75.2 years (standard deviation [SD] 11.2) in the factor Xa cohort and 71.7 years (SD 11.1) in the dabigatran cohort. On the basis of the propensity score-weighted models, after 5 years of follow-up, no substantial difference in the cumulative incidence of cancer was observed between the factor Xa inhibitor (2,157/23,711; 9.11%, 95% CI [8.61%,9.63%]) and dabigatran (2,294/23,715; 9.68%, 95% CI [9.14%,10.25%]) groups (SHR 0.94, 95% CI [0.89,1.00], P value 0.0357). We observed no difference in cancer-related mortality (factor Xa inhibitors cohort 1,028/23,711; 4.33%, 95% CI [4.02%,4.68%]. Dabigatran cohort 1,001/23,715; 4.22%, 95% CI [3.83%,4.66%]; SHR 1.03, 95% CI [0.94,1.12]), but all-cause mortality was higher in the factor Xa inhibitor cohort (factor Xa inhibitors cohort 7,416/23,711; 31.31%, 95% CI [30.37%,32.29%]. Dabigatran cohort 6,531/23,715; 27.56%, 95% CI [26.69%,28.45%]; HR 1.17, 95% CI [1.13,1.21]). The main limitations of the study were the possibility of residual confounding and the short follow-up period. In this population based cohort study, factor Xa inhibitor use was not associated with an overall lower incidence of cancer or cancer-related mortality when compared to dabigatran. We did observe an increase in all-cause mortality in the factor Xa inhibitor cohort.

Causal Relationship Between Kidney Function and Cancer Risk: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Rationale & ObjectivePatients treated with kidney replacement therapy experience a 1.5 to 2-fold increased risk of cancer and cancer mortality compared to the general population. Whether this excess risk extends to people with earlier stages of chronic kidney disease is unclear. This study explored the potentially causal relationship between reduced kidney function and cancer. Study DesignTwo-sample Mendelian randomization (MR). Setting & ParticipantsGenome Wide Association Study (GWAS) summary statistics for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (n=567,460) and urinary albuminuria (UACR) (n=127,865) from the CKDGen consortium and cancer outcomes from the UK Biobank (n=407,329). ExposureseGFR and UACR. OutcomesOverall cancer incidence, cancer-related mortality, and site-specific colorectal, lung, and urinary tract cancer incidence. Analytical ApproachUnivariable and multivariable MR were conducted for all outcomes using inverse-variance weighted methods. ResultsThe mean eGFR and median UACR were 91.4 mL/min/1.73m2 and 9.32 mg/g in the CKDGen and 90.4 mL/min/1.73m2 and 9.29 mg/g in the UK Biobank. There were 98,093 cases of cancer, 6,664 colorectal, 3584 lung, and 3,271 urinary tract. There were 15,850 cases of cancer-related death, The genetic instruments for eGFR and UACR comprised 34 and 38 variants, respectively. Genetically predicted kidney function (eGFR and UACR) was not associated with overall cancer risk or cancer death. No associations of genetically predicted eGFR and UACR with overall cancer incidence were observed; odds ratio (95%CI; p-value) of 0.88 (0.40-1.97; p=0.76) and 0.90 (0.78-1.04; p=0.16), respectively. An adjusted generalized additive model for eGFR and cancer demonstrated evidence of non-linearity. There was no evidence of a causal association between eGFR and cancer in a stratified MR. LimitationsTo avoid overlapping samples a smaller GWAS for UACR was used, reducing the strength of the instrument and potentially introducing population stratification. ConclusionsThese findings did not demonstrate a causal association of kidney function with overall cancer incidence or cancer-related death.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists and cancer mortality. A real-world registry

Introduction and objectivesSodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1ra) reduce cardiovascular events through different mechanisms, but their association with cancer remains unclear. The aim of this study was to compare the effect of combined treatment (SGLT2i and GLP1ra) and monotherapy (SGLT2i or GLP1ra) on hospitalization and/or death from cancer in a general population and a subgroup of patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). MethodsWe conducted a nonconcurrent observational prospective study of patients prescribed SGLT2i, GLP1ra, or both. Multinomial propensity scores were performed in the entire population and in a subgroup of patients with CVD. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine the hazard ratio (HR) for age, sex, risk factors, and treatment for each outcome. ResultsWe included 14 709 patients (11366 with SGLT2i, 1016 with GLP1ra, and 2327 with both treatments) from treatment initiation. Diabetes was present in 97% of the patients. The subgroup with CVD included 4957 (33.7%) patients. After a median of 33 months of follow-up, the risk of adverse cancer events was similar between patients with and without CVD (3.4% or 3.7%, respectively). The main risk factors for cancer mortality were male sex and age. Combined treatment and its duration reduced the risk of cancer mortality compared with monotherapy with SGLT2i or GLP1ra in the overall population (HR, 0.2216; 95%CI, 0.1106-0.4659; P<.001; and HR, 0.1928; 95%CI, 0.071-0.5219; P=.001, respectively) and in the subgroup of patients with CVD (HR, 0.2879; 95%CI, 0.0878-0.994; P<.049; and HR, 0.1329; 95%CI, 0.024-0.6768; P=.014, respectively). ConclusionsInitiation of combined therapy (SGLT2i and GLP1ra) vs monotherapy with SGLT2i or GLP1ra was associated with a lower risk of cancer mortality, mostly in diabetic patients with or without CVD. Although clinical trials are needed, these results might be explained by the complementary mechanisms of these drugs, including their antiproliferative, anti-inflammatory, and metabolic effects. Future clinical trials and mechanistic studies will clarify the possible role of these drugs in carcinogenesis.