Risk Of 30-day Mortality Research Articles

Effects of dynamic versus static parameter-guided fluid resuscitation in patients with sepsis: A randomized controlled trial

Background Fluid resuscitation is an essential component for sepsis treatment. Although several studies demonstrated that dynamic variables were more accurate than static variables for prediction of fluid responsiveness, fluid resuscitation guidance by dynamic variables is not standard for treatment. The objectives were to determine the effects of dynamic inferior vena cava (IVC)-guided versus (vs.) static central venous pressure (CVP)-guided fluid resuscitation in septic patients on mortality; and others, i.e., resuscitation targets, shock duration, fluid and vasopressor amount, invasive respiratory support, length of stay and adverse events. Methods A single-blind randomized controlled trial was conducted at Thammasat University Hospital between August 2016 and April 2020. Septic patients were stratified by acute physiologic and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) <25 or ≥25 and randomized by blocks of 2 and 4 to fluid resuscitation guidance by dynamic IVC or static CVP. Results Of 124 patients enrolled, 62 were randomized to each group, and one of each was excluded from mortality analysis. Baseline characteristics were comparable. The 30-day mortality rates between dynamic IVC vs. static CVP groups were not different (34.4% vs. 45.9%, p=0.196). Relative risk for 30-day mortality of dynamic IVC group was 0.8 (95%CI=0.5-1.2, p=0.201). Different outcomes were median (interquartile range) of shock duration (0.8 (0.4-1.6) vs. 1.5 (1.1-3.1) days, p=0.001) and norepinephrine (NE) dose (6.8 (3.9–17.8) vs. 16.1 (7.6–53.6) milligrams, p=0.008 and 0.1 (0.1-0.3) vs. 0.3 (0.1-0.8) milligram⋅kilogram−1, p=0.017). Others were not different. Conclusions Dynamic IVC-guided fluid resuscitation does not affect mortality of septic patients. However, this may reduce shock duration and NE dose, compared with static CVP guidance.

The complexity of glucose time series is associated with short- and long-term mortality in critically ill adults: a multi-center, prospective, observational study

BackgroundThe wealth of data taken from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) remains to be fully used. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between a promising new CGM metric, complexity of glucose time series index (CGI), and mortality in critically ill patients.MethodsA total of 293 patients admitted to mixed medical/surgical intensive care units from 5 medical centers in Shanghai were prospectively included between May 2020 and November 2021. CGI was assessed using intermittently scanned CGM, with a median monitoring period of 12.0 days. Outcome measures included short- and long-term mortality.ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 1.7 years, a total of 139 (47.4%) deaths were identified, of which 73 (24.9%) occurred within the first 30 days after ICU admission, and 103 (35.2%) within 90 days. The multivariable-adjusted HRs for 30-day mortality across ascending tertiles of CGI were 1.00 (reference), 0.68 (95% CI 0.38–1.22) and 0.36 (95% CI 0.19–0.70), respectively. For per 1-SD increase in CGI, the risk of 30-day mortality was decreased by 51% (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.35–0.69). Further adjustment for HbA1c, mean glucose during hospitalization and glucose variability partially attenuated these associations, although the link between CGI and 30-day mortality remained significant (per 1-SD increase: HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.40–0.83). Similar results were observed when 90-day mortality was considered as the outcome. Furthermore, CGI was also significantly and independently associated with long-term mortality (per 1-SD increase: HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61–0.97).ConclusionsIn critically ill patients, CGI is significantly associated with short- and long-term mortality.

Monitoring monocyte HLA-DR expression and CD4 + T lymphocyte count in dexamethasone-treated severe COVID-19 patients

BackgroundA 10-day dexamethasone regimen has emerged as the internationally adopted standard-of-care for severe COVID-19 patients. However, the immune response triggered by SARS-CoV-2 infection remains a complex and dynamic phenomenon, leading to various immune profiles and trajectories. The immune status of severe COVID-19 patients following complete dexamethasone treatment has yet to be thoroughly documented.ResultsTo analyze monocyte HLA-DR expression (mHLA-DR) and CD4 + T lymphocyte count (CD4) in critically ill COVID-19 patients after a dexamethasone course and evaluate their association with 28-day ICU mortality, adult COVID-19 patients (n = 176) with an ICU length of stay of at least 10 days and under dexamethasone treatment were included. Associations between each biomarker value (or in combination) measured at day 10 after ICU admission and 28-day mortality in ICU were evaluated. At day 10, the majority of patients presented decreased values of both parameters. A significant association between low mHLA-DR and 28-day mortality was observed. This association remained significant in a multivariate analysis including age, comorbidities or pre-existing immunosuppression (adjusted Hazard ratio (aHR) = 2.86 [1.30–6.32], p = 0.009). Similar results were obtained with decreased CD4 + T cell count (aHR = 2.10 [1.09–4.04], p = 0.027). When combining these biomarkers, patients with both decreased mHLA-DR and low CD4 presented with an independent and significant elevated risk of 28-day mortality (i.e., 60%, aHR = 4.83 (1.72–13.57), p = 0.001).ConclusionsBy using standardized immunomonitoring tools available in clinical practice, it is possible to identify a subgroup of patients at high risk of mortality at the end of a 10-day dexamethasone treatment. This emphasizes the significance of integrating immune monitoring into the surveillance of intensive care patients in order to guide further immumodulation approaches.

The effect of diabetes mellitus on perioperative outcomes after colorectal resection: a national cohort study

BackgroundDiabetes mellitus is a significant modulator of postoperative outcomes and is an important risk factor in the patient selection process. We aimed to investigate the effect of diabetes mellitus and use of insulin on outcomes after colorectal resection using a national cohort. MethodsAdults with a recorded colorectal resection in England between 2010 and 2020 were identified from Hospital Episode Statistics data linked to the Clinical Practice Research Database. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay (LOS) and readmission within 90 days. ResultsOf the 106 139 (52 875, 49.8% male) patients included, diabetes mellitus was prevalent in 10 931 (10.3%), 2145 (19.6%) of whom had a record of use of insulin. Unadjusted 90-day mortality risk was 5.7%, with an increased adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for people with diabetes mellitus (aHR 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19–1.37, P<0.001). This risk was higher in both people with diabetes using insulin (aHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.31–1.74, P<0.001) and not using insulin (aHR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13–1.33, P<0.001), compared with those without diabetes. Ninety-day readmission occurred in 20 542 (19.4%) patients and this was more likely in those with diabetes mellitus (aHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.18–1.29, P<0.001). Median (inter-quartile range) LOS was 8 (5–15) days and was higher in people with diabetes mellitus (adjusted time ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.08–1.11, P<0.001). ConclusionsPeople with diabetes mellitus undergoing colorectal resection are at a higher risk of 90-day mortality, prolonged LOS, and 90-day readmission, with use of insulin associated with additional risk.

Acute Aortic Dissection After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a rare and potentially fatal complication associated with transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Owing to the paucity of existing institutional data, we sought to assess the incidence of postimplant AAD in patients who underwent TAVR at a single institution. All patients who underwent TAVR from 2013 to 2022 were retrospectively reviewed to identify those who possessed clinical or radiologic evidence of AAD after TAVR. Follow-up and survival data were retrieved for all included patients. A total of 4,317 patients underwent TAVR, of whom 9 (0.2%) sustained an AAD. These patients had a mean age of 80 years (range 53 to 92), mean Society of Thoracic Surgeons 30-day mortality risk of 5.7% (2.4% to 16.7%), and mean effective aortic valve area of 0.8 cm2 (0.4 to 1.5 cm2). Preoperative maximum aortic diameter was 3.9 cm (2.6 to 4 cm). Of these 9 patients, 6 (67%) showed evidence of Stanford type A dissection, whereas 3 (33%) were diagnosed with Stanford type B dissection. The most common causes of dissection were posterior annular rupture by the transcatheter valve (THV) (44%) and THV embolization or "pop-out" into the ascending aorta (22%). A total of 6 patients (66.7%), comprising 5 type A (55.6%) and 1 type B (11.1%) aortic dissections, died within 30 days of AAD. The median time to follow-up in those surviving TAVR with intraoperative AAD was 1,042 days (range: 648 to 2,666). Surviving patients were managed through thoracic endovascular aortic repair and medical management. In conclusion, in this highly selected cohort of patients, our experience indicates that AAD after TAVR is a rare but often lethal intraprocedural sequela of THV implantation, especially in cases of type A aortic dissection.

Comparison of the prognosis among in-hospital survivors of cardiogenic shock based on etiology: AMI and Non-AMI

BackgroundCurrent data on post-discharge mortality and rehospitalization is still insufficient among in-hospital survivors of cardiogenic shock (CS), including acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and non-AMI survivors.MethodsPatients with CS who survived after hospital discharge were selected from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Each patient was followed up at 3-year intervals. Mortality and rehospitalization were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models.ResultsThere were 16,582 eligible patients. Of these, 42.4% and 57.6% were AMI-CS and non-AMI-CS survivors, respectively. The overall mortality and rehospitalization rates were considerably high, with reports of 7.0% and 22.1% at 30 days, 24.5% and 58.2% at 1 year, and 38.9% and 73.0% at 3 years, respectively, among in-hospital CS survivors. Cardiovascular (CV) problems caused approximately 40% mortality and 60% rehospitalization. Overall, the non-AMI-CS group had a higher mortality burden than the AMI-CS group owing to older age and a higher prevalence of comorbidities. In multivariable models, the non-AMI-CS group exhibited a lower risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60 to 0.78) and CV mortality (aHR 0.65, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.78) compared to the AMI-CS group. However, these risks diminished and even reversed after one year (aHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.25 for all-cause mortality; aHR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.49 for CV mortality).This reversal was not observed in all-cause and CV rehospitalization. For rehospitalization, AMI-CS was associated with the risk of CV rehospitalization in the entire observation period (aHR:0.80, 95% CI:0.76–0.84).ConclusionsIn-hospital AMI-CS survivors had an increased risk of CV rehospitalization and 30-day mortality, whereas those with non-AMI-CS had a greater mortality risk after 1-year follow-up.

The concomitant use of ultra short beta-blockers with vasopressors and inotropes in critically ill patients with septic shock: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BackgroundSeptic shock is associated with systemic inflammatory response, hemodynamic instability, impaired sympathetic control, and the development of multiorgan dysfunction that requires vasopressor or inotropic support. The regulation of immune function in sepsis is complex and varies over time. However, activating Beta-2 receptors and blocking Beta-1 receptors reduces the proinflammatory response by influencing cytokine production. Evidence that supports the concomitant use of ultra short beta-blockers with inotropes and vasopressors in patients with septic shock is still limited. This study aimed to evaluate the use of ultra short beta-blockers and its impact on the ICU related outcomes such as mortality, length of stay, heart rate control, shock resolution, and vasopressors/inotropes requirements. MethodsA systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials including critically ill patients with septic shock who received inotropes and vasopressors. Patients who received either epinephrine or norepinephrine without beta-blockers “control group” were compared to patients who received ultra short beta-blockers concomitantly with either epinephrine or norepinephrine “Intervention group”. MEDLINE and Embase databases were utilized to systematically search for studies investigating the use of ultra short beta-blockers in critically ill patients on either epinephrine or norepinephrine from inception to October 10, 2023. The primary outcome was the 28-day mortality. While, length of stay, heart rate control, and inotropes/ vasopressors requirements were considered secondary outcomes. ResultsAmong 47 potentially relevant studies, nine were included in the analysis. The 28-day mortality risk was lower in patients with septic shock who used ultra short beta-blockers concomitantly with either epinephrine or norepinephrine compared with the control group (RR (95%CI): 0.69 (0.53, 0.89),I2=26%;P=0.24). In addition, heart rate was statistically significantly lower with a standardized mean difference (SMD) of -22.39 (95% CI: -24.71, –20.06) among the beta-blockers group than the control group. The SMD for hospital length of stay and the inotropes requirement were not statistically different between the two groups (SMD (95%CI): -0.57 (-2.77, 1.64), and SMD (95%CI): 0.08 (-0.02, 0.19), respectively). ConclusionThe use of ultra short beta-blockers concomitantly with either epinephrine or norepinephrine in critically ill patients with septic shock was associated with better heart rate control and survival benefits without increment in the inotropes and vasopressors requirement.

Development and validation of a 30-day point-scoring risk calculator for small bowel obstruction surgery.

Small bowel obstruction (SBO) is one of the most frequent causes of general emergency surgery. The 30-day mortality rate post-surgery ranges widely from 2 to 30%, contingent upon the patient population, which renders risk assessment tools helpful. this study aimed to develop a 30-day point-scoring risk calculator designed for patients undergoing SBO surgery. Patients who underwent SBO surgery were identified in the ACS-NSQIP database from 2005 to 2021. Patients were randomly sampled into an experimental (2/3) and a validation (1/3) group. A weighted point scoring system was developed for the risk of 30-day mortality, utilizing multivariable regression on preoperative risk variables based on Sullivan's method. The risk scores underwent both internal and external validation. Furthermore, the efficacy of the risk score was evaluated in 30-day major surgical complications. A total of 93,517 patients were identified, with 63,521 and 29,996 assigned to the experimental and validation groups, respectively. The risk calculator is structured to assign points based on age (> 85years, 4 points; 75-85years, 3 points; 65-75years, 2 points; 55-65years, 1 point), disseminated cancer (2 points), American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score of 4 or 5 (1 point), preoperative sepsis (1 point), hypoalbuminemia (1 point), and fully dependent functional status (1 point). The risk calculator showed strong discrimination (c-statistic = 0.825, 95% CI 0.818-0.831) and good calibration (Brier score = 0.043) in the experimental group. The point scoring system was successfully translated from individual preoperative variables (c-statistic = 0.840, 95% CI 0.834-0.847) and was externally validated in ACS-NSQIP (c-statistic = 0.827, 95% = CI 0.834-0.847, Brier score = 0.043). The SBO risk score can effectively discriminate major surgical complications including major adverse cardiovascular events (c-statistic = 0.734), cardiac complications (c-statistic = 0.732), stroke (c-statistic = 0.725), pulmonary complications (c-statistic = 0.727), renal complications (c-statistic = 0.692), bleeding (c-statistic 0.674), sepsis (c-statistic = 0.670), with high predictive accuracy (all Brier scores < 0.1). This study developed and validated a concise yet robust 10-point risk scoring system for patients undergoing SBO surgery. It can be informative to determine treatment plans and to prepare for potential perioperative complications in patients undergoing SBO surgery.

Variability in short-term mortality following repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms across centers and physicians

BackgroundVariation in the care management of repairs for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms between centers and physicians, such as procedural volumes, may explain differences in mortality outcomes. First, we quantified the center and physician variability associated with 30- and 90-day mortality risk after ruptured open surgical repair (rOSR) and ruptured endovascular aneurysm repair (rEVAR). Second, we explored wheter part of this variability was attributable to procedural volume at the center and physician levels. MethodsTwo cohorts including rOSR and rEVAR procedures between 2013 and 2019 were analyzed from the Vascular Quality Initiative database. Thirty- and 90-day all-cause mortality rates were derived from linked Medicare claims data. The median odds ratio (MOR) (median mortality risk from low- to high-risk cluster) and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) (variability attributable to each cluster) for 30- and 90-day mortality risks associated with center and physician variability were derived using patient-level adjusted multilevel logistic regression models. Procedural volume was calculated at the center and physician levels and stratified by quartiles. The models were sequentially adjusted for volumes, and the difference in ICCs (without vs with accounting for volume) was calculated to describe the center and physician variability in mortality risk attributable to volumes. ResultsWe included 450 rOSRs (mean age, 74.5 ± 7.6 years; 23.5% female) and 752 rEVARs (76.4 ± 8.4 years; 26.1% female). After rOSRs, the 30- and 90-day mortality rates were 32.9% and 38.7%, respectively. No variability across centers and physicians was noted (30- and 90-day MORs ≈1 and ICCs ≈0%). Neither center nor physician volume was associated with 30-day (P = .477 and P = .796) or 90-day mortality (P = .098 and P = .559). After rEVAR, the 30- and 90-day mortality rates were 21.3% and 25.5%, respectively. Significant center variability (30-day MOR, 1.82 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.33-2.22]; ICC, 11% [95% CI, 2%-36%]; and 90-day MOR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.37-2.09]; ICC, 10% [95% CI, 3%-30%]), but negligeable variability across physicians (30- and 90-day MORs ≈1 and ICCs ≈0%) were noted. Neither center nor physician volume were associated with 30-day (P = .076 and P = .336) or 90-day mortality risk (P = .066 and P = .584). The center variability attributable to procedural volumes was negligeable (difference in ICCs, 1% for 30-day mortality; 0% for 90-day mortality). ConclusionsVariability in practice from center to center was associated with short-term mortality outcomes in rEVAR, but not for rOSR. Physician variability was not associated with short-term mortality for rOSR or rEVAR. Annualized center and physician volumes did not significantly explain these associations. Further work is needed to identify center-level factors affecting the quality of care and outcomes for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Clinical significance of the lactate-to-albumin ratio on prognosis in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury

Objective To explore the relationship between lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR) at ICU admission and prognosis in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI). Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted. Patients were divided into low (<0.659) LAR and high LAR (≥0.659) groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis was conducted to select variables associated with the 30-day prognosis. Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the association between LAR and mortality. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to compare cumulative survival rates between high and low LAR groups. Subgroup analysis was employed to assess the stability of the results. ROC curve was used to determine the diagnostic efficacy of LAR on prognosis. Results A nonlinear relationship was observed between LAR and the risk of 30-day and 360-day all-cause mortality in AKI patients (p < 0.001). Cox regulation showed that high LAR (≥ 0.659) was an independent risk factor for 30-day and 360-day all-cause mortality in patients with AKI (p < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated a noteworthy decrease in cumulative survival rates at both 30 and 360 days for the high LAR group in comparison to the low LAR group (p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses demonstrated the stability of the results. ROC curves showed that LAR had a diagnostic advantage when compared with lactate or albumin alone (p < 0.001). Conclusion High LAR (≥0.659) at ICU admission was an independent risk factor for both short-term (30-day) and long-term (360-day) all-cause mortality in patients with AKI.

Impact of early administration of beta-blocker and RAS inhibitor during VA-ECMO treatment for cardiogenic shock; the post-hoc study of the EARLY-UNLOAD trial

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Background/introduction No data about timing and impact of beta-blocker (BB) or renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor (RASi) administration for cardiogenic shock (CS) treated with venoatrial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO). Purpose To analyze an impact of early administration of BB or RASi during VA-ECMO treatment. Methods This study is a post-hoc analysis of the EARLY-UNLOAD trial (NCT04775472), the trial evaluated an impact of an early prophylactic unloading strategy using left atrial cannulation (LAC) performed within 12 hours from the initiation of VA-ECMO treatment for CS. Among total population (N=116), patients whose lactate was normalized during VA-ECMO and survived more than 2 days were included in this analysis (N=103). Patients were classified whether each medication (BB, RASi or one of BB or RASi) was administered during VA-ECMO or not. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Survival analysis for a primary outcome and landmark analysis for all-cause mortality during different periods (&amp;lt;10 days, 10 to 30 days) were performed. Results BB, RASi, and BB or RASi were administered in 71.8%, 72.8%, and 83.5% of patients, respectively, during VA-ECMO treatment. In early treatment groups, Both BB and RASi were initiated on day 1 (as median). Duration of VA-ECMO treatment was longer in a group who treated with BB during VA-ECMO (8.5 days, vs 5.0 days as median, P = 0.003), and for RASi, it was comparable (8.0 days vs 7.0 days, P = 0.609). Incidence of 30-day all-cause mortality at were statistically comparable between groups (figure 1). The results of survival analysis are described in the figure 2. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, BB, RASi, and BB or RASi during VA-ECMO treatment was not associated with lower probability of 30-day all-cause mortality. Landmark analysis, however, showed lower probability of 10-day mortality in the group treated with BB (P by log-rank test = 0.045), RASi (P = 0.008) and BB or RASi (P=0.005) during VA-ECMO. Multivariate Cox proportional modellings also provided lower risk of 10-day all-cause mortality in groups with BB treatment (Hazard ratio [HR] = 0.26, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.10-0.69, P = 0.007), RASi treatment (HR = 0.22, 95% CI = 0.08-0.56, P = 0.001) or BB or RASi (HR = 0.15, 95% CI = 0.05-0.41, P &amp;lt; 0.001) during VA-ECMO. RASi (HR = 0.47, 95% CI = 0.22-0.97, P = 0.041) or BB or RASi (HR = 0.37, 95% CI = 0.15-0.93, P = 0.038) treatment during VA-ECMO was also associated with lower risk of 30-day all-cause mortality. Conclusions In this post-hoc analysis of the EARLY-UNLOAD trial, administration of BB or RASi during VA-ECMO treatment for CS was associated with lower risk of short-term mortality.

Association between the stress hyperglycemia ratio and 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis: a retrospective cohort study and predictive model establishment based on machine learning

BackgroundSepsis is a severe form of systemic inflammatory response syndrome that is caused by infection. Sepsis is characterized by a marked state of stress, which manifests as nonspecific physiological and metabolic changes in response to the disease. Previous studies have indicated that the stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) can serve as a reliable predictor of adverse outcomes in various cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. However, there is limited research on the relationship between the SHR and adverse outcomes in patients with infectious diseases, particularly in critically ill patients with sepsis. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the association between the SHR and adverse outcomes in critically ill patients with sepsis.MethodsClinical data from 2312 critically ill patients with sepsis were extracted from the MIMIC-IV (2.2) database. Based on the quartiles of the SHR, the study population was divided into four groups. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The relationship between the SHR and adverse outcomes was explored using restricted cubic splines, Cox proportional hazard regression, and Kaplan‒Meier curves. The predictive ability of the SHR was assessed using the Boruta algorithm, and a prediction model was established using machine learning algorithms.ResultsData from 2312 patients who were diagnosed with sepsis were analyzed. Restricted cubic splines demonstrated a "U-shaped" association between the SHR and survival rate, indicating that an increase in the SHR is related to an increased risk of adverse events. A higher SHR was significantly associated with an increased risk of 28-day mortality and in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis (HR > 1, P < 0.05) compared to a lower SHR. Boruta feature selection showed that SHR had a higher Z score, and the model built using the rsf algorithm showed the best performance (AUC = 0.8322).ConclusionThe SHR exhibited a U-shaped relationship with 28-day all-cause mortality and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. A high SHR is significantly correlated with an increased risk of adverse events, thus indicating that is a potential predictor of adverse outcomes in patients with sepsis.

Impact of clinical frailty on surgical and non-surgical complications after major emergency abdominal surgery.

Major emergency abdominal surgery is associated with a high risk of morbidity and mortality. Given the ageing and increasingly frail population, understanding the impact of frailty on complication patterns after surgery is crucial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between clinical frailty and organ-specific postoperative complications after major emergency abdominal surgery. A prospective cohort study including all patients undergoing major emergency abdominal surgery at Copenhagen University Hospital Herlev, Denmark, from 1 October 2020 to 1 August 2022, was performed. Clinical frailty scale scores were determined for all patients upon admission and patients were then analysed according to clinical frailty scale groups (scores of 1-3, 4-6, or 7-9). Postoperative complications were registered until discharge. A total of 520 patients were identified. Patients with a low clinical frailty scale score (1-3) experienced fewer total complications (120 complications per 100 patients) compared with patients with clinical frailty scale scores of 4-6 (250 complications per 100 patients) and 7-9 (277 complications per 100 patients) (P < 0.001). A high clinical frailty scale score was associated with a high risk of pneumonia (P = 0.009), delirium (P < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (P = 0.020), and infectious complications in general (P < 0.001). Patients with severe frailty (clinical frailty scale score of 7-9) suffered from more surgical complications (P = 0.001) compared with the rest of the cohort. Severe frailty was associated with a high risk of 30-day mortality (33% for patients with a clinical frailty scale score of 7-9 versus 3.6% for patients with a clinical frailty scale score of 1-3, P < 0.001). In a multivariate analysis, an increasing degree of clinical frailty was found to be significantly associated with developing at least one complication. Patients with frailty have a significantly increased risk of postoperative complications after major emergency abdominal surgery, especially atrial fibrillation, delirium, and pneumonia. Likewise, patients with frailty have an increased risk of mortality within 90 days. Thus, frailty is a significant predictor for adverse events after major emergency abdominal surgery and should be considered in all patients undergoing major emergency abdominal surgery.

Impact of acute glycemic variability on short-term outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a multicenter population-based study

BackgroundGiven the increasing attention to glycemic variability (GV) and its potential implications for cardiovascular outcomes. This study aimed to explore the impact of acute GV on short-term outcomes in Chinese patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).MethodsThis study enrolled 7510 consecutive patients diagnosed with acute STEMI from 274 centers in China. GV was assessed using the coefficient of variation of blood glucose levels. Patients were categorized into three groups according to GV tertiles (GV1, GV2, and GV3). The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause death, and the secondary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine the independent correlation between GV and the outcomes.ResultsA total of 7136 patients with STEMI were included. During 30-days follow-up, there was a significant increase in the incidence of all-cause death and MACEs with higher GV tertiles. The 30-days mortality rates were 7.4% for GV1, 8.7% for GV2 and 9.4% for GV3 (p = 0.004), while the MACEs incidence rates was 11.3%, 13.8% and 15.8% for the GV1, GV2 and GV3 groups respectively (p < 0.001). High GV levels during hospitalization were significantly associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality and MACEs. When analyzed as a continuous variable, GV was independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.679, 95% confidence Interval [CI] 1.005–2.804) and MACEs (HR 2.064, 95% CI 1.386–3.074). Additionally, when analyzed as categorical variables, the GV3 group was found to predict an increased risk of MACEs, irrespective of the presence of diabetes mellitus (DM).ConclusionOur study findings indicate that a high GV during hospitalization was significantly associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality and MACE in Chinese patients with STEMI. Moreover, acute GV emerged as an independent predictor of increased MACEs risk, regardless of DM status.

Influence of elevated liver enzyme level on 30-day mortality rates in patients undergoing nonemergency orthopedic surgery

BackgroundThe effect of elevated preoperative liver enzyme levels on postoperative outcomes is a topic of concern to clinicians. This study explored the association between elevated preoperative liver enzyme levels and surgical outcomes in patients undergoing orthopedic surgery.MethodsUsing the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, we obtained data on adult patients who received nonemergency orthopedic surgery under general anesthesia between 2011 and 2021.ResultsWe evaluated the data of 477,524 patients, of whom 6.1% (24 197 patients) had elevated preoperative serum glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (SGOT) levels. An elevated SGOT level was significantly associated with 30-day postoperative mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.39 to 1.90). We determined that the mortality rate rose with SGOT levels. The results remained unchanged after propensity score matching.ConclusionElevated preoperative SGOT levels constitute an independent risk factor for 30-day postoperative mortality and are proportionately associated with the risk of 30-day postoperative mortality.

Understanding the Influence of Single Payer Health Insurance on Socioeconomic Disparities in Total Hip Arthroplasty (THA) Utilization: A Transnational Analysis.

Access to care varies between countries. It is theorized that income-based disparities in access may be reduced in countries with universal health insurance relative to the United States, but data are currently limited. We hypothesized that income-based differences in total hip arthroplasty (THA) utilization and outcomes would be larger in the United States than in Canada. We retrospectively compared all patients undergoing THA from 2012 to 2018 in Pennsylvania, the United States, and Ontario, Canada. We compared age-standardized and sex-standardized per-capita THA utilization in the United States and Canada overall and across different income strata, where income strata were defined by neighborhood income quintile. We also examined income-based differences in rates of 1-year revision, 90-day mortality, and 90-day readmission. Overall THA utilization per 10,000 people per year was higher across all income groups in Pennsylvania compared with Ontario (15.1 versus 8.8, P < 0.001 in lowest-income quintile; 21.4 versus 12.6, P < 0.001 in highest-income quintile). Income-based differences in utilization in the highest-income vs lowest-income quintile groups were greater in Ontario (43.2%) than Pennsylvania (41.7%). The adjusted odds for the lowest-income group compared with the highest-income group of 1-year revision were greater in Ontario compared with Pennsylvania ( P = 0.03), and risk of 90-day mortality and 90-day readmission was similar between the regions. Income-based differences in THA utilization were more notable in Ontario than in Pennsylvania. In addition, patients in low-income communities in Ontario were at equal or greater risk relative to high-income community patients for adverse outcomes compared with patients in Pennsylvania. Income-based disparities in THA utilization and outcomes were smaller in the United States than in Canada, in contrast to what might be expected. III.

Pre-hospital glycemia as a biomarker for in-hospital all-cause mortality in diabetic patients - a pilot study

BackgroundType 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) presents a significant healthcare challenge, with considerable economic ramifications. While blood glucose management and long-term metabolic target setting for home care and outpatient treatment follow established procedures, the approach for short-term targets during hospitalization varies due to a lack of clinical consensus. Our study aims to elucidate the impact of pre-hospitalization and intra-hospitalization glycemic indexes on in-hospital survival rates in individuals with T2DM, addressing this notable gap in the current literature.MethodsIn this pilot study involving 120 hospitalized diabetic patients, we used advanced machine learning and classical statistical methods to identify variables for predicting hospitalization outcomes. We first developed a 30-day mortality risk classifier leveraging AdaBoost-FAS, a state-of-the-art ensemble machine learning method for tabular data. We then analyzed the feature relevance to identify the key predictive variables among the glycemic and routine clinical variables the model bases its predictions on. Next, we conducted detailed statistical analyses to shed light on the relationship between such variables and mortality risk. Finally, based on such analyses, we introduced a novel index, the ratio of intra-hospital glycemic variability to pre-hospitalization glycemic mean, to better characterize and stratify the diabetic population.ResultsOur findings underscore the importance of personalized approaches to glycemic management during hospitalization. The introduced index, alongside advanced predictive modeling, provides valuable insights for optimizing patient care. In particular, together with in-hospital glycemic variability, it is able to discriminate between patients with higher and lower mortality rates, highlighting the importance of tightly controlling not only pre-hospital but also in-hospital glycemic levels.ConclusionsDespite the pilot nature and modest sample size, this study marks the beginning of exploration into personalized glycemic control for hospitalized patients with T2DM. Pre-hospital blood glucose levels and related variables derived from it can serve as biomarkers for all-cause mortality during hospitalization.

ASSOCIATION BETWEEN SURGEON AND CENTRE VOLUME AND OUTCOME OF FIRST-TIME REVISION HIP ARTHROPLASTY FOR ASEPTIC LOOSENING: A STUDY USING THE NJR DATASET

This study evaluates the association between consultant and hospital volume and the risk of re-revision and 90-day mortality following first-time revision of primary hip replacement for aseptic loosening.We conducted a cohort study of first-time, single-stage revision hip replacements (RHR) performed for aseptic loosening and recorded in the National Joint Registry (NJR) data for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, and the Isle of Man between 2003 and 2019. Patient identifiers were used to link records to national mortality data, and to NJR data to identify subsequent re-revision procedures. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with restricted cubic splines were used to define associations between volume and outcome.Among 12,676 RHR there were 513 re-revisions within two years, and 95 deaths within 90 days of surgery. The risk of re-revision was highest for a consultant's first RHR (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1·58 (95%CI 1·16 to 2·15)) and remained significantly elevated for their first 26 cases (HR 1·26 (95%CI 1·00 to 1·58)). Annual consultant volumes of five/year were associated with an almost 30% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1·28 (95%CI 1·00 to 1·64)) and 80% greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 1·81 (95%CI 1·02 to 3·21)) compared to volumes of 20/year. RHR performed at hospitals which had cumulatively undertaken fewer than 168 RHR were at up to 70% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1·70 (95% CI 1·12 to 2·60)), and those having undertaken fewer than 309 RHR were at up to three times greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 3·06 (95% CI 1·19 to 7·86)).This study found a significantly higher risk of re-revision and early postoperative mortality following first-time single-stage RHR for aseptic loosening when performed by lower-volume consultants and at lower-volume institutions, supporting the move towards the centralisation of such cases towards higher-volume units and surgeons.

Effect of Novel Inflammatory Biomarkers on Adverse Outcomes in Patients with Interstitial Lung Disease and Pneumonia: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.

Interstitial lung disease frequently coincides with pneumonia in clinical settings, and both conditions are closely associated with immunoinflammation. The Systemic Immune Inflammatory Index (SII) is a recently identified marker, and its connection to the prognosis of individuals suffering from interstitial lung disease and concurrent pneumonia remains unclear. The objective of this study was to scrutinize the correlation between varying SII levels and unfavorable outcomes in patients grappling with interstitial lung disease complicated by pneumonia. This study encompassed a retrospective multicenter cohort of 324 patients diagnosed with interstitial lung disease and pneumonia, all receiving glucocorticoid treatment during their hospitalization. We initially conducted ROC analysis to determine the optimal SII threshold. Subsequently, we examined disparities in clinical symptoms, physical signs, clinical test data, and other clinical attributes among patients with differing SII levels. Later, we employed the Kaplan-Meier survival curve method to assess the association between distinct SII levels and the 30-day and 90-day mortality rates in patients dealing with interstitial lung disease complicated by pneumonia. Finally, a Cox regression model was employed to identify factors influencing adverse prognosis in these patients. The findings demonstrated that the optimal SII threshold for predicting 30-day mortality was 1416.97, with an AUC of 0.633 (95% CI: 0.559-0.708) and a P value of <0.001. For 90-day mortality, the optimal SII threshold was 994.59, yielding an AUC of 0.628 (95% CI: 0.56-0.697) and a P value of <0.001. Noteworthy statistical distinctions emerged in dyspnea, cyanosis, and oxygenation index among patients with varying SII levels. Additionally, invasive mechanical ventilation, non-invasive ventilation, and extended infection duration independently constituted 30-day and 90-day mortality risk factors. Elevated heart rate and higher SII levels emerged as independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. To some extent, SII levels exhibit correlations with the clinical manifestations in patients grappling with interstitial lung disease complicated by pneumonia. Notably, a high SII level is an independent predictor for an unfavorable prognosis in these patients. Nevertheless, these findings warrant further validation through prospective cohort studies.

Contemporary morbidity and mortality of open versus robotic cystectomy for bladder cancer: An analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) procedure targeted cystectomy database

ObjectivesTo evaluate the association between surgical modality (RARC vs. ORC) and the risk of 30-day complications. Materials and MethodsWe utilized the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) Cystectomy-Targeted database from 2019 to 2021. The primary outcome was a composite of major complications including 30-day mortality, reoperation, cardiac events, and stroke. Secondary outcomes included individual major and cystectomy-specific complications. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to minimize inherent differences within our cohort. We performed logistic regression to assess the association between outcomes of interest and operative modality. ResultsWe found no difference between operative modality and the primary outcome, however, RARC was associated with a 70% lower risk of 30-day mortality (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.13-0.70) and had favorable outcomes with respect to respiratory, deep venous thrombosis, wound complications, and length of stay. Limitations are related to residual confounding given the observational methodology. ConclusionsRARC was associated with reduced risk of multiple 30-day complications, including mortality, as well as organ system and cystectomy-specific outcomes. These data support the clinical benefit of increased adoption of RARC.