Risk Factor For Renal Outcomes Research Articles

Urine IgM excretion predicts outcome in ANCA-associated renal vasculitis

Renal function at diagnosis is a strong predictor not only of renal survival but also of patient survival of those with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated small vessel vasculitis (ASVV). Apart from the renal function at diagnosis, there are no other established risk factors for renal outcome in ASVV. We have previously reported that in other forms of glomerular diseases, an increased urine excretion of IgM is an early marker of poor renal outcome. In this single-centre observational study, the prognostic significance of urine IgM excretion and other selected prognostic markers was studied in 83 consecutive patients (49 males, 34 females) with ASVV with renal involvement. Patient survival at 1 and 5 years was 93 and 77%, respectively, and the corresponding figures for renal survival censored for death were 84 and 76%. Univariate analysis indicated that patient survival was inversely associated with age, male sex, serum creatinine, low serum albumin and high urine IgM excretion. Renal survival was inversely associated with serum creatinine, albuminuria and urine IgM. Multivariate analysis determined that only old age and high urine IgM excretion were independent predictors of patient survival [odds ratio (OR) = 11.2 and 4.4, respectively, P<0.01]. Urine excretion of IgM was the only independent predictor of end-stage renal disease (OR = 19.8, P = 0.004). Overall, 35% of the patients reached the composite end-point of either death or renal replacement therapy. Urine IgM excretion was the most potent single predictor of such an outcome (OR = 7.7, P = 0.000). The occurrence of an increased amount of IgM in urine at presentation is a strong marker of poor prognosis for patients with ANCA-associated renal vasculitis.

Glomerular hyperfiltration in the prediction of nephropathy in IDDM: a 10-year follow-up study.

Glomerular hyperfiltration has been proposed as an independent risk factor for the development of diabetic nephropathy in patients with IDDM. In a case-controlled prospective study of IDDM patients without albuminuria, serial glomerular filtration rate (GFR) measurements were performed over an observation period of 10 years. A group of 25 IDDM patients (20 men, 5 women; initial age, 29 [17-49] years) with glomerular hyperfiltration (GFR >135 ml x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2)) were matched for age, sex, and duration of diabetes with 25 IDDM patients (20 men, 5 women; initial age, 30 [17-48] years) with glomerular normofiltration (GFR 83-135 ml x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2)). GFR, urinary albumin excretion rate (AER), blood pressure, and glycated hemoglobin were measured at baseline and at 5, 8, and 10 years. The two groups had similar entry levels of blood pressure, AER, and glycated hemoglobin. Metabolic control was similar in the two groups during follow-up. The final GFR remained higher in the group with hyperfiltration (122 [109-135] vs. 103 [95-111] ml x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2); P = 0.02) despite a nonsignificantly faster rate of fall of GFR compared with that of the control group (2.54 [1.20-3.88] vs. 1.50 [1.01-1.99] ml x min(-1) x year(-1); P = 0.14). A similar number of patients in each group progressed to either microalbuminuria or macroalbuminuria (n = 4 vs. n = 3) or developed hypertension (blood pressure, >160/95 mmHg; n = 3 vs. n = 4). End-of-study AER was, however, higher in the group with hyperfiltration (geometric mean [95% CI]: 18.9 [11.3-31.6] vs. 11.0 [8.1-15.0]; P = 0.05), and baseline glomerular hyperfiltration was an independent determinant of end-of-study blood pressure (P = 0.04). The strongest predictors of end-of-study AER and blood pressure were their baseline values (P < 0.04 and P < 0.01, respectively). In conclusion, levels of AER and blood pressure are the main risk factors for renal outcome, while glomerular hyperfiltration appears to play a lesser role.