Risk Factors For 30-day Mortality Research Articles

Predictive Mortality of the Prognostic Nutritional Index Combined with APACHE II Score for Critically Ill Tuberculosis Patients.

High mortality rates are commonly found in critically ill patients with tuberculosis (TB), which is due partially to limitations in the existing prognostic evaluation methods. Therefore, we aimed to find more effective prognostic evaluation tools to reduce the mortality rate. Data from critically ill patients with TB admitted to the intensive care unit of The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing, China, between January 2020 and December 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. A total of 115 patients were enrolled and divided into a survival group (n = 62) and a death group (n = 53) according to 30-day survival. Univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were used to investigate the risk factors for 30-day death in critically ill patients with TB. A prediction model for risk of 30-day mortality was developed for critically ill patients with TB in the intensive care unit. The LASSO regression model showed that the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Status (APACHE II) scores on the third day after admission to the intensive care unit were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in critically ill patients with TB (P <0.05). The area under the curve value and that PA3 represents the combination of the PNI and APACHE II score on the third day, which was 0.952 (95% CI: 0.913-0.991, P <0.001), was significantly higher than that of the PNI or the APACHE II score on the third day. The new model is as follows: PA3 = APACHE II score (on the third day) × 0.421 - PNI × 0.204. The PNI combined with the APACHE II score on the third day could well predict the 30-day mortality risk of critically ill patients with TB.

Risk Factors for Postoperative Major Morbidity, Anastomotic Leakage, Re-Surgery and Mortality in Patients with Colonic Perforation.

Background/Objectives: This study aimed to determine the risk factors associated with postoperative major morbidity, anastomotic/suture leakage, re-surgery and mortality in patients undergoing emergency surgery for colonic perforation. Methods: A total of 204 adult patients treated surgically for colonic perforation from 2016 to 2021 at the University Hospital Erlangen were included in a retrospective analysis. Patient demographics and pre-, intra- and postoperative parameters were obtained and evaluated among various outcome groups (in-hospital major morbidity, anastomotic/suture leakage, re-surgery and 90-day mortality). Results: Postoperative in-hospital major morbidity, anastomotic/suture leakage, need of re-surgery and 90-day mortality occurred in 45%, 12%, 25% and 12% of the included patients, respectively. Independent risk factors for in-hospital major morbidity were identified and included the presence of any comorbidity, a significantly reduced preoperative general condition, the localization of perforation in the right hemicolon and the need for an intraoperative blood transfusion. The only independent risk factor for anastomotic/suture leakage was the presence of any comorbidity, whereas no independent risk factors for re-surgery were found. An age > 65 years, a significantly reduced preoperative general condition and the need for an intraoperative blood transfusion were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. Conclusions: Our study identified risk factors impacting postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing emergency surgery for colonic perforation. These patients should receive enhanced postoperative care and may benefit from individualized and targeted therapeutic approaches.

Novel cortisol trajectory sub-phenotypes in sepsis

BackgroundSepsis is a heterogeneous syndrome. This study aimed to identify new sepsis sub-phenotypes using plasma cortisol trajectory.MethodsThis retrospective study included patients with sepsis admitted to the intensive care unit of Zhongshan Hospital Fudan University between March 2020 and July 2022. A group-based cortisol trajectory model was used to classify septic patients into different sub-phenotypes. The clinical characteristics, biomarkers, and outcomes were compared between sub-phenotypes.ResultsA total of 258 patients with sepsis were included, of whom 186 were male. Patients were divided into two trajectory groups: the lower-cortisol group (n = 217) exhibited consistently low and slowly declining cortisol levels, while the higher-cortisol group (n = 41) showed relatively higher levels in comparison. The 28-day mortality (65.9% vs.16.1%, P < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (65.9% vs. 19.8%, P < 0.001) of the higher-cortisol group were significantly higher than the lower-cortisol group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that the trajectory sub-phenotype (HR = 5.292; 95% CI 2.218–12.626; P < 0.001), APACHE II (HR = 1.109; 95% CI 1.030–1.193; P = 0.006), SOFA (HR = 1.161; 95% CI 1.045–1.291; P = 0.006), and IL-1β (HR = 1.001; 95% CI 1.000–1.002; P = 0.007) were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. Besides, the trajectory sub-phenotype (HR = 4.571; 95% CI 1.980–10.551; P < 0.001), APACHE II (HR = 1.108; 95% CI 1.043–1.177; P = 0.001), SOFA (HR = 1.270; 95% CI 1.130–1.428; P < 0.001), and IL-1β (HR = 1.001; 95% CI 1.000–1.001; P = 0.015) were also independent risk factors for 90-day mortality.ConclusionThis study identified two novel cortisol trajectory sub-phenotypes in patients with sepsis. The trajectories were associated with mortality, providing new insights into sepsis classification.

Predictive model of risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis or sepsis-associated delirium based on the MIMIC-IV database

Research on the severity and prognosis of sepsis with or without progressive delirium is relatively insufficient. We constructed a prediction model of the risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients who developed sepsis or sepsis-associated delirium. The modeling group of patients diagnosed with Sepsis-3 and patients with progressive delirium of related indicators were selected from the MIMIC-IV database. Relevant independent risk factors were determined and integrated into the prediction model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the Hosmer–Lemeshow (HL) test were used to evaluate the prediction accuracy and goodness-of-fit of the model. Relevant indicators of patients with sepsis or progressive delirium admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a 3A hospital in Xinjiang were collected and included in the verification group for comparative analysis and clinical validation of the prediction model. The total length of stay in the ICU, hemoglobin levels, albumin levels, activated partial thrombin time, and total bilirubin level were the five independent risk factors in constructing a prediction model. The area under the ROC curve of the predictive model (0.904) and the HL test result (χ2 = 8.518) indicate a good fit. This model is valuable for clinical diagnosis and treatment and auxiliary clinical decision-making.

Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales sepsis following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography: risk factors for 30-day all-cause mortality and the development of a nomogram based on a retrospective cohort

BackgroundEndoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) has become a routine endoscopic procedure that is essential for diagnosing and managing various conditions, including gallstone extraction and the treatment of bile duct and pancreatic tumors. Despite its efficacy, post-ERCP infections – particularly those caused by carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) – present significant risks. These risks highlight the need for accurate predictive models to enhance postprocedural care, reduce the mortality risk associated with post-ERCP CRE sepsis, and improve patient outcomes in the context of increasing antibiotic resistance.ObjectiveThis study aimed to examine the risk factors for 30-day mortality in patients with CRE sepsis following ERCP and to develop a nomogram for accurately predicting 30-day mortality risk.MethodsData from 195 patients who experienced post-ERCP CRE sepsis between January 2010 and December 2022 were analyzed. Variable selection was optimized via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was then employed to develop a predictive model, which was evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Internal validation was achieved through bootstrapping.ResultsThe nomogram included the following predictors: age > 80 years (hazard ratio [HR] 2.61), intensive care unit (ICU) admission within 90 days prior to ERCP (HR 2.64), hypoproteinemia (HR 4.55), quick Pitt bacteremia score ≥ 2 (HR 2.61), post-ERCP pancreatitis (HR 2.52), inappropriate empirical therapy (HR 3.48), delayed definitive therapy (HR 2.64), and short treatment duration (< 10 days) (HR 5.03). The model demonstrated strong discrimination and calibration.ConclusionsThis study identified significant risk factors associated with 30-day mortality in patients with post-ERCP CRE sepsis and developed a nomogram to accurately predict this risk. This tool enables healthcare practitioners to provide personalized risk assessments and promptly administer appropriate therapies against CRE, thereby reducing mortality rates.

Association between Inflammation-Based Prognostic Markers and Mortality in Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Units.

We compared the prognostic value of the C-reactive protein (CRP)-to-albumin ratio (CAR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) with the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in an intensive care unit (ICUs). This study used the data of 53,877 adult patients admitted to an ICU between June 2013 and May 2022. Using the CAR, NLR, and mGPS values, as well as the SOFA score from the ICU, we conducted multivariable logistic regression analysis and used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to compare the predictive value for 28-day and 1-year mortality. A total of 2419 patients (4.5%) died within 28 days, and 6209 (11.5%) patients died within 1 year. After an adjustment, all predictors were found to be independent risk factors for 28-day mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-1.33, p < 0.001 for the SOFA score; OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07, p < 0.001 for CAR; OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.02, p < 0.001 for the NLR; and OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.08-1.30, p < 0.001 for the mGPS). This trend persisted for the 1-year mortality. In ROC curve analysis, the CAR showed better predictability than the NLR and mGPS. Furthermore, the predictive power of the CAR was significantly higher than that of the SOFA score for 1-year mortality. The CAR, NLR, and mGPS values at ICU admission were independent risk factors of mortality after ICU admission. The predictive value of CAR was higher than that of the SOFA score for 1-year mortality. CAR assessment at ICU admission may be a feasible predictor of long-term mortality.

The Impact of Platelet Transfusion on Prognosis in Adult Burn Patients with Thrombocytopenia: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background and ObjectivesThrombocytopenia is common among burn patients. Platelet transfusion is frequently administered to increase platelet counts. However, it is not clear whether platelets affect the outcome after transfusion among adult burn patients with thrombocytopenia or not. Our aim is to explore whether platelet transfusion affects the prognosis of adult burn patients with thrombocytopenia. Materials and MethodsWe undertook a retrospective analysis of 368 adult burn victims with thrombocytopenia from the Department of Burn at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, China, from January 2014 to July 2021. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized to reduce the selection bias and confounding factors. After PSM, both platelet transfusion group and no platelet transfusion group had 46 patients. Our primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. ResultsLogistic multivariate regression analysis showed that third-degree burn area [β=-0.040, odds ratio (OR) =1.052, 95% confidence interval (CI) =1.015-1.091] and platelet transfusion (OR =2.227, 95% CI =0.473-10.483) were independent risk factors (P<0.05). KaplanMeier risk curve analysis showed that the 30-day mortality of patients in the platelet transfusion group and no platelet transfusion group were 47.8% and 19.6%, respectively (P<0.05) ConclusionPlatelet transfusion was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in adult burn patients with thrombocytopenia.

Effect of Perioperative Blood Transfusion on Complications Following Emergency Non-trauma Laparotomy in Mulago Hospital: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Background Although blood transfusion may be required during emergency non-trauma laparotomy, several retrospective cohort studies have identified blood transfusion as a significant predictor of postoperative infections and mortality. However, no study has explored such an association in a resource-limited setting. This study aims to determine the effect of perioperative blood transfusion on the 30-day risk of surgical site infections (SSIs) and mortality among patients undergoing emergency non-trauma laparotomy in a large urban tertiary hospital in a resource-limited setting. Methodology In this prospective, single-center, cohort study, we recruited 160 consecutive adult patients admitted to the general surgery wards 48 hours after emergency non-trauma laparotomy. We grouped them based on transfusion exposure status. Transfusion exposure and possible confounders were recorded on entry, while the presence or absence of SSIs and mortality were obtained over 30 days of follow-up. The data were analyzed using Epi Info version 7 and Stata version 14. P-values <0.05 indicated statistical significance. Results All 160 participants recruited, 28 (17.5%) transfusion-exposed and 132 (82.5%) non-exposed, were included in the final analysis. Transfusion exposure (relative risk = 8.16; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.73-24.37; p < 0.001) was an independent risk factor for SSI after multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for confounders. Inverse probability weighting with regression adjustment (IPWRA) revealed that transfusion exposure significantly increased the incidence of SSI by 36.2% (95% CI = 14.2%-58.2%; p = 0.001). Furthermore, transfusion exposure (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.62; 95% CI = 1.28-10.27; p = 0.015) and age ≥60 years (HR = 5.97; 95% CI = 1.98-18.01; p = 0.002) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality after multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusted for confounders. IPWRA revealed that transfusion exposure significantly increased the incidence of mortality by 17.6% (95% CI = 1.4%-33.8%; p = 0.033). Conclusions This study suggests an independent association between perioperative blood transfusion and the occurrence of SSIs and mortality among patients undergoing emergency non-trauma laparotomy. A larger multicenter prospective cohort study considering more confounders and the use of established restrictive transfusion protocols is recommended.

Risk factors for readmission after sepsis and its association with mortality

BackgroundSepsis is associated with an approximately 20 % 30-day readmission rate and with subsequent mortality. ObjectivesTo determine the demographics, comorbidities that had been documented prior to sepsis onset, processes of care, commonly administered laboratory tests measured near discharge, and post-sepsis infections that may be associated with readmission and, secondarily, whether readmission is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality. MethodsUsing a database of patients who met Sepsis-3 criteria divided into Construction and Validation groups, we used logistic regression to estimate the factors independently associated with readmission within 30 days after discharge and proportional hazard regression to estimate the factors independently associated with 90-day mortality. ResultsOf the 30,798 patients ≥ 18 years at our combined referral and community hospital and were discharged alive who met Sepsis-3 criteria between July 10, 2009 and September 7, 2019, 5943 (19 %) were readmitted within 30 days. Thirteen thousand, four hundred forty-four (44 %) of the patients were female, 25,293 (82 %) White, 3523 (11 %) Black, and the mean age was 59 ± 17 years. Among the readmitted patients, 894 (15 %) died within 90 days from the original discharge compared to 11 % (p < 0.001) who had not been readmitted. Seven comorbidities, five processes of care (presepsis platelet transfusion, postsepsis platelet transfusion, operation, ICU length of stay, and hospital length of stay), five culture results, two discharge laboratory values, and discharge location were associated with readmission. The model had good discrimination, 0.770 ± 0.004 (Construction Group) and 0.748 ± 0.006 (Validation Group) and good relevancy (area under the precision recall curve), 0.390 ± 0.004 (Construction group) and 0.476 ± 0.005 (Validation group). Readmission within 30 days was independently associated with a 56 % higher risk of death (HR=1.562, 95 % CI=1.434, 1.703, p < 0.001) within 90 days from discharge. ConclusionsComorbidities, abnormal laboratory values, processes of care, and post-sepsis onset culture results, but not demographic characteristics, were associated with 30-day readmission. Readmission was associated with 90-day mortality.

Risk Factors, Pathogens, and Outcomes of Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia in Non-Cardiac Surgical Patients: A Retrospective Analysis.

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is a critical hospital-acquired infection following non-cardiac surgeries, leading to poor outcomes. This study identifies VAP risk factors in non-cardiac surgical patients and determines the causative pathogens. A retrospective analysis with 1:4 propensity-score matching was conducted on patients in a surgical intensive care unit (ICU) from 2010 to 2020 at a private tertiary medical center. Among 99 VAP patients, the mortality rate was 64.7%. VAP risk factors included prolonged mechanical ventilation (odds ratio [OR] 6.435; p < 0.001), repeat intubation (OR 6.438; p < 0.001), lower oxygenation levels upon ICU admission (OR 0.950; p < 0.001), and undergoing gastrointestinal surgery (OR 2.257; p = 0.021). The 30-day mortality risk factors in the VAP group were late-onset VAP (OR 3.450; p = 0.022), inappropriate antibiotic treatment (OR 4.083; p = 0.041), and undergoing gastrointestinal surgeries (OR 4.776; p = 0.019). Nearly half of the Gram-negative infections were resistant strains, and a third were polymicrobial infections. Non-cardiac surgical patients with VAP face adverse hospital outcomes. Identifying high-risk patients and understanding VAP's resistant and microbial nature are crucial for appropriate treatment and improved health outcomes.

Use of intraaortic balloon pump in cardiogenic shock patients.

The relevance of the use of intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) in cardiogenic shock (CS) has been discussed over the past years. The aim of this study is to describe asingle-centre 10-year experience with IABP and analyse the risk factors for 30-day mortality. The data for this single-centre, observational, retrospective study were drawn from records dated from January 2012 to May 2022 pertaining to patients presenting with CS, treated with IABP and hospitalised at the Department of Acute Cardiology, Institute for Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Prague. Among the patients included in the study, 87% patients presented with newly developed heart failure. The leading cause of CS was acute myocardial infarction accounting for 86% of cases. Hospital mortality was recorded at 39% and the 30-day mortality reached 43%. Upon multi-variable analysis, only the vasoactive inotropic score on day 5 emerged as astatistically significant predictor for 30-day mortality (p=0.0055). Cox regression analysis revealed that the presence of mechanical complications was the only variable identified as yielding astatistically significant impact on the 30-day survival (Log-rank p=0.014, HR 2.19, 95% CI: 1.15‒4.15). There was no statistically significant difference in the 30-day mortality across the SCAI classes. The main cause of CS was anewly developed acute heart failure secondary to acute myocardial infarction. Despite the implementation of mechanical circulatory support, both in-hospital and 30-day mortality rates remained high. Increased vasoactive inotropic score and presence of mechanical complications were identified as significant predictors the 30-day survival (Tab. 6, Fig. 1, Ref. 36). Text in PDF www.elis.sk Keywords: cardiogenic shock, IABP, risk factors, mortality, Czech Republic, AMICS.

Comparison of Conventional versus Modified Preperitoneal Pelvic Packing in Patients with Bleeding Pelvic Fractures: A Single-Center Retrospective Pilot Study.

Background: Bleeding pelvic fractures have high mortality rates, primarily due to severe hemorrhage. Treatment options include mechanical stabilization based on preperitoneal pelvic packing (PPP), resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta, and angioembolization (AE). The bilateral preperitoneal approach, which uses three pads on each side, is the conventional PPP method. We aimed to compare the bilateral preperitoneal approach with a modified approach, involving selectively packing only heavily bleeding areas, in terms of clinical outcomes and mortality risks. Methods: We included patients who underwent PPP and compared the outcomes between conventional (three sponges placed on each side) and modified PPP (selective packing of critical areas). The primary outcome was 30-day mortality; the secondary outcomes included 24 h mortality, pelvic complications, and transfusion requirements. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine risk factors for 30-day and 24 h mortality. Results: Among the 47 included patients, 19 and 28 underwent conventional and modified PPP, respectively. There were no significant between-group differences in the 24 h (26.3% vs. 42.9%, p = 0.247) and 30-day mortality rates (47.4% vs. 60.7%, p = 0.366). Using univariate and multivariate analyses, initial lactate levels and the decision to perform AE were found to be significant risk factors for mortality. However, the selected PPP method was not a risk factor for 30-day mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.27-18.26; p = 0.457) or 24 hr mortality (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 0.24-13.19; p = 0.557). Conclusions: The modified PPP method may be considered in patients with bleeding pelvic fractures for effective bleeding control while minimizing potential complications associated with the conventional PPP.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality in pneumonia-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome patients: a single center retrospective cohort study.

Pathogenic diversity may have contributed to the high mortality of pneumonia-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (p-ARDS). Metagenomics next-generation sequencing (mNGS) serves as a valuable diagnostic tool for early pathogen identification. However, its clinical utility in p-ARDS remains understudied. There are still limited researches on the etiology, clinical characteristics and risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS patients. A single center retrospective cohort study of 75 p-ARDS patients was conducted. Patients were categorized into survival and deceased groups based on their 28-day outcomes. A comprehensive clinical evaluation was conducted, including baseline characteristics, laboratory indicators, outcomes and pathogen identification by mNGS and traditional microbiological testing. We then evaluated the diagnostic value of mNGS and identified clinical characteristics and risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS. The overall ICU mortality was 26.67%, and the 28-day mortality was 57.33%, with 32 cases (42.67%) in the survival group, and 43 cases (57.33%) in the deceased group. Patients in the deceased group were older than those in the survival group (68(59,73) years vs. 59(44,67) years, P=0.04). The average lengths of ICU and hospital stay were 9(5,13) days and 14(7,21) days, respectively. The survival group had longer lengths of ICU and hospital stay (ICU: 11(7,17) days and hospital: 17(9,27) days) compared to the deceased group (ICU: 8(4,11) days and hospital: 12(6,19) days) (P<0.05). Survival patients exhibited lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score on the 3rd and 7th days, higher lymphocyte counts, higher CD3+ and CD8+ T cell counts compared to deceased patients (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age, APACHE II scores on 3rd and 7th days, CD8+ T cell count and length of ICU as independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in p-ARDS patients. mNGS demonstrated a significantly higher overall pathogen detection rate (70/75, 93.33%) compared to the traditional method (50/75, 66.67%, P=0.022). The average turnaround time (TAT) for mNGS was significantly shorter at 1(1,1) day compared to 4(3,5) days for the traditional method (P<0.001). Metagenome next-generation sequencing can be used as a valuable tool for identifying pathogens in p-ARDS, reducing diagnostic time and improving accuracy. Early application of mNGS alongside traditional methods is recommended for p-ARDS. Furthermore, older age, higher APACHE II scores, lower lymphocyte counts and lymphocyte subset counts were associated with increased mortality in p-ARDS patients, highlighting the importance of timely assessment of immune status and disease severity, especially in elderly.

Impact of multidrug resistance on outcomes in hematologic cancer patients with bacterial bloodstream infections

Despite the improved outcomes in patients with hematological malignancies, infections caused by multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) pose a new threat to these patients. We retrospectively reviewed the patients with hematological cancer and bacterial bloodstream infections (BSIs) at a tertiary hospital between 2003 and 2022 to assess the impact of MDROs on outcomes. Among 328 BSIs, 81 (24.7%) were caused by MDROs. MDRO rates increased from 10.3% (2003–2007) to 39.7% (2018–2022) (P < 0.001). The 30-day mortality rate was 25.0%, which was significantly higher in MDRO-infected patients than in non-MDRO-infected patients (48.1 vs. 17.4%; P < 0.001). The observed trend was more pronounced in patients with newly diagnosed diseases and relapsed/refractory disease but less prominent in patients in complete remission. Among MDROs, carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria exhibited the highest mortality, followed by vancomycin-resistant enterococci, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, and extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae. Multivariate analysis identified independent risk factors for 30-day mortality as age ≥ 65 years, newly diagnosed disease, relapsed/refractory disease, MDROs, polymicrobial infection, CRP ≥ 20 mg/L, and inappropriate initial antibiotic therapy. In conclusion, MDROs contribute to adverse outcomes in patients with hematological cancer and bacterial BSIs, with effects varying based on the underlying disease status and causative pathogens. Appropriate initial antibiotic therapy may improve patient outcomes.

The impact of onset-to-cut time in surgery for stable acute type A aortic dissection-a single-centre retrospective cohort study.

The goal of this study was to investigate the impact of onset-to-cut time on mortality in patients undergoing surgery for stable acute type A aortic dissection. Patients who underwent surgery for acute type A aortic dissection between January 2006 and December 2021 and available onset-to-cut times were included. Patients with unstable aortic dissection (preoperative shock, intubation, resuscitation, coma, pericardial tamponade and local/systemic malperfusion syndromes) were excluded. After descriptive analysis, a multivariable binary logistic regression for 30-day mortality was performed. A receiver operating characteristic curve for onset-to-cut time and 30-day mortality was calculated. Restricted cubic splines were designed to investigate the association between onset-to-cut time and survival. The final cohort comprised 362 patients. The median onset-to-cut time was 543 (376-1155) min. The 30-day mortality was 9%. Only previous myocardial infarction (P = 0.018) and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time (P < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. The corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curve showed a value of 0.49. Restricted cubic splines did not indicate an association between onset-to-cut time and survival (P = 0.316). Onset-to-cut time in the setting of stable acute type A aortic dissection does not seem to be a valid predictor of 30-day mortality in patients undergoing surgery and stayed stable during the preoperative course.

Adult acute leukemia patients with gram-negative bacteria bloodstream infection: Risk factors and outcomes of antibiotic-resistant bacteria.

This study aims to analyze the risk factors for the development of multidrug-resistant (MDR) and carbapenem-resistant (CR) bacteria bloodstream infection (BSI) in a patient with acute leukemia (AL) and the mortality in gram-negative bacteria (GNB) BSI. This is a retrospective study conducted at West China Hospital of Sichuan University, which included patients diagnosed with AL and concomitant GNB BSI from 2016 to 2021. A total of 206 patients with GNB BSI in AL were included. The 30-day mortality rate for all patients was 26.2%, with rates of 25.8% for those with MDR GNB BSI and 59.1% for those with CR GNB BSI. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that exposure to quinolones (Odds ratio (OR) = 3.111, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.623-5.964, p = 0.001) within the preceding 30 days was an independent risk factor for MDR GNB BSI, while placement of urinary catheter (OR = 6.311, 95%CI: 2.478-16.073, p< 0.001) and exposure to cephalosporins (OR = 2.340, 95%CI: 1.090-5.025, p = 0.029) and carbapenems (OR = 2.558, 95%CI: 1.190-5.497, p = 0.016) within the preceding 30 days were independently associated with CR GNB BSI. Additionally, CR GNB BSI (OR = 2.960, 95% CI: 1.016-8.624, p = 0.047), relapsed/refractory AL (OR = 3.035, 95% CI: 1.265-7.354, p = 0.013), septic shock (OR = 5.108, 95% CI: 1.794-14.547, p = 0.002), platelets < 30 × 109/L before BSI (OR = 7.785, 95% CI: 2.055-29.492, p = 0.003), and inappropriate empiric antibiotic therapy (OR = 3.140, 95% CI: 1.171-8.417, p = 0.023) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in AL patients with GNB BSI. Prior antibiotic exposure was a significant factor in the occurrence of MDR GNB BSI and CR GNB BSI. CR GNB BSI increased the risk of mortality in AL patients with GNB BSI.

Risk Factors for 30-Day Mortality of Community-Acquired Bloodstream Infection Patients in Changsha City, Hunan Province, China.

To analyze the factors affecting patients' prognoses based on the community acquired-bloodstream infection patient data from 2017 to 2021. The data of 940 patients were retrieved, having at least one positive bilateral blood culture within 48 hours of hospitalization, and grouped into survivor and non-survivor groups. The clinical characteristics, laboratory results, causative pathogen and other indicators were collected and compared, and risk factors were identified by applying Cox proportional hazard regression model to the data. Community acquired-bloodstream infection is most commonly caused by Escherichia coli, Klebsiella species and Staphylococcus hominis. Among the total of 940 selected patients, 52 (5.5%) died during hospitalization. The demographic parameters like age and gender, clinical protocols like maintenance hemodialysis, glucocorticoid use during hospitalization, catheter placement, procaicitonin, total protein, albumin, creatinine, uric acid contents and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores were significantly different between the survivor and non-survivor groups. The survival analysis results revealed that age (HR=1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.05, P=0.002), glucocorticoid use during hospitalization (HR=3.69, 95% CI: 1.62-8.37, P=0.021) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (HR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.03-1.18, P=0.004) might be the risk factors affecting 30-day mortality in patients with community acquired-bloodstream infection. The identified risk factors may help guide clinical treatment protocol for patients with community acquired-bloodstream infection, providing more effective treatment strategy selection with improved clinical outcomes.

Infective endocarditis and spondylodiscitis-impact of sequence of surgical therapy on survival and recurrence rate.

To date, there are no standardized treatment algorithms or recommendations for patients with infective endocarditis (IE) and concomitant spondylodiscitis (SD). Therefore, our aim was to analyse whether the sequence of surgical treatment of IE and SD has an impact on postoperative outcome and to identify risk factors for survival and postoperative recurrence. Patients with IE underwent surgery in 4 German university hospitals between 1994 and 2022. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify possible predictors of 30-day/1-year mortality and recurrence of IE and/or SD. From the total IE cohort (n = 3991), 150 patients (4.4%) had concomitant SD. Primary surgery for IE was performed in 76.6%, and primary surgery for SD in 23.3%. The median age was 70.0 (64.0-75.6) years and patients were mostly male (79.5%). The most common pathogens detected were enterococci and Staphylococcus aureus followed by streptococci, and coagulase-negative Staphylococci. If SD was operated on first, 30-day mortality was significantly higher than if IE was operated on 1st (25.7% vs 11.4%; P = 0.037) and we observed a tendency for a higher 1-year mortality. If IE was treated 1st, we observed a higher recurrence rate within 1 year (12.2% vs 0%; P = 0.023). Multivariable analysis showed that primary surgery for SD was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality. Primary surgical treatment for SD was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. When IE was treated surgically 1st, the recurrence rate of IE and/or SD was higher.

Associations of serum lactate and lactate clearance with delirium in the early stage of ICU: a retrospective cohort study of the MIMIC-IV database.

This study aimed to investigate the associations of serum lactate level [within and after 24 h of the intensive care unit (ICU) admission] and lactate clearance rate with delirium and assess associations of lactate and lactate clearance rate with 30-day mortality in delirium patients. Data in this retrospective cohort study were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database in 2012-2019. The associations of lactate and lactate clearance rate with delirium were explored through univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses, whereas the associations of lactate and lactate clearance rate with 30-day mortality in delirium patients were investigated using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Subgroup analysis was performed for age, gender, sepsis, hypertension, sedative drug, ventilation, antibiotic drug, vasopressors, and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. The evaluation indexes were odds ratios (ORs), hazard ratios (HRs), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Among 7,812 (14.58%) eligible participants, 4,338 (8.19%) had delirium and 1,903 (24.36%) died within 30 days. After adjusting for covariates, patients with lactic acidosis (lactate level > 5 mmol/L and PH < 7.35) at T0 (within 24 h of the ICU admission) had higher odds of delirium (OR = 1.235, 95%CI: 1.105-1.382). Hyperlactatemia (lactate level 2-5 mmol/L and PH > 7.35) at T1 (after 24 h of the ICU admission) was also associated with higher odds of delirium (OR = 1.277, 95%CI: 1.126-1.447). Lactate clearance rate > 50% was linked to lower odds of delirium (OR = 0.705, 95%CI: 0.613-0.811), and this relationship was also observed in ≥65 years old, female, male, non-sepsis, sepsis, non-hypertension, non-sedative drug use, sedative drug use, ventilation, antibiotic drug use, use of vasopressors, and different SOFA score subgroups (all p < 0.05). Additionally, hyperlactatemia and lactic acidosis (whether at T0 or T1) may be potential risk factors for 30-day mortality in delirium patients, whereas lactate clearance rate ≥ 0 had a potential protective effect on 30-day mortality (all p < 0.05). Higher serum lactate levels in the early stage of the ICU were associated with a higher risk of delirium and subsequent mortality. Measures taken to increase the lactate clearance rate are necessary to reduce potential delirium or mortality risk in clinical settings. However, more evidence from prospective studies is needed to verify these findings.

Risk Factors for 30-Day Mortality in Nosocomial Enterococcal Bloodstream Infections.

Enterococci commonly cause nosocomial bloodstream infections (BSIs), and the global incidence of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) BSIs is rising. This study aimed to assess the risk factors for enterococcal BSIs and 30-day mortality, stratified by Enterococcus species, vancomycin resistance, and treatment appropriateness. We conducted a retrospective cohort study (2014-2021) including all hospitalized adult patients with at least one blood culture positive for Enterococcus faecalis or Enterococcus faecium. We included 584 patients with enterococcal BSI: 93 were attributed to vancomycin-resistant E. faecium. The overall 30-day mortality was 27.5%; higher in cases of BSI due to vancomycin-resistant E. faecium (36.6%) and vancomycin-sensitive E. faecium (31.8%) compared to E. faecalis BSIs (23.2%) (p = 0.016). This result was confirmed by multivariable Cox analysis. Independent predictors of increased mortality included the PITT score, complicated bacteremia, and age (HR = 1.269, p < 0.001; HR = 1.818, p < 0.001; HR = 1.022, p = 0.005, respectively). Conversely, male gender, consultation with infectious disease (ID) specialists, and appropriate treatment were associated with reduced mortality (HR = 0.666, p = 0.014; HR = 0.504, p < 0.001; HR = 0.682, p = 0.026, respectively). In conclusion, vancomycin-resistant E. faecium bacteremia is independently associated with a higher risk of 30-day mortality.