Risk Factors For Hospital Mortality Research Articles

Prediction of the Clinical Outcome in Invasive Candidiasis Patients Based on Molecular Fingerprints of Five Anti-Candida Antibodies in Serum

Better prognostic predictors for invasive candidiasis (IC) are needed to tailor and individualize therapeutic decision-making and minimize its high morbidity and mortality. We investigated whether molecular profiling of IgG-antibody response to the whole soluble Candida proteome could reveal a prognostic signature that may serve to devise a clinical-outcome prediction model for IC and contribute to known IC prognostic factors. By serological proteome analysis and data-mining procedures, serum 31-IgG antibody-reactivity patterns were examined in 45 IC patients randomly split into training and test sets. Within the training cohort, unsupervised two-way hierarchical clustering and principal-component analyses segregated IC patients into two antibody-reactivity subgroups with distinct prognoses that were unbiased by traditional IC prognostic factors and other patients-related variables. Supervised discriminant analysis with leave-one-out cross-validation identified a five-IgG antibody-reactivity signature as the most simplified and accurate IC clinical-outcome predictor, from which an IC prognosis score (ICPS) was derived. Its robustness was confirmed in the test set. Multivariate logistic-regression and receiver-operating-characteristic curve analyses demonstrated that the ICPS was able to accurately discriminate IC patients at high risk for death from those at low risk and outperformed conventional IC prognostic factors. Further validation of the five-IgG antibody-reactivity signature on a multiplexed immunoassay supported the serological proteome analysis results. The five IgG antibodies incorporated in the ICPS made biologic sense and were associated either with good-prognosis and protective patterns (those to Met6p, Hsp90p, and Pgk1p, putative Candida virulence factors and antiapoptotic mediators) or with poor-prognosis and risk patterns (those to Ssb1p and Gap1p/Tdh3p, potential Candida proapoptotic mediators). We conclude that the ICPS, with additional refinement in future larger prospective cohorts, could be applicable to reliably predict patient clinical-outcome for individualized therapy of IC. Our data further provide insights into molecular mechanisms that may influence clinical outcome in IC and uncover potential targets for vaccine design and immunotherapy against IC.

Valoración pronóstica del switch arterial en la transposición de grandes arterias

Introduction and objectives The arterial switch is the procedure of choice for transposition of great arteries, with or without ventricular septal defect. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for hospital mortality. Methods The study included 121 children between January 1994 and June 2008. Of these, 80 (66%) were diagnosed with intact ventricular septum, and 41 (34%) with ventricular septal defect. Variables were collected pre-operatively, during surgery, and postoperatively. Results The mean age was 11 [8 to 16] days and a mean weight of 3.5 [3.0 to 3.7] kg. A ventricular septal defect was closed in 11 children (9.1%). Atotal of 81.8% had a normal coronary pattern. There was delayed closure of the chest in 38 patients (31.4%). The hospital mortality was 11.6%, decreasing over the past 5 years to 2.1%. The weight, abnormal coronary pattern, time of cardiopulmonary bypass, mean arterial pressure at admission, pulmonary dead space, and delayed closure of the chest, were risk factors of mortality. The model that best predicts the death, consists of the mean arterial pressure at admission, and delayed closure of the chest. Conclusions The reduction in extracorporeal circulation time and the use of delayed closure of the chest, have helped to reduce mortality. The abnormal coronary pattern remains a risk factor for mortality. In children with delayed closure of the chest, a mean arterial pressure at admission ≥ 47.5 mmHg is a goal to achieve.

Prognosis of Patients on Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation: The Impact of Acute Kidney Injury on Mortality

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) has been utilized for patients in critical condition, such as those with life-threatening respiratory failure or postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock. This study analyzed the outcomes of patients treated with ECMO and identified the relationship between prognosis and the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) scores obtained at pre-ECMO support (AKIN0-hour); and at post-ECMO support 24 hours (AKIN24-hour) and 48 hours (AKIN48-hour). This study reviewed the medical records of 102 critically ill patients on ECMO support at a specialized intensive care unit at a tertiary care university hospital between March 2002 and January 2008. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were retrospectively collected as survival predicators. The overall mortality rate was 57.8%. The most common condition requiring ECMO support was cardiogenic shock. Goodness-of-fit was good for AKIN0-hour, AKIN24-hour, and AKIN48-hour criteria. The AKIN0-hour, AKIN24-hour, and AKIN48-hour scoring systems also had excellent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.804±0.046, 0.811±0.045, and 0.858±0.040, respectively). Furthermore, multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that AKIN48-hour, age, and Glasgow Coma Scale score on the first day of intensive care unit admission were independent risk factors for hospital mortality. Finally, cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up after hospital discharge differed significantly (p<0.05) for AKIN48-hour stage 0 versus AKIN48-hour stages 1, 2, and 3; and AKIN48-hour stage 1 and 2 versus AKIN48-hour stage 3. During ECMO support, the AKIN48-hour scoring system proved to be a reproducible evaluation tool with excellent prognostic abilities for these patients.

A síndrome do coração esquerdo hipoplásico não constitui fator de risco para operação de Fontan

To show the mortality rate of children undergoing to Fontan operation and determine whether the hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) is a risk factor for hospital mortality. From August 2001 to June 2008, 76 patients underwent Fontan operation and were divided into two groups: group A with 54 patients, 31 (40.7%) patients with tricuspid atresia and variants, six (7.8%) of double-inlet left ventricle, four (5.3%) and atrioventricular septal defect and total 13 (17.1%) of other complex congenital heart disease and group B all patients with HLHS a total of 22 (28.9%) patients. Group A patients had a mean age of 6.47 years ± 4.83 and group B of 2.08 years ± 0.24 P <0.001, the average weight was 22.42 ± 11.04 against 12.99 ± 1.2 P = 0.016, the mean CPB time was 119.5 min versus 113.3 min P = 0.0, with a mean clamping time of 74.8 min and 73.5 min p = 0.75. The mean ICU stay was 4.1 days for group A versus 7.52 days for group B p = 0.0003. In total (group A + B) three patients died, with hospital mortality of 3.9%, and one patient with HLHS (4.54%) (P <0.001, 95% CI 0.001 to 0.228). Our study shows that despite higher morbidity in HLHS is not a risk factor for hospital mortality.

Immediate results of bidirectional cavopulmonary anastomosis and Fontan operations in adults

The purpose of this study is to analyze the immediate results of bidirectional cavopulmonary anastomosis (BCPA) and Fontan operations performed in adults, and to reveal the risk factors. During the years 1983-2010, 681 consecutive patients underwent BCPA or a Fontan operation. Fifty-three of 681 patients were more than 18years of age. Twenty-nine adults underwent BCPA and 24 underwent a Fontan operation. Immediate results of surgical treatment were followed during the hospital period. The average number of exceeded 'operability' criteria by Choussat et al. [Choussat A, Fontan F, Besse P, Vallot F, Chauve A, Bricaud H. Selection criteria for Fontan procedure. In: Anderson RH, Shinebourne EA, editors. Pediatric Cardiology. Edinburgh: Churchhill Livingstone, 1977:559-566] was significantly higher in patients from the BCPA group compared to the Fontan group (1.3±0.8 vs. 0.9±0.7, P=0.034). Hospital mortality after BCPA in adults was 6.9% (2/29) and did not differ from children (7.1%, 19/268), P=0.634. Hospital mortality after Fontan operation in adults was 8.3% (2/24) and did not differ from children (11.9%, 43/360), P=0.419. The frequency of non-lethal hospital complications was higher in patients after a Fontan operation. Patients from the Fontan group more frequently developed arrhythmias and prolonged pleural effusions. Preoperative regurgitation at atrioventricular valves was an independent risk factor for hospital mortality and morbidity after a Fontan operation. BCPA and Fontan operations performed in adults are accompanied by good immediate results and considerably improves patients' condition.

Reoperations for Aortic False Aneurysms After Cardiac Surgery

Aortic false aneurysm is a rare complication after cardiac surgery. Aortic dissection, infection, arterial wall degeneration, and poor surgical technique are recognized as risk factors for the occurrence of postsurgical false aneurysm. Despite some recent reports about percutaneous false aneurysm exclusion, a complex surgical reoperation is needed in most of the cases. We retrospectively reviewed our experience in 43 patients who received a reoperation for postsurgical aortic false aneurysm in the last 14 years. Thirty-three patients were male. The mean age was 60 ± 12 years. Most of the patients received prior aortic surgery on the aortic root, the ascending aorta, the aortic arch, and the descending thoracic aorta (38 patients). False aneurysm was diagnosed during follow-up evaluation in the absence of any symptoms in 23 cases. Univariate and multivariate analyses on 18 perioperative variables were performed. In-hospital mortality was 6.9% (3 patients). The postoperative course was complicated in 17 cases (39%). At multivariate analysis, a preoperative history of coronary artery disease and postoperative sepsis were independent risk factors for hospital mortality. Survival rates at 1, 5, and 10 years were 94%, 79%, and 68%, respectively. Freedom from reoperation was 86% at 1 year and 72% at 5 and 10 years. Despite a high postoperative complication rate, a reoperation for postsurgical aortic false aneurysm can be performed with acceptable mortality and good mid-term and long-term outcomes.

Risk Analysis for Hospital Mortality in Patients With Acute Type A Aortic Dissection

Stanford type A acute aortic dissection is a fatal condition requiring emergency surgery. This study was designed to evaluate risk factors for hospital mortality in patients with Stanford type A acute aortic dissection. We studied consecutive 301 patients (163 men and 138 women; mean age, 63.3 years) who underwent emergency surgery for Stanford type A acute aortic dissection from January 1997 through December 2007. The subjects were divided into two groups: patients who were discharged from the hospital, and those who died during hospitalization. Preoperative and operative clinical factors were compared between the groups. Overall, 41 patients (13.6%) died during hospitalization. On univariate analysis, significant preoperative risk factors for hospital mortality were cardiopulmonary resuscitation, coagulopathy, renal dysfunction, elevated aspartate aminotransferase levels, myocardial ischemia, and lower-extremity ischemia. As for factors related to surgery, the duration of operation, cardiopulmonary bypass time, aortic cross-clamp time, and volume of blood transfusion were greater among patients who died during hospitalization than in those who were discharged from the hospital. On multivariate analysis, independent preoperative risk factors were cardiopulmonary resuscitation, renal dysfunction, and lower-extremity ischemia. Shock or cardiac tamponade were not risk factors. Risk factors for hospital mortality in patients with Stanford type A acute aortic dissection were cardiopulmonary resuscitation, renal dysfunction, and lower-extremity ischemia.

Analysis in nosocomial infection in elderly patients with intra-aortic balloon pump after coronary artery bypass grafting and nursing

Objective To summarize the nursing experience on nosocomial infection in elderly patients with intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods The clinical data of elderly patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting with application of IABP from April 2006 to February 2009 were retrospectively collected and analyzed. Results 29 patients suffered nosocomial infection in all 111 cases. The hospital mortality was much higher among patients with nosocomial infection than in patients without nosocomial infection (19 cases vs 11 cases). 87 positive strains were separated from 29 patients with nosocomial infection, which included 47 strains of gram-negative bacterial, 23 strains of gram-positive bacterial and 17 strains of fungi. Conclusions The nosocomial infection was one of the risk factors for hospital mortality in elderly patients with intra-aortic balloon pump after coronary artery bypass grafting. It is important to take effective nursing strategies to prevent the postoperative nosocomial infection in this population. Key words: Nosocomial infection; Coronary artery bypass grafting; Intra-aortic balloon pump; The elderly; Nursing

Hospitalized adult patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) in Beijing, China: risk factors for hospital mortality.

BackgroundIn April 2009, the pandemic influenza A(H1N1) virus emerged and spread globally. The objective of this study was to describe the independent risk factors for hospital mortality and the treatment effect of corticosteroids among patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) infection.MethodsWe retrospectively obtained clinical data of 155 adult patients with confirmed infection of 2009 influenza A(H1N1) in 23 hospitals in Beijing, China from October 1 to December 23, 2009. Risk factors for hospital mortality were identified with multivariate logistic regression analysis.ResultsAmong the 155 patients, 90 (58.1%) were male, and mean age was 43.0 ± 18.6 years, and comorbidities were present in 81 (52.3%) patients. The most common organ dysfunctions included acute respiratory failure, altered mental status, septic shock, and acute renal failure. Oseltamivir was initiated in 125 patients (80.6%), only 16 patients received antiviral therapy within 48 hours after symptom onset. Fifty-two patients (33.5%) were treated with systemic corticosteroids, with a median daily dose of 80 mg. Twenty-seven patients (17.4%) died during hospital stay. Diabetes [odds ratio (OR) 8.830, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.041 to 38.201, p = 0.004) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level (OR 1.240, 95% CI 1.025 to 1.500, p = 0.027) were independent risk factors of hospital death, as were septic shock and altered mental status. Corticosteroids use was associated with a trend toward higher hospital mortality (OR 3.668, 95% CI 0.987 to 13.640, p = 0.052).ConclusionsHospitalized patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza had relative poor outcome. The risk factors at hospitalization may help clinicians to identify the high-risk patients. In addition, corticosteroids use should not be regarded as routine pharmacologic therapy.

Outcome of the Modified Norwood Procedure: 7 Years of Experience from a Single Institution

Background: We assessed the early and mid-term results of the modified Norwood procedure for first-stage palliation of hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) and its variants to identify the risk factors for hospital mortality. Material and Method: Between March, 2003, and December, 2009, 23 patients (18 males and 5 females) with HLHS or variants underwent the modified Norwood procedure. The age at operation ranged from 3 to 60 days (mean, 11.7±13.2 days) and weight at operation ranged from 2.2 to 4.8 ㎏ (mean, 3.17±0.52 ㎏). We used a modified technique that spared the anterior wall of the main pulmonary artery in 20 patients. The sources of pulmonary blood flow were RV-PA conduit in 15 patients (group Ⅰ) and RMBTS in 8 (group Ⅱ). Follow-up was completed in 19 patients (19/20, 95%) in our hospital (mean 26.0±22.8 months). Result: Early death occurred in 3 patients (3/23, 13%), of whom 2 had TAPVC. Fourteen patients underwent subsequent bidirectional cavopulmonary connection (BCPC, stage 2) and seven underwent the Fontan operation (stage 3). Three patients died between stages, 2 before stage 2 and one before stage 3. The estimated 1-year and 5-year survival rates were 78% and 69%, respectively. On multivariate regression analysis, aberrant right subclavian artery (RSCA) and associated total anomalous pulmonary venous connection (TAPVC) were risk factors for hospital mortality after stage 1 Norwood procedure. Conclusion: HLHS and its variants can be palliated by the modified Norwood procedure with low operative mortality. Total anomalous pulmonary venous connection adversely affects the survival after a stage 1 Norwood procedure, and interstage mortality rates need to be improved.

Intermediate-term clinical outcomes of primary biventricular repair for left ventricular outflow tract obstruction and ventricular septal defect

Primary biventricular repair for left ventricular outflow tract obstruction and ventricular septal defect remains challenging. The intermediate-term outcomes and risk factors for mortality remain undefined. All patients undergoing primary biventricular repair of left ventricular outflow tract obstruction and ventricular septal defect from 1995 to 2008 at the C. S. Mott Children's Hospital, University of Michigan Health Systems were analyzed. Thirty-one patients (mean age, 18 days; 20 male) with a median follow-up of 6.7 years (range, 0.3-13.5 years) were identified. The ventricular septal defect was enlarged in 15 patients, and a limited atrial septal defect was constructed in 16 patients. There were 6 hospital and 2 late deaths. Ten-year patient survival was 72.3%. Lower body weight (P = .040), complete atrial septal defect closure (P = .026), and longer cardiopulmonary bypass time (P = .026) were risk factors of hospital mortality. An atrial septal defect was patent in 16 patients at discharge, 2 of whom required later surgical closure. Relief of recurrent left ventricular outflow tract obstruction was performed in 1 patient. No patient required pacemaker implantation. Five-year freedom from right ventricle-to-pulmonary artery conduit replacement was 39.3%. Smaller-sized conduit (P = .020) and use of aortic allograft (P = .048) were risk factors for early failure. Primary biventricular repair for patients with left ventricular outflow tract obstruction and ventricular septal defect provides good early and intermediate-term outcomes. Maintaining a small atrial septal defect may improve hospital mortality. Selective ventricular septal defect enlargement and careful construction of the intraventricular pathway result in a low incidence of recurrent left ventricular outflow tract obstruction, as well as avoidance of heart block. Maximizing valve diameter and avoiding aortic allografts may lengthen conduit longevity.

Definition, Risk Factors and Outcome of Prolonged Surgical Intensive Care Unit Stay

There is no generally accepted definition for a "prolonged surgical intensive care unit (SICU) stay". The aims of the current study were to: (1) define prolonged SICU stay; (2) identify risk factors of prolonged SICU stay; and (3) identify risk factors of hospital mortality in patients with a prolonged SICU stay. All SICU patients aged >16 years and with an intensive care unit (ICU) stay longer than three days without ICU readmission between 1 January 2004 and 30 November 2006 at the National Taiwan University Hospital were recruited to the study. A total of 2598 patients were recruited. ICU stay >16 days was defined as a prolonged SICU stay since rates of ICU mortality, hospital mortality and mortality one year after ICU discharge remained stationary after ICU stay was >16 days. A multivariate logistic regression model identified factors associated with a prolonged SICU stay, including age more than 70 years old, (odds ratio 1.587, 95% confidence interval 1.246 to 2.022), increasing pre-ICU hospital days (odds ratio 1.009, 95% confidence interval 1.003 to 1.015), admission from emergency (odds ratio 1.925, 95% confidence interval 1.455 to 2.548), use of mechanical circulation support (odds ratio 2.314, 95% confidence interval 1.458 to 3.674) and renal replacement therapy (odds ratio 5.140, 95% confidence interval 3.781 to 6.987). A multivariate logistic regression model identified factors associated with ICU mortality in patients with ICU stay >16 days, including renal replacement therapy (odds ratio 4.780, 95% confidence interval 2.687 to 8.504). An ICU stay >16 days could be used to define prolonged SICU stay when hospital and one-year mortality rates are considered. Prevention of organ failure requiring renal replacement therapy might prove a useful goal to avoid prolonged ICU stay and even hospital mortality.

Analysis of 14,843 Neonatal Congenital Heart Surgical Procedures in the European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery Congenital Database

Early outcomes of congenital heart surgery in neonates have significantly improved during the last decade. Further improvements require identification of specific risk factors correlating with early mortality and morbidity. Between January 1999 and May 2008 data on 14,843 congenital heart procedures performed in 118 congenital heart surgery centers in 34 countries were submitted to the European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery Congenital Database. Mean age at surgery was 11.8 days and mean body weight was 2.9 kg. Multivariate stepwise regression analysis was used to assess the risk factors for postoperative complications and death. Thirty-day mortality of 9.1% was significantly different from hospital mortality (10.7%). Postoperative complications occurred in 29.2% of neonates. In multivariate analysis, early death rate was statistically significantly modified by body weight, Aristotle basic score (ABS), cardiopulmonary bypass time (CPB time), aortic cross-clamp time, circulatory arrest time, and univentricular physiology. The rate of complications was associated with ABS, CPB time, and circulatory arrest time. In neonatal congenital heart surgery significant risk of early death extends beyond 30 postoperative days. Multivariate analysis confirmed that lower body weight, higher ABS, longer CPB time, longer aortic cross-clamp time, longer circulatory arrest time, and univentricular physiology are risk factors for hospital mortality. Higher ABS as well as longer CPB time and circulatory arrest time are associated with the rate of complications.

Primary isolated aortic valve surgery in octogenarians

We reviewed our surgery registry, to identify predictive risk factors for operative results, and to analyse the long-term survival outcome in octogenarians operated for primary isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR). A total of 124 consecutive octogenarians underwent open AVR from January 1990 to December 2005. Combined procedures and redo surgery were excluded. Selected variables were studied as risk factors for hospital mortality and early neurological events. A follow-up (FU; mean FU time: 77 months) was obtained (90% complete), and Kaplan-Meier plots were used to determine survival rates. The mean age was 82+/-2.2 (range: 80-90 years; 63% females). Of the group, four patients (3%) required urgent procedures, 10 (8%) had a previous myocardial infarction, six (5%) had a previous coronary angioplasty and stenting, 13 patients (10%) suffered from angina and 59 (48%) were in the New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III-IV. We identified 114 (92%) degenerative stenosis, six (5%) post-rheumatic stenosis and four (3%) active endocarditis. The predicted mortality calculated by logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) was 12.6+/-5.7%, and the observed hospital mortality was 5.6%. Causes of death included severe cardiac failure (four patients), multi-organ failure (two) and sepsis (one). Complications were transitory neurological events in three patients (2%), short-term haemodialysis in three (2%), atrial fibrillation in 60 (48%) and six patients were re-operated for bleeding. Atrio-ventricular block, myocardial infarction or permanent stroke was not detected. The age at surgery and the postoperative renal failure were predictors for hospital mortality (p value <0.05), whereas we did not find predictors for neurological events. The mean FU time was 77 months (6.5 years) and the mean age of surviving patients was 87+/-4 years (81-95 years). The actuarial survival estimates at 5 and 10 years were 88% and 50%, respectively. Our experience shows good short-term results after primary isolated standard AVR in patients more than 80 years of age. The FU suggests that aortic valve surgery in octogenarians guarantees satisfactory long-term survival rates and a good quality of life, free from cardiac re-operations. In the era of catheter-based aortic valve implantation, open-heart surgery for AVR remains the standard of care for healthy octogenarians.

Early and late outcomes of 517 consecutive adult patients treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for refractory postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock

Adult postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock potentially requiring mechanical circulatory support occurs in 0.5% to 1.5% of cases. Risk factors influencing early or long-term outcome after extracorporeal membrane oxygenation implantation are not well described. Between May 1996 and May 2008, 517 adult patients received extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support for postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock. Procedures were isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (37.4%), isolated valve surgery (14.3%), coronary artery bypass grafting plus valve surgery (16.8%), thoracic organ transplantation (6.5%), and other combinations (25.0%). Fifty-four preoperative and 42 procedural risk factors concerning in-hospital mortality were evaluated by logistic regression analyses. Mean age was 63.5 years, 71.5% were male, ejection fraction was 45.9% +/- 17.6%, logistic EuroSCORE was 21.6% +/- 20.7%. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was established through thoracic (60.8%) or extrathoracic (39.2%) cannulation. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support was 3.28 +/- 2.85 days. Intra-aortic balloon pumps were implanted in 74.1%. Weaning from extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was successful for 63.3%, and 24.8% were discharged. Cerebrovascular events occurred in 17.4%, gastrointestinal complications in 18.8%, and renal replacement therapy in 65.0%. Risk factors for hospital mortality were age older than 70 years (odds ratio, 1.6), diabetes (odds ratio, 2.5), preoperative renal insufficiency (odds ratio, 2.1), obesity (odds ratio, 1.8), logistic EuroSCORE greater than 20% (odds ratio, 1.8), operative lactate greater than 4 mmol/L (odds ratio, 2.2). Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (odds ratio, 0.44) was protective. Cumulative survivals were 17.6% after 6 months, 16.5% after 1 year, and 13.7% after 5 years. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support is an acceptable option for patients with postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock who otherwise would die and is justified by good long-term outcome of hospital survivors. Because of high morbidity and mortality, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation must be decided by individual risk profile.

Use of albumin as a risk factor for hospital mortality among burn patients in Brazil: non-concurrent cohort study.

among burn patients, it is common to use colloidal substances under the justification that it is necessary to correct the oncotic pressure of the plasma, thereby reducing the edema in the burnt area and the hypotension. The aim here was to assess the risk of hospital mortality, comparing the use of albumin and crystalloid solutions for these patients. non-concurrent historical cohort study at Faculdade de Medicina de Marília; within the Postgraduate program on Internal and Therapeutic Medicine, Universidade Federal de São Paulo; and at the Brazilian Cochrane Center. burn patients hospitalized between 2000 and 2001, with registration in the Hospital Information System, who received albumin, were compared with those who received other types of volume replacement. The primary outcome was the hospital mortality rate. The data were collected from files within the Datasus software. 39,684 patients were included: 24,116 patients with moderate burns and 15,566 patients with major burns. Among the men treated with albumin, the odds ratio for the risk of death was 20.58 (95% confidence interval, CI: 11.28-37.54) for moderate burns and 6.24 (CI 5.22-7.45) for major burns. Among the women, this risk was 40.97 for moderate burns (CI 21.71-77.30) and 7.35 for major burns (CI 5.99-9.01). The strength of the association between the use of albumin and the risk of death was maintained for the other characteristics studied, with statistical significance. the use of albumin among patients with moderate and major burns was associated with considerably increased mortality.

Sepsis is a major determinant of outcome in critically ill HIV/AIDS patients

IntroductionNew challenges have arisen for the management of critically ill HIV/AIDS patients. Severe sepsis has emerged as a common cause of intensive care unit (ICU) admission for those living with HIV/AIDS. Contrastingly, HIV/AIDS patients have been systematically excluded from sepsis studies, limiting the understanding of the impact of sepsis in this population. We prospectively followed up critically ill HIV/AIDS patients to evaluate the main risk factors for hospital mortality and the impact of severe sepsis on the short- and long-term survival.MethodsAll consecutive HIV-infected patients admitted to the ICU of an infectious diseases research center, from June 2006 to May 2008, were included. Severity of illness, time since AIDS diagnosis, CD4 cell count, antiretroviral treatment, incidence of severe sepsis, and organ dysfunctions were registered. The 28-day, hospital, and 6-month outcomes were obtained for all patients. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis measured the effect of potential factors on 28-day and 6-month mortality.ResultsDuring the 2-year study period, 88 HIV/AIDS critically ill patients were admitted to the ICU. Seventy percent of patients had opportunist infections, median CD4 count was 75 cells/mm3, and 45% were receiving antiretroviral therapy. Location on a ward before ICU admission, cardiovascular and respiratory dysfunctions on the first day after admission, and the presence of severe sepsis/septic shock were associated with reduced 28-day and 6-month survival on a univariate analysis. After a multivariate analysis, severe sepsis determined the highest hazard ratio (HR) for 28-day (adjusted HR, 3.13; 95% CI, 1.21-8.07) and 6-month (adjusted HR, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.42-7.86) mortality. Severe sepsis occurred in 44 (50%) patients, mainly because of lower respiratory tract infections. The survival of septic and nonseptic patients was significantly different at 28-day and 6-month follow-up times (log-rank and Peto test, P < 0.001).ConclusionsSevere sepsis has emerged as a major cause of admission and mortality for hospitalized HIV/AIDS patients, significantly affecting short- and longer-term survival of critically ill HIV/AIDS patients.

Reoperations on the Aortic Root: Experience in 46 Patients

The increasing use of biologic conduits and the advances in reparative aortic root procedures has increased the number of patients who may require reoperation on the aortic root. Although the primary operation yields excellent results with a low risk for morbidity and mortality, reoperation on the aortic root is still challenging. We reviewed retrospectively our experience in 46 patients (38 men; mean age, 57 +/- 11 years) who underwent aortic root reoperations in the last 7 years. Of these, 42 had received prior aortic root replacement. The indications for reoperation included prosthesis infection in 16, false aneurysm in 16, and degenerative or postdissection aneurysm and valve prosthesis failure. Aortic root re-replacement was performed in 39 patients (85%) and closure of false aneurysm in 7. Univariate and multivariate analysis on 22 perioperative variables were performed. In-hospital mortality was 6.5% (3 patients). The postoperative course was complicated in 19 (41%). At multivariate analysis, perioperative myocardial infarction was a risk factor for hospital mortality (2 patients). Survival was 88% at 1 year and 74% at 5 years. No differences were found in survival according to redo indication. Freedom from reoperation on the aortic root was 100% at 1 year and 90% at 5 years. Reoperation on the aortic root can be performed with acceptable mortality and good midterm and long-term outcome; however, the postoperative complication rate is still high.

Comparison of the Results of Aortic Valve Replacement With or Without Concomitant Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting in Patients With Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction ≤30% Versus Patients With Ejection Fraction >30%

The present study was designed to test the hypothesis that low-ejection fraction (EF), low-gradient aortic stenosis (AS) is a predictor of major morbidity after aortic valve replacement (AVR). We retrospectively analyzed prospectively collected data from 597 consecutive patients with AS (mean age 72 +/- 11 years) who had undergone AVR or combined AVR and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) from 1998 to 2006 (EF < or =30% in 73 [12%]). The outcome measures included hospital mortality, major complications, and long-term survival. The overall hospital mortality rate was 4% (low-EF AS 5%; low-EF AS plus CABG 8%; AS controls 4%; AS plus CABG controls 3%; p = 0.42). Low-EF, low-gradient AS was not an independent risk factor for hospital mortality but predicted stroke (odds ratio [OR] 4.3), deep sternal wound infection (OR 10.0), sepsis (OR 6.8), gastrointestinal complications (OR 4.2), and respiratory failure (OR 4.4). The survival rate at 1, 3, and 5 years was 69 +/- 8%, 69 +/- 8%, and 65 +/- 8% in the low-EF, low-gradient, AVR plus CABG group and 95 +/- 4%, 92 +/- 5%, and 82 +/- 7% in the low-EF, low-gradient AVR group compared to 93 +/- 2%, 88 +/- 2%, and 78 +/- 3% in the AVR plus CABG control group and 93 +/- 2%, 89 +/- 2%, and 85 +/- 3% in the AVR control group (p = 0.001), respectively. In the patients with low-EF AS who experienced major postoperative morbidity, the 1-year survival rate was significantly reduced (54 +/- 14%) compared to those who did not (95 +/- 3%, p <0.001). In conclusion, low-EF, low-gradient AS is a predictor of increased major morbidity after AVR, which nonetheless remains the treatment of choice for most patients because of the excellent early and late survival. However, patients with strong risk factors for postoperative renal and respiratory failure might derive less benefit from conventional surgical AVR.

Multiple Imputation for Missing Laboratory Data: An Example from Infectious Disease Epidemiology

To present multiple imputation (MI) as an appropriate method to address missing values for a laboratory parameter (serum albumin) in an epidemiologic study. A data set of patients who were hospitalized for invasive group A streptococcal infections was accessed. Age was the exposure of interest. The outcome was hospital mortality. Several variables, including serum albumin, were considered to be potential confounders. Of the 201 records, 91 had missing values for serum albumin. The MI procedure in SAS was used to perform 20 imputations of serum albumin by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. Logistic regression was then performed on each of the 20 filled-in data sets, and the results were appropriately combined by using the MIANALYZE procedure. Age (> or = 55 years vs. 0-54 years) was not a risk factor for hospital mortality in the complete-case analysis (n = 110): adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 2.43 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.79-7.53). Age was a significant risk factor in the imputed data set (n = 201): adjusted OR = 3.08 (95% CI: 1.22-7.78). Epidemiologists frequently encounter data sets that contain missing values. Traditional missing data techniques such as the complete-subject analysis may lead to biased results. We have demonstrated the use of a novel technique, MI, to account for missing data.