Risk Factor For All-cause Death Research Articles

Right ventricular systolic pressure is an independent risk factor of all-cause death and inappropriate therapies in patients with implanted CRT-D

Abstract Introduction Cardiac resynchronization therapy-defibrillators (CRT-D) are implanted mostly in patients with low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and wide QRS. In such subjects, there is often a concomitant right ventricular (RV) dysfunction, which has been associated with higher long-term mortality. However, data on the association between RV dysfunction and arrhythmic outcomes in patients with CRT-D are scarce. Purpose To define whether there is any association between right ventricular dysfunction and antiarrhythmic therapies or all-cause mortality in patients with HF and CRT-D. Methods The clinical and demographic data of patients enrolled in this study were obtained from the single-centre COMMIT-HF registry. The parameters regarding right ventricular function, such as right ventricle dimension (RVD), tricuspid annular systolic plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) were obtained from electronic patients’ records. The data on the long-term hard endpoints were obtained from the national healthcare provider, while the data on the risk of arrhythmic events, CRT-D shocks and antitachycardia pacing (ATP) were obtained from investigator-initiated and -adjudicated single-centre remote monitoring database updated annually. Multivariable stepwise logistic regression was used to determine independent predictors of the study outcomes, being all-cause death, and the occurrence of appropriate and inappropriate CRT-D therapies. Results During the period between July, 2009 and November, 2019, 335 patients were enrolled at the RM programme after implantation of CRT-D. Of them, during the median (Q1-Q3) follow-up period of 5.3 (2.8-6.6) years, (113 (33.7%) died, 111 (33.1%) received appropriate and 37 (11%) inappropriate therapies. In the multivariable analysis, the independent predictors of all-cause death were reduction in LVEF and increase in RVSP. Lower age and increased LVEDD were independent predictors of appropriate therapies, while lower age and increased RVSP were independent predictors of inappropriate therapies. No association between TAPSE and RVD and outcomes was found. Conclusions Among right ventricular dysfunction parameters, RVSP is an independent predictor of inappropriate therapies and all-cause death, but not of appropriate therapies in patients with HF and CRT-D.

Abstract 13581: Effect of Lipoprotein(a) on Long-Term Outcomes at Different LDL-C and hs-CRP Status in Patients With Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Background: Although some studies have shown that the risk of adverse events associated with lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] are influenced by low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels, results on whether hs-CRP and LDL-C jointly mediate the effect of Lp(a) on long-term outcomes are unknown. Aim: To investigate the effect of Lp(a) on long-term clinical outcomes in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) according to LDL-C levels and further hs-CRP levels. Methods: This prospective study consecutively enrolled 10,724 patients with PCI in the year 2013. The primary endpoint was all-cause death. The secondary endpoint was cardiac death. Results: There were 10,000 patients with available baseline data included in final analysis (Age 58.33±10.26 years, 77.27% Male). During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 358 patients developed all-cause death and 217 cardiac death. After the multi-variable Cox analysis, in the overall population, Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL was an independent risk factor of all-cause death and cardiac death. Further analysis showed that, in patients with LDL-C < 70 mg/dL, Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL was not an independent risk factor of all-cause death and cardiac death regardless of hs-CRP < 2 or ≥ 2 mg/L. However, when LDL-C ≥ 70 mg/dL, in the setting of hs-CRP ≥ 2 mg/L, Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL was an independent risk factor of all-cause death and cardiac death; in the setting of hs-CRP < 2 mg/L, Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL was only the independent risk factor of cardiac death. Conclusions: The current study first reported that LDL-C and hs-CRP jointly affected the long-term outcomes associated with Lp(a) in PCI patients. When LDL-C < 70 mg/dL, Lp(a) ≥ 30 mg/dL was not associated with the risk of all-cause death and cardiac death irrespective of hs-CRP levels. Our finding may be instructive for the management and treatment of Lp(a) in the future.

The consistency of skeletal muscle mass measured by CT at L1 and L3 levels and the correlation of skeletal muscle density at L1 level with prognosis in dialysis patients

Objective: To investigate the consistency of skeletal muscle mass by CT at 1st lumbar vertebrae (L1) and 3rd lumbar vertebrae (L3) levels and the correlation of skeletal muscle density (SMD) at L1 level with prognosis in dialysis patients. Methods: A total of 1 020 patients who underwent initial dialysis and had CT examination data in four centers (Zhongda Hospital Affiliated to Southeast University, the Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Taizhou People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University and the Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University) from January 2014 to December 2019 were retrospectively collected. The skeletal muscle index (SMI) and SMD at L1 and L3 CT images were measured and calculated in patients with both L1 and L3 level CT images. The consistency of SMI and SMD at L1 and L3 levels was analyzed, and the cut-off value of SMI and SMD at L1 level for predicting all-cause mortality and their correlation with the prognosis of dialysis patients were studied. Cox regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for all-cause death and cardiac death. Results: A total of 383 patients had both L1 and L3 level images, including 233 males and 150 females. The average SMD value of 16 samples (4.2%) exceeded the 95% consistency limit range (-8.71 to 7.75 HU), and the average SMI value of 15 samples (3.9%) exceeded the 95% consistency limit range (-20.45 to 9.53 HU). The optimal cut-off value of SMD at L1 level for predicting all-cause mortality was 36.46 HU and the area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.658 (95%CI: 0.596-0.721, P<0.001), with the sensitivity and specificity of 83.8% and 57.5%, respectively. SMI at L1 level was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (P=0.299). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that low SMD at L1 level was associated with all-cause mortality (HR=2.861, 95%CI: 1.576-5.193, P=0.001) and cardiac death (HR=3.771, 95%CI:1.462-9.724, P=0.006). Conclusions: SMD at L1 levelis consistent with SMD at L3 level and can be used to evaluate muscle mass. Low SMD is a risk factor for mortality in dialysis patients.

Mortality risk factors in primary Sjögren syndrome: areal-world, retrospective, cohort study.

What baseline predictors would be involved in mortality in people with primary Sjögren syndrome (SjS) remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the baseline characteristics collected at the time of diagnosis of SjS associated with mortality and to identify mortality risk factors for all-cause death and deaths related to systemic SjS activity measured by the ESSDAI score. In this international, real-world, retrospective, cohort study, we retrospectively collected data from 27 countries on mortality and causes of death from the Big Data Sjögren Registry. Inclusion criteria consisted of fulfilling 2002/2016 SjS classification criteria, and exclusion criteria included chronic HCV/HIV infections and associated systemic autoimmune diseases. A statistical approach based on a directed acyclic graph was used, with all-cause and Sjögren-related mortality as primary endpoints. The key determinants that defined the disease phenotype at diagnosis (glandular, systemic, and immunological) were analysed as independent variables. Between January 1st, 2014 and December 31, 2023, data from 11,372 patients with primary SjS (93.5% women, 78.4% classified as White, mean age at diagnosis of 51.1 years) included in the Registry were analysed. 876 (7.7%) deaths were recorded after a mean follow-up of 8.6 years (SD 7.12). Univariate analysis of prognostic factors for all-cause death identified eight Sjögren-related variables (ocular and oral tests, salivary biopsy, ESSDAI, ANA, anti-Ro, anti-La, and cryoglobulins). The multivariate CPH model adjusted for these variables and the epidemiological features showed that DAS-ESSDAI (high vs no high: HR=1.68; 95% CI, 1.27-2.22) and cryoglobulins (positive vs negative: HR=1.72; 95% CI, 1.22-2.42) were independent predictors of all-cause death. Of the 640 deaths with available information detailing the specific cause of death, 14% were due to systemic SjS. Univariate analysis of prognostic factors for Sjögren-cause death identified five Sjögren-related variables (oral tests, clinESSDAI, DAS-ESSDAI, ANA, and cryoglobulins). The multivariate competing risks CPH model adjusted for these variables and the epidemiological features showed that oral tests (abnormal vs normal results: HR=1.38; 95% CI, 1.01-1.87), DAS-ESSDAI (high vs no high: HR=1.55; 95% CI, 1.22-1.96) and cryoglobulins (positive vs negative: HR=1.52; 95% CI, 1.16-2) were independent predictors of SjS-related death. The key mortality risk factors at the time of SjS diagnosis were positive cryoglobulins and a high systemic activity scored using the ESSDAI, conferring a 2-times increased risk of all-cause and SjS-related death. ESSDAI measurement and cryoglobulin testing should be considered mandatory when an individual is diagnosed with SjS. Novartis.

The influence of severe mitral regurgitation on major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after myocardial infarction in 1-year follow-up: Data from PL-ACS registry.

Mitral regurgitation (MR) is frequently observed in patients with myocardial infarction (MI). However, the incidence of severe MR in contemporary population is unknown. The study evaluates the prevalence and prognostic impact of severe MR in contemporary population of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). The study group consists of 8062 patients enrolled in the Polish Registry of Acute Coronary Syndromes over the years 2017‒2019. Only the patients with full echocardiography performed during the index hospitalization were eligible. Primary composite outcome was 12-month major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) (death, non-fatal MI, stroke and heart failure [HF] hospitalization) compared between patients with and without severe MR. 5561 NSTEMI patients and 2501 STEMI patients were enrolled into the study. Severe MR occurred in 66 (1.19%) NSTEMI patients and 30 (1.19%) STEMI patients. Multivariable regression models revealed that severe MR is an independent risk factor of all-cause death in 12-month observation (odds ratio [OR], 1.839; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.012‒3.343; P = 0.046) in all MI patients. Patients with NSTEMI and severe MR had higher mortality (22.7% vs. 7.1%), HF rehospitalization rate (39.4% vs. 12.9%) and MACCE occurrence (54.5% vs. 29.3%). Severe MR was associated with higher mortality (20% vs. 6%) and higher HF rehospitalization (30% vs. 9.8%), stroke (10% vs. 0.8%) and MACCE rates (50% vs. 23.1%) in STEMI patients. Severe MR is associated with higher mortality and MACCE occurrence in patients with MI in 12-month follow-up. Severe MR is an independent risk factor of all-cause death.

Paxlovid for hospitalized COVID-19 patients with chronic kidney disease

BackgroundCOVID-19 causes significant mortality during the recent pandemic. Data regarding the effectiveness of Paxlovid on COVID-19 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD, eGFR <90 ml/min) are limited. MethodsA retrospective cohort study was performed on the clinical data of the hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection collected at Renji Hospital from April 7, 2022 to June 21, 2022. The association of Paxlovid treatment with early (within 5 days post diagnosis) or late (5 days or later post diagnosis) initiation time with clinical outcomes was assessed by Cox proportional hazards regression model with time-dependent covariates. Result1279 of 2387 enrollees were included in the study. Patients with early initiation of Paxlovid had a lower all-cause death rate compared to those with late initiation or without Paxlovid treatment (P = 0.046). For the CKD patients with Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) > 7, the early initiation of Paxlovid was associated with a lower all-cause death rate compared to the later initiation or the lack of Paxlovid treatment (P = 0.041). Cox regression analyses revealed that eGFR (HR 4.21 [95%, CI 1.62–10.99]), Paxlovid treatment (0.32 [0.13–0.77]), CCI (4.32 [1.64–11.40]), ICU admission (2.65 [1.09–6.49]), hsCRP (3.88 [1.46–7.80]), chronic liver disease (4.02 [1.09–14.85]) were the independent risk factors for all-cause death for CKD patients after adjusting for demographics and biochemical indexes. ConclusionsAll-cause death, invasive ventilation, and ICU admission were all significantly lowered by an early initiation of Paxlovid treatment in COVID-19 patients with severe CKD.

The relationship between bile acids levels and the prognosis of patients with diabetes on maintenance hemodialysis: a retrospective study

Objective There is a paucity of research on the association between bile acids (BAs) levels and all-cause death in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) on maintenance hemodialysis (MHD). This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics of patients with DM on MHD according to different BAs levels and their impact on prognosis. Methods A retrospective cohort of 1,081 patients on hemodialysis at Xindu People’s Hospital and the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College were enrolled. Demographic and clinical characteristics were collected. The relationship between BAs and all-cause death risk was fitted using restricted cubic splines (RCS), and the BAs cutoff value was calculated. Patients were divided into low and high BAs groups based on the cutoff value. The primary endpoint was all-cause death and the secondary outcomes were deaths from cardiovascular events. Results Finally, 387 patients with DM on MHD were included. The median BAs level of all patients was 4.0 μmol/L. The RCS-based BAs cutoff value was 3.5 μmol/L. The BAs levels correlated negatively with total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein, and blood calcium levels. During the follow-up, 21.7% of the patients died. The multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that patients with DM on MHD with higher BAs were associated independently with a decreased risk of all-cause death (HR =0.55; 95% CI, 0.35–0.81, p = 0.01) compared to those with lower BAs levels. Conclusions Higher BAs levels were associated with lower lipid levels in patients with DM on MHD. BAs is an independent risk factor for all-cause death in patients with DM on MHD.

High facility-level serum potassium variability associated with mortality in hemodialysis patients: results from Chinese Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS)

The role of facility-level serum potassium (sK+) variability (FL-SPV) in dialysis patients has not been extensively studied. This study aimed to evaluate the association between FL-SPV and clinical outcomes in hemodialysis patients using data from the China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) 5. FL-SPV was defined as the standard deviation (SD) of baseline sK+ of all patients in each dialysis center. The mean and SD values of FL-SPV of all participants were calculated, and patients were divided into the high FL-SPV (>the mean value) and low FL-SPV (≤the mean value) groups. Totally, 1339 patients were included, with a mean FL-SPV of 0.800 mmol/L. Twenty-three centers with 656 patients were in the low FL-SPV group, and 22 centers with 683 patients were in the high FL-SPV group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that liver cirrhosis (OR = 4.682, 95% CI: 1.246–17.593), baseline sK+ (<3.5 vs. 3.5 ≤ sK+ < 5.5 mmol/L, OR = 2.394, 95% CI: 1.095–5.234; ≥5.5 vs. 3.5 ≤ sK+ < 5.5 mmol/L, OR = 1.451, 95% CI: 1.087–1.939), dialysis <3 times/week (OR = 1.472, 95% CI: 1.073–2.020), facility patients’ number (OR = 1.088, 95% CI: 1.058–1.119), serum HCO3 – level (OR = 0.952, 95% CI: 0.921–0.984), dialysis vintage (OR = 0.919, 95% CI: 0.888–0.950), other cardiovascular disease (OR = 0.508, 95% CI: 0.369–0.700), and using high-flux dialyzer (OR = 0.425, 95% CI: 0.250–0.724) were independently associated with high FL-SPV (all p < .05). After adjusting potential confounders, high FL-SPV was an independent risk factor for all-cause death (HR = 1.420, 95% CI: 1.044–1.933) and cardiovascular death (HR = 1.827, 95% CI: 1.188–2.810). Enhancing the management of sK+ of hemodialysis patients and reducing FL-SPV may improve patient survival.

Risk Factors for Death or Cardiovascular Events after Acute Coronary Syndrome in Patients with Myeloproliferative Neoplasms

Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), including acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, data on long-term outcomes of patients with MPN who have had ACS and risk factors for all-cause death or CV events post-ACS hospitalization are lacking. We conducted a single-center study of 41 consecutive patients with MPN with ACS hospitalization after MPN diagnosis. After a median follow-up of 80 months after ACS hospitalization, 31 (76%) experienced death or a CV event (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or heart failure hospitalization). After multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, index ACS within 12 months of MPN diagnosis (HR 3.84, 95% CI 1.44–10.19), WBC ≥ 20 K/µL (HR 9.10, 95% CI 2.71–30.52), JAK2 mutation (HR 3.71, 95% CI 1.22–11.22), and prior CVD (HR 2.60, 95% CI 1.12–6.08) were associated with increased death or CV events. Further studies are warranted to improve cardiovascular outcomes in this patient population.

PO-05-161 ACQUIRED LONG QT SYNDROME IN SEPSIS-INDUCED MYOCARDIAL INJURY: INVESTIGATION ON CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND MECHANISM VIA ION CHANNEL REPROGRAMMING

Sepsis-induced cardiomyopathy (SIC) is one major cause of death in sepsis. Evidence of various cardiac arrhythmias in septic patients has been reported previously. Acquired QT prolongation (aQTP) is associated with an increased risk of polymorphic VT and Torsade de Pointes. However, data on the clinical analysis of aQTP, or acquired long QT syndrome (aLQTS) in sepsis and their potential mechanism is limited. We aimed to investigate the prevalence and characteristics of aQTP/aLQTS in sepsis and explore the underlying mechanism. Patients diagnosed with sepsis from 2018 to 2022 were enrolled. Occurrence of aQTP as well as cardiac arrhythmias were described. Correlation analysis was performed to investigate associated factors, followed analysis on prognosis. Mouse model for SIC was thereafter established, in which bulk-RNA sequencing of the heart was performed. The gene expression of myocardial tissue was then determined by RT-quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Biostatistical analysis based on Gene Expression Omnibus database were performed. Among 110 patients diagnosed with sepsis, aQTP was found in 13 (11.8%) subjects with a mean QTc of 502 msec, in which 2 typical aLQTS cases with progressive QTP was observed to develop electrical storm during sepsis following pacemaker implantation and esophagectomy, respectively. In correlation analysis, the prevalence of aQTP was found statistically associated with heart failure (p=0.009) and all-cause shock (p=0.02). As for primary endpoints, aLQTS was shown relevant with the length of ICU stay (p=0.037) and as an independent risk factor for all-cause death (p=0.026) in sepsis. Sequencing of myocardium on SIC mice revealed multiple genes associated with electrical ion channels were significantly altered in SIC, e.g., KCNQ1 (p<0.001, R2=0.84), KCNJ5(p<0.001, R2=0.97), SCN5A (p<0.001, R2=0.86), CALMl4 (p-0038, R2=0.36) etc., which affect cardiac repolarization by regulating potassium, sodium and calcium channels, and was in accordance with the results of qPCR for the hub genes. Externally validation based on GEO database demonstrated similar results. aQTP is not infrequently observed in sepsis-induced myocardial injury, which is associated with poor prognosis in septic patients. It requires more clinical awareness of regular monitoring for related aLQTS and other complications. Sepsis-induced myocardial inflammation may have an impact on the expression of multiple genes related to myocardial repolarization.

Influence of an abnormal ankle-brachial index on ischemic and bleeding events in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

Bleeding events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have important prognostic implications. Data on the influence of an abnormal ankle-brachial index (ABI) on both ischemic and bleeding events in patients undergoing PCI are limited. We included patients who underwent PCI with available ABI data (abnormal ABI, ≤ 0.9 or > 1.4). The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and major bleeding. Among 4,747 patients, an abnormal ABI was observed in 610 patients (12.9%). During follow-up (median, 31 months), the 5-year cumulative incidence of adverse clinical events was higher in the abnormal ABI group than in the normal ABI group: primary endpoint (36.0% vs. 14.5%, log-rank test, p < 0.001); all-cause death (19.4% vs. 5.1%, log-rank test, p < 0.001); MI (6.3% vs. 4.1%, log-rank test, p = 0.013); stroke (6.2% vs. 2.7%, log-rank test, p = 0.001); and major bleeding (8.9% vs. 3.7%, log-rank test, p < 0.001). An abnormal ABI was an independent risk factor for all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 3.05; p < 0.001), stroke (HR, 1.79; p = 0.042), and major bleeding (HR, 1.61; p = 0.034). An abnormal ABI is a risk factor for both ischemic and bleeding events after PCI. Our study findings may be helpful in determining the optimal method for secondary prevention after PCI.

History of heart failure and chronic kidney disease and risk of all-cause death after COVID-19 during the first three waves of the pandemic in comparison with influenza outbreaks in Sweden: a registry-based, retrospective, case–control study

ObjectivesTo explore how cardiorenal disease (CRD; heart failure and/or chronic kidney disease) impacted mortality in men and women hospitalised for COVID-19 during the first three waves of the pandemic in...

Prognostic value of index of cardiac electrophysiological balance among US middle-aged adults.

Index of cardiac electrophysiological balance (iCEB) has been widely used in clinical practice but no studies investigated the association between iCEB and prognosis in the general population. To assess the correlation between the iCEB and the prognosis in the general population. This retrospective cohort study involved adults aged 40-65 years who participated in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES-III) and whose electrocardiograms were in sinus rhythm. The corrected iCEB (iCEBc) was the ratio of corrected QT interval (QTc) to QRS duration, and outcomes were cardiac and all-cause mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify the associations of iCEBc with end point. The value of iCEBc for predicting adverse events was evaluated by reclassification and discrimination analyses. Among 5,010 participants (mean age 51.10 ± 7.67 years, 52.5% female), 3,454 (68.9%) were Non-Hispanic White. The mean iCEBc was 4.45 ± 0.56. A total of 2,147 deaths were recorded during a median follow-up of 319 months. The adjusted model shown iCEBc was an independent risk factor for all-cause death. The iCEBc was linearly correlated with all-cause mortality and the optimal cutoff value was 4.57 in males and 4.98 in females. In the resultant model, prolonged iCEBc remained independently associated with a higher rate of mortality (HR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.11-1.42) and cardiac death (HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.04-1.71). Among the complete study population or the group with normal QTc interval, the performance of the predictive model after addition of iCEBc was not weaker than the model after the addition of prolonged QTc. Elevated iCEBc (male ≥4.57 and female ≥4.98) is an independent risk factor for cardiac or all-cause death among the middle-age adults. The clinical application value of iCEBc is firmly based on basic physiological principles and its application deserves further attention.

Long-term prolonged-release tacrolimus outcomes in living donor kidney transplantation: The Japan Academic Consortium of Kidney Transplantation study-II.

To evaluate the 10-year efficacy and safety of a prolonged-release tacrolimus-based combination immunosuppressive regimen on longer-term outcomes in living donor kidney transplantation. Data from Japanese living donor kidney transplant recipients (n= 410) maintained on continuous prolonged-release tacrolimus-based immunosuppression from 2009-2013 were analyzed with a median follow-up of 9.9 years. A prolonged-release, tacrolimus-based combination regimen provided death-censored graft failure and all-cause death rates at 10 years of 7.0% and 6.8%, respectively. In multivariable analyses, acute and chronic rejection and 'throughout' (new-onset plus preexisting) diabetes mellitus were risk factors for death-censored graft failure. Recipient age ≥ 65 years, throughout diabetes mellitus and malignancy were common risk factors for all-cause death. Throughout diabetes mellitus was the most common risk factor for both death-censored graft failure and all-cause death. Additional analyses showed 10-year cumulative rates of death-censored graft failure were 14.0% and 5.4% for recipients with or without preexisting diabetes mellitus, respectively (log-rank test: p= 0.009). All-cause death rates were 12.7% and 5.4% in the preexisting and non-diabetes mellitus groups, respectively (log-rank test: p= 0.023). In this real-world, retrospective, living donor kidney transplantation study, a prolonged-release tacrolimus-based immunosuppressive combination regimen provided 10-year death-censored graft failure rates of 14.0% and 5.4% in diabetes mellitus and non-diabetes mellitus patients, respectively; Similarly, 10-year all-cause death rates were 12.7% and 5.4% in diabetes mellitus and non-diabetes mellitus patients, respectively. To our knowledge, the data in this study are the first to provide 10-year transplant outcomes in living donor kidney transplant recipients under prolonged-release tacrolimus-based regimen.

The clinical value of the Controlling Nutritional Status score for predicting prognosis in systolic heart failure cases in the vulnerable phase.

Malnutrition, a commonly encountered complication of heart failure, has an association with poor prognosis. The vulnerable phase of heart failure constitutes the most vulnerable stage of heart failure cases after discharge (usually within 3 months). At present, the prognostic value of Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score in the vulnerable phase of systolic heart failure is unclear. Totally 187 systolic heart failure cases were retrospectively assessed at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University. Based on CONUT score at admission, cases were assigned to 3 groups, including the normal nutrition, and mild and moderate or severe malnutrition groups. The primary endpoint was all-cause death in the 90 days following discharge. The secondary, composite outcome encompassed all-cause death and rehospitalization due to heart failure. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were performed to compare outcome event rates between groups. The independent risk factors for outcome events were obtained by multivariate COX regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and the Delong test were used to compare the prediction performance of the CONUT score and other independent risk factors for all-cause death. During the 90 days of follow-up, 8.6% of HF patients had the primary endpoint and 23.5% had the secondary outcome. All-cause mortality was markedly elevated in the moderate or severe malnutrition group (Logrank: p < 0.001). Compared with the normal nutrition group, composite endpoint events had starkly increased incidence rates in both malnutrition groups, and the incidence increased with the severity of malnutrition (Logrank: p < 0.05). Multivariate COX risk analysis revealed higher CONUT score [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.791, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.379-2.327], age (HR = 1.08, 95% CI 1.028-1.134), B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) (HR = 1.001, 95% CI 1.000-1.001), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (HR = 1.008, 95% CI 1.001-1.015) at admission as independent predictive factors of all-cause mortality. And higher CONUT score (HR = 1.162, 95% CI 1.024-1.318) and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (HR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.966-0.993) for the secondary endpoint. The addition of the CONUT score significantly increased the predictive performance of age, BNP and AST, as well as their combination for all-cause death (Delong test: all p < 0.05). The CONUT score at admission independently predicts poor prognosis during the vulnerable phase in patients with systolic heart failure and may be combined with conventional risk factors to further improve the predictive efficacy.

Risk factors, clinical features, and outcomes of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy complicated by ischemic stroke: A single-center retrospective study.

This study aimed to explore risk factors, clinical features, and prognosis of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) complicated by ischemic stroke (IS). We conducted a retrospective analysis of all HCM patient data and a 1-year follow-up study. Totally, 506 patients with HCM, including 71 with IS, were enrolled. Older age (≥63 years) was associated with an increased risk of IS in HCM patients (OR = 1.045, 95% CI: 1.018-1.072, p = 0.001). Among 37 patients complicated by IS, 22 (59.5%, 22/37) manifested as cardioembolism (CE) subtype, and 13 (35.1%, 3/37) small artery occlusion (SAO) subtype, according to TOAST classification. In the acute phase, the IS patients presented with NIHSS 4 (interquartile range: 1, 10). Multi-infarction was more common than single infarction (72.7 vs. 27.3%), while cortical + subcortical infarction (CE group: 50%) or subcortical infarction (SAO group: 53.8%) constituted most IS cases. Additionally, the blood supply areas of anterior circulation (CE group: 45.5%; SAO group: 92.3%) or anterior + posterior circulation (CE group: 50%) were mainly involved. The 1-year survival rate of HCM patients with concomitant IS was 81.8%, and IS was associated with 1-year all-cause death in HCM patients (HR = 5.689, 95% CI: 1.784-18.144, p = 0.003). Older age is a risk factor for IS occurrence in HCM patients. Patients with HCM complicated by IS had mild or moderate neurologic deficits at disease onset. CE and SAO subtypes predominate in patients with concomitant IS, especially the former. Multiple cortical and subcortical infarctions are their neuroimaging characteristics, mainly involving the anterior circulation or anterior + posterior circulation. Is is a risk factor for all-cause death in HCM patients within 1 year.

Abstract 9896: Living Alone is a Poor Prognostic Factor of Mortality Among Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction

Introduction: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been a major cause of death worldwide. Recently, living alone as a proxy for social isolation has been considered to increase the risk of cardiovascular disease. We thus investigated the impact of living alone on mortality in AMI patients. Methods: Subjects comprised 277 AMI patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Associations between all-cause death after PCI and baseline characteristics including living alone and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score, which is widely used for estimating mortality in AMI patients, were assessed. Results: Eighty-three patients (30%) were living alone and 194 patients (70%) were not. Median duration of follow-up was 1153 days (interquartile range, 560-1566 days). Thirty patients died after PCI including 20 cardiac deaths. Patients living alone showed higher incidences of both all-cause and cardiac deaths compared with patients not living alone (18% vs. 8%, p = 0.019 and 14% vs. 4%, p = 0.004, respectively). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis modeling using relevant factors from univariate analysis showed living alone [hazard ratio (HR), 2.60; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.20-5.62; p = 0.016] and GRACE risk score (HR, 1.02; 95%CI, 1.01-1.03; p = 0.003) correlated significantly with all-cause death. The interaction of GRACE risk score and living alone showed a value of p = 0.25. The optimal cut-off on the receiver-operating characteristic curve of GRACE risk score for predicting all-cause death was 162. Cox proportional hazards modeling using GRACE risk score and living alone revealed that patients living alone with GRACE risk score ≥162 showed a significantly greater risk of all-cause death than patients not living alone with GRACE risk score &lt;162 (HR 11.50; 95%CI 5.59-23.67; p &lt; 0.001). Conclusions: Among AMI patients, living alone represents an independent risk factor for all-cause death after PCI, separate from GRACE risk score. In addition, AMI patients living alone with high GRACE risk scores may experience an additively increased risk of mortality after PCI.

Relationship between sleep disorders and the prognosis of neurological function after stroke.

This study aims to investigate the effects of sleep disorders on the prognosis of neurological function after stroke and other factors affecting the prognosis after stroke. We designed a cohort study. A total of 1,542 patients with their first stroke were hospitalized in the department of neurology of Tianjin Huanhu Hospital from 2015.6.1 to 2016.12.31. We recorded the personal histories of patients. The MMSE (mini-mental state examination), MoCA (Montreal Cognitive Assessment), HAMD (Hamilton Depression Scale), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, mRS (Modified Rankin Scale), BI (Barthel Index), PSQI (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index), ESS (Epworth Sleepiness Scale), Berlin questionnaire, and nocturnal TST (Total sleep time) were assessed before discharge, 3 months, 6 months, and 4 years (2019-2020) after stroke. Low sleep quality (OR 2.019, 95%CI 1.199-3.398, p = 0.008), nocturnal TST (<7 h) (OR 4.060, 95%CI 1.494-11.034, p = 0.006), nocturnal TST (>8 h) (OR 5.928, 95% CI 2.134-16.464, p = 0.001) were risk factors for poor neurological function recovery at 3 months after stroke. Nocturnal TST (<7 h) (OR 13.042, 95%-CI 2.576-66.027, p = 0.002) and nocturnal TST (>8 h) (OR 11.559, 95%-CI 2.108-63.390, p = 0.005) were risk factors for poor neurological function at 6 months after stroke. Nocturnal TST (<7 h) (OR 2.668, 95% CI 1.250-5.698, p = 0.011) and nocturnal TST (>8 h) (OR 2.516, 95% CI 1.080-5.861, p = 0.033) were risk factors for poor neurological function at 4 years after stroke. High risk of OSA (HR 1.582, 95%CI 1.244-2.012, p < 0.001) was a risk factor for all-cause death in patients followed up for 4 years after stroke. Low sleep quality is associated with short-term poor neurological function after stroke. Unusual nocturnal TST (long or short) is associated with short-term or long-term poor neurological function after stroke. A high risk of OSA is associated with a higher risk of all-cause death after stroke.

History of heart failure and chronic kidney disease and the risk for all-cause death after COVID-19 during the three first waves in comparison to influenza outbreaks in Sweden

Abstract Background Infection with SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) affects people globally causing hospitalisation and reduced life expectancy. To improve future preventive measures there is a need of extensive analysis on contributing risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcome. Purpose To explore how cardiorenal disease (CRD; heart failure and/or chronic kidney disease) impacted mortality in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 during the three first waves in Sweden in comparison to previous influenza outbreaks and with a sex perspective. Methods All patients in Sweden with a main hospital diagnosis of COVID-19 (January 2020-September 2021) or influenza (January 2015-December 2019) with previous CRD were identified in registries and compared with a reference group free from CRD but with COVID-19 or influenza. Associated risk of all-cause death during the first year was analysed using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Results In COVID-19 patients with and without prior history of CRD (n=44,866) mean age was 79.8 years (SD 11.8) and 43% were women. In influenza patients (n=8897) mean age was 80.6 (SD 11.5) years and 45% were women. COVID-19 vs. influenza was associated with higher mortality risk the first two waves (HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.45–1.62, p&amp;lt;0.001 and 1.52; 1.44–1.61, p&amp;lt;0.001) but not in the third wave (1.07; 0.99–1.14, p=0.072). The cumulative incidence of all-cause death was increased in COVID-19 patients and in influenza patients if CRD was present (Figure 1). Further, CRD was an independent risk factor for all-cause death after COVID-19 in men and women (men: 1.37; 1.31–1.44, p&amp;lt;0.001, women: 1.46; 1.38–1.54, p&amp;lt;0.001). At ages &amp;lt;70 years women with CRD had a similar mortality rate as men with CRD while at ages ≥70 years mortality rate was higher in men (Figure 2). Conclusions Outcome after COVID-19 is worse if CRD is present. In women at ages &amp;lt;70 years the presence of CRD attenuates the protective effect of female sex. Further COVID-19 was associated with higher mortality risk than influenza during the first two waves. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): The Family Kamprad FoundationAstraZeneca (study sponsor)

Established risk prediction models for the incidence of a low lean tissue index in patients with peritoneal dialysis

Objective The objective of this study is to investigate the incidence of low lean tissue index (LTI) and the risk factors for low LTI in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients, including to establish risk prediction models. Methods A total of 104 PD patients were enrolled from October 2019 to 2021. LTI was measured by bioimpedance spectroscopy. Multivariate logistic regression and machine learning were used to analyze the risk factors for low LTI in PD patients. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to analyze the survival rate of patients with low LTI. Results The interleukin-6 (IL-6) level, red cell distribution width (RDW), overhydration, body mass index (BMI), and the subjective global assessment (SGA) rating significantly differed between the low LTI and normal LTI groups (all p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression showed that IL-6 (1.10 [95% CI: 1.02–1.18]), RDW (1.87 [95% CI: 1.18–2.97]), BMI (0.97 [95% CI: 0.68–0.91]), and the SGA rating (6.33 [95% CI: 1.59–25.30]) were independent risk factors for LTI. Cox regression analysis showed that low LTI (HR 3.14, [95% CI: 1.12–8.80]) was the only significant risk factor for all-cause death in peritoneal dialysis patients. The decision process to predict the incidence of low LTI in PD patients was established by machine learning, and the area under the curve of internal validation was 0.6349. Conclusions Low LTI is closely related to mortality in PD patients. Microinflammatory status, high RDW, low BMI and low SGA rating are risk factors for low LTI in PD patients. The developed prediction model may serve as a useful tool for assessing low LTI in PD patients.