Risk Characterization Research Articles

The risk of acquiring avian influenza from commercial poultry products and hen eggs: A qualitative assessment

High pathogenicity and low pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI and LPAI) viruses primarily infect birds, but they can also cause illness in other species, including humans. Some avian influenza (AI) strains can cause fatality rates of over 50 % in human infections. In October 2021, there was a substantial increase in the number of AI infections reported in birds in the UK. Given concerns that more infected and/or contaminated poultry products might reach retail, a risk assessment was performed to ensure that advice relating to the handling and consumption of these products remained appropriate.The products considered in this risk assessment were commercial chicken and turkey products, farmed duck and geese products, and table eggs. The risk pathway included the likelihood animals or eggs from an infected flock would be sent for further processing, whether the resulting products would be released to retail after inspection, viral persistence during distribution and storage, and the ability of AI viruses to infect humans via the gastrointestinal route. The risk from any AI virus, not just the A(H5N1) strain that began circulating in 2021, was considered. Data was obtained from literature searches and FSA surveys.The risk assessment determined that the likelihood of human infection with AI from poultry products for the UK population from handling and consuming commercial chicken or turkey products was negligible with low uncertainty, and for farmed duck and geese products was very low with medium uncertainty. The likelihood of infection for people in the UK from handling and consuming hen table eggs was very low with low uncertainty. The uncertainty rankings relate to the differing amounts of data available for each group of poultry products. The severity of illness in humans from AI infection was considered high with medium uncertainty. The conclusions of this risk assessment for UK consumers largely reflected advice and assessments from other countries and previous UK assessments. Given this, current guidance for handling and consuming poultry products was considered appropriate despite the increase in infections in birds during the 2021/22 and 2022/23 avian flu seasons. Since AI viruses were considered generally, these risk characterisations may need to be revisited based on evidence specific to a circulating virus to support risk management decisions.

Screening for emerging chemical risks in the food chain (SCREENER)

Abstract In the European Union, all chemical substances that are manufactured, imported or used in tonnages equal or higher than one tonne per year must be registered under the REACH regulation. This regulatory framework requires the collection and dissemination of detailed information on the properties, uses, and potential health and environmental impacts of chemicals. However, some of these chemicals may pose emerging risks in the food chain, necessitating the development of approaches to identify and assess such risks. The SCREENER project addressed this critical issue by analysing food items for the presence of chemicals that may pose unrecognised hazards. Building on the findings from the previous REACH 1 and REACH 2 projects, which identified a suspect list of 212 chemicals, qualitative multi‐residue high‐resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS) methods have been developed. Diverse food items such as wheat flour, kale, carrots, potatoes, peas, strawberries, oranges, meat, hen's eggs, and trout were pooled from 3 samples each, while cow's milk, and other fish types (salmon and herring) were pooled from 4 samples each to form a single sample. This pooling procedure resulted in 194 analytical samples, which were screened for the presence of the chemicals in the suspect list. Additionally, non‐target analysis (NTA) was performed on the same samples, focusing on detecting halogenated compounds. The aim was to detect substances potentially introduced into the food chain unintentionally through industrial and anthropogenic activities, which were previously unrecognised in the food chain. In the final stage of the project, 15 chemicals were further prioritized for identification and quantitative analysis. Quantitative methods were developed and then applied to the same 194 samples, allowing for the identification and quantification of those chemicals. Subsequently, hazard characterization, exposure assessment, and risk characterisation were conducted. A preliminary characterization of the potential risk posed by the chemicals found in the samples during quantitative confirmatory analysis indicated no risk to human health in all but three cases where additional analysis on occurrence and detailed evaluation of the hazard can be considered as a possible follow‐up action in the future.

Update of the scientific opinion on tetrabromobisphenol A (TBBPA) and its derivatives in food.

The European Commission asked EFSA to update its 2011 risk assessment on tetrabromobisphenol A (TBBPA) and five derivatives in food. Neurotoxicity and carcinogenicity were considered as the critical effects of TBBPA in rodent studies. The available evidence indicates that the carcinogenicity of TBBPA occurs via non-genotoxic mechanisms. Taking into account the new data, the CONTAM Panel considered it appropriate to set a tolerable daily intake (TDI). Based on decreased interest in social interaction in male mice, a lowest observed adverse effect level (LOAEL) of 0.2 mg/kg body weight (bw) per day was identified and selected as the reference point for the risk characterisation. Applying the default uncertainty factor of 100 for inter- and intraspecies variability, and a factor of 3 to extrapolate from the LOAEL to NOAEL, a TDI for TBBPA of 0.7 μg/kg bw per day was established. Around 2100 analytical results for TBBPA in food were used to estimate dietary exposure for the European population. The most important contributors to the chronic dietary LB exposure to TBBPA were fish and seafood, meat and meat products and milk and dairy products. The exposure estimates to TBBPA were all below the TDI, including those estimated for breastfed and formula-fed infants. Accounting for the uncertainties affecting the assessment, the CONTAM Panel concluded with 90%-95% certainty that the current dietary exposure to TBBPA does not raise a health concern for any of the population groups considered. There were insufficient data on the toxicity of any of the TBBPA derivatives to derive reference points, or to allow a comparison with TBBPA that would support assignment to an assessment group for the purposes of combined risk assessment.

Risk assessment of small organoarsenic species in food.

The European Commission asked EFSA for a risk assessment on small organoarsenic species in food. For monomethylarsonic acid MMA(V), decreased body weight resulting from diarrhoea in rats was identified as the critical endpoint and a BMDL10 of 18.2 mg MMA(V)/kg body weight (bw) per day (equivalent to 9.7 mg As/kg bw per day) was calculated as a reference point (RP). For dimethylarsinic acid DMA(V), increased incidence in urinary bladder tumours in rats was identified as the critical endpoint. A BMDL10 of 1.1 mg DMA(V)/kg bw per day (equivalent to 0.6 mg As/kg bw per day) was calculated as an RP. For other small organoarsenic species, the toxicological data are insufficient to identify critical effects and RPs, and they could not be included in the risk assessment. For both MMA(V) and DMA(V), the toxicological database is incomplete and a margin of exposure (MOE) approach was applied for risk characterisation. The highest chronic dietary exposure to DMA(V) was estimated in 'Toddlers', with rice and fish meat as the main contributors across population groups. For MMA(V), the highest chronic dietary exposures were estimated for high consumers of fish meat and processed/preserved fish in 'Infants' and 'Elderly' age class, respectively. For MMA(V), an MOE of ≥ 500 was identified not to raise a health concern. For MMA(V), all MOEs were well above 500 for average and high consumers and thus do not raise a health concern. For DMA(V), an MOE of 10,000 was identified as of low health concern as it is genotoxic and carcinogenic, although the mechanisms of genotoxicity and its role in carcinogenicity of DMA(V) are not fully elucidated. For DMA(V), MOEs were below 10,000 in many cases across dietary surveys and age groups, in particular for some 95th percentile exposures. The Panel considers that this would raise a health concern.

Risks assessment to the health of the population in the area of emissions pollutants influence of carbon graphite production enterprises

Risk assessment of the impact of the enterprise's activities on the environment includes risk assessment of the impact of the activity on the health of the population. Risk as the probability of undesirable events is an integral component of any person's life. Risk characterization integrates data on the danger of the analyzed chemical substances, the amount of exposure, parameters of "dose-response" dependence, with the aim of quantitative and qualitative assessment of risk, identification and assessment of the comparative significance of existing problems for the health of the population. In scientific terms, hazard identification is the process of establishing a causal relationship between the action of a chemical substance and the development of adverse effects on human health. The main goal of the hazard identification stage is the selection of priority, indicator chemical substances, the study of which allows to reliably characterize the sources of occurrence and the level of risk of public health impairment. Assessment of dose-response relationships is a process of quantitative characterization of toxicological information and establishment of a relationship between the likely influencing dose (concentration) of a pollutant and the incidence of adverse events in the exposed population. Characteristics of "dose-response" dependence, which are most often used to assess carcinogenic risk, have been sufficiently studied in epidemiological studies. Among them is the factor of carcinogenic potential (ICS), which reflects the probability of the development of a harmful reaction when the dose (concentration) increases by 1 mg/kg or 1 mg/m3 per exposure level, associated with a certain probability of effect (the indicators of this group are used for establishment of reference, i.e., reference doses and concentrations). The individual carcinogenic risk characterizes the upper limit of possible carcinogenic risk during the period corresponding to the average life expectancy of a person (70 years). Today, in the world, the classification and assessment of the acceptable risk to the health of the population caused by the chemical influence of chemical substances that pollute the environment is quite wide. the system of acceptance criteria recommended by WHO is used. In accordance with these criteria, the first range of risk (individual lifetime risk equal to or less than 1·10-6, which also corresponds to an additional case of serious illness or death per 1 million exposed persons) characterizes such levels of risk as are perceived by all strata population as quite small, which do not differ from ordinary everyday risks (De minimas level). Such risks do not require additional measures to reduce them and their levels are subject to periodic control. The second range (greater than 1·10-6 and less than 1·10-4) corresponds to the zone of conditionally accepted (acceptable) risk. It is at this level that most of the foreign and recommended by international organizations hygienic standards for the population as a whole are established. Levels of suitable risk belong to constant control. The third range (greater than 1·10-4 and less than 1·10-3) is suitable for professionals and unsuitable for the general population. The emergence of such a level of risk requires the development and implementation of planned health measures. The fourth range (equal to or greater than 1·10-3) is unsuitable neither for the population nor for professionals. This range is designated as De manifestis Risk, and when it is reached, it is necessary to carry out emergency health measures to reduce the risk on the part of the city authorities. During the assessment of the risk to the health of the population of Zaporizhzhia from the emissions of PJSC "Ukrgrafit", priority pollutants were identified: carbon oxides, nitrogen oxides, sulfur oxides, substances in the form of suspended solid particles of undifferentiated composition. Hazard indices were determined for individual HQ substances (non-carcinogenic risks) and in the case of combined exposure to HI, individual carcinogenic risks (ICR) and combined exposure (CRa) were calculated. Assessment of long-term effects (at the level of average annual concentration) on human health of the investigated substances. allowing to assess the chronic inhalation effect of the occurrence of negative effects in the health of the exposed population during the lifetime for the assessment and characterization of multistage risk showed that the hazard indices (HQ) do not exceed the norms.

A Molecular Characterization of the Allelic Expression of the BRCA1 Founder Δ9-12 Pathogenic Variant and Its Potential Clinical Relevance in Hereditary Cancer.

Hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) syndrome is a genetic condition that increases the risk of breast cancer by 80% and that of ovarian cancer by 40%. The most common pathogenic variants (PVs) causing HBOC occur in the BRCA1 gene, with more than 3850 reported mutations in the gene sequence. The prevalence of specific PVs in BRCA1 has increased across populations due to the effect of founder mutations. Therefore, when a founder mutation is identified, it becomes key to improving cancer risk characterization and effective screening protocols. The only founder mutation described in the Mexican population is the deletion of exons 9 to 12 of BRCA1 (BRCA1Δ9-12), and its description focuses on the gene sequence, but no transcription profiles have been generated for individuals who carry this gene. In this study, we describe the transcription profiles of cancer patients and healthy individuals who were heterozygous for PV BRCA1Δ9-12 by analyzing the differential expression of both alleles compared with the homozygous BRCA1 control group using RT-qPCR, and we describe the isoforms produced by the BRCA1 wild-type and BRCA1Δ9-12 alleles using nanopore long-sequencing. Using the Kruskal-Wallis test, our results showed a similar transcript expression of the wild-type allele between the healthy heterozygous group and the homozygous BRCA1 control group. An association between the recurrence and increased expression of both alleles in HBOC patients was also observed. An analysis of the sequences indicated four wild-type isoforms with diagnostic potential for discerning individuals who carry the PV BRCA1Δ9-12 and identifying which of them has developed cancer.

A process-led approach to framing uncertainty and risk in CO 2 storage in the subsurface

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) requires the safe, long-term storage of CO 2 in the subsurface. This challenges subsurface practitioners to build on and adapt many of the techniques and processes developed for hydrocarbon exploration and production to create innovative approaches to assessing CO 2 storage risk and uncertainty. A wide-ranging and integrated understanding of the processes controlling CO 2 behaviour in the subsurface is required to facilitate effective risk identification and characterization. In this paper we explore the different physical processes acting within storage formations and their evolution throughout the injection project life cycle to illustrate key controls on CO 2 plume behaviour and frame risk identification and characterization. An approach applying wide-reaching premortem risk identification coupled with evidence-led uncertainty characterization is described to frame inputs for detailed risk characterization and management activity during early screening of prospects for CO 2 storage.

IMG-11. RADIOGENOMIC ANALYSIS INFORMS ON IMMUNOLOGICAL PROFILES, PROGNOSIS, AND TREATMENT RESPONSE IN PEDIATRIC LOW-GRADE GLIOMA

Abstract BACKGROUND Pediatric low-grade gliomas (pLGGs) have variable prognosis and treatment responses. Complete resection cannot be achieved for all tumors, especially for highly infiltrative or deep-seated tumors, necessitating additional therapy, from chemotherapy to targeted inhibitors. We integrated imaging-derived phenotypes with genotypic traits from transcriptional analysis, offering an in-depth characterization of pLGG immune microenvironment, progression risk, and likelihood of multiple treatments. METHODS Analyzing 549 treatment-naïve pLGGs with multiparametric MRI and RNA sequencing, we identified distinct immunological groups using XCell scores based on immune cell infiltration. We developed a radiomic signature using conventional MRI and machine learning techniques (support vector machines with a linear kernel and nested cross-validation) to distinguish the ‘immune-hot’ group, and incorporated diffusion MRI to improve signature accuracy. Additionally, a clinicoradiomic model predicting tumor progression risk and treatment response was trained, integrating clinical and radiomic data. Transcriptomic analysis was conducted to identify pathways correlated with clinicoradiomic risk, predictive of pLGG progression. RESULTS Three immunological groups were revealed, the ‘immune-hot’ group characterized by poor prognosis due to a high concentration of pro-tumorigenic M2-polarized macrophages, despite a higher preponderance of T-lymphocytes. The radiomic signature effectively distinguished the ‘immune-hot’ group with balanced accuracies of 76.8%/86.0% in discovery/replication sets, improved by diffusion MRI to 81.5%/84.4%. The clinicoradiomic model showed concordance indices of 0.71 (discovery) and 0.77 (replication), predicting patient progression risk. Significant differences (p=0.0010) were found in clinicoradiomic risk scores between patients undergoing one versus multiple treatments post-diagnosis, linking higher scores to a likelihood of multiple treatments. Transcriptomic pathways associated with higher clinicoradiomic risk highlighted the importance of fatty acid oxidation, a tumor-promoting mechanism that drives adaptive resistance to cytolytic immune cell effectors. CONCLUSIONS This first large-scale radiogenomic analysis in pLGGs aids in prognostication, assessing progression risk, predicting treatment response to standard-of-care therapies, and stratification of patients to identify potential candidates for novel therapies targeting aberrantly regulated pathways.

Microbiological Risk Assessment of High-Demand Food from Three Major Cities in Ecuador

The current study was carried out to estimate the risk of disease probability from the consumption of foods such as meats, poultry, unpasteurized cheeses, fruit-based drinks, ready-to-eat fruits, and typical preparations such as Encebollado, ceviche, and Bolón de Verde contaminated with Salmonella, Escherichia coli and Listeria monocytogenes in Ecuador using a quantitative microbiological risk assessment (QMRA). A first-order Monte Carlo simulation probabilistic distribution approach was adopted to assess the occurrence of pathogens in the tested foods. 27 The scenario was simulated using the concentration levels concerning the contaminant and food consumption obtained through an online survey with a sample size of 202 people. A model (100,000 iterations) was run and created in an Excel spreadsheet using @Risk software. The results obtained are the risk of infection (possibilities of becoming infected by eating the food evaluated) and the contaminant dose per portion consumed. Additionally, an exponential model with a single dose was used for risk characterization to determine the probability of becoming ill from contaminated food. The QMRA model performed a prediction for the mean risk of Salmonella infection from ground beef consumption of 1.33 E - 04 log 10 cfu / serving, while the exponential model estimated a value of 1.0 log cfu - serving. In the case of Listeria monocytogenes, the QMRA estimated an average probability of infection in unpasteurized fresh cheese of 5.9E-05 compared to the average disease risk estimated in the risk characterization for L. monocytogenes of 9.50E-13. The QMRA estimated an average risk of infection by E. coli for Encebollado and ceviches of 5.6E -03 compared to the average risk of disease estimated in the risk characterization for Escherichia coli of 0.387 log cfu -ration. These results suggest the need to adopt effective mitigation strategies. Control parameters such as temperature during the supply chain and good hygiene practices during manufacturing can effectively control food-associated pathogens. More data is necessary toimprove the evaluation of the risk developed. Keywords: Microbiological risk análisis, Infectious biological agents (Salmonella, Listeria monocytogenes, Escherichia coli), QMRA (Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment), Typical foods in Ecuador, Population food consumption in three main cities of Ecuador.

Microbiological Risk Assessment of High-Demand Food from Three Major Cities in Ecuador

The current study was carried out to estimate the risk of disease probability from the consumption of foods such as meats, poultry, unpasteurized cheeses, fruit-based drinks, ready-to-eat fruits, and typical preparations such as Encebollado, ceviche, and Bolón de Verde contaminated with Salmonella, Escherichia coli and Listeria monocytogenes in Ecuador using a quantitative microbiological risk assessment (QMRA). A first-order Monte Carlo simulation probabilistic distribution approach was adopted to assess the occurrence of pathogens in the tested foods. The scenario was simulated using the concentration levels concerning the contaminant and food consumption obtained through an online survey with a sample size of 202 people. A model (100,000 iterations) was run and created in an Excel spreadsheet using @Risk software. The results obtained are the risk of infection (possibilities of becoming infected by eating the food evaluated) and the contaminant dose per portion consumed. Additionally, an exponential model with a single dose was used for risk characterization to determine the probability of becoming ill from contaminated food. The QMRA model performed a prediction for the mean risk of Salmonella infection from ground beef consumption of 1.33 E - 04 log 10 cfu / serving, while the exponential model estimated a value of 1.0 log cfu - serving. In the case of Listeria monocytogenes, the QMRA estimated an average probability of infection in unpasteurized fresh cheese of 5.9E-05 compared to the average disease risk estimated in the risk characterization for L. monocytogenes of 9.50E-13. The QMRA estimated an average risk of infection by E. coli for Encebollado and ceviches of 5.6E -03 compared to the average risk of disease estimated in the risk characterization for Escherichia coli of 0.387 log cfu -ration. These results suggest the need to adopt effective mitigation strategies. Control parameters such as temperature during the supply chain and good hygiene practices during manufacturing can effectively control food-associated pathogens. More data is necessary toimprove the evaluation of the risk developed. Keywords: Microbiological risk análisis, Infectious biological agents (Salmonella, Listeria monocytogenes, Escherichia coli), QMRA (Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment), Typical foods in Ecuador, Population food consumption in three main cities of Ecuador.

Dietary exposure from food colours by Brazilian adolescents using the ERICA 2013–2014 food consumption database

Colouring food additives are added for the purpose of restoring, intensifying or imparting colour. Although food colours exposure estimates are available in Brazil, no comprehensive assessments were found covering all food colours allowed in the country and no study considered consumption data from ERICA (Study of Cardiovascular Risks in Adolescents), which covers data from more than 70,000 Brazilian students from 12 to 17 years old. This study estimated dietary exposure to 33 food colours authorized in Brazil and for which numerical safety values have been established, followed by risk characterization. Consumption data were obtained from two days dietary recalls applied to students in public and private schools from Brazilian cities with more than 100,000 residents. Exposure estimates were performed in two scenarios: mean and high exposures levels, undertaking conservative assumptions. Estimates were compared with the Acceptable Daily Intake (ADI) values established by the Joint FAO/WHO Expert Committee on Food Additives (JECFA). Prioritization for future risk assessment was made based on ADI exceedance, with 14 colours as a low priority, 10 as a medium and 9 as a high priority. For high priority food colours, refined estimates are encouraged to evaluate more precisely real exposures and the need of implementation of management actions to reduce exposure.

On the need to avoid apple-to-orange comparisons in microplastic research

Here, we discuss several key issues in the recent microplastic risk assessment conducted by Hataley et al. (2023. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Scie 80 (10): 1669-1678) for the Great Lakes ecosystem. First, we note that the risk characterizations are incorrect due to errors in parameterizations of the calculations necessary to align exposure and effects data, as well as the corrections for bioaccessibility cutoffs. Second, the lack of quantification of uncertainty in the risk assessment raises concerns. Previous assessments that employed similar methods addressed uncertainties arising from the calculations, revealing that the probabilistic uncertainty inherent in risk characterization can span significant magnitudes. Third, we highlight the problematic use of species sensitivity distributions (SSDs) designed for marine systems in a freshwater context. We emphasize the importance of utilizing SSDs that incorporate relevant freshwater species data, and identify recent studies that provide such data for use in future risk assessments. Based on a previously published assessment, we suggest initiating measures to reduce the release of plastic debris into the watershed and advise research, monitoring, and mitigative strategies to address potential threats to water quality.

Characterisation of negative social impact risks within pre-deployment carbon dioxide utilisation projects

As the youngest of the three sub-fields within sustainability assessment, development of social impact assessment lags behind life cycle and techno-economic assessments. This is manifested in comparatively lacking methodological maturity. The calculation of impact indicator results, achieved through the use of characterisation models, is a prime example of the field’s immaturity. This research initially identifies current methodologies observed within social impact assessment. This reveals that impact pathway characterisation models, analogous to those seen in life cycle assessment, have primarily been neglected; instead, research has been focused on less reproducible and more subjective reference scale approaches. Redressing this balance, a set of seven UNEP and SETAC indicators are evaluated, developing novel impact pathway-based characterisation models. Focussing on the effects of stimulating and de-stimulating factors on indicators, identifying hotspots where negative social impacts are likely to arise. The presented methodologies are tailored to applications involving the assessment of potential carbon dioxide utilisation (CDU) value chains. This focus results in open access characterisation models that are indiscriminate of technology readiness level, requiring no primary process data. Data from the World Bank and its partner organisations are utilised, generating complete results across all indicators for 129 countries. Development of these quantifiable characterisation models delivers significant value in the standardisation of assessment procedure and facilitates inter-assessment comparability, a benefit to stakeholders ranging from practitioners to commissioners.

Time Is Ripe for Targeting Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances-Induced Hormesis: Global Aquatic Hotspots and Implications for Ecological Risk Assessment.

Globally implemented ecological risk assessment (ERA) guidelines marginalize hormesis, a biphasic dose-response relationship characterized by low-dose stimulation and high-dose inhibition. The present study illuminated the promise of hormesis as a scientific dose-response model for ERA of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) represented by perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctanesulfonic acid (PFOS). A total of 266 hormetic dose-response relationships were recompiled from 1237 observations, covering 30 species from nine representative taxonomic groups. The standardized hormetic amplitudes followed the log-normal probability distribution, being subject to the limits of biological plasticity but independent of stress inducers. The SHapley Additive exPlanations algorithm revealed that the target endpoint was the most important variable explaining the hormetic amplitudes. Subsequently, quantitative frameworks were established to incorporate hormesis into the predicted no-effect concentration levels, with a lower induction dose and a zero-equivalent point but a broader hormetic zone for PFOS. Realistically, 10,117 observed concentrations of PFOA and PFOS were gathered worldwide, 4% of which fell within hormetic zones, highlighting the environmental relevance of hormesis. Additionally, the hormesis induction potential was identified in other legacy and emerging PFAS as well as their alternatives and mixtures. Collectively, it is time to incorporate the hormesis concept into PFAS studies to facilitate more realistic risk characterizations.

Ecological risk evaluation of spent engine oil pollution using earthworm and microbial bioassays

The study aimed to assess the ecotoxicological risk associated with the indiscriminate disposal of spent engine oil on terrestrial ecosystem using earthworm and microbial assays. Soil samples were collected from a depth of 0-20 cm and subjected to standard analytical protocols for analysis. Earthworms (assessed by mortality rate) and microorganisms (evaluated for inhibitory effects) covered a wide range of short-term lethal and sub-lethal endpoints used for risk characterization, analyzed through Probit analysis. The result of acute toxicity assay revealed that microbial absorbance rated depended on the dose and type of organism, ranking in the order: Acinetobacter > Enterobacter > Bacillus species >Pseudomonas. Aas oil concentratoin increase, mortality among earthworm was observed. Risk Quotient (RQ) values for Zea mays, Vigna unguiculata, Glycine max and earthworm varied from low to very high risk based on estimated Predicted No Effect Concentration (PNEC) values. Microorganisms exhibited differing level of biotolerance to spent engine oil exposure as indicated by respective risk quotient values. Exposure to spent engine oil posed minimal risk to Pseudomonas sp., Bacillus sp., and Acinetobacter sp., with RQ values below unity (< 1). Conversely, Enterobacter sp. Showed a high risk with values above unity. Earthworms play a pivotal role in agriculture due to their numerous economic benefots. Soil microorganisms are essential for maintening soil quality by performing vital processes. The antimicrobial properties of spent engine oil on soil may distort microbial activities, potentially inhibiting their growth and leading to alterations in ecological functionality of the soil.

Drinking water sources, quality, and associated health outcomes in Appalachian Virginia: A risk characterization study in two counties

ObjectivesIn the US, violations of drinking water regulations are highest in lower-income rural areas overall, and particularly in Central Appalachia. However, data on drinking water use, quality, and associated health outcomes in rural Appalachia are limited. We sought to assess public and private drinking water sources and associated risk factors for waterborne pathogen exposures for individuals living in rural regions of Appalachian Virginia. MethodsWe administered surveys and collected tap water, bottled water, and saliva samples in lower-income households in two adjacent rural counties in southwest Virginia (bordering Kentucky and Tennessee). Water samples were tested for pH, temperature, conductivity, total coliforms, E. coli, free chlorine, nitrate, fluoride, heavy metals, and specific pathogen targets. Saliva samples were analyzed for antibody responses to potentially waterborne infections. We also shared water analysis results with households. ResultsWe enrolled 33 households (83 individuals), 82% (n = 27) with utility-supplied water and 18% with private wells (n = 3) or springs (n = 3). 58% (n = 19) reported household incomes of <$20,000/year. Total coliforms were detected in water samples from 33% (n = 11) of homes, E. coli in 12%, all with wells or springs (n = 4), and Aeromonas, Campylobacter, and Enterobacter in 9%, all spring water (n = 3). Diarrhea was reported for 10% of individuals (n = 8), but was not associated with E. coli detection. 34% (n = 15) of saliva samples had detectable antibody responses for Cryptosporidium spp., C. jejuni, and Hepatitis E. After controlling for covariates and clustering, individuals in households with septic systems and straight pipes had significantly higher likelihoods of antibody detection (risk ratios = 3.28, 95%CI = 1.01–10.65). ConclusionsTo our knowledge, this is the first study to collect and analyze drinking water samples, saliva samples, and reported health outcome data from low-income households in Central Appalachia. Our findings indicate that utility-supplied water in this region was generally safe, and individuals in low-income households without utility-supplied water or sewerage have higher exposures to waterborne pathogens.

Risk Characterization of Firms with ESG Attributes Using a Supervised Machine Learning Method

We examine the risk–return tradeoff of a portfolio of firms that have tangible environmental, social, and governance (ESG) attributes. We introduce a new type of penalized regression using the Mahalanobis distance-based method and show its usefulness using our sample of ESG firms. Our results show that ESG companies are exposed to financial state variables that capture the changes in investment opportunities. However, we find that there is no economically significant difference between the risk-adjusted returns of various ESG-rating-based portfolios and that the risk associated with a poor ESG rating portfolio is not significantly different than that of a good ESG rating portfolio. Although investors require return compensation for holding ESG stocks, the fact that the risk of a poor ESG rating portfolio is comparable to that of a good ESG rating portfolio suggests risk dimensions that go beyond ESG attributes. We further show that the new covariance-adjusted penalized regression improves the out-of-sample cross-sectional predictions of the ESG portfolio’s expected returns. Overall, our approach is pragmatic and based on the ease of an empirical appeal.

Comparative characterization of interleukin genotypes and risks of bronchial asthma phenotypes in children

The present paper analyses genetic predictors of various endotypes and phenotypes of bronchial asthma in children. The review of data on the structure and prevalence of single-nucleotide polymorphisms of interleukin genes demonstrates their correlation with the risk of virus-induced and allergen-induced phenotypes of bronchial asthma. Significant differences in genotypes correlate with aberrant production of interleukin and the risks for developing various phenotypes of the disease. The studies into genetic factors indicate the significance of functional polymorphisms of interleukin genes as predictors associated with phenotypes and risk of the disease.

Decabromodifenyl Ether (BDE-209) in Surface Soils from Warsaw and Surrounding Areas: Characterization of Non-Carcinogenic Risk Associated with Oral and Dermal Exposure.

Polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) have been used for many years as flame retardants. Due to their physicochemical and toxicological properties, they are considered to be persistent organic pollutants (POPs). BDE-209 is the main component of deca-BDE, the one PBDE commercial mixture currently approved for use in the European Union. The aim of this study was to analyse BDE-209 in surface soil samples from Warsaw and surrounding areas (Poland) as an indicator of environmental pollution with PBDEs, and to characterise the associated health risk. A total of 40 samples were analysed using gas chromatography with electron capture detection (GC-µECD). Concentrations of BDE-209 in soil ranged from 0.4 ng g-1 d.w. (limit of quantification) to 158 ng g-1 d.w. Overall, 52.5% of results were above the method's limit of quantification. The highest levels were found at several locations with heavy traffic and in the vicinity of a CHP plant in the city. The lowest concentrations were observed in most of the samples collected from low industrialized or green areas (<0.4 to 1.68 ng g-1 d.w.). Exposure to BDE-209 was estimated for one of the most sensitive populations, i.e., young children. The following exposure routes were selected: oral and dermal. No risk was found to young children's health.

Sarcopenic Obesity and Cardiovascular Disease: An Overlooked but High-Risk Syndrome.

Sarcopenic obesity (SO), defined as the coexistence of excess fat mass and reduced skeletal muscle mass and strength, has emerged as an important cardiovascular risk factor, particularly in older adults. This review summarizes recent findings on the diagnosis, prevalence, health impacts, and treatment of SO. Growing evidence suggests SO exacerbates cardiometabolic risk and adverse health outcomes beyond either condition alone; however, the heterogeneity in diagnostic criteria and the observational nature of most studies prohibit the evaluation of a causal relationship. This is concerning given that SO is increasing with the aging population, although that is also difficult to assess accurately given wide-ranging prevalence estimates. A recent consensus definition proposed by the European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism and the European Association for the Study of Obesity provides a framework of standardized criteria to diagnose SO. Adopting uniform diagnostic criteria for SO will enable more accurate characterization of prevalence and cardiometabolic risk moving forward. Although current management revolves around diet for weight loss coupled with resistance training to mitigate further muscle loss, emerging pharmacologic therapies have shown promising results. As the global population ages, diagnosing and managing SO will become imperative to alleviate the cardiovascular burden.