Risk Categories Research Articles

Coronary inflammation stratifies risk in patients undergoing coronary CT angiography: the Oxford Risk Factors and Non-Invasive Imaging (ORFAN) study

Abstract Background Patients with chest pain symptoms often undergo coronary CT angiography (CCTA) for the diagnosis of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) to guide revascularisation. However, acute cardiac events could occur in the absence of obstructive CAD. Further risk stratification of patients could potentially be useful by quantifying coronary inflammation using the Fat Attenuation Index (FAI) Score, and an artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted prognostic model that captures the inflammatory risk by integrating CCTA-derived metrics (including FAI Score and plaque burden) and the patient’s clinical risk factors. Purpose To evaluate the risk of cardiac events among patients without obstructive CAD, and the prognostic value of integrating coronary inflammation in risk stratifying this patient group. Methods From the Oxford Risk Factors and Non-invasive imaging (ORFAN) study, patients undergoing CCTA in 7 UK Hospitals (n=40,091) were followed up for the incidence of cardiac mortality over a median(IQR) of 2.7(1.4-5.3) years. In a nested cohort of 3,393 patients with long-term follow up, we evaluated the long-term prognostic value of FAI Score and the performance of AI-Risk algorithm over a median(IQR) follow up of 7.7(6.4-9.1) years. Reclassification of risk category from AI-Risk was compared with contemporary clinical risk score (QRISK3). Results Patients without obstructive CAD (n=32,533, 81.1%) accounted for 63.7% of all cardiac deaths (n=1,754) during follow up, highlighting the substantial proportion of cardiac events in absolute terms given a large proportion of patients without obstructive CAD. In the nested cohort with long-term follow up, FAI Score in any of the 3 epicardial coronary arteries was significantly associated with cardiac mortality with or without obstructive CAD. In the whole cohort, the highest quartile of FAI Score in LAD showed 20-times higher risk of cardiac death compared with the lowest quartile (Panel A). Integrating coronary inflammation with clinical risk factors and plaque burden, patients with very-high AI-Risk classification showed 6-fold higher risk of cardiac mortality compared to low/medium risk, with good alignment of the incident predicted events from AI-Risk and observed events. (Panel B) The predicted cardiac mortality from AI-Risk also demonstrated good calibration with the observed events in the whole population. (Panel C) Finally, AI-Risk significantly reclassify the risk above clinical risk factor-based prediction (QRISK3) (Panel D). Conclusion Patients with high coronary inflammation measured by FAI Score showed significantly elevated risk for cardiac mortality. The AI-enabled absolute risk prediction algorithm leads to significant reclassification of patients undergoing routine CCTA, and can be used as a precision medicine tool.

Defining high risk in the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome and associated cardiovascular disease outcomes

Abstract Background The American Heart Association (AHA) recently developed the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome construct with stages 0-4 to comprehensively characterize the spectrum of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk [1]. CKM Stage 3 is defined by subclinical CVD or high (≥20%) estimated 10-year CVD risk according to the newly-derived PREVENT models [2]. However, within CKM Stage 3, the burden of subclinical atherosclerosis equivalent to a ≥20% estimated CVD risk, and long-term CVD outcomes associated with CKM Stage 3, are not known. Purpose To (1) characterize the distribution of subclinical atherosclerosis by coronary artery calcium (CAC) according to PREVENT estimated CVD risk categories, and (2) quantify long-term CVD risk associated with CKM Stage 3, in two international cohorts of adults without prior CVD. Methods In participants of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA, age 45-84 years) and the Rotterdam Study (age ≥55 years), the burden of CAC was calculated across estimated 10-year CVD risk (low, 0 to <5%; borderline 5 to <7.5%; intermediate, 7.5 to <20%; high, ≥20%). Participants were categorized into CKM stages according to CVD risk factors (body mass index, waist circumference, glycemic status, blood pressure, lipids, kidney function), estimated 10-year CVD risk (by AHA PREVENT model), and presence of CAC. The association of CKM syndrome stage with fatal or nonfatal CVD outcomes was evaluated with covariate-adjusted proportional hazards regression. Results Among 6,123 MESA participants (52% female, mean age 61.4 years) and 1,691 Rotterdam Study participants (46% female, mean age 67.1 years), the distribution of CAC across absolute 10-year CVD risk categories is shown in Figure 1. In high (≥20%) CVD risk adults, CAC score ≥100 was present in 50% of MESA participants and 48% of Rotterdam Study participants. Most participants were classified as CKM Stage 3 (53% in MESA, 83% in Rotterdam). Over a median follow-up of 17.5 years in MESA, CVD events occurred in 5% of CKM Stage 0, 6% of Stage 1, 9% of Stage 2, and 26% of Stage 3 participants. Over a median follow-up of 10.2 years in the Rotterdam Study, CVD events occurred in 0% of CKM Stage 0 and 1, 8% of Stage 2, and 17% of Stage 3 participants (Figure 2). The risk of total CVD was significantly higher in CKM Stage 3 participants relative to CKM Stage 0-2 (MESA: adjusted HR 2.74, 95% CI 2.32, 3.23; Rotterdam: adjusted HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.34, 3.54). Conclusions In an international, multi-ethnic sample of middle-aged adults, adults with high (≥20%) absolute 10-year CVD risk by PREVENT had substantial burden of CAC. Adults in CKM Stage 3 had approximately 2.2- to 2.7-times higher risk for CVD, compared with adults in lower CKM stages. Accounting for estimated CVD risk and burden of cardiovascular, kidney, and metabolic risk factors informs prevention of subclinical and clinical CVD.

Mitigating health disparities by improving access to catheter-based therapies for vulnerable patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Abstract Introduction This study explores the implementation and outcomes of catheter-based thrombectomy (CBT) in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) within a safety-net hospital (SNH), addressing a critical gap in the literature concerning CBT in underserved and vulnerable populations. Methods This is a retrospective study of patients undergoing CBT between October 2020 and January 2024 at a SNH. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. Results A total of 107 patients (47.6% female, mean age 58.4 years) underwent CBT for acute PE, with 23 (21.5%) high-risk and 84 (78.9%) intermediate-risk PE. Demographically, 64% identified as Black, 10% White, 19% Hispanic or Latino, and 5% Asian. In terms of insurance coverage, 50% had private insurance or Medicare, 36% had Medicaid, and 14% were uninsured. Notably, 67% of the patients resided in high poverty rate zip codes and 11% were non-citizen non-residents. Markers of risk severity, such as biomarkers (troponin, BNP), PE risk classification (high versus intermediate-risk), rates of low CI, lactate level, CPES/sPESI score, and rates of RV dysfunction did not vary significantly across race/ethnic groups, insurance status, level of poverty and citizenship status. Over a median follow up period of 30 days, 6 (5.6%) patients expired (all high-risk PE), 3 of which presented with cardiac arrest. No patients who presented with intermediate-risk PE died at 30 days. There was no difference in 30-day mortality based on race, insurance type, poverty level or citizenship status. Conclusion The findings emphasize the feasibility and success of implementing PERT and CBT at a SNH, offering a potential model to address healthcare disparities in acute PE on a broader scale.

Development of a Flexible Information Security Risk Model Using Machine Learning Methods and Ontologies

This paper presents a significant advancement in information security risk assessment by introducing a flexible and comprehensive model. The research integrates established standards, expert knowledge, machine learning, and ontological modeling to create a multifaceted approach for understanding and managing information security risks. The combination of standards and expert insights forms a robust foundation, ensuring a holistic grasp of the intricate risk landscape. The use of cluster analysis, specifically applying k-means on information security standards, expands the data-driven approach, uncovering patterns not discernible through traditional methods. The integration of machine learning algorithms in the creation of information security risk dendrogram demonstrates effective computational techniques for enhanced risk discovery. The introduction of a heat map as a visualization tool adds innovation, facilitating an intuitive understanding of risk interconnections and prioritization for decision makers. Additionally, a thesaurus optimizes risk descriptions, ensuring comprehensiveness and relevance despite evolving terminologies in the dynamic field of information security. The development of an ontological model for structured risk classification is a significant stride forward, offering an effective means of categorizing information security risks based on ontological relationships. These collective innovations enhance understanding and management of information security risks, paving the way for more effective approaches in the ever-evolving technological landscape.

Adding ethnicity to cardiovascular risk prediction: external validation and model updating of SCORE2 using data from the multiethnic HELIUS population cohort

Abstract Background Current prediction models for mainland Europe do not include ethnicity, despite ethnic disparities in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Purpose We evaluated the performance of SCORE2 across the largest ethnic groups in the Netherlands with and without the factor of ethnicity. Methods We linked data from 11,614 participants enrolled between 2011 and 2015 in the prospective, multi-ethnic HELIUS cohort study, the Netherlands, aged between 40 and 70 years without CVD with hospital data. Variables (age, sex, smoking status, blood pressure, cholesterol) and outcome first CVD event (myocardial infarction, stroke, CVD death) were consistent with SCORE2. We used Fine and Gray models to calculate sub-distribution hazard ratios (SHR) for South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin groups, relative to the Dutch origin group, on top of individual SCORE2 risk predictions. Model performance was evaluated by discrimination, calibration and net reclassification index (NRI). Results Overall, 274 fatal and non-fatal CVD events, and 146 non-cardiovascular deaths were observed during a median of 7.8 years follow-up (IQR 6.8–8.8). SHRs for CVD events were 1.86 (95% CI 1.31-2.65, p=0.0005) for the South-Asian Surinamese, 1.09 (95% CI 0.76-1.56) for the African-Surinamese, 1.48 (95% CI 0.94-2.31) for the Ghanaian, 1.63 (95% CI 1.09-2.44, p=0.018) for the Turkish, and 0.67 (95% CI 0.39-1.18) for the Moroccan origin groups. Adding ethnicity to SCORE2 led to comparable calibration and discrimination [0.76 (0.74-0.79) vs. 0.77 (95% CI 0.74-0.78)]. The NRI for adding ethnicity to SCORE2 was 0.24 (95% CI 0.18-0.31) for events and -0.12 (95% CI -0.13--0.12) for non-events. Conclusion Adding ethnic backgrounds improves risk classification of the SCORE2 risk prediction model in a middle-aged, multi-ethnic Dutch population, which may help to address disparities in CVDs through timely treatment.

Validation and refinement of the 2022 European LeukaemiaNet genetic risk classification of acute myeloid leukaemia patients receiving allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation.

Validation and refinement of the 2022 European LeukaemiaNet genetic risk classification of acute myeloid leukaemia patients receiving allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation.

Preoperative Briganti Nomogram Score and Risk of Prostate Cancer Progression After Robotic Surgery Beyond EAU Risk Categories

Background and Objectives: We sought to investigate whether the 2012 Briganti nomogram may represent a potential prognostic factor of prostate cancer (PCa) progression after surgical treatment beyond European Association of Urology (EAU) risk categories. Materials and Methods: From January 2013 to December 2021, data on PCa patients treated with robot-assisted radical prostatectomy at a single tertiary referral center were extracted. The 2012 version of the Briganti nomogram assessing the risk of pelvic lymph node invasion was used. Here, the nomogram score was evaluated both as a continuous and a categorical variable. The association between variables and disease progression after surgery was evaluated through Cox regression models. Results: Overall, 1047 patients were identified. According to the EAU classification system, 297 (28.4%) patients were low-risk, 527 (50.3%) intermediate-risk, and 223 (21.3%) high-risk. The median (interquartile range) 2012 Briganti nomogram score within the investigated population was 3% (2–8%). Median (95% Confidence Interval [CI]) follow-up was 95 (91.9–112.4) months. Disease progression occurred in 237 (22.6%) patients, who were more likely to have an increasing 2012 Briganti nomogram score (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.03; 95%CI: 1.01–1.81; p = 0.015), independently of unfavorable issues at clinical presentation. Moreover, the nomogram score stratified according to tertiles (<3% vs. 3–8% vs. ≥8%) hold significance beyond EAU risk categories: accordingly, the risk of disease progression increased as the score increased from the first (reference) to the second (HR: 1.50; 95%CI: 1.67–3.72; p < 0.001) up to the third (HR: 3.26; 95%CI: 2.26–4.72; p < 0.001) tertile. Conclusions: Beyond EAU risk categories, the 2012 Briganti nomogram represented an independent predictor of PCa progression after surgery. Likewise, as the nomogram score increased so patients were more likely to experience disease progression. Accordingly, it may allow further stratification of patients within each risk category to modulate appropriate treatment paradigms.

Office-based risk equation of Globorisk for prediction of ten-years cardiovascular risk among Iranian population: findings from Fasa PERSIAN cohort study

BackgroundGloborisk is one of the prediction tools for 10-year risk assessment of cardiovascular disease, featuring an office-based (non-laboratory-based) version. This version does not require laboratory tests for determining the CVD risk. The present study aims to determine the 10-year CVD risk using the office-based Globorisk model and factors associated with the 10-year CVD risk.MethodsIn this study, baseline data from 6810 individuals participating in the Fasa cohort study, with no history of CVD or stroke, were utilized. The risk equation of the office-based Globorisk model incorporates age, sex, systolic blood pressure (SBP), body mass index (BMI), and smoking status. The Globorisk model categorizes the risk into three groups: low risk (< 10%), moderate risk (10% to < 20%), and high risk (≥ 20%). To identify factors associated with the 10-year CVD risk, the predicted risk was categorized into two groups: <10% and ≥ 10%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to determine factors associated with an increased CVD risk.ResultsAccording to the 10-year CVD risk categorization, 78.3%, 16.4%, and 5.3% of men were in the low, moderate, and high risk groups, respectively, while 85.8%, 10.0%, and 4.2%, of women were in the respective risk groups. Multivariable logistic regression results indicated that in men, the 10-year CVD risk decreases with being an opium user, and increases with being illiterate, having abdominal obesity, and low or moderate physical activity compared to high physical activity. In women, being married, and higher fiber consumption decrease the 10-year CVD risk, while being illiterate, low or moderate physical activity compared to high physical activity, having abdominal obesity, opium use, and being in wealth quintiles 1 to 4 compared to quintile 5 increase the risk.ConclusionsConsidering the factors associated with increased CVD risk, there is a need to enhance awareness and modify lifestyle to mitigate and reduce the risk of CVD. Additionally, early identification of individuals at moderate to high risk is essential for preventing disease progression. The use of the office-based Globorisk model can be beneficial in settings where resources are limited for determining the 10-year CVD risk.

Increased Body Mass Index is Independently Associated with Chronic Kidney Disease among People with Type 2 Diabetes

Background The alarming increase in the prevalence of obesity has implications for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in type 2 diabetes (T2D). This study aimed to assess if increased body mass index (BMI) can be an independent risk factor for CKD and T2D in the Indian context. Materials and Methods In this cross-sectional study, 602 (M:F = 378:224) participants were screened using Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) from January to October 2023 in Chennai. Demographic, anthropometric, biochemical, clinical details, and comorbidities were recorded. T2D with CKD low risk was taken as control group, and CKD moderate and high risks were the study groups. BMI was classified based on the Asian criteria into normal (18.5–22.9), overweight (23–24.9), and obese (≥25 kg/m2). Results Majority of participants in moderate and high risk categories were obese compared to the low risk category (60.5% and 66.4% vs. 39.1%; p &lt; 0.001). A higher proportion of participants was on antihypertensive drugs in the high risk group and in the obese category (p &lt; 0.001). Comorbidities and diabetic complications were higher in the high risk group (p &lt; 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that age of ≥ 60 years [OR(95% CI); 6.3(2.2–18); p = 0.009]; increased BMI as overweight [3.6(2.1–6.3); p &lt; 0.001] and obese [5.2(3.3–8.3); p &lt; 0.001]; smoking [4.2(1.7–10.2); p = 0.002]; increased duration of diabetes of 5–15 years [2.3(1.2–4.5); p = 0.013], 16–25 years [4.8(2.2–10.4); p &lt; 0.001], and &gt;25 years [4.2(1.4–13); p = 0.011]; systolic blood pressure [1.01(1.0–1.03); p = 0.02]; and hemoglobin A1c [1.2(1.1–1.3); p &lt; 0.001] were independent risk factors for the progression of CKD. Conclusion Increased BMI was independently associated with CKD in T2D. Overweight and obese individuals are four to five times at risk for CKD progression. Early identification, lifestyle intervention, and weight-lowering drugs may reduce the complications of obesity in T2D and CKD.

Update on HPV-associated head and neck cancers-highlights of the 2024 ASCO Annual Meeting

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is becoming increasingly important in head and neck oncology. At this year's conference of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO), alarge number of papers were presented on the topic of HPV-associated HNSCC, particularly with regard to neoadjuvant treatment approaches, radiation de-escalation strategies, therapeutic vaccines, and treatment monitoring. In this context, study results on the treatment of HPV-related recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP) were also presented. Based on contributions to the 2024 ASCO Annual Meeting, an insight into the latest developments in HPV-associated diseases of the head and neck is provided. The papers were reviewed for clinical relevance and contextualized based on current therapeutic concepts. Alarge number of studies on liquid biopsies (LB) were presented. It was shown that although the methods for analyzing LBs for HPV-positive patients are well developed and can be used for diagnostics, risk classification, treatment management, or tumor follow-up, the methods vary considerably, and their clinical application has not yet been sufficiently validated. With regard to therapeutic HPV vaccination, three large studies were presented for the treatment of recurrent/metastatic HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). The only randomized study was on the vaccine ISA101b (peltopepimut-S) and did not reach its primary endpoint; however, the vaccine seemed to be highly effective in patients with a combined positive score (CPS) ≥ 20. Furthermore, data from aphaseIstudy on PRGN2012, an adenovirus-based immunotherapy used therapeutically for the treatment of recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP), were presented. PRGN2012 led to areduction in surgical interventions for RRP, and the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) designated PRGN2012 as abreakthrough therapy and orphan drug. However, the vaccine is not yet approved for the treatment of RRP.

Railway embankment failure trends and monitoring – lessons learned from the Anglia route

UK railways were constructed with little consideration of engineering practice and with climate change and the associated greater frequency of extreme weather events, comes the impact on earthworks stability and risk to public safety. Many embankments on Network Rail’s Anglia route have shown a gradual degradation through their steep upper slopes and progressive failure within predominantly clay embankment material and underlying soft deposits. A regional wholistic view allows identification of common geotechnical trends and risk categorisation to better enable prioritisation of asset management. Understanding when to intervene is crucial and monitoring the behaviour of earthworks is a vital asset management tool to control risk and extend lifespan. To be a wise investment, slope instrumentation must be properly thought out in line with a detailed interrogation of the site and alongside a well-developed conceptual model. Automated monitoring can bring greater control and allow more accurate evaluation of intervention but must be assessed in line with prioritising large areas with limited budgets. Correct targeting of ground investigation and ensuring sufficient and reliable data can optimise mitigation and provide confidence the solution has provided resilience to railway infrastructure.

Right ventricular-pulmonary artery coupling for prognostication in acute pulmonary embolism.

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) increases pulmonary pressure and impair right ventricular (RV) function. Echocardiographic investigation can quantify this mismatch as the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) ratio. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic capabilities of TAPSE/PASP ratio in patients with acute PE. We utilized the RIETE registry to analyze consecutive hemodynamically stable PE patients. We used multivariable logistic regression analyses to assess the association between the TAPSE/PASP ratio and 30-day all-cause mortality across the strata of European Society of Cardiology (ESC) risk categories. We included 4,478 patients, of whom 1,326 (30%) had low-risk, 2,425 (54%) intermediate-low risk, and 727 (16%) intermediate-high risk PE. Thirty-day mortality rates were 0.7%, 2.3% and 3.4%, respectively. Mean TAPSE/PASP ratio was 0.65±0.29 in low-risk patients, 0.46±0.30 in intermediate-low risk, and 0.33±0.19 in intermediate-high risk patients. In multivariable analyses, there was an inverse association between TAPSE/PASP ratio and 30-day mortality (adjusted OR 1.32 [95%CI 1.14-1.52] per 0.1 decrease in TAPSE/PASP). TAPSE/PASP ratio below optimal cut-points was associated with increased mortality in low- (<0.40, aOR: 5.88; 95%CI:1.63-21.2), intermediate-low (<0.43, aOR: 2.96; 95%CI:1.54-5.71) and intermediate-high risk patients (<0.34, aOR: 4.37; 95%CI:1.27-15.0). TAPSE/PASP <0.44 showed net reclassification improvement of 18.2% (95%CI:0.61-35.8) vs. RV/LV ratio >1, and 27.7% (95%CI:10.2-45.1) vs. ESC risk strata. Decreased TAPSE/PASP ratio was associated with increased mortality. The ratio may aid in clinical decision-making, particularly for intermediate-risk patients for whom the discriminatory capability of the current risk stratification tools is limited.

Comparative Analysis of Burn Injuries in Toddler and Preschool Children: Implications for Triage and Outcome Assessment.

This study aims to compare the demographic, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of burn injuries in toddler and preschool children, and to validate the American Burn Association (ABA) Burn Triage Decision Matrix in the Turkish pediatric population. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 684 pediatric burn patients (494 toddlers, 190 preschoolers) admitted to our burn center over a 5-year period. Variables including gender, burn etiology, burn area, depth, treatment modalities, complications, length of hospital stay, and mortality were analyzed. The performance of the ABA Burn Triage Decision Matrix was evaluated in both groups. Scalding was the predominant cause of burns in both groups, with a significant difference in the involvement of anterior trunk (p = 0.027). The mean Total Body Surface Area (TBSA) was comparable between the groups (p = 0.286). There was no significant difference in mortality rates (p = 0.385), treatment modalities, and complications. The ABA Burn Triage Decision Matrix demonstrated consistency in triaging the severity of burn injuries, with a notable discrepancy observed in the moderate risk category of toddler group. This study highlights the distinct characteristics and outcomes of burn injuries in different pediatric age groups. The ABA Burn Triage Decision Matrix's validation suggests its utility in enhancing triage accuracy and resource allocation in pediatric populations, especially in disaster-prone regions.

Recurrent pulmonary thromboembolism with cardiac tamponade as initial manifestations of lupus and antiphospholipid syndrome: a case report

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an inflammatory autoimmune disease with an important course due to systemic compromise. SLE is frequently associated with antiphospholipid syndrome, and pulmonary thromboembolism (PE) is particularly common. It is extremely rare for PE to be the initial clinical presentation and even more uncommon for it to coincide with cardiac tamponade, representing a challenge in diagnosis and management. We present a case of a 42-year-old woman with recurrent PE with severe pleural and pericardial effusion, hemodynamic instability, and cardiac tamponade. Laboratory workup revealed hypocomplementemia, leukopenia, negative SLE antibodies, and a positive lupus anticoagulant. This case emphasizes the importance of determining the etiology of PE, assessing risk classification, and implementing proper management, which are crucial for the patient's survival and outcome.

09 Penicillin allergy de-labeling: Adaptation of risk stratification tool for patients and families

Abstract Background Penicillin allergy is reported in 10% of the population, however, over 90% of patients are deemed non-allergic upon allergist assessment. A validated mobile penicillin allergy risk assessment tool was previously developed to help healthcare providers identify patients at low risk of penicillin allergy and de-label them. Objectives The goal of this quality improvement project is to validate a patient-driven version of the assessment tool. Design/Methods Patients 6 months to 18 years old and pregnant women referred to the institution’s allergy clinics for penicillin allergy assessment were invited to use the patient tool to complete a self-assessment prior to their appointment, resulting in the assignment of a risk category: allergic, high risk, low risk, or not allergic. At their appointment, the allergist conducted an assessment with the standardized validated tool. The risk categories determined using the patient tool were compared against the allergist assessment. Patients were provided satisfaction surveys. Results The allergist assessment and patient tool demonstrated agreement in 57/84 (67.9%, 95% CI [56.7%,77.4%]) assessments, intra-class correlation (ICC) = 0.618, p&amp;lt;0.001. Of these, 45/57 (78.9%) patients were stratified as low risk or not allergic. In 22/84 (26.2%) assessments, the patient tool determined a higher risk category than the allergist, primarily due to differences in patients’ perceived timing and description of symptoms. Only 5/84 (6.0%) patients were placed in a lower risk category using the patient tool compared to the validated tool. Of these, one patient responded to the self-assessment accounting for a mild reaction, whereas the allergist assessment accounted for a second, more severe reaction. The other 4/5 patients mistakenly answered that they had never taken penicillin so were stratified as not allergic on the patient tool; however, they had previously taken penicillin and were found at risk of possible allergy by the allergist. Of those who responded to the satisfaction survey, 53/62 (85.5%) agreed that the patient tool was easy to use. Conclusion The patient tool demonstrates good agreement in determining penicillin allergy risk, generally aligning with the validated tool and offering potential as a method of empowering patients to assess their risk and advocate for their care. For a small minority of patients, the patient tool determined a lower risk category than the allergist assessment. To improve safety, agreement, and accessibility, iterative cycles of assessment and changes to the patient tool structure will be applied. Potential competing interests Funding was obtained from Valeo, Polaris Health, CeraVe, ALK, Astra Zeneca, Medexus, Novartis, Sanofi, Pfizer

HIV postnatal prophylaxis and infant feeding policies vary across Europe: results of a Penta survey.

This survey was conducted to describe current European postnatal prophylaxis (PNP) and infant feeding policies with the aim of informing future harmonized guidelines. A total of 32 senior clinicians with relevant expertise, working in 20 countries within the European Region, were invited to complete a REDCap questionnaire between July and September 2023. Twenty-three of the 32 invited paediatricians responded, representing 16/20 countries. There were multiple respondents from the same country for Italy (n = 5), the UK (n = 2), Germany (n = 2) and France (n = 2). All countries use risk stratification to guide PNP regimen selection. Nine out of 16 countries reported three risk categories, six out of 16 reported two, and one country reported differences in categorization. Criteria used to stratify risk varied between and within countries. For the lowest risk category, the PNP regimen reported ranged from no PNP to up to four weeks of one drug; the drug of choice reported was zidovudine, apart from one country which reported nevirapine. For the highest risk category, the most common regimen was zidovudine/lamivudine/nevirapine (20/23 respondents); regimen duration varied from twoto six weeks with variation in recommended dosing. Guidelines support breastfeeding for infants born to people living with HIV in eight out of 16 countries; in the other eight, guidelines do not support/specify. Guidelines and practice for PNP and infant feeding vary substantially across Europe and within some countries, reflecting the lack of robust evidence. Effort is needed to align policies and practice to reflect up-to-date knowledge to ensure the vertical transmission risk is minimized and unnecessary infant HIV testing and PNP avoided, while simultaneously supporting families to make informed decisions on infant feeding choice.

Preferences for oral and injectable PrEP among qualitative sub-study participants in HPTN 084.

HPTN 084 compared the safety and efficacy of long-acting injectable cabotegravir (CAB) to daily oral TDF/FTC for prevention of HIV-1 in uninfected African women. Like a similar trial in MSM/TGW (HPTN 083), the trial was stopped early for efficacy, expediting the need to consider introduction strategies for different populations. We examine survey and qualitative data from a four-country sub-study to examine oral and injectable PrEP acceptability and considerations for CAB access among African women. Participants completed baseline and follow-up surveys on HIV risk perception, sexual behavior. product acceptability and adherence during the blinded trial. Additionally, up to two in-depth interviews each with 73 sub-study participants explored product use and trial-related experiences, during the blinded and unblinded study periods. Using survey data, we classified participants as: engaged in female sex work (FSW), having multiple non-transactional partners, or monogamous. A study statistician identified participants' assigned study arm. We followed a thematic analysis process to read transcripts, develop a codebook and apply codes in NVivo to transcripts with intermittent intercoder reliability checks; using Excel matrices to explore differences across risk categories and study arms. Participants overwhelmingly preferred injections to pills, appreciating the ease, convenience, and privacy of a long-acting formulation. Many participants described challenges with contraceptive and/or study pill adherence, impeded by late night work, unexpected travel, or heavy drinking. Women in the TDF/FTC arm were more likely to describe side effects, compared to those in the CAB arm. Pain also varied widely by study arm. When considering post-trial access to CAB, limited PrEP knowledge, cost and concerns around stigma and poor service quality were potential access barriers. Women's desire for privacy and ease of use outweighed injectable concerns, resulting in a strong preference for CAB. Cost and accessibility will need to be addressed by implementation programs.

Risk profiles for rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease in a cohort of patients with five-year follow-up

Objectives Early identification of interstitial lung disease (ILD) among patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a challenge for clinicians. The aim of this study was to evaluate screening algorithms for ILD by comparing the proportion of patients assigned a high-risk profile by three recently proposed models. Method We used the four-factor risk score, categorizing patients into high and low risk; the ILD screening criteria, categorizing patients into high, intermediate, and low risk; and the risk score for detection of subclinical RA-ILD, with four different risk categories, on patients with RA followed for 5 years after the RA diagnosis with pulmonary function tests, dyspnoea score, and pulmonary imaging. Results The four-factor risk score identified 22% of the cohort (25/115) as eligible for further ILD investigations, while the ILD screening criteria identified 37% as high risk (43/115) and 34% as intermediate risk (39/115). The risk score for detection of subclinical RA-ILD identified 44% of the cohort as being at increased risk, with 7% in the highest risk group. The agreement between high-risk groups in the two clinical ILD screening models was moderate (kappa 0.43). Three patients in the cohort had clinical or subclinical ILD, and they were identified as high risk in the two clinical models. Conclusion The three algorithms identified approximately one-third of the cohort as being at increased risk of ILD. Further development and validation of these algorithms are needed to reduce false positives and balance the potential benefit of earlier ILD diagnosis and healthcare resources used for respiratory assessment.

Genomic analysis of Salmonella Heidelberg isolated from the Brazilian poultry farms.

The rapid expansion of broiler chicken production in Brazil has presented significant sanitation challenges within the poultry industry. Among these challenges, Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serotype Heidelberg stands as a contributor to global salmonellosis outbreaks. This study analyzed 13 draft genomes of Salmonella Heidelberg isolated from the pre-slaughter broiler chickens farms in Brazil. By conducting in silico analysis of these genomes, the study investigated genome similarity based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and identified genes encoding resistance to antimicrobials, sanitizers, and virulence factors. Furthermore, mobile genetic elements (MGE) were identified to assess their potential role in propagating genes through horizontal gene transfer. A risk classification was also applied based on the resistomes. The genomes revealed a high prevalence of genes conferring resistance to aminoglycosides, fosfomycin, sulfonamides, tetracycline, and genes linked to quaternary ammonium resistance. The study also uncovered six Salmonella pathogenicity islands (SPI) and over 100 genes encoding virulence factors. The association of MGE with antibiotic-resistant genes sul2 and blaCMY-2 raised concerns about the potential transfer to other bacteria, posing a substantial risk for spreading resistance mechanisms according to established risk protocols. Additionally, SNP analysis indicated close phylogenetic relationships among some isolates, suggesting a common origin. This study enhances our understanding of Salmonella Heidelberg strains by identifying key risk factors for transmission and revealing the association between resistance genes and MGEs. This insight provides a foundation for developing and implementing effective control, monitoring, and treatment strategies in the poultry industry.

Safety and outcomes with use of FlowTriever for mechanical thrombectomy i n acute pulmonary embolism

Objectives: Mortality in the pulmonary embolism (PE) risk categories has historically been reported between 30% and 40% in high-risk and &lt;15% in intermediate-risk group. In those who survive, there is a high rate of morbidity with dyspnea and exercise intolerance. Advanced therapies with a favorable safety profile have the potential to improve outcomes. We present the largest single-center data set studied to-date for safety, mortality, and outcomes post-mechanical thrombectomy including functional assessment 3 months post-discharge. Material and Methods: We analyzed retrospective database of patients with PE undergoing catheter directed mechanical thrombectomy (CDMT). We report clinical characteristics and outcomes stratified by PE risk categories. Comparison in the groups has been made using analysis of variance method. Results: A total of 365 patients were evaluated in the CDMT group. Among these 81 (22%) presented with high-risk and 261 (71%) with intermediate-risk PE. The average age at diagnosis was 61 ± 17 years with male-to-female distribution ratio of 1.2. Most common risk factors being reduced mobility (18%), malignancy (15%), recent surgery (13%), and hormonal therapy (12%). Mortality within 30 days of PE diagnosis was 8.6% (7/81) in high-risk, 1.7% (4/230) in intermediate-high-risk groups. There were no deaths in intermediate-low and low-risk group post-CDMT. Before thrombectomy, 349 (95%) patients had right heart strain, 307 (84%) had elevated troponin, and 197 (54%) had elevated B-type natriuretic peptide. Post-procedure echocardiogram at 3 month revealed improvement in the right ventricular (RV) fractional area change (27.53 ± 10.38% to 39.73 ± 8.3%, P &lt; 0.01), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (10.9 ± 8.3 mm to 21.81 ± 4.75 mm), and RV systolic pressure (43.96 ± 14.48 mmHg to 28.47 ± 7.88 mmHg, P &lt; 0.01). At 3 months post-thrombectomy, the majority (74%) of the patients fell into non-to-negligible functional limitation. Conclusion: We present a descriptive analysis of outcomes including improved mortality, and functional assessment of patients undergoing CDMT.