Results Of Poll Research Articles

Performance Analysis of Hybrid Polling Schemes with Multiple Classes of Self-Similar and Long-Range Dependent Traffic Input

Queuing delay have significant impact on the performance of network applications. To meet distinct delay requirements of multi-classend-user traffic,various queuing and scheduling schemeshave been proposed. These schemes are analogous to a polling mechanism in which multiple traffic queues are concurrently handled by a single scheduler. However, researchers were unable to analyze this synergy between the conventional queuingcum- scheduling and polling models. Moreover, research on analyzing polling models assumed traditional Poisson traffic distribution which is unable to capture self-similar and long-range dependent (LRD) characteristics and hence yield misleading results. Furthermore, published work related to self-similar traffic modeling is mainly based on conventional queuing-cum-scheduling which are simple approximations.The objective of this work is to analyze different combinations of conventional queuing and polling models. In this paper, we exploit the synergy between traditional queuing-cum-scheduling and polling models. We analyze different combinations of queuing and polling mechanisms with realistic traffic distributions i.e., selfsimilar and LRD. An analytical framework for G/M/1 queuing system is developedwhich contemplatesmultiple classes of self-similar and LRDtraffic as input.We formulate the Markov chain for G/M/1 queuing system and extract closed-form expressions of queuing delay for corresponding traffic classes. We analyzea combination of limited service polling model with non-pre-emptive priority queuing. Different combinations of polling models (i.e., exhaustive, gated and limited service) are also analyzed. We validate the performance of the proposed analytical framework through simulations. Simulation results suggest that synergy of polling and schedulingdangle promising results.

Elektroakustična glasba v Sloveniji nekoč in danes: alternativa ali mainstream?

A short survey of the beginnings of Slovenian electro-acoustic music serves as starting point for questioning the present involvement with the electronic media. The results of an opinion poll conducted among representative Slovene musicians of different musical genres engaged in electro-acoustic music are interpreted in the light of present motivations for electronic composition and its topicality.

Matching Pennies on the Campaign Trail: An Empirical Study of Senate Elections and Media Coverage

We study the strategic interaction between the media and Senate candidates during elections. While the media is instrumental for candidates to communicate with voters, candidates and media outlets have conflicting preferences over the contents of the reporting. In competitive electoral environments such as most US Senate races, this can lead to a strategic environment resembling a matching pennies game. Based on this observation, we develop a model of bipartisan races where media outlets report about candidates, and candidates make decisions on the type of constituencies to target with their statements along the campaign trail. We develop a methodology to classify news content as suggestive of the target audience of candidate speech, and show how data on media reports and poll results, together with the behavioral implications of the model, can be used to estimate its parameters. We implement this methodology on US Senatorial races for the period 1980-2012, and find that Democratic candidates have stronger incentives to target their messages towards turning out their core supporters than Republicans. We also find that the cost in swing-voter support from targeting core supporters is larger for Democrats than for Republicans. These effects balance each other, making media outlets willing to cover candidates from both parties at similar rates.

ANALYSIS OF ATTITUDES TO HEALTHY LIFESTYLE, PHYSICAL EDUCATION AND SPORTS IN MODERN RUSSIA

The article is dedicated to the study of changes in the attitude of Russian citizens to the healthy lifestyle and mass sports. The study is based on the statistical data for 2008–2013, including the results of opinion polls performed by the Yuri Levada Analytical Center, and on the monitoring of indicators of the population’s attitude to physical education and sports on the territory of the Russian Federation for 2008–2012 and on the monitoring of operating efficiency of the executive bodies of Subjects of the Russian Federation for 2011–2012. The topicality of the material is determined by the fact that today only a quarter of the population of Russia is regularly engaged in sports and physical training. The aim of the article is to identify the factors enhancing the formation of healthy lifestyle and to show the interconnection and the necessity of purposeful propaganda of healthy lifestyle and physical education aimed at involving wide masses in regular sports. The study shows a reduction of the number of youth among people paying serious attention to their physical training. At the same time, the study shows the relationship between a positive perception of life and regular sporting. Thus, people who do physical exercises several times a week or daily, feel happy two times more often than those who do sports rarely among the respondents in Russia. So, we can see that there is an urgent need to increase activities propagating healthy lifestyle, mass sports and physical education, particularly as the basic means enhancing the health of the nation, preventing various diseases, combating bad habits and creating a positive perception of life by citizens of the country.

Political uncertainty and the 2012 US presidential election: A cointegration study of prediction markets, polls and a stand-out expert

Political uncertainty is increasingly seen as important to financial markets. Particularly US presidential election uncertainty is linked to uncertainty regarding future US macroeconomic policy. But what is the best vehicle to measure political uncertainty? We examine both the cointegration and causal relationships between the Iowa and Intrade presidential futures markets (IOWA, INTRADE), along with the results of election polls (POLLS); as well as published election predictions of Nate Silver (SILVER), who was arguably the most followed political forecaster during the 2012 presidential election season. We document strong evidence that SILVER and the two prediction markets were all highly cointegrated; while POLLS was not. Consistent with the assertion made by others that INTRADE prices were manipulated in 2012 for non-pecuniary reasons, we also evidence that IOWA and SILVER both Granger-caused INTRADE. Our findings are also consistent with previous findings that election markets outperform polls as prediction vehicles. Overall, while confirming that INTRADE, IOWA and SILVER are cointegrated, we note that the three series consistently differed in the degree of optimism in an Obama victor. These results pose important questions for researchers interested in estimating political uncertainty, and assessing the efficacy of prediction markets and their international integration.

ANALYSIS OF ATTITUDES TO HEALTHY LIFESTYLE, PHYSICAL EDUCATION AND SPORTS IN MODERN RUSSIA

The article is dedicated to the study of changes in the attitude of Russian citizens to the healthy lifestyle and mass sports. The study is based on the statistical data for 2008–2013, including the results of opinion polls performed by the Yuri Levada Analytical Center, and on the monitoring of indicators of the population’s attitude to physical education and sports on the territory of the Russian Federation for 2008–2012 and on the monitoring of operating efficiency of the executive bodies of Subjects of the Russian Federation for 2011–2012. The topicality of the material is determined by the fact that today only a quarter of the population of Russia is regularly engaged in sports and physical training. The aim of the article is to identify the factors enhancing the formation of healthy lifestyle and to show the interconnection and the necessity of purposeful propaganda of healthy lifestyle and physical education aimed at involving wide masses in regular sports. The study shows a reduction of the number of youth among people paying serious attention to their physical training. At the same time, the study shows the relationship between a positive perception of life and regular sporting. Thus, people who do physical exercises several times a week or daily, feel happy two times more often than those who do sports rarely among the respondents in Russia. So, we can see that there is an urgent need to increase activities propagating healthy lifestyle, mass sports and physical education, particularly as the basic means enhancing the health of the nation, preventing various diseases, combating bad habits and creating a positive perception of life by citizens of the country.

ANALYSIS OF ATTITUDES TO HEALTHY LIFESTYLE, PHYSICAL EDUCATION AND SPORTS IN MODERN RUSSIA

The article is dedicated to the study of changes in the attitude of Russian citizens to the healthy lifestyle and mass sports. The study is based on the statistical data for 2008–2013, including the results of opinion polls performed by the Yuri Levada Analytical Center, and on the monitoring of indicators of the population’s attitude to physical education and sports on the territory of the Russian Federation for 2008–2012 and on the monitoring of operating efficiency of the executive bodies of Subjects of the Russian Federation for 2011–2012. The topicality of the material is determined by the fact that today only a quarter of the population of Russia is regularly engaged in sports and physical training. The aim of the article is to identify the factors enhancing the formation of healthy lifestyle and to show the interconnection and the necessity of purposeful propaganda of healthy lifestyle and physical education aimed at involving wide masses in regular sports. The study shows a reduction of the number of youth among people paying serious attention to their physical training. At the same time, the study shows the relationship between a positive perception of life and regular sporting. Thus, people who do physical exercises several times a week or daily, feel happy two times more often than those who do sports rarely among the respondents in Russia. So, we can see that there is an urgent need to increase activities propagating healthy lifestyle, mass sports and physical education, particularly as the basic means enhancing the health of the nation, preventing various diseases, combating bad habits and creating a positive perception of life by citizens of the country.

The impact of the content of the television programming upon the politicization of the Kosovo society

The effect of the media over the society is the object of the studies of the social science of communication since its founding up to today. A lot of scientific theories explore, argues and explain the connections and the effect of the media over the public. The purpose of this paper is to evident and argument the effect that the media, especially the TV programming has on the politicization of the Kosovar society, which is manifested in a large number of conversations that have to do with politics. In order to argument the direct link between the content of the TV programming (as a media) and political conversations among citizens, this writing will present the results of measuring the contents of the four biggest TV stations in Kosovo: RTK, KTV, RTV 21 and Klan Kosova. What was measured is the amount of programs that have political content within a week at the time when the viewing is at its peak, or in what is known as prime time, from 17 00 to 24 00 h. It also involves an opinion poll of the public which was asked about the influence of the content of TV programs on their daily conversations. The results of programming contents prove a very high percentage of political programs on these four TV stations (RTK 1, KTV, RTV 21 and Klan Kosova), whereas the results of the public polling prove the direct influence of the contents of this programs on the daily conversations.

Ethnic and Religious Processes in Western Mongolia (Based on Social Research)

Since I millennium BC. a significant influence of the Iranian complex of beliefs on the worldview of nomadic peoples could be noted. Due to the function of the Silk Road and the formation of nomadic empires in the beginning of a new era and the following centuries, Buddhist, Manichaean, Nestorian, Taoist missionaries have been intensified. From the period of the late Middle Ages the position of Islam in the region became stronger, although the penetration of this denomination in the region have noted in the previous period. The presentday period in the history of both Russia and Mongolia marked with significant transformations in various fields, including national and state-confessional policy. Under the slogan of the revival of the national culture, some ethnic groups entered into the conflict zone and the religious denominations have been actively involved in the process of transformation, of not only spiritual, but also socio-economic and political character. In the developing conditions of religious variety of Central Asia the ethnoconfessional monitoring which research and analyse the religious practice of the population, the relations of society and the state to questions of religion, the reasons and forms of interconfessional tensity, appearance of religious intolerance and influence of religion on the international relations and etc. The article is devoted to the present-day ethnic and religious situation in Western Mongolia. The paper presents the results of opinion polls of people of Bayan-Ulgii and Hovd aimags of Mongolia, aimed at the study of the relationship of religious and ethnic factors in the condition of modernization of Mongolian society. The study showed that despite the realization of freedom of conscience and modern state-confessional policy in Western Mongolia, the dominant religions are Buddhism (Hovd aimag) and Islam (Bayan-Ulgii aimag), providing the important influence on the culture and education of the population. In addition, last years, a penetration of Protestant missionaries is noted. The similar tendency of strengthening of the Protestant factor marked in other places of Central Asia and Southern Siberia–in Altai, Tuva, Khakassia and Buryatia.

Population as Auditor of an Election Process in Honduras: The Case of the VotoSocial Crowdsourcing Platform

For a country to become fully democratic, the majority of the population needs to be involved in the politics of that country. This requires people to be aware of what is happening, and to be able to participate in the country's political processes. VotoSocial is a crowdsourcing system launched during the 2013 Honduran government elections. It retrieved the official polling table records in digitized form from the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (the Government's elections authority) and provided them to the Internet community to be counted and the digitizations verified. VotoSocial was thereby able to verify the accuracy of the official polling results. We found no evidence of fraud in the digitization process, but statistical analysis revealed a data behavior usually associated with incremental fraud in an electoral process. VotoSocial shows that social media‐powered crowdsourcing systems can increase a population's political awareness during elections, thus providing a motive to build similar platforms in other countries with political systems marked by electoral fraud.

Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC): An Organizational Assessment

The April 2011 general elections were considered generally successful not because INEC committed fewer or less errors than the previous ones. Some of the commission’s operational and logistical shortcomings were serious enough to justify early doubts on its organizational readiness to conduct the elections. Rather, the success of the last elections could be attributed to the fact that the voters and major stakeholders – political parties, civil society organizations, media, international and local observers, etc. – were convinced that the poll results were a product of credible, inclusive, participatory and transparent electoral processes despite the various problems encountered during the preparations and conduct thereof. Related thereto, and equally important, was the general perception that the current leadership of the electoral commission is more independent and trustworthy. Although not comprehensive and exhaustive, it appeared from the reviewed documents that the problems encountered during the poll preparations and election days were a combination of various factors that included legal and bureaucratic restrictions, difficult and sometimes hostile political environment, political indifference of some voters and organizational inadequacies of INEC. Most of these problems, as documented by observation mission reports and post-election retreats, were tackled and integrated in this study. Their recommendations, together with the proposals gathered from the Reports of the post-election retreat of INEC officials and staff, were compiled and presented as an annex to this paper.

Health of Elderly People in the Context of Their Profession

Professional activities of the respondents should be considered as one of the leading factors that affect the health of the elderly.A total of 512 people, representative by gender and age of the general population ‐ 48,000 people. Out of them the elderly are 337 and 175 old patients.Among the professional activities of elderly men 22.8% belong to technical professions, 15.5% to personnel of service ‐ economic management, builders and unskilled workers, whose share is 11.4%. Women make up a core group of employees of medicine (15.4%), education (14.7%) and unskilled workers (15.4%).The results of the social opinion poll showed that the prevalence of cardiovascular diseases among pensioners is (78.3%), personnel of service ‐ economic management is (75.4%), economists is (70.4%), law enforcement and defense (62.5%), technical workers is (60.3%) and agricultural workers is (58.3%). While the distribution of respiratory pathology officers is associated with the profession of lawyers (75%), law enforcement officers and workers in agriculture (50%). Analysis of the incidence of bone ‐ muscular system showed that this pathology is more susceptible to agricultural workers (66.7%). As a leading place in the structure of morbidity of elderly contingent belongs to the Ivory Coast, it should be noted that the high percentage of hypertension and coronary heart disease are among law enforcement and defense officers (71.4%, 42.9%) among employees of service ‐ management (64.6%, 16.7%).Thus, employees of service ‐ law enforcement and defense officials, agriculture workers and economists were less adaptable and more susceptible to pathological processes that accompanied by unstable, course, increasing of the number of chronic diseases, the presence of associated diseases and decreased reactivity.

Анализ ведущих компонентов производственной среды транспортной отрасли

The reliability and efficacy of a man's working activity and his functional state much depend on structural features of the serviced equipment, technological processes and organization of production. From the advent of organizations of different types of ownership the issue of possible impact of this factor on the leading components of the manufacturing environment and the health of workers employed in this branch. Aim. To learn and analyze of the leading components of the transport branch production environment that influence on a workers’ health. Methods and materials. According to the results of the public opinion poll the leading components of the production environment (safety engineering, working conditions and organizational) of workers of the transport branch at enterprises of different ownership forms have been analyzed. Sampled populations of the main and control groups were formed which analysis provided verification of the suggested hypotheses. Results. The analysis of the leading manufacturing environment components of the transport branch has revealed significant dependence of their levels on the type of ownership of the enterprises, functional purpose of vehicles and location. Conclusions. The comparative analysis was performed according to the criterion of the enterprise ownership form in two regions of the country. It has been established that worn-out and out-of-date equipment increases problems related to safety engineering manifold, makes working conditions worse increasing the risk of their influence on the health of people employed in the transport branch and the organization-management component considering bad managerial skills becomes an aggravating factor for the foregoing ones

Delhi: A World Class Smart City or an Inclusive and Equitable Capital?

Delhi, a city of historic significance has created one more record in the recent elections when it witnessed a landslide and a decisive mandate in an electoral democracy where a newly emerged party won the elections by the sweeping margins against the stalwarts who are in the field for decades. Delhi observed a radical shift in national politics where the electorate moved beyond the caste or class based divide or community specific grouping probably because this election is about the rising hope, realizing dreams and increasing aspirations of people who want change – a change that can bring in real progress and development that is beneficial to all rather than benefiting a few. This election mirrors the inherent social contradictions in the existing society and political transformation in the new age that unleashes the power of democracy. The poll results are reflective of the assertion of masses to transform the society. The verdict also raised the pertinent question about developing the India’s capital as a world class smart city or an inclusive and equitable metropolis. In this essay, the author attempts to find solutions to this query as a resident and a native of the city from the gender perspective.

개방형 한국어 지식 대사전 전문용어 신분류 체계 설정 및 재분류

A new classification system with 9 main categories and 56 subcategories for the Open Korean Knowledge Dictionary is proposed. The classification system setup is to prepare for the standard classification system to be used to manage effectively vast of terminologies which were published in the Open Korean Knowledge Dictionary and is meant to enhance the fifteen-year old classification system for the standard korean great dictionary to match up to the trend of the modern terminology. The new terminology classification system covering all the academic areas such as humanity, sociology, politics, science, medicine, agriculture, engineering, etc, is designed and proposed after investigating several classification systems. The classification system setup procedures follow as ◦ The classification system is designed and planed by both the classification system and the academic expert. ◦ Classification system design covers all the academic areas following National Science and Technology standard classification system after investigating several classification systems such as the National Research Foundation, National Science and Technology Standard Act, Ministry of Knowledge Economy. ◦ Poll and survey is made to collect comments from total 93 members of several academic areas. ◦ The poll result is reviewed among working group members and utilized to update the new terminology classification system. Reclassifications are made for the around 200,000 terms in electricity, computer, medicine, pharmacy, biology, and economics according to the new terminology classification system.

Forecasting elections in Europe: Synthetic models

Scientific work on national election forecasting has become most developed for the United States case, where three dominant approaches can be identified: Structuralists, Aggregators, and Synthesizers. For European cases, election forecasting models remain almost exclusively Structuralist. Here we join together structural modeling and aggregate polling results, to form a hybrid, which we label a Synthetic Model. This model contains a political economy core, to which poll numbers are added (to tap omitted variables). We apply this model to a sample of three Western European countries: Germany, Ireland, and the United Kingdom. This combinatory strategy appears to offer clear forecasting gains, in terms of lead and accuracy.

Tweets, Polls, and Quotes: Gatekeeping and Bias in On-Screen Visuals During the Final 2012 Presidential Debate

This study content analyzed the on-screen visuals (i.e., candidate quotes, live Twitter feed, and poll results) displayed during the final presidential debate on the ABC News/Yahoo News live-streaming online coverage. Gatekeeping and research on political campaign coverage were used to provide rationale about the nature of the on-screen visuals. Results largely confirmed previous research into presidential campaign coverage: The on-screen visuals revealed a reliance on elite sources (media-related professionals and public figures), the on-screen visuals were largely neutral in nature for the candidates (although there was a slight pro-Obama advantage in the tweets and a slight pro-Romney advantage in the quoted material shown on-screen), and the on-screen visuals focused on horserace, strategy, and image at the expense of issue and policy discussion.

Алкоголь в России: мифы общественного мнения и реальность

The addiction of Russians to alcoholic beverages is known throughout the world. However this addiction is a consequence of a habit, whereas first steps of getting acquainted with alcohol usually have quite plausible excuse, which appears in fact to be myths. The article reveals seven myths about vodka which are popular in Russian society. The results of public opinion polls that show the degree of the population commitment to these myths with a difference of ten years, 2003–2004 — 2014 (the respondents taken as example are residents of the city of Voronezh). Voronezh is a typical large Russian city, so the changes in public opinion of Voronezh citizens reflect nationwide changes. The author shows that the decline in the consumption of vodka in Russia in recent years is connected with discrediting of the existing myths about the benefits of vodka in certain circumstances.Russia has taken measures aimed at reducing alcohol consumption per capita. In recent years these measures in conjunction with the changes in economic and cultural life of Russians have been successful. Manufacturers of alcohol facing falling profitability and fighting for survival have reduced the retail price of vodka in order to struggle against illegal substitutes, including moonshine. But the moonshine depending on the technology of its preparation can be either dangerous to health or relatively harmless spirits. Ambiguous attitude to the moonshine is confirmed by the results of opinion polls. The author proves that the sharp rise in demand for moonshine in recent years is not only due to its low cost, but also because of the low quality of alcohol products on store shelves.

Analysis of Battleground State Presidential Polling Performances, 2004–2012

This article explores the performance of major political polls as reported on a well-known political website. The presidential elections of 2004, 2008, and 2012 are examined, and polling results for battleground states are compared to the actual margins in each state. These data are combined into an analysis of variance (ANOVA) model and differences in the various polls assessed. No significant differences in polls were found in 2004 or 2008. In contrast, very large differences were found in 2012, and all polls were found to underestimate President Obama’s performance in the battleground states. In addition to individual polling results, a model using the statewide and national polling data from all polls is created. These results are compared to the established polls. We present a possible explanation as to why the polls in the recent (2012) election are all biased toward the Republican side.

«BOOKS AND PEOPLE»: RESULTS OF THE PUBLIC POLLS ON READING PROBLEMS AT THE ST PETERSBURG INTERNATIONAL BOOK FAIR 2015

«BOOKS AND PEOPLE»: RESULTS OF THE PUBLIC POLLS ON READING PROBLEMS AT THE ST PETERSBURG INTERNATIONAL BOOK FAIR 2015