Restricted Mean Survival Time Analysis Research Articles

Discontinuation of Cholinesterase Inhibitors Following Initiation of Memantine and Admission to Long-Term Care Among Older Adults.

Discontinuing cholinesterase inhibitors when initiating memantine in patients with dementia may be reasonable to reduce treatment burden, costs, and the risk of adverse drug events. To assess the association of cholinesterase inhibitor discontinuation on long-term care institutionalization among older adults with dementia who initiate memantine. This retrospective propensity score-matched cohort study used Medicare claims data from January 2014 to December 2019. Participants included fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries with dementia. Data were analyzed from September 2021 to August 2024. Discontinuation vs continuation of cholinesterase inhibitor. The primary outcome was 1-year long-term care institutionalization-free days. Secondary outcomes include all-cause death and adverse drug events over 1 year. We performed subgroup analyses based on age, sex, dementia type (Alzheimer disease vs other), frailty, and dementia severity (mild vs moderate or severe) based on claims-based algorithms. The primary outcome was analyzed using nonparametric restricted mean survival time analysis. Among 16 292 beneficiaries who initiated memantine, 1820 (11.2%) discontinued cholinesterase inhibitors. In the propensity score-matched cohort of 3612 beneficiaries, the mean (SD) age was 80.7 (6.7) years, 2261 (62.6%) were female, and 1989 (55.0%) had a diagnosis of Alzheimer disease. Over 1 year, long-term care institutionalization occurred in 51 of 1806 beneficiaries (2.8%) who discontinued cholinesterase inhibitors (3.4 per 100 person-years) and 62 of 1806 beneficiaries (3.4%) who continued (4.1 per 100 person-years). There was no statistically significant difference in the 1-year mean institutionalization-free days between discontinuation and continuation groups (360.6 [95% CI, 359.3 to 362.0] days vs 359.1 [95% CI, 357.5 to 360.6] days; mean difference, 1.5 [95% CI,-0.5 to 3.6] days). The mean difference in the long-term care institutionalization-free days did not differ by age category, sex, dementia type, frailty, or dementia stage. Individuals who discontinued had a lower rate of fall-related injury (0.9 vs 2.0 per 100 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 0.47 [95% CI, 0.25 to 0.88]). There was no difference between the discontinuation and continuation groups in all-cause death (10.4 vs 11.6 per 100 person-years; HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.72 to 1.10]). In this study, discontinuing cholinesterase inhibitors upon memantine initiation was not associated with an increased risk of long-term care institutionalization but with a lower risk of fall-related injury among older adults with dementia. These findings offer valuable insights for clinicians aiming to reduce treatment burden in this population.

Liberation from Respiratory Support in Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia

To estimate the association between the mode of respiratory support administered at 36 weeks' post-menstrual age (PMA) with time-to-liberation from respiratory support (LRS) in infants with grade 2/3 bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). Daily respiratory support data were abstracted for infants born <32 weeks' gestation with grade 2/3 BPD enrolled in the Children's Hospitals Neonatal Database between 2017 and 2022. The main exposure was the mode of respiratory support received at 36 weeks' PMA: high flow nasal cannula >2 L/min (HFNC), continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV), or mechanical ventilation (MV). The primary outcome was time-to-LRS, defined as the PMA when infants weaned to nasal cannula <2 L/min or room air for >2 days. The independent association between the main exposure and time-to-LRS was estimated using restricted mean survival time analysis. Among 3,483 included infants from 41 centers, 17% received HFNC, 36% CPAP, 16% NIPPV, and 32% MV at 36 weeks' PMA. After censoring those who died (4.2%), survived with tracheostomy (7.6%), or were transferred to another facility (7.5%), the median (IQR) time-to-LRS differed between groups: HFNC 37 [37, 39]; CPAP 39 [37, 41] NIPPV 41[39, 45]; and MV 44 [40, 48] weeks' PMA (P<0.001). Across centers, a 10-fold difference in time-to-LRS was observed after adjustment for clinical risk factors. For infants with grade 2/3 BPD, the mode of respiratory support prescribed at 36 weeks' PMA and center of care were each associated with time-to-LRS independent of patient and clinical characteristics.

Comparative Efficacy of Adagrasib and Sotorasib in KRAS G12C-Mutant NSCLC: Insights from Pivotal Trials.

Background: The KRAS G12C mutation, prevalent in various malignancies, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), represents a unique therapeutic target. Adagrasib and sotorasib, two FDA-approved agents specifically targeting this mutation, have shown promise in clinical trials. This study aims to compare their efficacy in treating KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC, drawing insights from pivotal clinical trials. Methods: We analyzed data from three key clinical trials: KRYSTAL-1, CodeBreak100, and CodeBreak200. Our methodology involved reconstructing individual patient data from published Kaplan-Meier curves using the IPDfromKM tool (Version 0.1.10). The primary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), evaluated through hazard ratios (HRs) and the restricted mean survival time (RMST) method. Results: The HR for PFS favored adagrasib (HR: 0.90 [95% CI: 0.69, 1.19], p = 0.473), suggesting a non-significant trend toward better disease control compared to sotorasib. For OS, the HR was 0.99 [95% CI: 0.75, 1.33] (p = 0.969), indicating no significant difference between the two drugs. RMST analysis supported these findings, with adagrasib showing a consistently higher RMST in PFS at 6, 12, and 18 months. However, OS benefits converged over time, with adagrasib marginally surpassing sotorasib by the 18-month mark. Conclusions: This comprehensive analysis reveals that while adagrasib may offer a slight advantage in PFS, both drugs demonstrate comparable efficacy in OS for KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC. The subtle differences observed, particularly in PFS, could inform clinical decision-making, emphasizing the need for personalized treatment strategies. Future research should focus on long-term effects and identifying patient subgroups that may benefit more from one drug over the other.

Plinabulin plus docetaxel versus docetaxel in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer after disease progression on platinum-based regimen (DUBLIN-3): a phase 3, international, multicentre, single-blind, parallel group, randomised controlled trial

There is an unmet need for second-line and third-line treatments that are effective and tolerable for advanced or metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with no driver mutations. In this phase 3, international, multicentre, single-blind, parallel group, randomised controlled trial, we enrolled patients from 58 medical centres in Australia, China, and the USA. Eligible patients were adults with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) wild-type NSCLC who had progressed after first-line platinum-based therapy. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) using an independent stratified randomisation schedule with a block size of four to receive intravenous docetaxel 75 mg/m2 on day 1 and either plinabulin (30 mg/m2) or placebo on days 1 and 8 in 21-day cycles until progression, unacceptable toxic effects, withdrawal, or death. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population. Safety was analysed in all patients who had received at least one dose of study drug or placebo. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02504489) and is now closed. Between Nov 30, 2015, and Jan 6, 2021, 919 patients were screened for inclusion. 360 patients were excluded, and 559 were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive either docetaxel and plinabulin (n=278) or docetaxel and placebo (n=281). 406 (73%) of 559 patients were male, 153 (27%) were female, and 488 (87%) were Asian. Median OS was 10·5 months (95% CI 9·34-11·87) in the plinabulin group compared with 9·4 months (8·38-10·68) in the control group (stratified HR 0·82, 95% CI 0·68-0·99; p=0·0399). Mean OS was 15·08 months (13·42-16·74) in the plinabulin group compared with 12·77 months (11·45-14·10) in the placebo group using restricted mean survival time analysis (difference 2·31 months, 95% CI 0·18-4·44; p=0·0332). Treatment-emergent adverse events occurred in 273 (>99%) of 274 patients in the plinabulin group and 276 (99%) of 278 patients in the control group. Grade 3 or 4 gastrointestinal disorders occurred more frequently in the plinabulin group than in the placebo group, with the most frequent being diarrhoea (24 [9%] of 274 patients vs three [1%] of 278) and vomiting (six [2%] vs one [<1%]), as did transient grade 3 hypertension (50 [18%] vs eight [3%]). Treatment-emergent death was reported in 12 patients (4%) in the plinabulin group and ten patients (4%) in the placebo group. Plinabulin plus docetaxel significantly improved OS as second-line and third-line treatment in patients with advanced or metastatic EGFR wild-type NSCLC and could be considered as a new treatment option in this population. BeyondSpring Pharmaceuticals.

Semiparametric Additive Modeling of the Restricted Mean Survival Time.

Analysis of the restricted mean survival time (RMST) has become increasingly common in biomedical studies during the last decade as a means of estimating treatment or covariate effects on survival. Advantages of RMST over the hazard ratio (HR) include increased interpretability and lack of reliance on the often tenuous proportional hazards assumption. Some authors have argued that RMST regression should generally be the frontline analysis as opposed to methods based on counting process increments. However, in order for the use of the RMST to be more mainstream, it is necessary to broaden the range of data structures to which pertinent methods can be applied. In this report, we address this issue from two angles. First, most of existing methodological development for directly modeling RMST has focused on multiplicative models. An additive model may be preferred due to goodness of fit and/or parameter interpretation. Second, many settings encountered nowadays feature high-dimensional categorical (nuisance) covariates, for which parameter estimation is best avoided. Motivated by these considerations, we propose stratified additive models for direct RMST analysis. The proposed methods feature additive covariate effects. Moreover, nuisance factors can be factored out of the estimation, akin to stratification in Cox regression, such that focus can be appropriately awarded to the parameters of chief interest. Large-sample properties of the proposed estimators are derived, and a simulation study is performed to assess finite-sample performance. In addition, we provide techniques for evaluating a fitted model with respect to risk discrimination and predictive accuracy. The proposed methods are then applied to liver transplant data to estimate the effects of donor characteristics on posttransplant survivaltime.

Blood Hemoglobin Concentrations and the Incidence of Lower Extremity Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis: 10-Year Outcomes of the Q-Cohort Study.

Lower extremity peripheral arterial disease is a potentially lethal cardiovascular complication in patients undergoing hemodialysis. Anemia is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease among the hemodialysis population. However, whether blood hemoglobin concentration is associated with the risk of peripheral arterial disease progression in this population remains undetermined. This is an extension of a 4-year multicenter, prospective, observational cohort study to 10 years. A total of 3504 Japanese patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis were recruited between 2006 and 2007. The primary exposure was blood hemoglobin concentration at baseline. The main outcome was the first-ever incidence of major adverse limb events (MALE), composed of endovascular treatment, bypass surgery, and amputation. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards model, restricted cubic spline analysis, and restricted mean survival time analysis were used to determine the association of blood hemoglobin concentration with the incidence of MALE. During a median follow-up of 8.0 years, 257 patients experienced MALE. A Cox proportional hazards model showed that the risk of MALE in patients with blood hemoglobin concentrations <10.0 g/dL was significantly higher than in patients with concentrations of 11.0 to 11.9 g/dL, even after adjusting for confounding factors. In contrast, elevated hemoglobin concentration (≥12.0 g/dL) was not significantly associated with increased risk of MALE. Similar associations were observed when the Fine-Gray subdistribution regression model was used by setting all-cause mortality as the competing risk. A low blood hemoglobin concentration is an independent risk factor for peripheral arterial disease progression in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis.

Ramucirumab plus paclitaxel as switch maintenance versus continuation of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy in patients (pts) with advanced HER2-negative gastric or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) cancer: The ARMANI phase III trial.

LBA4002 Background: In pts with HER2-negative advanced gastric/GEJ cancer and PD-L1 low/absent expression, platinum/fluoropyrimidine doublets are a standard first-line therapy. In this patient population, the outcomes are unsatisfactory and second-line therapy is given in only 40% of clinical trial patients. Switch consolidation maintenance may prolong the benefit of the initial strategy and delay clinical deterioration. Despite ramucirumab failing to prolong both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in the first-line setting, paclitaxel plus ramucirumab is a standard second-line therapy and warrants investigation as a post-induction strategy. Methods: Pts with HER2-negative advanced gastric/GEJ cancer without disease progression after 3 months of initial oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy, stratified by site of origin (GEJ vs gastric), prior gastrectomy and peritoneal disease, were randomized 1:1 to ramucirumab 8 mg/Kg on days 1,15 plus paclitaxel 80 mg/sqm on days 1,8,15 every 28 days (arm A) vs CAPOX/FOLFOX at the same doses used in the last induction cycle, for additional 3 mos followed by fluoropyrimidine monotherapy maintenance (arm B). The primary endpoint was PFS, OS was a key secondary endpoint; quality of life, safety, and biomarkers were evaluated. A sample size of 280 pts achieved a 90% power to detect as significant at a 5% level (2-sided log-rank test) a median PFS increase from 4 to 6 mos (target HR=0.67). HRs were estimated by Cox models adjusting for stratification factors. Restricted Mean Survival Time (RMST) analysis was conducted in case of violation of proportional hazards assumption. Results: From Jan 2017 to Oct 2023, 280 patients were randomly assigned (144 arm A/136 arm B). Baseline characteristics were: male sex 67/61%, median age 64/66 years, PS 0 74/65%, GEJ 26/26%, prior gastrectomy 28/23%, peritoneal metastases 53/42%. At a median follow-up of 43.7 months (IQR 22.0-57.9), median PFS was 6.6 vs. 3.5 mos in Arm A vs. B (HR=0.63, 95%CI 0.49-0.81; P&lt;0.001). 24-mos RMST analysis showed a statistically significant 2.4-mos average increment (p=0.002). Median OS was 12.6 vs. 10.4 mos in Arm A vs. B (HR=0.75, 95%CI 0.58-0.97; P=0.030). The frequency of grade ≥3 adverse events was 40.4% vs. 20.7% in arms A vs. B, respectively, mainly neutropenia 25.5/9.6%; febrile neutropenia 2.1/0%; hypertension 6.4/0%; venous thromboembolism 2.1/0%; peripheral neuropathy 5.7/6.7%. No treatment-related deaths were reported. Conclusions: Switch maintenance with paclitaxel plus ramucirumab after 3 months of oxaliplatin-based doublets may be a new strategy in patients with HER2-negative metastatic gastric/GEJ cancer who are non-eligible for initial immune checkpoint inhibitor-based regimens according to specific guidelines and regulatory approvals. Clinical trial information: NCT02934464 .

Evaluation of Overall Survival by Restricted Mean Survival Time of Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer treated with Immunotherapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

For biliary tract cancer (BTC), the addition of immunotherapy (durvalumab or pembrolizumab) to gemcitabine and cisplatin (GemCis) significantly improved overall survival (OS) in phase 3 clinical trials (RCTs). However, the interpretation and magnitude of the treatment effect is challenging because OS Kaplan-Meier curves violate the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. Analysis using restricted mean survival time (RMST) allows quantification of the benefits in the absence of PH. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to assess the benefit of immunotherapy-based regimens for OS at 24 months using RMST analysis. A systematic review was conducted using studies published up to 8 November 2023. Only phase 3 RCTs evaluating the use of anti-PD-1/PD-L1 combined with GemCis and reporting OS were included. KM curves for OS were digitized, and the data were reconstructed. A meta-analysis for OS by RMST at 24 months was performed. A total of 1754 participants from the TOPAZ-1 and KEYNOTE-966 trials were included. In TOPAZ-1, RMSTs at 24 months were 13.52 (7.92) and 12.21 (7.22) months with GemCis plus durvalumab and GemCis alone, respectively. In KEYNOTE-966, RMSTs at 24 months were 13.60 (7.76) and 12.45 (7.73) months with GemCis plus pembrolizumab and GemCis alone, respectively. Immunotherapy-based regimens showed a mean OS difference at 24 months by an RMST of 1.21 months [(95% CI: 0.49-1.93), p < 0.001, I2 = 0%]. Immunotherapy-based regimens improve OS in advanced BTC. Given this magnitude of benefit, it is essential to weigh up individual patient factors, preferences, and potential risks. RMST analysis provides valuable information to patients and physicians, facilitating decision-making in a value-based medical environment.

Difficult-to-treat inflammatory bowel disease: Effectiveness and safety of 4th and 5th lines of treatment.

Many patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have signs or symptoms of active disease despite multiple treatment attempts. This emerging concept is defined as difficult-to-treat IBD. The objective of this study was to investigate for the first time the treatment persistence, efficacy and safety of biologics or small molecules used in 4th or 5th line therapy. We reviewed all consecutive patients with IBD treated at the Nancy University Hospital between July 2022 and April 2023 with the 4th or 5th line treatment for at least three months. The primary outcome was to assess the persistence rate of 4th and 5th line therapy. We enrolled 82 patients with IBD (4th line: 44; 5th line: 38). On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the duration of risankizumab, ustekinumab or vedolizumab therapy did not differ significantly (p>0.05) as 4th and 5th line treatment. The restricted mean survival time analysis showed that the persistence rate of risankizumab was the highest as 4th line therapy (risankizumab vs. vedolizumab: 36.0 and 29.4weeks, respectively, p=0.008; risankizumab vs. ustekinumab: 36.0 and 32.8weeks, respectively, p=0.035). In multivariate regression, Crohn's disease diagnosis (Odd ratio 4.6; 95% confidence interval 1.7-12.4) was significantly associated with treatment persistence. In this first real-world setting, risankizumab could have a longer persistence rate as 4th line treatment for IBD than other agents. Persistence of biological agents was greater in Crohn's disease than in ulcerative colitis. More studies are needed to compare treatment efficacy in patients with difficult-to-treat IBD.

Invasive Treatment Strategy in Adults With Frailty and Non–ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

The MOSCA-FRAIL randomized clinical trial compared invasive and conservative treatment strategies in patients with frailty with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). It showed no differences in the number of days alive and out of the hospital at 1 year. To assess the outcomes of the MOSCA-FRAIL trial during extended follow-up. The MOSCA-FRAIL randomized clinical trial was conducted at 13 hospitals in Spain between July 7, 2017, and January 9, 2021, and included 167 adults (aged ≥70 years) with frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥4) and NSTEMI. In this preplanned secondary analysis, follow-up was extended to January 31, 2023. Data analysis was performed from April 5 to 29, 2023, using the intention-to-treat principle. Patients were randomized to a routine invasive (coronary angiography and revascularization if feasible [n = 84]) or a conservative (medical treatment with coronary angiography only if recurrent ischemia [n = 83]) strategy. The primary end point was the difference in restricted mean survival time (RMST). Secondary end points included readmissions for any cause, considering recurrent readmissions. Among the 167 patients included in the analysis, the mean (SD) age was 86 (5) years; 79 (47.3%) were men and 88 (52.7%) were women. A total of 93 deaths and 367 readmissions accrued. The RMST for all-cause death over the entire follow-up was 3.13 (95% CI, 2.72-3.60) years in the invasive and 3.06 (95% CI, 2.84-3.32) years in the conservative treatment groups. The RMST analysis showed inconclusive differences in survival time (invasive minus conservative difference, 28 [95% CI, -188 to 230] days). Patients under invasive treatment tended to have shorter survival in the first year (-28 [95% CI, -63 to 7] days), which improved after the first year (192 [95% CI, 90-230] days). Kaplan-Meier mortality curves intersected, displaying higher mortality to 1 year in the invasive group that shifted to a late benefit (landmark analysis hazard ratio, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.33-0.99]; P = .045). Early harm was more evident in the subgroup with a Clinical Frailty Scale score greater than 4. No differences were found for the secondary end points. In this extended follow-up of a randomized clinical trial of patients with frailty and NSTEMI, an invasive treatment strategy did not improve outcomes at a median follow-up of 1113 (IQR, 443-1441) days. However, a differential distribution of deaths was observed, with early harm followed by later benefit. The phenomenon of depletion of susceptible patients may be responsible for this behavior. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03208153.

P752 Difficult-to-treat inflammatory bowel disease: effectiveness and safety of 4th and 5th lines

Abstract Background Many patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have signs or symptoms of active disease despite multiple treatment attempts. This emerging concept is defined difficult-to-treat IBD. The objective of this study was to investigate for the first time treatment persistence, efficacy and safety of biologics or small molecules used in 4th or 5th line therapy. Methods We reviewed all consecutive patients with IBD treated at Nancy University Hospital between July 2022 and April 2023 with the 4th or 5th line treatment for at least three months. The primary outcome was to assess the persistence rate of 4th and 5th line therapy. Results We enrolled 82 patients with IBD (4th line: 44; 5th line: 38). On Kaplan-Meier analysis the duration of risankizumab, ustekinumab or vedolizumab therapy did not differ significantly (p&amp;gt;0.05) as 4th and 5th line treatment. The restricted mean survival time analysis showed that persistence rate of risankizumab was the highest as 4th line therapy (risankizumab vs. vedolizumab: 36.0 and 29.4 weeks respectively, p=0.008; risankizumab vs. ustekinumab: 36.0 and 32.8 weeks respectively, p=0.035). In multivariate regression, Crohn’s disease diagnosis (Odd ratio 4.6; 95% confidence interval 1.7-12.4) was significantly associated with treatment persistence. Conclusion In this first real-world setting, risankizumab could have longer persistence rate as 4th line treatment for IBD than other agents. Persistence of biological agents was greater in Crohn’s disease than in ulcerative colitis. More studies are needed to compare treatment efficacy in patients with difficult-to-treat IBD.

Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparisons of Brexucabtagene Autoleucel with Alternative Standard Therapies for Relapsed/Refractory B-Cell Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia in Adult Patients.

Brexucabtagene autoleucel (brexu-cel), a CD19-directed chimeric antigen receptor T-cell therapy, is approved for relapsed/refractory B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia in adults aged 18+/26+ years in the US/European Union (EU), based on efficacy results from the single-arm ZUMA-3 trial. This study aimed to estimate the relative treatment effects of brexu-cel versus inotuzumab ozogamicin (InO), blinatumomab (blina), and chemotherapies using unanchored matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) methods. Individual patient data from ZUMA-3 and published aggregate level data from two randomized controlled trials, INO-VATE (InO versus chemotherapy) and TOWER (blina versus chemotherapy), were used. Patient-level data from ZUMA-3 were weighted to match the mean of the following prognostic variables at baseline, which were pre-specified based on clinical input, for each comparator population: primary refractory disease, duration of first remission < 12months, prior stem-cell transplantation, age, performance status, salvage status, bone marrow blast, complex karyotype, and Philadelphia chromosome status. The base case analysis was conducted using the modified intention-to-treat population (i.e., received brexu-cel) from ZUMA-3. Relative treatment effects for overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) were expressed as hazard ratios (HR) and differences in restricted mean survival time (RMST) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The base case MAIC results suggested brexu-cel improved OS and EFS compared to blina (OS HR 0.46 [95% CI 0.28, 0.75]; EFS HR 0.37 [95% CI 0.25, 0.56]) and pooled INO-VATE/TOWER chemotherapy (OS HR 0.32 [95% CI 0.18, 0.56]; EFS HR 0.27 [0.18, 0.40]). Brexu-cel also improved OS compared to InO (HR 0.45 [95% CI 0.24, 0.85]). The point estimate for EFS favored brexu-cel over Ino but the difference was not statistically significant (HR 0.67 [95% CI 0.41, 1.10]). Findings were consistent between the HR and RMST analyses. Despite limitations, these MAIC results suggest that brexu-cel may improve OS and EFS versus currently used therapies in this population.

Interatrial Block Association With Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients Without a History of Atrial Fibrillation

BackgroundInteratrial block (IAB) is associated with thromboembolism and atrial arrhythmias. However, prior studies included small patient cohorts so it remains unclear whether IAB predicts adverse outcomes particularly in context of atrial fibrillation (AF)/atrial flutter (AFL). ObjectivesThis study sought to determine whether IAB portends increased stroke risk in a large cohort in the presence or absence of AFAF/AFL. MethodsWe performed a 5-center retrospective analysis of 4,837,989 electrocardiograms (ECGs) from 1,228,291 patients. IAB was defined as P-wave duration ≥120 ms in leads II, III, or aVF. Measurements were extracted as .XML files. After excluding patients with prior AF/AFL, 1,825,958 ECGs from 458,994 patients remained. Outcomes were analyzed using restricted mean survival time analysis and restricted mean time lost. ResultsThere were 86,317 patients with IAB and 355,032 patients without IAB. IAB prevalence in the cohort was 19.6% and was most common in Black (26.1%), White (20.9%), and Hispanic (18.5%) patients and least prevalent in Native Americans (9.2%). IAB was independently associated with increased stroke probability (restricted mean time lost ratio coefficient [RMTLRC]: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.35-1.51; tau = 1,895), mortality (RMTLRC: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.07-1.21; tau = 1,924), heart failure (RMTLRC: 1.94; 95% CI: 1.83-2.04; tau = 1,921), systemic thromboembolism (RMTLRC: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.53-1.71; tau = 1,897), and incident AF/AFL (RMTLRC: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.10-1.22; tau = 1,888). IAB was not associated with stroke in patients with pre-existing AF/AFL. ConclusionsIAB is independently associated with stroke in patients with no history of AF/AFL even after adjustment for incident AF/AFL and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Patients are at increased risk of stroke even when AF/AFL is not identified.

Inequalities in the impact of having a chronic disease on entering permanent paid employment: a registry-based 10-year follow-up study

BackgroundThis study aimed to investigate among unemployed persons (1) the impact of having a chronic disease on entering paid employment and obtaining a permanent contract and (2) whether these associations...

Effect of Routine Invasive vs Conservative Strategy in Older Adults With Frailty and Non–ST-Segment Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction

To our knowledge, no randomized clinical trial has compared the invasive and conservative strategies in frail, older patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). To compare outcomes of invasive and conservative strategies in frail, older patients with NSTEMI at 1 year. This multicenter randomized clinical trial was conducted at 13 Spanish hospitals between July 7, 2017, and January 9, 2021, and included 167 older adult (≥70 years) patients with frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥4) and NSTEMI. Data analysis was performed from April 2022 to June 2022. Patients were randomized to routine invasive (coronary angiography and revascularization if feasible; n = 84) or conservative (medical treatment with coronary angiography for recurrent ischemia; n = 83) strategy. The primary end point was the number of days alive and out of the hospital (DAOH) from discharge to 1 year. The coprimary end point was the composite of cardiac death, reinfarction, or postdischarge revascularization. The study was prematurely stopped due to the COVID-19 pandemic when 95% of the calculated sample size had been enrolled. Among the 167 patients included, the mean (SD) age was 86 (5) years, and mean (SD) Clinical Frailty Scale score was 5 (1). While not statistically different, DAOH were about 1 month (28 days; 95% CI, -7 to 62) greater for patients managed conservatively (312 days; 95% CI, 289 to 335) vs patients managed invasively (284 days; 95% CI, 255 to 311; P = .12). A sensitivity analysis stratified by sex did not show differences. In addition, we found no differences in all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.74-2.85; P = .28). There was a 28-day shorter survival in the invasive vs conservatively managed group (95% CI, -63 to 7 days; restricted mean survival time analysis). Noncardiac reasons accounted for 56% of the readmissions. There were no differences in the number of readmissions or days spent in the hospital after discharge between groups. Neither were there differences in the coprimary end point of ischemic cardiac events (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.54-1.57; P = .78). In this randomized clinical trial of NSTEMI in frail older patients, there was no benefit to a routine invasive strategy in DAOH during the first year. Based on these findings, a policy of medical management and watchful observation is recommended for older patients with frailty and NSTEMI. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03208153.

Central obesity as assessed by conicity index and a-body shape index associates with cardiovascular risk factors and mortality in kidney failure patients.

Anthropometric indices of central obesity, waist circumference (WC), conicity index (CI), and a-body shape index (ABSI), are prognostic indicators of cardiovascular (CV) risk. The association of CI and ABSI with other CV risk indices, markers of nutritional status and inflammation, and clinical outcomes in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 5 (CKD5) patients was investigated. In a cross-sectional study with longitudinal follow up of 203 clinically stable patients with CKD5 (median age 56 years; 68% males, 17% diabetics, 22% with CV disease, and 39% malnourished), we investigated CI and ABSI and their associations with atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), Framingham CV risk score (FRS), Agatston scoring of coronary artery calcium (CAC) and aortic valve calcium (AVC), handgrip strength (HGS), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and interleukin-6 (IL-6). CV events (CVE) and all-cause mortality during up to 10-years follow up were analyzed by multivariate survival analysis of restricted mean survival time (RMST). Chronic kidney disease patients with middle and highest CI and ABSI tertiles (indicating greater abdominal fat deposition), compared to those with the lowest CI and ABSI tertiles, tended to be older, more often men and diabetic, had significantly higher levels of hsCRP, IL-6, AIP, FRS, CAC and AVC scores. CI and ABSI were positively correlated with CAC, FRS, AIP, hsCRP and IL-6. Both CI and ABSI were negatively correlated with HGS. In age-weighted survival analysis, higher CI and ABSI were associated with higher risk of CVE (Wald test = 4.92, p = 0.027; Wald test = 4.95, p = 0.026, respectively) and all-cause mortality (Wald test = 5.24, p = 0.022; Wald test = 5.19, p = 0.023, respectively). In RMST analysis, low vs. high and middle tertiles of CI and ABSI associated with prolonged CVE-free time and death-free time, and these differences between groups increased over time. Abdominal fat deposit indices, CI and ABSI, predicted CV outcomes and all-cause mortality, and were significantly associated with the inflammatory status in CKD patients.

Unfractionated heparin versus nafamostat mesylate for anticoagulation during continuous kidney replacement therapy: an observational study

BackgroundUnfractionated heparin sodium and nafamostat mesylate have long been used as anticoagulants in continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) where citrate is unavailable. This study aimed to determine whether heparin or nafamostat mesylate used during CKRT was associated with a longer filter life.MethodsIn this single-centre observational study, we included adult patients who required CKRT and used heparin or nafamostat mesylate for their first CKRT in the intensive care unit from September 1, 2013, to December 31, 2020. The primary outcome was filter life (from the start to the end of using the first filter). We used propensity score matching to adjust for the imbalance in patients’ characteristics and laboratory data at the start of CKRT and compared the outcomes between the two groups. We also performed restricted mean survival time analysis to compare the filter survival times.ResultsWe included 286 patients, 157 patients on heparin and 129 patients on nafamostat mesylate. After propensity score matching, the mean filter life with heparin was 1.58 days (N = 91, Standard deviation [SD], 1.52) and with nafamostat mesylate was 1.06 days (N = 91, SD, 0.94, p = 0.006). Multivariable regression analysis adjusted for confounding factors supported that heparin was associated with a longer filter life compared with nafamostat mesylate (regression coefficient, days, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.15, 0.89]). The between group difference of the restricted mean filter survival time in the matched cohort was 0.29 (95% CI, 0.07–0.50, p = 0.008).ConclusionCompared to nafamostat mesylate, heparin was associated with one-third to one-half a day longer filter life.Trial registrationNot applicable.

Does Surgical Resection Significantly Prolong the Long-Term Survival of Patients with Oligometastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma? A Cross-Sectional Study Based on 18 Registries.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a type of lethal gastrointestinal malignancy. It is mainly discovered at, and diagnosed with, an advanced stage of metastasis. As the only potentially curative treatment for PDAC, surgical resection has an uncertain impact on the survival of these patients. As such, we aimed to investigate if patients with metastatic PDAC (mPDAC) benefit from surgery. Patients with pancreatic cancer in 18 registries of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2000 and 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. According to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), the eighth edition staging system was utilized. Propensity score matching was applied to strengthen the comparability of the study. The impact of surgery on survival was evaluated by restricted mean survival time (RMST) and Kaplan-Meier analysis. A total of 210 well-matched mPDAC patients were included in the study. The 1 year, 3 year, and 5 year overall survival (OS) of patients undergoing surgery was 34.3%, 15.2%, and 11.0%, respectively. The 1 year, 3 year, and 5 year cancer-specific survival (CSS) of these patients was 36.1%, 19.7%, and 14.2%, respectively. RMST analysis revealed that mPDAC patients with surgery had better OS and CSS than those without (OS: 9.49 months vs. 6.45 months, p &lt; 0.01; CSS: 9.76 months vs. 6.54 months, p &lt; 0.01). Nevertheless, subgroup analysis demonstrated that such statistical significance especially existed in oligometastatic PDAC patients, which refers to those metastases that were limited in number and concentrated to a single organ in this study. Additionally, surgery was identified as a significant predictor for the long-term prognosis of patients (OS: [HR, hazard ratio] = 0.48, 95% CI: 0.36-0.65, p &lt; 0.001; CSS: HR = 0.45, 95% CI: 0.33-0.63, p &lt; 0.001). Lastly, a nomogram was established to predict whether an individual was suitable for surgical treatment in this study. Surgical resection significantly prolonged the long-term prognosis of oligometastatic PDAC patients. Such insights might broaden the management of patients with mPDAC to a large extent. However, a prospective clinical trial should be conducted before a recommendation of surgery in these patients.

Restricted Mean Survival Time Analysis to Estimate SGLT2i–Associated Heterogeneous Treatment Effects on Primary and Secondary Prevention of Cardiorenal Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes in Taiwan

Increasing numbers of post hoc analyses have applied restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis on the aggregated-level data from clinical trials to report treatment effects, but studies that use individual-level claims data are needed to determine the feasibility of RMST analysis for quantifying treatment effects among patients with type 2 diabetes in routine clinical settings. To apply RMST analysis for assessing sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i)-associated cardiovascular (CV) events and estimating heterogenous treatment effects (HTEs) on CV and kidney outcomes in routine clinical settings. This comparative effectiveness study of Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database examined 21 144 propensity score (PS)-matched pairs of patients with type 2 diabetes with SGLT2i and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i) treatment for assessing CV outcomes, and 19 951 PS-matched pairs of patients with type 2 diabetes with SGLT2i and DPP4i treatment for assessing kidney outcomes. Patients were followed until December 31, 2018. Statistical analysis was performed from August 2021 to April 2022. Newly stable SGLT2i or DPP4i use in 2017. Study outcomes were CV events including hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), 3-point major adverse CV events (3P-MACE: nonfatal myocardial infarction [MI], nonfatal stroke, and CV death), 4-point MACE (4P-MACE: HHF and 3P-MACE), and all-cause death, and chronic kidney disease (CKD). RMST and Cox modeling analyses were applied to estimate treatment effects on study outcomes. After PS matching, the baseline patient characteristics were comparable between 21 144 patients with stable SGLT2i use (eg, mean [SD] age: 58.3 [10.7] years; 11 990 [56.7%] male) and 21 144 patients with stable DPP4i use (eg, mean [SD] age: 58.1 [11.6] years; 12 163 [57.5%] male) for assessing CV outcomes, and those were also comparable between 19 951 patients with stable SGLT2i use (eg, mean [SD] age: 58.1 [10.7] years; 11 231 [56.2%] male) and 19 951 patients with stable DPP4i use (eg, mean [SD] age: 57.9 [11.5] years; 11 340 [56.8%] male) for assessing kidney outcome. The 2-year difference in RMST between patients with SGLT2i use and patients with DPP4i use was 4.99 (95% CI, 3.56-6.42) days for HHF, 4.12 (95% CI, 2.72-5.52) days for 3P-MACE, 7.72 (95% CI, 5.83-9.61) days for 4P-MACE, 1.26 (95% CI, 0.47-2.04) days for MI, 2.70 (95% CI, 1.57-3.82) days for stroke, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.28-1.11) days for CV death, 6.05 (95% CI, 4.89-7.20) days for all-cause death, and 14.75 (95% CI, 12.99-16.52) days for CKD. Directions of hazard ratios from Cox modeling analyses were consistent with RMST estimates. No association was found between study treatment and the negative control outcome (dental visits for tooth care). Consistent results across sensitivity analyses using high-dimensional PS-matched and PS-weighting approaches supported the validity of primary analysis results. Largest difference in RMST of SGLT2i vs DPP4i use for HHF and CKD was found among patients with established heart failure (30.80 [95% CI, 5.08-56.51] days) and retinopathy (40.43 [95% CI, 31.74-49.13] days), respectively. In this comparative effectiveness study, RMST analysis was feasible for translating treatment effects into more clinical intuitive estimates and valuable for quantifying HTEs among diverse patients in routine clinical settings.

Percutaneous coronary intervention versus repeat surgical revascularization in patients with prior coronary artery bypass grafting: A systematic review and meta-analysis

ObjectivesRepeat coronary artery bypass grafting (RCABG) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are both used for the treatment of symptomatic patients with coronary artery disease and prior CABG, but the optimal treatment strategy remains unknown. We sought to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare operative and follow-up outcomes following RCABG versus PCI in patients with prior CABG. MethodsMedline and Embase were searched for studies comparing RCABG versus PCI. The primary outcome was follow-up mortality, and secondary outcomes were follow-up repeat revascularization, operative mortality, periprocedural stroke, and myocardial infarction. Time-to-event outcomes were summarized as incidence rate ratios, whereas operative outcomes were summarized as odds ratios. A random effect meta-analysis was performed. Individual patient survival data was extracted from available survival curves and reconstructed using restricted mean survival time. ResultsAmong 2982 articles, 7 studies (9945 patients) were included. In the aggregated data meta-analysis, there was no difference in follow-up survival between RCABG and PCI (incidence rate ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.83-1.25); however, restricted mean survival time analysis of individual data showed a survival benefit for RCABG over PCI (0.7 years; 95% CI, 0.23-1.19 years; P = .004). PCI was found to have a higher incidence rate of follow-up need for repeat revascularization (incidence rate ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.16-2.23), but lower odds for operative mortality and stroke. No difference in the odds for myocardial infarction was found. ConclusionsIn patients with prior CABG, PCI is associated with better operative outcomes, but RCABG is associated with better survival and freedom from repeat revascularization at follow-up.