Abstract Climate warming induces temporally varying atmospheric water vapor, yet the spatial distribution of opposing trends across global land remains elusive. Here we use monthly ERA5 dataset to discern the responses of water vapor changes to rising air temperatures from 1982 to 2020. Simultaneous increase in both water vapor and air temperature over approximately three-quarters of global land, with a median of 0.21 mm·K–1, particularly evident in tropics. Strong positive responses are primarily influenced by increasing trends in evapotranspiration and low-elevation areas. About one-fifth of global land shows a decline in water vapor with a median of –0.62 mm·K–1, predominantly in southeastern South America and southwestern North America. Negative responses are also driven by evapotranspiration trends, where strong evapotranspiration enhances these effects that are less pronounced at high-altitude regions. The prevalence of positive response is highest during September-October-November (81%), while negative response observed most in December-January-February (35%). The spatial distribution of negative responses generally aligns with soil desiccation patterns; soil desiccation exacerbates negative responses in humid regions due to evaporative cooling but mitigates them in arid regions due to intensified warming. This study enhances our comprehension regarding divergent responses of atmospheric water vapor towards global warming.
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