Reliable Operation Of Power System Research Articles

Significantly Enhanced Corona Resistance of Epoxy Composite by Incorporation with Functionalized Graphene Oxide

Enhancing the corona resistance of epoxy resin (EP) is crucial for ensuring the reliable operation of electrical equipment and power systems, and the incorporation of inorganic nanofillers into epoxy resin has shown significant potential in achieving this. In this study, functionalized graphene oxide (KHGO) was synthesized via a sol-gel method to enhance the corona resistance of EP with electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) used to assess the properties of KHGO/EP composites. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) verified the successful grafting of epoxy groups onto the GO surface. The thermal conductivity and stability of the KHGO/EP composite initially increased with KHGO content but declined when the content exceeded 1.2 wt.%. Positron annihilation lifetime spectroscopy (PALS) indicated that KHGO improved interfacial compatibility with EP compared to GO, with agglomeration occurring when KHGO content exceeded a threshold value (1.2 wt.%). EIS analysis revealed that the corona resistance of the KHGO/EP composite was optimal at a filler content of 0.9 wt.%. After corona treatment, the saturation water uptake of the 0.9 wt.% KHGO/EP composite decreased by 15% compared to pure EP with its porosity reduced to just 1/40th of that of pure EP. This study underscores that well-dispersed KHGO/EP composite exhibits excellent corona resistance property suggesting the potential for industrial applications in high-voltage equipment insulation.

Random Subspace Ensemble-Based Detection of False Data Injection Attacks in Automatic Generation Control Systems

Automatic Generation Control (AGC) systems in smart grids are increasingly vulnerable to cyber-attacks, particularly False Data Injection (FDI) attacks, due to their reliance on information and communication technologies. These vulnerabilities pose significant threats to the reliable operation of power systems. To address this challenge, this research paper introduces the machine learning (ML) based cyberattack detection technique designed to identify FDI attacks with the highest accuracy proficiently. The study involves a comprehensive analysis of three features: the original discrete signal feature, the cycle-to-cycle-based feature, and the sample-to-sample-based feature. These features are utilized for detecting FDI attacks and distinguishing them from normal load variations. The research meticulously collects data by simulating diverse FDI attacks, including step attacks, pulse attacks, random attacks, and normal load variation cases on an AGC power system. Four ML classifiers are selected and compared for the classification task. The simulation results reveal that the sample-to-sample-based feature proves highly effective in distinguishing FDI attacks compared to the original signal and cycle-to-cycle-based features. Notably, the results indicate that the random subspace ensemble (RaSE) classifier, utilizing sample-to-sample-based features, effectively identifies and classifies all normal and FDI attacks. This research provides valuable insights into the potential of ML techniques for enhancing FDI attack detection in the AGC of power systems. It provides a potential pathway for overcoming the limitations associated with traditional model-based FDI detection methods.

Research on the collaborative operation strategy of shared energy storage and virtual power plant based on double layer optimization

Large-scale access to distributed energy resources leads to new energy consumption problems and safe operation risks in the power system. Virtual power plants and shared energy storage are effective ways to promote the flexible consumption of distributed energy resources and improve the reliability and economy of power system operation. Based on the concept of sharing economy and considering the complementary characteristics of source and load resources between different virtual power plants, this paper focuses on the optimisation of shared energy storage and multi-virtual power plant operation. Firstly, distributed wind power, distributed photovoltaic and flexible load resources are aggregated into virtual power plants to analyze the cooperative operation mode of shared energy storage and multi-virtual power plant systems. Secondly, a two-layer decision model for shared energy storage configuration and multi-VPP system operation optimisation is constructed, with the upper model solving the optimal energy storage configuration scheme by maximising the revenue of the shared energy storage operator, and the lower model optimising the multi-VPP system operation strategy by minimising the total operation cost, the maximum amount of new energy consumed, and the minimum amount of carbon emission as the multi-objective optimisation strategy. Finally, a simulation analysis is carried out, and the results show that compared with the independent operation mode of each virtual power plant, the model proposed in this paper increases the annual profit of the shared energy storage operator by 7180¥, reduces the operating cost of the VPP system by 7.08 %, improves the rate of renewable energy consumption by 0.82 %, and reduces the annual carbon emission by 54.91 t, which realizes the mutual benefits of the virtual power plant and the shared energy storage.

Application of artificial neural network for peak load forecasting in 150 kV Semarang power system

Accurate load forecasting is essential for reliable and efficient operation of power systems. Traditional forecasting methods often struggle with capturing complex nonlinear patterns in load data. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have emerged as a promising alternative due to their ability to learn complex relationships from historical data (Syed et al. in IEEEA 9:54992–55008, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3071654). This study investigates the potential of ANNs for short-term peak load forecasting in a 150 kV power system in Semarang, Indonesia. The study examines the impact of different input variables, including historical peak load, minimum load, population, and energy production, on forecasting accuracy. Several ANN architectures are trained and evaluated using mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean squared error (MSE) metrics as reported by Demuth and De Jesús (neural network design). The results indicate that ANNs can achieve high accuracy in predicting peak load, with MAPE values below 10%. The study also demonstrates the importance of carefully selecting input variables and training parameters for optimal model performance. The findings highlight the potential of ANNs for improving load forecasting accuracy in power systems, contributing to enhanced grid reliability and operational efficiency. The findings of this study contribute to a deeper understanding of the application of ANNs in power system load forecasting. They demonstrate the potential of ANNs to achieve high accuracy and provide valuable insights into the factors influencing model performance. The findings are relevant for power system operators, researchers, and policymakers working to improve grid reliability and efficiency as reported by Prabha Kundur and Malik (Power System Stability and Control, McGraw-Hill Education, New York, 2022. https://www.accessengineeringlibrary.com/content/book/9781260473544).

Innovative hybrid grey wolf-particle swarm optimization for calculating transmission line parameter

Transmission line (TL) parameters, particularly capacitance, are important for ensuring the efficient and reliable operation of power systems. As power networks become increasingly complex, accurately determining TL parameters faces certain challenges, particularly capacitance, which involves overcoming computational challenges due to bundling configurations. The interconnected nature of modern TL and the use of advanced technologies further add to the complexity. Effective estimation requires advanced measurement techniques and sophisticated computational tools. Recently, optimization techniques have become widely used for TL parameter calculations. However, traditional methods struggle with challenges like limited exploration and slow convergence. To address these issues, this research introduces a hybrid algorithm called HGWPSO, which combines the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). The main objective is to enhance the exploitation ability of GWO with the exploration capability of PSO, maximizing the strengths of both variants. Initially, to verify the efficiency of HGWPSO, CEC_19 benchmark functions are utilized to evaluate its performance. Secondly, the main focus of this study is to calculate TL parameters such as capacitance considering two, three, and four-bundle conductors using the HGWPSO algorithm and comparing its performance with other optimization techniques. According to the obtained result, the average percentage reduction for HGWPSO is 0.15 % in test case 1, 4.85 % in test case 2, and 2.84 % in test case 3, compared to others. It shows that the HGWPSO has better performance than other methods regarding convergence speed, and ability to locate the global optimum. Finally, experimental analysis confirms the superiority of the HGWPSO in accurately estimating TL capacitance for different bundle conductor configurations, obtaining lower average values, and effectively addressing the characteristic complexities in the TL parameter.

Attention-Based Load Forecasting with Bidirectional Finetuning

Accurate load forecasting is essential for the efficient and reliable operation of power systems. Traditional models primarily utilize unidirectional data reading, capturing dependencies from past to future. This paper proposes a novel approach that enhances load forecasting accuracy by fine tuning an attention-based model with a bidirectional reading of time-series data. By incorporating both forward and backward temporal dependencies, the model gains a more comprehensive understanding of consumption patterns, leading to improved performance. We present a mathematical framework supporting this approach, demonstrating its potential to reduce forecasting errors and improve robustness. Experimental results on real-world load datasets indicate that our bidirectional model outperforms state-of-the-art conventional unidirectional models, providing a more reliable tool for short and medium-term load forecasting. This research highlights the importance of bidirectional context in time-series forecasting and its practical implications for grid stability, economic efficiency, and resource planning.

FDIA localization and classification detection in smart grids using multi-modal data and deep learning technique

False data injection attacks (FDIA) exploit the vulnerabilities of bad data detection in energy management systems to maliciously tamper with state estimation results, seriously jeopardizing the safe and reliable operation of power systems. In order to promptly detect FDIA, recent studies have used machine learning techniques to extract attack characteristics and detect FDIA based on changes in these characteristics. Current research predominantly focuses on detecting a single type of FDIA attack model and topology. However, the increasing diversification of FDIA construction methods and the variability of topological structures in power systems can reduce or even invalidate detection effectiveness. To cope with the abovementioned difficulties, this study introduces a multimodal deep learning detection model based on variational graph auto-encoders (VGAE), temporal convolutional networks (TCN), and gated recurrent units (GRU). The topological features of power systems are obtained through VGAE to adapt to the detection needs of various topological structures and performance enhancement. These features are then integrated with preprocessed measurement data via BDD to form multimodal data. Furthermore, this multimodal data is used to locate and classify FDIA with complete information, FDIA with incomplete information, and topology attack after applying a multi-label classification algorithm based on TCN-GRU for temporal feature extraction. Experiments carried out on the IEEE 14 and IEEE 118 bus systems show that the proposed method is robust and has high detection performance. The results indicate that the proposed detection method achieves AUC values that are, on average, 0.085, 0.145, and 0.04 higher than those of CNN, LSTM, and CNN-LSTM, respectively. Moreover, under various noise and attack intensities, recall, precision, F1 score, and RACC remain above 0.859, 0.877, 0.867, and 0.818, respectively, with a classification accuracy greater than 0.912. This study provides a unique perspective on detecting FDIA across various attack models and power system topologies.

A hybrid deep learning approach to solve optimal power flow problem in hybrid renewable energy systems

The reliable operation of power systems while integrating renewable energy systems depends on Optimal Power Flow (OPF). Power systems meet the operational demands by efficiently managing the OPF. Identifying the optimal solution for the OPF problem is essential to ensure voltage stability, and minimize power loss and fuel cost when the power system is integrated with renewable energy resources. The traditional procedure to find the optimal solution utilizes nature-inspired metaheuristic optimization algorithms which exhibit performance drop in terms of high convergence rate and local optimal solution while handling uncertainties and nonlinearities in Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems (HRES). Thus, a novel hybrid model is presented in this research work using Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) with Quantum Inspired Genetic Algorithm (DRL-QIGA). The DRL in the proposed model effectively combines the proximal policy network to optimize power generation in real-time. The ability to learn and adapt to the changes in a real-time environment makes DRL to be suitable for the proposed model. Meanwhile, the QIGA enhances the global search process through the quantum computing principle, and this improves the exploitation and exploration features while searching for optimal solutions for the OPF problem. The proposed model experimental evaluation utilizes a modified IEEE 30-bus system to validate the performance. Comparative analysis demonstrates the proposed model’s better performance in terms of reduced fuel cost of $620.45, minimized power loss of 1.85 MW, and voltage deviation of 0.065 compared with traditional optimization algorithms.

Behavior-aware assessment of demand response participation in power systems using causal artificial intelligence

Demand response (DR) is pivotal in enhancing the operational efficiency and reliability of power systems. Understanding prosumers’ behavior and their participation in DR programs is essential for utilities to design effective DR programs. Typically, prosumers are not concurrently exposed to multiple electricity price plans or engaged in distinct DR programs, which make the available data limited and introduces complexity in assessing their DR participation. Causal artificial intelligence offers a solution by enabling causal intervention and counterfactual analysis, facilitating the estimation of prosumers’ responses to demand-side programs without the necessity of experimental and control groups. This paper introduces a framework that integrates causal learning approaches for causal intervention and counterfactual analyses of prosumers’ DR participation and consumption behavior. The proposed framework incorporates domain knowledge of the power system to enhance model accuracy and performance. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework with causal learning models in estimating prosumers’ DR participation and consumption behavior under different prices or DR programs. This capability allows utilities to gain a profound understanding of their prosumers, offering valuable insights for designing DR programs. Ultimately, this knowledge contributes to the reliable and efficient operation of power systems.

Wind power prediction through acoustic data-driven online modeling and active wake control

Accurate online prediction of wind power is essential for the reliable operation of power systems. However, the precision of wind turbine power forecasts is often hindered by wake effects and inadequate online modeling capabilities. To tackle this issue, this paper proposes a data-driven online prediction method for wind turbine power, leveraging acoustic data for training. The approach involves a neural network that learns acoustic feature changes related to wind output power, by enhancing the kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) technique and applying data augmentation. Additionally, to address the wake effects in real wind fields, active wake control is integrated, considering that most wind turbines operate in the wake of upstream turbines. Experiments using actual wind tunnel measurement data were conducted to assess the performance of the proposed method. The findings demonstrate that this method surpasses other techniques without increasing computational costs. The mean absolute error (MAE) of the proposed method was only 0.4111 and 0.4302, and the root mean square error (RMSE) was just 0.4868 and 0.5195, respectively, in both experiments. Moreover, the proposed acoustic data-driven online power prediction method proves stable in high background noise environments and achieves accurate wind power prediction with just a 10% data sample following the implementation of the active wake control strategy. This work significantly contributes to the efficient utilization of wind energy resources.

An open-source parallel EMT simulation framework

As the integration level of inverter-based resources (IBRs) increases, ensuring the reliable operation of the bulk power systems requires the use of electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulation tools to identify and mitigate system-wide stability risks. Conducting EMT studies for large-scale, IBR-rich grids, however, is challenging due to the inherent computational bottleneck caused by the underlying high-fidelity models and required small time steps. This paper introduces ParaEMT: an open-source, generic EMT simulation framework designed to accelerate simulations by leveraging advanced parallel computational technologies, such as high-performance computers. This paper presents a comprehensive exposition of ParaEMT, covering its modeling library, simulation strategy, framework structure, operational procedures, and auxiliary features, alongside its extensible parallel computational architecture. Notably, ParaEMT is a publicly accessible and modularized framework written in Python, thereby facilitating future development and the integration of new models and algorithms. The accuracy and efficiency of ParaEMT are demonstrated by rigorous validations via multiple case studies.

Harmonic Resonance Mechanisms and Influencing Factors of Distributed Energy Grid-Connected Systems

With the rapid development of global energy transformation and new power system, ensuring the stability of distributed energy grid connections is the key to maintaining the reliable operation of the whole power system. This paper constructs detailed impedance models of grid-following (GFL) and grid-forming (GFM) inverters using a harmonic linearization method and thoroughly investigates the mechanisms of resonance when inverters are connected to the grid, as well as the impact of model parameters on the stability of the grid system. This paper also briefly analyzes the scenario where distributed energy and electric vehicles are integrated into the grid simultaneously, demonstrating that grid system stability can be ensured in complex grid situations through reasonable parameter design. Lastly, the accuracy of the proposed impedance models and analysis is verified through MATLAB/Simulink simulations.

Initial estimate of AC optimal power flow with graph neural networks

Optimal power flow (OPF) is a crucial task in power system management and control; accurate and time-efficient solutions for OPF are necessary to ensure cost-efficient and reliable power system operation. We introduce a novel solution to solving alternating current OPF (ACOPF), a nonlinear and nonconvex optimization problem, by combining the speed of a trained deep learning model with the accuracy of iterative solvers. The proposed framework uses a graph neural network (GNN) to exploit the graph structure of a power system in conjunction with proximal policy optimization, a deep reinforcement learning algorithm, to compute initial guesses for an interior point solver (IPS), providing a warm start, allowing the solver to converge in fewer iterations. Existing literature that explores warm start ACOPF solutions using machine learning choose to compute initial guesses that are trained to be feasible and cost-minimizing. Our approach trains the GNN-based reinforcement learning agent to produce an output that minimizes IPS convergence time by designing a reward function that is a function of the IPS convergence time. We evaluate the proposed framework using IEEE test case environments, using PyPower’s IPS-based ACOPF solver and a GNN-based framework that computes ACOPF solutions directly as baselines, demonstrating significantly improved convergence times.

LoadNet: enhancing energy storage system integration in power system operation using temporal convolutional and recurrent models with self-attention

Introduction: In the context of the evolving energy landscape, the efficient integration of energy storage systems (ESS) has become essential for optimizing power system operation and accommodating renewable energy sources.Methods: This study introduces LoadNet, an innovative approach that combines the fusion of Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models, along with a self-attention mechanism, to address the challenges associated with ESS integration in power system operation. LoadNet aims to enhance the management and utilization of ESS by effectively capturing the complex temporal dependencies present in time-series data. The fusion architecture of TCN-GRU in LoadNet enables the modeling of both short-term and long-term dependencies, allowing for accurate representation of dynamic power system behaviors. Additionally, the incorporation of a self-attention mechanism enables LoadNet to focus on relevant information, facilitating informed decision-making for optimal ESS operation. To assess the efficacy of LoadNet, comprehensive experiments were conducted using real-world power system datasets.Results and Discussion: The results demonstrate that LoadNet significantly improves the efficiency and reliability of power system operation with ESS. By effectively managing the integration of ESS, LoadNet enhances grid stability and reliability, while promoting the seamless integration of renewable energy sources. This contributes to the development of a more sustainable and resilient power system. The proposed LoadNet model represents a significant advancement in power system management. Its ability to optimize power system operation by integrating ESS using the TCN-GRU fusion and self-attention mechanism holds great promise for future power system planning and operation. Ultimately, LoadNet can pave the way for a more sustainable and efficient power grid, supporting the transition to a clean and renewable energy future.

A fractional-order multiple-model type-2 fuzzy control for interconnected power systems incorporating renewable energies and demand response

Frequency regulation in Multi-region Interconnected Power Systems (MIPS), incorporating wind turbine systems, energy storage units, and demand response, is a challenging control problem. The problem involves maintaining grid stability, integrating variable renewable energy sources, enhancing grid resilience, optimizing energy storage and demand response capabilities, and ensuring regulatory compliance. Effective frequency regulation is a key problem for reliable and sustainable power system operation. In this paper, complex and uncertain dynamics in various components of a MIPS are modeled using multiple first-order dynamic fractional-order Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (T2-FLSs). The models are evaluated, and the best possible dynamic model is chosen. With the best possible model, an optimal controller is designed. The stability and optimality analysis are presented through a Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) approach. The adaptive laws of T2-FLSs are derived such that some LMI-based conditions are satisfied. The designed controller does not depend on the dynamics of MIPS. The uncertainties of time-varying load, wind energy, and solar power are modeled using T2-FLSs. The suggested LMI technique presents adaptation laws for T2-FLSs to ensure stability in the presage of natural disturbances and errors. The designed scheme is validated by applying to a practical 39-bus IEEE test system that includes the wind farms, demand response, and energy storage systems. The simulation results under various conditions verify the usefulness of the suggested controller. The comparisons with conventional controllers demonstrate that the suggested approach is more effective under uncertainties and natural perturbations.

A Multiscale Hybrid Wind Power Prediction Model Based on Least Squares Support Vector Regression–Regularized Extreme Learning Machine–Multi-Head Attention–Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit and Data Decomposition

Ensuring the accuracy of wind power prediction is paramount for the reliable and stable operation of power systems. This study introduces a novel approach aimed at enhancing the precision of wind power prediction through the development of a multiscale hybrid model. This model integrates advanced methodologies including Improved Intrinsic Mode Function with Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN), permutation entropy (PE), Least Squares Support Vector Regression (LSSVR), Regularized Extreme Learning Machine (RELM), multi-head attention (MHA), and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU). Firstly, the ICEEMDAN technique is employed to decompose the non-stationary raw wind power data into multiple relatively stable sub-modes, while concurrently utilizing PE to assess the complexity of each sub-mode. Secondly, the dataset is reconstituted into three distinct components as follows: high-frequency, mid-frequency, and low-frequency, to alleviate data complexity. Following this, the LSSVR, RELM, and MHA-BiGRU models are individually applied to predict the high-, mid-, and low-frequency components, respectively. Thirdly, the parameters of the low-frequency prediction model are optimized utilizing the Dung Beetle Optimizer (DBO) algorithm. Ultimately, the predicted results of each component are aggregated to derive the final prediction. The empirical findings illustrate the exceptional predictive performance of the multiscale hybrid model incorporating LSSVR, RELM, and MHA-BiGRU. In comparison with other benchmark models, the proposed model exhibits a reduction in Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values of over 10%, conclusively affirming its superior predictive accuracy.

ENHANCING POWER SYSTEM SECURITY THROUGH RESILIENT FREQUENCY REGULATION IN THE FACE OF HYBRID CYBER-ATTACKS

The growing reliance on modern communication technologies in power systems for Frequency Regulation (FR) introduces vulnerabilities to cyberattacks, posing significant threats to system stability and reliability. These attacks can disrupt the coordination among various components, such as sensors, control centers, and actuators, thereby compromising the integrity of FR analysis. In response, this article proposes a resilient solution in the form of a deep-learning-based Attack Detection and Mitigation system. By integrating advanced AI techniques, this system aims to fortify the security of FR operations within the cyber-physical framework, swiftly identifying and neutralizing cyber threats. Ultimately, this approach ensures the continuous and reliable operation of power systems, mitigating the risks posed by hybrid cyberattacks and safeguarding critical infrastructure. The proposed system represents a proactive approach to mitigating the escalating risks associated with cyberattacks targeting FR in power systems. Through its deep-learning algorithms, the system can dynamically adapt to emerging threats, enhancing the resilience of FR analysis against malicious intrusions. By bolstering security measures within the cyber-physical model, the system minimizes the potential impact of cyberattacks on power system stability and reliability. Moreover, its ability to detect and mitigate threats in real-time ensures uninterrupted operation, thereby safeguarding the functionality of power systems even amidst the evolving landscape of hybrid cyber threats. This resilient solution represents a crucial step towards fortifying power system security and maintaining essential services in the face of adversarial cyber activities. Keywords: Attack detection and mitigation (ADM) system, Frequency Regulation(FR), hybrid power system, Renewable Energy Sources (RESs), resiliency.

Power quality improvement of three-phase electrical systems using active-passive hybrid harmonic filter

An overreliance on nonlinear load can result in electric current harmonics, which will ultimately result in a decrease in the quality of the electrical power. If a malfunction arises as a consequence of the internal integration of a power system in any of the internal networks, it will have an adverse effect on the overall operation of the power system. Because of this issue, there is a requirement for harmonic filters, which can minimize the levels of harmonics by referencing the IEEE-519 standards for enhancing power quality. This research offers an active-passive hybrid harmonic power filter to eliminate harmonic pollution in three-phase electrical systems. A MATLAB simulation and laboratory experiment proceeded for 240 Vac with nonlinear loads that represent by uncontrolled rectifier and series RLC load, and selected results were presented to verify the performance of the active-passive harmonic filter component. Upon completion of this research, an analysis of the conditions of a three-phase electrical system will be possible under four distinct circumstances: in the absence of a filter, with an active filter, with a passive filter, and with a hybrid filter. Furthermore, this model performs a comparative analysis of the percentage reduction in THD value achieved by the filter compared to the previous researcher. The result analysis reveals the proposed filter's good performance in eliminating harmonic pollution to 58.63 %, thereby significantly improving power quality. The findings presented in this study contribute to the ongoing efforts to ensure the reliable and efficient operation of modern power systems.

Wind power forecasting technologies: A review

This study addresses the critical role of wind power forecasting in ensuring stable and reliable power system operations. Wind Power Forecasting is critical for the efficient operation of plant, time scheduling, and it’s balancing of power generation with grid integration systems. Due to its dependency on dynamic climatic conditions and associated factors, accurate wind power forecasting is challenging. The research delves into various aspects, including input data, input selection techniques, data pre-processing, and forecasting methods, with the aim of motivating researchers to design highly efficient online/offline models on weather-based data. The overarching goal is to enhance the reliability and stability of power systems while optimizing energy resource utilization. The analysis reveals that hybrid models offer more accurate results, highlighting their significance in the current era. This study investigates different Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) models from existing literature, focusing on input variables, time horizons, climatic conditions, pre-processing techniques, and sample sizes that affect model accuracy. It covers statistical models like ARMA and ARIMA, along with AI techniques including Deep Learning (DL), Machine Learning (ML), and neural networks, to estimate wind power.

Event-Driven Day-Ahead and Intra-Day Optimal Dispatch Strategy for Sustainable Operation of Power Systems Considering Major Weather Events

As the proportion of renewable energy installations in modern power systems increases, major weather events can easily trigger significant fluctuations in new energy generation and electricity load, presenting the system with the dual challenges of ensuring power supply and renewable energy consumption. Traditional dispatch models need more coordination and optimization of flexible resources under major weather events and risk management of system operations. This study focuses on provincial-level transmission systems, aiming to achieve the coordinated and optimized dispatch of flexible resources across multiple time scales in response to the complex and variable environments faced by the system. Firstly, by profoundly analyzing the response mechanisms of power systems during major weather events, this study innovatively proposes an event-driven day-ahead and intra-day optimal dispatch strategy for power systems. This strategy can sense and respond to major weather events in the day-ahead phase and adjust dispatch decisions in real time during the intra-day phase, thereby comprehensively enhancing the adaptability of power systems to sudden weather changes. Secondly, by considering the variability of renewable energy sources and electricity demand in the day-ahead and intra-day dispatch plans, the strategy ensures efficient and reliable power system operation under normal and major weather event scenarios. Finally, the method’s effectiveness is validated using actual data from a provincial-level power grid in China. The proposed dispatch strategy enhances the resilience and adaptability of power systems to major weather events, which are becoming increasingly frequent and severe due to climate change. The research demonstrates that an event-driven day-ahead and intra-day optimal dispatch strategy can enhance the economic efficiency and robustness of power system operations through the coordinated dispatch of flexible resources during major weather events, thereby supporting the transition toward sustainable energy systems that are resilient against the challenges of a changing climate.