Wind power prediction through acoustic data-driven online modeling and active wake control

Abstract

Accurate online prediction of wind power is essential for the reliable operation of power systems. However, the precision of wind turbine power forecasts is often hindered by wake effects and inadequate online modeling capabilities. To tackle this issue, this paper proposes a data-driven online prediction method for wind turbine power, leveraging acoustic data for training. The approach involves a neural network that learns acoustic feature changes related to wind output power, by enhancing the kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) technique and applying data augmentation. Additionally, to address the wake effects in real wind fields, active wake control is integrated, considering that most wind turbines operate in the wake of upstream turbines. Experiments using actual wind tunnel measurement data were conducted to assess the performance of the proposed method. The findings demonstrate that this method surpasses other techniques without increasing computational costs. The mean absolute error (MAE) of the proposed method was only 0.4111 and 0.4302, and the root mean square error (RMSE) was just 0.4868 and 0.5195, respectively, in both experiments. Moreover, the proposed acoustic data-driven online power prediction method proves stable in high background noise environments and achieves accurate wind power prediction with just a 10% data sample following the implementation of the active wake control strategy. This work significantly contributes to the efficient utilization of wind energy resources.