Relative Sea-level Rise Research Articles

Disruptive Role of Vertical Land Motion in Future Assessments of Climate Change‐Driven Sea‐Level Rise and Coastal Flooding Hazards in the Chesapeake Bay

AbstractFuture projections of sea‐level rise (SLR) used to assess coastal flooding hazards and exposure throughout the 21st century and devise risk mitigation efforts often lack an accurate estimate of coastal vertical land motion (VLM) rate, driven by anthropogenic or non‐climate factors in addition to climatic factors. The Chesapeake Bay (CB) region of the United States is experiencing one of the fastest rates of relative sea‐level rise on the Atlantic coast of the United States. This study uses a combination of space‐borne Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), Light Detecting and Ranging (LiDAR) data sets, available National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) long‐term tide gauge data, and SLR projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), AR6 WG1 to quantify the regional rate of relative SLR and future flooding hazards for the years 2030, 2050, and 2100. By the year 2100, the total inundated areas from SLR and subsidence are projected to be 454(316–549)–600(535–690) for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 1–1.9 to 5–8.5, respectively, and 342(132–552)–627(526–735) only from SLR. The effect of storm surges based on Hurricane Isabel can increase the inundated area to 849(832–867)–1,117(1,054–1,205) km2 under different VLM and SLR scenarios. We suggest that accurate estimates of VLM rate, such as those obtained here, are essential to revise IPCC projections and obtain accurate maps of coastal flooding and inundation hazards. The results provided here inform policymakers when assessing hazards associated with global climate changes and local factors in CB, required for developing risk management and disaster resilience plans.

Space–time analyses of sediment composition reveals synchronized dynamics at all intertidal flats in the Dutch Wadden Sea

Intertidal mudflat systems are shaped by geological processes and an interplay of hydrodynamics, sediment availability and ecological processes. All around the world these systems are affected by relative sea level rise (RSLR), changing climate and by human activities such as sediment nourishments, dredging, hydrological engineering and bottom trawling. These kinds of perturbations cause changes in morphology and sediment composition which may cause shifts in the composition, spatial distribution and productivity of benthic communities. We analysed the spatial and temporal variability of the sediment grain size of more than 900 km2 intertidal flats in the Dutch Wadden Sea in the period 2009–2019. The large scale coverage was achieved by yearly grid sampling at more than 4000 stations. Spatial panel data models were used to analyse changes in median grain size and mud content between years and to estimate the effects of resuspension due to wind and the accumulation of silt during summer. We show that between years the sediments of the intertidal flats changed synchronously throughout the study area and that the flats became coarser during the period 2011–2015 and muddier again between 2015 and 2019. The system wide changes and the absence of clear local deviations leads to the hypothesis that a large scale factor like changing hydrodynamic regime (e.g. due to RSLR), variability in the composition of suspended sediment in the North Sea or changing microphytobenthic productivity were causally involved in the coarsening of intertidal flats. Our data and analysis provides a base for further scientific enquiry but longer time series on higher temporal resolution of both sediment data and the physical and ecological environment are required. Models simulating the environment may provide further insight into possible development of sediment composition of the intertidal flats of the Wadden Sea.

Landscape change and climate attribution, with a case study of estuarine marshes

Determining effects of climate change on landscapes involves numerous uncertainties. This paper presents and illustrates a protocol for climate attribution of landscape responses. The major steps are ascertaining potential climate-related responses, establishing plausibility for a climatic influence, identifying alternative or additional causes, testing possible climate and non-climate causes, and interpreting the role of climate and climate change in the landscape response. The protocol is based on existing practice in the historical and interpretive branches of Earth and ecological sciences, and explicitly considers negative (non-confirmatory) results for climate and other factors. The protocol is applied to the conversion of brackish marsh to open water in the upper Neuse River estuary, North Carolina. Conversion since at least the mid twentieth century can be attributed to relative sea-level rise, driven primarily by general climate warming, with no supporting evidence for any additional or alternative drivers. The only other factor with supporting evidence is human modification in the form of ditches, around which conversion was concentrated, though marsh loss also occurred in unditched portions. Rapid recent marsh loss is attributable to Hurricane Florence (2018), particularly the storm surge. Weak positive inferential support exists for a role of climate change in the storm, but aspects of the storm's impact not linked to climate are more important for the marsh conversions. Overall, the landscape response can be linked to climate, exacerbated by direct human impacts of marsh ditching, and strongly influenced by local place factors and the specific storm track. Recent and ongoing climate change is a significant factor, but not paramount, in determining the landscape response. The Neuse River case study is not unusual—and is probably typical—in identifying a combination of climate and other factors strongly influencing landscape response.

Postglacial relative sea-level changes in the Gulf of Maine, USA: Database compilation, assessment and modelling

Relative sea level (RSL) reconstructions from paleo records are often the most valuable data set for testing and constraining glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) models. In some regions, the amplitude and rate of the reconstructed RSL changes are large making the data difficult to fit. Arguably, the reconstructed RSL curve from Maine, USA, is the classic example of such a data set with peak values at about 120 m dropping to a low stand of around −40 m within a few thousand years. To our knowledge, no GIA model has captured these extreme variations and the record has been somewhat neglected by the GIA modelling community. Here we critically assess and present a revised pre-10 ka RSL data base for this region and combine it with two recent Holocene compilations. Based on our assessment, we conclude that the large and rapid changes, inferred in previous studies, are robust. To determine if a successful model fit can be found, we consider a GIA parameter set comprising five ice models and 440 spherically-symmetric, Earth viscosity models assuming a Maxwell rheology. Results show that none of the model parameter sets produce a good fit to the data set. The rapid RSL fall and lowstand can be simulated by Earth models with low values of upper mantle viscosity (∼5 × 1019 Pas). However, such low viscosity values result in a large mid-Holocene highstand (order 10 m) while the observations indicate a monotonic RSL rise throughout this interval. Our results indicate that Earth models able to simulate time-dependent viscosity (i.e., those that include transient and/or non-Newtonian deformation) might be required to fit the Maine RSL data set.

Warm, not cold temperatures contributed to a Late Miocene reef decline in the Coral Sea

Evidence shows that in the modern ocean, coral reefs are disappearing, and these losses are tied to climate change. However, research also shows that coral reefs can adapt rapidly to changing conditions leading some researchers to suggest that some reef systems will survive future climate change through adaptation. It is known that there were changes in the area covered by coral reefs in the past. Therefore, it is important to investigate the long-term response of coral reefs to environmental changes and high sea-surface temperatures (SSTs). However, because of diagenetic issues with SST proxies in neritic, metastable carbonate-rich environments, there is an incomplete and sometimes even incorrect understanding of how changes in SSTs affect carbonate reef systems. A good example is the Queensland Plateau offshore northeast Australia next to the threatened Great Barrier Reef. In the Late Miocene, between 11 and 7 Ma, a partial drowning caused the reef area on the Queensland Plateau to decline by ~ 50% leading to a Late Miocene change in platform geometry from a reef rimmed platform to a carbonate ramp. This reef decline was interpreted to be the result of SSTs at the lower limit of the modern reef growth window (20–18 °C). This article presents a new Late Miocene—ased SST record from the Coral Sea based on the TEX86H molecular paleothermometer, challenging this long held view. Our new record indicates warm tropical SSTs (27–32 °C) at the upper end of the modern reef growth window. We suggest that the observed temperatures potentially exceeded the optimal calcification temperatures of corals. In combination with a low aragonite supersaturation in the ocean, this could have reduced coral growth rates and ultimately lowered the aggradation potential of the reef system. These sub-optimal growth rates could have made the coral reefs more susceptible to other stressors, such as relative sea-level rise and/or changes in currents leading to reef drowning. Given that these changes affected coral reefs that were likely adapted to high temperature/low aragonite saturation conditions suggests that reefs that have adapted to non-ideal conditions may still be susceptible to future climate changes due to the interaction of multiple stressors associated with climate change.

Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast

AbstractThe long‐term stability of coastal wetlands is determined by interactions among sea level, plant primary production, sediment supply, and wetland vertical accretion. Human activities in watersheds have significantly altered sediment delivery from the landscape to the coastal ocean, with declines along much of the U.S. East Coast. Tidal wetlands in coastal systems with low sediment supply may have limited ability to keep pace with accelerating rates of sea‐level rise (SLR). Here, we show that rates of vertical accretion and carbon accumulation in nine tidal wetland systems along the U.S. East Coast from Maine to Georgia can be explained by differences in the rate of relative SLR (RSLR), the concentration of suspended sediments in the rivers draining to the coast, and temperature in the coastal region. Further, we show that rates of vertical accretion have accelerated over the past century by between 0.010 and 0.083 mm yr−2, at roughly the same pace as the acceleration of global SLR. We estimate that rates of carbon sequestration in these wetland soils have accelerated (more than doubling at several sites) along with accelerating accretion. Wetland accretion and carbon accumulation have accelerated more rapidly in coastal systems with greater relative RSLR, higher watershed sediment availability, and lower temperatures. These findings suggest that the biogeomorphic feedback processes that control accretion and carbon accumulation in these tidal wetlands have responded to accelerating RSLR, and that changes to RSLR, watershed sediment supply, and temperature interact to determine wetland vulnerability across broad geographic scales.

Relative sea level response to mixed carbonate-siliciclastic sediment loading along the Great Barrier Reef margin

The continental shelf along northeastern Australia is the world's largest mixed carbonate-siliciclastic passive margin and the location of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR). Following sea-level transgression during the last deglaciation, extensive sediment was deposited along the GBR due to neritic carbonate deposition (including shelf edge reefs, Holocene reefs and Halimeda bioherms) and fluvial discharge of terrigenous siliciclastic sediments. Such sediment loading can alter local relative sea level (RSL) by several metres through the sediment isostatic adjustment (SIA) process, a signal that is poorly constrained at the GBR. In this study, we used a glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) model to develop an ensemble-based sediment loading history for the GBR since Marine Isotope Stage 2 (MIS 2). A Bayesian style framework is adopted to calibrate the sediment history ensemble and GIA model parameters using a sea-level database. According to our results, 1853.7 Gt (1613.1-2078.7 Gt, 95% confidence interval) of sediment have been deposited across the GBR since MIS 2 (28 ka BP), causing spatially variable relative sea-level change with the highest magnitude (0.9-1.1 m) found in the outer shelf of the southern central GBR (18.4-21.6∘ S). Because the SIA-induced RSL rise is unrelated to ice mass loss, failing to correct for this signal will lead to systematic overestimation of grounded ice volume by up to ∼4.3 × 105 km3 during the Last Glacial Maximum. Additionally, we found that spatial variation in sediment loading and coastal environment may explain the different RSL history documented by published fossil coral reef records from Noggin Pass and Hydrographer's Passage. These results highlight the importance of considering SIA for any postglacial sea-level studies adjacent to large sediment systems. Lastly, by quantifying both the GIA and SIA signals, we provide a spatially and temporally complete RSL reconstruction that is well-suited to be used as a boundary condition to study the evolution of the GBR shelf and slope sedimentary system.

Long-term performance and impacts of living shorelines in mesohaline Chesapeake Bay

Shorelines in Chesapeake Bay, and many other estuaries and coastal embayments, are rapidly eroding, with even more rapid loss expected in the future from drivers like urbanization and accelerated relative sea-level rise (RSLR). Past efforts to stabilize shorelines using approaches like riprap or bulkheads generally have resulted in negative ecosystem impacts, resulting in a rise of ecosystem-based approaches using natural and nature-based features (NNBF) such as living shorelines, defined here as narrow marsh fringes with adjacent sills. Living shorelines provide similar ecosystem services as natural marshes but are threatened by the same stressors of environmental change, raising questions about their long-term resiliency and effectiveness in reducing shoreline erosion. Questions also remain about their potential impacts on benthic habitats in adjacent waters. These questions are especially relevant to the Chesapeake, where relatively rapid rates of RSLR and declining sediment supplies have led to widespread marsh loss, and submersed aquatic vegetation (SAV) is a critical indicator for water clarity. This study addresses these questions through field observations in ∼10-year-old living shorelines and SAV habitats adjacent to them, along with observations at nearby reference (unaltered) shorelines. In general, shoreline erosion continued at or above historical rates at reference shorelines, but living shoreline installation builds shorelines seaward and results in net shoreline accretion. While the sand and organic content of bottom sediments in adjacent waters changed at many sites after living shoreline installation, changes were site-specific and typically in the same direction at both living and reference shorelines. These changes did not appear to impact SAV distributions, which followed regional trends likely linked to water clarity. Sediment and nutrient burial in the coastal zone, which includes both intertidal marsh and subtidal SAV habitats, was highest for living shorelines due to the addition of marsh habitat. While this study did not consider direct replacement of SAV with living shorelines, these results suggest that discouraging living shoreline installation in areas with SAV may miss an opportunity to enhance nutrient burial in the coastal zone.

Temporal variability in soil organic matter accretion rates in coastal deltaic wetlands under changing depositional environments

AbstractThe Mississippi River Deltaic Plain experiences high relative sea level rise, limited sediment supply, and high marsh edge erosion, leading to the substantial coastal wetland and stored soil organic matter (SOM) loss. The objective of this study was to understand the SOM accumulation rates over the past 1000 years related to the changes in the depositional environment in these highly eroding coastal wetlands. Soil cores (2 m) were collected from four sites in Barataria Basin, LA and analyzed for proportion of organic and mineral matter, total C, N, P, particle size, and stable isotopic composition (δ13C and δ15N), as well as 14C and 137Cs dating. The soil carbon stock in the 2 m depth (62.4 ± 2 kg m−2) was approximately 88% greater than the carbon stock in just the 1 m depth (33.1 ± 0.6 kg m−2) indicating a need for considering deeper soil profiles (up to 2 m) to estimate blue carbon stock in deltaic environments. The average vertical accretion rate for Barataria Basin was 8.1 ± 0.6 mm year−1 over 50 years. The long‐term (1000‐year time scale) C accumulation rate (39 g C m−2 year−1) was ∼14% of the short‐term accumulation rate (254 ± 19 g C m−2 year−1). Wetlands in Barataria Basin started as fresh marsh and transitioned over time to intermediate to brackish. These marshes were able to maintain relative elevation through the accumulation of organic matter and mud despite high relative rates of sea‐level rise. However, the high rates of edge erosion may limit these marshes to continue to sequester atmospheric carbon under accelerating sea level in the absence of restoration efforts.

Preliminary Coastal Vulnerability Assessment for Guangdong Province, Southeast China

Li, W.; Xiang, W.; Wang, H.; Dong, J.; Xu, H.; Zhang, J.; Zuo, C.; Liu, Q.; Lv, J., and Xie, Q., 2023. Preliminary coastal vulnerability assessment for Guangdong province, Southeast China. Journal of Coastal Research, 39(3), 509–518. Charlotte (North Carolina), ISSN 0749-0208. Accelerating sea level rise and intensifying extreme marine and weather events pose unprecedented challenges to coastal areas in the context of climate change. As a hotspot of marine disasters, Guangdong has been suffering from severe marine disasters including storms, flooding, coastal erosion, and saltwater intrusion in the last decades. It is essential for coastal management authorities to distinguish vulnerable areas and optimize coastal planning. To help identify the coastal vulnerability patterns of the Guangdong coast, the coastal vulnerability index was used based on integrated physical and socio-economic indicators including relative sea level rise, mean tide range, significant wave height, coastal slope, geomorphology, population, land use, and coastal gross domestic product. Each indicator was assigned five vulnerability classifications from very low to very high (1–5). Results show that about 36.7% of the coastline in Guangdong is highly vulnerable, of which 18.3% of the coastline is very highly vulnerable. About 63.3% of the coastline is in moderate to low vulnerability. In particular, the coastal areas in east of Zhanjiang, Maoming, Yangjiang, Zhuhai, Zhongshan, Guangzhou, west of Shenzhen, east Shanwei, and Chaozhou are more vulnerable to sea level rise, which calls for urgent planning and protective measures.

Relative Sea Level Trends for the Coastal Areas of Peninsular and East Malaysia Based on Remote and In Situ Observations

Absolute sea-level rise has become an important topic globally due to climate change. In addition, relative sea-level rise due to the vertical land motion in coastal areas can have a big societal impact. Vertical land motion (VLM) in Southeast Asia includes a tectonically induced component: uplift and subsidence in plate boundary zones where both Peninsular and East Malaysia are located. In this paper, the relative sea-level trends and (seismic cycle-induced) temporal changes across Malaysia were investigated. To do so, the data (1984–2019) from 21 tide gauges were analyzed, along with a subset (1994–2021) of nearby Malaysian GNSS stations. Changes in absolute sea level (ASL) at these locations (1992–2021) were also estimated from satellite altimetry data. As a first for Peninsular and East Malaysia, the combination ASL minus VLM was robustly used to validate relative sea-level rise from tide-gauge data and provide relative sea-level trend estimates based on a common data period of 25+ years. A good match between both the remote and in situ sea-level rise estimations was observed, especially for Peninsular Malaysia (differences < 1 mm/year), when split trends were estimated from the tide gauges and GNSS time series to distinguish between the different VLM regimes that exist due to the 2004 Sumatra–Andaman megathrust earthquake. As in the south of Thailand, post-seismic-induced negative VLM has increased relative sea-level rise by 2–3 mm/year along the Andaman Sea and Malacca Strait coastlines since 2005. For East Malaysia, the validation shows higher differences (bias of 2–3 mm/year), but this poorer match is significantly improved by either not including data after 1 January 2014 or applying a generic jump to all East Malay tide gauges from that date onwards. Overall, the present relative sea-level trends range from 4 to 6 mm/year for Malaysia with a few regions showing up to 9 mm/year due to human-induced land subsidence.

Late Permian-Triassic sedimentary evolution of the Southern Adriatic area based on wells and cores analysis

Rock samples from two cores within the Triassic interval of the Puglia 1 well, were studied to reveal the sedimentary facies and diagenesis. The Core 1 (5.048–5.056 m deep) is characterized by laminated dolomudstones with thinly microbial laminae alternated to lenticular/tabular shaped anhydrite crystal levels, suggesting an intertidal/sabkha-type environment. The Core 2 (6.067–6.075 m deep), shows coarse-grained crystalline massive dolomite with remnants of oolites and shell fragments, suggesting a marginal shallow-water setting. Dolomitization is ubiquitous and occurred early after the deposition through the circulation of high saline dolomitizing fluids under general reducing conditions. The early-dolomitization preserved the dolomites from major burial diagenetic transformations, permitting only the ordering and the development of xenotopic textures in the dolomite crystals (aging). Primary anhydrite crystals were lately affected at least by one burial hydration-dehydration cycle, whereas fracture-filling anhydrite is a later-stage diagenetic product of circulating sulphate-rich fluids. Moreover, the integration of Puglia 1 well data with other six exploration wells and a seismic line allowed a possible reconstruction of the Permian-Triassic sedimentary evolution of the Southern Adriatic area. During Permian continental/coastal lagoon settings developed, while in the Ladinian, after a generalized subaerial exposure and an erosional phase, the extensional tectonic inputs linked to Tethys rifting brought to a relative sea-level rise and to the formation of carbonate shelves in NW-SE oriented tectonic depressions. During Carnian-early Norian a further extensional tectonic pulse coupled with a relative sea-level drop, led to the formation of NW-SE elongated intrashelf basin with a consequent enhancement of salinity and settlement of evaporative conditions. This triggered a massive evaporite deposition during the Norian, that filled the basinal areas. Lastly, in the late Norian-Rhaetian a marked relative sea-level rise, restored the connections with open-sea and shifted the evaporite deposition up to the shallowest parts of the basins that previously remained under subaerial conditions.

Palaeoenvironments and sequence development of the Upper Palaeogene-Lower Neogene Succession in Kirkuk, Bai Hassan and Khabaz oil Fields, Northern Iraq

Microfacies analysis of the Upper Palaeogene-Lower Neogene succession which include Jaddala, Palani, Sheikh Allas, Shurau, Tarjil, Baba, Bajwan, Ibrahim, Azkand, Anah and Jeribe formations within Kirkuk area led to the recognition of many microfacies. They were grouped into nine facies associations ranging from supratidal to basin setting. These facies associations were deposited within a rimmed shelf with a barrier reef during the Palaeogene and a steepened ramp setting with fringing patch reef during the Neogene. The digenetic imprints on the recognized microfacies are prominent and dominated by cementation, neomorphism, dolomitization, precipitation of authigenic minerals, dissolution (leaching), compaction, mechanical degredation, micritization and geopitalstractures.
 The Upper Palaeogene-Lower Neogene succession is represented by a 2nd order cycle, It includes five 3rd order cycles within the shallowing upward upper part (The highstand systems tract) of this cycle. Cycles A and B were deposited during the Oligocene and present in the wells of Kirkuk oil field and bounded below by a transgressive surface and above by Type1 sequence boundary, Cycles C and D were deposited during the Aquitanian Early Miocene and found in Khabaz Field only and bounded below and above by a Type1 sequence boundary. These cycles were formed where the tectonic component was the major controlling factor on their development, This have caused successive episodes of relative sea level rises and stillstands, followed by sea level fall. Another 3rd order cycle within the Jeribe Formation was identified at Bai Hassan and Khabaz fields, this cycle is bounded below and above by a Type1 sequence boundary and also represent a brief episode of relative sea level rise followed by a major fall eroding most of the formation.
 The development of the Upper Palaeogene-Lower Neogene succession went through three main stages. The first stage was represented by the deposition of the basinal Jaddala and Palani formations (Eocene-Early Oligocene) all over the study area. The second stage was characterized by the basin trend being to the south toward the Khabaz Field and the reef buildup was located near Kirkuk Field and an interfingering took place between the Sheikh Allas and Palani formations deposited as a 3rd order cycle (A) therefore the fore reef and reef of Sheikh Allas and the back reef Shurau were deposited as a second 3rd order cycle (B) in Kirkuk Field only whereas the deposition of the basinal facies of the Palani Formation continued in both Bai Hassan and Khabaz areas. The third stage took place during the Aquitanian Early Miocene where a positive area developed as the Baba Dome and the Bai Hassan Field were uplifted with Avanah and Khurmala domes in Kirkuk Field; therefore the Bajwan and Baba formations (Late Oligocene) became subject to erosion, and the Khabaz Field represent the area of reef buildup, and the depositional system was changed from the shelf to ramp setting. During the Langhian new transgression took place where the Bai Hassan and Khabaz areas represent a tidal flat and the Jeribe Formation was deposited, whereas the Kirkuk Field was a positive area.

Simulating the Impacts of an Applied Dynamic Adaptive Pathways Plan Using an Agent-Based Model: A Tauranga City, New Zealand, Case Study

Climate change and relative sea-level rise (RSLR) will increasingly expose coastal cities to coastal flooding, erosion, pluvial and fluvial flooding, episodic storm-tide flooding and eventually, permanent inundation. Tools are needed to support adaptive management approaches that allow society to adapt incrementally by making decisions now without creating path dependency and compromising decision-making options in the future. We developed an agent-based model that integrates climate-related physical hazard drivers and socio-economic drivers. We used it to explore how adaptive actions might be sequentially triggered within a low-elevation coastal city in New Zealand, in response to various climate change and socio-economic scenarios. We found that different adaptive actions are triggered at about the same RSLR level regardless of shared socio-economic pathway/representative concentration pathway scenario. The timing of actions within each pathway is dictated mainly by the rate of RSLR and the timing and severity of storm events. For the representative study site, the model suggests that the limits for soft and hard protection will occur around 30 cm RSLR, fully-pumped water systems are viable to around 35 cm RSLR and infrastructure upgrades and policy mechanisms are feasible until between 40 cm and 75 cm RSLR. After 75 cm RSLR, active retreat is the only remaining adaptation pathway.

Ecosystem Services and Disservices of Bay-Delta Primary Producers: How Plants and Algae Affect Ecosystems and Respond to Management of the Estuary and Its Watershed

The Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (Delta) is a case-study of the Anthropocene “great accelerations,” with exponentially increasing temperatures and sea level over time, leading to rapid change in other ecosystem components. In nearly all these interconnected changes and across scales, primary producers play a major role, with diverse effects that mitigate or exacerbate rapid change induced by climate or other human-driven perturbations. Through this anthropocentric lens, primary producers can be viewed as performing numerous ecosystem services—which ultimately benefit humans—as well as ecosystem disservices, which have negative effects on human communities. For example, through carbon sequestration, wetlands can perform ecosystem services of mitigating warming at a global scale and combating relative sea-level rise at a local scale, while generating food that supports regional food webs and fisheries. On the other hand, invasive aquatic vegetation (IAV) can trap sediment before it reaches wetlands, exacerbating local subsidence and relative sea-level rise while incurring great costs to recreation, fishing, and agencies tasked with its control. Effectively managing these ecosystem services and disservices requires understanding of how they are connected. For example, wetland restoration often creates opportunities for IAV, which may inhibit sediment deposition on the wetland and outcompete native species. As the Delta science community works toward a more integrative understanding of how different components of the Delta interact as a whole and across scales, the pervasive effects of the ecosystem services and disservices of primary producers serve as foundational knowledge. In this topically themed edition of State of Bay-Delta Science, we review these effects. Individual chapters focus on the historical ecology of the primary productivity of aquatic vegetation, the ecology and control of invasive aquatic vegetation, harmful algal blooms, carbon sequestration and subsidence reversal by wetlands, and remote sensing methods for quantifying the ecosystem services and disservices of Delta primary producers.

Depositional processes of the mixed siliciclastic-carbonate system in the Lower Cambrian Xiannüdong Formation in the northern Sichuan Basin, South China

Mixed siliciclastic-carbonate systems contain significant heterogeneity of facies associations which complicates the interpretation of depositional environments and platform evolution. The Lower Cambrian Xiannüdong Formation in the northern Sichuan Basin was deposited in a mixed system which is characterized by the non-skeleton grain (ooids and microbialites) dominated carbonates mixed with siliciclastic sediments. Such a depositional system provides a template to decipher the facies variability of mixed depositional systems and the evolution of platform geometry. Based on the facies analysis in outcrops and drilling wells, seventeen lithofacies were identified and grouped into seven lithofacies associations which represents a shallow-marine environment dominated by wave and storm activities. The vertical stacking pattern of lithofacies in the Xiannüdong Formation archives a regressive cycle which can be subdivided into four sub-cycles (i.e., S1 to S4). All the four sub-cycles exhibit the characteristic of the shallowing-upward successions, which are overlain by a flooding unit. The spatial distribution of lithofacies suggests an eastward-inclined platform. The migrating ooid shoals together with the storm activities may prevent the platform from evolving into a rimmed shelf. The lateral and vetical distribution of the terrigenous materials indicates that the provenance of terrigenous sediments were mainly sourced from the Kangdian and Bikou massifs, which indicates that the mixed system and the provenance area were separated by the Mianyang-Changning trough. Therefore, the transport of siliciclastic materials was related to the available accommodation space on the shelf, and was controlled by the eustatic sea-level fluctuation, with increased input of siliciclastic material occurred during phases of relative sea-level rise. The input of siliciclastic sediments brings nutrition for the growth of algal–archaeocyathan mounds, and therefore the mounds were mainly developed in the lower part of Xiannüdong Formation. Moreover, high siliciclastic sediments influx would also influence the growth of ooids by serving nuclei and promoting abrasion, which resulted in smaller ooid size compared to those of the relatively pure oolite. This study provides clues to understanding the facies variability in mixed systems and servers as a valuable reference for studies of other similar platforms.

Coastal wetland adaptability to sea level rise: The neglected role of semi‐diurnal vs. diurnal tides

AbstractTidal marshes and mangroves are threatened by relative sea level rise (RSLR) in certain regions on Earth. Elsewhere, these coastal wetlands can adapt through sediment accretion and resulting surface elevation gain. Studies identifying drivers of the global variability in coastal wetland adaptability to RSLR ignored the role of the tidal pattern, varying from semi‐diurnal to diurnal globally. Here, we present a meta‐analysis, including 394 marsh and mangrove sites worldwide, and demonstrate that the tidal pattern explains ~ 25% of the variability in wetland elevation response to RSLR. Using a numerical model, we illustrate that less frequent, diurnal tides trigger lower sediment accretion rates, hence higher wetland vulnerability to RSLR, for various values of RSLR rates, tidal range and sediment supply. Our findings reveal a previously overlooked but relevant driver of coastal wetland adaptability to RSLR and call for new research as tidal patterns may affect other wetland ecosystem functions and services.

Prehistoric sea-salt manufacture as an adaptation strategy to coastal flooding in East China

Coastal societies are known to be vulnerable to sea-level rise. However, here we report the occurrence of salt manufacturing in the archaeological record of an island of East China that reveals an adaptation strategy by a prehistoric coastal society to sea-level rise through an interdisciplinary study of archaeology and stratigraphy. Archaeological findings and observations of marine microfossils and alkaline earth metals in sediment sequences, together with radiocarbon and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating, reveal that the site was initially occupied at ca. 2900 BCE as an island village with multiple subsistence strategies including hunting, fishing, and stone-tool making associated with the formation of a freshwater dominated coastal plain. Seawater inundation induced by relative sea-level rise occurred at the site at ca. 2400 BCE when Neolithic people constructed elevated mounds and developed specialized sea-salt manufacture in the sheltered tidal flat environment on the island. Evidence from the foraminiferal assemblage suggests that salty soil was scraped from the surface of the adjacent tidal flats and waste material was dumped around the artificial mounds. Micro-structures of the foraminiferal fossils further indicate that these salty soils were air-dried before brine enrichment to produce high-quality salt. Such an economic shift from multiple subsistence into specialized sea-salt manufacture on the island stands in striking contrast to the contemporaneous abandonment of numerous Liangzhu settlements on the adjacent mainland due to coastal flooding. We suggest that prehistoric sea-salt manufacture on the East China coast signifies the resilience of coastal societies in facing the challenge of sea-level rise through exploitation of geographical advantages and marine resources.

Sedimentary facies and stratigraphy of the Campanian-Maastrichtian Taloka Formation, southeastern Iullemmeden Basin, Nigeria

The sedimentology of the Campanian – Maastrichtian Taloka Formation of the southeastern Iullemmeden Basin in Northwest Nigeria is poorly understood. There are still major uncertainties regarding its depositional setting. This study presents a detailed facies analysis and sequence stratigraphic interpretation for the Taloka Formation of Rima Group of the southeastern Iullemmeden Basin in Nigeria based on outcrop observations, sedimentary logging and ichnological analyses. Thin sections, representative of delineated facies associations, are included in the data. Twelve lithofacies and four facies associations were delineated. The facies associations are interpreted to represent intertidal flat, lower shoreface, delta-front and tide-influenced channel environments. The facies associations are arranged vertically into a wave- and tide-influenced deltaic facies succession. Paleosols, low-high bioturbation intensity and low ichnodiversity, (e.g., Thalassinoides and Skolithos ichnofossils) were found in the deposits. Furthermore, the stacking patterns of the Taloka Formation (juxtaposed wave- and tide-influenced facies associations overlain by nearshore and restricted marine deposits) reflect an aggradational set of shallowing upward, progradational parasequences, interpreted as lowstand systems tract: deposits formed when supply balanced accommodation, under low relative sea-level rise condition. A mixed-energy delta model is proposed for the Taloka Formation. The Taloka Formation represents an example of a slowly subsiding, highly-moderately embayed coast.

Anthropogenic impacts on tidal creek sedimentation since 1900.

Land cover and use around the margins of estuaries has shifted since 1950 at many sites in North America due to development pressures from higher population densities. Small coastal watersheds are ubiquitous along estuarine margins and most of this coastal land-cover change occurred in these tidal creek watersheds. A change in land cover could modify the contribution of sediments from tidal creek watersheds to downstream areas and affect estuarine habitats that rely on sediments to persist or are adversely impacted by sediment loading. The resilience of wetlands to accelerating relative sea-level rise depends, in part, on the supply of lithogenic sediment to support accretion and maintain elevation; however, subtidal habitats such as oyster reefs and seagrass beds are stressed under conditions of high turbidity and sedimentation. Here we compare sediment accumulation rates before and after 1950 using 210Pb in 12 tidal creeks across two distinct regions in North Carolina, one region of low relief tidal-creek watersheds where land cover change since 1959 was dominated by fluctuations in forest, silviculture, and agriculture, and another region of relatively high relief tidal-creek watersheds where land-use change was dominated by increasing suburban development. At eight of the creeks, mass accumulation rates (g cm-2 y-1) measured at the outlet of the creeks increased contemporaneously with the largest shift in land cover, within the resolution of the land-cover data set (~5-years). All but two creek sites experienced a doubling or more in sediment accumulation rates (cm yr-1) after 1950 and most sites experienced sediment accumulation rates that exceeded the rate of local relative sea-level rise, suggesting that there is an excess of sediment being delivered to these tidal creeks and that they may slowly be infilling. After 1950, land cover within one creek watershed changed little, as did mass accumulation rates at the coring location, and another creek coring site did not record an increase in mass accumulation rates at the creek outlet despite a massive increase in development in the watershed that included the construction of retention ponds. These abundant tidal-creek watersheds have little relief, area, and flow, but they are impacted by changes in land cover more, in terms of percent area, than their larger riverine counterparts, and down-stream areas are highly connected to their associated watersheds. This work expands the scientific understanding of connectivity between lower coastal plain watersheds and estuaries and provides important information for coastal zone managers seeking to balance development pressures and environmental protections.