Incidence Risk Research Articles

Hazard Ratios and Alternative Effect Measures: AnAppliedIllustration.

Although the limitations of hazard ratios (HRs) for quantifying treatment effects in right-censored data have been widely discussed, HRs are still preferentially reported over other, more interpretable effect measures. This may stem from the fact that there are few applied examples that directly contrast the HR and its interpretation with alternative effect measures. We analyzed data from two randomized clinical trials comparing panitumumab plus standard-of-care chemotherapy (SOCC) with SOCC alone as first- and second-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer. We report the effect of treatment with panitumumab on progression-free survival (PFS) using a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate the HR and the Kaplan-Meier estimator of cumulative incidence (risk). Further analyses included examining the cumulative incidence curves; kernel-smoothed, non-parametric hazards curves; fitting the Cox model with a continuous time variable; and estimating restricted mean survival as well as median survival. The HR was 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71, 0.93), while the risk ratio (or relative risk [i.e., ratio of the cumulative incidence among the treated versus comparator]) was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.02). These two measures suggest apparently different conclusions: either a treatment benefit or no effect. Through subsequent analyses, we demonstrated that, while the cumulative incidence of the outcome was similar by the end of follow-up regardless of treatment, the panitumumab treated group experienced longer PFS than those randomized to SOCC. Substantial nonproportional hazards were evident with panitumumab treatment reducing the hazard of progression/mortality during the first ~1.75 years but associated with an increased hazard of progress/mortality thereafter. This example underscores the difficulties in interpreting HRs, particularly in the setting of qualitative violations of proportional hazards, and the value of quantifying treatment effects via multiple effect measures.

Flow diverter braid deformation following treatment of cerebral aneurysms: incidence, clinical relevance, and potential risk factors

BackgroundAlthough flow diverters (FDs) have benefited from several technical improvements, recently concerns have arisen regarding the braid stability after implantation. Thus, we investigated frequency, predictive factors, and clinical impact of...

Further Evidence That Science-Based Biosecurity Provides Sustainable Prevention of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome Virus Infection and Improved Productivity in Swine Breeding Herds.

Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) is a globally significant pathogen of pigs. Preventing the entry of PRRSV into swine breeding herds enhances animal health and welfare. A recently published retrospective cohort study reported significant differences in PRRSV incidence risk between breeding herds that practiced Next Generation Biosecurity (NGB) COMPLETE, versus herds that practiced a partial approach (NGB INCOMPLETE) over a 2-year period. This follow-up communication builds on this previous publication and brings new information regarding statistical differences in key performance indicators (KPIs) from 43 NGB COMPLETE herds and 19 NGB INCOMPLETE herds during disease years 1 and 2. Statistically significant differences included higher total born/farrow and pigs weaned/female along with a reduced pre-weaning mortality and wean to 1st service interval, as well as a 0.91 increase in the number of pigs weaned/mated female/year. In addition, this communication reports that PRRSV incidence risk throughout disease years 1-3 was 8.0%, and that the association of NGB status (COMPLETE vs. INCOMPLETE) and disease burden for the cumulative 3-year period was statistically significant (p < 0.0001). These findings support previously published data that NGB, while not perfect, provides sustainable prevention of PRRSV, and may help improve herd productivity.

Antihypertensive medications and dementia in older adults with hypertension.

Studies on middle-aged or individuals with cognitive or cardiovascular impairments, have established that intensive blood pressure (BP) control reduces cognitive decline risk. However, uncertainty exists on differential effects between antihypertensive medications (AHM) classes on this risk, independent of BP-lowering efficacy, particularly in community-dwelling hypertensive older adults. A post-hoc analysis of the ASPREE study, a randomized trial of low-dose aspirin in adults aged 70+ years (65+ if US minorities) without baseline dementia, and followed for two years post-trial. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to estimate associations between baseline and time-varying AHM exposure and incident dementia (an adjudicated primary trial endpoint), in participants with baseline hypertension. Subgroup analyses included prespecified factors, APO ε4 carrier status and monotherapy AHM use. Most hypertensive participants (9,843/13,916; 70.7%) used AHMs. Overall, 'any' AHM use was not associated with lower incident dementia risk, compared with untreated participants (HR 0.84, 95%CI 0.70-1.02, p=0.08), but risk was decreased when angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) were included (HR 0.73, 95%CI 0.59-0.92, p=0.007). ARBs and β-blockers decreased dementia risk, whereas angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and diuretics increased risk. There was no association with RAS modulating or blood-brain-barrier crossing AHMs on dementia risk. Overall, AHM exposure in hypertensive older adults was not associated with decreased dementia risk, however, specific AHM classes were with risk direction determined by class; ARBs and β-blockers were superior to ACEIs and other classes in decreasing risk. Our findings emphasize the importance of considering effects beyond BP-lowering efficacy when choosing AHM in older adults.

Role of lifestyle factors on the development and long-term prognosis of pneumonia and cardiovascular disease in the Chinese population.

Whether adherence to a healthy lifestyle is associated with a lower risk of developing pneumonia and a better long-term prognosis remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate associations of individual and combined lifestyle factors (LFs) with the incidence risk and long-term prognosis of pneumonia hospitalization. Using data from the China Kadoorie Biobank study, we used the multistate models to investigate the role of five high-risk LFs, including smoking, excessive alcohol drinking, unhealthy dietary habits, physical inactivity, and unhealthy body shape, alone or in combination in the transitions from a generally healthy state at baseline to pneumonia hospitalization or cardiovascular disease (CVD, regarded as a reference outcome), and subsequently to mortality. Most of the five high-risk LFs were associated with increased risks of transitions from baseline to pneumonia and from pneumonia to death, but with different risk estimates. The greater the number of high-risk LFs, the higher the risk of developing pneumonia and long-term mortality risk after pneumonia, with the strength of associations comparable to that of LFs and CVD. Compared to participants with 0-1 high-risk LF, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for transitions from baseline to pneumonia and from pneumonia to death in those with five high-risk LFs were 1.43 (1.28-1.60) and 1.98 (1.61-2.42), respectively. Correspondingly, the respective HRs (95% CIs) for transitions from baseline to CVD and from CVD to death were 2.00 (1.89-2.11) and 1.44 (1.30-1.59), respectively. The risk estimates changed slightly when further adjusting for the presence of major chronic diseases. In this Chinese population, unhealthy LFs were associated with an increased incidence and long-term mortality risk of pneumonia.

The significance of consolidation chemotherapy after concurrent chemoradiotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a randomized controlled phase III clinical trial.

This study explored the significance of consolidation maintenance chemotherapy after concurrent chemoradiotherapy with different regimens in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. A prospective randomized controlled phase III clinical trial was designed and registered in the China Clinical Trials Registry (Registration number: ChiCTR-TRC-12002719). Survival data were analyzed in terms of intention-to-treat (ITT) and per-protocol (PP) sets for patients undergoing cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (PF) (group A), or cisplatin and paclitaxel (TP) (group B). The incidence risk of grade III-IV leukopenia in group B was higher than in group A (49.2% vs. 25.5%, p = 0.012). The survival rates at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years were 83.8%, 62.6%, 53.1%, and 41.3%, respectively. Consolidation chemotherapy after concurrent chemoradiation therapy had no benefit on median progression-free survival (PFS) (p = 0.95) and overall survival (OS) (p = 0.809). According to the ITT analysis, the median PFS in group A and group B was 28.6 months and 30.3 months (X2 = 0.242, p = 0.623), while the median OS was 31.0 months and 50.3 months (X2 = 1.25，p = 0.263). For the PP analysis, the median PFS in group A and group B were 28.6 months and 30.3 months (p = 0.584), while the median OS was 31.0 months and 50.3 months (p = 0.259), respectively. Patients receiving consolidation chemotherapy did not show significant OS benefits (46.9 months vs. 38.3 months; X2 = 0.059, p = 0.866). Similar PFS and OS were found between PF and TP regimens with concurrent chemoradiotherapy. Consolidation chemotherapy did not show any significant OS benefits.

Genetic predisposition to impaired beta-cell function modifies the association between serum pyrethroid levels and the risk of type 2 diabetes: A gene-environment interaction study

Previous studies suggested that pyrethroid exposure was associated with elevated type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk, while it remains uncertain whether genetic predisposition modifies this association. A nested case-control study within the prospective Dongfeng-Tongji cohort comprised 1832 T2D cases, age- (±5 years) and sex-matched controls with qualified genotyping data. Serum pyrethroids were measured by gas chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Overall diabetes-related genetic risk score (GRS) or pathway-specific GRS, including unweighted GRSs (uGRS) and weighted GRSs (wGRS), was developed by genetic variants identified in Asian populations. Higher overall diabetes-related GRS and GRS specific to the pathway of impaired beta cell function (Beta-cell GRS) were associated with a higher incident T2D risk. Beta-cell uGRS significantly modified the association of serum permethrin (Pinteraction=0.04) and deltamethrin (Pinteraction=0.01) with T2D. Specifically, for each doubling increase in serum deltamethrin, the odds ratios (ORs) (95 % confidence intervals [CIs]) for T2D were 1.23 (0.98–1.56) and 0.91 (0.77–1.07) in the highest and lowest Beta-cell uGRS group, as well as 1.23 (1.02–1.47) and 0.95 (0.78–1.15) for Beta-cell wGRS group, respectively. When considering jointly, those with the highest deltamethrin levels and highest Beta-cell GRS had a substantially higher T2D risk, compared with the reference group (OR for uGRS: 3.79 [95 % CI: 2.03–7.07], Pinteraction=0.03 and 3.23 [95 % CI: 1.78–5.87], Pinteraction=0.05 for wGRS). Our findings suggested that genetic susceptibility to impaired beta-cell function should be considered for T2D prevention targeting pyrethroid exposure, particularly deltamethrin.

Association between antibiotic usage during infancy and asthma incidence among children: a population-level ecological study in British Columbia, Canada.

This study follows published associations in BC to 2014 (updated in 2019) to model the predicted incidence of asthma in BC children attributable to antibiotic use within the context of reduced antibiotic use and increased breastfeeding in BC infants from 2000 to 2019. A population-based ecological study was conducted in BC from 2000 to 2019, using outpatient antibiotic prescription data from BC PharmaNet and asthma diagnoses from the Chronic Disease Registry. Breastfeeding estimates were calculated using the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS). Population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated using a blended relative risk (RR) of asthma in antibiotic-exposed children who were and were not breastfed. PAR was used to calculate predicted vs. actual asthma incidence in 2019. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate the association between the average antibiotic prescription rate in infants under 1 and asthma incidence in 1-4 year olds, stratified by periods between 2000-2014 and 2015-2019. In BC, antibiotic prescribing decreased by 77% in infants under 1 and asthma incidence decreased by 41% in children 1-4 years from 2000 to 2019. BC breastfeeding rates increased from 46% in the 2005 CCHS to 71% in the 2017/18 CCHS. After calculating the PAR using a blended RR, the predicted asthma incidence in 2019 was 18.8/1,000 population. This was comparable to the observed asthma incidence in children 1-4 years of 16.6/1,000 population in 2019. During 2000-2014, adjusted incidence risk ratio (aIRR) for children under Quintile 5 of average antibiotic prescribing was 1.75 (95% CI: 1.63-1.88, P < 0.0001) times higher than that for Quintile 1. However, between 2015 and 2019, this association weakened (as expected because of increasing prevalence of breastfeeding), with the expected asthma incidence for Quintile 5 only 11% (aIRR 1.11, 95% CI: 0.78-1.57) higher than for Quintile 1. We identified that over the past 20 years, antibiotic exposure in infants under 1 and asthma incidence in children 1-4 years has decreased significantly. Decreasing antibiotic exposure and increasing breastfeeding (which further mitigates risk associated with antibiotics) are of sufficient scale to explain much of this population trend. Changes in environmental, social and other exposures remain relevant to this complicated etiological pathway.

Heightened mortality risk after a non-fatal opioid overdose: Risk factors for mortality in the week following emergency treatment.

To measure all-cause mortality risk after an ambulance-attended non-fatal opioid overdose and associations with number of days following attendance, and individual and clinical characteristics. A prospective observational study. Oslo, Norway. Patients treated with naloxone for opioid overdose by Oslo Emergency Services between 1 June 2014 and 31 December 2018. Medical records were linked to the national Cause of Death Registry (1 June 2014-31 December 2019). Crude mortality rates (CMR) and incidence risk ratios (IRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for the time periods (0-7days, 8-31 days, 32-91 days, 92-183 days, >183 days) using multivariate Poisson regression analysis. IRR were estimated for sex, age, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), respiration rate, place of attendance and non-transportation following treatment. Robust variance estimates applied due to multiple risk periods. Standardized Mortality Rates (SMR) were estimated. Overall, 890 patients treated for 1764 overdoses contributed to a total time at risk of 3142 person-years (PY). Median number of attendances was 1 (range 1-27). The majority were male (75.5%) and the mean age was 37.7 years. In total, 112 (12.6%) died; 5.2% within 183 days and 2.2% between 184 and 365 days. Acute poisoning was the most common single cause of death (52.7%). The CMR was 3.6 (95% CI = 3.0-4.2) per 100-PY. The women had a SMR of 32 (95% CI = 15.8-57.9) and the men 24.9 (95% CI = 17.7-34.2). The CMR (22.2, 95% CI = 10.6-46.8) was particularly high in the first 7days, and significantly higher than in the following periods. However, this finding was only valid for those with severe overdose symptoms (GCS score = 3/15 and/or respiratory rate ≤6/min). Except for increasing age, no other indicators were associated with the mortality risk. Patients treated by Oslo Emergency Services between June 2014 and December 2018 for a non-fatal opioid overdose with severe overdose symptoms at attendance had an overall high mortality risk compared with the general population, but particularly during the first 7 days after attendance.

Modelling incidence and mortality cancer parameters with respect to GLOBOCAN 2020Age standardized world estimates

In this paper, an empirical model with the critical number of incidences and deaths for female cancers as adjustable parameters has been developed using life expectancy data from GLOBOCAN world estimates on cancer types. The model was developed based on the cumulative risk and exponential correlation techniques such that the significance of the adjustable parameters ascertains the strength of this research in two ways. First, it indicates indicates the rapid increase in female cancer morbidity with increase in the number of male cancer cases, regardless of incidence or mortality. Second, it suggests that female cancer cases may approach a virtual limiting value as male cancer cases reach extremely high levels. This projection aligns with the global population trends, indicating a proportional increase in cancer cases each year. Additionally, the cumulative risk of cancer incidences of each sex has been modelled separately against the global cumulative risk of cancer incidences of both sexes which revealed regions that have passed their inflection point and those that are yet to reach the inflection point. There was a curvature change, which indicates an inflection point coinciding with the South-Eastern Region and indicating that for the regions beyond the inflection point, the increase of the cumulative risk of cancer incidences of females against that of males is more accentuated compared with the regions before the inflection point. However, when the cumulative risk of cancer mortality of each sex is modelled separately against the global cumulative risk of cancer mortality of both sexes shows a non-linear dependence and the increase is more accentuated for males than for females. This finding indicates that cumulative risk is influenced by factors beyond the male-female population ratio. This study advances cancer studies as it provides a nuanced understanding of gender-specific cancer trends, crucial for developing targeted cancer prevention and treatment strategies. By elucidating the dynamics of cancer incidences and mortalities across different regions and sexes, the findings can inform public health policies and resource allocation to combat cancer more effectively on a global scale.

Association of combined body mass index and central obesity with cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and older adults: a population-based prospective cohort study

BackgroundCardiovascular diseases (CVDs) pose a significant threat to public health. Evidence indicates that the combination of central obesity and normal body mass index (BMI) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, limited evidences exists in middle aged and elderly adults in China.MethodsThis was a prospective cohort study that utilized a nationally representative sample of 6,494 adults aged 45 years and above. These individuals participated in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study spanning from 2011 to 2018. Height, weight and waist circumference (WC) were measured, and BMI was calculated by height and weight. Other variables were obtained through self-reported questionnaires. Association analysis was conducted using Cox proportional hazard regression models.ResultsA total of 10,186 participants were investigated, with 57,185 person-years of follow-up. During this period, 1,571 CVDs occurred, including 1,173 heart diseases and 527 strokes. After adjusting for various factors including age, gender, education, marital status, smoking status, alcohol intake, social activity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, cancer, chronic lung diseases, liver disease, kidney disease, digestive disease, ENP(emotional, nervous, or psychiatric problems), memory related disease, arthritis or rheumatism, asthma, self-rated health and depression, the results revealed that compared to those with normal WC normal body mass index (BMI), individuals with central obesity normal BMI had a 27.9% higher risk of CVD incidence (95% confidence interval [CI]:1.074–1.524), and a 33.4% higher risk of heart disease incidence (95% CI:1.095–1.625), while no significant association was found with stroke. Additionally, those with normal WC high BMI showed a 24.6% higher risk of CVD incidence (95% CI:1.046–1.483), and a 29.1% higher risk of heart disease incidence (95% CI:1.045–1.594), again with no significant association with stroke. Finally, individuals with central obesity high BMI exhibited a 49.3% higher risk of CVD incidence (95% CI:1.273–1.751), a 61% higher risk of heart disease incidence (95% CI:1.342–1.931), and a 34.2% higher risk of stroke incidence (95% CI:1.008–1.786). Age- and sex- specific analyses further revealed varying trends in these associations.ConclusionsWe discovered that the combined association of body mass index(BMI) and central obesity with CVD incidence exhibited a significantly enhanced predictive value. Specifically, a high BMI with central obesity was notably linked to an increased risk of CVD incidence. Additionally, central obesity with a normal BMI or a normal WC coupled with a high BMI significantly augmented the risk of heart disease incidence, but not stroke. Notably, male and middle-aged adults demonstrated a greater propensity for heart disease incidence. Our study underscores the importance of maintaining an optimal BMI and preventing abdominal obesity in promoting cardiovascular health.

An ecological study mapping socioeconomic inequalities in tuberculosis incidence in a southern state of Brazil

ObjectiveTo analyze the spatial patterns and factors associated with tuberculosis incidence in the municipalities of Paraná, Brazil. Materials and methodsEcological study examining new tuberculosis cases from 2018 to 2022 in Paraná’s 399 municipalities. Incidence coefficients, relative risk, and local indicator of spatial autocorrelation were estimated. Negative binomial models were applied to identify associated factors. ResultsHigh-risk areas were observed in the coastal/port, north, and northeast regions. The following factors positively influenced tuberculosis incidence: municipal development index (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 1.07; 95 % confidence interval [95 % CI]: 1.01–1.14), hospitalizations due to inadequate environmental sanitation (IRR: 1.07; 95 % CI: 1.01–1.14), and Gini index (IRR: 1.09; 95 % CI: 1.02–1.16). ConclusionsParadoxically, in municipalities with elevated development indices yet marked by socioeconomic disparities—including deficiencies in sanitation—substantial tuberculosis clusters persist. This suggests that income inequality might play a role in perpetuating the incidence even in regions that are otherwise considered developed.

Differential effects of low or high-fat dairy and fat derived from dairy products on MASLD

Differential effects of low or high-fat dairy and fat derived from dairy products on MASLD

Investigating the relationship between sagittal spinal curvature and fall incidence and fall risk among elderly nursing home residents.

Poor balance is an underlying cause of falling in the elderly, for which a change in the natural curvature of the spine plays a major role. Little is known about the relationship between spinal curvatures and fall incidence in this population. We primarily aimed to investigate the relationship between sagittal plane spinal curvatures and fall incidence over 1year among nursing facility residents. Secondarily, we aim to determine associations of sagittal plane spinal curvatures with participants' perception of fall risk and balance capability. Participants (100 residents mean age 70.17 ± 6.01years) underwent standing measures of sagittal plane spinal curvatures (flexible ruler technique) and forward displacement of the head relative to the cervical spine. The Tinetti Performance Oriented Mobility Assessment (POMA) and Fall Efficacy Scale assessed participants' perception of balance and fear of falling. Incident falls were self-reported monthly and tracked across 1year. Spearman's correlations and logistic regression evaluated associations between fall incidence and spinal curvature. Predictive performance of spinal curvature and fall risk was determined by the corresponding ROC for defining a cut-off for variables of spinal curvature and fall risk indicators. Predictive performance of spinal curvature and fall risk factors indicated 84% and 77% of participants were correctly classified using models of kyphosis and head angle, respectively. Our study adds new data on spinal curvatures and incident falls among nursing facility residents. Efforts are needed to intervene to counter progression of spinal curvatures and improve fall prevention practices.

Incidence of anxiety after traumatic brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundTraumatic brain injury (TBI) is defined as acquired cerebral damage caused by an external mechanical impact, which has the potential to lead to transient or enduring debilitation. TBI is associated with many forms of long-lasting psychiatric conditions, including anxiety disorders. As anxiety is highly debilitating by causing impaired social functioning and decreased quality of life for the afflicted, especially in the form of anxiety disorders such as generalized anxiety disorder, certain efforts have been made to explore the factors associated with it, and one such factor is TBI.MethodsWe searched PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science on January 26th, 2024 for observational case–control or cohort or cross-sectional studies assessing the incidence of anxiety symptoms or disorders in patients with TBI compared to healthy individuals or the same individuals if pre-TBI information regarding anxiety was available. We calculated the pooled incidence and relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (95CI) using the inverse variance method. Publication bias was assessed using Eggers’s regression test. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. Sub-group analyses were conducted for the type of anxiety (anxiety disorder vs anxiety symptoms), TBI severity, and type of anxiety disorders.ResultsThe incidence rate of anxiety after traumatic brain injury was 17.45% (95CI: 12.59%, 22.31%) in a total of 705,024 individuals. Moreover, TBI patients were found to be 1.9 times as likely to have anxiety compared to their non-TBI counterparts [Random effects model RR = 1.90 [1.62; 2.23], p-value < 0.0001] using a population of 569,875 TBI cases and 1,640,312 non-TBI controls. Sub-group analysis revealed TBI severity was not associated with anxiety and generalized anxiety disorder was the most common type of anxiety disorder reported post-TBI.ConclusionPatients who have experienced a TBI exhibit a significantly greater incidence of anxiety symptoms and anxiety disorders in the aftermath when compared to healthy individuals.

Prospective study on the joint effect of persistent organic pollutants and glucose metabolism on chronic kidney disease: Modifying effects of lifestyle interventions

There is no evidence on the associations between persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the Chinese rural population. We aimed to investigate the individual and mixed effects of 22 POPs on the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and the joint effects of POPs and abnormal glucose metabolism as well as the modification effects of healthy lifestyle on these associations. A total of 2775 subjects, including 925 subjects with normal plasma glucose (NPG) and 925 subjects with prediabetes (PDM) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), were enrolled from the Henan Rural Cohort Study. Logistic regression and quantile g-computation were performed to assess the individual and mixed effects of POPs on the risk of CKD. Joint effects of POPs and abnormal glucose metabolism status, as well as the modification effects of lifestyle on CKD were assessed. After 3-year follow-up, an increment of ln-o,p’-DDT was related to an elevated risk of CKD prevalence. Positive associations of p,p’-DDE and β-BHC with CKD incidence were observed (P < 0.05). In addition, participants with high levels of ∑POPs were associated elevated incidence risk of CKD (OR: 1.217, 95%CI: 1.008–1.469). One quartile increase in POPs mixture was associated with the increased incidence of CKD among T2DM patients (P < 0.05). Further, a higher risk of CKD was observed among PDM and T2DM patients with high levels of o,p’-DDT, p,p’-DDE, β-BHC, and ∑POPs than NPG subjects with low levels of pollutants. In addition, interactive effects of ∑POPs and lifestyle score on CKD incidence were found. Individual and mixed exposure to POPs increased the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and glucose metabolic status exacerbated the risk of CKD resulting from such exposures. Further, the modifying effects of lifestyle were observed, highlighting the importance of precision prevention for high-risk CKD population and healthy lifestyle intervention measures.

Incidence Rate and Risk Factors for Developing Active Tuberculosis Among People Living With HIV in Georgia 2019-2020 Cohort.

Tuberculosis (TB) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among people with HIV (PHIV) globally. Our study is the first to evaluate TB incidence and its risk factors among PHIV in the country of Georgia, where previously no data were available. A retrospective cohort study was conducted among persons newly diagnosed with HIV in Georgia during 2019-2020. Active TB incidence was calculated within a minimum of 2-year follow-up period from HIV diagnosis. Cox proportional hazard model was used for evaluating risk factors for TB development. The median age in the final cohort of 1165 PHIV was 38 (interquartile range, 30-48) and 76.3% were male. Twenty-nine percent of patients had a CD4 cell count <200 at HIV diagnosis and 89.9% initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART). TB incidence rate was 10/1000 person-years (p-y; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.6-10.4), with rates being higher within several subgroups, mainly: PHIV aged 40-49 years (17.5/1 000 p-y [95% CI, 16.8-18.2]); those not receiving ART (22/1000 p-y [95% CI, 20.9-23.1]); those with CD4 < 200 at baseline (28/1000 p-y [95% CI, 27.4-28.6]); and those who developed AIDS (29.1/1 000 p-y [95% CI, 28.6-29.6]). Age (aHR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.03-1.39; P = .01) and AIDS diagnosis (aHR, 3.2; 95% CI, 3.06-27.9; P = .001) were associated with TB development, whereas high CD4 count was protective against TB (aHR, 0.18; 95% CI, .06-.61; P = .005). Study results highlight an imperative role of CD4 cell count management and the need for early HIV diagnosis and timely initiation of ART to ensure an effective immune response against tuberculosis, stressing the need for further in-depth evaluation of the TB preventive treatment delivery system's efficiency and gaps.

EFFECT OF FEMORAL ROTATION ON DISLOCATION AFTER REVISION TOTAL HIP ARTHROPLASTY

Dislocation is a serious complication to be avoided in total hip arthroplasty (THA) and its incidence risk increases in revision surgery. Combined anteversion (CA) of the cup and stem is a concept for appropriate implant positioning; however, the effect of functional changes in femoral rotation has not been well investigated. The aim of this study was to investigate whether functional CA, considering femoral rotation, is associated with dislocation in patients undergoing revision THA.Seventy-three patients who underwent revision THA and had at least one year of follow-up with pre- and postoperative supine CT imaging were included. Cup and stem were placed with a target combined angle of 37.3° using Widmer's formula. Anatomical and functional CA was calculated postoperatively using the following formula: Anatomical CA: cup anteversion + 0.7 × anatomical stem anteversion; Functional CA: cup anteversion + 0.7 × (anatomical stem anteversion + femoral rotation). Patient demographics, cup and stem angles, CA and their relationship to dislocation were statistically evaluated.Dislocation was observed in 12 patients. In these dislocated cases, there were no significant differences in cup angle, stem angle and anatomical CA compared to non-dislocated cases. However, dislocated cases showed significantly higher values of functional CA [52.7 ± 17.5° (range, 5.9–69.3) vs. 36.0 ± 12.5° (range, 8.6–68.8), p=0.009] and significant deviation from identical CA [17.3 ± 9.6° (range, 2.8–32) vs. 7.5 ± 7.1° (range, 0.1–28.7), p=0.010].Functional CA considering femoral rotation was associated with dislocation in revision THA patients. This finding suggests that consideration of femoral rotation may be necessary for implant positioning in revision THA.

'The Lost Peace': Evidencing the Syndemic Relationship between Neglected Tropical Diseases and Mental Distress in Liberia.

Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs) are a group of chronic infectious diseases of poverty affecting over one billion people globally. Intersections of NTDs, disability, and mental ill-health are increasingly evidenced but are rarely studied from a mixed-methods perspective. Here, we advance syndemic understandings by further assessing and contextualising the syndemic relationship between NTDs (particularly their associated disability) and mental distress in Liberia. Participatory qualitative methods, including body mapping (56 participants), social mapping (28 participants), and in-depth interviews (12) provided space for persons affected by NTDs to narrate their experiences. Simultaneously, 201 surveys explored experiences of common mental health conditions among persons affected by skin NTDs. An intersectionality approach was applied within the analysis for both qualitative and quantitative methods informed by Meyer's minority stress model, adapted for NTDs. Qualitative data was analysed thematically and gender-disaggregated, univariable and multivariable analyses were applied to survey data for the outcome measures depression (PHQ-9) and anxiety (GAD-7). Disability was associated with higher levels of depression and anxiety (p < 0.001). An interaction between disability and being a women increased incidence risk ratio of depression (p < 0.001). In alignment with qualitative findings, persons affected experienced additional generalised (financial concerns), external (experience of stigma) and internal (experience of pain and physical symptoms) minority stressors, to varying degrees, which contributed towards their mental distress, and mental health conditions. These findings were used to co-develop a syndemic-informed person-centred health system response to address the suffering associated with NTDs and mental distress, including a focus on strengthening relationships between formal and informal community health actors and the broader health system.

Relationships of hematocrit concentration with dementia from a multiethnic population-based study.

Red blood cell (RBC) concentration impacts cerebrovascular disease, yet it is unclear whether RBC concentrations relate to dementia risk, particularly in racially/ethnically diverse cohorts. We investigated whether RBC concentrations associate with incident dementia risk in a diverse population of stroke-free individuals and explored whether cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) mediates this relationship. A longitudinal observational analysis was performed using a population-based cohort of stroke-free, older adult participants (>50 years) from the Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) enrolled between 2003-2008. Participants received baseline hematocrit testing, MRI neuroimaging, and cognitive assessments at baseline and long-term follow-up. Associations of baseline hematocrit as a categorical variable (low, normal [reference], and high based on laboratory reference levels) with incident dementia were assessed using Cox models adjusting for relevant covariates. Separate analyses investigated whether MRI CSVD mediated these relationships. We studied 1207 NOMAS participants (mean age 71±9 years, 60% female, 66% Hispanic). Mean hematocrit was 41.2% (±3.8) with 16% of participants developing incident dementia. Lower hematocrit associated with increased dementia risk (adjusted hazard ratio 1.81 [1.01-3.23]) after adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, APOE status, and comorbidities. High hematocrit was not associated with dementia risk. No interactions by sex or race/ethnicity were seen and baseline CSVD did not mediate relationships between hematocrit and dementia. Low hematocrit associated with dementia risk in our diverse population cohort. Further work is needed to assess mechanisms behind anemia's relationship with dementia to assess whether this can serve as a trackable, preventable/treatable risk factor for dementia.