Regional Development Projects Research Articles

Predicting the outcome of regional development projects using machine learning

<p><span lang="EN-US">Morocco, in its pursuit of inclusive and sustainable territorial development, initiated the advanced regionalization experiment over six years ago. The primary challenge facing government officials today is the management of a burgeoning number of regional development projects. In this article we developed a predictive model based on artificial intelligence and Machine Learning to predict the outcomes of regional development projects, in order to identify the risks associated with their potential failure, and anticipate their impact. To accomplish this, we implemented various data mining techniques and classification algorithms. We collected and analyzed data from past and ongoing regional development projects, considering diverse factors that influence their success or failure. Through rigorous experimentation, we assessed the effectiveness of different predictive models. Our findings reveal that the Random Forest classifier stands out as an efficient algorithm for predicting the outcomes of regional development projects. This research contributes to the broader discourse on the practical implementation of artificial intelligence in public policy and regional development, showcasing its potential to optimize resource allocation, and alleviate the burden of repetitive administrative tasks for organizationsoperating with limited resources.</span></p>

Technical System Construction for Total Factor Library of Management Manual for Shanghai Planning Implementation Platform

At present, with the continuous advancement of urban development, an increasing number of regional overall development projects utilize the planning implementation platform to carry out design control and construction throughout the full life cycle of the project. However, the lack of relevant standards and research leads to some problems in practical projects, such as the unchanged thinking mode of planning management and control, and the lack of unified standards for the preparation of technical documents like the regional master plan and management manual of the planning implementation platform. To this end, this paper will focus on the content and composition of the management manual, clarify its construction logic and content, construct a factor library for this manual, provide references for the application of related projects, and promote the orderly development of project construction and development.

혁신도시 이전 공공기관의 지역발전사업 투자특성에 관한 연구

The purpose of this study is to analyze the details and investment scale of regional development projects carried out by public institutions relocating in innovative cities to identify regional characteristics and the cause of regional gaps. To this end, the characteristics of regional development projects were analyzed targeting 63 public institutions that moved to 10 innovative cities nationwide. As a result of the analysis, first, the total investment in regional development projects was cut in the order of public enterprises, quasi-governmental institutions, and other public institutions, and statistically, there were differences between groups. Second, the size of investment in the field of regional industrial development was highly correlated with the sales variable among the size characteristics of public institutions, and the priority purchase of local goods had the highest correlation with the number of employees in all three types of public institutions. In particular, it was analyzed that local talent development projects and resident support projects showed a low correlation with institutional size variables in all types of public institutions. This suggests that the system needs to be improved so that public institutions with larger assets and higher sales can promote investment in the field. Finally, it was analyzed that public institutions that are highly related to regional specialized industries have invested more than local industries and human resources development. This could lead to policy implications that the connection between the work of public institutions and local industries should be considered first when additional public institutions are relocated in the future, and that local government-level industrial promotion policies should be carried out to strengthen the connection between public institutions and regional specialized industries that have completed the relocation.

Landslide Susceptibility Analysis of Jugal Rural Municipality, Sindhupalchok

Hilly and mountainous areas of Nepal, with challenging terrain, young geology, and heavy monsoon rainfall, are susceptible to landslides and slope instability. To analyze and prepare landslide susceptibility maps, this study selects a typical hilly area, the Jugal Rural Municipality in Sindhupalchok district. Twelve factors contributing to landslides were considered, including slope, aspect, elevation, geology, land use, proximity to roads and drainage, plan curvature, profile curvature, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), soil type and rainfall. Moreover, 286 landslides were identified using high-resolution satellite imagery and field verification as the landslide inventory. These landslides were then randomly divided into two sets: 70% for training and 30\% for validation. Bivariate statistical analysis was performed using factor maps and the landslide inventory map. Notably, the analysis revealed a Prediction Rate (PR) of 9.35 for 'Land use', the highest among all factors considered. Since land use is a dynamic factor, we recommend conducting an analysis of land use changes and their impact on landslide susceptibility. Such an assessment would be invaluable during the planning and execution phases of development projects in Nepal's disaster-prone regions.

Ontological foundations of urban health policy ideas: the case of planning Sydney’s Western Parkland City

ABSTRACT This case study examines the ontological backgrounds of urban health policy ideas in planning the Western Parkland City, a large-scale regional development project in Sydney, Australia. Using an empirical approach, the study identifies seven key urban health policy ideas and analyses the nature of these ideas using urban health ontological frameworks. The dominant ontological paradigms appear as the medical-industrial and urban health science paradigms with strong alignment with the sustainable urban development and healthy urban planning research traditions. Additionally, the dominant ideas adopt a view of systems that is complicated more than complex, favour change driven by structure rather than agency, and involve perspectives that transcend across multiple scales. These findings highlight the importance of recognising the influence of paradigms in shaping policies and the need for transdisciplinary approach to policymaking.

O atraso como instrumento de poder – o caso de Tefé no Amazonas no início do século XXI

Esse artigo visa discutir a partir de um contexto histórico o uso reiterado do território e dos recursos naturais na Amazônia por projetos que nunca se concluíram conduzidos pelo binômio governo e iniciativa privada. Os entraves provenientes da instalação de uma termelétrica movida à biomassa de dendê e dos interesses de agricultores, indígenas, da Igreja e agentes internacionais na região de Tefé no Amazonas são discutidos à luz da teoria da obra “O poder do atraso: ensaios da sociologia da história lenta” de José de Souza Martins. A metodologia se baseou no levantamento bibliográfico e no trabalho de campo com visitas institucionais e entrevistas. Evidencia-se a partir desse artigo que algumas iniciativas que visam promover projetos de desenvolvimento regional em espaços periféricos, como a Amazônia, não se concluem em função da produção de informações distorcidas e relações alienadas entre agentes mundiais e do Estado; isso acarreta conflitos de terras, desigualdades sociais e exclusão de grupos étnicos, agricultores e pobres populações urbanas.

РОЛЬ "ЗЕЛЁНОЙ" ТАКСОНОМИИ В ОЦЕНКЕ ПРОЕКТОВ РАЗВИТИЯ СЕЛЬСКОГО ТУРИЗМА В РЕГИОНАХ РОССИИ

In 2022, rural tourism was recognized in the Russian Federation as one of the priority areas of state policy in the field of agricultural development and regulation of markets for agricultural products. The purpose of this article is to determine the impact of projects for the development of rural tourism on the state of territories and to develop recommendations for the use of “green” taxonomy for selecting and financing such projects that will help improve the sustainability of Russian regions. The authors propose a set of ESG indicators that can be taken into account by rating agencies when assessing rural tourism development projects in Russian regions.

수도권 정비계획에 관한 법적 검토

The Metropolitan Area Readjustment Planning Act is criticized for penalizing local governments in the Seoul metropolitan area, such as hindering regional development and reducing local taxes, compared to local governments in the non-metropolitan area. Under the Seoul Metropolitan Area Readjustment Planning Act, restrictions on various activities in the area limit regional development projects by local governments in the area, so procedural legitimacy is a question in designating the area. In particular, the total amount regulation on the establishment or expansion of population-intensive facilities such as factories and schools restricts the activities of companies wishing to enter the Seoul metropolitan area, and makes it difficult for local governments to establish or expand factories and schools in the region.
 The Administrative Planning Act refers to administrative regulations that stipulate administrative plans as a means to achieve administrative objectives, including the former Comprehensive National Land Construction Planning Act, the Framework Act on National Land Planning and Use, and the Metropolitan Area Readjustment Planning Act. These administrative plans prescribed by the Administrative Planning Act have a system of upper and lower plans, and this paper examines the status of the metropolitan area maintenance plan within this administrative planning law system, derives problems through legal evaluation of the division of areas, restrictions on activities in overcrowded control areas, growth management areas, and natural environment conservation areas, and suggests improvement measures.

Field archaeology and foreign assistance during the decade of development in Iran and Turkey

ABSTRACT During the 1960s, the scope of field archaeology in the Middle East transformed dramatically, driven by foreign aid funded dam-led regional development projects. The paradigm of river-basin salvage, intimately connected to dam projects first developed in the US Southeast during the Great Depression, was exported alongside the dam-building expertise, but with unanticipated results. Rather than creating a worldwide system of emergency archaeology to mitigate the threats posed to heritage by the global project of modernization, the Decade of Development resulted in archaeologists becoming consultants in irrigation, education, and finance – key prerequisites to the emergence of today’s dominant modalities of the linkage between archaeology and development centred on regulatory compliance fieldwork and the encouragement of cultural tourism.

수도권과 비수도권에서의 지역균형발전방안 인식연구

The purpose of this study is to analyze the status of balanced regional development policies at home and abroad, and to examine the public opinion of local experts in order to identify differences in perception of balanced regional development plans in metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas, and to present suitable balanced regional development plans. The balanced regional development plan was divided into policies, plans, projects, and systems through cross-analysis by conducting surveys of balanced regional development policies and experts at home and abroad. In the policy sector, local experts in large cities recognized industrial, population, capital, culture, and educational facilities as very important. On the other hand, local experts in small and medium-sized cities recognized the decentralization and localization of the regional policy promotion system as very important compared to other local experts. In the planning sector, local experts in small and medium-sized cities recognized the plan to revitalize the local economic zone as very important. In the project sector, local experts in large cities recognized the evaluation and monitoring of the performance of balanced regional development projects as very important. In the system sector, local experts in small and medium-sized cities recognized the easing of polarization and strengthening local government policy acceptance capacity as very important. Therefore, the government should establish a regional development system that is differentiated from the metropolitan area, in order to induce the influx of companies and residents. It is also necessary to establish a capacity building system for local governments to promote policies that reflect regional characteristics rather than uniform policies.

Ensuring sustainable development of a region in the strategic period

The stability of the region's development, like any system, depends on the effective balance of its subsystems. The effectiveness of subsystems is enhanced by the effective performance of a set of their key components, which depends on the optimization of certain elements by establishing rational relationships between them. Accordingly, the object of the study is the process of rationalization of the constituent elements of territorial community development programs. To solve this issue, a methodical approach to determining the level of development of the region and ensuring its stability in the strategic period is proposed through the rationalization of the effects of mutually determined implementation of business processes of alternative development projects of territorial communities. The expediency of using the coefficient of synchronicity of business processes of certain regional development projects to determine the level of regional development was substantiated. The use of the synchronicity coefficient to ensure the stable development of the respective region is due to the obtained possibility of balancing the specific competitive advantages of territorial communities strengthened by certain effects. These effects are the results of the implementation of optimally formed portfolios of development projects through rational relationships between specific business processes based on the principle of maximum adaptability of their components. The value of the coefficient of synchronicity of the business processes of the portfolio of development projects of Zabolottivsʹka UTC (0.637) made it necessary to take possible measures for their rationalization by implementing individual effects from the interaction of specific business processes. That has made it possible to increase the synchronicity of these business processes to 0.816 and to determine the direction of the possible integration of the studied UTC with other communities with the help of the formed development potential reserves

Planning the development of rural areas: collisions of regulatory and legal support

The reform of the territory management system in Ukraine significantly expanded the powers of local authorities to increase their capacity to solve a number of socio-economic problems of rural areas. Both approaches to development planning and the document flow of its support has been changed. The purpose of the study is to identify inconsistencies in the legislative and regulatory framework regarding the requirements for the development of planning documents for the development of regions and territorial communities, as well as to develop proposals for their elimination. It was established that the corresponding update of legislation combined the classification features of the new and the old: the number of types of documents that should be formed by local self-government bodies has been increased and the scope of development coverage has been expanded. Believe that this overloads the document flow structure in strategic planning. It was established that using the program-target approach which was introduced in the budget process does not apply to the entire system of planning documents for the development of regions or territorial communities and has a recommendatory character. The need of regulating civil participation in the strategic planning of territorial communities was confirmed by strengthening the status of such a norm by enshrining it in legislation, as well as the transition from the level of informing the public to strengthening the ability to implement joint decisions and developments. In the course of research was revealed duplication of norms, inconsistency of terms of validity of strategic regional development planning documents, lack of uniform procedures for creating development programs, which have been forming by executive power bodies and local self-government bodies. The obsolescence and inconsistency of the norms of the Law of Ukraine "On state forecasting and development of economic and social development programs of Ukraine" in relation to the Law of Ukraine "On the principles of state regional policy" regarding the construction of a hierarchy of program documents for the development of territorial communities was noticed. The expediency of establishing the powers of formation and implementation of local target programs by local self-government bodies, standardizing the procedure for their development and monitoring of implementation has been substantiated. It is proposed to supplement the Law of Ukraine "On the principles of state regional policy" in terms of requirements for the formation of forecasts and program documents of economic and social development at the state and regional level; finalize the Procedure of developing, approving, implementing, monitoring and evaluating the implementation of strategies for the development of territorial communities in terms of increasing the responsibility of officials for not ensuring the conditions for citizen participation in strategic planning; develop methodological recommendations regarding the procedure of development, approval, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of local development programs, local (regional) development projects. Key words: regulatory and legal support, Local Government, strategic management and planning, territorial communities, management of community potential.

Territorial rural development strategies based on organic agriculture: the example of Valposchiavo, Switzerland

The disembedding nature of globalization is being tackled by integrated and territorial approaches that focus on local contexts and include multiple actors and sectors. One example are biodistricts that rely on values of organic agriculture to strengthen territorial agro-food systems. The remote rural mountain valley of Valposchiavo, Switzerland, follows such a territorial approach and is subject of this case study. In this article we aim to understand in detail the processes of territorial development strategies in Valposchiavo. To shed light on the development approach, we used the theoretical concept of neo-endogenous development by Ray. We conducted document analysis, secondary interview analysis as well as problem-centered interviews. The results indicate that the rural development approach follows a neo-endogenous development that renews rural–urban linkages by developing internal and external networks. The creation of a territorial brand and a regional development project contribute to the establishment of local and organic agro-food supply chains. The territorial development approach in Valposchiavo demonstrates how remote mountain areas can shape the well-being of their community and tackle negative impacts of globalization.

THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS IN REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMES MANAGEMENT

In ensuring an effective implementation and maximum impact of regional development projects and programmes, the element of Critical Success Factors (CSFs) should also be considered. East Coast Economic Region (ECER) is one of five regional economic corridors established in Malaysia to facilitate the socioeconomic transformation of this region towards becoming a high-income nation by 2025. East Coast Economic Region Development Council (ECERDC) was established in 2008 as a statutory body under the East Coast Economic Region Development Council Act (Act 688) to drive the implementation of ECER Master Plan. ECERDC also came out with a list of CSFs that serves as a guidance to achieve all the expected goals. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effectiveness of ownership at all levels, creation of ECER Development Council, complementation among ECER states, complementation of ECER towards other regional developments, and private and public sector partnerships in the implementation of various regional development programmes and projects by ECERDC. This study used qualitative method which utilized in-depth interviews with 10 key informants. The obtained findings demonstrated that ECERDC has practiced all five CSFs effectively and as a return, the implementation of various regional development programmes has brought positive outcomes to the organisation. The result should help understand which factors must be given priority by the stakeholders, especially in maximising the impact of the government development projects that benefit the local community.

Educational Migration in the Republic of Mordovia

Introduction. The article is devoted to the actual problem of youth educational migration – a key factor influencing the personnel potential of the region. The purpose of the article is to identify the specifics of youth educational migration from the Republic of Mordovia, to determine the emerging type of migration in comparison with other regions, and to formulate proposals for the needs of regional development. Materials and Methods. The empirical basis of the article is demographic data on interregional migration for 2017–2021 in the context of ages (17–27 years old), databases of “educational data” based on the results of the Unified State Examination and admission to universities of applicants. General statistical methods and approaches were used, data processing and visualization in the pivot tables and charts was carried out, application software and libraries of the Python language (numpy, pandas, matplotlib) were used. The tools made it possible to identify migration indicators in relation to the region, analyze them, and visualize the parameters of educational migration. Results. It has been established that until recently the Republic of Mordovia was a donor region for educational youth migration. However, since 2018–2020, there has been a trend towards the transition to the position of a “transit” region: the balance of migration of 20–22 year olds and older is negative, but the balance of migration of 17–19 year olds is positive. The directions and proportions of educational migration have been established in relation to the entire contingent of graduates and certain categories. A number of assumptions and hypotheses are put forward for subsequent verification on the entire general population (“big data”) of applicants in the Russian Federation. Discussion and Conclusion. The objective conditions of the “post-COVID” reality and external restrictions in terms of educational migration can significantly increase the role of regions. Achieving a “balance” state with compensation for outgoing migration, the preservation and renewal of human capital seems possible. The data on educational migration by region, principles of analysis and conclusions will be useful both for researchers in the field of data science, migration processes, the sociology of education, and for educational and social authorities to adjust forecasts and regional development projects. A similar study can be carried out for other regions of the Russian Federation in comparison with the trends and patterns identified in the Republic of Mordovia.

Іnnovative Priorities for the Development of Integrated Forms of Entrepreneurship at the Regional Level

The priority of innovative development at the regional level through the formation of innovative infrastructure is substantiated. We used system-complex and innovation-oriented approaches to determine the components of the regional development proposed. The work included the task of implementing the concept of modern regional development is defined. It was determined that the further expansion of the innovative infrastructure is objectively conditioned by the level of scientific, technological, and intellectual potential, the number of intellectual property objects, and other developments. The applied aspects of the operation of integrated forms of entrepreneurship at the regional level were considered, and directions for increasing investment activity and ensuring their competitiveness were determined. The expediency of forming an innovative infrastructure for the implementation of innovative priorities for the development of integrated forms of entrepreneurship at the regional level and ensuring its effective functioning and further expansion has been proven. The organizational possibilities for the implementation of innovative priorities at the regional level and innovative development projects with the aim of increasing investment income in the regional economy have been revealed.

The possibility for municipal subsidiaries to seek in-house public contracts and EU funding for local and regional development projects

The aim of the article is to analyse the issues of establishing and functioning of municipal subsidiaries and the lawfulness of such companies applying for EU funding for local and regional development projects. In this article, the author attempts to answer the following questions: what limitations are there in the procedure for founding municipal subsidiaries?; can municipal subsidiaries seek public contracts within the framework of in-house procurement?; can municipal subsidiaries apply for EU funding? The study was conducted using the legal-dogmatic method and it was based on an analysis of legislation and selected decisions of the Court of Justice of the European Union and the Polish National Appeals Chamber relating to the awarding of in-house public contracts and the founding of municipal subsidiaries. Further analysed were the legal possibilities for such companies to be awarded in-house public contracts and to apply for EU funding to invest in their projects. The study allowed to answer the questions posed. The concept of new business entities, or municipal subsidiaries, being founded by local authorities or their municipal companies is not only permitted by law, subject to certain statutory restrictions, but it may also turn out to be advantageous when it comes to awarding public contracts on an in-house basis or seeking EU funding for local and regional development projects. The study allowed for the creation of legal grounds for the practical use by local government units of the concept of municipal subsidiaries, in particular in terms of in-house public contracts and applying for EU funding for local and regional development projects.

Розвиток підходів до визначення впливу стейкхолдерів на реалізацію проєктів регіонального розвитку

The article discusses the essence of the category of «stakeholder» and the development of approaches to determining the influence of stakeholders on the implementation of regional development projects. The process of organizing regional development with the involvement of stakeholders, the development of the interpretation of the category of «stakeholder» and their role, as well as approaches to determining the degree of their influence on the implementation of regional development projects are analyzed. It is defined that regional development projects have separate characteristics that vary depending on their directedness, direction, implementation period and level, and are designed to address a number of issues related to the development of a particular territory. It is defined that stakeholders are a dynamic category and, according to their role in the process of implementing regional development projects, can change over time or depending on various factors. According to the role and interests of stakeholders in the processes of formation, planning and implementation of development projects, they can be divided into separate groups, namely: local, economic, social, environmental, and international groups. Each individual group of regional development stakeholders performs a certain unique function in the process of implementing regional development projects, which is aimed at their implementation and achievement of the set goals, as well as the realization of the stakeholders’ own interests. Taking into account the specifics of different groups of stakeholders, a scheme of roles of specific groups of stakeholders in the context of regional development was built, which in the future will allow to provide a more open and comprehensive approach to planning and implementing regional development projects. The influence of stakeholders on the process of implementing a regional development project is constantly changing and is measured by three main attributes, namely: power, interest, and dynamics. The role of stakeholders in the regional development process is to ensure a broader and more diverse approach to the planning and implementation of regional development projects. This is an important aspect, as taking into account the different voices, proposals and needs of stakeholders contributes to the successful achievement of the set goal. Thus, it will allow adapting the entire process of implementing regional development projects in accordance with new circumstances and challenges, which will contribute to the achievement of the goal.

Russian Companies and Indicators of Their Role in Achieving the Global Sustainable Development Goals

The activities of Russian sustainable development companies included in the base for calculating the index of the Moscow Exchange-RSPP Vector of Sustainable Development is the subject of the article. The purpose of the article was to assess the role and importance of Russian companies in regional sustainable development, their financial performance, which have a significant impact on the formation of profits / losses of economic sectors and are a source of financing for large social and environmental projects in the territories of presence, as well as a comparative analysis of the bases for calculating indicators development of sectors of the economy: sectoral indices of shares of Russian companies and the index Vector of Sustainable Development of the Moscow Exchange. In the article, based on the analysis and grouping of information from the reports of Russian companies with different territorial and industry affiliations, their experience in the field of sustainable development is summarized. Companies are categorized by sectors of the economy and the level of contribution to the achievement of the UN sustainable development goals. The dynamics and structure of absolute and relative indicators that determine the net financial result of companies - the source of their large-scale participation in projects of regional and sectoral sustainable development are analyzed.

From the land to the living soil – Lessons learned from a regional development project in the Yonne region and an urban development project in the city of Nantes

From the land to the living soil – Lessons learned from a regional development project in the Yonne region and an urban development project in the city of Nantes