This study uses the Real-time Multivariate Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) index (RMM), along with meteorological data from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets, to conduct a synthetic analysis of the MJO and surface ozone (O3) concentration in Guangdong Province, southern China during the boreal autumn months (September-October-November, SON) from 2015 to 2023. The MJO is classified into strong MJO (S-MJO) and weak MJO (W-MJO) using a RMM amplitude threshold of 1. The findings reveal a significant positive correlation between the intensity of the MJO, as indicated by the RMM index, and the SON surface O3 concentration in Guangdong Province over these nine years; specifically, the greater the MJO intensity, the higher the SON surface O3 concentration, whereas the smaller the MJO intensity, the lower the concentration. The probability of O3 exceedance (O3 > 160 μg m-3) during S-MJO is higher than that during W-MJO, and the probability of having S-MJO occurrence with O3 exceedance is also higher than when O3 concentrations are low. The meteorological conditions associated with S-MJO are more conducive to the formation and accumulation of O3, whereas W-MJO promotes the dispersion and reduction of O3. Furthermore, there is a tendency for higher O3 concentrations during MJO phases 1, 6 and 8, and lower O3 concentrations during MJO phases 3 and 4. This study enhances the understanding of the relationship between the MJO and surface ozone, demonstrating that both the intensity of the MJO and the position of its convective center can influence O3 concentrations in Guangdong Province. Our findings offer a novel framework for studying the relationship of regional surface O3 and large-scale climate modes.
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