Shoulder dystocia is a unpreventable obstetric emergency complicating 0.19-3.3% of deliveries. Although a large number of potential risk factors for shoulder dystocia have been investigated, only in about one quarter of cases has at least one significant risk factor has been found, and the positive predictive value of antepartum factors individually and combined is low: <2% and <3%, respectively. There are few data on the risk of recurrence of shoulder dystocia in subsequent pregnancies and on the identification of women at risk of recurrence. Because the predisposing factors for the initial dystocia might be present in all subsequent pregnancies, it is assumed that previous shoulder dystocia is a risk factor for recurrence. This retrospective study evaluated the risk of recurrence of shoulder dystocia and investigated potential risk factors for recurrence in a population of Lebanese women. The investigators used medical records and charts to identify 193 women with shoulder dystocia (0.9%) among a population of 22,207 who had vaginal deliveries between 1990 and 2005. Of the 193 women with a first episode of shoulder dystocia, subsequent vaginal delivery occurred in 44 cases (index pregnancy). Recurrent shoulder dystocia was found in 11 cases (11/44, 25%). The investigators compared pregnancy characteristics among index pregnancies who developed recurrent shoulder dystocia (group I, n = 11) and those with no recurrence (group II, n = 33). No significant difference was found between the two groups for gestational age at delivery, parity, maternal age, duration of labor, gender, history of macrosomia, and obesity. The only significant differences between these groups were a larger mean birth weight for group I compared to group II (4019 ± 430 versus 3599 ± 398 gm, P ≤ 0.005); a higher percentage of women in group 1 with larger birth weight than in their prior pregnancy (72.7% versus 33.3%, P ≤.035); and a higher rate with macrosomia (≥4000) gm in group I (63.6% versus 15.2%, P ≤.004). Among these variables in multiple logistic regression analysis, the only independent risk factor associated with recurrence was larger birth weight in subsequent pregnancy (P ≤.008). The data show that the risk of recurrence of shoulder dystocia is about 25% in this study population, a rate higher than in previous studies. The investigators conclude that a lower birth weight than the previous pregnancy and absence of macrosomia (<4000 gm) may lower the risk.
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