ObjectiveTo analyze changes in the muscular fat fraction (FF) during immobilization at the intensive care unit (ICU) using dual-energy CT (DECT) and evaluate the predictive value of the DECT FF as a new imaging biomarker for morbidity and survival.MethodsImmobilized ICU patients (n = 81, 43.2% female, 60.3 ± 12.7 years) were included, who received two dual-source DECT scans (CT1, CT2) within a minimum interval of 10 days between 11/2019 and 09/2022. The DECT FF was quantified for the posterior paraspinal muscle by two radiologists using material decomposition. The skeletal muscle index (SMI), muscle radiodensity attenuation (MRA), subcutaneous-/ visceral adipose tissue area (SAT, VAT), and waist circumference (WC) were assessed. Reasons for ICU admission, clinical scoring systems, therapeutic regimes, and in-hospital mortality were noted. Linear mixed models, Cox regression, and intraclass correlation coefficients were employed.ResultsBetween CT1 and CT2 (median 21 days), the DECT FF increased (from 20.9% ± 12.0 to 27.0% ± 12.0, p = 0.001). The SMI decreased (35.7 cm2/m2 ± 8.8 to 31.1 cm2/m2 ± 7.6, p < 0.001) as did the MRA (29 HU ± 10 to 26 HU ± 11, p = 0.009). WC, SAT, and VAT did not change. In-hospital mortality was 61.5%. In multivariable analyses, only the change in DECT FF was associated with in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 9.20 [1.78–47.71], p = 0.008), renal replacement therapy (HR 48.67 [9.18–258.09], p < 0.001), and tracheotomy at ICU (HR 37.22 [5.66–245.02], p < 0.001). Inter-observer reproducibility of DECT FF measurements was excellent (CT1: 0.98 [0.97; 0.99], CT2: 0.99 [0.96–0.99]).ConclusionThe DECT FF appears to be suitable for detecting increasing myosteatosis. It seems to have predictive value as a new imaging biomarker for ICU patients.Clinical relevance statementThe dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction appears to be a robust imaging biomarker to detect and monitor myosteatosis. It has potential for prognosticating, risk stratifying, and thereby guiding therapeutic nutritional regimes and physiotherapy in critically ill patients.Key PointsThe dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction detects increasing myosteatosis caused by immobilization.Change in dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction was a predictor of in-hospital morbidity and mortality.Dual-energy CT muscular fat fraction had a predictive value superior to established CT body composition parameters.