Real-world Cohort Research Articles

Incidence of atrial fibrillation detected by an insertable cardiac monitor in a large real-world cohort of heart failure patients with reduced and preserved ejection fraction

Abstract Background Subcutaneous implantable cardiac monitors (ICM) have the capability to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes with high degree of accuracy [1]. Objective We investigated the incidence of AF in patients implanted with an ICM and a clinical history of heart failure (HF) with reduced or preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods Patients with history of HF admissions who were implanted with an ICM were identified from the aggregated and de-identified electronic health record (EHR) database during 2007-2021. The device collected data were merged with the EHR data to create a de-identified database of real-world patients. Patients were included if they had ≥180 days of device follow-up. ICMs detect AF based on incoherence of RR intervals and absence of single p-wave between two R-waves [1]. All ICM detected AF episodes stored with at least 30 seconds of ECG at onset were adjudicated using an artificial intelligence (AI) model. The AI model was previously trained and validated using over 60K manually adjudicated episodes and was shown to have an accuracy of over 97% [2]. ICM detected AF episodes with AI model based true probability of AF ≥ 0.9 was analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier incidence curves for AF incidence as a function of episode duration, clinical history of AF, and LVEF are reported. Results A total of 1020 LINQ ICM patients with history of HF admission prior to implant were identified from the deidentified real-world dataset. LVEF was available in 889 (87%) patients, of whom 394 (44%) had EF <50%, and 495 (56%) had EF≥50%. NYHA class was available in 296 (29%) patients, of whom 39 (13%) were class I, 126 (43%) were class II, 112 (38%) were class III, and 19 (6%) were class IV. Patients had an average age of 68±13 years with 52% being males and had clinical history of hypertension in 95%, diabetes in 56%, coronary artery disease in 75%, AF in 57%, stroke/TIA in 51%, and renal dysfunction in 53%. A total of 911 patients with ≥180 days of follow-up (average follow-up of 25.8 months) were included. A total of 8407 episodes from 358 patients were classified by the AI model as true AF. The incidence of AF as a function of episode duration, clinical history of AF and reduced vs preserved LVEF are shown in Figures A, B, and C respectively. Incidence of AF, as detected by an ICM over 42 months of follow-up, was estimated to be 38% to 46% depending on AF episode duration. Estimated 42-month AF incidence was 23% in patients with no clinical history of AF. The 42-month AF incidence was 44% vs 47% in HF patients with reduced versus preserved LVEF. Conclusion Incidence of AF, as detected by an ICM over 3 years of follow-up, was estimated to be in close to half of ICM patients with history of HF events. Close to one fourth of the patients with no prior clinical history of AF had newly detected AF. AF incidence was similar in HF patients with preserved versus reduced LVEF in this real-world cohort.

Mavacamten in a real-world hypertrophic cardiomyopathy population: how many may be eligible?

Abstract Introduction Mavacamten is a newly approved drug for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM) and is currently being studied in non-obstructive HCM (nHCM). Our goal was to evaluate how often patients with oHCM and nHCM in a real-world cohort would be eligible for the main mavacamten trials: EXPLORER-HCM, VALOR-HCM and MAVERICK-HCM. Methods Single-centre retrospective study enrolling consecutive patients with confirmed HCM, as per the 2023 ESC Guidelines, with at least yearly follow-up in our center, from 2017-2023. Key inclusion criteria from the three trials were considered: NYHA class II-III for all; obstructive forms (defined as peak left ventricle outflow tract [LVOT] gradient ≥50 mmHg at rest, after Valsalva manoeuvre or exercise) for EXPLORER-HCM and VALOR-HCM; left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥55% for EXPLORER-HCM and MAVERICK-HCM; LVEF ≥60% and formal criteria for septal reduction therapy for VALOR-HCM, and NT-proBNP ≥300pg/mL for MAVERICK-HCM. Key exclusion criteria (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <30mL/kg/1.73m2, QTc using the Fridericia’s formula >500ms, paroxysmal or intermittent atrial fibrillation present on screening electrocardiograph) were also considered. Results Overall, 410 patients were diagnosed with HCM, of whom 361 (88%) were alive at follow-up and included in the analysis: mean age of 63 ± 16 years, 196 (54%) were male, 272 (75%) with septal HCM and 60 (17%) with oHCM. According to the criteria of EXPLORER-HCM, VALOR-HCM and MAVERICK-HCM, 35 (10%), 6 (2%) and 27 (7%) patients would be eligible for enrolment, respectively. In patients with oHCM, 35 (58%) would be eligible for the EXPLORER-HCM trial. In the overall cohort, 65 (18%) would have criteria for at least one of the trials. The main reasons for exclusion were as follows: 191 (53%) NYHA I, 43 (12%) with NYHA IV, 12 (3%) had a LVEF <55%, 8 (2%) had both HCM and infiltrative myocardial disease and/or moderate-to-severe aortic stenosis and 8 (2%) had an eGFR <30mL/kg/1.73m2. In patients with nHCM, 16 (5%) would have been excluded due to NT-proBNP <300pg/mL and 8 (3%) due to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. Conclusion In a real-word HCM cohort, we found that approximately 1 in every 5 patients would have criteria for either of the mavacamten trials, with more than half of oHCM being potential candidates for the EXPLORER-HCM. The main reasons for non-eligibility were NYHA I and LVEF <55%.

18F-FDG PET/CT in the diagnosis of infective endocarditis

Abstract Background Increased uptake of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) by positron-emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) is one of the diagnostic criteria for prosthetic valve endocarditis (PVE). However, there is limited data on the diagnostic value of FDG PET/CT in diagnosing native valve endocarditis (NVE) and semi-quantitative parameters of FDG uptake. Purpose The objective of this retrospective study was to evaluate the accuracy of FDG PET/CT and additional value of semi-quantitative measures of FDG uptake in the detection of NVE and PVE. Methods All patients who had undergone FDG PET/CT due to suspected infective endocarditis (IE) at a single tertiary referral center between 2010 and 2020 were identified. Additional patients who underwent FDG PET/CT for detecting an infection focus were included as controls. Clinical reports were evaluated and images were analyzed for maximal standardized uptake value (SUVmax) and target to background ratio (TBR = SUVmax normalized to mean blood pool SUV) around valves. The scan was defined positive based on either clinical reading or previously proposed cut-off values for SUVmax and TBR (>4.2 and >2.1, respectively). The final diagnosis of IE was defined based on all available information in electronic medical records. Results The study cohort included 16 patients with suspected NVE (median age 58 years, 88% male), 24 patients with suspected PVE (median age 72 years, 92% male) and 37 patients who underwent FDG PET/CT for detecting an infectious focus (8 with a prosthetic valve). The final diagnosis was definite IE in 25 (14 PVE), possible IE in 7 (6 PVE), and no IE in 45 (12 with a prosthetic valve). Overall, clinical reading of FDG PET/CT identified 17 (sensitivity 68%) of definite IE with a specificity of 91% and accuracy of 83%. Compared with NVE, the sensitivity of FDG PET/CT was higher in the detection of PVE (46% vs. 86%) whereas specificity was lower (97% vs. 75%) resulting in small difference in accuracy (84% vs. 81%). In PVE, SUVmax had higher sensitivity (93%) than clinical reading, resulting in the same accuracy (81%) despite lower specificity (67%). A combination of either positive clinical reading or positive SUVmax identified all patients with PVE (sensitivity 100%). In NVE, TBR had higher sensitivity (64%) than clinical reading, but accuracy (66%) and specificity (67%) were significantly lower. Conclusions FDG PET/CT shows high sensitivity in the detection of PVE and high specificity in the detection of NVE in a real-world clinical cohort. Semi-quantitative parameters of FDG uptake can improve sensitivity of detecting PVE maintaining diagnostic accuracy. However, in NVE semi-quantitative parameters were associated with a prominent reduction in specificity.

Machine learning methods for propensity and disease risk score estimation in high-dimensional data: a plasmode simulation and real-world data cohort analysis

IntroductionMachine learning (ML) methods are promising and scalable alternatives for propensity score (PS) estimation, but their comparative performance in disease risk score (DRS) estimation remains unexplored.MethodsWe used real-world data comparing antihypertensive users to non-users with 69 negative control outcomes, and plasmode simulations to study the performance of ML methods in PS and DRS estimation. We conducted a cohort study using UK primary care records. Further, we conducted a plasmode simulation with synthetic treatment and outcome mimicking empirical data distributions. We compared four PS and DRS estimation methods: 1. Reference: Logistic regression including clinically chosen confounders. 2. Logistic regression with L1 regularisation (LASSO). 3. Multi-layer perceptron (MLP). 4. Extreme Gradient Boosting (XgBoost). Covariate balance, coverage of the null effect of negative control outcomes (real-world data) and bias based on the absolute difference between observed and true effects (for plasmode) were estimated. 632,201 antihypertensive users and nonusers were included.ResultsML methods outperformed the reference method for PS estimation in some scenarios, both in terms of covariate balance and coverage/bias. Specifically, XgBoost achieved the best performance. DRS-based methods performed worse than PS in all tested scenarios.DiscussionWe found that ML methods could be reliable alternatives for PS estimation. ML-based DRS methods performed worse than PS ones, likely given the rarity of outcomes.

Real-world evidence for patient phenotypes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) presents a high mortality risk due to its heterogeneous and multifactorial nature, coupled with limited treatment options. The incompletely understood pathophysiology is influenced by various comorbidities, resulting in different clinical phenotypes. Identifying these could be crucial for tailored HFpEF treatments. While previous studies focused on small, well-characterized patient populations, electronic health records (EHRs) offer the potential to unveil HFpEF phenotypes in larger real-world patient groups. Purpose We aimed to establish a sizable, unselected HFpEF patient population using real-world data. Employing cluster analysis, we intended to uncover distinct groups with varied disease aetiology and medical needs based on comorbidity profiles and prognoses. Methods From EHRs of n = 1,610,101 HF patients, we identified an HFpEF cohort of n = 32,009 patients, by applying thresholds for the LVEF and data availability, and by excluding confounding conditions. Clustering by the relative frequency of common comorbidities aimed to reveal patient populations with unique prognoses, comorbidity profiles, and clinical and demographic characteristics. Results Six clusters of different sizes, comorbidity prevalence, clinical presentation, and all-cause mortality were identified. About 50% of patients (n = 15,445) were predominantly hypertensive, with varying extents of coronary heart disease and diabetes mellitus (DM), and a 5-year mortality of about 30%. Around 22% (n = 7,089) exhibited a cardiometabolic comorbidity profile, with an increased prevalence of obesity and sleep apnea, but also DM and hypertension, and a 5-year mortality of 22.5%. Over 15% of patients (n = 5,298) had a 5-year mortality rate of 45.0%, marked by highest rates of anaemia and chronic kidney disease (CKD) but also DM, elevated N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide levels, and a reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate. Conclusion Despite the favourable prognosis, a significant proportion of patients represent a cardiometabolic HFpEF phenotype with notable unmet medical needs regarding cohort size and multimorbidity. Patients simultaneously suffering from CKD, anaemia, and the highest mortality rates may represent a previously underrecognized phenotype. Our study demonstrates that distinct medical needs can be identified in a large, unselected real-world HFpEF cohort. In contrast to clinical trials, this approach enabled access to a broader patient population, revealing novel phenotypes to be targeted by precision medicine in the future.

Evaluation of clinical need, effectiveness, and safety of the first myosin inhibitor mavacamten in real world patients

Abstract Background Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy has a high burden of heart failure if obstruction in the left-ventricular outflow tract (HOCM) is present. Mavacamten is the first available myosin inhibitor specifically addressing the underlying pathophysiology of hypercontractility in HOCM. Based on positive results of respective approval studies, mavacamten is recommended for therapy of HOCM in recent ESC guidelines but clinical real world data are lacking. Methods In this ongoing study, consecutive patients with current or previous diagnosis of HOCM presenting at a single referral centre for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy from March 2023 to February 2024 were included and analysed by treatment modality. In patients initiating mavacamten therapy, clinical data of 4 weekly follow ups were assessed, including efficacy (NYHA class, LVOT gradient and biomarkers) and adverse events. Results A total of 72 patients were included (59.1 ± 13.0 years, 68% male). Mavacamten treatment was started in 30/72 (41.7%) patients, 3/72 (4.1%) were referred for transcatheter septal reduction therapy (SRT), and 39/72 (54.2%) did not require any escalation in their treatment due to low gradient with current treatment or few symptoms. Of the latter, 3/39 (7.7%) had previous SRT, 36/39 (92.3%) were stable on negative inotropic medication. The average age of patients selected for mavacamten therapy was 58.0 ± 13.0 years, 80% were male, and the average thickness of the interventricular septum was 18.8 ± 2.8 mm. 22/30 (73.3%) were on baseline therapy with beta-blockers, 3/30 (10.0%) with calcium channel blockers, 2/30 (6.7%) with both, and 4/30 (13.3%) had additional treatment with disopyramide. As shown in table 1, there was a significant decrease in the LVOT gradient under Valsalva maneuver observed 4 weeks after initiation of mavacamten treatment (p=0.006), while the reduction in peak exercise LVOT gradient was statistically significant after 8 weeks (p=0.02). Simultaneously, a significant decrease in Nt-pro-BNP levels was observed after 4 weeks of therapy (p<0.001). A significant drop in troponin T levels compared to baseline was only noted after 20 weeks of treatment (p=0.02). At baseline, 66.7% patients were classified as NYHA class III/IV, and 12.5% after 20 weeks of treatment. 75% of the patients improved ≥1 NYHA class after 20 weeks. Regarding adverse events, there was one case of ejection fraction dropping to <50%, which resolved after halting treatment. Additionally, there were two reports of dizziness and one reported syncope, all of which resolved without taking any actions. Conclusion In this real-world single centre HOCM cohort, 41.7% of patients had an indication for myosin inhibitor therapy. The safety and effectiveness in lowering the LVOT gradient and improving NYHA class were consistent with findings from the approval studies.

Premature ventricular contraction burden measured by an insertable cardiac monitor and the incidence of ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation

Abstract Background Insertable cardiac monitors (ICM) have the capability to continuously monitor premature ventricular contraction (PVC) burden over time [1] as well as detect ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation (VT/VF). Objective We investigated the association of PVC burden with incidence of VT/VF in a large real-world cohort of patients implanted with ICMs. Methods Patients implanted with an ICM for various reasons for monitoring and PVC detection turned on were included from the ICM manufacturer's de-identified data warehouse. Patients were included if they had at least 90 days of PVC burden follow-up. Tachycardia episodes that were detected by the ICM were first classified as VT/VF, SVT, or oversensing using an artificial intelligence (AI) model that was pre-trained using over 60,000 manually adjudicated ICM detected tachycardia episodes. If the AI model output probability for VT/VF was greater than 0.2, then those episodes were manually adjudicated for incidence of non-induced spontaneous VT/VF. The PVC burden trends recorded by the device were divided into 4 mutually exclusive patient groups: (1) 0% PVC burden on all days, (2) 1-4% PVC burden on ≥1 day, (3) 5-9% PVC burden on ≥1 day, and (4) >10% PVC on ≥1 day. The incidence rate of spontaneous VT/VF was compared between the PVC burden patient groups using a Generalized Estimating Equations model with negative binomial distribution. Time to first spontaneous VT/VF occurrence after the first day of occurrence of PVC burden for the respective PVC burden groups were estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the groups were compared using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results A total of 5,521 patients were included in the analysis. Patients had an average age of 69±15 years and 49.8% being males. There was a total of 33,393 tachycardia episodes from 2,641 patients that were detected by the ICM. After AI model probability-based adjudications, 691 spontaneous VT/VF episodes were identified from 277 patients. Patients with ≥1 day of PVC burden of 1-4%, 5-9%, and ≥10% were associated with 2.9, 7.3, and 7.8 times increased incidence rate of VT/VF episodes during follow-up period relative to patients with 0% PVC burden on all days of follow-up (Figure A). Kaplan Meier curves for incidence of first spontaneous VT/VF episode for the four groups following occurrence of the first day of qualifying PVC burden for the respective groups are shown in figure B. Patients with a day of PVC burden ≥10% were 3.5 times more likely to develop VT/VF in the future compared to patients with 0% PVC burden on all days. Conclusion Days with high PVC burden, as detected by an ICM with continuous PVC detection capability, were associated with increased risk of VT/VF events in a group of real-world patients implanted with ICMs. PVC burden measured by ICMs may be a risk stratification tool for further investigation to prevent sudden cardiac arrest.

External validation of the CA-AKI score in patients with acute coronary syndrome: A real-world cohort analysis from Asia

Abstract Background Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is associated with long-term impairment of kidney function, the need for renal replacement therapy, and subsequent all-cause deaths. A practical risk score, the CA-AKI risk score is derived for the prediction of contrast-associated acute kidney injury. However, this novel score has not received sufficient evidence of external validation in real-world studies, especially in Asian individuals. Methods Short-term endpoints and long-term endpoints were assessed in 8,816 patients with acute coronary syndrome enrolled in a large Asia registry. Discrimination was assessed by Harrell’s C statistic, and calibration was assessed by calibration plots. The ability of the CA-AKI score to predict short-term and long-term prognosis was assessed. Results CA-AKI occurred in 5.3% of the patients, with a stepwise increase of CA-AKI rates from the lowest to the highest of the 4 risk categories. When predicting the risk of CA-AKI, both discrimination and calibration were helpful in model 2 (C-index: 0.72; slope: 0.97) and in model 1(C-index: 0.69; slope: 1.02). The risks of 1-year all-cause mortality and 1-year bleeding were higher in CA-AKI patients (HR: 2.70 [95% CI: 2.22-3.30] and HR: 1.76 [95% CI: 1.41-2.46]; respectively). Conclusion The updated CA-AKI risk score could accurately identify patients with contrast-associated acute kidney injury, the occurrence of which is strongly associated with long-term mortality and bleeding.

Coronary sinus reducer device for the treatment of refractory angina: a single center experience

Abstract Introduction The coronary sinus Reducer emerged as a complementary therapy in patients with angina refractory to optimal medical therapy and not amenable to revascularization. Aim The aim of this study was to assess the safety and efficacy of the Reducer in a real-world cohort of patients presenting with refractory angina. Methods and population Twenty-six patients with refractory angina, objective evidence of myocardial ischemia attributable to the left coronary artery and deemed unsuitable for revascularization were treated with Reducer at a single center between April 2018 and January 2023. Safety endpoints were procedural success and complications. Efficacy endpoints, assessed at 6-month, were a reduction in Canadian Cardiovascular Society angina (CCS) class and a reduction in pharmacological antianginal therapy. Results Twenty-one (81%) patients had end-stage coronary artery disease without targets for further revascularization (13 had previous CABG ± PCI and 8 had only PCI) and 5 patients had microvascular disease without epicardial stenosis. All procedures were performed via right jugular vein. The mean procedure and fluoroscopy duration were 66±29 and 19±8 minutes. Procedural success was achieved in all patients, with no device related complications. There was one cardiac tamponade, promptly treated with pericardiocentesis. Regarding the efficacy endpoint, 21 patients (81%) had at least 1 grade reduction in CCS class, 13 patients (50%) had at least 2 class reductions, and 7 patients (28 %) became asymptomatic, with a mean reduction of CCS class of 1.4±0.9, from 2.6±0.5 to 1.2±0.9 (p=0.001) at 6-month follow-up. During this time frame, twelve patients (46%) withdrew or reduced the dose of at least one anti-anginal drug. The mean reduction of anti-anginal drugs was 0.54 ±0.86, from 3.5±1.02 to 2.9±1.07 (p=0.04). Conclusion In this real-world, single-center experience, implantation of Reducer was safe and associated with improvement of angina and reduction of anti-anginal drugs intake in patients with refractory angina unsuitable for revascularization.

Prevalence and prognostic significance of restriction versus systolic dysfunction in patients with transthyretin and light chain cardiac amyloidosis

Abstract The tenet of cardiac amyloidosis (CA) as a paradigm of heart failure with restrictive ventricular physiology and preserved systolic function has come under scrutiny. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the prevalence and clinical significance of left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction versus restriction in a large real-world cohort with CA, assessed at the time of diagnosis. Methods This is a multicenter retrospective analysis including 540 transthyretin (ATTR)-CA and 280 light chain (AL)-CA. Patients were divided into 3 phenotypes: 1) preserved LV function: LV ejection fraction (EF) ≥50% associated with grade 0/I diastolic dysfunction; 2) restriction: LV-EF≥50% associated with grade II/III diastolic dysfunction; 3) systolic dysfunction: LV-EF<50% irrespective of diastolic function. We analysed progression from preserved LV function towards the other two phenotypes and their survival. Results In ATTR-CA, prevalence of preserved LV function was 27%, restriction was 44% and systolic dysfunction was 28%. Among patients with preserved LV function, annual conversion rate to restriction was 24% and to systolic dysfunction was 17%. At 3 years, survival free from all-cause mortality was 88%, 76% and 63% respectively (figure A). In AL-CA, prevalence of preserved LV function was 30%, restriction was 49% and systolic dysfunction was 20%. Among patients with preserved LV function, annual conversion rate to restriction was 28% and to systolic dysfunction was 8%. At 3 years, survival free from all-cause mortality was 56%, 39% and 29% respectively (figure B). Conclusions Restriction was the presenting phenotype in less than half of patients, while systolic dysfunction in approximately one quarter. The annual rate of progression form preserved LV function towards restriction or systolic dysfunction was high. In ATTR systolic dysfunction was associated with worse outcome, compared to restriction; in AL both restriction and systolic dysfunction were associated with equally ominous outcome.

Cost-effectiveness of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: the brazilian case with bayesian networks and markov influence diagrams

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, with a significant burden in middle-income countries, such as Brazil. Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) have been established as a cornerstone in the treatment of HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but their adoption has faced obstacles. Until recently, spironolactone was the only MRA available in Brazil, with restricted use due to associated side effects, such as gynecomastia and hyperkalemia. However, the introduction of new MRAs, such as finerenone and eplerenone, has the potential to change the therapeutic landscape. Understanding the cost-effectiveness of these agents in the Brazilian healthcare context is essential to optimize HF management. Methods A Bayesian Network approach complemented by Markov Influence Diagrams was employed to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), presented in international dollars (Int$) gained per quality-adjusted life year (QALYs). Discontinuation rates for MRAs were incorporated into the model, reflecting real-world clinical practice, along with a 5% annual discount rate for both costs and effectiveness. To inform our model, a comprehensive systematic review was conducted, followed by a network meta-analysis (NMA) to assess the comparative effectiveness of ARMs. Data on incident cardiovascular outcomes were derived from a Brazilian real-world cohort of 1,098 patients with HFrEF. All cost assessments were made from the perspective of the Brazilian public health system, with values converted to Int$. Results The NMA highlighted that spironolactone [HR:0.75 (95%CI 0.67-0.84)], eplerenone [HR:0.84 (95%CI 0.77-0.93)] and finerenone [HR:0.90 (95%CI 0.82-0.98)] significantly reduced the relative risk of all-cause mortality compared to no MRA utilization. Notably, eplerenone significantly reduced hospitalizations due to HF [HR:0.60 (95%CI 0.41-0.90)] compared to no MRA therapy, with spironolactone and finerenone showing HRs of 0.68 (95%CI 0.40-1.17) and 0.83 (95%CI 0.59-1.15) . The analysis also revealed a notably higher risk of MRA discontinuation for finerenone (22%) and spironolactone (51%) compared to eplerenone. In cost-effectiveness comparisons, finerenone was dominated by alternatives, while eplerenone exhibited an ICER of Int$2,614 (95%CI 1,851-3,470)/QALY when compared to spironolactone. Both spironolactone and eplerenone emerged as cost-effective options when compared to no MRA therapy, with eplerenone being particularly favorable below the willingness-to-pay threshold of Int$8,900 per QALY. Conclusions In the Brazilian healthcare context, eplerenone will likely be the most cost-effective MRA compared to spironolactone, offering both a reduction in HF-related hospitalizations and a lower discontinuation rate. These findings underscore the value of integrating cost-effectiveness analyzes into healthcare decision-making processes.

Incidence and predictors of 2-year mortality following percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion in the EWOLUTION tria

Abstract Background and aims Sufficient survival time following left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) is essential for ensuring the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of this strategy for stroke prevention. Understanding prognostic factors for early mortality after LAAO could optimize patient selection. In the current study we perform an in-depth analysis of 2-year mortality after LAAO, focusing particularly on potential predictors. Methods The EWOLUTION registry is a real-world cohort comprising 1020 patients that underwent LAAO. Endpoint definitions were prespecified and death was categorized as cardiovascular, non-cardiovascular, or of unknown origin. Mortality rates were calculated from Kaplan-Meier estimates. Patient characteristics and event rates were compared between deceased and alive patients by unpaired T-tests or Chi-squared test, as appropriate. Baseline characteristics significantly associated with death in univariate Cox regression analysis were incorporated into the multivariate analysis. All multivariate predictors were included in a risk model. Results 2-year mortality rate was 16.4% (CI: 14.0-18.7%), with 50% of patients dying from a noncardiovascular cause. Deceased patients had more comorbities and more often had a major bleeding after LAAO (20.6% vs 3.3%, p<0.001). Multivariate baseline predictors of 2-year mortality included age (HR 1.05, CI: 1.03-1.08, per year increase), heart failure (HR 1.73, CI: 1.24-2.41), vascular disease(HR 1.47, CI: 1.05-2.05), valvular disease (HR 1.63 CI: 1.15-2.33), abnormal liver function (HR 1.80 CI: 1.02-3.17) and abnormal renal function (HR 1.58, CI: 1.10-2.27). Mortality rate exhibited a gradual rise as the number of risk factors increased, reaching 46.1% in patients presenting with five or six risk factors. Conclusion One in six patients died within 2 years after LAAO. We were able to identify six independent predictors of mortality. When combined, this model showed a gradual increase in mortality rate with a growing number of risk factors, which may guide appropriate patient selection for LAAO.

Assessment of right ventricular function in patients with severe secondary tricuspid regurgitation, following to the TVARC recommendations: association with outcome

Abstract Introduction Severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is associated with increased mortality if left untreated. Recently, the Tricuspid Valve Academic Research Consortium (TVARC) has published standardized definitions of disease aetiology and severity, as well as endpoints for future clinical trials. Right ventricular (RV) function assessment represents one of the cornerstones for risk stratification in these patients, but current guidelines do not propose specific cut-off values for the echocardiographic measures. Also, the thresholds proposed by the TVARC have been derived from normative value and not yet validated in large cohorts of TR patients. Purpose To test the prognostic value of the TVARC proposed echocardiographic cut-offs for grading RV-dysfunction (figure1) in a large real-world cohort of patients with severe secondary TR (STR). Methods Consecutive patients from a single centre with first diagnosis of severe secondary STR, and without a cardiac implantable electronic device, were included. Tricuspid annulus plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), RV global and free wall strain (RVGLS and RVFWLS) and fractional area change (FAC) were used to measure RV function. The study endpoint was all-cause mortality, censored for tricuspid valve intervention. Results A total of 1043 patients (mean age 69 ± 13 years, 43% male), were included. Approximately half of the population (45%) was in NYHA class III or IV and 52% was treated with loop diuretics. Overall patients showed mild RV-dilatation (RV end-diastolic area indexed 12.2 [10.1-15.2cm2/m2]) and moderate-to-severe right atrial dilatation (right atrial maximal area indexed: 13.9 [11.0-17.5cm2/m2]). Using the proposed cut-off values, strain analysis identified a higher number of patients with impaired RV function as compared to standard echocardiographic parameters (89% based on RVGLS; 80% based on RVFWS, 61% based on TAPSE and 54% based on RVFAC). During a median follow-up of 51 [IQR 6 - 98] months, 445 (43%) patients died. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves for each echocardiographic parameter of RV-function are shown in Figure 1. TAPSE, which is the most widely used RV-function parameter, was able to clearly identify patients at high and intermediate risk when mildly, moderately and severely impaired. However, patients with normal TAPSE were still at intermediate risk when RVFWLS was (even mildly) reduced (figure 2). We therefore propose a stepwise practical approach including the measure of RVFWLS when measuring normal TAPSE, in order to possibly re-stratify patients into a higher risk group (Figure 2). This novel grading approach remained independently associated with all-cause mortality after correcting for relevant clinical and echocardiographic variables on multivariable analysis. Conclusion Novel TAVRC cut-off values for RV function show prognostic value in patients with severe STR; particularly the combination of TAPSE and RVFWLS could be use in clinical practice for risk stratification.Figure 1Figure 2

The development and long-term maintenance of heart failure with improved ejection fraction after a heart failure hospitalization: how are mortality rates affected?

Abstract Background According to the current ESC HF Guidelines (GLs), the implementation of the guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) is of strategic importance in heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). In the effect of the successful implementation of the modern GDMT, significant improvement in terms of the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) might be expected in HFrEF. Hence, a new HF category, the improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF), was introduced in the current ESC HF GLs, which has come to the spotlight in the recent years. However, its course and long-term prognosis are still not clearly understood. Aim To assess the development and long-term maintenance of the HFimpEF category among a consecutive patient cohort requiring hospitalization due to HFrEF, evaluate its effect on prognosis, and examine the independent predictors of its development. Patients and methods A retrospective analysis was carried in a real-world cohort of 270 HFrEF patients (male: 77%, age: 61[49-68]years, coronary artery disease: 47%, diabetes: 30%, hypertension: 60%, atrial fibrillation: 35%, LVEF: 25[20-30]%, eGFR at admission: 59[45-73]mL/min/1.73m², NT-proBNP at admission: 4733[2368-9711]pg/mL, SBP: 120[107-135]mmHg) hospitalized for HF in 2019-2023 at two tertiary cardiac centers. At admission the complex modern GDMT of HFrEF had been already introduced (RASi[ACEi/ARB/ARNI]: 61%, βB: 63%, MRA: 47%, SGLT2i: 6%) in the minority of the cohort. The improvement to the HFimpEF category was examined after the therapy optimization (OMT). All-cause mortality (ACM) rates were evaluated with Kaplan-Meier method and the predictors of the development to HFimpEF category were assessed with logistic regression analysis. Results In the total cohort at discharge, a high proportion of patients received RASis (94%), βBs (90%), MRAs (97%), and SGLT2is (35%). 79 patients (29%) evolved to the HFimpEF category after OMT. During the median 810 [456-1161] days of follow-up (FU), HFimpEF patients had lower, but unquestionably still increased mortality rates (29% vs. 10%, p=0.001; non-HFimpEF vs. HFimpEF patients). At two years of the FU period, based on the available echocardiographies, 98 % of the patients remained in the HFimpEF category. After performing a multivariate logistic regression analysis, the severity of the LV systolic dysfunction (LVSD) and the „de novo" diagnosis of HFrEF proved to be independent predictors of the development of the HFimpEF category. Conclusions In the effect of the implementation of GDMT, a significant proportion (29%) of our multimorbid, hospitalized HFrEF patient cohort improved to the HFimpEF category. The predictors of its development were the severity of the LVSD and "de novo" HFrEF diagnosis. During the FU period, most of the HFimpEF patients remained in this category. However, their persistently elevated mortality rates raise the awareness of the importance of the conscious application and maintenance of GDMT.

The triglyceride-glucose index is a marker of thromboembolic events in atrial fibrillation patient under oral anticoagulation therapy

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of stroke and thromboembolism; and appropriate risk stratification is central for better targeted patient management. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index indirectly assesses insulin resistance, and has been associated with cardiovascular risk. Purpose To investigate whether the TyG index could be a biomarker for assessing the risk of thromboembolic events in patients with AF. Methods We performed an observational prospective cohort study including outpatients diagnosed with AF starting vitamin K antagonist (VKA) or direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOAC) therapy from January, 2016 to November, 2021. The primary endpoint was a combination of thromboembolic events, considered as the composite of myocardial infarction, and/or venous thromboembolism, and/or ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, over 2 years of follow-up. The TyG index was calculated as the natural logarithm (Ln) of the product of baseline plasma glucose and triglyceride using the following formula: Ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)]/2. Patients were stratified into tertiles according to their TyG index (ie. first tertile: TyG index <4.59; second tertile: TyG index 4.59-4.83; third tertile: TyG index >4.83). Results We included 2907 patients (median age 77 [70-83] years; 52.5% female). The median TyG index was 4.71 (4.53-4.91), and 34% (989) where in the third tertile of TyG index. During a follow-up of 2 years, 209 (7.2%) patients suffered a thromboembolic event. Compared to patients in the first or second tertiles of TyG index, patients in the third tertile had an increased annual event rate of thromboembolic events (3.40 per 100 patient-years vs. 4.76 per 100 patient-years, p=0.043; and 3.41 per 100 patient-years vs. 4.76 per 100 patient-years, p=0.044), and higher incidence rate ratio (1.41 [95% CI 1.01-1.98], p=0.044 vs. first tertile; 1.40 [95% CI 1.01-1.97], p=0.044 vs. second tertile). Cox regression analyses adjusted for several risk factors demonstrated that the TyG index was an independent predictor for thromboembolic events (aHR 1.82; 95% CI 1.15-2.89; p=0.011). Patients in the third tertile of TyG index presented a 64% higher risk of thromboembolic events (aHR 1.64; 95% CI 1.17-2.29; p=0.004) (Table), with significantly lower event free survival (log-rank test p-value = 0.016) (Figure). Conclusions In this real-world cohort of AF patients under oral anticoagulation therapy, elevated TyG index was an independent risk factor for thromboembolic events. The TyG index is a simple, low-cost indicator, that could be used as a screening tool in everyday clinical practice.

Rates of therapeutic interventions in a large real-world cohort with insertable cardiac monitors

Abstract Background Insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) provide up to several years of continuous monitoring and have demonstrated high diagnostic yields for arrhythmia detection. However, the rates of arrhythmia-related therapeutic interventions following ICM implant have not been comprehensively characterized across indicated patient populations. Purpose To quantify rates of arrhythmia therapies in a large, real-world U.S. cohort of ICM patients. Methods De-identified patients receiving a Reveal LINQ ICM between Oct 1, 2016 – Sept 30, 2020 with no prior cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) and ≥1 year of follow-up in the Optum Clinformatics® Data Mart claims database were identified (N=17,037). Patients were stratified by indication for ICM placement: N=431 (2.5%) of patients were indicated for AF ablation monitoring, 2,193 (12.9%) for AF management, N=4,852 (28.5%) Cryptogenic stroke, N=1,252 (7.3%) Palpitations, 1,346 (7.9%) Suspected AF, 6,716 (39.4%) Unexplained syncope, and 247 (1.4%) Ventricular tachycardia (VT). Each patient was followed in the claims database after ICM insertion until end of continuous claims enrollment, end of database, or death. Therapeutic interventions for arrhythmias were characterized during follow-up, including procedures (CIED implants, cardioversion, and ablation) and arrhythmia medication initiation (antiarrhythmics, rate-control medications, and oral anticoagulants). Results Mean(SD) follow-up in the claims database post ICM placement was 3.4(1.3) years; 52.4% of patients were female, and mean age was 70.8(11.9) years. Overall, 54.5% of patients received a therapeutic intervention during follow-up, with 25.0% of patients receiving a therapeutic procedure and 44.0% initiating an arrhythmia-related medication (table). The highest procedure rates included implantable pulse generator (IPG) implants in the Unexplained syncope population (21.4% of patients) and cardiac ablations in the populations receiving ICM for known AF (27.8% of AF ablation monitoring patients and 23.5% of AF management patients). Medication initiation rates were highest for oral anticoagulants in the Cryptogenic stroke population (31.0% of patients). The mean time from ICM insertion to therapeutic action was 13(13) months for procedures and 7(11) months for medication initiation. Conclusions In a large sample of real-world ICM patients, more than half received a therapeutic intervention after ICM placement. Time to intervention was lengthy and showed substantial variability amongst patients, underscoring the importance of long-term continuous monitoring to uncover clinically-relevant arrhythmia findings.

Clinical outcomes according to residual cholesterol and inflammatory risk in patients undergoing PCI

Abstract Background Elevated concentrations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) and low grade vascular inflammation, commonly quantified using high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), have been demonstrated to be causal in the development of atherosclerotic disease. Whilst recent large-scale trials have investigated the relative impact of LDL-c and inflammation on cardiovascular outcomes, there is a scarcity of data in real-world patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Purpose To investigate the relative drivers of residual risk in patients with established statin treatment undergoing PCI in a contemporary large-scale cohort. Methods From January 2012 to February 2020 patients undergoing PCI at a tertiary center were included for current analysis. Patients were categorized into 4 subgroups according to different combinations of LDL-c and hsCRP concentrations at baseline: no residual cholesterol or inflammatory risk (LDL-c <70 mg/dL + hsCRP <2 mg/L), residual cholesterol risk (LDL-c ≥70 mg/dL + hsCRP <2 mg/L), residual inflammatory risk (LDL-c <70 mg/dL + hsCRP ≥2 mg/L), and combined residual cholesterol and inflammatory risk (LDL-c ≥70 mg/dL + hsCRP ≥2 mg/L). Individuals who presented with acute myocardial infarction, neoplastic disease and hsCRP concentrations >10 mg/l were excluded. The outcome of interest was major adverse cardiac events (MACE - composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke). A univariable cox regression model was calculated. Results Overall, 10,845 patients were included. In total, 3,210 patients displayed neither cholesterol nor inflammatory risk and 3,059 individuals had elevated cholesterol risk only. In 1,839 patients an inflammatory risk was noted, whilst 2,737 patients presented with combined cholesterol and inflammatory risk. Kaplan-Meier curves for 1-year follow-up are displayed in Figure 1. Patients with residual inflammatory risk had the highest event rate of the composite endpoint (5.2%), followed by patients with combined residual risk (3.5%), individuals with residual cholesterol risk (2.3%) and persons with neither cholesterol nor inflammatory risk (2.4%; p<0.0001 for log rank test across all groups). An association with MACE was solely documented for patients with residual inflammatory risk (HR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.52 - 2.88; p<.001), and also borderline significant for combined cholesterol and inflammatory risk (HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.03 - 1.95; p=0.034), whilst this was not the case for patients with elevated cholesterol risk only (see Figure 2). Conclusion In a contemporary real-world cohort of statin treated patients undergoing PCI, inflammation irrespective of LDL-c concentrations was the driver for adverse cardiovascular outcomes. This data might be helpful to further define target populations for both intensified lipid-lowering as well as anti-inflammatory treatment approaches.

Guideline-directed medical therapy titration for heart failure with ischaemic aetiology and its effect on cardiac remodelling and cardiovascular mortality-from a real world perspective

Abstract Background Contemporary Heart Failure (HF) pharmacological treatment has been reshaped by several landmark trials in recent years, and available evidence strongly encourages treatment up-titration to target doses. Recent literature regarding treatment sequencing demonstrated positive effects of up-titration on major outcomes regardless of HF aetiology. Purpose We investigated a contemporary Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction (HFrEF) patient cohort and ischaemic aetiology and sought to understand the effects both in terms of echocardiographic remodelling and upon mortality for cardiovascular (CV) causes of contemporary ESC guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) on a real-world level. Methods We retrospectively analysed data of consecutive patients with HFrEF and ischaemic genesis followed in our tertiary HF clinic between January 2019 and January 2022. Eligible patients were stratified into two groups: patients treated or not with full doses of ESC GDMT [including angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) or angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI), beta-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i)]. Results Overall, 203 patients (mean age 70.1±12.3 years, 165 males) were included into the analysis. Over a mean follow-up of 1223±221.2 days, 115 (56.6) patients achieved the full recommended doses of each drug. Patients with an unsuccessful up-titration had higher end-diastolic volume at transthoracic echocardiography (p for difference at first and second follow-up <0.001; figure 1, panel A), lower left ventricular ejection fraction (40.1±4.3% vs 44.3±7.8 and 38.7±4.9% vs 42.3±5.6% at the first and second follow-up, respectively) and higher CV mortality rates compared to those treated with the maximal doses (figure 1, panel B). Conclusions Up-titration of pharmacotherapy in our real-world cohort of patients with HFrEF and ischaemic aetiology demonstrated a positive effect both on pivotal echocardiographic parameters and on CV mortality. Our data suggest that timely identification and referral of patients with coronary artery disease who fail to achieve complete positive remodelling after an acute event (or during chronic disease course) for HF contemporary treatment implementation should be envisaged.Figure 1

Association between completeness of revascularization and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes and non-ST elevation myocardial infarction: a population-based registry analysis

Abstract Introduction Approximately one-third of the patients presenting with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) have diabetes. From these, two-thirds have multivessel coronary disease. The impact of completeness of revascularization in this population remains unclear. Purpose To evaluate the contemporary patterns of coronary revascularization among patients with diabetes and NSTEMI, and the clinical outcomes stratified by anatomic completeness of revascularization. Methods All patients with diabetes and multivessel disease admitted for NSTEMI between April 2009 and March 2020 in Ontario, Canada were included. Patients with previous coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) at any time, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the previous 90 days, or shock were excluded. Patients were classified in four groups, from the most to the least complete revascularization strategy: CABG, complete revascularization with PCI, incomplete revascularization with PCI, or no revascularization. Outcomes included all-cause death and the composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Multivariable Cox regression was used to account for confounding (demographics, comorbidities, left ventricular function, coronary anatomy, laboratory tests, and diabetes treatment). Results We included 14,511 patients (mean age: 68.7±11.5y; 69.6% males). A total of 4,525 (31.2%) patients were treated with CABG, 3,008 (20.7%) with complete PCI, 3,624 (25.0%) with incomplete PCI and 3,354 (23.1%) were not revascularized. Patients with more complex coronary disease were more frequently treated with CABG, while PCI was more common in those with less complex disease (p<0.001; Fig 1). The mean number of grafts in the CABG group was 3.4±1.0. The mean number of stents in the complete and incomplete PCI groups was 2.4±1.3 and 1.7±0.9, respectively. Adjusted 5-y risks of all-cause death following CABG, complete PCI, incomplete PCI and no revascularization were, respectively, 25.9%, 29.8%, 32.2%, and 39.4%. Over a median follow-up of 5.8ys, CABG was associated with reduced all-cause death compared with complete PCI (HR 0.82; 95%CI 0.75 - 0.90), incomplete PCI (HR 0.73; 95%CI 0.67 - 0.80), or no revascularization (HR 0.54; 95%CI 0.50 - 0.58); p<0.001 for all (Fig 2). Adjusted 5-y risks of the composite endpoint following CABG, complete PCI, incomplete PCI and no revascularization were, respectively, 34.0%, 41.5%, 44.6%, and 52.9%. CABG was associated with reduced rates of the composite endpoint compared with complete PCI (HR 0.75; 95%CI 0.69 - 0.81), incomplete PCI (HR 0.67; 95%CI 0.62 - 0.72), or no revascularization (HR 0.50; 95%CI 0.47 - 0.54); p<0.001 for all. Conclusion In this contemporary real-world cohort study, almost a quarter of the patients with diabetes and NSTEMI did not receive any revascularization procedure. Cardiovascular outcomes were incrementally improved with CABG or complete revascularization with PCI, compared to no revascularization.Figure 1Figure 2

Elevated mitral valve pressure gradient following transcatheter edge-to-edge repair is independently associated with inferior outcomes in atrial, but not in ventricular secondary mitral regurgitation

Abstract Background In transcatheter mitral valve edge-to-edge repair (M-TEER), the goal of optimizing post-procedural residual mitral regurgitation inadvertently carries the risk of generating relevant mitral stenosis, resulting in an elevated mean mitral valve pressure gradient (MPG). In patients with primary mitral regurgitation, an elevated post-procedural MPG has been found to independently predict impaired outcomes. However, the effect of elevated post-procedural MPG on outcome after M-TEER in patients with secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR) has yet to be fully elucidated. This study investigated the impact of elevated MPG on outcome in the EuroSMR registry, a large, multi-center real-world cohort of patients with SMR. Methods This retrospective study included patients who underwent M-TEER for SMR between 2009 and 2021 in 12 centers. Patients were stratified into two groups based on SMR etiology: (1) ventricular SMR (vSMR), and (2) atrial SMR (aSMR). The etiology was considered as vSMR in patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LV-EF) <50% and aSMR in subjects with preserved left ventricular function (LV-EF ≥50%) and a markedly dilated left atrium (Left Atrial Volume Index [LAVi] ≥40ml/m2). According to the proposed M-VARC threshold, post-procedural MPG was assessed by discharge transthoracic echocardiography and was considered elevated if >5 mmHg. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality after 5 years, with statistical analysis conducted using Kaplan-Meier and uni- and multivariable Cox Regression analysis. Results Among the 1703 patients in the study (vSMR: n=1420; aSMR: n=283), elevated post-procedural MPG was observed in 9.4% (n=133) of vSMR and 19.1% (n=54) of aSMR patients. Atrial fibrillation was significantly more prevalent in aSMR (78.4% vs. 57.1%, p<0.001). Patients with vSMR had a higher median surgical risk assessed by the EuroScore II (aSMR vs. vSMR: 7.0% [IQR 4.0, 13.1] vs. 4.9% [IQR 2.9, 8.5], p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analyses for all-cause mortality after 5 years demonstrated significant differences in aSMR patients (low vs. elevated MPG: 48.9% vs. 69.8%, log-rank p<0.01), while there was no difference in vSMR patients (55.7% vs. 60.8%, log-rank p=0.66) (Figure 1). This observed effect remained significant even after accounting for common confounding factors: elevated MPG was an independent predictor for all-cause mortality in aSMR patients (HR=1.86; 95%-CI: 1.14-3.02, p=0.013) but not in vSMR patients (HR=1.00; 95%-CI: 0.74-1.35, p=0.99). Conclusion Our findings suggest that elevated post-procedural MPG is an independent predictor of adverse outcomes in patients with aSMR, but not in those with vSMR. This effect may partially be explained by a reduced left atrial function and higher rates of atrial fibrillation.Figure 1.Study flowchart