RIGHTLY or wrongly, more and more people are coming to believe that a college degree is necessary for achieving good life in America, exceptions like Bill Gates notwithstanding. It is dismaying, then, to find that acquisition of this degree is taking on character of hereditary privilege. Tom Mortenson, who publishes monthly newsletter Postsecondary Education Opportunity, uses census data to track who's been getting bachelor degrees since 1970. Like so many other statistics these days, data reflect a growing stratification of society. his June 2005 issue, Mortenson writes, In effect higher education is now driving increasingly static class structure of United States. Children lucky enough to be born into highest-income families are now virtually assured of a bachelor's degree by age 24, while those unlucky enough to be born into bottom quartile of family income only very slimmest chance of gaining similar status. Not that likelihood of earning a college degree was ever equal among high- and low-income families. 1970, 40.2% of children born in highest quartile of family incomes attained a bachelor's degree. The figures were 14.9%, 10%, and 6.2% for quartiles 2, 3, and 4 respectively. (Mortenson gives following figures as income of quartiles in 2003: top, above $95,000; second, $63,000-95,000; third, $36,000-63,000; bottom, below $36,000.) Beginning around 1980, though, proportion of those in top quartile who earned a college degree started to grow rapidly. By 2003, 74.9% of top-quartile children were earning a bachelor's by age 24. Those in second-highest quartile had increased their rate of earning degrees somewhat to 27.7%, but students in third and fourth quartiles saw very little gain, reaching only 13.2% and 8.6% respectively. Rates of high school graduation, first hurdle to clear in moving toward a college degree, also reflect differences among income quartiles. Mortenson finds that in 2003, 91.6% of top-income quartile graduated from high school, compared to 88.2%, 83.9%, and 70.2% of quartiles 2, 3, and 4 respectively. (These figures are higher than those recently reported in studies by Walt Haney, Paul Barton, Jay Greene, and Gary Orfield and his colleagues at Harvard Civil Rights Project, but they are about same as those derived from NELS studies. I will return to dropouts in a future column and try to resolve conflicting figures.) Whatever actual differences in high school completion rates, students from four income quartiles who do make it to college differ dramatically in their success. 2003, figures for bachelor's degree attainment by age 24 among students who reached college were: * top quartile: 93.3%; * second-highest: 41.0%; * third quartile: 22.6%; * bottom quartile: 20.6%. The increasing advantage of wealthy also shows up in changes in degree attainment. Mortenson notes the country's (brief) commitment to equalizing educational opportunity in 1970s and points out that it had ended by late in that decade. From 1977 to 2003, changes in degree attainment looked like this: * top quartile: +15.9%; * second-highest: +6.5%; * third quartile: +0.5%; * bottom quartile: -6.2%. And future doesn't look so good, either. The segments of American population with largest projected growth through 2018 are also segments with lowest incomes. There is plenty of blame to go around for these conditions. Mortenson finds federal government to blame for reducing financial aid to families for whom sending children to college is a financial hardship. States, he claims, have been aggressively shifting costs of higher education from state taxpayers to students and their families without regard to ability of low- and moderate-income families to pay these higher costs. …
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