Trends In Rates Research Articles

A feasibility study on predicting cow calving time over 40 h in advance using heart rate and financial technical indicators

In dairy farming, the uncertainty of cow calving date often imposes waiting costs for days on farmers. Improving the accuracy of calving date prediction would mitigate these costs, specifically before a few days of the event. We monitored and analyzed the heart rate patterns of eight pregnant cows in the days leading up to calving using a dedicated monitoring device. We decomposed the heart rate data into three distinct components: trend, daily cycle, and the remainder, and discovered that the heart rate trend exhibited a sharp decline more than 40 h before the calving event via the trend turning point. To detect the turning point, we applied common financial technical indicators traditionally used to identify turning points of asset prices in trading markets for the extracted heart rate trend. This study remains a feasibility study because of the limited observations, but it indicates that these indicators can effectively capture the trend’s turning point in real time, offering a promising approach for enhanced calving prediction. In addition to discussing the practical implications for cow management, we also contemplate the broader utility of these technical indicators in the context of various dynamic scientific data analyses.

Exploring the trend of age-standardized mortality rates from cardiovascular disease in Malaysia: a joinpoint analysis (2010–2021)

IntroductionCardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major health concern worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. The COVID-19 pandemic that emerged in late 2019 may have had an impact on the trend of CVD mortality. This study aimed to investigate the trend and changes in CVD mortality rates in Malaysia, using age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) from 2010 to 2021.MethodsThe Malaysian population and mortality data from 2010 to 2021 were obtained from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM). ASMRs from CVD per 100,000 population were calculated based on the World Health Organization (2000–2025) standard population using the direct method. The ASMRs were computed based on sex, age groups (including premature mortality age, 30–69 years), and CVD types. The annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) of the ASMR with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated from joinpoint regression model using the Joinpoint Regression Program, Version 4.9.1.0.ResultsThroughout the study period (2010–2021), ASMRs for CVD exhibited an increase from 93.1 to 147.0 per 100,000, with an AAPC of 3.6% (95% CI: 2.1 to 5.2). The substantial increase was observed between 2015 and 2018 (APC 12.6%, 95% CI: 5.4%, 20.3%), with significant changes in both sexes, and age groups 50–69, 70 years and over, and 30–69 (premature mortality age). Notably, the ASMR trend remained consistently high in the premature mortality age group across other age groups, with males experiencing higher rates than females. No significant changes were detected before or after the COVID-19 pandemic (between 2019 and 2021), except for females who died from IHD (10.3% increase) and those aged 0–4 (25.2% decrease).ConclusionOverall, our analysis highlights the persistently high burden of CVD mortality in Malaysia, particularly among the premature mortality age group. These findings underscore the importance of continued efforts to address CVD risk factors and implement effective prevention and management strategies. Further research is needed to fully understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on CVD mortality rates and to inform targeted interventions to reduce the burden of CVD in Malaysia.

Spatial-temporal evolution patterns of influenza incidence in Xinjiang Prefecture from 2014 to 2023 based on GIS

Using GIS technology, this study investigated the spatiotemporal distribution pattern of influenza incidence in Xinjiang from 2014 to 2023 based on influenza surveillance data. The study revealed a noticeable fluctuation trend in influenza incidence rates in Xinjiang, particularly notable spikes observed in 2019 and 2023. The results of the 3-year moving average showed a significant long-term upward trend in influenza incidence rates, confirmed by Theil-Sen method (MAD = 2.202, p < 0.01). Global spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated significant positive spatial autocorrelation in influenza incidence rates from 2016 and from 2018 to 2023 (Moran’s I > 0, P < 0.05). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis further revealed clustering patterns in different regions, with high-high clustering and low-high clustering predominating in northern Xinjiang, and low-low clustering predominating in southern Xinjiang. Hotspot analysis indicated a progressive rise in the number of influenza incidence hotspots, primarily concentrated in northern Xinjiang, particularly in Urumqi, Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture, and Hotan Prefecture. Standard deviation ellipse analysis and the trajectory of influenza incidence gravity center migration showed that the transmission range of influenza in Xinjiang has been expanding, with the epidemic center gradually moving northward. The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of influenza incidence in Xinjiang highlights the need for differentiated and precise influenza prevention and control strategies in different regions to address the changing trends in influenza prevalence.

Trends in Cancer Incidence and Mortality in US Adolescents and Young Adults, 2016-2021.

(1) Background: The incidence rate of early onset-cancer (<50) has increased since 1995. Among younger people, cancers in AYAs (aged 15-39 y) are often biologically distinct tumors from those treated in the pediatric and older adult population. The current study describes trends in the United States for the most recent years including the first year of the COVID-19 epidemic. We aimed to describe the recent incidence and mortality trends of cancers in AYAs (aged 15-39 y). (2) Methods: We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER 22) from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2021. Age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates were assessed by SEER*Stat 8.4.3 for major cancer types by sex, race/ethnicity, age, and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan status. Time trends of age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates were examined by sex and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan status. (3) Results: Age-adjusted overall cancer incidence and mortality rates were stable during this study period. The age-adjusted incidence rates declined significantly for ependymoma, melanoma, carcinomas of lung, bronchus, and trachea, unspecified malignant neoplasms, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Significant increases were found for gastrointestinal tract cancers and non-Kaposi sarcomas. The age-adjusted mortality rate decreased for acute myeloid leukemia, melanoma, carcinomas of liver and intrahepatic bile ducts, kidney and, in women, leukemia. For some cancers, rates differed by sex, race, ethnicity, and geography. Monitoring the rates and time trends of AYA cancer emphasizes the distinct health concern for this age group.

Trends in COPD severe exacerbations, and all-cause and respiratory mortality, before and after implementation of newer long-acting bronchodilators in a large population-based cohort

BackgroundLittle is known about the trends in morbidity and mortality at the population level that followed the introduction of newer once-daily long-acting bronchodilators for COPD. The purpose of the study was to evaluate whether the availability of new bronchodilators was associated with changes in the temporal trends in severe COPD exacerbations and mortality between 2007 and 2018 in the older population with COPD; and whether this association was homogeneous across sex and socioeconomic status classes.MethodsWe used an interrupted time-series and three segments multivariate autoregressive models to evaluate the adjusted changes in slopes (i.e., trend effect) in monthly severe exacerbation and mortality rates after 03/2013 and 02/2015 compared to the tiotropium period (04/2007 to 02/2013). Cohorts of individuals > 65 years with COPD were created from the nationally representative database of the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System in the province of Quebec, Canada. Whether these trends were similar for men and women and across different socioeconomic status classes was also assessed.ResultsThere were 130,750 hospitalizations for severe exacerbation and 104,460 deaths, including 24,457 (23.4%) respiratory-related deaths, over the study period (928,934 person-years). Significant changes in trends were seen after 03/2013 for all-cause mortality (-1.14%/month;95%CI -1.90% to -0.38%), which further decreased after 02/2015 (-1.78%/month;95%CI -2.70% to -0.38%). Decreases in respiratory-related mortality (-2.45%/month;95%CI -4.38% to -0.47%) and severe exacerbation (-1,90%/month;95%CI -3.04% to -0.75%) rates were only observed after 02/2015. These observations tended to be more pronounced in women than in men and in higher socioeconomic status groups (less deprived) than in lower socioeconomic status groups (more deprived).ConclusionsThe arrival of newer bronchodilators was chronologically associated with reduced trends in severe exacerbation, all-cause and respiratory-related mortality rates among people with COPD > 65 years. Our findings document population benefits on key patient-relevant outcomes in the years following the introduction of newer once-daily long-acting bronchodilators and their combinations, which were likely multifactorial. Public health efforts should focus on closing the gap between lower and higher socioeconomic status groups.

Trends in Nonfatal Overdose Rates Due to Alcohol and Prescription and Illegal Substances in Colombia, 2010-2021.

Objectives. To examine drug overdoses in Colombia by type of substance, sex, age, and intent using data from a health surveillance system from 2010 to 2021. Methods. We characterized data by year, type of substance, and sociodemographic variables. We calculated age-adjusted overdose rates by substance type, sex, age groups, and intent. We used Poisson regression models to examine trend differences across sex and age groups. Results. Age-adjusted rates of drug overdoses increased from 8.51 to 40.52 per 100 000 during 2010 to 2021. Men, compared with women, had higher overdose rates for every substance, except for opioids and psychotropics. Drug overdose rates involving cannabis and stimulants increased steadily until 2017 but decreased afterward. Overdose rates involving psychotropic medication increased greatly during 2018 to 2021, mainly because of intentional overdoses in young women. Conclusions. Overdoses involving illegal drugs decreased in recent years in Colombia; however, the continuous increase in intentional psychotropic overdose rates highlights the need for prevention efforts to curb this trend. Health surveillance systems are an important tool that can guide overdose prevention efforts in countries with limited data resources. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print September 12, 2024:e1-e9. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2024.307786).

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Chlamydia, Gonorrhea, and Pelvic Inflammatory Disease Encounters in a United States Uniformed Service Female Beneficiary Population.

We sought to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on trends in chlamydia, gonorrhea, and pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) encounter rates within the Military Health System. This cross-sectional study queried electronic health records of 18- to 44-year-old female active duty service members and dependents during the pre-pandemic period (January 2018-February 2020), pandemic period 1 (March 2020-March 2021), and pandemic period 2 (April 2021-April 2022). We calculated monthly chlamydia, gonorrhea, and PID encounter rates using ICD-10 codes. We used change point analysis for trends in encounter rates and Poisson regression for differences in rates by age, active duty status, military rank, TRICARE region, and pandemic period. There were 36,102, 7,581, and 16,790 unique individuals with chlamydia, gonorrhea, and PID encounters, respectively, over the pre-pandemic and pandemic time frames. Chlamydia and gonorrhea encounter rates were highest in ages 18 to 19, in active duty service members, and junior enlisted compared to senior enlisted and officer sponsor rank. Chlamydia and gonorrhea encounter rates varied by TRICARE region. Chlamydia encounter rates were lower in both pandemic periods 1 and 2 compared to the pre-pandemic period, whereas gonorrhea encounter rates were lower only in pandemic period 2 compared to the pre-pandemic period. Trend analysis showed monthly chlamydia encounter rates did not significantly change from January 2018 through August 2020, and then decreased 2.4% monthly through the remainder of the study period (P < .05). Gonorrhea encounter rates did not significantly change from the beginning of the study period through February 2021 and then declined 1.9% monthly through the remainder of the study period (P < .05). Pelvic inflammatory disease encounter rates were highest in ages 18 to 19 and 20 to 24, in the TRICARE North region compared to the South region, in active duty service members compared to non-active duty, and in junior enlisted compared to senior enlisted and officer sponsor rank. Pelvic inflammatory disease encounter rates were lower in pandemic periods 1 and 2 compared to the pre-pandemic period. Pelvic inflammatory disease encounter rates declined 8.0% monthly from January 2020 through April 2020 (P < .05), followed by a 11.0% monthly increase from May 2020 through July 2020 (P < .05) and a 0.9% monthly decrease for the remainder of the study period (P < .05). Chlamydia, gonorrhea, and PID encounter rates in the Military Health System all declined in the pandemic period. Pelvic inflammatory disease was most influenced by the pandemic onset as demonstrated by an immediate decline in encounter rates followed by an increase several months into the pandemic. Young age, active duty, and junior enlisted status were associated with higher chlamydia, and gonorrhea, and PID encounter rates over the pre-pandemic and pandemic time frames. Lower encounter rates during the pandemic may be related to decreased access to health care services, reduced screening for sexually transmitted infections, or changes in sexual behavior. The less profound decline in gonorrhea encounter rates likely reflects the more symptomatic nature of gonorrhea compared to chlamydia. TRICARE regional differences varied for chlamydia, gonorrhea, and PID encounters.

Comprehensive analysis of multiple sclerosis hospitalization trends in Spain (1998–2022)

ObjectiveTo analyse the trends in MS hospitalization rates in Spain (1998–2022) considering age, period, and birth cohort (A-P-C) effects. MethodsThis retrospective study used data on MS hospitalizations from the Spanish National Health System Minimum Basic Data Set (CMBD). Age-Standardized Hospitalization Rates (ASHRs) and Joinpoint analysis were used to assess trends. A-P-C analysis was performed to estimate age-specific rates, period and cohort effects. ResultsFrom 1998 to 2022, MS hospital admissions in Spain declined annually by -2.1 %, with women showing a slightly greater decrease (-2.3 %) than men (-1.7 %). Joinpoint analysis revealed non-parallel trends, with three inflection points indicating distinct periods of stabilization and decline. ASHR showed an overall decrease, with -2.0 % for men and -2.2 % for women annually. Risk of hospitalization peaked in the 25–29-year age group for men and 30–34-year age group for women, declining with age. Women consistently had higher risk ratios across age groups. Cohort analysis showed periods of stabilization and decline in MS hospitalization risk, aligning with joinpoint analysis findings. Risk increased for cohorts born in the early 20th century, peaking around 1938, followed by a progressive decline in later cohorts. ConclusionsDespite an aging population, MS hospitalization rates in Spain decreased. The risk of hospitalization for MS is affected by a person's age, the time period they were born in, the historical context of healthcare received, and potentially their sex.

Needs for rehabilitation in China: Estimates based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019.

As an essential part of health services, rehabilitation is of great significance to improve the health and quality of life of the whole population. Accelerating aging calls for a significant expansion of rehabilitation services in China, but rehabilitation needs remain unclear. We conducted the study to explore the rehabilitation needs in China and project the trend of rehabilitation needs from 2020 to 2034. The data of health conditions that might potentially benefit from rehabilitation were obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the trends of the age-standardized rates. Projections of rehabilitation needs were made until 2034 using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis (BAPC). Approximately 460 million persons (33.3% of the total population) need rehabilitation in China, contributing to 63 million years lived with disabilities (YLDs) in 2019. The number of prevalent cases increased from around 268 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257-282) million in 1990 to almost 460 (95% UI: 443-479) million in 2019, representing an increase of 71.3%. The highest contribution to the need for rehabilitation was musculoskeletal disorders with about 322 (95% UI: 302-343) million persons in seven aggregate disease and injury categories, and hearing loss with over 95 (95% UI: 84-107) million people among 25 health conditions. Based on the projection results, there will be almost 636 million people (45% of the total population) needing rehabilitation services in China by 2034, representing an increase of 38.3%. The rehabilitation needs of neoplasms, cardiovascular diseases, and neurological disorders are expected to increase significantly from 2019 to 2034, with increases of 102.3%, 88.8% and 73.2%, respectively. The need for rehabilitation in China substantially increased over the last 30years. It is predicted that over two in five people will require rehabilitation by 2034, thus suggesting the need to develop rehabilitation services that meet individuals' rehabilitation needs.

Estimated Health and Economic Outcomes of Racial and Ethnic Tuberculosis Disparities in US-Born Persons

Despite significant progress made toward tuberculosis (TB) elimination, racial and ethnic disparities persist in TB incidence and case-fatality rates in the US. To estimate the health outcomes and economic cost of TB disparities among US-born persons from 2023 to 2035. Generalized additive regression models projecting trends in TB incidence and case-fatality rates from 2023 to 2035 were fit based on national TB surveillance data for 2010 to 2019 in the 50 US states and the District of Columbia among US-born persons. This baseline scenario was compared with alternative scenarios in which racial and ethnic disparities in age- and sex-adjusted incidence and case-fatality rates were eliminated by setting rates for each race and ethnicity to goal values. Additional scenarios were created examining the potential outcomes of delayed reduction of racial and ethnic disparities. The potential benefits of eliminating disparities from differences between baseline and alternative scenario outcomes were quantified. Data were analyzed from January 2010 to December 2019. Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, or non-Hispanic White race and ethnicity. TB cases and deaths averted, quality-adjusted life years gained, and associated costs from a societal perspective. The study included 31 811 persons with reported TB from 2010 to 2019 (mean [SD] age, 47 [24] years; 20 504 [64%] male; 1179 [4%] American Indian or Alaska Native persons; 1332 [4%] Asian persons; 12 152 [38%] Black persons; 6595 [21%] Hispanic persons; 299 [1%] Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander persons; and 10 254 [32%] White persons). There were 3722 persons with a reported TB death. Persistent racial and ethnic disparities were associated with an estimated 11 901 of 26 203 TB cases among US-born persons (45%; 95% uncertainty interval [UI], 44%-47%), 1421 of 3264 TB deaths among US-born persons (44%; 95% UI, 39%-48%), and an economic cost of $914 (95% UI, $675-$1147) million from 2023 to 2035. Delayed goal attainment reduced the estimated avertable TB outcomes by 505 (95% UI, 495-518) TB cases, 55 (95% UI, 51-59) TB deaths, and $32 (95% UI, $24-$40) million in societal costs annually. In this modeling study of racial and ethnic disparities of TB, these disparities were associated with substantial future health and economic outcomes of TB among US-born persons without interventions beyond current efforts. Actions to eliminate disparities may reduce the excess TB burden among these persons and may contribute to accelerating TB elimination within the US.

Navigating Indigenous Data Sovereignty: A Decolonizing Approach to Understanding Opioid Use Amongst First Nations in Manitoba

First Nations (FN) and Indigenous Peoples around the world face significant challenges in navigating the complexities of Western research systems, particularly in the context of data sovereignty and research about their people and communities; the same can be said for Western researchers navigating Indigenous research space. We examine the intersection of Western research and FN data to explore opioid use amongst FN in Manitoba and highlight the ethical imperative of utilizing decolonizing frameworks when working with Indigenous data. Indigenous researchers led a retrospective cohort study linking the Manitoba FN research file to population-level data held at the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy. We centred Indigenous voices, knowledge, protocols, and contextually informed interpretation and fostered meaningful partnerships with academic researchers to ensure we utilized robust statistical methods while prioritizing community-driven questions, needs, and aspirations. Study period from 2015 to 2019 and included all Manitobans eligible for Manitoba Health Services. We found downward trends in opioid-related use, dispensation, hospitalization, and mortality rates for both FN and all other Manitobans (AOM), but a significant gap was found between FN and AOM for most indicators. Indigenous governance, ownership, engagement, collaboration, reciprocity, and respect for cultural and intellectual property rights are key concepts in ethical research practices that prioritize Indigenous self-determination and data sovereignty. We underscore the transformative potential of Indigenous-led research and use of decolonizing frameworks in fostering community empowerment to address opioid use in First Nation communities. We upheld the rights of Indigenous peoples to govern their data and undertake their own research.

In Situ Observation of Microstructure and Precipitate Phase Transformation during the Solidification of Mg‐Containing GH3625 Alloy at Different Cooling Rates

In practical applications, intermetallic compounds like Laves phase and metal carbides adversely affect the performance of nickel‐based superalloys. Using a high‐temperature confocal laser scanning microscope, the solidification process of as‐cast GH3625 alloy containing Mg at different cooling rates (−20, −35, and −50 °C min−1) is studied. Fitting curves of the volume fraction of the solid phase with solidification temperature before and after Mg treatment are obtained. Trends of solid phase transformation rates with solidification temperature are determined. Differential scanning calorimetry is employed to analyze and statistically evaluate the melting temperature range and enthalpy of each phase during the melting process. Experimental results demonstrate that Mg treatment significantly accelerates the alloy solidification at the cooling rates of −20 and −35 °C min−1, while reducing the area of residual liquid phase at the same solidification temperature, disrupting the Laves/NbC eutectic relationship, and regularizing NbC morphology, transitioning its distribution from aggregation to dispersion. After Mg treatment, the precipitation of the Laves phase is significantly reduced. As a result, the influence mechanism of Mg treatment on the phase transformation and microstructure of GH3625 is clarified based on homogeneous nucleation theory.

Technology Adoption, Mortality, and Population Dynamics

Abstract We develop a quantitative theory of mortality and population dynamics, emphasizing individuals’ decisions to reduce their mortality by adopting better health technology. Expanded use of this technology reduces the cost of adoption and confers a dynamic externality by increasing the future number of individuals who use the technology. Our model generates a diffusion curve whose shape dictates the pace of mortality reduction. The model explains historical trends in mortality rates and life expectancies at various ages and population dynamics in Western Europe. Unlike Malthusian theories based solely on income, ours is consistent with the observed disconnect between mortality and income. Unlike Beckerian theories of fertility, ours accounts for the observed acceleration in population.

Large-scale phylogenomic insights into the evolution of the Hymenochaetales

ABSTRACT The Hymenochaetales is an order with most species as wood-inhabiting fungi that have high phylogenetic complexity and morphological diversity. Species in this order play important roles in forest ecosystems and include wood decomposers, pathogens, and those that form ectomycorrhizal associations. However, we have limited knowledge of the patterns of large-scale evolutionary history of the order. In this study, using 171 genomes, including 113 newly assembled, we reconstructed the phylogenomic relationships, divergence times, biogeographic patterns, morphological evolution of basidiomata, and patterns of speciation/extinction in the Hymenochaetales. The phylogenomic relationships of 12 families within the Hymenochaetales suggested that 10 families can be accepted, and 2 families rejected. Molecular clock dating analyses suggested that the Hymenochaetales possibly started a rapid family-wide and genus-wide radiation during the early Cretaceous to late Jurassic and Cretaceous, respectively. Reconstruction of the ancestral state implied that Hymenochaetales probably originated from the temperate regions of Asia, with the basidiomata of the common ancestor likely being a corticioid species that rapidly transformed between the early Cretaceous and late Jurassic, coinciding with radiations at the family level. Furthermore, we detected a gradually increasing trend of speciation, extinction, and net diversification rates. We provided large-scale genomes of the Hymenochaetales and revealed evolutionary history patterns, which are key to understanding the evolution of fungi.

Heart disease and heart failure: Trends and disparities in mortality rates in the United States from 2000 to 2020

Study objectiveTo describe the age, sex and racial disparities in mortality rates for heart disease (HD) and heart failure (HF) in the United States (US) between 2000 and 2020. DesignThis was an ecological study with trend analysis of mortality rates. SettingUnited States. ParticipantsAdults aged 18 years and above. Main outcomes measuresMortality rates per 100,000 for HD and HF. ResultsThere was a significant decrease in the age-standardized mortality rate for HD over the past two decades (from 343.5 per 100,000 cases to 215.1 per 100,000 cases, p < 0.001). HD mortality rates were significantly higher in males (p < 0.001), non-Hispanic blacks (p < 0.001) and in adults aged 65+ (p < 0.001) and 75+ (p < 0.001). There was no significant change in the age-standardized mortality rate for HF (from 26.9 per 100,000 cases to 25.7 per 100,000 cases (p = 0.706)) due to a reversal in the trend beyond 2011. Though the HF mortality rates were significantly lower in males (p = 0.001), and not significantly different in non-Hispanic blacks and non-Hispanic whites, there were shifts in trends beyond 2016, with higher rates in males and in non-Hispanic blacks compared to non-Hispanic whites. ConclusionsIn summary, this study underscores significant reductions in heart disease mortality rates over the past two decades, alongside persistent disparities among different demographic groups. It also highlights emerging trends in heart failure mortality rates in particular population subgroups in recent years, necessitating further exploration to inform targeted interventions and policies.

Cancer Unveiling: A Profile of Incidence and Trends in Bam City, Southeast Iran

Background Cancer is one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide. According to the report from the Iranian Ministry of Health, cancer ranks as the third most common cause of death in Iran. Consequently, acquiring information about cancer statistics and their trends is crucial for cancer prevention and control. In this study, we examined the trends and epidemiology of cancer in Bam City, Iran, from 2014 to 2019. Material and Methods This cross-sectional study was conducted using cancer registry data spanning from 2014 to 2019 in Bam, located in Kerman Province. Common cancers were determined based on the reported number of cancer cases and age-standardized rates. Data analysis was performed using SPSS (version 22) and GraphPad Prism (version 9). Results In this study, we examined 1,290 cases of cancer registered in Bam City, Kerman Province, from 2014 to 2019. Of our study population, 42.8% (552 cases) were women. The sex ratio (male to female) for all cancers during the 6-year study period was 1.34. The highest number of cancer cases among men occurred in 2016, while among women, it was in 2017. The age-standardized incidence rate did not display a clear increasing or decreasing trend; instead, we observed fluctuations over the 6-year period for both sexes. Notably, the age-standardized incidence rate trend for males consistently remained higher than that for females. Conclusion Fluctuations of the trend in our study can be attributed to reasons such as referral of cases to other cities with better medical facilities and weakness in the cancer registration system of deprived areas such as Bam. Nevertheless, to reduce the burden of cancer, each individual should be aware of the most preventable risk factors, such as an unhealthy lifestyle and occupational exposure. To achieve this goal, the government should prioritize improving the accuracy and completeness of cancer registry centers.

Inclusive Education Research Trends in Indonesia: A Bibliometric Analysis

Inclusive education is increasingly recognized as a critical component in ensuring equitable access to quality education for all students, regardless of their abilities or backgrounds. However, in Indonesia, the development and implementation of inclusive education practices remain uneven, with limited understanding of its growth and impact within the local context. This study aims to analyze inclusive education in Indonesia through bibliometric analysis, addressing six key questions: the most frequent keywords, trends in scholarly publications, prolific researchers, citation rates, influential journals, and collaboration patterns with other countries. Data from Scopus over the past decade resulted in 148 relevant articles, covering a wide range of topics from [Topic 1] to [Topic 2]. Findings reveal a predominant focus on inclusive education concepts in Indonesian literature, experiencing significant growth peaking in 2023. The study identifies 12 highly active authors with 98 articles and the top 10 most cited articles receiving 219 citations. Notably, research in 2020 achieved the highest citation rate, with 111 citations. The International Journal of Special Education emerged as the primary publication outlet. Indonesia collaborated with 13 countries, notably Malaysia, Australia, and the United States. These findings provide a robust foundation for developing inclusive education concepts and practices tailored to Indonesia's specific needs and context.

The disease burden of bladder cancer and its attributable risk factors in five Eastern Asian countries, 1990–2019: a population-based comparative study

BackgroundsThe study aimed to estimate bladder cancer burden and its attributable risk factors in China, Japan, South Korea, North Korea and Mongolia from 1990 to 2019, to discuss the potential causes of the disparities.MethodsData were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) were calculated by Joinpoint analysis, and the independent age, period and cohort effects were estimated by age-period-cohort analysis.ResultsIn 2019, the highest incidence (7.70 per 100,000) and prevalence (51.09 per 100,000) rates of bladder cancer were in Japan, while the highest mortality (2.31 per 100,000) and DALY rates (41.88 per 100,000) were in South Korea and China, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates increased in China, Japan and South Korea (AAPC > 0) and decreased in Mongolia (AAPC < 0), while mortality and DALY rates decreased in all five countries (AAPC < 0). Age effects showed increasing trends for incidence, mortality and DALY rates, while the prevalence rates increased first and then decreased in older groups. The cohort effects showed downward trends from 1914–1918 to 2004–2008. Smoking was the greatest contributor and males had the higher burden than females.ConclusionBladder cancer was still a major public health problem in East Asia. Male and older population suffered from higher risk, and smoking played an important role. It is recommended that more efficient preventions and interventions should be operated among high-risk populations, thereby reduce bladder cancer burden in East Asia.

Rates of Sudden Unexpected Infant Death Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Infection has been postulated as a driver in the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) cascade. Epidemiologic patterns of infection, including respiratory syncytial virus and influenza, were altered during the COVID-19 pandemic. Comparing month-to-month variation in both sudden unexpected infant death (SUID) and SIDS rates before and during the pandemic offers an opportunity to generate and expand existing hypotheses regarding seasonal infections and SUID and SIDS. To compare prepandemic and intrapandemic rates of SUID and SIDS, assessing for monthly variation. This cross-sectional study assessed US mortality data provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for January 1, 2018, through December 31, 2021. Events with International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision codes for SIDS (R95), unknown (R99), and accidental suffocation and strangulation in bed (W75) causes of death were examined. The data analysis was performed between November 2, 2023, and June 2, 2024. COVID-19 pandemic. The primary and secondary outcomes were the monthly rates of SUID and SIDS during the COVID-19 pandemic (March 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021) compared with the prepandemic period (March 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019) as measured using generalized linear mixed-effects models. Seasonal trends in RSV and influenza rates were also examined. There were 14 308 SUID cases from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2021 (42% female infants). Compared with the prepandemic period, the risk of SUID increased during the intrapandemic period (intensity ratio [IR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.05-1.07). Monthly assessments revealed an increased risk of SUID beyond the prepandemic baseline starting in July 2020, with a pronounced epidemiologic shift from June to December 2021 (ranging from 10% to 14%). Rates of SIDS were elevated throughout the intrapandemic period compared with the prepandemic baseline, with the greatest increase in July 2021 (IR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22) and August 2021 (IR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22). Seasonal shifts in RSV hospitalizations correlated with monthly changes in SUID observed during 2021. This cross-sectional study found increased rates of both SUID and SIDS during the COVID-19 pandemic, with a significant shift in epidemiology from the prepandemic period noted in June to December 2021. These findings support the hypothesis that off-season resurgences in endemic infectious pathogens may be associated with SUID rates, with RSV rates in the US closely approximating this shift. Further investigation into the role of infection in SUID and SIDS is needed.

Quantification of physiological effect of respiration on automated measurement of blood pressure among normotensive adult individuals.

Accurate blood pressure measurement necessitates meticulous methodology, as even minor variations like speaking or sitting can impact the readings. Additionally, respiration plays a role in blood pressure, exhibiting a dip during inhalation and a subsequent increase during exhalation. However, the influence of breathing patterns, duration, and rate on blood pressure remains largely unexplored. In this study, we have attempted to quantify the changes in blood pressure and heart rate (HR) of normotensive individuals while performing predefined respiratory patterns - slow, medium, and fast (respiratory rates of 5, 10, and 20/m, respectively). For each respiratory pattern, age-matched and gender-matched (18-40 years) volunteered normotensive individuals were selected as volunteers. Baseline readings were recorded and each volunteer was randomly allotted a respiratory pattern. The volunteers performed the assigned respiratory pattern while the BP and HR were recorded. A fall in both SBP and DBP was observed in all three patterns of respiration. There was no inter-pattern difference in the blood pressure change. A novel finding in our study was a trend of respiratory rate and HR - the change in HR linearly increased with a rise in respiratory rate difference. We also proposed a linear regression equation for this increase in HR with the increase in respiratory rate which was statistically significant. The findings suggest the decline in blood pressure is independent of the respiratory pattern employed. The study also demonstrates that the HR is a linear function of respiratory rate.