Rate Of HIV Disease Progression Research Articles

Prognostic Value of a CCR5 Defective Allele in Pediatric HIV-1 Infection

A deletion of 32 base pairs in the CCR5 gene (delta32 CCR5) has been linked to resistance to HIV-1 infection in exposed adults and to the delay of disease progression in infected adults. To determine the role of delta32 CCR5 in disease progression of HIV-1 infected children born to seropositive mothers, we studied a polymerase chain reaction in 301 HIV-1 infected, 262 HIV-1 exposed-uninfected and 47 HIV-1 unexposed-uninfected children of Spanish and Italian origin. Infected children were further divided into two groups according to their rate of HIV-1 disease progression: rapid progressors who developed severe clinical and/or immunological conditions within the second year of life, and delayed progressors with any other evolution of disease. Among the latter were the long-term, non-progressors (LTNP) who presented with mild or no symptoms of HIV-1 infection above 8 years of age. Viral phenotype was studied for 45 delayed progressors. No correlation was found between delta32 CCR5 and mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1. However, the frequency of the deletion was substantially higher in LTNP, compared with delayed (p = 0.019) and rapid progressors (p = 0.0003). In children carrying the delta32 CCRS mutation, the presence of MT-2 tropic virus isolate was associated with a severe immune suppression (p = 0.028); whereas, the presence of MT-2 negative viruses correlated with LTNP (p = 0.010). Given the rapidity and simplicity of the assay, the delta32 CCR5 mutation may be a useful predictive marker to identify children with delayed disease progression who, consequently, may not require immediate antiretroviral treatment.

Direct comparison of time to AIDS and infectious disease death between HIV seroconverter injection drug users in Italy and the United States: results from the ALIVE and ISS studies. AIDS Link to Intravenous Experiences. Italian Seroconversion Study.

To compare the rate of HIV disease progression in a sample of polydrug injectors (AIDS Link to Intravenous Experiences [ALIVE] study) with that in a sample of predominantly opiate injectors (Italian Seroconversion Study [ISS]). Prospective cohort studies of HIV-positive individuals whose date of seroconversion (SC) is known with a good degree of precision. The ALIVE study involves a community-based cohort of injection drug users (IDU) in the United States and the ISS reports on a clinic-based cohort of seroconverters in Italy with different exposure modalities to HIV. Data from the two cohorts were combined. The date of SC was estimated as the midpoint in time between the last negative and the first positive HIV test. Time-to-event (i.e., AIDS or death from an infectious disease) statistical methods were used. Relative hazards (RH) of progression to event were adjusted by age at SC, gender, and year of SC. Of the 1003 IDUs (251 from ALIVE and 752 from ISS), 226 progressed to AIDS, and 146 died after AIDS or from an infectious disease; of these, 10 were without an AIDS diagnosis. The two groups of IDUs differed in terms of age at SC (median, 35 years for ALIVE and 25 years for ISS), proportion of women (24% versus 31%), race (7.6% versus 100% white), and year of seroconversion (i.e., ISS participants seroconverted, on average, earlier than ALIVE participants). Although the univariate analysis suggested possible differences for progression to AIDS, or to death from infectious disease between cohorts, multivariate analyses that adjusted for age showed no significant differences by cohort, gender, race, or time of seroconversion. The median time to AIDS for 25-year-old persons was 12.3 years for ALIVE and 11.8 years for ISS; for 35-year-old persons, it was 8.5 and 8.2 years, respectively. These estimates were similar to those for non-IDUs observed in the ISS and to those from large cohort of homosexual men. Our results confirm the importance of accounting for age when considering the incubation period for HIV infection. Despite differences in drug use characteristics, the similar median times to AIDS, for each age, between the two cohorts of IDUs and between the IDUs and the non-IDUs suggest a negligible effect of injection drug use on HIV progression.

Genealogy of the CCR5 locus and chemokine system gene variants associated with altered rates of HIV-1 disease progression.

Allelic variants for the HIV-1 co-receptors chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5) and CCR2, as well as the ligand for the co-receptor CXCR4, stromal-derived factor (SDF-1), have been associated with a delay in disease progression. We began this study to test whether polymorphisms in the CCR5 regulatory regions influence the course of HIV-1 disease, as well as to examine the role of the previously identified allelic variants in 1,090 HIV-1 infected individuals. Here we describe the evolutionary relationships between the phenotypically important CCR5 alleles, define precisely the CCR5 regulatory sequences that are linked to the CCR5-delta32 and CCR2-641 polymorphisms, and identify genotypes associated with altered rates of HIV-1 disease progression. The disease-retarding effects of the CCR2-641 allele were found in African Americans but not in Caucasians, and the SDF1-3'A/3'A genotype was associated with an accelerated progression to death. In contrast, the CCR5-delta32 allele and a CCR5 promoter mutation with which it is tightly linked were associated with limited disease-retarding effects. Collectively, these findings draw attention to a complex array of genetic determinants in the HIV-host interplay.

A chemokine receptor CCR2 allele delays HIV-1 disease progression and is associated with a CCR5 promoter mutation.

Viral and host factors influence the rate of HIV-1 disease progression. For HIV-1 to fuse, a CD4+ cell must express a co-receptor that the virus can use. The chemokine receptors CCR5 and CXCR4 are used by R5 and X4 viruses, respectively. Most new infections involve transmission of R5 viruses, but variants can arise later that also use CXCR4 (R5-X4 or X4 viruses). This is associated with an increased rate of CD4+ T-cell loss and poor prognosis. The ability of host cells to support HIV-1 entry also influences progression. The absence of CCR5 in approximately 1% of the Caucasian population, due to homozygosity for a 32-nucleotide deletion in the coding region (delta32-CCR5 allele), very strongly protects against HIV-1 transmission. Heterozygosity for the delta32-CCR5 allele delays progression typically by 2 years. A recent study showed that a conservative substitution (V64I) in the coding region of CCR2 also has a significant impact on disease progression, but not on HIV-1 transmission. This was unexpected, since CCR2 is rarely used as a co-receptor in vitro and the V64I change is in a transmembrane region. Because a subsequent study did not confirm this effect on progression to disease, we analyzed CCR2-V64I using subjects in the Chicago MACS. We show that CCR2-V64I is indeed protective against disease progression and go on to show that the CCR2-V64I allele is in complete linkage disequilibrium with a point mutation in the CCR5 regulatory region.

Management of HIV Infection

HIV disease is a serious global health problem and a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. It has recently been estimated that more than 30 million adults and 1.1 million children are infected with HIV; it is expected that 40 million people will have acquired the virus by the year 2000. The high costs of treating patients with HIV infection place a heavy burden on healthcare resources. Primary aims of management of patients with HIV infection are decreased morbidity and improved survival via sustained suppression of HIV replication and the prevention of emergence of drug-resistant virus. Triple therapy with combinations of antiretroviral drugs is now regarded as optimal treatment and is the standard of care in most developed countries. Two nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors, such as lamivudine and zidovudine, plus a protease inhibitor or a non-nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor are among the combinations of drugs recommended for initial or second-line treatment. A combination formulation of lamivudine and zidovudine has recently become available; it can be taken as a single tablet twice daily rather than as 8 tablets per day when the 2 drugs are given separately. Combination therapy with lamivudine and zidovudine (as dual therapy or in combination with another nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor) decreases the rate of HIV disease progression in antiretroviral therapy-naive or -experienced patients. Dual therapy with lamivudine and zidovudine or triple therapy with lamivudine and zidovudine-containing regimens produces reductions in HIV RNA levels and improvements in CD4+ cell counts. Lamivudine plus zidovudine therapy, alone or in combination with other drugs, is generally well tolerated. Gastrointestinal symptoms are the most common events reported during dual therapy with the 2 drugs. Neutropenia and anaemia may also occur during combination therapy with lamivudine and zidovudine and blood counts must be monitored regularly for signs of haematological toxicity. Thus, the combination formulation of lamivudine and zidovudine has a potentially useful role as a component of initial or second-line treatment regimens for patients with HIV infection. Reducing the number of tablets that have to be taken each day simplifies the administration of lamivudine and zidovudine. The combination formulation is likely to be particularly beneficial in the management of patients who find it difficult to adhere to more complex treatment regimens.

Determinants of progression to AIDS in HIV-infected individuals: an update from the Italian Seroconversion Study.

The Italian Seroconversion Study (ISS) involves 16 major HIV-treatment centers across Italy and about 1,200 individuals. These individuals were HIV-negative less than 2 years before the first positive test and seroconverted between 1980 and 1994. The majority were infected through i.v. drug use (56%), male-to-male sex (25%), and heterosexual contact (7%). For each end point, crude and adjusted relative hazards were calculated using standard survival techniques such as Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression models. Autoregression models were used to describe CD4 cell reductions. Objectives were as follows: to estimate HIV disease progression rates; to assess whether there are differences in the rate of development of severe immunosuppression, AIDS, and death according to age, gender, and exposure category; to identify co-factors and predictors of disease progression; and to evaluate the clinic-based population "effect" of antiretroviral treatment. The risk for developing AIDS among individuals in the ISS cohort was less than 50% by 10 years after HIV seroconversion. Using univariate analysis, more rapid progression was found for older individuals than for younger individuals and for homosexual men compared with those in other exposure categories. No difference between men and women was observed. After adjusting for age, differences among exposure groups disappeared. Individuals with a history of acute HIV disease were more likely to develop AIDS than other seroconverters. Co-infection with HCV and HTLV-II did not accelerate progression to AIDS. The cumulative incidence of receiving pre-AIDS therapy within 7 years of seroconversion was 49.2% (95% CI 45.3-53.0). The relative hazards of developing AIDS in patients who started treatment with zidovudine (AZT) monotherapy was 0.57 (0.36-0.91) and 0.92 (0.64-1.33) within the first year and after 1 year from AZT initiation, respectively. The effect was greater among homosexual men than among i.v. drug users. In conclusion, incident cohort studies may provide accurate information on incubation time and co-factors for disease progression. Observational studies may also provide useful information about the effect of treatment at the community level, which may complement the results of clinical trials.

Tumour necrosis factor c2 microsatellite allele is associated with the rate of HIV disease progression

The rate of immunological deterioration and progression to AIDS differs markedly between HIV-positive individuals, and may be influenced by cofactors, HIV phenotype and host T-cell response. Tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha and lymphotoxin stimulate HIV replication and may induce apoptosis of HIV-infected and uninfected lymphocytes in vitro, thus accelerating disease progression and CD4 depletion. Variability in TNF production between individuals is to a degree genetically determined and may be predicted from polymorphisms of microsatellite regions surrounding the human TNF gene locus. We examined TNf microsatellite polymorphisms in 24 HIV-positive patients with slower disease progression (CD4 count > 400 x 10(6)/l at > or = 6 years), 20 HIV-positive patients with faster progression (CD4 count < 200 x 10(6)/l within 5 years) and 109 healthy controls resident in north-west England. Typing was performed by polymerase chain reaction amplification of TNF a, b, c and d microsatellites and alleles were defined using fluorescence-based semi-automated microsatellite mapping techniques. No significant differences in TNF a, b and d allele frequencies were observed between faster and slower progressors, or with healthy controls. The frequency of the TNF c2 allele was significantly different between HIV-positive slower (60.9%) and faster (15%) progressors (P = 0.002) with an odds ratio of 0.1 (95% confidence interval, 0-0.6). TNF c2 was also less frequent in faster progressors than in healthy controls (45.9%, P = 0.006) with an odds ratio of 0.2 (95% confidence interval 0-0.8). This is the first report demonstrating a strong association between the TNF c2 allele and the rate of HIV progression. Although it is possible that this finding may have arisen as a result of linkage disequilibrium with other alleles within the major histocompatibility complex that exert a more powerful effect upon progression, evidence is mounting to suggest that both TNF-alpha and lymphotoxin are closely involved in HIV disease progression and CD4 depletion. Our results serve to highlight the potential importance of genetic polymorphism, particularly of the TNF locus, in influencing the progression of HIV infection.

The characterization of non-progressors

To identify and characterize individuals with long-term HIV-1 infection who have experienced little or no progressive CD4+ T-cell loss during follow-up. The rate of CD4+ T-cell loss (CD4 slope) was determined for each of the 290 participants in the San Francisco Men's Health Study who were seropositive at study entry in 1984. The study population was stratified, by CD4 slope, into 10 groups of 29 individuals and each group was characterized using a variety of cross-sectional and longitudinal laboratory measurements. Approximately 10% of the HIV-1-infected men experienced no net CD4+ T-cell loss during 78 months of follow-up. Compared with all other seropositive subjects, these 'non-progressors' were the extreme cases in a relatively continuous distribution of CD4 slopes, rather than a discrete subpopulation. Although they had no net cell loss, their mean CD4+ cell count was approximately 400 x 10(6)/l lower and their mean CD8+ cell count approximately 250 x 10(6)/l higher than seronegative subjects, suggesting early changes followed by stabilization. The CD4 slope was associated with the levels of beta 2-microglobulin, neopterin, p24 antibody, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, viral burden, and the proportion of HIV-1 isolates with tropism for the MT-2 T-cell line. Multivariate cluster analysis of these laboratory markers did not distinguish the non-progressors as a distinct subgroup. These findings support both a biphasic natural history and the suggestion that the broad range in HIV disease progression rates may be the result of several independent factors interacting in a variety of combinations. Recent changes in laboratory markers, known to predict both CD4+ cell loss and AIDS, suggest that non-progressors are undergoing slow HIV disease progression.

Predictors of HIV-1 Disease Progression in Early- and Late-Stage Patients

HIV-infected individuals in both early and late stages of HIV disease were evaluated over 2 years to assess temporal trends and determinants of disease progression. The Walter Reed (WR) staging system was used to categorize patients into an early-stage cohort (WR Stages 1 and 2, N = 1183) and a late-stage cohort (WR Stage 5, N = 260) based on the initial clinical evaluation. Progression was defined as the occurrence of Stage 5 disease or beyond for the early cohort and Stage 6 disease or beyond for the late cohort. The cumulative incidence of progression was 15.7% (137 events) for the early-stage cohort, and 53.7% (85 events) for the late-stage cohort. Baseline CD4+ T lymphocyte (T4) count was the most significant marker of progression: 26% of WR Stage 1 or 2 patients with T4 lymphocytes below 500/mm3 progressed, compared with 12% with T4 lymphocytes at or above 500/mm3. In late-stage individuals, 83% with T4 lymphocytes under 200/mm3 progressed, compared with 27% with T4 lymphocytes at or above 200/mm3. Older age was associated with progression in both early- and late-stage groups. Differences in the rates of disease progression were not significant between blacks and whites or between men and women. Two-year rates of progression among the late-stage patients dropped from 78 to 47% between 1986 and 1988. This contrasted with progression rates in the early-stage cohort, which remained stable: 18% for those entering follow-up in 1986 and 17% for those entering follow-up in 1988. These data indicate a significant slowing of HIV disease progression rates and mortality rates among individuals with late-stage disease that is temporally associated with the increased availability and use of therapies. With control of T4 lymphocyte count, age, and calendar time, neither gender nor race was significantly associated with progression in either early- or late-stage patients.