Random Forest Prediction Model Research Articles

Analysis and Prediction of Risk Factors for Heart Failure

Abstract. Heart failure is a grave and progressive illness. It is associated with multiple risk factors such as age and other possible factors. Accurately identifying and quantifying these risk factors is critical to developing personalized prevention and treatment strategies. However, it is difficult for common patients to predict heart failure without the professional diagnosis of doctors, and relying on human resources to predict heart failure is more subjective. This study proposes a method to evaluate and predict the factors related to heart failure based on multiple body indicators by using random forest algorithm. The random forest prediction model was applied to assess the correlation between multiple medical indicators such as creatinine phosphokinase (CPK), serum creatinine (SCR), ejection fraction (EF), age and heart failure. CPK was found to be the most associated with heart failure. In addition, increasing follow-up period can also effectively monitor heart failure progression in patients. In this high dimension prediction problem, the prediction effect of random forest is better, and the overall accuracy is higher. The approach used in this research is important for forecasting the risk of heart failure, enhancing the survival rates of patients, and alleviating the burden on healthcare systems.

COVID-19 pandemic microplastics environmental impacts predicted by deep random forest (DRF) predictive model

BackgroundMicroplastic pollution is a pressing issue with far-reaching environmental and public health consequences. This study delves into the intricacies of predicting microplastic pollution during the COVID-19 pandemic in Tehran, Iran.MethodsThe research introduces a rigorous comparative analysis that evaluates the predictive prowess of the Deep Random Forest algorithm and established benchmarks, such as Random Forest, Decision Trees, Gradient Boosting, AdaBoost, and Support Vector Machine. The evaluation process encompasses a meticulous 70–30 training–testing split of the main data set. Performance is assessed by analysis metrics, including ROC and statistical errors. The primary data set encompasses distinct categories, including household wastes, hospital wastes, clinics wastes, and unknown-originated susceptible waste which is categorized in Infected items, PPEs, SUPs, Test kits, Medical packages, Unknown-originated pandemic mircoplastic waste. Deliberately, this data set was partitioned into training and testing subsets, ensuring the robustness and reliability of subsequent analyses. Approximately 70% of the main database was allocated to the training data set, with the remaining 30% constituting the testing data set.ResultsThe findings underscore the proposed algorithm’s supremacy, boasting an impressive AUC = 0.941. This exceptional score reflects the model’s precision in categorizing microplastics. These results have profound implications for environmental management and public health during pandemics.ConclusionsThe study positions the proposed model as a potent tool for microplastic pollution prediction, encouraging further research to refine predictive models and tap into new data sources for a more comprehensive understanding of microplastic dynamics in urban settings.

Prediction and assessment of meteorological drought in southwest China using long short-term memory model

Abstract Drought prediction is crucial for mitigating risks and designing measures to alleviate its impact. Machine learning models have been widely applied in the field of drought prediction in recent years. This study concentrated on predicting meteorological droughts in southwest China, a region prone to frequent and severe droughts, particularly in areas with sparse meteorological station coverage. The long short-term memory (LSTM) predictive model, which is a deep learning model, was constructed by calculating standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) values based on 144 weather station observations from 1980 to 2020. The 5-fold cross-validation method was used for the hyperparameter optimization of the model. The LSTM model underwent comprehensive assessment and validation through multiple methods. This included the use of several accuracy assessment indicators and a comparison of results. The comparison covered different drought characteristics among the LSTM predictive model, the benchmark random forest (RF) predictive model, the historical drought situations, and the calculated SPEI values based on observations from 144 weather stations. The results showed that the training results of the LSTM predictive model basically agreed with the SPEI values calculated from weather station observations. The model-predicted variation trend of SPEI values for 2020 was similar to the variation in SPEI values calculated based on weather station observations. On the test set, the coefficient of determination (R 2), the root mean square error, the explained variance score, the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency, and the Kling–Gupta efficiency were 0.757, 0.210, 0.802, 0.761, and 0.212, respectively. The total consistency rate of the drought grade was 59.26%. The spatial correlation distribution of SPEI values between LSTM model prediction and calculation from meteorological stations in 2020 was more than 0.5 for most regions. The correlation coefficients exceeded 0.6 in western Tibet and Chengdu Plains. Compared to the RF model, the LSTM model excelled in all five performance evaluation metrics and demonstrated a higher overall consistency rate for drought categories. The Kruskal–Wallis test for both the LSTM and RF models all indicated no significant difference in the distributions between the predicted and observed data. Scatter plots revealed that the prediction accuracy for both models in 2020 was suboptimal, with the SPEI showing a comparatively narrow range of values. Nonetheless, the LSTM model significantly outperformed the RF model in terms of prediction accuracy. In summary, the LSTM model demonstrated good overall performance, accuracy, and applicability. It has the potential to enhance dynamic drought prediction in regions with complex terrain, diverse climatic factors, and sparse weather station networks.

Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Metastases in Nonfunctional Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors Using a Combined CT Radiomics-Clinical Model.

PanNETs are a rare group of pancreatic tumors that display heterogeneous histopathological and clinical behavior. Nodal disease has been established as one of the strongest predictors of patient outcomes in PanNETs. Lack of accurate preoperative assessment of nodal disease is a major limitation in the management of these patients, in particular those with small (< 2cm) low-grade tumors. The aim of the study was to evaluate the ability of radiomic features (RF) to preoperatively predict the presence of nodal disease in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNETs). An institutional database was used to identify patients with nonfunctional PanNETs undergoing resection. Pancreas protocol computed tomography was obtained, manually segmented, and RF were extracted. These were analyzed using the minimum redundancy maximum relevance analysis for hierarchical feature selection. Youden index was used to identify the optimal cutoff for predicting nodal disease. A random forest prediction model was trained using RF and clinicopathological characteristics and validated internally. Of the 320 patients included in the study, 92 (28.8%) had nodal disease based on histopathological assessment of the surgical specimen. A radiomic signature based on ten selected RF was developed. Clinicopathological characteristics predictive of nodal disease included tumor grade and size. Upon internal validation the combined radiomics and clinical feature model demonstrated adequate performance (AUC 0.80) in identifying nodal disease. The model accurately identified nodal disease in 85% of patients with small tumors (< 2cm). Non-invasive preoperative assessment of nodal disease using RF and clinicopathological characteristics is feasible.

Forecasting Psychological Distress Across Waves Of The COVID-19 Pandemic: A Multi-country Longitudinal Study

Abstract The current study used a longitudinal multi-country cohort survey (N = 8013 at baseline; age (M) = 40.3, SD = 15; female 76%) to investigate whether psychological distress assessed at five waves (May-June 2020; September-October 2020; December 2020-January 2021; March-April 2021 and March-May 2022) during the COVID-19 outbreak can be forecasted by a variety of socio-demographic and psychological- and COVID-related factors assessed at baseline. Psychological distress was defined by elevated depression and/or anxiety scores (PHQ-9 and GAD-7 &amp;gt; = 10). Predictors included demographic characteristics (e.g., gender, age, education), infections with COVID-19, loss of income, substance abuse, domestic violence, contamination fear, basic value orientations, social support and coping strategies. A Random Forest (RF) prediction model within a machine learning context was used to estimate the association between the independent variables and the presence of psychological distress among respondents completing all waves (N = 1052). Preliminary RF results showed that psychological distress at multiple waves, both during the initial phases (2020) as well as the more protracted phases (2021 and 2022), was adequately forecasted by scores on a number of basic value orientations (e.g., lower tradition and conformity, higher security and predictability), by demographic characteristics (e.g., younger age), by the fear of being contaminated, and by lower levels of social support and higher levels of loneliness. It is concluded that during a pandemic, certain personal values may elicit more vulnerability for psychological distress than others. Effective psychological intervention strategies should encompass personal traits and values and factors such as low social support levels and feelings of loneliness to mitigate distress. These insights can help in accurately pinpointing high-risk groups for heightened distress in future public health crises.

Maize crop residue cover mapping using Sentinel-2 MSI data and random forest algorithms

The return of crop residues to cultivated fields has numerous agronomic and soil quality benefits and, therefore, the areal extent of crop residue cover (CRC) could provide a rapid measure of the sustainability of agricultural production systems in a region. Recognizing the limitations of traditional CRC methods, a new method is proposed for estimating the spatial and temporal distribution of maize residue cover (MRC) in the Jilin Province, NE China. The method used random forest (RF) algorithms, 13 tillage indices and 9 textural feature indicators derived from Sentinel-2 data. The tillage indices with the best predictive performance were STI and NDTI (R2 of 0.85 and 0.84, respectively). Among the texture features, the best-fitting was Band8AMean-5*5 (R2 of 0.56 and 0.54 for the line-transect and photographic methods, respectively). Based on MSE and InNodePurity, the optimal combination of RF algorithm for the line-transect method was STI, NDTI, NDI7, NDRI5, SRNDI, NDRI6, NDRI7 and Band3Mean-3*3. Likewise, the optimal combination of RF algorithm for the photographic method was STI, NDTI, NDI7, SRNDI, NDRI6, NDRI5, NDRI9 and Band3Mean-3*3. Regional distribution of MRC in the Jilin Province, estimated using the RF prediction model, was higher in the central and southeast sections than in the northwest. That distribution was in line with the spatial heterogeneity of maize yield in the region. These findings showed that the RF algorithm can be used to map regional MRC and, therefore, represents a useful tool for monitoring regional-scale adoption of conservation agricultural practices.

Machine learning to predict distant metastasis and prognostic analysis of moderately differentiated gastric adenocarcinoma patients: a novel focus on lymph node indicators.

Moderately differentiated gastric adenocarcinoma (MDGA) has a high risk of metastasis and individual variation, which strongly affects patient prognosis. Using large-scale datasets and machine learning algorithms for prediction can improve individualized treatment. The specific efficacy of several lymph node indicators in predicting distant metastasis (DM) and patient prognosis in MDGA remains obscure. We collected data from MDGA patients from the SEER database from 2010 to 2019. Additionally, we collected data from MDGA patients in China. We used nine machine learning algorithms to predict DM. Subsequently, we used Cox regression analysis to determine the risk factors affecting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in DM patients and constructed nomograms. Furthermore, we used logistic regression and Cox regression analyses to assess the specific impact of six lymph node indicators on DM incidence and patient prognosis. We collected data from 5,377 MDGA patients from the SEER database and 109 MDGC patients from hospitals. T stage, N stage, tumor size, primary site, number of positive lymph nodes, and chemotherapy were identified as independent risk factors for DM. The random forest prediction model had the best overall predictive performance (AUC = 0.919). T stage, primary site, chemotherapy, and the number of regional lymph nodes were identified as prognostic factors for OS. Moreover, T stage, number of regional lymph nodes, primary site, and chemotherapy were also influential factors for CSS. The nomograms showed good predictive value and stability in predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS in DM patients. Additionally, the log odds of a metastatic lymph node and the number of negative lymph nodes may be risk factors for DM, while the regional lymph node ratio and the number of regional lymph nodes are prognostic factors for OS. The random forest prediction model accurately identified high-risk populations, and we established OS and CSS survival prediction models for MDGA patients with DM. Our hospital samples demonstrated different characteristics of lymph node indicators in terms of distant metastasis and prognosis.

Screening for moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea by using heart rate variability features based on random forest algorithm.

More than 80% of patients with moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are still not diagnosed timely. The prediction model based on random forest (RF) algorithm was established by using heart rate variability (HRV), clinical and demographic features so as to screen for the patients with high risk of moderate and severe obstructive sleep apnea. The sleep monitoring data of 798 patients were randomly divided into training set (n = 558) and test set (n = 240) in 7:3 proportion. Grid search was applied to determine the best parameters of the RF model. 10-fold cross validation was utilized to evaluate the predictive performance of the RF model, which was then compared to the performance of the Logistic regression model. Among the 798 patients, 638 were males and 160 were females, with the average age of 43.51 years old and the mean body mass index (BMI) of 25.92kg/m2. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, F1 score and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve for RF model and Logistic regression model were 94.68% vs. 73.94%; 73.08% vs. 86.54%; 90.00% vs. 76.67%; 0.94 vs. 0.83 and 0.83 vs. 0.80 respectively. The RF prediction model can effectively distinguish patients with moderate to severe OSA, which is expected to carry out in a large-scale population in order to screening for high-risk patients, and helps to evaluate the effect of OSA treatment continuously.

Machine-learning diagnostic models for ovarian tumors

PurposeTo create a diagnostic framework for clinical behavior and pathological tissue prognosis in ovarian cancer by using machine-learning (ML) methods based on multiple biomarkers. Experimental designOverall, 713 patients with ovarian tumors at Sun Yat Sen Memorial Hospital were randomized into training and test cohorts. Four supervised ML classifiers, namely Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, k-nearest neighbor, and logistic regression were used to derive diagnostic and prognostic information from 10 parameters commonly available from pretreatment peripheral blood tests and age. The best prediction model was selected and validated by comparing the accuracy and the area under the ROC curve of each prediction model and by applying the external data of Guangdong Maternal and Child Health Center. ResultsML techniques were superior to conventional regression-based analyses in predicting multiple clinical parameters pertaining to ovarian tumor. Ensemble methods combining weak decision trees and RF showed the best reference in diagnosis, especially for malignant ovarian cancer. The values for the highest accuracy and area under the ROC curve for malignant ovarian cancer from benign or borderline ovarian tumors with RF were 99.82 % and 0.86 (micro-average ROC curve), respectively. The greatest accuracy and AUC for the diagnosis of pathological tissue with logistic regression curve were 78.0 % and 0.95 (micro-average ROC curve), respectively. In external validation, the random forest prediction model had an accuracy of 0.789 for applying data from external centers to verify tumor benignity and malignancy, and the logistic regression model had an accuracy of 0.719 for predicting the nature of the tumor. ConclusionsAn ovarian tumor can be diagnosed and characterized before initial treatment via ML systems to provide critical diagnostic and prognostic information. The use of predictive algorithms can facilitate customized treatment options with patient preprocessing stratification.

Identification of factors directly linked to incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A causal graph modeling study.

Beyond exposure to cigarette smoking and aging, the factors that influence lung function decline to incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remain unclear. Advancements have been made in categorizing COPD into emphysema and airway predominant disease subtypes; however, predicting which healthy individuals will progress to COPD is difficult because they can exhibit profoundly different disease trajectories despite similar initial risk factors. This study aimed to identify clinical, genetic, and radiological features that are directly linked-and subsequently predict-abnormal lung function. We employed graph modeling on 2,643 COPDGene participants (aged 45 to 80 years, 51.25% female, 35.1% African Americans; enrollment 11/2007-4/2011) with smoking history but normal spirometry at study enrollment to identify variables that are directly linked to future lung function abnormalities. We developed logistic regression and random forest predictive models for distinguishing individuals who maintain lung function from those who decline. Of the 131 variables analyzed, 6 were identified as informative to future lung function abnormalities, namely forced expiratory flow in the middle range (FEF25-75%), average lung wall thickness in a 10 mm radius (Pi10), severe emphysema, age, sex, and height. We investigated whether these features predict individuals leaving GOLD 0 status (normal spirometry according to Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) criteria). Linear models, trained with these features, were quite predictive (area under receiver operator characteristic curve or AUROC = 0.75). Random forest predictors performed similarly to logistic regression (AUROC = 0.7), indicating that no significant nonlinear effects were present. The results were externally validated on 150 participants from Specialized Center for Clinically Oriented Research (SCCOR) cohort (aged 45 to 80 years, 52.7% female, 4.7% African Americans; enrollment: 7/2007-12/2012) (AUROC = 0.89). The main limitation of longitudinal studies with 5- and 10-year follow-up is the introduction of mortality bias that disproportionately affects the more severe cases. However, our study focused on spirometrically normal individuals, who have a lower mortality rate. Another limitation is the use of strict criteria to define spirometrically normal individuals, which was unavoidable when studying factors associated with changes in normalized forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1%predicted) or the ratio of FEV1/FVC (forced vital capacity). This study took an agnostic approach to identify which baseline measurements differentiate and predict the early stages of lung function decline in individuals with previous smoking history. Our analysis suggests that emphysema affects obstruction onset, while airway predominant pathology may play a more important role in future FEV1 (%predicted) decline without obstruction, and FEF25-75% may affect both.

Prospecting Specific Protein Patterns for High Body Mass Index (BMI), Metabolic Syndrome and Type 2 Diabetes in Saliva and Blood Plasma From a Brazilian Population.

Obesity and its associated metabolic disorders, such as T2DM and MeS, are a growing public health problem worldwide. Our goal was the identification of protein patterns that are uniquely characteristic of higher BMI, MeS, and T2DM in a Brazilian population. Saliva and plasma proteomes, clinical parameters were analyzed in a population from the state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, a mixed-race population. Volunteers were sorted by their BMI into normal (n = 29), overweight (n = 25), and obese (n = 15) and were compared with individuals with MeS (n = 23) and T2DM (n = 11). The Random Forest (RF) predictive model revealed that three clinical variables, BMI, HOMA-IR, and fasting blood glucose, are most important for predicting MeS and T2DM. A total of six plasmatic proteins (ABCD4, LDB1, PDZ, podoplanin, lipirin-alpha-3, and WRS) and six salivary proteins (hemoglobin subunit beta, POTEE, T cell receptor alpha variable 9-2, lactotransferrin, cystatin-S, carbonic anhydrase 6), are enhanced in T2DM and in MeS. Our data revealed similar alterations in protein composition across individuals with abnormal weight gain, T2DM, and MeS. This finding confirms the close link between these conditions at the molecular level in the studied population, potentially enhancing our understanding of these diseases and paving the way for the development of novel diagnostic tools.

Comparative assessment of the capability of machine learning-based radiomic models for predicting omental metastasis in locally advanced gastric cancer

The study aims to investigate the predictive capability of machine learning algorithms for omental metastasis in locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) and to compare the performance metrics of various machine learning predictive models. A retrospective collection of 478 pathologically confirmed LAGC patients was undertaken, encompassing both clinical features and arterial phase computed tomography images. Radiomic features were extracted using 3D Slicer software. Clinical and radiomic features were further filtered through lasso regression. Selected clinical and radiomic features were used to construct omental metastasis predictive models using support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), and logistic regression (LR). The models’ performance metrics included accuracy, area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). In the training cohort, the RF predictive model surpassed LR, SVM, DT, and KNN in terms of accuracy, AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV. Compared to the other four predictive models, the RF model significantly improved PPV. In the test cohort, all five machine learning predictive models exhibited lower PPVs. The DT model demonstrated the most significant variation in performance metrics relative to the other models, with a sensitivity of 0.231 and specificity of 0.990. The LR-based predictive model had the lowest PPV at 0.210, compared to the other four models. In the external validation cohort, the performance metrics of the predictive models were generally consistent with those in the test cohort. The LR-based model for predicting omental metastasis exhibited a lower PPV. Among the machine learning algorithms, the RF predictive model demonstrated higher accuracy and improved PPV relative to LR, SVM, KNN, and DT models.

Machine learning methods in automated detection of CT enterography findings in Crohn's disease: A feasibility study

PurposeQualitative findings in Crohn's disease (CD) can be challenging to reliably report and quantify. We evaluated machine learning methodologies to both standardize the detection of common qualitative findings of ileal CD and determine finding spatial localization on CT enterography (CTE). Materials and methodsSubjects with ileal CD and a CTE from a single center retrospective study between 2016 and 2021 were included. 165 CTEs were reviewed by two fellowship-trained abdominal radiologists for the presence and spatial distribution of five qualitative CD findings: mural enhancement, mural stratification, stenosis, wall thickening, and mesenteric fat stranding. A Random Forest (RF) ensemble model using automatically extracted specialist-directed bowel features and an unbiased convolutional neural network (CNN) were developed to predict the presence of qualitative findings. Model performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and kappa agreement statistics. ResultsIn 165 subjects with 29,895 individual qualitative finding assessments, agreement between radiologists for localization was good to very good (κ = 0.66 to 0.73), except for mesenteric fat stranding (κ = 0.47). RF prediction models had excellent performance, with an overall AUC, sensitivity, specificity of 0.91, 0.81 and 0.85, respectively. RF model and radiologist agreement for localization of CD findings approximated agreement between radiologists (κ = 0.67 to 0.76). Unbiased CNN models without benefit of disease knowledge had very similar performance to RF models which used specialist-defined imaging features. ConclusionMachine learning techniques for CTE image analysis can identify the presence, location, and distribution of qualitative CD findings with similar performance to experienced radiologists.

Research on Match Trends in Tennis Competitions Based on Bayesian Online Change Point Detection and Random Forest Prediction Model

Research on Match Trends in Tennis Competitions Based on Bayesian Online Change Point Detection and Random Forest Prediction Model

From plan to delivery: Machine learning based positional accuracy prediction of multi-leaf collimator and estimation of delivery effect in volumetric modulated arc therapy.

The positional accuracy of MLC is an important element in establishing the exact dosimetry in VMAT. We comprehensively analyzed factors that may affect MLC positional accuracy in VMAT, and constructed a model to predict MLC positional deviation and estimate planning delivery quality according to the VMAT plans before delivery. A total of 744 "dynalog" files for 23 VMAT plans were extracted randomly from treatment database. Multi-correlation was used to analyzed the potential influences on MLC positional accuracy, including the spatial characteristics and temporal variability of VMAT fluence, and the mechanical wear parameters of MLC. We developed a model to forecast the accuracy of MLC moving position utilizing the random forest (RF) ensemble learning method. Spearman correlation was used to further investigate the associations between MLC positional deviation and dosage deviations as well as gamma passing rates. The MLC positional deviation and effective impact factors show a strong multi-correlation (R=0.701, p-value<0.05). This leads to the development of a highly accurate prediction model with average variables explained of 95.03% and average MSE of 0.059 in the 5-fold cross-validation, and MSE of 0.074 for the test data was obtained. The absolute dose deviations caused by MLC positional deviation ranging from 12.948 to 210.235cGy, while the relative volume deviation remained small at 0.470%-5.161%. The average MLC positional deviation correlated substantially with gamma passing rates (with correlation coefficient of -0.506 to -0.720 and p-value<0.05) but marginally with dosage deviations (with correlation coefficient<0.498 and p-value>0.05). The RF predictive model provides a prior tool for VMAT quality assurance.

Development of a predictive model for pediatric atopic dermatitis: A retrospective cross-sectional nationwide database study

BackgroundThe rise in prevalence of atopic dermatitis (AD) has been correlated with numerous elements of the exposome, modern-day lifestyle, and familial history. The combined analysis of familial history and other risk elements may allow us to understand the driving factors behind the development of AD. ObjectiveTo develop prediction models to assess the risk of developing AD using a large and diverse cohort (N = 77,525) and easily assessed risk factors. MethodsWe analyzed electronic medical record data from Leumit Health System. Documented predictive factors include sex, season of birth, environment (urban/rural), socioeconomic status, household smoking, diagnosed skin conditions, number of siblings, a paternal, maternal, or sibling history of an atopic condition, and antibiotic prescriptions during pregnancy or after birth. Predictive models were trained and validated on the data set. ResultsMedium (odds ratio [OR] 2.04, CI 1.92-2.17, P < .001) and high (OR 2.13, CI 1.95-2.34, P < .001) socioeconomic status, a previous diagnosis of contact dermatitis (OR 2.57, CI 2.37-2.78, P < .001), presence of siblings with an AD diagnosis (OR 2.21, CI 2.04-2.40, P < .001), and the percentage of siblings with any atopic condition (OR 2.58, CI 2.09-3.17, P < .001) drove risk for AD in a logistic regression model. A random forest prediction model with a sensitivity of 61% and a specificity of 84% was developed. Generalized mixed models accounting for the random effect of familial relationships boasted an area under the curve of 0.98. ConclusionPredictive modeling using noninvasive and accessible inputs is a powerful tool to stratify risk for developing AD.

Enhanced Thermal Comfort Prediction Model by Addressing Outliers and Data Imbalance

The relationship between individuals and their thermal environment is pivotal not only for comfort but also for health and productivity. Thermal comfort, as defined by ASHRAE, reflects an individual's satisfaction with their ambient thermal conditions and can be gauged using the ASHRAE scale. In the past, traditional thermal comfort prediction models such as the Predicted Mean Vote (PMV) were used to evaluate thermal comfort. Nevertheless, the emergence of machine learning provides a more dynamic approach to predict thermal comfort of occupants. However, the subjective nature of thermal comfort introduces data ambiguities challenge which lead to the existence of outliers. Moreover, data imbalances within the dataset can cause the machine learning models to not learn the minority class effectively, resulting in the deterioration of the model. This research has developed an enhanced thermal comfort prediction model to predict the occupant’s thermal comfort by leveraging the outlier detection technique and synthetic data generator, particularly the Isolation Forest and SMOTE. The experiment showed that the proposed model is able to achieve an accuracy of 74.94%. This exhibited a slight improvement compared to the findings in prior research of using Random Forest prediction model.

Stability Analysis of Breakwater Armor Blocks Based on Deep Learning

This paper aims to use deep learning algorithms to identify and study the stability of breakwater armor blocks. It introduces a posture identification model for fender blocks using a Mask Region-based Convolutional Neural Network (R-CNN), which has been enhanced by considering factors affecting breakwater fender blocks. Furthermore, a wave prediction model for breakwaters is developed by integrating Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERTs) with Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM). The performance of these models is evaluated. The results show that the accuracy of the Mask R-CNN and its comparison algorithms initially increases and then decreases with higher Intersection Over Union (IOU) thresholds, peaking at 95.16% accuracy at an IOU threshold of 0.5. The BERT-BiLSTM wave prediction model maintains a loss value around 0.01 and an accuracy of approximately 90.00%. These results suggest that the proposed models offer more accurate stability assessments of breakwater armor blocks. By combining the random forest prediction model with BiLSTM, the wave characteristics and fender posture can be predicted better, offering reliable decision support for breakwater engineering.

Prediction of myofascial pelvic pain syndrome based on random forest model

The objective is to construct a random forest model for predicting the occurrence of Myofascial pelvic pain syndrome (MPPS) and compare its performance with a logistic regression model to demonstrate the superiority of the random forest model. We retrospectively analyze the clinical data of female patients who underwent pelvic floor screening due to chronic pelvic pain at the Pelvic Floor Rehabilitation Center of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2021 to December 2023. A total of 543 female patients meeting the study's inclusion and exclusion criteria are randomly selected from this dataset and allocated to the MPPS group. Furthermore, 702 healthy female patients who underwent pelvic floor screening during routine physical examinations within the same timeframe are randomly selected and assigned to the non-MPPS group. Chi-square test and rank-sum test are used to select demographic variables, pelvic floor pressure assessment data variables, and modified Oxford muscle strength grading data for logistic univariate analysis. The selected variables are further subjected to multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a random forest model is also established. The predictive performance of the two models is evaluated by comparing their accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and area under the curve (AUC) area. Based on a dataset of 1245 cases, we implement the random forest algorithm for the first time in the screening of MPPS. In this investigation, the Logistic regression model forecasts the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precision of MPPS at 69.96%, 57.46%, 79.63%, and 68.57% respectively, with an AUC of the ROC curve at 0.755. Conversely, the random forest prediction model exhibits accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precision rates of 87.11%, 90.66%, 90.91%, and 83.51% respectively, with an AUC of the ROC curve at 0.942. The random forest model showcases exceptional predictive performance during the initial screening of MPPS. The random forest model has exhibited exceptional predictive performance in the initial screening evaluation of MPPS disease. The development of this predictive framework holds significant importance in refining the precision of MPPS prediction within clinical environments and elevating treatment outcomes. This research carries profound global implications, given the potentially elevated misdiagnosis rates and delayed diagnosis proportions of MPPS on a worldwide scale, coupled with a potential scarcity of seasoned healthcare providers. Moving forward, continual refinement and validation of the model will be imperative to further augment the precision of MPPS risk assessment, thereby furnishing clinicians with more dependable decision-making support in clinical practice.

Public Bicycle Dispatch Method Based on Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Borrowing and Returning Demands

Public bicycle systems (PBSs) serve as the ‘last mile’ of public transportation for urban residents, yet the problem of the difficulty in borrowing and returning bicycles during peak hours remains a major bottleneck restricting the intelligent and efficient operation of public bicycles. Previous studies have proposed reasonable models and efficient algorithms for optimizing public bicycle scheduling, but there is still a lack of consideration for actual road network distances between stations and the temporal characteristics of demand at rental points in the model construction process. Therefore, this paper aims to construct a public bicycle dispatch framework based on the spatiotemporal characteristics of borrowing and returning demands. Firstly, the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of borrowing and returning demands for public bicycles are explored, the origin–destination (OD) correlation coefficients are defined, and the intensity of connections between rental point areas is analyzed. Secondly, based on the temporal characteristics of rental point demands, a random forest prediction model is constructed with weather factors, time characteristics, and rental point locations as feature variables, and station bicycle-borrowing and -returning demands as the target variable. Finally, bicycle dispatch regions are delineated based on actual path distances between stations and OD correlation coefficients, and a public bicycle regional dispatch optimization method is established. Taking the PBS in Ningbo City as an example, the balancing optimization framework proposed in this paper is validated. The results show that the regional dispatch optimization method proposed in this paper can achieve optimized dispatch of public bicycles during peak hours. Additionally, compared with the Taboo search algorithm (TSA), the genetic algorithm (GA) exhibits a 11.1% reduction in rebalancing time and a 40.4% reduction in trip cost.