A simplified method to evaluate uncertainty of calculated decay heat is presented. Numerical analyses to provide the sensitivity coefficients were made only for uniform changes of the parameters used for the estimations of fractional yields. The deviations of the decay heat from the reference were approximately proportional to the magnitudes of the parameter changes. Then, a general formula for the sensitivity coefficients was theoretically derived from the first order approximation and the correlation due to the charge conservation law between complementary fragments was taken into account. The sensitivity for the charge distribution width σ A was less than 1/10 of that for the most probable charge ZP. The evaluation of experimental errors for ZP and σ A values were performed using radio-chemical data by Wahl and mass separator data by Clerc, and then the decay heat uncertainties were estimated by using the resultant ZP and σ A experimental errors. Evaluated uncertainties of the decay heat for thermal ne...
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