The purpose of this study was to compare the accuracy of hard tissues movements planned to result of the maxillary and mandibular positions between conventional surgical planning (CSP) and virtual surgical planning (VSP) in patients undergoing orthognathic surgery. A systematic electronic search was carried out in six databases and gray literature with no restriction of publication date and language. Clinical observational studies that compared accuracy of maxillary position between CSP and VSP were included. Linear measurements of the mandible in the transverse plane and linear measurements of the maxilla in the vertical, horizontal and transverse planes were considered for analysis, comparing planned to postoperative outcomes of CSP and VSP. Cochrane tool was used to assess bias risk. A meta-analysis was performed to summarize similar results by using the Review Manager 5.3 software. Significance level was set at 5%. Six studies (2 RCT and 4 retrospective cohorts) were included according to inclusion and eligibility criteria, involving 255 patients. The inter-rater reliability of selection and eligibility was excellent (k = 0.8315 and k = 0.9329, respectively). Two studies presented that VSP seemed to have better results than CSP regarding linear measurements of the mandible in the transverse plane. Results from CSP and VSP were similar in accuracy for hard tissue in vertical plane of maxillary position (I2 = 0%; p = 0.17), although VSP was more accurate in horizontal plane (I2 = 0%; p = 0.02). VSP presented better accuracy for transverse movements in mandible of asymmetric patients. VSP showed to be more accurate for movements in the horizontal plane, and qualitative analysis seemed to be more effective for transverse movements.