As an adjustable load, the air conditioning (AC) load is a high-quality resource for power system operation regulation. However, due to the large number of AC loads and the heterogeneity among individual users, the scheduling potential of AC loads is difficult to accurately calculate. An aggregate scheduling potential evaluation of large-scale AC loads is proposed. Firstly, according to the operation characteristics of ACs, the aggregation models of central ACs and household split-type ACs are constructed by using the equivalent thermal parameter model and Monte Carlo sampling method respectively. Secondly, based on the proposed aggregation models of large-scale AC loads, the AC loads are rescheduled by resetting the set temperature, and the scheduling potential calculation model of central ACs and residential ACs is obtained. Finally, case studies show that AC loads have considerable scheduling potential when the indoor temperature is maintained within the range of human comfort.
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