Proportional Hazards Model Research Articles

GLP-1 analog use is associated with improved disease course in inflammatory bowel disease: a report from the Epi-IIRN.

The growing use of GLP-1 analogs for type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2) and obesity necessitates studies about their use in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD). Data on patients with DM2 were retrieved from an Israeli nationwide cohort of patients with IBD (epi-IIRN), recording GLP-1 analog exposure for at least 6 months. Primary outcome was poor disease outcomes (i.e. composite of steroid-dependence, initiation of advanced IBD therapy, hospitalization, surgery, or death). Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying covariables were used to assess the impact of GLP-1 use on outcomes during follow-up. We included 3,737 patients (24,338 patient-years) with IBD and DM2 [(50.4% ulcerative colitis (UC)], of whom 633 were treated with GLP-1 analogs. Accounting for demographics IBD/DM2 related variables, medication use, and laboratory measurements, GLP-1 analog use was associated with reduced composite outcome in the full cohort (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 0.74, 95%CI 0.62-0.89) and in each subtype [UC (aHR 0.71, 95%CI 0.52-0.96) and Crohn's disease (aHR 0.78, 95%CI 0.62-0.99)]. Similar trends were seen in multivariate analyses of each individual outcome, although only hospitalization was significant (aHR 0.74, 95%CI 0.61-0.91). The protective effect of GLP-1 analogs was seen in patients with obesity (aHR 0.61, 95%CI 0.50-0.77), but not in non-obese (aHR 0.94, 95%CI 0.67-1.31). GLP-1 analogs are associated with improved outcomes in IBD, specifically in patients with obesity. The mechanisms of these effects require further investigation as well as their role in patients without DM2.

Hydrochlorothiazide Use and Risk of Skin Cancer: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

Hydrochlorothiazide (HCTZ) exposure has been linked to increased skin cancer in Caucasian (white) populations, especially squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), but not basal cell carcinoma (BCC). This study aimed to evaluate and compare skin cancer risks associated with HCTZ- and other antihypertensives use. This retrospective cohort study utilized Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. We identified patients aged 20 years and older, newly receiving antihypertensive medications between 2004 and 2015. We calculated the medication possession ratio (MPR) for the first 2 years of treatment to determine patient eligibility and treatment classification, whereby only patients with MPR above 80% were included. These were subsequently categorized by the type of antihypertensives they received, namely HCTZ, other thiazide diuretics, non-thiazide diuretics or non-diuretic antihypertensives. Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate skin cancer risks, and these were then classified as SCC or BCC. Our study included 41 086, 27 402, 19 613, and 856 782 patients receiving HCTZ, other thiazide diuretics, non-thiazide diuretics, and non-diuretic antihypertensives, respectively. We found BCC risks were similar when comparing HCTZ with other thiazides (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.54-1.33), non-thiazide diuretics (0.93; 0.51-1.67), and non-diuretic antihypertensives (0.91; 0.66-1.26). We observed a higher SCC risk in the HCTZ group, compared to other thiazides (1.24; 0.74-2.08), non-thiazide diuretics (1.32; 0.70-2.51), and non-diuretic antihypertensives (1.23; 0.87-1.73), although the confidence intervals (CIs) were wide and crossed the null. We concluded that skin cancer need not be of major concern to physicians when prescribing antihypertensives for an Asian population.

Exploring the long-term disability outcomes in Trauma patients: study protocol

ObjectivesTrauma registries are essential tools for improving trauma care quality and efficiency, but many fail to capture long-term patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). Focusing on these outcomes is crucial for understanding the extent of disability patients experience and identifying potential post-discharge interventions to optimize recovery. Studies reflecting the experience from low- and middle-income countries in this area are limited. Therefore, we aim to develop a digital trauma registry in Pakistan to prospectively capture patient-reported outcome measures at one, three, six, and twelve months post-injury.MethodsWe will develop and implement a digital trauma registry at two tertiary care facilities in Karachi, Pakistan: Aga Khan University Hospital and Jinnah Postgraduate Medical Center. The registry will include all admitted adult trauma patients (≥ 18 years). Data collection will be conducted digitally using tablets, with mortality, level of disability, functional status, and quality of life as primary outcomes. Follow-up data will be collected through telephone interviews with patients and caregivers. We will employ descriptive statistics to summarize participant’s socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. Additionally, we will perform survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models and utilize mixed-effects linear regression to adjust for potential confounders for primary outcomes.DiscussionThe trauma registry will fill the current gap in knowledge regarding long-term outcomes among trauma patients in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study will delineate future direction for capturing post-discharge data, enhancing our understanding of recovery, and informing the design of interventions aimed at improving long-term outcomes.

Racial Disparities in Incident and Recurrent Cardiovascular Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

Most prior studies of cardiovascular (CVD) events have focused on incident events. We analyzed differences by race/ethnicity in incident and recurrent CVD events in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis from baseline in 2000-2002 through 2019 using joint and multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards modeling. Among 6,814 men and women aged 45-85 years without known CVD at enrollment, during median follow up of 17.7 years, 1206 incident and 695 recurrent CVD events were observed; 891 individuals with a non-fatal incident event were at risk for recurrent events. Rates of combined incident and recurrent CVD events among Black, White, Chinese, and Hispanic participants were 16.8, 18.6, 13.3, and 19.3 per 1000 person-years, respectively. First recurrent CVD event rates in Black, White, Chinese, and Hispanic participants were 87.7, 68.7, 78.1, and 80.7 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Revascularization rates were lower in Black versus White participants (3.8 vs 6.4 per 1000 person-years, p<0.0001). Adjusted hazard for CVD mortality was higher for Black vs. White participants (hazard ratio 1.85; 95% CI: 1.03, 3.29). In this multi-ethnic cohort, Black participants had a lower or similar rate of incident and recurrent CVD events, lower rate of revascularization, and higher rate of fatal CVD compared to White participants.

Blood-derived mitochondrial DNA copy number is associated with Alzheimer disease, Alzheimer-related biomarkers and serum metabolites

BackgroundBlood-derived mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNA-CN) is a proxy measurement of mitochondrial function in the peripheral and central systems. Abnormal mtDNA-CN not only indicates impaired mtDNA replication and transcription machinery but also dysregulated biological processes such as energy and lipid metabolism. However, the relationship between mtDNA-CN and Alzheimer disease (AD) is unclear.MethodsWe performed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) using publicly available summary statistics from GWAS for mtDNA-CN and AD to investigate the causal relationship between mtDNA-CN and AD. We estimated mtDNA-CN using whole-genome sequence data from blood and brain samples of 13,799 individuals from the Alzheimer’s Disease Sequencing Project. Linear and Cox proportional hazards models adjusting for age, sex, and study phase were used to assess the association of mtDNA-CN with AD. The association of AD biomarkers and serum metabolites with mtDNA-CN in blood was evaluated in Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative using linear regression. We conducted a causal mediation analysis to test the natural indirect effects of mtDNA-CN change on AD risk through the significantly associated biomarkers and metabolites.ResultsMR analysis suggested a causal relationship between decreased blood-derived mtDNA-CN and increased risk of AD (OR = 0.68; P = 0.013). Survival analysis showed that decreased mtDNA-CN was significantly associated with higher risk of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to AD (HR = 0.80; P = 0.002). We also identified significant associations of mtDNA-CN with brain FDG-PET (β = 0.103; P = 0.022), amyloid-PET (β = 0.117; P = 0.034), CSF amyloid-β (Aβ) 42/40 (β=-0.124; P = 0.017), CSF t-Tau (β = 0.128; P = 0.015), p-Tau (β = 0.140; P = 0.008), and plasma NFL (β=-0.124; P = 0.004) in females. Several lipid species, amino acids, biogenic amines in serum were also significantly associated with mtDNA-CN. Causal mediation analyses showed that about a third of the effect of mtDNA-CN on AD risk was mediated by plasma NFL (P = 0.009), and this effect was more significant in females (P < 0.005).ConclusionsOur study indicates that mtDNA-CN measured in blood is predictive of AD and is associated with AD biomarkers including plasma NFL particularly in females. Further, we illustrate that decreased mtDNA-CN possibly increases AD risk through dysregulation of mitochondrial lipid metabolism and inflammation.

Mediation analysis of brain magnetic resonance imaging variables with all-cause and cardiovascular disease-specific mortalities in persons with type 2 diabetes.

Glucose variation (GV) has emerged as a predictor of morbidity and mortality in persons with diabetes. However, no study has examined whether brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) variables mediated the association between mortality and GV. This study was a retrospective cohort comprising 3,961 individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D), whose electronic medical records were retrieved from a medical center between January 2001 and October 2021. GV was quantified using coefficient of variation of fasting plasma glucose (FPG-CV) and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). The MRI variables included the presence or absence of cerebrovascular abnormality and white matter hyperintensity (WMH). All deaths and deaths resulting from expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) were identified through annual record linkage with National Death Datasets. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate associations of MRI variable or GV with mortality. Mediation analyses were performed to assess the relative contributions of MRI variables for GV on mortality. Among 3,961 patients, 2,114 patients (53.4%) had cerebrovascular abnormality and 1,888 patients (47.7%) had WMH. The results showed cerebrovascular abnormality and WMHs were significantly associated with all-cause and expanded CVD mortality after considering GV. The largest mediated effects of GV on all-cause and expanded CVD mortality were observed by cerebrovascular abnormality (5.26% and 8.49%, respectively). Our study suggests cerebrovascular abnormality and WMHs are important predictors of mortality in patients with T2D after considering GV. In addition, MRI variables of cerebrovascular abnormality expressed weak but significant mediation effect on the associations between GV and mortality.

Unhealthy plant-based diet is associated with a higher cardiovascular disease risk in patients with prediabetes and diabetes: a large-scale population-based study

BackgroundThe role of plant-based dietary patterns in preventing cardiovascular disease (CVD) among individuals with prediabetes and diabetes remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the associations of plant-based diet index (PDI), healthful PDI (hPDI), and unhealthful PDI (uPDI) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and explore potential contributing factors among people with prediabetes and diabetes.MethodsA total of 17,926 participants with prediabetes and 7798 with diabetes were enrolled from the UK Biobank between 2006 and 2010 and followed until the end of 2020. We calculated the PDI, hPDI, and uPDI based on 18 major food groups including plant-based foods and animal-based foods and applied Cox proportional hazard models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CVD risk related to PDI, hPDI, and uPDI. Decomposition analysis was performed to assess the role of dietary components, and mediation analysis was performed to assess the potential mediating role of serum biomarkers underlying these associations.ResultsA total of 2324 CVD events were documented among individuals with prediabetes, while 1461 events occurred among patients with diabetes. An inverse association was found between hPDI and CVD risk among individuals with prediabetes (HR T3 vs. T1 = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.79–0.98, Ptrend = 0.025) but not those with diabetes. A positive association was found between uPDI and CVD risk among individuals with prediabetes (HR T3 vs. T1 = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.05–1.30, Ptrend = 0.005) and those with diabetes (HR T3 vs. T1 = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.00–1.29, Ptrend = 0.043). High-sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) intake accounted for 35% of the hPDI-CVD association and 15% of the uPDI-CVD association among individuals with prediabetes, whereas low intake of whole grain accounted for 36% of the association among patients with diabetes. Elevated cystatin C levels explained the largest proportion of the association between uPDI and CVD risk among individuals with prediabetes (15%, 95% CI = 7–30%) and diabetes (44%, 95% CI = 9–86%).ConclusionsAdherence to an unhealthy plant-based diet is associated with a higher CVD risk in people with prediabetes or diabetes, which may be partially attributed to low consumption of whole grains, high intake of SSB, and high blood cystatin C levels.

Optimizing Treatment Strategies for Egfr-Mutated Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Osimertinib: Real-World Outcomes and Insights

Background: Osimertinib, a third-generation EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), demonstrated superior efficacy over first-generation TKIs in the FLAURA trial, resulting in its approval as first-line therapy for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the real-world application of these trial results requires an evaluation of sequential therapeutic strategies. Methods: This retrospective, non-interventional study utilized data from the Epidemiological Strategy and Medical Economics (ESME) platform, which includes information on patients treated for lung cancer since 2015. Out of 39,974 patients in the database, 624 patients with EGFR-mutant advanced NSCLC treated with osimertinib as first-line (L1, n = 198) or second-line (L2, n = 426) treatment after first- or second-generation TKIs (n = 1262) were identified. Patient demographics, disease characteristics, treatment strategies, and disease progression were examined. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox proportional-hazards models. Results: In the study population (n = 624), 73.4% were female, with a median age of 70 years (range 28–93). Brain metastases at the start of osimertinib treatment were observed in 282 patients. ECOG PS-2 was reported in 29.4% of patients. The T790M mutation in exon 20 was identified in 257/426 patients (60.3%) receiving osimertinib in L2. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 12.4 months (95% CI [10.7–14.7]) for L1 and 7.4 months (95% CI [6.2–8.7]) for L2. Median overall survival (OS) from advanced diagnosis was 28.5 months (95% CI [26.3–38.7]) for osimertinib L1 and 29.9 months (95% CI [28.6–31.8]) for osimertinib L2 (HR = 0.93; 95% CI [0.75–1.16]; p = 0.50). For L1, median OS was 27.1 months (95% CI [22.0–30.2]) for patients with cerebral metastases and 38.7 months (95% CI [26.3–52.8]) for those without (HR = 0.73; 95% CI [0.48–1.11]; p = 0.15). Discussion: Patients in the real-world ESME database exhibited a poorer prognosis compared to those in the FLAURA trial. The presence of cerebral metastases at diagnosis worsens the prognosis.

Prognostic value of interim [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT in patients with neuroendocrine tumour who underwent peptide receptor radionuclide therapy.

This study evaluated the prognostic value of basal and interim [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT in patients with locally advanced or metastatic neuroendocrine tumour (NET) who received peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT). Patients with NET who received PRRT with [177Lu]Lu-DOTA-TATE at our institution were retrospectively reviewed. Among them, patients who underwent both basal and interim (after two cycles of PRRT) [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT were included. Alongside clinicopathologic parameters, PET parameters of maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax), tumour-to-liver ratio (TLR), whole tumour volume (WTV) and total receptor expression (TRE: WTV multiplied by mean standardised uptake value) were obtained from basal and interim [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT, and their proportional changes (∆) were assessed for associations with progression-free survival (PFS) using Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank tests, and a Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Twenty-four patients were finally included (10 men and 14 women, median age of 56.5 years, age range 32-74 years). Among them, 16 patients (66.7%) experienced disease progression. In univariate analysis, high ∆WTV (≥ -10%, hazard ratio [HR] = 3.053 [1.003-9.289], p = 0.049) and high ∆TRE (≥ -21%, HR = 3.567 [1.144-11.122], p = 0.028) were significantly associated with shorter PFS. In multivariate analyses adjusted for WHO grade, high ∆WTV (HR = 3.345 [1.055-10.601], p = 0.043) and high ∆TRE (HR = 3.894 [1.194-12.695], p = 0.024) were significant predictors of shorter PFS. The study demonstrates that basal and interim [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT scans, through proportional changes in WTV and TRE, effectively predict PFS in neuroendocrine tumour patients receiving PRRT. Question Peptide receptor radionuclide therapy is utilised for patients with somatostatin receptor-positive well-differentiated neuroendocrine tumours; however, prognostic predictors are not well established. Findings Progression-free survival was significantly associated with the proportional change in whole tumour volume and total receptor expression between basal and interim [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT. Clinical relevance Interim [68Ga]Ga-DOTA-TOC PET/CT can serve as a valuable imaging method to predict prognosis of peptide receptor radionuclide therapy.

Visit-to-visit changes in heart rate in heart failure: A pooled participant-level analysis of the PARADIGM-HF and PARAGON-HF trials.

Resting heart rate (HR) is a strong risk marker in patients with heart failure (HF), but the clinical implications of visit-to-visit changes in HR (ΔHR) are less well established. We aimed to explore the association between ΔHR and subsequent outcomes in a pooled dataset of two well-characterized cohorts of patients with HF across the full range of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). PARADIGM-HF and PARAGON-HF were randomized trials testing sacubitril/valsartan versus enalapril or valsartan, respectively, in patients with HF and LVEF ≤40% (PARADIGM-HF) or LVEF ≥45% (PARAGON-HF). We analysed the association between ΔHR from the preceding visit with the primary endpoint of HF hospitalization (HFH) or cardiovascular death using covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. A total of 13 194 patients (mean age 67 ± 11 years, 67% men, mean LVEF 40 ± 15%) were included. Over a median follow-up of 2.5 years, 3114 patients experienced a first HFH or cardiovascular death event (10.4 events per 100 patient-years). An increase in HR from the preceding visit, compared with no change, was associated with a higher risk (hazard ratio 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.15; p < 0.001 per 5 bpm increase). Conversely, a drop in HR was associated with a lower risk (hazard ratio 0.97; 95% CI 0.94-1.00; p = 0.044 per 5 bpm drop). The prognostic implications of ΔHR were consistent across the range of LVEF and observed regardless of β-blocker use or presence of a permanent pacemaker. Visit-to-visit increases in HR were especially prognostic in patients without atrial fibrillation (pinteraction = 0.006). Across a broad spectrum of patients with chronic HF, increases in HR from a preceding visit independently predicted clinical outcomes. The detection of notable increases in HR between outpatient visits may help identify patients at heightened risk of adverse events. Clinical Trial Registration; ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01035255 (PARADIGM-HF), NCT01920711 (PARAGON-HF).

Neutrophil‑to‑lymphocyte ratio and risk of disease progression in patients with nivolumab‑treated unresectable or recurrent gastric cancer.

Studies have associated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with gastric cancer (GC). The present study aimed to examine the relationship between dynamic changes in NLR during treatment and disease progression in patients with unresectable or recurrent GC treated with nivolumab monotherapy as a third-line or later regimen. Patients treated with nivolumab as a third-line or later therapy for unresectable or recurrent GC at Gifu University Hospital (Gifu, Japan) from April 2017 to December 2021 were included. Pretreatment data and those obtained every 2 weeks after the treatment commenced were evaluated. The association between all NLR values and disease progression for each patient was evaluated using a time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves. The study included 44 patients (23 men and 21 women). The response and disease control rates were 6.8 and 27.3%, respectively. The median PFS and OS of all patients were 1.84 months [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.32-2.14] and 5.93 months (95% CI, 3.75-10.75), respectively. The risk for progressive disease (PD) increased with higher NLR (hazard ratio, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.3-3.87). The RCS curves also indicated that the higher the NLR, the higher the risk for PD, especially if the NLR value was <3.0. NLR during treatment could predict the risk of PD, suggesting that NLR could be integrated with tumor markers, computed tomographic images and other modalities to enable treatment selection without delay.

Impact of smoking habits on cardiovascular and neoplastic events and all-cause death in people living with HIVfrom the STOPSHIV cohort.

The study aimed to assess the impact of smoking exposure on major clinical events (MCE) in a real-life setting of people living with HIV (PWH). Observational longitudinal multicentre cohort study from Italy. Consecutive 983 PWH were enrolled in "STOP Smoking in HIV people" (STOPSHIV) projects and followed from July 2014 until September 2023. The observed MCE defined as cardiovascular (CV) events, neoplastic diseases or death for any reason was assessed according smoking status and related variables (number of cigarettes smoked daily, pack-years, Fagerström test) in participants. The association between exposure variables and the event was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazard model (hazard ratios, HR, and 95% CI). Over 6997.6 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), we found a total of 49 CV events, 61 neoplastic events, and 47 deaths. The overall incidence rate of MCE was 17.6 /1000 PYFU (95% confidence interval 14.7-21.0). All-cause death rate was 6.7 (95% CI 5.0-8.9)/1000 PYFU. In a multivariate analysis, older age (HR 1.07, CI 1.05-1.09), high Fagerström Test for Nicotine Dependence (HR 1.09, CI 1.03-1.15), a low nadir CD4 <200 cells/mm3 (HR 1.63, CI 1.10-1.41), history of previous neoplasm (HR 2.41; CI 1.34-4.43) and intravenous drug use as risk factor for HIV infection (HR 2.36; CI 1.52-3.68) were independent predictors of any MCE. Non-AIDS clinical conditions are the most observed clinical events in PWH from Italy. Smoking exposure significantly increases the risk of MCE in PWH and a high Fagerström Test for Nicotine Dependence is a predictor of MCE.

Associations Between Vision and Hearing Impairment and Cardiovascular Diseases: A Longitudinal Cohort of Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China.

Based on the severity of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and sensory impairment in China and the lack of research on this, the aims of our study were to assess the impact of hearing impairment (HI), visual impairment (VI), and concurrent HI and VI (termed dual sensory impairment) on CVD in elderly people, based on a representative sample of China. We used data from the CHARLS (China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study) for our survey of 11 332 participants. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% 95% CIs for CVD, stroke, and cardiac events by using Cox proportional hazards models. HI and VI status were collected through self-reported questions. During the 7-year follow-up, a total of 2156 participants experienced CVD (including 745 stroke and 1605 cardiac events). Compared with the reference, individuals with VI had higher risk of CVD (HR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.09-1.40]). Individuals with HI also had higher risk of CVD than those without HI (HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.09-1.33]). Compared with participants without VI and HI, individuals with dual sensory impairment had a 1.35-fold increased risk of CVD (HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.16-1.57]). In addition, individuals with dual sensory impairment also had increased risk of stroke and cardiac events. Our study shows that HI and VI have a combined effect on the incidence of CVD. Based on the high prevalence of CVD around the world, early detection of sensory disorders and the adoption of appropriate measures may contribute to prevent CVD and reduce the burden of clinical diagnosis and treatment of CVD.

Pulse Pressure and Cardiovascular and Kidney Outcomes by Age in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC).

Wide pulse pressure (PP) is associated with cardiovascular events and the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) to kidney failure. PP naturally widens with age, but it is unclear whether the risks associated with greater PP are the same across all ages. We used Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association of PP with (i) atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or death and (ii) a 50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate or kidney failure in the chronic renal insufficiency cohort (CRIC). We evaluated the association of time-updated PP with these outcomes, accounting for time-updated confounders using inverse probability weighting. Among 5,621 participants with CKD, every 10-mmHg greater PP was associated with a 6% higher risk of an ASCVD event or death (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.06, 95% CI 1.04, 1.08) and 17% higher risk of the composite kidney outcome (HR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.16, 1.18). Greater PP was associated with a higher risk of ASCVD events or death among participants in the lowest age tertile (21-61 years), but a higher risk of the composite kidney outcome in the oldest age tertile (71-79 years). While wide PP in participants that experienced the primary outcomes was predominantly driven by elevated SBP, PP remained significantly associated with the composite kidney outcome across all ages and with ASCVD events or death in the first age tertile when SBP was added to the Cox regression model. Our findings suggest that the mechanism by which PP is associated with adverse outcomes may differ by age.

Widowhood Shock, Family Reconstruction, and Mild Cognitive Impairment Among Older Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI), especially among widowed older adults, is increasingly urging public concern. This study aimed to investigate the association of widowhood, remarriage, and widowed life characteristics with the MCI risk among Chinese older adults. With an average age of 86.49 ± 10.20, a sample of 5377 participants aged between 65 and 116 was collected from four waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey between 2008 and 2018. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline models were employed to estimate and plot the associations. Results showed that widowhood is associated with an increasing MCI risk, which could not be alleviated by remarriage. This negative impact was pronounced among women and those at older age. The association of living alone duration after widowhood and MCI onset displayed an inverse U-shape, with a peak risk at the 10th year. These findings have practical implications for pointing out the most vulnerable groups to MCI.

Cancer Risk in Patients With Muscular Dystrophy and Myotonic Dystrophy: A Register-Based Cohort Study.

Muscular dystrophies and myotonic disorders are genetic disorders characterized by progressive skeletal muscle degeneration and weakness. Epidemiologic studies have found an increased cancer risk in myotonic dystrophy, although the cancer risk spectrum is poorly characterized. In patients with muscular dystrophy, the cancer risk is uncertain. We aimed to determine the overall cancer risk and cancer risk spectrum in patients with muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy using data from the Swedish National registers. We performed a matched cohort study in all patients with muscular dystrophy or myotonic dystrophy born in Sweden 1950-2017 and 50 matched comparisons by sex, year of birth, and birth county per individual. The association with cancer overall and specific malignancies was estimated using stratified Cox proportional hazard models. We identified 2,355 and 1,968 individuals with muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy, respectively. No increased overall cancer risk was found in muscular dystrophy. However, we observed an increased risk of astrocytomas and other gliomas during childhood (hazard ratio [HR] 8.70, 95% CI 3.57-21.20) and nonthyroid endocrine cancer (HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.03-5.34) and pancreatic cancer (HR 4.33, 95% CI 1.55-12.11) in adulthood. In myotonic dystrophy, we found an increased risk of pediatric brain tumors (HR 3.23, 95% CI 1.16-9.01) and an increased overall cancer risk in adults (HR 2.26, CI 1.92.2.66), specifically brain tumors (HR 10.44, 95% CI 7.30-14.95), thyroid (HR 3.92, 95% CI 1.70-9.03), and nonthyroid endocrine cancer (HR 7.49, 95% CI 4.47-12.56), endometrial (HR 8.32, 95% CI 4.22-16.40), ovarian (HR 4.00, 95% CI 1.60-10.01), and nonmelanoma skin cancer (HR 3.27, 95% CI 1.32-8.13). Here, we analyze the cancer risk spectrum of patients with muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report of an increased risk for CNS tumors in childhood and adult nonthyroid endocrine and pancreatic cancer in muscular dystrophy. Furthermore, for myotonic dystrophy, we confirmed previously reported associations with cancer and expanded the cancer spectrum, finding an unreported increased risk for nonthyroid endocrine cancer. Additional studies confirming the cancer risk and delineating the cancer spectrum in different genetic subtypes of muscular dystrophies are warranted before considering altered cancer screening recommendations than for the general population.

Body composition derangements in lung cancer patients treated with first-line pembrolizumab: A multicentre observational study.

While immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are increasingly reshaping the therapeutic landscape of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), only a limited proportion of patients achieve a relevant and long-lasting benefit with these treatments, calling for the identification of clinical and, ideally modifiable, predictors of efficacy. Body composition phenotypes may reflect aspects of patients' immunology and thereby their ability to respond to ICIs. This study aims to explore the possible association between pre-treatment body composition phenotypes, tumour response, and clinical outcomes in patients receiving first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for advanced NSCLC. A retrospective review of consecutive patients with treatment-naïve NSCLC and PD-L1 expression ≥50% undergoing pembrolizumab at three academic institutions was performed. Pre-treatment body composition parameters were measured at the third lumbar vertebra level by computed tomography, defined using pre-established cut-offs. Primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR), secondary endpoints progression-free survival and overall survival (PFS and OS), compared through the log-rank test and the Cox proportional hazards model. Data from 134 patients (93 males [69.4%] and 41 females [30.6%]) were collected. Median age was 69years (range 36-85), with a median follow-up of 12months (range 1-131). The median body mass index (BMI) was 24.5 (IQR 21.5; 26.1) kg/m2. Overall, 59.0% and 51.5% of patients met established radiographic criteria for evidence of sarcopenia and myosteatosis, respectively, which occur across the BMI spectrum. Multivariate regression analysis, adjusted for co-morbidities, revealed that sarcopenia (aOR 5.56, 95% CI. 2.46-12.6, P<0.0001) and low intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) area (aOR 1.83, 95% CI. 1.22-2.83, P=0.001) were associated with a lower rate of ORR (30.4% vs. 70.5%, P<0.0001 and 30.7% vs. 73.2%, P<0.0001, respectively). Moreover, both in univariate and multivariate analysis, adjusted for co-morbidities, low performance status according to the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group scale (ECOG PS), sarcopenia and low IMAT were significantly related to short PFS (ECOG PS: aHR 2.73, 95% CI 1.60-4.66, P<0.0001; sarcopenia: aHR 2.24, 95% CI 1.37-3.67, P=0.001; IMAT depot: aHR 2.26, 95% 1.40-3.63, P=0.002) and OS (ECOG PS: aHR 3.44, 95% CI 1.96-6.01, P<0.0001; sarcopenia: aHR 4.68, 95% CI 2.44-8.99, P<0.0001; IMAT depot: aHR 3.18, 95% 1.72-5.88, P<0.0001). Skeletal muscle abnormalities, apparently frequent in NSCLC, potentially represent intriguing predictive markers of response to ICIs and survival outcomes. Large prospective trials are needed to validate ICIs responders' clinical biomarkers.

Long-term associations between time-varying exposure to ambient PM2.5 and mortality: an analysis of the UK Biobank.

Evidence for long-term mortality risks of PM2.5 comes mostly from large administrative studies with incomplete individual information and limited exposure definitions. Here we assess PM2.5-mortality associations in the UK Biobank cohort using detailed information on confounders and exposure. We reconstructed detailed exposure histories for 498,090 subjects by linking residential data with high-resolution PM2.5 concentrations from spatio-temporal machine learning models. We split the time-to-event data and assigned yearly exposures over a lag window of 8 years. We fitted Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying exposure controlling for contextual and individual-level factors, as well as trends. In secondary analyses, we inspected the lag structure using distributed lag models and compared results with alternative exposure sources and definitions. In fully adjusted models, an increase of 10 μg/m³ in PM2.5 was associated with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.27 (95%CI: 1.06-1.53) for all-cause, 1.24 (1.03-1.50) for non-accidental, 2.07 (1.04-4.10) for respiratory, and 1.66 (0.86-3.19) for lung cancer mortality. We found no evidence of association with cardiovascular deaths (HR=0.88, 95%CI: 0.59-1.31). We identified strong confounding by both contextual- and individual-level lifestyle factors. The distributed lag analysis suggested differences in relevant exposure windows across mortality causes. Using more informative exposure summaries and sources resulted in higher risk estimates. We found associations of long-term PM2.5 exposure with all-cause, non-accidental, respiratory, and lung cancer mortality, but not with cardiovascular mortality. This study benefits from finely reconstructed time-varying exposures and extensive control for confounding, further supporting a plausible causal link between long-term PM2.5 and mortality.

Projecting the benefit of vericiguat in PARADIGM-HF and DAPA-HF populations: Insights from the VICTORIA trial.

The VICTORIA trial demonstrated a significant reduction in the primary composite outcome of heart failure (HF) hospitalization or cardiovascular death with vericiguat relative to placebo in high-risk HF. This study aimed to contextualize treatment effects of vericiguat in populations with varying risk profiles simulated from the PARADIGM-HF and DAPA-HF trials. Subgroups of VICTORIA participants (n=5050) were generated to simulate PARADIGM-HF and DAPA-HF trial populations. The PARADIGM-HF-eligible population excluded participants not meeting left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and minimal dose criteria and those with high predicted probability of run-in failure. The DAPA-HF-eligible population excluded those not meeting LVEF and eGFR criteria or with recent (<30days) HF hospitalization. The time-to-first-event analysis was performed using an unadjusted Cox proportional hazards model. A total of 1982 (39.2%) and 2543 (50.4%) VICTORIA participants were respectively deemed eligible for PARADIGM-HF and DAPA-HF. Vericiguat was associated with numerically larger reductions in the primary outcome of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death in populations simulated from PARADIGM-HF [hazard ratio (HR) 0.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.99] and DAPA-HF (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.94) compared with the overall VICTORIA trial (HR 0.90). Significant reduction in HF hospitalization with vericiguat was also observed in the DAPA-HF-eligible population (HR 0.83, 95%CI 0.73-0.95) and with a nominal reduction in the PARADIGM-HF-eligible population (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.74-1.01). A trend towards enhanced efficacy of vericiguat in populations simulated from PARADIGM-HF and DAPA-HF was observed. These findings support further exploration of vericiguat in lower-risk HF populations as is being investigated in the ongoing VICTOR (a study of vericiguat in participants with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction) trial.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and cardiovascular events among patients with type 2 diabetes and low-to-normal body mass index: a nationwide cohort study

BackgroundPatients with low-to-normal body mass index (BMI; < 25.0 kg/m2) were underrepresented in major randomized controlled trials on sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors for type 2 diabetes. The present study aims to investigate the effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors for cardiovascular outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes and low-to-normal BMI, using finer stratification than previous trials.MethodsThis cohort study with a target trial emulation framework was conducted using insurance claims and health screening records of more than 30 million working-age citizens in Japan acquired from April 1, 2015 to March 31, 2022. 139,783 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors matched to 139,783 users of dipeptidyl protease (DPP) 4 inhibitors with stratification by BMI category (< 20.0, 20.0–22.4, 22.5–24.9, 25.0–29.9, 30.0–34.9, and 35.0 ≤ kg/m2). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure. Secondary outcomes were the components of the primary outcome. Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare SGLT2 inhibitors with DPP4 inhibitors in the whole population and subgroups defined by the BMI category.ResultsAmong participants, 17.3% (n = 48,377) were female and 31.0% (n = 86,536) had low-to-normal BMI (< 20.0 kg/m2, 1.9% [n = 5,350]; 20.0–22.4 kg/m2, 8.5% [n = 23,818]; and 22.5–24.9 kg/m2, 20.5% [n = 57,368]). Over a median follow-up of 24 months, the primary outcome occurred in 2.9% (n = 8,165) of participants. SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a decreased incidence of the primary outcome in the whole population (HR [95%CI] = 0.92 [0.89 to 0.96]), but not in patients with low-to-normal BMI (< 20.0 kg/m2, HR [95%CI] = 1.08 [0.80 to 1.46]; 20.0–22.4 kg/m2, HR [95%CI] = 1.04 [0.90 to 1.20]; and 22.5–24.9 kg/m2, HR [95%CI] = 0.92 [0.84 to 1.01]).ConclusionsThe protective effect of SGLT2 inhibitors on cardiovascular events among patients with type 2 diabetes appeared to decrease with lower BMI and was not significant among patients with low-to-normal BMI (< 25.0 kg/m2). These findings suggest the importance of considering BMI when initiating SGLT2 inhibitors.Graphical abstract