Projected Growth Rates Research Articles

Effectiveness of Vocational-Technical Training of Workers

In developed socialist society the problem of the further improvement and planned supply of the national economy with highly skilled manpower is one of the particular features in the development of a socialist economy and is an important prerequisite for the rapid growth of social production. It chiefly stems from the enormous scale of the economic and technical progress of our society, from the general orientation of economic development toward the substantial improvement in the well-being of the working people, and from the demands that are imposed on working cadres by the rapidly developing revolution in science and technology. What with the projected growth rates of labor productivity and the limited opportunity to hire additional manpower, principal emphasis should be placed on the reproduction of skilled labor power, on improving the forms and methods of training and retraining workers.

THE SUPPLY OF MEDICAL GRADUATES: A TIME OF RE-EVALUATION.

In October 1959, the report of the Surgeon General's Consultant Group on Medical Education entitled<i>Physicians for a Growing America</i>was published by the US Public Health Service (Bane Report).¹In it an attempt was made to determine the need for medical school graduates through the year 1975. Estimates were based upon the projected growth rate of the population, the death rate in the profession, the anticipated increase of medical graduates at the existing rate, and the annual number of new foreign licentiates. The assumption was made that the physician-to-population ratio should be kept constant or nearly so. The report concluded as follows: "To maintain the present physician-population ratio, the expected 1975 population of 235 million will require a total of 330,000 doctors of medicine and osteopathy. This would necessitate the annual graduation of 11,000 students, an increase of approximately 3,600 over the 1959 graduates." These figures included the