Prognostic Stratification Of Patients Research Articles

1177 The additive prognostic value of end-systolic pressure-volume relation by CMR in patients with with known or suspected coronary artery disease

Abstract Background The variation between rest and peak stress end-systolic pressure-volume relation is an afterload-independent index of left ventricular contractility. This index is easily obtained during routine stress echocardiography but can be derived also during a stress cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) exam, that is the gold standard for the quantification of biventricular volumes. Purpose The aim of this study was to assess for the first time the prognostic value ofdelta rest-stress ESPVR (DESPVR) by dipyridamole stress-CMR in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods One hundred and sixty-six consecutive patients (37 females, main age 61.96 ± 10.05 years) who underwent dipyridamole stress-CMR in a high volume CMR Laboratory were considered. Abnormal wall motion and perfusion at rest and after dipyridamole were analysed. Macroscopic myocardial fibrosis was detected by the late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) technique. The ESPVR was evaluated at rest and peak stress from raw measurement of systolic arterial pressure by cuff sphygmomanometer and end-systolic volume by biplane Simpson method. Results An abnormal stress CMR was found in 39 (23.5%) patients; 24 patients had a reversible stress perfusion defect in at least one myocardial segment and 15 a reversible stress perfusion defect plus worsening of stress wall motion in comparison with rest. Myocardial fibrosis was detected in 69 patients (41.6%). A DESPVR < 0.009 was detected in 74 patients (44.6%). During a median follow up of 55.51 months (IQ range 33.20 months), 54 patients (32.5%) experienced major cardiac events: 5 deaths, 2 ventricular arrhythmias, 18 coronary syndromes, and 29 heart failure hospitalization.Reversible perfusion deficit, DESPVR < 0.009, diabetes and family history were significant univariate prognosticators. In the multivariate analysisthe independent predictive factors were reversible perfusion deficit (hazard ratio-HR = 2.17, P = 0.010), DESPVR < 0.009 (HR = 1.92, P = 0.028) and diabetes (HR = 2.42, P = 0.004). The Kaplan–Meier curve for DESPVR is shown in Figure 1. The log-rank test revealed a significant difference (P = 0.003). Conclusions DESPRV assessed by CMR provides a prognostic stratification in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease, in addition to that supplied by reversible perfusion deficit and diabetes. Abstract 1177 Figure 1

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram to predict survival in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer receiving second-line palliative chemotherapy.

Given that a wide variation in tumor response rates and survival times suggests heterogeneity among the patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (APC) who underwent second-line (L2) chemotherapy, it is a challenge in clinical practice to identify patients who will receive the most benefit from L2 treatment. We selected 183 APC patients who received L2 palliative chemotherapy between 2010 and 2016 from a medical center as the development cohort. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the prognostic factors and construct the nomogram. An independent cohort of 166 patients from three other hospitals was selected for external validation. The nomogram was based on eight independent prognostic factors from the multivariate Cox model: sex, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, reason for first-line treatment discontinuation, duration of first-line treatment, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, tumor stage, body mass index, and serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels at the beginning of L2 treatment. The model exhibited good discrimination ability, with a C-index of 0.733 (95% confidence interval, 0.681-0.785) and 0.724 (95% confidence interval, 0.661-0.787) in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration plots of the development and validation cohorts showed optimal agreement between model prediction and actual observation in predicting survival probability at 6months, 1year, and 2years. This study developed and externally validated a prognostic model that accurately predicts the survival outcome of APC patients before L2 palliative chemotherapy, which could assist in clinical decision-making, counseling for treatment, and most importantly, prognostic stratification of patients.

Mutational Characteristics and Changing Pattern from Idiopathic Cytopenia of Undetermined Significance to High-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome Stratified By IPSS-R

Background: Unexplained cytopenia comprises a spectrum of hematological diseases from idiopathic cytopenia of undetermined significance (ICUS) to myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) is the standard tool to assess risk in MDS. Here, we investigated the occurrence, characteristics, and changing pattern of mutations in patients with ICUS and MDS stratified by IPSS-R score. Methods: A total of 211 patients were enrolled: 73 with ICUS and 138 with MDS. We analyzed the sequencing data of a targeted gene panel assay covering 141 genes using the MiSeqDx platform (Illumina). The lower limit of variant allele frequency (VAF) was set to 2.0% of mutant allele reads. Bone marrow components were assessed for the revised diagnosis according to the 2016 WHO classification. Lower-risk (LR) MDS was defined as those cases with very low- or low-risk MDS according to the IPSS-R. Higher-risk (HR) MDS was defined as those cases with high- or very high-risk MDS according to the IPSS-R. Results: Patients with ICUS were classified as very low-risk (39.7%), low-risk (54.8%), and intermediate-risk (5.5%) according to the IPSS-R. Patients with MDS were classified as LR (35.5%), intermediate-risk (30.4%), and HR (34.1%). In the ICUS, 28 (38.4%) patients carried at least one mutation in the recurrently mutated genes in MDS (MDS mutation). The most commonly mutated genes were DNMT3A (11.0%), followed by TET2 (9.6%), BCOR (4.1%), and U2AF1, SRSF2, IDH1 and ETV6 (2.7% for each). IPSS-R classification was not associated with mutational VAF and the number of mutations in ICUS. In the 49 LR MDS, 28 (57.1%) patients carried at least one MDS mutation. The most commonly mutated genes were SF3B1 (20.4%), followed by TET2 (12.2%), U2AF1 (10.2%), DNMT3A (10.2%), ASXL1 (10.2%), and BCOR (6.1%). Higher VAF and number of mutations were observed in LR MDS compared to ICUS patients. In the 42 intermediate-risk MDS, 27 (64.3%) patients carried at least one MDS mutation. The most commonly mutated genes were ASXL1 (23.8%), followed by TET2 (21.4%), RUNX1 (16.7%), U2AF1 (14.3%), DNMT3A (14.3%), SF3B1 (9.5%), and SRSF2, BCOR, STAG2 and CBL (7.1% for each). In the 47 HR MDS, 36 (76.6%) patients carried at least one MDS mutation. The most commonly mutated genes were TET2 (25.5%), followed by DNMT3A (14.9%), TP53 (14.9%), RUNX1 (12.8%), U2AF1 (10.6%), ASXL1 (10.6%), and SRSF2 and KRAS (6.4% for each). As the disease progressed, VAF and number of the MDS mutations gradually increased, and mutations involving RNA splicing, histone modification, transcription factor or p53 pathway had a trend for increasing frequency. Specifically, ASXL1, TP53, and RUNX1 mutations were the most striking features in patients with advanced stage of the disease. Cohesin mutations were not detected in ICUS, whereas these mutations were detected at a relatively high frequency in HR MDS. Our data were summarized in Table 1. Conclusions: We demonstrate that on disease progression, MDS mutations are increased in number as well as are expanded in size. Furthermore, a subset of mutations tends to be enriched for intermediate- to HR MDS. The results of this study can aid both diagnostic and prognostic stratification in patients with unexpected cytopenia. In particular, characterization of MDS mutations can be useful in refining bone marrow diagnosis in challenging situations such as distinguishing LR MDS from ICUS. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Prognosis of the 8th TNM Staging System for Penile Cancer and Refinement of Prognostication by Incorporating High Risk Human Papillomavirus Status.

We evaluated the prognostic value of the 8th TNM staging system and assessed a modified N stage incorporating high risk human papillomavirus status in a multicenter cohort. Included in analysis were 292 patients with M0 penile squamous cell carcinoma from a total of 6 referral centers. High risk human papillomavirus status was examined. The Chinese multicenter cohort of 230 patients was used to validate the 8th TNM staging system and propose a modified N classification. The modified classification was further validated in an independent cohort of 62 patients at Moffitt Cancer Center. Median followup was 48.9 months. Of the patients 42% had node positive disease. In the primary cohort the 8th TNM staging system achieved better discriminative ability compared with the 7th edition (C-index 0.769 vs 0.751, p=0.029). The 8th N category better stratified survival between pN1 and pN2 (p <0.001) and reclassified 15% of node positive cases into pN1 with 64% 5-year overall survival. High risk human papillomavirus status further stratified pN2-3 disease (p=0.040) and pN2-3 high risk human papillomavirus negative status was associated with 32% 5-year survival. The newly proposed 3-tier classification (1-pN1, 2-pN2-3 high risk human papillomavirus positive and 3-pN2-3 high risk human papillomavirus negative) significantly increased the C-index from 0.620 to 0.666 compared with the 8th N classification of pN1 and pN2-3 (p=0.04). In the external validation cohort significantly improved results were observed using the modified N classification (C-index 0.567-0.641, p=0.027). The 8th edition of the AJCC (American Joint Committee on Cancer) Staging System for penile cancer showed better discriminative ability for prognostic stratification. Adding high risk human papillomavirus status further improved the prognostic stratification in patients with node positive disease.

Combining pretreatment plasma Epstein‐Barr virus DNA level and cervical node necrosis improves prognostic stratification in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A cohort study

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of combining pretreatment Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA level and cervical node necrosis (CNN) for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving intensity‐modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). A total of 607 incident nonmetastatic NPC patients treated with IMRT ± chemotherapy were reviewed. Patients were divided into four groups based on EBV DNA level and CNN status. The primary endpoint was progression‐free survival (PFS). Kaplan‐Meier curves with log‐rank test were applied to compare survival outcomes and the Cox proportional model was used to identify independent prognostic factors. Pretreatment EBV DNA level and CNN status were independent prognostic factors. Patients in the low‐level EBV DNA group or non‐CNN group had significantly better 5‐year PFS. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that CNN was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.927, 95% CI: 1.129‐3.290, P = .016), PFS (HR = 1.492, 95% CI: 1.005‐2.214, P = .047), distant metastasis‐free survival (DMFS) (HR = 1.661, 95% CI: 1.044‐2.644, P = .032), but not locoregional relapse‐free survival. EBV DNA levels correlated significantly with CNN with a correlation coefficient of .324 (P < .001). Compared with low‐level EBV DNA and non‐CNN grouping, high‐level EBV DNA and CNN grouping had poor PFS. The combined classification was an independent prognostic factor for OS (P < .001), PFS (P = .001), and DMFS (P = .018). Pretreatment plasma EBV DNA level and CNN status both closely correlated with prognosis of NPC patients in the IMRT era. Combined EBV DNA level and CNN status improves risk stratification and prognostic value.

Incidence and predictors of new onset left ventricular diastolic dysfunction in asymptomatic patients with rheumatoid arthritis without overt cardiac disease.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is associated with higher risk of heart failure. Several studies report that left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (LVDD), a silent precursor of heart failure, is widely present in RA patients. Very little is known about the factors related to the development of LVDD in this disease. In this study we assessed the incidence and the predictors of new-onset LVDD in RA patients. Two-hundred-ninety-five adults with RA without overt cardiac disease were prospectively analyzed from March 2014 to March 2015 by Doppler echocardiography. Among the 295 subjects evaluated, 217 (73.6%) had normal LV diastolic function and represented the final study population. At 1-year follow-up, 53 of 217 patients (24%) developed LVDD, which was of degree I (mild dysfunction) in all of them. By multivariate logistic regression analysis, lower E/A ratio of transmitral flow (ratio between the peak velocity of early diastolic "E" wave and late diastolic "A" wave of transmitral flow) was independently associated with new-onset LVDD [OR 0.17 (CI 0.09-0.57)], together with older age and higher systolic blood pressure. In a clinical predictive model derived from multivariate analysis, the new-onset LVDD rate event ranged from 0% (patients without any factor) to 75% (patients in whom the three predictors coexisted). A significant portion of patients with RA without overt cardiac disease develop LVDD at 1-year follow-up. This condition can be predicted by a simple clinical model which could improve the clinical management and the prognostic stratification of patients with RA.

A combined analysis of maximum standardized uptake value on FDG-PET, genetic markers, and clinicopathological risk factors in the prognostic stratification of patients with resected oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma.

Clinical outcomes of patients with resected oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC) chiefly depend on the presence of specific clinicopathological risk factors (RFs). Here, we performed a combined analysis of FDG-PET, genetic markers, and clinicopathological RFs in an effort to improve prognostic stratification. We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 2036 consecutive patients with first primary OCSCC who underwent surgery between 1996 and 2016. Of them, 345 underwent ultra-deep targeted sequencing (UDTS, between 1996 and 2011) and 168 whole exome sequencing (WES, between 2007 and 2016). Preoperative FDG-PET imaging was performed in 1135 patients from 2001 to 2016. Complete data on FDG-PET, genetic markers, and clinicopathological RFs were available for 327 patients. Using log-ranked tests based on 5-year disease-free survival (DFS), the optimal cutoff points for maximum standardized uptake values (SUV-max) of the primary tumor and neck metastatic nodes were 22.8 and 9.7, respectively. The 5-year DFS rates were as follows: SUVtumor-max ≥ 22.8 or SUVnodal-max ≥ 9.7 (n = 77) versus SUVtumor-max < 22.8 and SUVnodal-max < 9.7 (n = 250), 32%/62%, P < 0.001; positive UDTS or WES gene panel (n = 64) versus negative (n = 263), 25%/62%, P < 0.001; pN3b (n = 165) versus pN1-2 (n = 162), 42%/68%, P < 0.001. On multivariate analyses, SUVtumor-max ≥ 22.8 or SUVnodal-max ≥ 9.7, a positive UDTS/WES gene panel, and pN3b disease were identified as independent prognosticators for 5-year outcomes. Based on these variables, we devised a scoring system that identified four distinct prognostic groups. The 5-year rates for patients with a score from 0 to 3 were as follows: loco-regional control, 80%/67%/47%/24% (P < 0.001); distant metastases, 13%/23%/55%/92% (P < 0.001); DFS, 74%/58%/28%/7% (P < 0.001); and disease-specific survival, 80%/64%/35%/7% (P < 0.001) respectively. The combined assessment of tumor and nodal SUV-max, genetic markers, and pathological node status may refine the prognostic stratification of OCSCC patients.

Outcomes and prognostic stratification of patients with recurrent glioblastoma treated with salvage stereotactic radiosurgery.

Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most malignant form of astrocytoma. The average survival is 6-10 months in patients with recurrent GBM (rGBM). In this study, the authors evaluated the role of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) in patients with rGBMs. The authors performed a retrospective review of their brain tumor database (1997-2016). Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) after salvage SRS were the primary endpoints evaluated. Response to SRS was assessed using volumetric MR images. Fifty-three patients with rGBM underwent salvage SRS targeting 75 lesions. The median tumor diameter and volume were 2.55 cm and 3.80 cm3, respectively. The median prescription dose was 18 Gy (range 12-24 Gy) and the homogeneity index was 1.90 (range 1.11-2.02). The median OS after salvage SRS was estimated to be 11.0 months (95% CI 7.1-12.2) and the median PFS after salvage SRS was 4.4 months (95% CI 3.7-5.0). A Karnofsky Performance Scale score ≥ 80 was independently associated with longer OS, while small tumor volume (< 15 cm3) and less homogeneous treatment plans (homogeneity index > 1.75) were both independently associated with longer OS (p = 0.007 and 0.03) and PFS (p = 0.01 and 0.002, respectively). Based on these factors, 2 prognostic groups were identified for PFS (5.4 vs 3.2 months), while 3 were identified for OS (median OS of 15.2 vs 10.5 vs 5.2 months). SRS is associated with longer OS and/or PFS in patients with good performance status, small-volume tumor recurrences, and heterogeneous treatment plans. The authors propose a prognostic model to identify a cohort of rGBM patients who may benefit from SRS.

Combining the radiomic features and traditional parameters of 18F-FDG PET with clinical profiles to improve prognostic stratification in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery.

To investigate the role of the traditional and radiomic parameters of 18F-FDG PET for predicting the outcomes of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SqCC). Forty-four patients with primary esophageal SqCC who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) followed by esophagectomy (tri-modality treatment) were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT before and after neoadjuvant CCRT. The radiomic features were calculated using the pre-treatment PET scan. Pre-treatment radiomic features and changes in the PET-derived traditional parameters after neoadjuvant CCRT were analyzed according to the pathological response to esophagectomy, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). We further developed a scoring system based on the independent survival prognosticators and compared our model to the traditional TNM staging system and surgical pathology. A pre-treatment primary tumor histogram entropy ≥ 3.69 predicts an unfavorable response to neoadjuvant CCRT (OR = 19.25, p = 0.009). An SUVmax reduction ratio ≤ 0.76, a pre-treatment primary tumor code similarity ≤ 0.0235, and incomplete pathological remission were independently associated with poor OS (p = 0.019, 0.033, and 0.038, respectively) and DFS (p = 0.049, 0.021, and 0.009, respectively). The three survival prognosticators were used to construct a scoring system (score 0-1, 2, and 3). Patients with a score of 2 or 3 had a significantly worse survival outcome than those with a score of 0-1 (HRs for OS: 3.58 for score 2, and 15.19 for score 3, p < 0.001; HRs for DFS: 1.39 for score 2 and 6.04 for score 3, p = 0.001).This survival prediction model was superior to the traditional TNM staging system (p < 0.001 versus p = 0.061 for OS, and p = 0.001 versus p = 0.027 for DFS) and the model based on surgical pathology (p < 0.001 versus p = 0.049 for OS, and p = 0.001 versus p = 0.022 for DFS). The 18F-FDG PET-derived radiomic parameter is useful for predicting the surgical pathological response in patients with esophageal SqCC treated with the tri-modality method. Using a combination of traditional and radiomic PET parameters with clinical profiles enables better stratification of patients into subgroups with various survival rates.

SOFA Score prognostic performance among patients admitted to High-Dependency Units.

The aim of this study was to assess prognostic stratification in patients admitted in two Italian Emergency-Department High-Dependency Units (ED-HDU). From June 2014, to July 2016, we recorded all patients admitted in the ED-HDU of the Careggi University Hospital and the Vittorio Emanuele University Hospital in a standardized database. Charlson Index and SOFA Score were calculated to evaluate comorbidity burden and severity of organ dysfunction. End-points were HDU and in-hospital mortality rate and need of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) transfer. The overall number of patients admitted in the two Units was 3311, 1822 in Florence and 1489 in Catania. HDU mortality rate was 5% (N.=171); compared with survivors, non-survivors showed a higher SOFA Score (10.0±4.2 vs. 3.5±2.9, P<0.001) and a higher number of organ dysfunctions (1.6±0.9 vs. 0.6±0.8, P<0.001). All patients with a SOFA Score in the first and second quartile survived HDU admission (only two non-survivors among patients in the second quartile), while mortality was disproportionally high in the group with a score value in the fourth quartile (0%, 0.2%, 3% and 14%, P<0.001). Presence and number of organ failure, as well as SOFA Score (5.6±4.0 vs. 3.4±2.8, P<0.001), were significantly higher in patients transferred to ICU than in those admitted in an ordinary ward or discharged. A higher SOFA Score (RR 1.55, 95% CI: 1.47-1.63, P<0.001) was associated with an increased HDU mortality, independent of age and Charlson Index. SOFA Score showed a good discrimination ability for both HDU - mortality and indication to increase the level of care.

A 17 gene panel for non-small-cell lung cancer prognosis identified through integrative epigenomic-transcriptomic analyses of hypoxia-induced epithelial-mesenchymal transition.

As a critical feature of the tumor microenvironment, hypoxia is known to be a potent inducer of tumor metastasis, and it has been proposed that the initial steps in metastasis involve epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT). The strong correlation among hypoxia, EMT, and metastasis suggests that integrative assessment of gene expression and the DNA modification program of hypoxia‐induced EMT via high‐throughput sequencing technologies may increase our understanding of the molecular basis of tumor invasion and metastasis. Here, we present the genomewide transcriptional and epigenetic profiles of non‐small‐cell lung cancer (NSCLC) cells under normoxic and hypoxic conditions. We demonstrate that hypoxia induces EMT along with dynamic alterations of transcriptional expression and epigenetic modifications in both A549 and HCC827 cells. After training using a dataset from patients with invasive and noninvasive lung adenocarcinomas with an artificial neural network algorithm, a characteristic 17‐gene panel was identified, consisting of genes involved in EMT, hypoxia response, glycometabolism, and epigenetic modifications. This 17‐gene signature clearly stratified NSCLC patients with significant differences in overall survival across three independent datasets. Our study may be suitable as a basis for further selection of gene signatures to potentially guide prognostic stratification in patients with NSCLC.

Prognostic Implications of Plaque Characteristics and Stenosis Severity in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease

BackgroundAlthough the presence of ischemia is a key prognostic factor in patients with coronary artery disease, the presence of high-risk plaque characteristics (HRPC) is also associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events. Limited data exist regarding the prognostic implications of combined information on physiological stenosis severity assessed by fractional flow reserve (FFR) and plaque vulnerability by coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA)–defined HRPC. ObjectivesThe current study aimed to evaluate the: 1) association between physiological stenosis severity and coronary CTA-defined HRPC; and 2) prognostic implications of coronary CTA-defined HRPC according to physiological stenosis severity in patients with coronary artery disease. MethodsA total of 772 vessels (299 patients) evaluated by both coronary CTA and FFR were analyzed. The presence and number of HRPC (minimum lumen area <4 mm2, plaque burden ≥70%, low attenuating plaque, positive remodeling, napkin-ring sign, or spotty calcification) were assessed using coronary CTA images. The risk of vessel-oriented composite outcome (VOCO) (a composite of vessel-related ischemia-driven revascularization, vessel-related myocardial infarction, or cardiac death) at 5 years was compared according to the number of HRPC and FFR categories. ResultsThe proportion of lesions with ≥3 HRPC was significantly decreased according to the increase in FFR values (58.6%, 46.5%, 36.8%, 15.7%, and 3.5% for FFR ≤0.60, 0.61 to ≤0.70, 0.71 to ≤0.80, 0.81 to ≤0.90, and >0.90, respectively; overall p value <0.001). Both FFR and number of HRPC showed significant association with the estimated risk of VOCO (p = 0.008 and p = 0.023, respectively). In the FFR >0.80 group, lesions with ≥3 HRPC showed significantly higher risk of VOCO than those with <3 HRPC (15.0% vs. 4.3%; hazard ratio: 3.964; 95% confidence interval: 1.451 to 10.828; p = 0.007). However, there was no significant difference in the risk of VOCO according to HRPC in the FFR ≤0.80 group. By multivariable analysis, the presence of ≥3 HRPC was independently associated with the risk of VOCO in the FFR >0.80 group. ConclusionsPhysiological stenosis severity and the number of HRPC were closely related, and both components had significant association with the risk of clinical events. However, the prognostic implication of HRPC was different according to FFR. Integration of both physiological stenosis severity and plaque vulnerability would provide better prognostic stratification of patients than either individual component alone, especially in patients with FFR >0.80. (Clinical Implication of 3-vessel Fractional Flow Reserve [3V FFR-FRIENDS study]; NCT01621438)

Dual quantitative coronary angiography accurately quantifies intracoronary thrombotic burden in patients with acute coronary syndrome: Comparison with optical coherence tomography imaging

BackgroundDual quantitative coronary angiography (QCA) has been recently tested for assessment of intracoronary thrombus volume in experimental models. The present study aimed to validate dual QCA in vivo for the assessment of thrombus burden by exploring the correlations between dual QCA-thrombus volume and optical coherence tomography (OCT)-derived indices of thrombotic burden. Methods and resultsFifty-one patients with ACS and angiographic evidence of thrombus undergoing OCT of the culprit lesion before stenting were included. Dual QCA-thrombus volume was calculated as difference between edge-detection and video-densitometry area functions along the target segment. Culprit lesion was categorized using the Ambrose's and AHA/ACC angiographic classifications. Thrombus volume (mean thrombus area × thrombus length), thrombus burden [(mean thrombus area/mean lumen area) x100] and Prati thrombus score (number of quadrants with thrombus) were measured by OCT, and the presence of plaque rupture (PR) or intact fibrous cap (IFC) was assessed. Dual QCA-thrombus volume correlated significantly with OCT-thrombus volume (R = 0.791), thrombus burden (R = 0.767) and Prati thrombus score (R = 0.600) (all p < 0.001). Dual-QCA thrombus volume was significantly higher in patients with PR compared with those with IFC (3.48 mm3 [1.45–11.26] vs. 1.69 mm3 [0.09–5.02], p = 0.013). Compared with IFC, PR showed higher prevalence of eccentric type II Ambrose lesion (41.7% vs. 7.4%, p = 0.004), complex B2/C lesion (87.5% vs. 55.6%, p = 0.012), and heavy calcification (29.2% vs. 3.7%, p = 0.013). ConclusionsDual QCA analysis appears to be a promising tool for quantification of intracoronary thrombus in vivo. This novel methodology may be useful to guide intracoronary thrombus removal during percutaneous coronary intervention and to aid prognostic stratification in patients with ACS.

Prognostic significance of p16 immunohistochemical expression in urothelial carcinoma

Backgroundp16 is the protein product of most commonly involved gene in bladder carcinogenesis. Therefore, we performed an immunohistochemical study to evaluate association of p16 overexpression with prognostic parameters in bladder cancer.Methodsp16 immunohistochemistry was performed on 121 cases of bladder cancer and association with tumor grade, lamina propria invasion, muscularis propria invasion and survival status was noted.ResultsLow expression of p16 was noted in 86% (104 cases), whereas 14% (17 cases) revealed high p16 expression. We found significant association of p16 expression with tumor grade (p = 0.000), muscularis propria invasion (p = 0.001), lamina propria invasion (p = 0.001) and survival status (p = 0.020). Univariate binary logistics showed that low grade tumors were less likely to express high p16 expression as compared to high grade tumors. Similarly, patients with lamina propria and muscularis propria invasion were more likely to exhibit high p16 expression. Significant association of high p16 expression was noted with worse long term survival (p = 0.020), while univariate logistic regression showed that patients with low p16 expression were at low risk (HR = 0.194) to die of disease as compared to patients with high p16 expression.Conclusionp16 is an important biomarker in bladder cancer as it can be used for prognostic stratification of patients with bladder cancer. Moreover, we suggest that molecular studies should be performed in our population in order to correlate abnormal p16 expression with underlying gene mutations.

Metabolomics Discloses a New Non-invasive Method for the Diagnosis and Prognosis of Patients with Alcoholic Hepatitis

Introduction and aims. Alcoholic hepatitis is the most severe manifestation of alcoholic liver disease. Unfortunately, there are still some unresolved issues in the diagnosis and management of this disease, such as the need of histological diagnosis, an accurate prognostic stratification, and the development of novel targeted therapies. The present study aimed at addressing these issues by means of metabolomics, a novel high-throughput approach useful in other liver diseases.Material and methods. 64 patients with biopsy-proven alcoholic hepatitis were included and compared with 26 patients with decompensated alcoholic cirrhosis without superimposed alcoholic hepatitis, which was ruled out by liver biopsy.Results. The comparison of the metabolic profiles of patients with alcoholic hepatitis and decompensated cirrhosis showed marked differences between both groups. Importantly, metabolic differences were found among alcoholic hepatitis patients when subjects were stratified according to 90-day survival. Based on these findings, two non-invasive signatures were developed. The first one allowed an accurate non-invasive diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis (AUROC 0.932; 95% CI 0.901-0.963). The second signature showed a good performance in the prognostic stratification of patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AUROC 0.963; 95% CI 0.895-1.000).Conclusions. Signatures based on metabolomics allowed an accurate non-invasive diagnosis and prognostic stratification of alcoholic hepatitis. The differences observed in the metabolic profile of the patients according to the presence and severity of alcoholic hepatitis are related with different mechanisms involved in the pathophysiology of alcoholic hepatitis such as peroxisomal activity, synthesis of inflammatory mediators or oxidation. This information could be useful for the development of novel targeted therapies.

Comparison of 18F FDG PET-CT AND CECT in pretreatment staging of adults with Hodgkin’s lymphoma

We compared 2-[fluorine-18] fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose PET-CT and contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) in 62 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed Hodgkin Lymphoma (HL), aiming to provide evidences that may spare CECT from the staging procedures of HL patients.Among a total of 1448 nodal sites examined, disease involvement was detected in 232 (16%) and 280 (19.3%) nodal areas by CECT and PET-CT, respectively (P < 0.01). Sensitivity of CECT in detecting disease involvement ranged from 0% for internal mammary region (7 cases) and Waldayer’s ring (1 case) to 100% for mediastinum.A total of 248 extranodal areas were examined. CECT and PET-CT identified disease involvement in 19 (7.7%) and 25 (10.1%) extranodal areas, respectively (P = n.s). Compared to PET-CT, CECT detected a lower number of cases with bone and/or bone marrow involvement (P = 0.05), whereas no differences were detected at the level of lung. By contrast, CECT identified liver lesions in four patients versus three identified by PET-CT.In comparison to CECT, PET-CT upstaged 6 patients (9.7%) and downstaged 1 patient (1.6%).We showed that PET-CT modified treatment strategy in five (8.1%) cases not only as a result of stage advancement (2 cases) but also of a different prognostic stratification in patients with localized disease (3 cases), due to the better sensitivity in detecting nodal involvement.In conclusion, our data, confirm the superiority of PET-CT in detecting disease involvement at diagnosis of HL, and further supports the possibility to replace CECT with PET-CT in the initial staging of HL.

Value of ejection fraction/velocity ratio in the prognostic stratification of patients with asymptomatic aortic valve stenosis

The ejection fraction/velocity ratio (EFVR) is a simple function-corrected index of aortic stenosis severity with a good correlation with aortic valve area measured using the Gorlin formula at cardiac catheterization. It is calculated by dividing left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) to 4×(peak jet velocity)2 . Our aim was to evaluate the value of EFVR in predicting adverse events in patients with asymptomatic aortic stenosis. We analyzed the clinical and echocardiographic data of 216 asymptomatic patients with at least moderate aortic stenosis (AVA≤1.5cm2 ). The primary end-point was cardiovascular death or aortic valve replacement. There were 119 (55%) men and mean age was 68±10years. The mean follow-up time was 4.2±1.6years (median 4.3years). During follow-up, the composite end-point of death or aortic valve replacement was reached in 105 patients (49%). Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, EFVR and valvulo-arterial impedance emerged as independent variables associated with outcome (P<0.001 and P=0.001, respectively). In the subgroup of patients with severe aortic stenosis (AVA<1cm2 ), EFVR≤0.9 was associated with an increased hazard ratio for the composite end-point of mortality and aortic valve replacement (HR 2.14, 95% CI: 1.15-4.0, P=0.017), even after adjusting for aortic valve area. In patients with asymptomatic moderate to severe aortic stenosis, EFVR is useful for risk stratification. Our results suggest that incorporating EFVR in the evaluation of patients with asymptomatic aortic stenosis might help identify those who are most likely to benefit from early elective aortic replacement.

Significance of plasmaMACC1 levels on the prognostic stratification in patients with colorectal cancer.

The clinical significance of metastasis‐associated in colon cancer‐1 (MACC1) has been investigated but the relevance of peripheral MACC1 levels was rather limited. Herein, our data revealed that plasma MACC1 levels in 117 colorectal cancer patients (CRC) were dramatically higher than that in normal controls (P < 0.001), and with a strong discrimination power between the two groups (AUC = 0.960, P < 0.001). Moreover, MACC1 is an independent prognostic factor for CRC patients. When clinical parameters stratified by MACC1low and MACC1high, MACC1 levels exhibited further significant predictive value. Summary, plasma MACC1 levels could be a useful prognostic and diagnostic biomarker, and could improve the prognostic value of traditional prognosticators for colorectal cancer patients.

PIGU overexpression adds value to TNM staging in the prognostic stratification of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Phosphatidylinositol glycan anchor biosynthesis class U (PIGU), which is a critical subunit of the glycosylphosphatidylinositol transamidase (GPI-T) complex, has been reported to be an oncogene in bladder cancer. However, the expression and prognostic significance of PIGU in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unclear. In this study, we conducted bioinformatics, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, and immunohistochemistry analysis to investigate the expression profile of GPI-T subunits in HCC tissues, finding that PIGU was the most significantly overexpressed GPI-T subunit in HCC tissues at both the RNA and protein levels. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression models, we then comprehensively explored the prognostic impact of overexpressed PIGU in HCC patients in 2 independent HCC cohorts, and the results showed that overexpressed PIGU was an independent predictor for poor survival in HCC patients. Furthermore, based on the constructed nomogram, we proposed a risk score combining PIGU expression with the standard TNM staging system and provided a more powerful tool for the prognostic stratification of HCC patients. We also investigated the potential functional role of PIGU in HCC by performing bioinformatic analysis, indicating that PIGU might be involved in cell cycle-related biological processes in HCC. In conclusion, our findings suggest that PIGU overexpression provides independent and complementary prognostic information in HCC patients and that incorporation of this information with the traditional TNM staging system can improve prognostic stratification.

P3752Echocardiographic prognostic stratification of patients with end-stage heart failure: the PROBE score

P3752Echocardiographic prognostic stratification of patients with end-stage heart failure: the PROBE score