Abstract Background Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) has been well established as a predictor of morbidity and mortality in heart failure patients (HF). Meta-analyses have confirmed that right ventricular systolic dysfunction (RVSD) identified by cardiac MR predicts adverse outcomes in HF patients. However, the cut-point and predictive value of right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) in Asian patients remain unknown. Objectives To evaluate the RVEF cut-point for RVSD and demonstrate the association between RVSD by cardiac MR and a composite endpoint consisting of HF hospitalisation and/or all-cause mortality in HFrEF patients (LVEF ≤40%). Materials & Methods A retrospective chart review of 370 consecutive HFrEF patients who underwent cardiac MR between 01 June 2009 and 31 December 2013 was done. The primary outcome was defined as all-cause mortality and/or HF hospitalisation. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis was done to explore the most accurate RVEF as a cut-point for RVSD. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was calculated. Results Patients were followed for a total of 1,989 patient-years with an average of 5.4 ± 2.9 years. The primary outcome occurred in 112 patients (30.3%). ROC analysis demonstrated that RVEF <48% provided the most accurate prognostic value (specificity 52%, sensitivity 70%) with an area under the curve of 0.62 (95% CI 0.55 – 0.69). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that RVSD was a significant independent risk factor (hazard ratio 1.71; 95% CI 1.10 – 2.66; p=0.018) for the primary outcome, in addition to age (p<0.001), New York Heart Association functional class (p<0.001), and diabetes mellitus (p=0.014), regardless of LVEF. Conclusions In Asian HFrEF patients, RVSD defined by RVEF <48% by cardiac MR can predict adverse events and provide a prognostic parameter for risk stratification.
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