Prognostic Model Research Articles

Salutogenic outcomes and their personality predictors in participants of year-long Antarctic expeditions

Prolonged stays in extreme living and working conditions at Antarctic stations can result in both negative psychological manifestations and possible positive, salutogenic effects. The aim of this study was to check an assumption about existing salutogenic outcomes and their personality predictors in expeditioners who participated in year-long expeditions. We examined 62 expeditioners who participated in expeditions to the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station between 1996 and 2021, including 59 men and three women aged 27 to 68 years. We used the Posttraumatic Growth Inventory—Expanded, the General Self-Efficacy Scale, the Eysenck Personality Questionnaire, the Sixteen Personality Factor Questionnaire and the Professional Hardiness Questionnaire. The majority of expeditioners (55–71%, on various grounds) recorded personal growth following Antarctic deployment, at a level from moderate to high. Based on personality characteristics diagnosed in the abovementioned questionnaires, we created an informative prognostic model explaining 30–45% of the variation in several indicators of expeditioners’ post-expedition growth. The most important predictors of expeditioners’ post-expedition growth were indicators of professional hardiness. Our findings provide additional opportunities to improve psychological evaluation and training for Antarctic expedition personnel.

The prognostic value of prognostic nutritional index and renal function indicators for mortality prediction in severe COVID-19 elderly patients: A retrospective study.

Identifying prognostic factors in elderly patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is crucial for clinical management. Recent evidence suggests malnutrition and renal dysfunction are associated with poor outcome. This study aimed to develop a prognostic model incorporating prognostic nutritional index (PNI), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and other parameters to predict mortality risk. This retrospective analysis included 155 elderly patients with severe COVID-19. Clinical data and outcomes were collected. Logistic regression analyzed independent mortality predictors. A joint predictor "L" incorporating PNI, eGFR, D-dimer, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) was developed and internally validated using bootstrapping. Decreased PNI (OR = 1.103, 95% CI: 0.78-1.169), decreased eGFR (OR = 0.964, 95% CI: 0.937-0.992), elevated D-dimer (OR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000-1.004), and LDH (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.001-1.008) were independent mortality risk factors (all P < .05). The joint predictor "L" showed good discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.863) and calibration. The bootstrapped area under the curve was 0.858, confirming model stability. A combination of PNI, eGFR, D-dimer, and LDH provides useful prognostic information to identify elderly patients with severe COVID-19 at highest mortality risk for early intervention. Further external validation is warranted.

Integrated analysis reveals critical cisplatin-resistance regulators E2F7 contributed to tumor progression and metastasis in lung adenocarcinoma

BackgroundDrug resistance poses a significant challenge in cancer treatment, particularly as a leading cause of therapy failure. Cisplatin, the primary drug for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) chemotherapy, shows effective treatment outcomes. However, the development of resistance against cisplatin is a major obstacle. Therefore, identifying genes resistant to cisplatin and adopting personalized treatment could significantly improve patient outcomes.MethodsBy examining transcriptome data of cisplatin-resistant LUAD cells from the GEO database, 181 genes associated with cisplatin resistance were identified. Using univariate regression analysis, random forest and multivariate regression analyses, two prognostic genes, E2F7 and FAM83A, were identified. This study developed a prognostic model utilizing E2F7 and FAM83A as key indicators. The Cell Counting Kit 8 assay, Transwell assay, and flow cytometry were used to detect the effects of E2F7 on the proliferation, migration, invasiveness and apoptosis of A549/PC9 cells. Western blotting was used to determine the effect of E2F7 on AKT/mTOR signaling pathway.ResultsThis study has pinpointed two crucial genes associated with cisplatin resistance, E2F7 and FAM83A, and developed a comprehensive model to assist in the diagnosis, prognosis, and evaluation of relapse risk in LUAD. Analysis revealed that patients at higher risk, according to these genetic markers, had elevated levels of immune checkpoints (PD-L1 and PD-L2). The prognostic and diagnosis values of E2F7 and FAM83A were further confirmed in clinical data. Furthermore, inhibiting E2F7 in lung cancer cells markedly reduced their proliferation, migration, invasion, and increased apoptosis. In vivo experiments corroborated these findings, showing reduced tumor growth and lung metastasis upon E2F7 suppression in lung cancer models.ConclusionOur study affirms the prognostic value of a model based on two DEGs, offering a reliable method for predicting the success of tumor immunotherapy in patients with LUAD. The diagnostic and predictive model based on these genes demonstrates excellent performance. In vitro, reducing E2F7 levels shows antitumor effects by blocking LUAD growth and progression. Further investigation into the molecular mechanisms has highlighted E2F7’s effect on the AKT/mTOR signaling pathway, underscoring its therapeutic potential. In the era of personalized medicine, this DEG-based model promises to guide clinical practice.

Random forest predictive modeling of prolonged hospital length of stay in elderly hip fracture patients.

In elderly individuals suffering from hip fractures, a prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS) not only heightens the probability of patient complications but also amplifies mortality risks. Yet, most elderly hip fracture patients present compromised baseline health conditions. Additionally, PLOS leads to increased expenses for patient treatment and care, while also diminishing hospital turnover rates. This, in turn, jeopardizes the prompt allocation of beds for urgent cases. A retrospective study was carried out from October 2021 to November 2023 on 360 elderly hip fracture patients who underwent surgical treatment at West China Hospital. The 75th percentile of the total patient cohort's hospital stay duration, which was 12 days, was used to define prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS). The cohort was divided into training and testing datasets with a 70:30 split. A predictive model was developed using the random forest algorithm, and its performance was validated and compared with the Lasso regression model. Out of 360 patients, 103 (28.61%) experienced PLOS. A Random Forest classification model was developed using the training dataset, identifying 10 essential variables. The Random Forest model achieved perfect performance in the training set, with an area under the curve (AUC), balanced accuracy, Kappa value, and F1 score of 1.000. In the testing set, the model's performance was assessed with an AUC of 0.846, balanced accuracy of 0.7294, Kappa value of 0.4325, and F1 score of 0.6061. This study aims to develop a prognostic model for predicting delayed discharge in elderly patients with hip fractures, thereby improving the accuracy of predicting PLOS in this population. By utilizing machine learning models, clinicians can optimize the allocation of medical resources and devise effective rehabilitation strategies for geriatric hip fracture patients. Additionally, this method can potentially improve hospital bed turnover rates, providing latent benefits for the healthcare system.

Evaluating the predictive value of angiogenesis-related genes for prognosis and immunotherapy response in prostate adenocarcinoma using machine learning and experimental approaches.

Angiogenesis, the process of forming new blood vessels from pre-existing ones, plays a crucial role in the development and advancement of cancer. Although blocking angiogenesis has shown success in treating different types of solid tumors, its relevance in prostate adenocarcinoma (PRAD) has not been thoroughly investigated. This study utilized the WGCNA method to identify angiogenesis-related genes and assessed their diagnostic and prognostic value in patients with PRAD through cluster analysis. A diagnostic model was constructed using multiple machine learning techniques, while a prognostic model was developed employing the LASSO algorithm, underscoring the relevance of angiogenesis-related genes in PRAD. Further analysis identified MAP7D3 as the most significant prognostic gene among angiogenesis-related genes using multivariate Cox regression analysis and various machine learning algorithms. The study also investigated the correlation between MAP7D3 and immune infiltration as well as drug sensitivity in PRAD. Molecular docking analysis was conducted to assess the binding affinity of MAP7D3 to angiogenic drugs. Immunohistochemistry analysis of 60 PRAD tissue samples confirmed the expression and prognostic value of MAP7D3. Overall, the study identified 10 key angiogenesis-related genes through WGCNA and demonstrated their potential prognostic and immune-related implications in PRAD patients. MAP7D3 is found to be closely associated with the prognosis of PRAD and its response to immunotherapy. Through molecular docking studies, it was revealed that MAP7D3 exhibits a high binding affinity to angiogenic drugs. Furthermore, experimental data confirmed the upregulation of MAP7D3 in PRAD, correlating with a poorer prognosis. Our study confirmed the important role of angiogenesis-related genes in PRAD and identified a new angiogenesis-related target MAP7D3.

Clinical Significance of a Novel Vasculogenic Mimicry-Based Prognostic Model in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Vasculogenic mimicry, a novel neovascularization pattern of aggressive tumors, is associated with poor clinical outcomes. The aim of this research was to establish a new model, termed VC score, to predict the prognosis, Tumor Microenvironment (TME) components, and immunotherapeutic response in Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). The expression data of the public databases were used to develop the prognostic model. Consensus clustering was performed to confirm the molecular subtypes with ideal clustering efficacy. The high- and low-risk groups were stratified utilizing the VC score. Various methodologies, including survival analysis, single-sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA), Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion scores (TIDE), Immunophenoscore (IPS), and nomogram, were utilized for verification of the model performance and to characterize the immune status of HCC tissues. GSEA was performed to mine functional pathway information. The survival and immune characteristics varied between the three molecular subtypes. A five-gene signature (TPX2, CDC20, CFHR4, SPP1, and NQO1) was verified to function as an independent predictive factor for the prognosis of patients with HCC. The high-risk group exhibited lower Overall Survival (OS) rates and higher mortality rates in comparison to the low-risk group. Patients in the low-risk group were predicted to benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy and exhibit increased sensitivity to immunotherapy. Enrichment analysis revealed that signaling pathways linked to the cell cycle and DNA replication processes exhibited enrichment in the high-risk group. The VC score holds the potential to establish individualized treatment plans and clinical management strategies for patients with HCC.

Risk assessment model based on nucleotide metabolism-related genes highlights SLC27A2 as a potential therapeutic target in breast cancer

PurposeBreast cancer (BC) is the most prevalent malignant tumor worldwide among women, with the highest incidence rate. The mechanisms underlying nucleotide metabolism on biological functions in BC remain incompletely elucidated.Materials and MethodsWe harnessed differentially expressed nucleotide metabolism-related genes from The Cancer Genome Atlas-BRCA, constructing a prognostic risk model through univariate Cox regression and LASSO regression analyses. A validation set and the GSE7390 dataset were used to validate the risk model. Clinical relevance, survival and prognosis, immune infiltration, functional enrichment, and drug sensitivity analyses were conducted.ResultsOur findings identified four signature genes (DCTPP1, IFNG, SLC27A2, and MYH3) as nucleotide metabolism-related prognostic genes. Subsequently, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, revealing the risk model's independence as a prognostic factor. Nomogram calibration underscored superior prediction accuracy. Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA) uncovered activated pathways in low-risk cohorts and mobilized pathways in high-risk cohorts. Distinctions in immune cells were noted between risk cohorts. Subsequent experiments validated that reducing SLC27A2 expression in BC cell lines or using the SLC27A2 inhibitor, Lipofermata, effectively inhibited tumor growth.ConclusionsWe pinpointed four nucleotide metabolism-related prognostic genes, demonstrating promising accuracy as a risk prediction tool for patients with BC. SLC27A2 appears to be a potential therapeutic target for BC among these genes.

An overview of prognostic markers in patients with CLL.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is a low-grade B-cell lymphoproliferative disorder. It is the most prevalent type of leukemia in the western countries, with a median age at diagnosis of 70 years. In 2023, it is estimated that there will be 18,740 new cases of CLL, and an estimated 4,490 people will die of this disease. It represents 1.0% of all new cancer cases in the U.S. The rate of new cases was 4.6 per 100,000 men and women per year based on 2016-2020 cases, age-adjusted. Death rates from CLL are higher among older adults, or those 75 and older. The death rate was 1.1 per 100,000 men and women per year based on 2016-2020 deaths, age-adjusted. A common question that patients with CLL ask during their first clinic visit is: "How long will it be before I would need treatment?" Although this might seem like a simple question, the answer is not straight forward. CLL is a heterogenous disease, with a variable clinical course. Some patients may present with an aggressive disease requiring early initiation of treatment, while others have an indolent course and some, having so called smoldering CLL, may never need treatment. The variability in disease course can make predicting disease prognosis a complicated process. This brings forth the importance of establishing prognostic models that can predict disease course, time to treatment, and survival outcomes in such a heterogenous disease. The Rai and Binet staging systems were developed in the late 1970s to early 1980s. They separated patients into different stages based on clinical characteristics and laboratory findings. These simple staging systems are still in use; however, several prognostic markers need to be added for an individualized assessment and, with the recent development of genomic techniques leading to better understanding of CLL at the molecular level, newer prognostic markers have emerged.

Prognostic model incorporating immune checkpoint genes to predict the immunotherapy efficacy for lung adenocarcinoma: a cohort study integrating machine learning algorithms.

This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram based on immune checkpoint genes (ICGs) for predicting prognosis and immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) efficacy in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients. A total of 385 LUAD patients from the TCGA database and 269 LUAD patients in the combined dataset (GSE41272 + GSE50081) were divided into training and validation cohorts, respectively. Three different machine learning algorithms including random forest (RF), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression analysis, and support vector machine (SVM) were employed to select the predictive markers from 82 ICGs to construct the prognostic nomogram. The X-tile software was used to stratify patients into high- and low-risk subgroups based on the nomogram-derived risk scores. Differences in functional enrichment and immune infiltration between the two subgroups were assessed using gene set variation analysis (GSVA) and various algorithms. Additionally, three lung cancer cohorts receiving ICB therapy were utilized to evaluate the ability of the model to predict ICB efficacy in the real world. Five ICGs were identified as predictive markers across all three machine learning algorithms, leading to the construction of a nomogram with strong potential for prognosis prediction in both the training and validation cohorts (all AUC values close to 0.800). The patients were divided into high- (risk score ≥ 185.0) and low-risk subgroups (risk score < 185.0). Compared to the high-risk subgroup, the low-risk subgroup exhibited enrichment in immune activation pathways and increased infiltration of activated immune cells, such as CD8 + T cells and M1 macrophages (P < 0.05). Furthermore, the low-risk subgroup had a greater likelihood of benefiting from ICB therapy and longer progression-free survival (PFS) than did the high-risk subgroup (P < 0.05) in the two cohorts receiving ICB therapy. A nomogram based on ICGs was constructed and validated to aid in predicting prognosis and ICB treatment efficacy in LUAD patients.

Neurocognition in Pediatric Temporal Lobe Tumor-Related Epilepsy.

Tumor-related epilepsy is a common and understudied neurological comorbidity among pediatric temporal lobe tumor patients that poses risk for neurocognitive impairment (NCI). Forty-one youth with either TLT+ (n = 23) or nonneoplastic temporal lobe epilepsy (n = 18) ages 6-20 years completed routine neuropsychological evaluations. Rates of NCI were similar across groups; however, NCI was more common in nonneoplastic participants on a task of phonemic fluency, p = .047. Younger age of seizure onset and greater number of antiseizure medications were associated with NCI among TLT+ participants only. Preliminary findings suggest separate prognostic models of cognitive outcomes between TLT+ and nonneoplastic epilepsy populations may be needed.

Integrating Imaging and Circulating Tumor DNA Features for Predicting Patient Outcomes.

Biomarkers for evaluating tumor response to therapy and estimating the risk of disease relapse represent tremendous areas of clinical need. To evaluate treatment efficacy, tumor response is routinely assessed using different imaging modalities like positron emission tomography/computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging. More recently, the development of circulating tumor DNA detection assays has provided a minimally invasive approach to evaluate tumor response and prognosis through a blood test (liquid biopsy). Integrating imaging- and circulating tumor DNA-based biomarkers may lead to improvements in the prediction of patient outcomes. For this mini-review, we searched the scientific literature to find original articles that combined quantitative imaging and circulating tumor DNA biomarkers to build prediction models. Seven studies reported building prognostic models to predict distant recurrence-free, progression-free, or overall survival. Three discussed building models to predict treatment response using tumor volume, pathologic complete response, or objective response as endpoints. The limited number of articles and the modest cohort sizes reported in these studies attest to the infancy of this field of study. Nonetheless, these studies demonstrate the feasibility of developing multivariable response-predictive and prognostic models using regression and machine learning approaches. Larger studies are warranted to facilitate the building of highly accurate response-predictive and prognostic models that are generalizable to other datasets and clinical settings.

Analyzing the Functional Roles and Immunological Features of Chemokines in COAD.

Chemokines are key proteins that regulate cell migration and immune responses and are essential for modulating the tumor microenvironment. Despite their close association with colon cancer, the expression patterns, prognosis, immunity, and specific roles of chemokines in colon cancer are still not fully understood. In this study, we investigated the mutational features, differential expression, and immunological characteristics of chemokines in colon cancer (COAD) by analyzing the Tumor Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. We clarified the biological functions of these chemokines using Gene Ontology (GO) annotation and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analysis. By univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses, we developed chemokine-based prognostic risk models. In addition, using Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Gene Set Variant Analysis (GSVA), we analyzed the differences in immune responses and signaling pathways among different risk groups. The results showed that the mutation rate of chemokines was low in COAD, but 25 chemokines were significantly differentially expressed. These chemokines function in several immune-related biological processes and play key roles in signaling pathways including cytokine-cytokine receptor interactions, NF-kappa B, and IL-17. Prognostic risk models based on CCL22, CXCL1, CXCL8, CXCL9, and CXCL11 performed well. GSEA and GSVA analyses showed significant differences in immune responses and signaling pathways across risk groups. In conclusion, this study reveals the potential molecular mechanisms of chemokines in COAD and proposes a new prognostic risk model based on these insights.

Enhancing prognostic prediction of invasive candidiasis among cancer patients with a serum C5a-based scoring model.

Invasive candidiasis poses a life-threatening risk, and early prognosis assessment is vital for timely interventions to reduce mortality. Serum C5a levels have recently been linked to prognosis, but confirmation in cancer patients is pending. We detected the concentrations of serum C5a in hospitalized cancer patients with invasive candidiasis from 2020 to 2023, and retrospectively analyzed the clinical data. 372 cases were included in this study, with a 90-day mortality rate of 21.8%. Candida albicans (48.7%) remained the predominant pathogen, followed by Candida glabrata (25.5%), Candida tropicalis (12.4%), and Candida parapsilosis (8.3%). Gastrointestinal cancer was the most diagnosed pathology type (37.6%). Serum C5a demonstrated a noteworthy correlation with 90-day mortality, and employing a cutoff value of 36.7ng/ml revealed significantly higher 90-day mortality in low-C5a patients (41.2%) compared to high-C5a patients (6.3%) (p < 0.001). We also identified no source control, no surgery, metastasis, or chronic renal failure independently correlated with the 90-day mortality. Based on this, a prognostic model combining C5a and clinical parameters was constructed, which performed better than models built solely on C5a or clinical parameters. Furthermore, we weighted scores to each parameter in the model and presented diagnostic sensitivity and specificity corresponding to different score points calculated by the model. We constructed a prognostic scoring model including serum C5a and clinical parameters, which would contribute to precise prognosis assessment and benefit the outcome among cancer patients.

Implications for driving based on the risk of seizures after ischaemic stroke

BackgroundIn addition to other stroke-related deficits, the risk of seizures may impact driving ability after stroke.MethodsWe analysed data from a multicentre international cohort, including 4452 adults with acute ischaemic stroke...

Construction of a prognostic model for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer patients undergoing immune therapy in northernmost China and prediction of treatment efficacy based on response status at different time points

Background and purposeRecently, the emergence of immune checkpoint inhibitors has significantly improved the survival of patients with extensive-stage small cell lung cancer. However, not all patients can benefit from immunotherapy; therefore, there is an urgent need for precise predictive markers to screen the population for the benefit of immunotherapy. However, single markers have limited predictive accuracy, so a comprehensive predictive model is needed to better enable precision immunotherapy. The aim of this study was to establish a prognostic model for immunotherapy in ES-SCLC patients using basic clinical characteristics and peripheral hematological indices of the patients, which would provide a strategy for the clinical realization of precision immunotherapy and improve the prognosis of small cell lung cancer patients.MethodsThis research retrospectively collected data from ES-SCLC patients treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors between March 1, 2019, and October 31, 2022, at Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital. The study data was randomly split into training and validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. Variables associated with patients’ overall survival were screened and modeled by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Models were presented visually via Nomogram plots. Model discrimination was evaluated by Harrell’s C index, tROC, and tAUC. The calibration of the model was assessed by calibration curves. In addition, the clinical utility of the model was assessed using a DCA curve. After calculating the total risk score of patients in the training set, patients were stratified by risk using percentile partitioning. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to plot OS and PFS survival curves for different risk groups and response statuses at different milestone time points. Differences in survival time groups were compared using the chi-square test. Statistical analysis software included R 4.1.2 and SPSS 26.ResultsThis study included a total of 113 ES-SCLC patients who received immunotherapy, including 79 in the training set and 34 in the validation set. Six variables associated with poorer OS in patients were screened by Cox regression analysis: liver metastasis (P = 0.001), bone metastasis (P = 0.013), NLR < 2.14 (P = 0.005), LIPI assessed as poor (P < 0.001), PNI < 51.03 (P = 0.002), and LDH ≥ 146.5 (P = 0.037). A prognostic model for immunotherapy in ES-SCLC patients was constructed based on the above variables. The Harrell’s C-index in the training and validation sets of the model was 0.85 (95% CI 0.76–0.93) and 0.88 (95% CI 0.76–0.99), respectively; the AUC values corresponding to 12, 18, and 24 months in the tROC curves of the training set were 0.745, 0.848, and 0.819 in the training set and 0.858, 0.904 and 0.828 in the validation set; the tAUC curves show that the overall tAUC is > 0.7 and does not fluctuate much over time in both the training and validation sets. The calibration plot demonstrated the good calibration of the model, and the DCA curve indicated that the model had practical clinical applications. Patients in the training set were categorized into low, intermediate, and high risk groups based on their predicted risk scores in the Nomogram graphs. In the training set, 52 patients (66%) died with a median OS of 15.0 months and a median PFS of 7.8 months. Compared with the high-risk group (median OS: 12.3 months), the median OS was significantly longer in the intermediate-risk group (median OS: 24.5 months, HR = 0.47, P = 0.038) and the low-risk group (median OS not reached, HR = 0.14, P = 0.007). And, the median PFS was also significantly prolonged in the intermediate-risk group (median PFS: 12.7 months, HR = 0.45, P = 0.026) and low-risk group (median PFS not reached, HR = 0.12, P = 0.004) compared with the high-risk group (median PFS: 6.2 months). Similar results were obtained in the validation set. In addition, we observed that in real-world ES-SCLC patients, at 6 weeks after immunotherapy, the median OS was significantly longer in responders than in non-responders (median OS: 19.5 months vs. 11.9 months, P = 0.033). Similar results were obtained at 12 weeks (median OS: 20.7 months vs 11.9 months, P = 0.044) and 20 weeks (median OS: 20.7 months vs 11.7 months, P = 0.015). Finally, we found that in the real world, ES-SCLC patients without liver metastasis (P = 0.002), bone metastasis (P = 0.001) and a total number of metastatic organs < 2 (P = 0.002) are more likely to become long-term survivors after receiving immunotherapy.ConclusionThis study constructed a new prognostic model based on basic patient clinical characteristics and peripheral blood indices, which can be a good predictor of the prognosis of immunotherapy in ES-SCLC patients; in the real world, the response status at milestone time points (6, 12, and 20 weeks) can be a good indicator of long-term survival in ES-SCLC patients receiving immunotherapy.

Implications of GCLC in prognosis and immunity of lung adenocarcinoma and multi-omics regulation mechanisms

BackgroundFerroptosis is an iron-dependent type of regulated cell death, and has been implicated in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Evidence has proved the key role of glutamate-cysteine ligase catalytic subunit (GCLC) in ferroptosis, but its role in LUAD remains unclear. Herein, we explored the implications of GCLC and relevant genes in LUAD prognosis and immunity as well as underlying molecular mechanisms.MethodsThis work gathered mRNA, miRNA, DNA methylation, somatic mutation and copy-number variation data from TCGA-LUAD. WGCNA was utilized for selecting GCLC-relevant genes, and a GCLC-relevant prognostic signature was built by uni- and multivariate-cox regression analyses. Immune compositions were estimated via CIBERSORT, and two immunotherapy cohorts of solid tumors were analyzed. Multi-omics regulatory mechanisms were finally assessed.ResultsOur results showed that GCLC was overexpressed in LUAD, and potentially resulted in undesirable survival. A prognostic model was generated, which owned accurate and independent performance in prognostication. GCLC, and relevant genes were notably connected with immune compositions and immune checkpoints. High GCLC expression was linked with better responses to anti-PD-L1 and anti-CTLA-4 treatment. Their possible DNA methylation sites were inferred, e.g., hypomethylation in cg19740353 might contribute to GCLC up-regulation. Frequent genetic mutations also affected their expression. Upstream transcription factors (E2F1/3/4, etc.), post-transcriptional regulation of miRNAs (hsa-mir-30c-1, etc.), lncRNAs (C8orf34-AS1, etc.), and IGF2BP1-mediated m6A modification were identified. It was also found NOP58-mediated SUMOylation post-translational modification.ConclusionsTogether, we show that GCLC and relevant genes exert crucial roles in LUAD prognosis and immunity, and their expression can be controlled by complex multi-omics mechanisms.

The seasonal-trend disentangle based prognostic framework for PEM fuel cells

Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) offer a potential solution to improve the durability of Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFCs), where degradation prognostic is the key component of the PHM system. However, limited by the dynamic operating environment, accurate and efficient prognostic algorithms still required for real applications. In this paper, the Seasonal-Trend Disentangle (STD) based prognostic framework is proposed to enhance the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction of PEMFC system. Specifically, a lightweight parameter estimation neural network is introduced to estimate the aging parameters of the FC degradation model directly from PEMFC measurements. Besides, the integral of the FC degradation model at the specified current density range serves as the comprehensive Health Index (HI), which could combine different aging parameters and mitigate the effect of load dynamics. The STD-based prognostic model effectively captures the time-invariant features in the HI sequence from trend and seasonal phases, improving Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction performance. The proposed prognostic model is compared with RNN-family, ESN, and Dilated CNN methods using three distinct durability datasets from FCs operating under static, quasi-dynamic, and cyclically varying dynamic current loads. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms the reference methods in terms of RMSE and MAPE metrics in the aging prognostic, and the proposed method could obtain satisfactory RUL prediction results 100–150 h earlier than the reference methods.

Clinical outcome and prognostic factors of T4N0M0 colon cancer after R0 resection: A retrospective study.

Paradoxically, patients with T4N0M0 (stage II, no lymph node metastasis) colon cancer have a worse prognosis than those with T2N1-2M0 (stage III). However, no previous report has addressed this issue. To screen prognostic risk factors for T4N0M0 colon cancer and construct a prognostic nomogram model for these patients. Two hundred patients with T4N0M0 colon cancer were treated at Tianjin Medical University General Hospital between January 2017 and December 2021, of which 112 patients were assigned to the training cohort, and the remaining 88 patients were assigned to the validation cohort. Differences between the training and validation groups were analyzed. The training cohort was subjected to multivariate analysis to select prognostic risk factors for T4N0M0 colon cancer, followed by the construction of a nomogram model. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rates were 86.2% and 74.4% for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Enterostomy (P = 0.000), T stage (P = 0.001), right hemicolon (P = 0.025), irregular review (P = 0.040), and carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199) (P = 0.011) were independent risk factors of OS in patients with T4N0M0 colon cancer. A nomogram model with good concordance and accuracy was constructed. Enterostomy, T stage, right hemicolon, irregular review, and CA199 were independent risk factors for OS in patients with T4N0M0 colon cancer. The nomogram model exhibited good agreement and accuracy.

Bellmunt risk score as a survival predictor in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

The prognosis of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) is influenced by numerous individual factors. Despite various proposed prognostic models, the clinical application of these remains limited, probably due to complexity. Our study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the Bellmunt risk score, which is well-known for urothelial carcinoma and easily assessed, in mCRPC patients. The Bellmunt risk score was calculated from three risk factors (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) ≥1, serum hemoglobin <10 g/dL, presence of liver metastases) in 125 patients who received first-line mCRPC treatment between 2005 and 2023. In addition, a modified score was established (one point each for hemoglobin <10 g/dL and the presence of liver metastases added to the ECOG PS). Associations with overall survival (OS) under first- and second-line therapy were tested using Cox regression analyzes, log-rank tests, concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic. There is a significant correlation between the level of the Bellmunt risk score and shorter OS (hazard ratio: 3.23, 95% confidence interval: 2.06-5.05; log-rank p < 0.001; C-index: 0.724). The semi-quantitative modified risk score showed even better prognostic discrimination (log-rank p < 0.001, C-index: 0.764). The score and its dynamics were also predictive in the second-line setting (log-rank p < 0.001 and = 0.01; C-index: 0.742 and 0.595). The Bellmunt risk score is easy to assess and provides useful prognostic information in mCRPC, and can support physicians in their treatment decisions.

Identification of necroptosis-related gene signatures for predicting the prognosis of ovarian cancer

Ovarian cancer (OC) is one of the most prevalent and fatal malignant tumors of the female reproductive system. Our research aimed to develop a prognostic model to assist inclinical treatment decision-making.Utilizing data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and copy number variation (CNV) data from the University of California Santa Cruz (UCSC) database, we conducted analyses of differentially expressed genes (DEGs), gene function, and tumor microenvironment (TME) scores in various clusters of OC samples.Next, we classified participants into low-risk and high-risk groups based on the median risk score, thereby dividing both the training group and the entire group accordingly. Overall survival (OS) was significantly reduced in the high-risk group, and two independent prognostic factors were identified: age and risk score. Additionally, three genes—C-X-C Motif Chemokine Ligand 10 (CXCL10), RELB, and Caspase-3 (CASP3)—emerged as potential candidates for an independent prognostic signature with acceptable prognostic value. In Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analyses, pathways related to immune responses and inflammatory cell chemotaxis were identified. Cellular experiments further validated the reliability and precision of our findings. In conclusion, necroptosis-related genes play critical roles in tumor immunity, and our model introduces a novel strategy for predicting the prognosis of OC patients.