Prognostic Factors For Outcome Research Articles

Impact of body mass index on outcomes in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for in-stent restenosis

Abstract Background Recent advances in drug eluting stents (DES) design have significantly decreased the rates of in-stent restenosis (ISR). Nonetheless, ISR remains a major problem, affecting 5–10% of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Furthermore, PCI for ISR is often a poor prognostic factor for outcomes after the procedure. Historically, obese patients tended to have better outcomes when undergoing PCI, however it is unclear if this trend continues for the same population undergoing PCI for ISR. Purpose Investigate the outcomes of patients undergoing PCI for ISR in the overweight and normal weight population. Methods All patients undergoing PCI with DES implantation at a tertiary care center from January 2012 to December 2019 were included. Normal weight was defined as a body mass index (BMI) greater than or equal to 18.5 kg/m2 and less than 25 kg/m2, while overweight was defined as a BMI greater than or equal to 25 kg/m2. Patients with BMI <18.5 kg/m2, underwent PCI for acute myocardial infarction (MI), or received a bare metal stent (BMS) were excluded. The primary outcome was major events (MACE), a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and target vessel revascularization (TVR) up to one year after PCI. Secondary outcomes included individual components of the primary endpoint. Results Out of 16,234 patients with available data on BMI, 12,444 (76.7%) were overweight and 3,790 (23.3%) were normal weight. Among overweight patients, 2,879 (23.1%) underwent PCI for ISR versus 815 (21.5%) of normal weight patients. Regardless of BMI status, patients undergoing PCI for ISR had higher rates of co-morbidities such as hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes mellitus than non-ISR counterparts. At one year post PCI, both overweight and normal weight patients undergoing PCI for ISR had increased risk of MACE (overweight: 18.4% vs. 6.7%; HR 2.83; 95% CI 2.50–3.20; normal weight: 18.8% vs. 7.8%, HR 2.43, 95% CI 1.95–3.04) when compared to non-ISR counterparts, mostly driven by TVR (overweight: 16% vs. 4.6%; HR 3.58; 95% CI 3.11–4.13; normal weight: 15.2% vs. 4.1%; HR 3.69; 95% CI 2.80–4.86). However, only overweight patients undergoing PCI for ISR had higher risk of all cause mortality (2.2% vs. 1.5%; HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.03–1.95) and MI (3.0% vs. 1.3%, HR 2.22; 95% CI 1.64–2.99) when compared to non-ISR counterparts (Figure 1). Conclusions PCI for ISR was associated with increased risk of MACE, irrespective of body weight. The risks of all-cause mortality and MI in ISR vs non-ISR patients only reached statistical significance in overweight patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Measurement of skeletal muscle volume is useful for predicting prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were previously reported as prognostic factors for outcome in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC), and recently, the presence of sarcopenia was reported to be an indicator of worse prognosis in these patients. This retrospective study aimed to clarify the importance of sarcopenia as a prognostic factor in patients with LC. The MELD-Na score, HVPG, and skeletal muscle index (SMI) were measured in 202 patients between January 2013 and August 2020. We performed linear regression analysis between HVPG and SMI and calculated suitable cutoff values of HVPG for predicting presarcopenia and of HVPG, ΔSMI (i.e. the decrease in SMI per year, for predicting survival). Overall survival rates with the HVPG and ΔSMI cutoff values were compared by Kaplan-Meier estimates and log-rank tests. Prognostic factors for survival were analyzed by Cox regression univariate and multivariate analyses. In total, 71% (143/202) of patients presented with presarcopenia. Linear regression showed a significantly negative correlation between HVPG and SMI. Survival was significantly worse in the group with presarcopenia than in the group without. Survival was worse also in the group with an HVPG value ≥ 15 and ΔSMI ≥ -2.4. Cox regression multivariate analyses showed that MELD-Na score, HVPG, HVPG ≥ 15, ΔSMI, and ΔSMI ≥ -2.4 were independent prognostic factors. Skeletal muscle volume, especially ΔSMI, has a prognostic value equivalent to that of the MELD-Na score and HVPG.

177Lu-PSMA-I&T for Treatment of Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer: Prognostic Value of Scintigraphic and Clinical Biomarkers.

The aim of this retrospective analysis was to determine prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response, PSA progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in a large cohort of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with 177Lu-PSMA-I&T and to identify clinical and scintigraphic prognostic factors for outcome. Methods: In total, 301 consecutive mCRPC patients were included in this analysis. Prognostic factors included clinical parameters, routine laboratory parameters, and findings on posttreatment scintigraphy. Scintigraphic tumor uptake of 177Lu-PSMA-I&T was compared with salivary gland uptake and classified as high or low. The longest extent of skeletal metastatic disease was measured, and its changes during therapy were used to define scintigraphic progression, response, and stable disease. A PSA response of at least 50%, PSA PFS, and OS were calculated. Results: In total, 1,138 cycles (median, 3 cycles per patient) of 177Lu-PSMA-I&T using a standard activity of 7.4 GBq were applied intravenously every 4-10 wk (median, 6 wk). Overall, 34% (95% CI, 28%-38%) of patients showed a PSA response of at least 50%, and the median PSA PFS and OS of the total patient cohort were 16.0 wk (95% CI, 12.1-19.9) and 13.8 mo (95% CI, 12.4-15.5), respectively. Patients with high scintigraphic tumor uptake showed a higher PSA response rate of at least 50% (45.7% vs. 10.4%; P < 0.0001) and a significantly reduced risk of PSA progression (median event time, 24.9 vs. 9.0 wk; hazard ratio, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.2-0.5; P < 0.0001). In our data, risk of death was not significantly different between patients with high scintigraphic uptake and those with low scintigraphic uptake (median, 14.4 vs. 12.4 mo; hazard ratio, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.6-1.3; P = 0.6). In a multivariable analysis, the following pretherapeutic prognostic factors for OS were identified: alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase, and PSA levels; prior chemotherapy; and the presence of visceral metastases. Scintigraphic response was a strong prognostic factor for PSA response, PSA PFS, and OS after 1 treatment cycle. Conclusion: This retrospective analysis of a large group of consecutive patients corroborates previous clinical experience for 177Lu-PSMA-I&T in mCRPC and establishes previously proposed prognostic factors. The skeletal tumor extent and its changes were identified as new potential biomarkers to predict the outcome of therapy after the first treatment cycle.

Retrospective study of 20 cats surgically treated for insulinoma.

To report the clinical signs, histopathology results, and prognostic factors for outcomes following excision for feline insulinoma (INS). Retrospective study. Twenty client-owned cats. Medical records from 2006 to 2020 were reviewed by Veterinary Society of Surgical Oncology members for cats with hypoglycemia resulting from INS, with surgical excision and follow up. Clinical signs and histopathology results were summarized. Factors potentially related to disease-free interval (DFI), disease-related death (DRD), and overall survival time (OST) were analyzed with a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. All cats were hypoglycemic on presentation with neurologic signs in 18 out of 20 and inappropriate insulin levels in 12/13. Excision of insulinomas resulted in immediate euglycemia or hyperglycemia in 18 cats. Eighteen cats survived to hospital discharge. The median time to death or last postoperative follow up was 664 days (range: 2-1205 days). Prognostic factors included age at presentation (for DFI); time to postoperative euglycemia (for DRD); preoperative and postoperative serum blood glucose concentrations; metastasis at the time of surgery (DFI and DRD), and histopathologic tumor invasion (for OST). The median OST for all cats was 863 days. The 1-, 2- and 3-year survival rates were 75%, 51%, and 10%, respectively. Excision of insulinoma resulted in euglycemia or hyperglycemia in most cats. Negative prognostic factors included young age, low serum glucose concentrations, metastasis at time of surgery, tumor invasion, and shorter time to euglycemia. Surgical excision resulted in survival times comparable to those of canine INS.

Prognostic significance of 24-h blood pressure and variability indices in the outcome of acute ischaemic stroke.

The association between blood pressure (BP) levels and BP variability (BPV) following acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) and outcome remains controversial. To investigate the predictive value of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) and BPV measured using 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) methods during AIS regarding outcome. A total of 228 AIS patients (175 without prior disability) underwent ABPM every 20 min within 48 h from onset using an automated oscillometric device (TM 2430, A&D Company Ltd) during day time (7:00-22:59) and night time (23:00-6:59). Risk factors, stroke subtypes, clinical and laboratory findings were recorded. Mean BP parameters and several BPV indices were calculated. End-points were death and unfavourable functional outcome (disability/death) at 3months. A total of 61 (26.7%) patients eventually died. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that only mean night-time DBP (hazard ratio (HR): 1.04; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00-1.07) was an independent prognostic factor of death. Of the 175 patients without prior disability, 79 (45.1%) finally met the end-point of unfavourable functional outcome. Mean 24-h SBP (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.00-1.05), day-time SBP (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.05) and night-time SBP (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.05), SBP nocturnal decline (HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88-0.99), mean 24-h DBP (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.03-1.13), day-time DBP (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.03-1.12) and night-time DBP (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.10) were independent prognostic factors of an unfavourable functional outcome. In contrast with BPV indices, ABPM-derived BP levels and lower or absence of BP nocturnal decline in the acute phase are prognostic factors of outcome in AIS patients.

Consensus statement on data to be entered in the ACL tear registry: SFA-DataLake

IntroductionAnterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction is a frequent procedure, with room for improvement by rehabilitation measures and associated peripheral and meniscal surgeries that are currently under assessment, requiring follow-up. Outside France, there have been ACL registries for 20 years now. The French Arthroscopy Society (SFA) decided to set up an ACL tear registry within its SFA DataLake registry platform. Material and methodThis article presents the methodology underlying the ACL Tear Registry: i.e., identification, definition and coding of essential and relevant data. A test phase comprised an initial assessment to improve data quality and overall coherence, to optimize data-entry time for patients and practitioners, who are the guarantors of the registry's use and efficacy. ResultsThe SFA DataLake ACL Tear Registry was made available to SFA members in December 2021. It aims to enable a review of practices for surgeons, early detection of failure of procedures and implants, with rates of failure and abnormal complications, and identification of prognostic factors for outcome, especially regarding original items that do not figure in previous registries. ConclusionSFA DataLake strikes a balance between “indispensable” and “original” items. The choice of contents and data quality is founded on a robust methodology with overall coherence, enabling analysis of large cohorts and comparisons with the literature and other registries. However, it remains to assess rates of data entry and item relevance as the Registry progresses. Level of evidenceIV.

Does Complete Footprint Coverage Affect Outcomes After Conventional Arthroscopic Repair of Large-Sized Rotator Cuff Tears?

Background:In large-sized rotator cuff tears, tendon repair with incomplete footprint coverage is performed frequently as a way of tension-free or low-tension repair.Purpose:To compare clinical outcomes after arthroscopic repair of large-sized rotator cuff tears between patients with complete versus incomplete footprint coverage.Study Design:Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3.Methods:Among 297 patients who underwent arthroscopic surgery for a large-sized rotator cuff tear, we selected 58 patients (<50% coverage; mean age, 63.34 ± 6.8 years; 34 men and 24 women) with incomplete footprint coverage. Using propensity score matching, another 58 patients with complete footprint coverage (mean age, 63.4 ± 8.03 years; 34 men and 24 women) were selected after 1:1 matching for age, sex, and tear size—the main demographic and prognostic factors of outcomes after rotator cuff repair. Clinical outcomes were compared on magnetic resonance imaging or ultrasonography at minimum of 6 months postoperatively, and functional outcomes were compared using range of motion and pain visual analog scale; American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons; Constant; University of California, Los Angeles; and Simple Shoulder Test scores at a minimum of 2 years postoperatively.Results:A total of 18 patients in the incomplete footprint coverage group (31.0%) and 20 patients in the complete footprint coverage group (34.5%) showed healing failure, with no significant difference between groups (P = .843). In addition, there were no differences in functional outcomes between groups (P > .05 for all).Conclusion:Whether the rotator cuff footprint was completely covered did not affect clinical outcomes in conventional arthroscopic repair of large-sized rotator cuff tears.

Characteristics and prognostic outcome factors between young and elderly peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study.

Peritoneal dialysis (PD) is the main renal replacement therapy in elderly patients account for hemodynamic stability. The clinical characteristics and prognosis of elderly PD patients are varies in different dialysis centers. We analyzed the characteristics, outcomes and prognosis factors of survival in elderly PD patients in China, to better understand their status and improve their quality of life. This prospective, observational study categorized 202 PD patients by age: elderly group ≥65 years, younger group <65 years. The inclusion criteria were: age >18 years, first PD treatment and dialysis time >3 months, and complete data. Clinical characteristics including demographic data, hemodynamic variables were compared between groups. After a median follow-up of 44 months, prognosis outcomes between young and elderly groups were measured. Multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to establish the models for predicting outcomes. Then the nomogram of the model was generated. A total of 202 PD patients were enrolled: 61 in the elderly group and 141 in the younger group. The comparison of baseline data revealed decreased serum albumin, normalized protein catabolic rate and higher incidence of previous cardiovascular, cerebrovascular diseases, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) in the elderly group. The mortality rate was substantially higher in the elderly group. Cardiovascular disease was the main cause of death in elderly PD patients. High body mass index (BMI) [hazard ratio (HR) =1.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.0-1.1, P=0.005], high CCI (HR =1.1, 95% CI: 1.0-1.2, P=0.022), and ischemic heart disease (ISD) (HR =2.5, 95% CI: 1.0-6.1, P=0.042) were risk factors for the long-term survival of elderly PD patients. High BMI, high CCI and ISD were important factors for evaluating the adverse outcomes of elderly PD patients. Larger studied are needed to identify risk factors in elderly PD patients and to improve their outcomes.

Anticholinergic burden for prediction of cognitive decline or neuropsychiatric symptoms in older adults with mild cognitive impairment or dementia.

Medications with anticholinergic properties are commonly prescribed to older adults with a pre-existing diagnosis of dementia or cognitive impairment. The cumulative anticholinergic effect of all the medications a person takes is referred to as the anticholinergic burden because of its potential to cause adverse effects. It is possible that a high anticholinergic burden may be a risk factor for further cognitive decline or neuropsychiatric disturbances in people with dementia. Neuropsychiatric disturbances are the most frequent complication of dementia that require hospitalisation, accounting for almost half of admissions; hence, identification of modifiable prognostic factors for these outcomes is crucial. There are various scales available to measure anticholinergic burden but agreement between them is often poor. Our primary objective was to assess whether anticholinergic burden, as defined at the level of each individual scale, was a prognostic factor for further cognitive decline or neuropsychiatric disturbances in older adults with pre-existing diagnoses of dementia or cognitive impairment. Our secondary objective was to investigate whether anticholinergic burden was a prognostic factor for other adverse clinical outcomes, including mortality, impaired physical function, and institutionalisation. We searched these databases from inception to 29 November 2021: MEDLINE OvidSP, Embase OvidSP, PsycINFO OvidSP, CINAHL EBSCOhost, and ISI Web of Science Core Collection on ISI Web of Science. We included prospective and retrospective longitudinal cohort and case-control observational studies, with a minimum of one-month follow-up, which examined the association between an anticholinergic burden measurement scale and the above stated adverse clinical outcomes, in older adults with pre-existing diagnoses of dementia or cognitive impairment. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently assessed studies for inclusion, and undertook data extraction, risk of bias assessment, and GRADE assessment. We summarised risk associations between anticholinergic burden and all clinical outcomes in a narrative fashion. We also evaluated the risk association between anticholinergic burden and mortality using a random-effects meta-analysis. We established adjusted pooled rates for the anticholinergic cognitive burden (ACB) scale; then, as an exploratory analysis, established pooled rates on the prespecified association across scales. MAIN RESULTS: We identified 18 studies that met our inclusion criteria (102,684 older adults). Anticholinergic burden was measured using five distinct measurement scales: 12 studies used the ACB scale; 3 studies used the Anticholinergic Risk Scale (ARS); 1 study used the Anticholinergic Drug Scale (ADS); 1 study used the Anticholinergic Effect on Cognition (AEC) Scale; and 2 studies used a list developed by Tune and Egeli. Risk associations between anticholinergic burden and adverse clinical outcomes were highly heterogenous. Four out of 10 (40%) studies reported a significantly increased risk ofgreater long-term cognitive decline for participants with an anticholinergic burden compared to participants with no or minimal anticholinergic burden. No studies investigated neuropsychiatric disturbance outcomes. One out of four studies (25%) reported a significant association with reduced physical function for participants with an anticholinergic burden versus participants with no or minimal anticholinergic burden. No study (out of one investigating study) reported a significant association between anticholinergic burden and risk of institutionalisation. Six out of 10 studies (60%) found a significantly increased risk of mortality for those with an anticholinergic burden compared to those with no or minimal anticholinergic burden. Pooled analysis of adjusted mortality hazard ratios (HR) measured anticholinergic burden with the ACB scale, and suggested a significantly increased risk of death for those with a high ACB score relative to those with no or minimal ACB scores (HR 1.153, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.030 to 1.292; 4 studies, 48,663 participants). An exploratory pooled analysis of adjusted mortality HRs across anticholinergic burden scales also suggested a significantly increased risk of death for those with a high anticholinergic burden (HR 1.102, 95% CI 1.044 to 1.163; 6 studies, 68,381 participants). Overall GRADE evaluation of results found low- or very low-certainty evidence for all outcomes. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is low-certainty evidence that older adults with dementia or cognitive impairment who have a significant anticholinergic burden may be at increased risk of death. No firm conclusions can be drawn for risk of accelerated cognitive decline, neuropsychiatric disturbances, decline in physical function, or institutionalisation.

Biopsychosocial Factors for Chronicity in Individuals with Non-Specific Low Back Pain: An Umbrella Review.

Low back pain (LBP) is a global and disabling problem. A considerable number of systematic reviews published over the past decade have reported a range of factors that increase the risk of chronicity due to LBP. This study summarizes up-to-date and high-level research evidence on the biopsychosocial prognostic factors of outcomes in adults with non-specific low back pain at follow-up. An umbrella review was carried out. PubMed, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Web of Science, PsycINFO, CINAHL Plus and PEDro were searched for studies published between 1 January 2008 and 20 March 2020. Two reviewers independently screened abstracts and full texts, extracted data and assessed review quality. Fifteen systematic reviews met the eligibility criteria; all were deemed reliable according to our criteria. There were five prognostic factors with consistent evidence of association with poor acute–subacute LBP outcomes in the long term (high levels of pain intensity and disability, high emotional distress, negative recovery expectations and high physical demands at work), as well as one factor with consistent evidence of no association (low education levels). For mixed-duration LBP, there was one predictor consistently associated with poor outcomes in the long term (high pain catastrophism). We observed insufficient evidence to synthesize social factors as well as to fully assess predictors in the chronic phase of LBP. This study provides consistent evidence of the predictive value of biological and psychological factors for LBP outcomes in the long term. The identified prognostic factors should be considered for inclusion into low back pain explanatory models.

Severe hyperlactatemia in unselected surgical patients: retrospective analysis of prognostic outcome factors

BackgroundEtiology of hyperlactatemia in ICU patients is heterogeneous—septic, cardiogenic or hemorrhagic shock seem to be predominant reasons. Multiple studies show hyperlactatemia as an independent predictor for ICU mortality. Only limited data exists about the etiology of hyperlactatemia and lactate clearance and their influence on mortality. The goal of this single-center retrospective study, was to evaluate the effect of severe hyperlactatemia and reduced lactate clearance rate on the outcome of unselected ICU surgical patients.MethodsOverall, 239 surgical patients with severe hyperlactatemia (> 10 mmol/L) who were treated in the surgical ICU at the University Medical Center Freiburg between June 2011 and August 2017, were included in this study. The cause of the hyperlactatemia as well as the postoperative course and the patient morbidity and mortality were retrospectively analyzed. Lactate clearance was calculated by comparing lactate level 12 h after first measurement of > 10 mmol/L.ResultsThe overall mortality rate in our cohort was 82.4%. Severe hyperlactatemia was associated with death in the ICU (p < 0.001). The main etiologic factor was sepsis (51.9%), followed by mesenteric ischemia (15.1%), hemorrhagic shock (13.8%) and liver failure (9.6%). Higher lactate levels at ICU admission were associated with increased mortality (p < 0.001). Lactate clearance after 12 h was found to predict ICU mortality (ANOVA p < 0.001) with an overall clearance of under 50% within 12 h. The median percentage of clearance was 60.3% within 12 h for the survivor and 29.1% for the non-survivor group (p < 0.001).ConclusionLactate levels appropriately reflect disease severity and are associated with short-term mortality in critically ill patients. The main etiologic factor for surgical patients is sepsis. When elevated lactate levels persist more than 12 h, survival chances are low and the benefit of continued maximum therapy should be evaluated.

Post-resuscitation diastolic blood pressure is a prognostic factor for outcomes of cardiac arrest patients: a multicenter retrospective registry-based analysis

BackgroundPost-resuscitation hemodynamic level is associated with outcomes. This study was conducted to investigate if post-resuscitation diastolic blood pressure (DBP) is a favorable prognostic factor.MethodsUsing TaIwan Network of Targeted Temperature ManagEment for CARDiac Arrest (TIMECARD) registry, we recruited adult patients who received targeted temperature management in nine medical centers between January 2014 and September 2019. After excluding patients with extracorporeal circulation support, 448 patients were analyzed. The first measured, single-point blood pressure after resuscitation was used for analysis. Study endpoints were survival to discharge and discharge with favorable neurologic outcomes (CPC 1–2). Multivariate analysis, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and generalized additive model (GAM) were used for analysis.ResultsAmong the 448 patients, 182 (40.7%) patients survived, and 89 (19.9%) patients had CPC 1–2. In the multivariate analysis, DBP > 70 mmHg was an independent factor for survival (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.16, 95% confidence interval [CI, 1.41–3.31]) and > 80 mmHg was an independent factor for CPC 1–2 (aOR 2.04, 95% CI [1.14–3.66]). GAM confirmed that DBP > 80 mmHg was associated with a higher likelihood of CPC 1–2. In the exploratory analysis, patients with DBP > 80 mmHg had a significantly higher prevalence of cardiogenic cardiac arrest (p = 0.015) and initial shockable rhythm (p = 0.045).ConclusionWe found that DBP after resuscitation can predict outcomes, as a higher DBP level correlated with cardiogenic cardiac arrest.

Are psychosocial variables, sleep characteristics or central pain processing prognostic factors for outcome following rotator cuff repair? A protocol for a prospective longitudinal cohort study

IntroductionPrognosis following surgical rotator cuff repair (RCR) is often established through the assessment of non-modifiable biomedical factors such as tear size. This understates the complex nature of recovery following RCR....

Chronological Patterns of Long-Term Outcomes After Microvascular Decompression for Hemifacial Spasm Over 5 Years

The postoperative course of hemifacial spasm (HFS) varies. We analyzed the clinical outcomes from 1 to ≥5years after microvascular decompression (MVD) in patients with HFS. Between July 2004 and January 2015, 528 patients who were followed up for ≥5years after MVD for HFS were included. We evaluated chronological patterns of clinical outcomes from 1 to ≥5years. The outcomes at 2, 3, 4, and ≥5years postoperatively were individually compared with those at 1year postoperatively, and the relationships between clinical features, surgical findings, and outcomes over time were analyzed. Eight groups were created according to the similarity in the pattern of clinical outcomes from 1 to ≥5years postoperatively. Individual postoperative outcomes at 2-4years were consistent with those at 1year postoperatively, whereas postoperative outcomes at ≥5years were not (P=0.020). There was substantial to moderate agreement between the outcomes at 1year and at 2-4years postoperatively, but the agreement decreased over time. Patients without diabetes (P=0.015), an intraoperative offending vessel without a vein (P=0.005), and intraoperative discoloration of the facial nerve (P=0.036) showed better outcomes at ≥5years postoperatively. Long-term outcomes from 1 to ≥5years after MVD in patients with HFS were diverse. Nondiabetes, intraoperative offending vessel without a vein, and intraoperative discoloration of the facial nerve were better prognostic factors for outcomes at ≥5years postoperatively. It is advisable to consider these results when evaluating the long-term outcomes of this surgery.

Primary tumor volume and prognosis for patients with p16-positive and p16-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated with radiation therapy

BackgroundThe prescribed radiation dose to patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is standardized, even if the prognosis for individual patients may differ. Easy-at-hand pre-treatment risk stratification methods are valuable to individualize therapy. In the current study we assessed the prognostic impact of primary tumor volume for p16-positive and p16-negative tumors and in relationship to other prognostic factors for outcome in patients with OPSCC treated with primary radiation therapy (RT).MethodsFive hundred twenty-three OPSCC patients with p16-status treated with primary RT (68.0 Gy to 73.1 Gy in 7 weeks, or 68.0 Gy in 4.5 weeks), with or without concurrent chemotherapy, within three prospective trials were included in the study. Local failure (LF), progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in relationship to the size of the primary gross tumor volume (GTV-T) and other prognostic factors were investigated. Efficiency of intensified RT (RT with total dose 73.1 Gy or given within 4.5 weeks) was analyzed in relationship to tumor volume.ResultsThe volume of GTV-T and p16-status were found to be the strongest prognostic markers for LF, PFS and OS. For p16-positive tumors, an increase in tumor volume had a significantly higher negative prognostic impact compared with p16-negative tumors. Within a T-classification, patients with a smaller tumor, compared with a larger tumor, had a better prognosis. The importance of tumor volume remained after adjusting for nodal status, age, performance status, smoking status, sex, and hemoglobin-level. The adjusted hazard ratio for OS per cm3 increase in tumor volume was 2.3% (95% CI 0–4.9) for p16-positive and 1.3% (95% 0.3–2.2) for p16-negative. Exploratory analyses suggested that intensified RT could mitigate the negative impact of a large tumor volume.ConclusionsOutcome for patients with OPSCC treated with RT is largely determined by tumor volume, even when adjusting for other established prognostic factors. Tumor volume is significantly more influential for patients with p16-positive tumors. Patients with large tumor volumes might benefit by intensified RT to improve survival.

Prognostic factors for patients with anal cancer treated with conformal radiotherapy—a systematic review

AimsAnal cancer is primarily treated using concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT), with conformal techniques such as intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and volumetric arc therapy (VMAT) now being the standard techniques utilised across the world. Despite this, there is still very limited consensus on prognostic factors for outcome following conformal CRT. This systematic review aims to evaluate the existing literature to identify prognostic factors for a variety of oncological outcomes in anal cancer, focusing on patients treated with curative intent using contemporary conformal radiotherapy techniques.Materials and methodsA literature search was conducted using Medline and Embase to identify studies reporting on prognostic factors for survival and cancer-related outcomes after conformal CRT for anal cancer. The prognostic factors which were identified as significant in univariable and multivariable analysis, along with their respective factor effects (where available) were extracted. Only factors reported as prognostic in more than one study were included in the final results.ResultsThe results from 19 studies were analysed. In both univariable and multivariable analysis, N stage, T stage, and sex were found to be the most prevalent and reliable clinical prognostic factors for the majority of outcomes explored. Only a few biomarkers have been identified as prognostic by more than one study – pre-treatment biopsy HPV load, as well as the presence of leukocytosis, neutrophilia and anaemia at baseline measurement. The results also highlight the lack of studies with large cohorts exploring the prognostic significance of imaging factors.ConclusionEstablishing a set of prognostic and potentially predictive factors for anal cancer outcomes can guide the risk stratification of patients, aiding the design of future clinical trials. Such trials will in turn provide us with greater insight into how to effectively treat this disease using a more personalised approach.

Limited prognostic value of pain duration in non-specific neck pain patients seeking chiropractic care.

BackgroundPain chronicity is considered an important prognostic factor for outcome. Here, it was investigated whether pain duration influences outcome when only chronic patients (pain >3 months) are considered. Secondary aims were to determine, in patients of any pain duration, how much variance in outcome is explained by pain duration and whether pain duration truly predicts outcomes, that is out‐of‐sample prediction in independent data.MethodsSecondary analysis of a cohort study of neck pain patients. Patients were assessed before start of treatment and at 1‐week, 1‐, 3‐, 6‐ and 12‐month follow‐up. Outcomes were patient global impression of change (PGIC) and percent change in patients' perceived pain intensity, rated on a numerical rating scale (NRS). Regression analyses (linear and logistic) and supervised machine learning were used to test the influence of pain duration on PGIC and percent NRS change at 1‐week, 1‐, 3‐, 6‐ and 12‐month follow‐up within sample and out‐of‐sample. Separate analyses were performed for the full sample (n = 720) and for chronic patients (n = 238) only.ResultsNo relationship between pain duration and outcome was found for chronic patients only. For the full sample, statistical relationships between pain duration and outcomes were observed at all tested follow‐up time points. However, the amount of variance in outcome explained by pain duration was low and no out‐of‐sample prediction was possible.ConclusionsPain duration did not emerge as an important predictor of outcome in this database of 720 neck pain patients receiving chiropractic treatment.Significance statementThe relatively large dataset of neck pain patients challenges the widely accepted wisdom that pain duration is an important predictor of pain outcomes and that very chronic patients might only have a small likelihood of getting better. It is postulated that these results are important for the attitude of the first encounter between healthcare professionals and chronic patients.

Changes in functional independence after inpatient rehabilitation in patients with spinal cord injury: A simultaneous evaluation of prognostic factors

Objective This study aimed to investigate the improvements of functional independence following inpatient rehabilitation and compare those improvements between different levels and severities of Spinal Cord Injury (SCI). Prognostic factors affecting the patient’s outcomes were also studied. Settings Rofeideh Rehabilitation Hospital. Outcome Measures Spinal Cord Independence Measure version III (SCIM III), and Functional Independence Measure (FIM). Method In this retrospective cohort study, 180 patients with SCI were enrolled to record their functional independence upon admission and discharge, and the changes were compared between different levels and severities of injury using non-parametric tests. The prognostic factors of outcomes were studied by generalized estimating equation (GEE) analysis. Results The independence changes were significant for all the severities (American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS)) and levels of injury except for the patients with AIS A and B at upper cervical levels (P < 0.05). The level of injury, AIS, Length of Stay (LOS), and pressure ulcer had a significant prognostic value on patient’s outcomes. Furthermore, there was a significant difference between different levels of injury with the same AIS grade in functional improvement (P < 0.05), while there was a significant difference between AIS groups with the same level of injury only at upper and middle cervical lesions (P < 0.05). Conclusion Recording the values of functional independence before and after rehabilitation in individuals with SCI can help clinicians approximately expect the outcomes of future patients. Moreover, a deeper study of the prognostic factors can provide a more logical expectation of rehabilitation outcomes.

Correlation of D-dimer and Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients.

BackgroundThe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic has impacted daily life and medical practices around the world. Hospitals are continually making observations about this unique population as it relates to laboratory data and outcomes. Plasma D-dimer levels have been shown to be promising as a prognostic factor for outcomes in COVID-19 patients. This single institution retrospective study investigates the correlation between D-dimer and patient outcomes in our inpatient COVID-19 patient population.MethodsCOVID-19 confirmed positive patients who were admitted between March 2020 and May 2020 at our hospital were identified. Admission and peak D-dimer values and patient outcomes, including intubation and mortality, were retrospectively analyzed.ResultsNinety-seven patients met criteria for inclusion in the study Mean age was 63.2 years, median admission D-dimer 2.35ug/mL, and median peak D-dimer 2.74ug/mL. Average time to peak D-dimer was 3.2 days. Patient’s requiring intubation had higher admission D-dimers (3.79ug/mL vs. 1.62 ug/mL)DiscussionHigher admission and peak D-dimer values were associated with worsening clinical outcomes, specifically with higher rates of intubation and mortality. Noting D-dimer trends early in a patients’ COVID course, regardless of patients’ clinical condition, may allow opportunities for physicians to provide early intervention to prevent these outcomes.

Prognostic Factors for Outcomes of Allogeneic HSCT for Children and Adolescents/Young Adults With CML in the TKI Era

The breakthrough effects of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have lessened indications for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). However, HSCT is still attractive for children and adolescents/young adults (AYAs) requiring lifelong TKI therapy. Nevertheless, little has been reported on the outcomes of large clinical studies of HSCT targeting these age groups. This study aimed to identify prognostic factors for the outcomes of HSCT, including reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC)-HSCT, for children and AYAs with CML in the TKI era. We performed a registry analysis for 200 patients with CML aged <30 years who underwent pretransplant TKI therapy from the observational nationwide database established by the Japanese Society for Transplantation and Cellular Therapy. The patients received bone marrow (BM), peripheral blood (PB), or cord blood (CB) from either related or unrelated donors. The indication for HSCT for individual patients was determined by the institution according to European LeukemiaNet recommendations and other guidelines. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates for patients with chronic phase (CP) (n = 124), accelerated phase (AP) (n = 23), and blastic phase (BP) (n = 53) at diagnosis were 82.8%, 71.1%, and 73.3%, respectively, with no significant difference (P =.3293). The strongest predictor of engraftment was transplant source, with CB (hazard ratio [HR], 0.33) and PB (HR, 2.00) (compared with BM) being independent unfavorable and favorable predictors, respectively. Transplant source was also an independent predictor of chronic GVHD, with PB (HR, 1.81) and CB (HR, 0.39) (compared with BM) being unfavorable and favorable predictors, respectively. The strongest predictor of OS rate for patients with CP at diagnosis was disease phase at HSCT, with second or greater CP, AP, or BP (HR, 2.81) (compared with first CP [CP1]) being an unfavorable predictor. In addition, patients with CP at diagnosis who had major and complete molecular responses at HSCT had excellent outcomes, with 5-year OS rates of 100% and 94.4%, respectively. The 5-year OS rate was compared between RIC (n = 31) and myeloablative conditioning (MAC) (n = 58) in patients with CP1, both of which were 89.3%, with no significant difference (P = .9440). On univariate analysis for the RIC cohort with CP at diagnosis, the age at HSCT (HR, 1.27) (increase per year) and the time from diagnosis to HSCT (HR, 1.83) (increase per year) were significant predictors for OS. Our study demonstrates that RIC may be an appropriate alternative to MAC for children and AYAs with CP1. As for the transplant source, we recommend first selecting BM because of a higher engraftment rate compared to CB and a lower incidence of chronic GVHD compared to PB. Although HSCT in the status of a major molecular response is desirable, it is not advisable to continue TKI pointlessly long because age at HSCT and timing of HSCT are prognostic factors that determine survival. The decision to perform RIC-HSCT instead of continuing TKI should be carefully made, considering the possibility of transplant-related complications.