Prognostic Factor For Longer Survival Research Articles

Optimal indications of surgical palliation for incurable advanced gastric cancer presenting with malignant gastrointestinal obstruction

Decision-making for surgical palliation remains one of the most challenging clinical scenarios. We investigated the optimal indications for surgical palliation in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) patients presenting with gastrointestinal (GI) obstruction. A retrospective analysis was performed on 53 consecutive patients who underwent surgical palliation for GI obstruction caused by AGC between 2000 and 2007 at Osaka National Hospital. The clinical course of each patient was followed until death. Postoperative improvement of oral intake, achievement of hospital discharge, and implementation of chemotherapy in each patient were documented and used as a triad to assess the quality of life (QOL). Prognostic factors for overall survival were investigated by univariate and multivariate analyses. In addition, postoperative morbidity and mortality rates were recorded. Of the entire patient cohort, 64% demonstrated a QOL improvement by having achieved the triad. Performance status (PS) of 1 or less was the only significant predictive factor for QOL improvement. The median survival time (MST) of the whole patient cohort following surgical palliation was 161days, while the MSTs of patients fulfilling the triad and of those failing to achieve the triad were 253 and 60days, respectively, with a significant difference between them (P<0.0001). PS of 1 or less (hazard ratio 0.265, P=0.0008) and recurrent disease (hazard ratio 0.394, P=0.043) were identified as significant independent prognostic factors for longer survival on multivariate analysis. Overall morbidity and 30-day postoperative mortality rates were 24.5% (13 patients) and 7.5% (4 patients) respectively. In AGC patients presenting with GI obstruction, surgical palliation was beneficial in patients with PS of 0-1 and those with recurrent disease, in terms of improved QOL and prolonged survival, with acceptable operative morbidity and mortality rates.

5102 Breast cancer brain metastases – significant differences in biological markers in early vs. late relapse

Purpose: To analyze treatment results, complications, prognostic factors and their statistical significance in surviving patients treated with the Leksell gamma knife (LGK) for solitary brain metastases.Materials and methods: Between 1992–1998, 237 patients were treated with solitary brain metastasis (SBM). The histological subtypes were as follows: 101 patients (42.6%) non small-cell lung cancer, 42 (17.7%) renal cell carcinoma, 36 (15.2%) breast carcinoma, 30 (12.7%) colorectal carcinomas and 28 (11.8%) melanoma.Results: A complete or partial regression was observed in 193 (81.4%) patients, cessation of growth activity in 32 (13.5%) and local progression in 12 (5.1%). Local recurrence was observed in nine (4.7%) of 193 patients with complete or partial regression. Acute toxicity appeared in 24 (10%) patients (score 3.4), late complications (score 3.4) were observed in 13 patients (5.5%). Out of 237 patients, 182 patients died with a median survival of 6 months and 55 patients are still alive with a median survival 12 months and with a minimal follow up period of 10 months. The significant prognostic factors for longer survival in these series of patients were: Karnofsky performance status (70% or more), the extent of extra-cerebral disease (no extra-cerebral disease), pretreatment neurological symptoms neurological functional class (NFC 1), histology (renal cell and breast carcinomas) and the dose to the planning target volume (20 Gy and higher).Conclusions: Radiosurgery provides an effective local control for 90% of treated patients with low morbidity. Several significant prognostic factors were detected for patients’ survival. These factors can help to predict better patients’ survival after the LGK treatment.

CR represents an early index of potential long survival in multiple myeloma

To assess the impact of CR on survival in multiple myeloma. Retrospective evaluation of response and survival among 758 consecutive patients with multiple myeloma treated at a single center, of whom 395 patients received intensive therapy supported by autologous stem cells within the first year. Survival times were calculated after 1 and 2 years from the start of chemotherapy. On the basis of the response status after a 2-year landmark, the subsequent median survival was 9.7 years for patients with CR, 4.4 years for those with PR and 2.7 years for patients with NR (P<0.001). Longer survival was attributed in part to intensive therapy that converted the myeloma of 67% of patients with NR to PR or CR, and induced CR in 26% of patients with PR. Intensive therapy did not prolong survival for patients with CR after primary therapy. For patients with multiple myeloma, Cox regression analyses showed that CR was the dominant prognostic factor for long survival, followed by stage I disease, PR and intensive treatment as independent factors. A cure fraction of 2% was identified for nine patients who have remained in CR >10 years.

Prognostic value of metastin expression in human pancreatic cancer

BackgroundKiSS-1 was identified as a metastasis-suppressing gene in melanoma cells. The KiSS-1 gene product (metastin) was isolated from human placenta as the ligand of GPR54, a G-protein-coupled receptor. The role of metastin and GPR54 in tumor progression is not fully understood.MethodsWe investigated the clinical significance of metastin and GPR54 expression in pancreatic cancer. We evaluated immunohistochemical expression of metastin and GPR54 in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma tissues obtained from 53 consecutive patients who underwent resection between July 2003 and May 2007 at Kyoto University Hospital. In 23 consecutive patients, the plasma metastin level was measured before surgery by enzyme immunoassay.ResultsStrong immunohistochemical expression of metastin was detected in 13 tumors (24.5%), while strong expression of GPR54 was detected in 30 tumors (56.6%). Tumors that were negative for both metastin and GPR54 expression were significantly larger than tumors that were positive for either metastin or GPR54 (p = 0.047). Recurrence was less frequent in patients who had metastin-positive tumors compared with those who had metastin-negative tumors (38.5% versus 70.0%, p = 0.04). Strong expression of metastin and GPR54 was significantly correlated with longer survival (p = 0.02). Metastin expression by pancreatic cancer was an independent prognostic factor for longer survival (hazard ratio, 2.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.1–4.7; p = 0.03), and the patients with a high plasma metastin level (n = 6) did not die after surgical resection.ConclusionStrong expression of metastin and GPR54 by pancreatic cancer is associated with longer survival. Metastin expression is an independent prognostic factor for the survival of pancreatic cancer patients. The plasma metastin level could become a noninvasive prognostic factor for the assessment of pancreatic cancer.

Self-reported health-related quality of life predicts survival for patients with advanced gastric cancer treated with first-line chemotherapy

To determine whether patients' self-reported quality-of-life (QOL) parameters could predict survival for patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC) treated with first-line chemotherapy, we performed this analysis based on the data obtained from 254 patients enrolled in three consecutive prospective randomized trials at a single institution. Consenting patients with AGC received first-line chemotherapy as specified in the protocols. QOL was assessed at baseline using the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) QLQ-C30 questionnaires. Baseline univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on the QOL data and the recognized clinical predictors for survival. Of 254 patients, 164 completed the QOL questionnaire at baseline. All patients received fluorouracil-containing first-line chemotherapy for AGC. With 88% observed deaths and a reported median survival of 9.5 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 8.8-10.2 months], there were no significant differences in survival between patients with or without QOL data. The final Cox multivariate model revealed four prognostic factors: age [hazard ratio (HR) 2.08, 95% CI 1.32-3.33, P = 0.002], bone metastasis (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.30-5.56, P = 0.008), hemoglobin (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37-0.92, P = 0.020), and social functioning (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.23-0.64, P = 0.001). When adjusting for clinical parameters, social functioning was an independently significant prognostic factor for longer survival. Baseline social functioning, along with age, presence of bone metastasis, and baseline hemoglobin level, independently predicts survival of AGC patients treated with first-line chemotherapy. QOL assessment should be routinely included to provide useful prognostic information concerning AGC patients.

A phase II study of irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin for treatment in patients with previously untreated advanced colorectal cancer.

We prospectively conducted a non-randomized phase II trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of combination irinotecan, leucovorin (LV) and 5-fluorouracil (FU) as a first-line regimen for treating patients with previously untreated advanced colorectal cancer (CRC). Twenty-six previously untreated patients with advanced, recurrent or metastatic CRC were enrolled in this study. The patients received either irinotecan 180 mg/m(2) on day 1 with LV bolus of 200 mg/m(2) and FU bolus of 400 mg/m(2), and this was followed by FU continuous infusion of 600 mg/m(2) on day 1 and day 2 (the FOLFIRI regimen), or they were treated with LV bolus of 400 mg/m(2) and FU bolus of 400 mg/m(2) followed by FU continuous infusion of 2,400 mg/m(2) for 46 hours (the simplified FOLFIRI regimen), and these treatments were repeated every 2 weeks until disease progression. The objective response rate was 23.1% (6/26) respectively, for both treatments. The median time to progression was 5.3 months (range: 0.4 approximately 19.9), and the overall survival was 11.2 months (range: 0.5 approximately 52.3). The prognostic factor for longer survival was the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS). The non-hematological toxicities were similar for both treatment groups, with more frequent grade >or=3 neutropenia being noted for the simplified FOLFIRI regimen. The biweekly irinotecan based regimen was demonstrated to have a moderate antitumor activity with acceptable toxicity profiles, and the ECOG PS was the independent prognostic factor.

Randomized, multi-center phase II trial of docetaxel plus cisplatin versus etoposide plus cisplatin as the first-line therapy for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

We prospectively conducted a multi-center, open-label, randomized phase II trial to compare the efficacy and safety of docetaxel plus cisplatin (DC) and etoposide plus cisplatin (EC) for treating advanced stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Seventy-eight previously untreated patients with locally advanced, recurrent or metastatic NSCLC were enrolled in this study. The patients received cisplatin 75 mg/m(2) on day 1 and either docetaxel 75 mg/m(2) on day 1 or etoposide 100 mg/m(2) on days 1 to 3 in the DC or EC arm, respectively, every 3 weeks. The objective response rate was 39.4% (15/38) and 18.4% (7/38) (p=0.023) in the DC and EC arms, respectively. The median time to progression (TTP) was 5.9 and 2.7 months (p=0.119), and the overall survival was 12.1 and 8.7 months (p=0.168) in the DC and EC arms, respectively. The prognostic factors for longer survival were an earlier disease stage (stage III, p=0.0095), the responders to DC (p=0.0174) and the adenocarcinoma histology (p=0.0454). The grades 3 and 4 toxicities were similar in both arms, with more febrile neutropenia (7.9% vs. 0%) and fatigue (7.9% vs. 0%) being noted in the DC arm. DC offered a superior overall response rate than does EC, along with tolerable toxicity profiles, although the DC drug combination did not show significantly improved survival and TTP.

Metastatic Urothelial Cancer: Evaluation of Prognostic Factors and Change in Prognosis during the Last Twenty Years

Objective: This study was designed to establish prognostic factors for survival of patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial cancer. We have furthermore investigated changes in patient characteristics and treatment strategies during the last 20 years. Patients and Methods: Between 1992 and 1997, a total of 156 patients with newly diagnosed recurrent locally advanced disease (nonresectable, radioresistant) and/or metastatic transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelial tract were included in a protocol evaluating clinical and laborattory prognostic factors at baseline. The relationship between these characteristics and survival was analyzed using univariate and multivariate methods. The results were compared to the survival results of similar patients treated previously from 1976 to 1991. Results: Median survival after diagnosis of recurrent locally advanced or metastatic disease was 5.8 months. Multivariate analysis showed that good performance status (PS), normal alkaline phosphatase (AP), absence of liver metastases and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for long survival. An increase in survival was found when comparison was made with 240 patients treated in the period from 1976 to 1991, but the period of treatment had no independent importance in multivariate analysis. Conclusion: PS, AP and liver metastases are the major important prognostic factors in metastatic urothelial cancer. Stage migration and increased use of chemotherapy may have contributed to improved median survival during the last 20 years.

Solitary brain metastases treated with the Leksell gamma knife: prognostic factors for patients

Purpose: To analyze treatment results, complications, prognostic factors and their statistical significance in surviving patients treated with the Leksell gamma knife (LGK) for solitary brain metastases. Materials and methods: Between 1992–1998, 237 patients were treated with solitary brain metastasis (SBM). The histological subtypes were as follows: 101 patients (42.6%) non small-cell lung cancer, 42 (17.7%) renal cell carcinoma, 36 (15.2%) breast carcinoma, 30 (12.7%) colorectal carcinomas and 28 (11.8%) melanoma. Results: A complete or partial regression was observed in 193 (81.4%) patients, cessation of growth activity in 32 (13.5%) and local progression in 12 (5.1%). Local recurrence was observed in nine (4.7%) of 193 patients with complete or partial regression. Acute toxicity appeared in 24 (10%) patients (score 3.4), late complications (score 3.4) were observed in 13 patients (5.5%). Out of 237 patients, 182 patients died with a median survival of 6 months and 55 patients are still alive with a median survival 12 months and with a minimal follow up period of 10 months. The significant prognostic factors for longer survival in these series of patients were: Karnofsky performance status (70% or more), the extent of extra-cerebral disease (no extra-cerebral disease), pretreatment neurological symptoms neurological functional class (NFC 1), histology (renal cell and breast carcinomas) and the dose to the planning target volume (20 Gy and higher). Conclusions: Radiosurgery provides an effective local control for 90% of treated patients with low morbidity. Several significant prognostic factors were detected for patients’ survival. These factors can help to predict better patients’ survival after the LGK treatment.

Prognostic factors for renal cell carcinoma: a multivariate analysis of 320 cases.

We performed a multivariate analysis of clinical variables in 320 patients with renal cell carcinoma to identify important prognostic factors for long-term survival. We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 320 patients who presented with renal cell carcinoma. Survival curves were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method and statistical differences were determined by the log-rank test. Significant prognostic factors were evaluated by Cox's multivariate proportional hazard model. The median follow-up period was 29 months. The overall survival rates at 1, 5, and 10 years were 90.0%, 77.6%, and 69.9%, respectively. Seventeen of the 19 prognostic factors evaluated were shown to be significant by the log-rank test: patient age, sex, performance status, body temperature, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), levels of hemoglobin, alpha 2-globulin, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, immunosuppressive acidic protein (IAP), size or involvement of tumor (T classification), regional lymph node involvement (N classification), extent of metastasis (M classification), pathologic grade, tumor cell type, mode of tumor infiltration, and the modality of treatment (curative surgery). Among them, the body temperature, ESR, alpha 2-globulin, fibrinogen, IAP, and mode of tumor infiltration were excluded from multivariate analysis because of missing data. Curative surgery was also excluded because it is a treatment modality and different from the other variables which are clinical or pathologic characteristics. From the remaining 10 variables, multivariate analysis showed that age (P = 0.0389), N classification (P = 0.0289), and M classification (P < 0.0001) were important and independent prognostic factors for long survival. This analysis showed that age, N classification, and M classification were the most important factors predicting long-term survival of patients with renal cell carcinoma.