Process Of Urban Sprawl Research Articles

Quantifying LULC Changes in Constantine, Algeria Using Google Earth Engine

The objective of this research is to analyze land use changes in the municipality of Constantine over a thirty year period (1993 – 2023) using Landsat satellite data provided through the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and a supervised classification approach. Five land cover classes were mapped at six key dates: water bodies, green spaces, built-up areas, bare soil and agricultural land. The quantified changes highlight a considerable reduction in bare soil in favor of an increase in cultivated land, as well as an expansion of artificial surfaces during certain periods (2008 to 2023). These dynamics reflect the processes of urban sprawl and peri-urbanization at work in this territory. The results obtained demonstrate the potential of remote sensing through GEE for detailed spatio-temporal monitoring of land use. Coupled with other data, this approach contributes to a better understanding of territorial evolutions and provides valuable information for sustainable land use planning.

Policy instruments as a trigger for urban sprawl deceleration: monitoring the stability and transformations of green areas

The socialist era postponed suburbanisation in Central and Eastern European countries. After 1990, the process became extremely intensive and transformed the compact form of cities into more decentralised and dispersed urban structures. Therefore, the study aims to identify the main trends in land-cover transformation caused by urban sprawl in peri-urban areas of three Central and Eastern European cities (NUTS 3 level: the Pest County, Bratislava Region, and Krakowski subregion). In addition, we identified various policy tools for green infrastructure protection. We further investigated the extent to which the presence of legal means of nature conservation affects the stability of natural and seminatural areas. The research used an original questionnaire and spatio-temporal analysis. It has been confirmed that after decades of socialism, a highly intensive urban sprawl process started in the analysed regions. It generally slowed down after 2000 except for the Krakowski subregion. The majority of new artificial areas replaced agricultural land. Despite the dynamic urban sprawl, almost one-third of the analysed Central and Eastern European peri-urban areas were stable natural and seminatural areas. The traditional nature conservation tools proved to be effective in preserving natural and seminatural areas, but the protection of landscapes exposed to urban sprawl needs specific tools. The effectiveness of urban sprawl control is hindered by the fact that spatial planning competences are dispersed. This research may influence monitoring urban sprawl and offer an innovative method because it combines spatial analysis (quantitative approach) with the impact of policy tools (qualitative approach).

Morphometric Indicators for the Definition of New Territorial Units in the Periurban Space: Application to the Metropolitan Area of Valencia (Spain)

New territorial units resulting from urban sprawl processes constitute a major challenge for territorial planning. The aim of this paper is to analyze periurban spaces, focusing on the delimitation and characterization of the urban units arising from urban sprawl processes. The delimitation derives from fractal analysis, where urbanized space is used to detect the limits of the units. The characterization starts with the calculation of eight different indicators, using Geographic Information Systems tools. PCA is used to obtain different dimensions of the urban sprawl phenomenon. Finally, a cluster analysis has been applied to establish a typology of territorial units and facilitate the comparative analysis. The methodology is applied to a case study, the metropolitan area of Valencia. Results show six groups of urbanized spaces, which present different types of urban sprawl structures with different necessities. This applied research can be useful for the spatial planning of the periurban spaces, insofar as it allows the identification of supra-municipal or infra-municipal areas, where it will be possible to improve infrastructures, facilities, or green infrastructure, to empower secondary urban nuclei and to create new inter-municipal cooperation and governance formulas. In addition, the results can constitute a non-administrative territorial basis for the calculation of land occupation indicators that are often used as thresholds for the creation of new residential spaces in regulatory planning documents.

Spatiotemporal Pattern of Urban Sprawl Based on the Weighted Urban Proliferation Model: A Case Study of the Bohai Rim Region in China

Since the reform and opening up, China’s urbanization level has increased rapidly, with the urbanization rate rising from 17.92% in 1978 to 63.89% in 2020. At the same time, the extreme expansion of urban space has gradually become a common phenomenon, and the problem of urban sprawl has become a stumbling block to the high-quality development of Chinese cities. The traditional single-indicator method and multi-indicator method have obvious shortcomings in the richness of index dimension and the subjectivity of indicator selection, respectively, when measuring urban sprawl quantitatively. In this study, based on the weighted urban proliferation (WUP) model, we integrated the three independent dimensions of urban permeation (UP), dispersion of built-up areas (DIS), and utilization density (UD) to verify the applicability and feasibility of the model for quantifying the spatiotemporal pattern of urban sprawl, taking the Bohai Rim region in China as an example. There were four main results. Most cities in the Bohai Rim region had a moderate-to-high level of urban sprawl, with obvious spatial heterogeneity by province. The average WUP of cities in the Bohai Rim region increased by 61.83% from 2000 to 2020, and cities with moderate urban sprawl became cities with high sprawl. The urban sprawl process in the Bohai Rim region accelerated during 2010−2015 and stabilized thereafter. The increase in WUP caused by the growth of built-up areas is the main driver of urban sprawl in the Bohai Rim region. This study found that the WUP model can be effectively applied to the Bohai Rim region of China, where it reflects the multidimensional features of urban sprawl and provides new insight into its spatiotemporal pattern.

Impact of urban form on housing affordability stress in Chinese cities: Does public service efficiency matter?

Residential housing affordability stress is an important catalyst of class solidification and the growing worldwide social divide. Based on a quantitative spatial model that considers government utility and decision-making and uses nighttime lighting data, this study utilizes potential urban footprint as an instrumental variable to examine the mechanisms underlying the effects of the urban form on housing affordability stress and the moderating effect of government public service expenditure efficiency. The theoretical model and empirical results indicate the following. (i) The compact urban form increases housing affordability stress through productivity and urban living amenities. (ii) The efficiency of government public service expenditures affects industrial agglomeration externalities and public service accessibility, precipitating a negative moderating effect on the relationship between urban form and housing affordability stress. (iii) Based on LandScan data, a polycentric layout was found to weaken the compact urban form's ability to reduce housing affordability stress and reduce the government spending efficiency's negative moderating effect on public services. These findings demonstrate that the positive externalities of agglomeration production and the rationalization of government public service expenditures play important roles in housing market stabilization, which is helpful in facilitating better resource factor allocations by the government in the urban sprawl process.

Urban development & street-network sprawl in Tokyo

ABSTRACT This paper uses Tokyo, Japan as a case study to explore the processes of urban development and sprawl through the lenses of street connectivity and historical development. Tokyo is a highly connected city in terms of its street network, but also offers a unique urban experience of global renown. This study develops a novel time series that shows the evolution of patterns of connectivity across the urban region. We then qualitatively analyze this time series in the context of Tokyo’s urban history to identify the historical and present-day influences that have shaped its street connectivity. We find that streets in the Tokyo metropolitan region have always been remarkably connected by international standards, and that this connectivity has persisted throughout different periods of economic and governmental systems in addition to both natural and anthropogenic disasters.

Fully automatic training sample collection for detecting multi-decadal inland/seaward urban sprawl

Accurate and timely monitoring of urban sprawl using remote sensing provides valuable insights for urban management and sustainable development. While existing studies have explored methods for large-scale monitoring of urban sprawl, most of them rely on the collection of manually labeled training samples for supervised classification. Additionally, previous studies generally focused on inland urban sprawl, neglecting the process of urban sprawl towards sea areas, known as seaward urban sprawl, which has profound ecological implications for coastal ecosystems. Here we develop a fully automatic algorithm for detecting urban sprawl, named Fully Automatic Detection of Urban Sprawl (FADUS), using the time-series Landsat imagery without manually collecting training samples or existing urban maps for reference. FADUS automatically generates initial samples through a sequential binary unsupervised clustering technique and then updates them by removing the spectral outliers to obtain a high-quality training set for subsequent supervised classification. A tidal module is included in FADUS to avoid pseudo-urban changes caused by tidal fluctuations so that both inland and seaward urban sprawl can be detected. By applying the algorithm to 75 coastal cities in China, the most rapidly urbanizing region in the world, we uncovered a neglected but dramatic seaward urban sprawl process that has converted sea areas to urban space since 1985. Our results indicate that 9904.36 km2 of coastal wetlands and nearshore seawater areas have been converted to land area, of which 44.83% is currently covered by built-up area. With our method, the fully automatic detection of urban dynamics is now possible for both coastal and inland cities worldwide. Our derived map of seaward urban sprawl in China provides valuable references for coastal land-cover change monitoring, wetland protection and restoration, and integrated coastal management.

Analysis of the spatial and temporal patterns in land use land cover in Belize city from 1991 to 2021

Urban theorists and planning researchers ignore small cities with ports. Rectifying this neglect, we focus on Belize City. We assess the spatial and temporal patterns of land use and cover changes, utilizing remote sensing analysis and multiyear Landsat satellite images. Focusing on the contemporary period (1991-present), we analyze the impacts of the rapid development of the Port of Belize and its consequent effect on the expansion of the urban built environment of Belize City. In addition to analyzing land use land cover changes, we calculated key indices such as NDVI, NDBI, and LST in Belize City. Importantly, local-level clustering of differences in NDBI and NDVI values is analyzed using LISA analysis. Our results show that the urbanized area has increased in the past 30 years, with corresponding reductions in the area under forest and water. Our analyses reveal three distinctive periods of urban changes: 1991–2001, 2001–2011, and 2011–2021. From 1991 to 2001 most of the urban expansion occurred along the Belize River. Significant urban expansion from 2001 to 2011 is related to a private company managing and developing the port, accelerating construction around the port. Finally, from 2011 to 2021, the process of urban sprawl slowed, with only sporadic new construction in the suburbs, due to the master planning at the port. Nevertheless, masterplan implementation delays, numerous appeals, and weak enforcement of regulations have not curbed unplanned urbanization.

The Effects of Urban Sprawl on Poverty in the City from Which It Emanates

Urban sprawl has been widely criticized in academia and other forums for the slew of aesthetic eyesores it has created and environmental issues it has exacerbated. Less discussion or research has taken up sprawl’s effects on poverty and how they intersect with class and race to self-propagate. In this paper, I gather findings from existing research on the subject and explain points of consensus and discord among scholars. The three ways by which urban sprawl worsens poverty are found to be spatial mismatch, the physical alienation of inner-city dwelling residents from suburban centres of concentrated employment; income segregation, the relegation of lower income residents to places of low job-concentration; and racial segregation, the spacial sorting of residents by race so that racial diversity decreases in given areas of residence. It is also found that these factors, which contribute to poverty and are driven by sprawl, also then drive sprawl themselves, creating feedback loops intensifying segregation and poverty. The inception of the modern city and the process of urban sprawl are also discussed. It is found that the same processes which created high population concentration to create the first cities during the industrial revolution, notably the advent of labour centres, drive modern urban sprawl. This and other processes are then used in the examinations of the above-mentioned issues to calculate the origins of these issues and contextualize them. 
 

Spatiotemporal dynamics and evolution relationships between land-use/land cover change and landscape pattern in response to rapid urban sprawl process: A case study in Wuhan, China

Urban sprawl is now a worldwide phenomenon, especially in the rapidly developing areas in China. However, the process of land-use/land-cover (LULC) dynamics can lead to dramatic changes in the regional landscape patterns. In this study, we explored the LULC changes and urban sprawl, and their impact on the landscape pattern evolution during 2005–2030. Based on the land-use data of 2005–2015, an LULC map of 2030 was simulated by using the logistic regression, multi-criteria evaluation (MCE), and a cellular automata (CA)-Markov hybrid model. The simulation accuracies of the kappa coefficient and figure of merit (FoM) reached 82.69% and 29.86%, respectively. The results showed that, during 2005–2030, the area of water, urban land, and other construction land will increase by 72.56, 162.63, and 1152.67 km2 respectively, while the area of forest land and unused land will decrease by 107.05 and 13.38 km2, respectively, as well as the land use degree will reach 293.18 in 2030. The landscape spatial pattern will change significantly during 2005–2030, and there is a strong correlation between the landscape pattern dynamics and land use degrees. The patch types in the urban area will tend to be regular and distributed in a balanced trend. There is a good connection between patch types, the degree of landscape aggregation will be gradually improved, the spatial distribution will tend to be concentrated, and the spatial heterogeneity will be enhanced. Changes in land use and landscape patterns during rapid urban sprawl are actively influenced by a combination of natural, socioeconomic, and transportation accessibility. In the future urban construction, the protection of forest land and water areas should be increased, the land use structure should be optimized, the construction land and ecological land should be rationally planned, and natural landscapes should be added in a timely manner to steadily improve the regional environment. Finally, the research results will provide a theoretical basis for supporting regional sustainable development and the formulation of landscape planning policies.

Spatial and temporal population change in the Tehran Metropolitan Region and its consequences on urban decline and sprawl

In the last three decades, Tehran has experienced urban sprawl and decline. The aim of this study is to look into the process of urban sprawl as a spatial and visual manifestation of Tehran's periphery expansion between 1976 and 2016. In relation to population growth and Tehran's urban decline and sprawl, four major urban development stages were investigated: urbanization, counter-urbanization, ex-urbanization, and re-urbanization. As a result, data analysis required the application of the Distributional Model, Moran's Spatial Correlations at both the global and local levels, and G general statistics. The Shannon Entropy and Holdren models are then used to measure the degree of metropolitan region urban sprawl over the course of the study period. Between 1976 and 2016, the population of Tehran city and the Tehran Metropolitan Region (TMR) increased dramatically, with Tehran city continuing to increase from 2.7 to 8.73 million, Tehran periphery cities increasing from, 417,000 to 7.24 million, and the TMR continuing to increase from 3.13 to 15.98 million. These changes would manifest spatially as urban sprawl and decline. The study's findings revealed a link between the TMR's pattern and manner of sprawl development and urban deterioration. As a result, future research on well-adjusted and planned TMR development will be available.

Protected areas as a double edge sword: An analysis of factors driving urbanisation in their surroundings

Protected areas (PAs) are the most effective tools to protect biodiversity and ecosystem services. They have proven to be effective in stopping extensive land use conversion in well-conserved terrestrial ecosystems. However, land cover changes around PAs threaten biodiversity and ecosystem services within their limits and reduce ecological connectivity. In this study, we analysed the urban sprawls on the boundaries of 159 PAs (national, regional, and natural parks) in Spain, using 2.5 and 5 km non-protected buffer zones from 1990 to 2018. We clustered PAs based on biophysical and socio-economic characteristics and modelled urban sprawl in different buffers and periods. Hierarchical clustering revealed three groups of PAs: (a) proximate urban parks, (b) mountainous parks, and (c) parks in the Madrid autonomous region. We found that urbanisation in the surroundings of PAs in Spain has nearly doubled since 1990. General linear models explained a significant proportion of the urbanisation trends observed, with the number of municipalities in the boundary of the PA, the distance to a main road, and the distance to a big city acting as the most important drivers of urban sprawl. Our results also show that some PAs exert significant effects on urbanisation trends in their surroundings through the park-view effect. Finally, we highlight three coexisting phenomena that might explain the observed urban sprawl processes: (a) PAs attracting urbanisation in their surroundings due to the park-view effect, (b) PAs as a deterrent for urban sprawl within their limits, and (c) PAs occupying residual areas among previously urbanised lands.

Revitalization of brownfields in shrinking cites exemplified by the urban farm in Dessau a Green Innovation area as a part of the BMBF project GIAGEM

This bachelor thesis is about the revitalization of urban brownfields in shrinking cities. The project "Urban Farm Dessau" is used throughout the thesis as an example. Different social processes, such as structural change and demographic change, lead to changed conditions in cities. One consequence of this is that shrinking processes are continuing and this leads to the creation of brownfields, which are often not used again. This process of urban sprawl often results in the decline of districts or entire cities. In the project GIAGEM "The Role of Green Innovation Areas in Revitalizing German and Mexican Cities" of the Technical University of Kaiserslautern and the University of Guadalajara, alternative solutions for the revitalization of such brownfields are being developed, which at the same time meet bio-economic requirements. Various sustainable and efficient uses are analysed and evaluated on the basis of example projects and their transferability to other cities is specified. First of all, the scientific framework conditions are elaborated in this thesis. For this purpose, the key words "Brownfields", "Revitalization" and "Urban Farming" will be defined and classified. The project GIAGEM will be presented in more detail in order to establish the connection to the chosen example project "Urban Farm Dessau". The project "Urban Farm Dessau", which was developed in the city of Dessau-Roßlau, in the district Am Leipziger Tor in Sachsen-Anhalt, will be analysed in more detail by means of a preliminary study and with the help of an area reference. The project is finally evaluated by means of a criteria grid. The results of the evaluation form the basis for recommendations for action, which represent a possibility of transferability of this project to other cities and locations. Finally, a conclusion about the project is given, summarizing the knowledge gained from the analysed chapters and evaluating whether the Urban Farm is a suitable form of sustainable brownfield revitalization and an innovative approach for sustainable urban development.

Illegal Parcelling in Cordoba (Spain): The Result of Illegal Urban Planning or Hidden City Development?

Illegal parcellings are a unique case within urban sprawl processes. They are characterised by originating against urban planning and by a lack of basic infrastructure. It is a phenomenon that has not been studied in much depth, and its typological aspect has been the least discussed element. This article analyses the illegal parcellings in the municipality of Cordoba, Spain, where their area has reached 4,606.88 hectares—this, compared to the slightly more than 2,800 hectares occupied by the consolidated city, gives an idea of the significance of the process. The main objective is therefore to present its territorial scope and, secondly, to propose a methodology for its typological classification. Research shows that this issue is important for a correct assessment of the phenomenon and that it must be addressed appropriately by the relevant administrations.

Remote Sensing-Based Analysis of Urban Landscape Change in the City of Bucharest, Romania

The paper investigates the urban landscape changes for the last 50 years in Bucharest, the capital city of Romania. Bucharest shows a complex structural transformation driven by the socialist urban policy, followed by an intensive real-estate market development. Our analysis is based on a diachronic set of high-resolution satellite imagery: declassified CORONA KH-4B from 1968, SPOT-1 from 1989, and multisensor stacked layers from Sentinel-1 SAR together with Sentinel-2MSI from 2018. Three different datasets of land cover/use are extracted for the reference years. Each dataset reveals its own urban structure pattern. The first one illustrates a radiography of the city in the second part of the 20th century, where rural patterns meet the modern ones, while the second one reveals the frame of a city in a full process of transformation with multiple constructions sites, based on the socialist model. The third one presents an image of a cosmopolitan city during an expansion process, with a high degree of landscape heterogeneity. All the datasets are included in a built-up change analysis in order to map and assess the spatial transformations of the city pattern over 5 decades. In order to quantify and map the changes, the Built-up Change Index (BCI) is introduced. The results highlight a particular situation linked to the policy development visions for each decade, with major changes of about 50% for different built-up classes. The GIS analysis illustrates two major landscape transformations: from the old semirural structures with houses surrounded by gardens from 1968, to a compact pattern with large districts of blocks of flats in 1989, and a contemporary city defined by an uncontrolled urban sprawl process in 2018.

The Impact of Urban Sprawl and Smart City Construction on Regional Coordination

The construction of smart cities has promoted the process of urbanization and sustainable urban sprawl, which may accelerate regional coordination by enhancing the spatial correlation among the cities. Firstly, this paper built the mechanism for the impact of urban sprawl and smart city construction on regional coordination and adopted the corrected night light data as the index of economic measurement, using the dynamic fixed effect spatial Dubin model to test theoretical mechanism. It is found that urban sprawl has strongly promoted the regional coordination, which is especially obvious among the neighboring cities. However, the construction of smart cities is not conducive to regional coordination, only when interacting with urban sprawl. The results of robustness check and endogenous treatment are consistent with the baseline regression. Further research shows that urban sprawl restricts the positive effect of industrial agglomeration but could promote economic growth and regional coordination through smart city construction. The policy enlightenment lies in that smart city construction should be promoted, so as to improve economic growth, and smart city network and urban sprawl should be synchronously promoted to accelerate regional coordination.

Correlation between Land Use and the Transformation of Rural Housing Model in the Coastal Region of Syria

The phenomenon of urban sprawl has caused radical changes in the spatial structure of cities and rural areas all around the world. Syria is among the developing countries that have experienced this phenomenon. Some of the resulted processes of urban sprawl like urbanization and counter-urbanization have had a clear impact on the land use and lifestyle in both cities and the countryside of different regions in Syria. This research focuses on the coastal region and the spatial changes that affected the nature of social life, such as the rapid growth of the population, the expansion of cities, and the new developments, which in turn have led to considerable changes in the relationship and scale of the house, garden, and landscape. The research studies the development of the rural housing model in the coastal region and its relation to the surrounding landscape. It tracks three phases of the housing unit’s development and conducts a comparative study on four villages using a questionnaire to evaluate the performance of those units. The results of this research show significant change in the relationship between rural and urban areas resulting from the new residential developments, as well as the relationship of land use and the historic plot structure and that of the garden and the house into the overall character of the landscape.

Modeling the Impacts of Autonomous Vehicles on Land Use Using a LUTI Model

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) can generate major changes in urban systems due to their ability to use road infrastructures more efficiently and shorten trip times. However, there is great uncertainty about these effects and about whether the use of these vehicles will continue to be private, in continuity with the current paradigm, or whether they will become shared (carsharing/ridesharing). In order to try to shed light on these matters, the use of a scenario-based methodology and the evaluation of the scenarios using a land use–transport interaction model (LUTI model TRANSPACE) is proposed. This model allows simulating the impacts that changes in the transport system can generate on the location of households and companies oriented to local demand and accessibility conditions. The obtained results allow us to state that, if AVs would generate a significant increase in the capacity of urban and interurban road infrastructures, the impacts on mobility and on the location of activities could be positive, with a decrease in the distances traveled, trip times, and no evidence of significant urban sprawl processes. However, if these increases in capacity are accompanied by a large augment in the demand for shared journeys by new users (young, elderly) or empty journeys, the positive effects could disappear. Thus, this scenario would imply an increase in trip times, reduced accessibilities, and longer average distances traveled, all of which could cause the unwanted effect of expelling activities from the consolidated urban center.

Macroeconomic Perspective on Urban Sprawl: A Multidimensional Approach in Poland

There are important relationships between the urban sprawl process and economic growth. They are usually expressed through spatial relations and changes taking place in the local, regional and national economy. The temporal and spatial dimension, including dispersed location, are the determinants of development and economic growth. Therefore, the urban sprawl phenomenon and the related location, hypothetically conditioning economic growth, should be subject to macroeconomic research. The article examines how urban sprawl affects the national budget and national economic growth. Unlike many studies where urban sprawl is studied by scattering the population around cities, we undertake more complex examination using buildings’ location. Urban sprawl, as we understand it, is a spontaneous spread of buildings around cities. To assess the spontaneity, we use a grid of squares with a side of 500 m. The squares are used to calculate the morphological indicators of urban sprawl. Therefore, quantified urban sprawl is one side of the equation; on the other side are macroeconomic variables. In this way, we examine the relationship between urban sprawl and the national budget and economic growth of Poland. The conclusions obtained are, e.g., urban sprawl does not have a negative effect on the national economy and the budget. This is a different conclusion from those thus far. There are also different conclusions on the regional level. Based on the research results, we formulate recommendations for national economic policy and spatial policy.

KENTSEL GELİŞİM VE DÖNÜŞÜM SÜRECİNİN BELİRLENMESİ: DİYARBAKIR ÖRNEĞİ

Kadim bir kent olan Diyarbakır’ın mekânsal gelişiminin incelendiği bu araştırmada kentin zamansal ve mekânsal ölçekte gelişim ve dönüşüm sürecinin belirlenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Diyarbakır’da kentleşme süreci, Cumhuriyet öncesi ve Cumhuriyet Dönemi olmak üzere iki başlıkta incelenmiştir. Cumhuriyet öncesi dönemde, Suriçi’nin mekânsal gelişimi tarihi veriler ile akademik çalışmalardan faydalanılarak oluşturulmuştur. Cumhuriyet Dönemi’nin mekânsal gelişiminin belirlenmesinde ise temel veri kaynağı olarak ortofotolar kullanılmıştır. Ortofotoların güncel hâlihazır konut verileri ile örtüştürülmesiyle kentin zamansal ve mekânsal gelişimi daha doğru bir şekilde ortaya konulmaya çalışılmıştır. Araştırma bulguları, 20. yüzyılın ikinci yarısından itibaren kentleşme sürecinin hızlandığını ve aynı yüzyılın son çeyreğinde en büyük alansal artışın yaşandığını göstermektedir. 2000’li yıllardan itibaren ise hem yatayda hem de dikeyde gelişim ve dönüşüm süreci hızlanmıştır. Sonuç olarak, 1930’larda Suriçi’nden ibaret olan kent, günümüze kadar konut alanlarında 10 kat büyüme yaşamıştır. Analiz sonuçları, kentsel gelişim yönünün neredeyse bütün dönemlerde batı-kuzeybatı eksenli olduğunu göstermiştir. Günümüzde olduğu gibi gelecekte de, kentin Elazığ Caddesi ile Şanlıurfa Bulvarı üzerinde ve yakın çevresinde gelişimini sürdüreceği tahmin edilmektedir.