ABSTRACT Prognosis and Health Management (PHM) is crucial for ensuring the reliable operation of structural components, such as bracing members. Despite this, limited study exists for the RUL estimation of civil engineering components. This paper presents a nested framework utilizing the Least Square Support Vector Regression (LS-SVR) for accurately predicting the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of axially loaded members. The framework addresses the challenges of sparse data and multidimensional damage-sensitive features (DSFs) by employing a two-stage process. In the first stage, DSFs are forecasted using one-dimensional mapping, providing essential inputs for the second stage, where axial stiffness degradation is predicted using LS-SVR. The proposed framework is validated through an experimental study on axially loaded members subjected to low-cycle fatigue. To enhance model performance, simulated data generated from an OpenSees model is combined with the experimental data. The nested LS-SVR framework demonstrates superior performance compared to traditional methods, achieving high accuracy in RUL estimation as evidenced by the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) metrics. The framework’s ability to forecast axial stiffness degradation, a critical indicator of structural health, makes it a valuable tool for real-time assessment of structural component RUL. By integrating this framework with real-time monitoring systems, proactive maintenance strategies can be implemented, leading to safer and more efficient structural health management.
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