Abstract Recent numerical simulations of the coalescence of highly spinning massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) suggest that the remnant can suffer a recoil velocity of the order of few thousand km s−1. We study here, by means of dedicated simulations of black hole build-up, how such extreme recoils could affect the cosmological coalescence rate of MBHBs, placing a robust lower limit for the predicted number of gravitational wave (GW) sources detectable by future space-borne missions (such as the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna, LISA). We consider two main routes for black hole formation: one where seeds are light remnants of Population III stars (≃102 M⊙), and one where seeds are much heavier (≳104 M⊙), formed via the direct gas collapse in primordial nuclear discs. We find that extreme recoil velocities do not compromise the efficient MBHB detection by LISA. If seeds are already massive and/or relatively rare, the detection rate is reduced by only ∼15 per cent. The number of detections drops substantially (by ∼60 per cent) if seeds are instead light and abundant, but in this case the number of predicted coalescences is so high that at least ∼10 sources in a three-year observation are guaranteed.
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